Thayron Liranzo — OGILVIE

Thayron LiranzoC Erie SeaWolves

Age 23 S/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION223 act + 148 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .278 / .314

PA148

HR4

K%34

BB%11

BABIP261

ISO130

MLB%40%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED27

scouting grade only

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$9M	+$8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$11M	+$10M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$12M	+$11M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$11M	+$9M
2031	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$10M	+$6M
2032	Arb-3	$7M	+1.6	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$19M		$61M	+$50M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	85	75	14	3	0	1	8	27	2	3	1	187	282	267	549	80	277	32	9	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	85	68	17	4	0	1	14	20	2	3	1	250	388	353	741	103	340	24	16	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	171	155	28	9	1	7	14	61	2	0	0	181	257	387	644	206	241	36	8	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	171	148	35	11	1	8	21	42	2	0	0	236	339	486	826	250	276	25	12	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	418	363	79	18	2	19	52	158	3	2	1	218	321	435	756	218	323	38	12	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	418	345	94	24	2	24	70	112	3	2	1	272	400	562	962	290	335	27	17	418	178	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	488	431	84	24	0	13	56	171	1	1	0	195	289	341	630	146	287	35	11	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	488	401	104	28	1	14	86	111	1	1	0	259	391	439	830	180	326	23	18	374	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	394	354	61	12	0	9	33	151	4	0	0	172	251	282	533	110	264	38	8	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	394	339	70	16	0	11	47	125	4	0	0	206	309	351	660	145	286	32	12	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	DET	—	223	189	38	6	1	8	26	76	2	1	0	201	304	370	675	169	270	34	12	299	87	-3	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.7
YTD	23	AA	DET	—	223	178	42	7	1	9	37	59	2	1	0	236	373	438	811	202	284	26	17	355	130	+8	+0	+0	+4	+6	1.8
ROS	23	AA	DET	40%	148	130	24	5	0	4	16	51	1	1	0	184	278	314	591	130	271	34	11	283	75	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
ROS	23	MLB	DET	40%	59	53	10	2	0	2	6	20	0	0	0	189	271	340	611	151	266	34	10	272	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
FULL	23	AA	DET	—	282	242	48	8	1	10	32	96	2	1	0	198	297	364	661	165	268	34	11	294	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
TOT	23	AA	DET	—	371	319	62	11	1	12	42	127	3	2	0	194	293	347	641	153	266	34	11	293	82	-8	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	DET	56%	451	398	81	16	1	15	47	149	3	2	0	204	292	362	654	158	277	33	10	292	82	-9	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.2
2028	25	MLB	DET	64%	483	426	87	17	1	16	50	155	4	2	0	204	294	362	655	157	279	32	10	299	87	-7	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.6
2029	26	MLB	DET	68%	501	440	93	18	1	18	52	158	4	2	0	211	300	380	680	168	280	32	10	303	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.9
2030	27	MLB	DET	68%	508	446	94	18	1	18	53	160	4	2	0	211	300	377	677	166	280	31	10	304	91	-5	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.9
2031	28	MLB	DET	68%	508	445	94	18	1	18	54	161	4	2	0	211	302	378	680	166	279	32	11	303	90	-6	+0	-0	+9	+14	1.8
2032	29	MLB	DET	66%	500	439	91	18	1	17	53	159	4	2	0	207	298	369	667	162	278	32	11	301	88	-7	+0	-1	+9	+14	1.6
2033	30	MLB	DET	66%	492	433	89	17	1	17	52	158	4	2	0	206	297	367	664	162	277	32	11	298	86	-8	+0	-2	+9	+14	1.4
2034	31	MLB	DET	65%	465	410	83	16	1	15	49	150	3	1	0	202	292	356	648	154	274	32	11	294	83	-9	+0	-3	+8	+13	1.0
2035	32	MLB	DET	65%	433	381	76	14	1	14	46	142	3	1	0	199	291	352	642	152	270	33	11	289	79	-10	+0	-3	+8	+12	0.7
2027	24	MLB	DET	56%	254	223	45	9	1	8	27	84	2	1	0	202	294	359	652	157	272	33	11	281	74	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2028	25	MLB	DET	64%	310	273	56	11	1	10	32	100	2	1	0	205	293	363	656	158	274	32	10	288	79	-7	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2029	26	MLB	DET	68%	339	298	61	12	1	11	35	107	3	1	0	205	295	362	657	158	274	32	10	292	81	-7	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.9
2030	27	MLB	DET	68%	345	303	63	12	1	12	36	109	3	1	0	208	298	373	671	165	275	32	10	292	82	-7	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.9
2031	28	MLB	DET	68%	345	302	62	12	1	11	37	109	3	1	0	205	298	361	659	156	274	32	11	291	81	-7	+0	-0	+6	+10	0.9
2032	29	MLB	DET	66%	332	291	59	11	1	11	35	106	3	1	0	203	295	361	656	158	273	32	11	290	80	-8	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.7
2033	30	MLB	DET	66%	322	283	57	11	1	10	34	103	2	1	0	201	292	353	645	152	272	32	11	287	78	-8	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.6
2034	31	MLB	DET	65%	302	265	54	10	1	10	32	98	2	1	0	204	294	362	657	158	269	32	11	283	75	-9	+0	-2	+5	+9	0.4
2035	32	MLB	DET	65%	280	246	49	9	1	9	30	92	2	1	0	199	291	354	645	154	265	33	11	278	71	-9	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2888	2537	516	99	9	94	304	928	22	9	0	203	294	361	655	157	276	32	11	287	78	-72	+2	-6	+52	+82	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	116	22	2	21	68	209	5	2	0	203	293	359	652	156	275	32	10	287	78	-16	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	6045	5326	1078	223	12	201	635	2011	46	23	2	202	293	362	655	160	279	33	11	293	82	-120	+4	-9	+108	+171	15.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	116	24	1	22	68	216	5	2	0	202	293	363	656	161	278	33	10	293	82	-13	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	—	85	68	17	4	0	1	14	20	2	3	1	250	388	353	741	103	340	24	16	345	122	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	171	148	35	11	1	8	21	42	2	0	0	236	339	486	826	250	276	25	12	363	136	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2023	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	418	345	94	24	2	24	70	112	3	2	1	272	400	562	962	290	335	27	17	418	178	+37	+0	—	—	+12	5.0
2024	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	429	353	86	22	0	12	75	102	1	1	0	244	378	408	786	164	310	24	17	357	132	+15	+0	—	—	+12	2.8
2024	21	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	59	48	18	6	1	2	11	9	0	0	0	375	492	667	1.158	292	432	15	19	497	238	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2025	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	394	339	70	16	0	11	47	125	4	0	0	206	309	351	660	145	286	32	12	300	88	-6	+0	—	—	+11	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Robinson Chirinoslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,427 PA	10	2,427	95	5	227	320	420	+43	-10	12.9	13.8
	/162	664	26	1	227	320	420	+11.9	-2.8	3.5	pk7: 15
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,945	99	10	207	294	368	+53	-8	8.8	8.1
	/162	664	22	2	207	294	368	+11.9	-1.9	2.0	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Thayron Liranzo (OGILVIE)	23	20→36	45→56	30→27	52	194/293/347	153	266	12	2	34%	11%	82	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Cumberland 2019 · AA	24	38→39	48→50	38→30	39	191/285/329	138	300	17	2	39%	8%	74	-0.1	197/298/323	126	295	14	3	35%	8%	78	+0.2	178/293/290	111	269	13	1	35%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→37	47→55	37→40	46	206/268/342	136	253	15	4	25%	7%	68	-0.5	206/284/361	155	265	18	3	28%	9%	80	+0.4	187/284/370	183	237	21	4	30%	10%	81	+0.3
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	35→43	46→50	41→40	45	175/265/301	125	286	14	2	41%	11%	57	-1.2	193/291/339	146	301	16	3	37%	12%	78	+0.2	188/297/338	150	281	16	2	36%	13%	78	+0.2
✕Julian Leon 2019 · AAA	23	40	48→45	38→30	44	200/288/335	136	299	17	3	36%	9%	76	+0.0	182/272/290	108	315	11	5	42%	9%	57	-1.2	109/213/182	73	214	8	0	48%	9%	5	-2.1
●Tom Murphy 2014 · AA	23	39→34	46→60	42→45	38	197/261/329	133	293	14	5	36%	6%	62	-0.9	199/253/355	156	287	18	5	36%	6%	66	-0.6	250/322/470	220	318	31	2	30%	9%	122	+1.4
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	39	46→45	42→45	52	198/293/324	126	277	14	6	32%	12%	75	-0.0	179/260/273	94	259	9	6	32%	9%	47	-1.9	150/237/225	75	215	8	4	32%	9%	24	-1.2
✕Niko Vasquez 2012 · AA	23	39→41	44→50	40→45	45	195/268/311	116	267	12	3	30%	8%	60	-1.0	203/267/306	103	269	8	5	26%	8%	58	-1.2	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Jose Lobatón 2008 · A	23	43	45→50	43→30	46	215/286/340	125	294	13	3	30%	8%	75	-0.0	218/277/338	120	292	12	3	28%	7%	70	-0.3	237/323/373	135	298	13	0	23%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Wes Clarke 2023 · AA	23	35→40	50→55	41→40	51	184/288/333	149	262	18	3	35%	12%	76	+0.0	198/298/367	169	310	21	5	39%	11%	88	+0.9	193/298/365	172	291	22	4	38%	12%	86	+0.6
✕Marcos Castañon 2023 · A	24	38→48	54→55	38→40	47	203/299/376	174	276	23	2	34%	10%	91	+1.1	225/288/383	158	295	20	3	29%	7%	87	+0.8	230/285/382	152	297	19	2	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Jakson Reetz 2019 · A	23	41→31	40→60	39→45	43	199/274/285	87	282	8	5	31%	7%	56	-1.3	198/277/317	119	290	13	5	34%	7%	66	-0.6	196/276/392	196	242	25	4	30%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Ian Rice 2018 · AA	24	39	53→50	41→30	49	209/293/378	169	268	22	3	30%	10%	89	+0.9	199/283/322	123	287	14	3	33%	9%	69	-0.4	179/269/275	96	268	10	1	34%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Deivy Grullón 2018 · AA	22	44→42	44→55	38→30	37	220/255/336	116	297	12	2	30%	4%	59	-1.1	233/277/398	165	310	22	3	31%	6%	86	+0.8	216/265/392	177	286	27	1	34%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Jason Vosler 2018 · AA	24	40→43	48→55	41→40	43	207/273/350	142	258	17	3	27%	6%	72	-0.2	207/268/376	169	282	22	3	34%	7%	77	+0.1	215/280/388	173	267	23	3	28%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Bobby Borchering 2014 · AA	23	36→42	48→50	41→30	37	189/245/324	135	278	16	3	37%	6%	53	-1.5	183/235/277	94	309	8	4	41%	6%	37	-2.7	152/190/217	65	262	5	2	43%	4%	-2	-2.2
✕Tristan Gray 2021 · AA	25	38→35	51→55	37→40	45	205/274/365	161	254	19	5	28%	8%	77	+0.1	199/252/356	157	274	21	5	35%	6%	65	-0.7	202/259/335	133	273	15	3	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2018 · A	23	39	47→50	42→40	41	202/261/332	130	266	15	4	30%	6%	63	-0.9	213/265/319	106	304	11	5	32%	6%	60	-1.0	194/242/263	69	292	8	0	35%	6%	31	-0.9
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A	23	42→39	50	42→30	47	216/285/369	154	277	17	4	28%	9%	82	+0.5	201/276/334	133	299	14	4	35%	9%	69	-0.4	168/256/295	127	261	14	0	39%	10%	50	-1.2
✕Josh Bell 2011 · MLB	24	46→51	48→50	37→45	40	232/274/376	144	300	15	4	28%	5%	79	+0.3	213/261/335	122	289	14	4	30%	6%	63	-0.9	213/270/338	125	269	15	3	26%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Jon Talley 2012 · A	23	38→39	47→45	39→30	38	195/253/330	135	287	15	2	37%	6%	59	-1.1	194/252/313	119	288	12	3	35%	6%	53	-1.5	178/237/286	107	264	10	1	35%	6%	39	-1.3