Thayron Liranzo

C Erie SeaWolves
Age 24 S/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AA40-MANPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP35OGV rank#516ETA2028MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+/INTL2 orgs488.259/.391/.43914198—.205/.303/.346
202522AADET394.206/.309/.35111053—.181/.261/.286
202623AA/ADET393.211/.340/.44119276—.184/.281/.360
2027PROJ10% MLB24MLBDET21.191/.280/.33410780.0
2028PROJ42% MLB25MLBDET105.195/.284/.34630820.2
2029PROJ58% MLB26MLBDET170.198/.287/.35251840.4
Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$1M2032Arb-2$2M2033Arb-3$2M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO89
BB%83
Chase%73
wRC+53
wOBA49
Z-Con%29
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 5.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 85%
CompsBrett Cumberland (age 24) · Drew Ellis (age 25) · Ian Rice (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†78
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .280 / .334
PA21
HR1
K%33
BB%10
BABIP258
ISO211
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: -0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.20.40.40.40.30.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.4$1M+$0.7M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.4$1M+$0.7M
2031Arb-1$1M+0.4$1M+$0.3M
2032Arb-2$2M+0.3$0.8M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-3$2M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $4M $6M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKDSL Dodgers Shoemaker — 8568 17401 14202 31 250388353741 103340 2416 345 41 — — — — — —
202219 ROKACL Dodgers — 171148 351118 21422 00 236339486826 250276 2512 363 61 — — — — — —
202320 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 418345 9424224 701123 21 272400562962 290335 2717 418 103 — — — — — —
202421 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 429353 8622012 751021 10 244378408786 164310 2417 357 81 — — — — — —
202421 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 5948 18612 1190 00 3754926671.158 292432 1519 497 222 — — — — — —
202522 AAErie SeaWolves — 394339 7016011 471254 00 206309351660 145286 3212 300 53 — — — — — —
202623 AAErie SeaWolves — 350291 5813119 501002 22 199321447767 247218 2914 334 71 — — — — — —
202623 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 4331 10200 1071 00 323500387887 65400 1623 407 118 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEDSL Dodgers Shoemaker — 8574 12300 9242 31 162271203473 41224 2811 229 41 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 171155 26816 14612 00 168246348594 181227 368 258 61 — — — — — —
202320 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 418364 7819217 511563 21 214316418733 203323 3712 321 103 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 429376 7720011 521361 10 205303346649 141286 3212 288 81 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 394353 641308 341474 00 181261286547 105275 379 247 53 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 350305 5211115 361222 22 170262361623 190202 3510 273 71 — — — — — —
202623 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 4334 10200 7101 00 294429353782 59358 2316 343 118 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEDSL Dodgers Shoemaker — 8574 12300 9242 31 162271203473 41240 2811 229 41 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWDSL Dodgers Shoemaker — 8568 17401 14202 31 250388353741 103340 2416 345 41 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 171155 26816 14612 00 168246348594 181227 368 258 61 — — — — — —
202219 ROK RAWACL Dodgers — 171148 351118 21422 00 236339486826 250276 2512 363 61 — — — — — —
202320 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 418364 7819217 511563 21 214316418733 203319 3712 321 103 — — — — — —
202320 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 418345 9424224 701123 21 272400562962 290335 2717 418 103 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLE2 teams — 488428 8722012 591541 10 203301339640 136286 3212 288 81 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAW2 teams — 488401 10428114 861111 10 259391439830 180326 2318 374 81 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 394353 641308 341474 00 181261286547 105279 379 247 53 — — — — — —
202522 AA RAWErie SeaWolves — 394339 7016011 471254 00 206309351660 145286 3212 300 53 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 393339 6113115 431323 22 180278357635 177230 3411 281 76 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAW2 teams — 393322 6815119 601073 22 211340441781 230240 2715 342 76 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEDSL Dodgers Shoemaker — 8574 12300 9242 31 162271203473 41224 2811 229 41 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 171153 26816 14612 00 170246353599 183227 368 258 61 — — — — — —
202320 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 418361 7819217 511563 21 216316421737 205323 3712 321 103 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLE2 teams — 488425 8722012 591541 10 205301341642 136286 3212 288 81 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 394353 641308 341474 00 181261286547 105275 379 247 53 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 393344 6113115 431323 22 177278352630 174219 3411 281 76 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLE2 teams — 488425 8722012 591541 10 205301341642 136286 3212 288 81 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 394353 641308 341474 00 181261286547 105275 379 247 53 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 393344 6113115 431323 22 177278352630 174219 3411 281 76 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEDET 10% 380335 6614112 391233 21 195283343627 149263 3210 283 78 -10 +0 -1 +7 +8 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXDET 10% 2119 4101 270 00 191280334614 143258 3310 278 78 -1 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEDET 42% 247218 44918 25782 11 199288355643 156265 3210 289 82 -5 -0 -0 +4 +5 0.4
202926 MLB MLEDET 58% 295261 5311110 30922 11 202290362653 160266 3110 293 84 -5 -0 -0 +5 +6 0.6
203027 MLB MLEDET 62% 315278 5712110 32972 11 203291362653 159267 3110 293 84 -6 -0 -0 +6 +7 0.6
203128 MLB MLEDET 65% 323286 5812110 32992 01 204290360650 156268 3110 292 84 -6 -0 -1 +6 +7 0.5
203229 MLB MLEDET 65% 319282 5812110 32972 00 203289356645 152267 3010 290 82 -7 +0 -2 +6 +7 0.4
203330 MLB MLEDET 65% 312276 551119 31962 00 200285348633 147265 3110 285 79 -8 +0 -2 +6 +7 0.2
203431 MLB MLEDET 64% 283251 491008 28882 00 196280338618 142262 3110 279 75 -8 +0 -3 +5 +6 -0.0
202825 MLB CTXDET 42% 10592 18403 11331 00 195284346630 150260 3110 284 82 -2 +0 -0 +2 +2 0.2
202926 MLB CTXDET 58% 170150 29605 17531 10 198287352639 154262 3110 288 84 -3 +0 -0 +3 +4 0.4
203027 MLB CTXDET 62% 197174 34706 20611 10 199287352639 153263 3110 288 84 -4 +0 -0 +4 +4 0.4
203128 MLB CTXDET 65% 210186 37806 21641 00 200287350636 150263 3010 287 84 -4 +0 -1 +4 +5 0.4
203229 MLB CTXDET 65% 207183 35706 21631 00 199285346631 147263 3010 285 82 -4 +0 -1 +4 +4 0.3
203330 MLB CTXDET 65% 201178 35706 20621 00 196282338620 142260 3110 280 79 -5 +0 -1 +4 +4 0.1
203431 MLB CTXDET 64% 182161 30605 18571 00 192277329606 136257 3110 274 75 -5 +0 -2 +3 +4 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 12721124 21845037 1283937 20 194280333613 139258 3110 284 79 -28 +0 -5 +23 +28 1.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650574 11123019 652014 10 193280333613 139257 3110 284 79 -14 +0 -3 +12 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 42533750 73816310129 442138930 129 197287349635 152270 3310 285 79 -52 -1 -9 +41 +50 3.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650573 11425220 682125 21 199290354644 155272 3310 285 79 -15 -0 -2 +12 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAErie SeaWolves · 350 PAwOBA .332 → .273 (−59)K% 28.6% → 34.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.57%÷1.000×1.220——34.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.000×0.700—×1.02710.27%
HBP% /PA0.57%—×0.850—×1.0270.50%
Singles /BIP13.09%÷1.000×0.970×0.989×1.02712.90%
Doubles /BIP6.81%÷1.000×0.860×0.989×1.0275.95%
Triples /BIP0.52%÷1.000×0.950×0.989×1.0270.51%
Home runs /BIP9.95%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0277.97%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .332 → .273; ISO .247 → .202; BABIP .218 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 43 PAwOBA .408 → .343 (−66)K% 16.3% → 22.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.28%÷1.000×1.360——22.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.26%÷1.000×0.690—×0.99015.89%
HBP% /PA2.33%—×0.780—×0.9901.80%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.000×0.920—×0.99030.36%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9906.85%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .408 → .343; ISO .065 → .057; BABIP .400 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAErie SeaWolves · 394 PAwOBA .294 → .247 (−47)K% 31.7% → 37.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.73%÷1.035×1.220——37.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.93%÷0.996×0.700—×1.0428.73%
HBP% /PA1.02%—×0.850—×1.0420.90%
Singles /BIP20.09%÷0.981×0.970×0.994×1.04220.58%
Doubles /BIP7.48%÷1.075×0.860×0.994×1.0426.20%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.115×0.950×0.994×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP5.14%÷1.056×0.780—×1.0423.95%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 123, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .294 → .247; ISO .145 → .111; BABIP .286 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 429 PAwOBA .347 → .288 (−59)K% 23.8% → 31.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.78%÷0.957×1.270——31.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.02%÷1.026×0.710—×1.02712.09%
HBP% /PA0.23%—×0.790—×1.0270.19%
Singles /BIP20.72%÷1.021×0.920×1.000×1.02719.18%
Doubles /BIP8.76%÷0.892×0.810×1.000×1.0278.18%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850×1.000×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP4.78%÷0.889×0.800—×1.0274.42%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .347 → .288; ISO .164 → .146; BABIP .310 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 418 PAwOBA .407 → .321 (−87)K% 26.8% → 37.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.79%÷0.973×1.360——37.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.75%÷0.976×0.690—×1.03012.19%
HBP% /PA0.72%—×0.780—×1.0300.58%
Singles /BIP18.88%÷0.955×0.920×1.038×1.03019.46%
Doubles /BIP10.30%÷0.990×0.830×1.038×1.0309.23%
Triples /BIP0.86%÷0.900×0.910×1.038×1.0300.93%
Home runs /BIP10.30%÷1.025×0.800—×1.0308.28%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .407 → .321; ISO .290 → .217; BABIP .335 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Dodgers · 171 PAwOBA .353 → .258 (−96)K% 24.6% → 35.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.56%÷0.998×1.440——35.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.28%÷0.973×0.620—×1.0087.88%
HBP% /PA1.17%—×0.720—×1.0080.85%
Singles /BIP14.15%÷1.029×0.820×1.049×1.00811.92%
Doubles /BIP10.38%÷0.931×0.720×1.049×1.0088.49%
Triples /BIP0.94%÷0.900×0.720×1.049×1.0080.80%
Home runs /BIP7.55%÷0.912×0.780—×1.0086.51%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 106, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.

Result: wOBA .353 → .258; ISO .250 → .191; BABIP .276 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Dodgers Shoemaker · 85 PAwOBA .333 → .229 (−104)K% 23.5% → 27.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.53%÷1.037×1.220——27.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.29%÷1.008×0.700—×1.00810.70%
HBP% /PA2.35%—×0.700—×1.0081.66%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.992×0.680×0.977×1.00816.86%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷0.930×0.600×0.977×1.0085.29%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.977×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP2.08%÷1.025×0.470—×1.0080.96%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 107, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .333 → .229; ISO .103 → .061; BABIP .340 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .