Howard Reyes

C DSL Tigers 1

Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 185 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Tigers 1	49	.158/.347/.342	1	0	11	—	.075/.245/.150
2026	18	ROKDSL Tigers 1	123	.229/.393/.396	4	5	40	—	.126/.262/.204
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBDET	233	.201/.284/.289	2	4	65	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBDET	66	.202/.287/.296	1	1	70	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBDET	158	.206/.291/.307	2	3	74	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%78

ISO72

BB%67

wOBA57

wRC+39

Speed37

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCarlos Rodriguez (age 19) · Yasmil Bucce (age 19) · Angel Ortiz (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 103 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .282 / .286

PA103

HR1

K%30

BB%9

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	49	38	6	2	1	1	7	17	4	0	3	158	347	342	689	184	250	35	14	324	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	123	96	22	4	0	4	22	31	4	5	1	229	393	396	789	167	290	25	18	361	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	49	40	3	1	1	0	5	21	4	0	3	75	245	150	395	75	147	43	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	123	103	13	2	0	2	15	38	4	5	1	126	262	204	466	78	178	31	12	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	49	40	3	1	1	0	5	21	4	0	3	75	245	150	395	75	158	43	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	49	38	6	2	1	1	7	17	4	0	3	158	347	342	689	184	250	35	14	324	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	123	103	13	2	0	2	15	38	4	5	1	126	262	204	466	78	172	31	12	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	123	96	22	4	0	4	22	31	4	5	1	229	393	396	789	167	290	25	18	361	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	49	40	3	1	1	0	5	21	4	0	3	75	245	150	395	75	147	43	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	123	103	13	2	0	2	15	38	4	5	1	126	262	204	466	78	178	31	12	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	49	40	3	1	1	0	5	21	4	0	3	75	245	150	395	75	147	43	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	123	103	13	2	0	2	15	38	4	5	1	126	262	204	466	78	178	31	12	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	DET	0%	233	207	41	7	2	2	20	70	4	4	1	201	284	289	573	88	287	30	9	264	65	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	DET	34%	192	169	34	6	1	2	17	57	4	4	1	206	290	302	592	96	289	30	9	272	70	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	DET	48%	326	289	61	11	2	5	28	95	6	7	2	210	294	314	608	104	290	29	9	278	74	-10	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	DET	54%	425	377	80	14	3	7	37	122	8	9	3	213	297	324	621	111	292	29	9	283	78	-11	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	DET	57%	490	435	94	17	3	9	43	139	9	10	3	217	300	333	633	117	292	28	9	287	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	DET	57%	520	461	101	18	4	10	45	145	9	11	3	219	302	341	643	121	293	28	9	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	DET	57%	520	461	102	18	4	11	45	145	9	11	4	220	302	343	646	123	293	28	9	292	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	DET	56%	520	461	102	18	4	11	45	145	9	11	4	220	303	345	647	125	293	28	9	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	DET	55%	520	461	102	18	4	11	45	146	9	11	4	219	302	342	644	123	293	28	9	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	DET	59%	520	461	100	18	3	10	45	147	9	10	4	217	299	337	637	120	291	28	9	289	82	-11	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	DET	61%	520	461	98	17	3	10	45	149	9	10	4	214	297	331	627	116	290	29	9	285	79	-13	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	DET	62%	520	461	97	17	3	9	45	150	9	10	5	211	293	323	616	111	288	29	9	280	76	-15	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	DET	63%	504	448	92	16	3	8	43	148	8	9	6	207	288	313	601	106	284	29	9	274	72	-17	-1	-3	+9	+11	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	DET	34%	66	59	11	2	0	1	6	20	1	1	0	202	287	296	583	94	285	30	9	268	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	DET	48%	158	140	28	5	1	2	14	46	3	3	1	206	291	307	598	101	286	29	9	274	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	DET	54%	230	204	44	8	2	4	20	66	4	5	2	210	294	317	611	107	287	29	9	279	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	DET	57%	277	246	52	9	2	5	24	78	5	6	2	213	296	326	622	113	288	28	9	283	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	DET	57%	294	261	57	10	2	6	26	82	5	6	2	216	299	333	631	117	289	28	9	287	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	DET	57%	294	261	57	10	2	6	26	82	5	6	2	216	299	335	634	119	289	28	9	288	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	DET	56%	294	261	57	10	2	6	26	82	5	6	2	216	299	337	636	121	288	28	9	288	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	DET	55%	288	256	56	10	2	6	25	81	5	6	2	215	298	334	632	119	288	28	9	287	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	DET	59%	307	272	58	10	2	6	27	87	5	6	2	213	296	329	626	116	287	28	9	284	82	-7	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	DET	61%	317	281	59	10	2	6	28	91	5	6	3	211	293	323	617	112	285	29	9	281	79	-8	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	DET	62%	324	288	60	10	2	6	28	94	5	6	3	208	290	315	605	108	283	29	9	276	76	-9	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	DET	63%	318	283	58	10	2	5	27	93	5	5	4	204	285	306	591	102	280	29	8	270	72	-11	-1	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3167	2812	597	104	21	59	277	902	53	62	25	212	295	327	622	115	288	28	9	282	78	-77	+2	-4	+57	+69	4.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	122	21	4	12	57	185	11	13	5	211	295	324	619	113	287	28	9	282	78	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5852	5179	1097	194	39	106	512	1678	108	120	47	212	296	326	622	114	289	29	9	283	78	-140	+6	-7	+101	+123	8.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	122	22	4	12	57	186	12	13	5	212	297	327	624	115	289	29	9	283	78	-16	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.9	3,271	60	64	216	295	332	+58	+32	7.2	6.3
/162	664	12	13	+11.9	+6.5	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#6Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Howard Reyes (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	199/282/286	87	287	1	2	30%	9%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→45	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/296	90	269	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/257/302	95	281	7	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Manuel Pena 2023 · A	19	41→50	38→50	47→50	42	198/255/277	79	286	6	10	32%	7%	51	-2.3	213/257/304	91	311	6	8	32%	5%	57	-1.8	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	43	41→45	45	56	204/303/316	112	273	7	8	26%	12%	79	-0.2	186/265/271	85	280	6	5	33%	9%	55	-2.0	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Joe Mack 2022 · A	19	43→44	39→55	45	48	192/293/275	83	328	6	5	39%	12%	66	-1.1	203/280/302	99	298	11	2	33%	9%	67	-1.1	220/283/384	165	281	22	4	29%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Ronny Hernandez 2024 · A	19	44→53	39→40	49→30	46	211/281/302	91	288	6	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	227/301/310	83	296	7	3	24%	9%	76	-0.4	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	43→50	37→45	49→50	47	199/284/273	74	302	3	11	32%	10%	62	-1.4	217/300/325	108	317	8	16	31%	9%	80	-0.2	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Cam Collier 2024 · A	19	46→44	40→45	47→40	46	215/292/308	93	309	8	5	31%	9%	72	-0.7	214/289/325	111	309	11	3	32%	9%	76	-0.4	204/279/320	116	291	12	1	32%	8%	69	-0.8

Howard Reyes

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps