Luca Tresh — OGILVIE

Luca TreshC Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 193 lbs AAA HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION375 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP294

ISO132

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	39	35	5	1	0	0	4	11	0	0	0	143	231	171	402	29	208	28	10	197	20	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	21	ROK	ACL Royals Blue	—	19	18	7	3	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	389	421	722	1.143	333	462	21	5	492	219	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2021	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	24	24	3	1	0	0	0	8	0	1	0	125	125	167	292	42	188	33	0	129	-27	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	106	91	23	4	0	5	13	25	2	1	0	253	358	462	820	209	295	24	12	366	134	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	347	300	82	15	1	14	41	85	2	3	3	273	364	470	834	197	332	24	12	366	134	+14	-1	—	—	+8	2.1
2023	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	380	334	76	11	2	10	43	72	0	1	1	228	316	362	678	135	259	19	11	306	93	-3	-0	—	—	+8	0.5
2024	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	400	352	88	19	1	14	37	98	4	0	0	250	328	429	757	179	301	24	9	332	111	+5	+0	—	—	+9	1.4
2025	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	271	243	63	16	3	10	21	59	2	3	0	259	323	473	797	214	301	22	8	344	119	+6	+1	—	—	+6	1.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	39	36	4	1	0	0	3	15	0	0	0	111	179	139	318	28	187	38	8	143	-17	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals Blue	—	19	18	5	2	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	278	316	556	871	278	349	32	5	327	107	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2022	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	106	95	19	3	0	4	9	31	2	1	0	200	283	358	641	158	257	29	8	289	82	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2022	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	347	315	67	11	1	11	26	113	2	3	3	213	277	359	636	146	283	33	7	277	74	-11	-1	—	—	+8	-0.4
2023	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	380	347	64	8	2	9	30	87	0	1	1	184	249	297	546	112	213	23	8	242	50	-23	-0	—	—	+8	-1.5
2024	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	400	365	75	16	1	12	24	120	4	0	0	205	262	353	616	148	254	30	6	264	65	-17	+0	—	—	+9	-0.8
2025	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	271	249	51	13	3	7	15	70	2	3	0	205	256	365	621	161	243	26	6	263	64	-12	+1	—	—	+6	-0.5
2021	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	82	77	13	4	0	1	5	30	0	1	0	169	220	260	479	91	261	37	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	82	77	15	5	0	1	5	23	0	1	0	195	244	299	543	104	264	28	6	246	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	453	410	88	15	1	15	35	144	4	4	3	215	283	366	649	151	286	32	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	453	391	105	19	1	19	54	110	4	4	3	269	363	468	831	199	323	24	12	366	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	380	347	64	8	2	9	30	87	0	1	1	184	249	297	546	112	217	23	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	380	334	76	11	2	10	43	72	0	1	1	228	316	362	678	135	259	19	11	306	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	400	365	75	16	1	12	24	120	4	0	0	205	262	353	616	148	264	30	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	400	352	88	19	1	14	37	98	4	0	0	250	328	429	757	179	301	24	9	332	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	271	249	51	13	3	7	15	70	2	3	0	205	256	365	621	161	253	26	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	271	243	63	16	3	10	21	59	2	3	0	259	323	473	797	214	301	22	8	344	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	82	77	13	4	0	1	5	30	0	1	0	169	220	260	479	91	240	37	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	453	411	88	15	1	15	35	144	4	4	3	214	283	365	648	151	277	32	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	380	347	64	8	2	9	30	87	0	1	1	184	249	297	546	112	213	23	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	400	369	75	16	1	12	24	120	4	0	0	203	262	350	612	146	254	30	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	271	252	51	13	3	7	15	70	2	3	0	202	256	361	617	159	243	26	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	380	347	64	8	2	9	30	87	0	1	1	184	249	297	546	112	213	23	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	400	369	75	16	1	12	24	120	4	0	0	203	262	350	612	146	254	30	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	271	252	51	13	3	7	15	70	2	3	0	202	256	361	617	159	243	26	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	KC	—	375	352	77	13	0	7	16	130	3	1	1	219	259	315	574	97	321	35	4	252	57	-19	-0	+0	+7	+8	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA RAW	KC	—	375	344	92	17	0	10	23	108	3	1	1	267	318	404	722	137	358	29	6	319	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AAA MLE	KC	10%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		298	33	0	262	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	26	MLB CTX	KC	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						294	0	0	251	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	KC	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	251	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	AAA MLE	KC	—	384	361	78	13	0	7	16	133	3	1	1	216	255	310	566	94	317	35	4	252	57	-20	-0	+0	+7	+8	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	KC	31%	304	282	61	11	1	7	17	97	2	1	1	216	266	337	603	121	299	32	6	269	68	-12	-0	+0	+5	+7	0.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	KC	42%	340	314	69	13	1	8	20	106	3	1	1	220	273	344	617	124	298	31	6	272	70	-12	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	KC	46%	354	327	71	13	1	8	21	110	3	1	1	217	271	336	607	119	296	31	6	273	71	-12	-0	-1	+6	+8	0.0
2030	30	MLB MLE	KC	48%	363	335	73	14	1	8	22	113	3	1	1	218	272	337	610	119	295	31	6	271	70	-13	-0	-2	+6	+8	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	KC	31%	94	88	18	3	0	2	5	30	1	0	0	205	255	307	562	102	295	32	5	258	68	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	KC	42%	143	133	28	5	0	3	8	45	1	1	0	211	261	316	576	105	294	31	6	261	70	-5	+0	-0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	KC	46%	163	151	31	6	0	3	10	50	1	1	0	205	259	305	564	99	293	31	6	261	71	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	KC	48%	175	161	34	6	0	4	11	54	1	1	0	211	266	323	589	112	291	31	6	260	70	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	576	534	111	20	0	12	34	179	4	3	0	208	260	313	573	105	286	31	6	260	66	-21	+1	-2	+10	+12	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	126	23	0	14	38	202	5	3	0	209	262	317	578	108	287	31	6	260	66	-23	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2956	2715	566	107	11	75	189	880	21	13	8	208	265	339	604	130	275	30	6	265	66	-49	-1	-4	+24	+30	-0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	124	24	2	16	42	194	5	3	2	208	266	335	601	127	276	30	6	265	66	-23	-0	-2	+12	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	601	14	2	217	267	339	+11	+8	0.5	0.5
/162	664	15	3	+11.9	+8.8	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luca Tresh (OGILVIE)	26	50	60	45	40	211/256/325	115	298	6	1	33%	5%	63	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aramis Garcia 2019 · MLB	26	42→41	49→50	43→45	37	220/260/363	143	290	18	2	31%	4%	73	-0.6	209/259/347	138	304	17	3	35%	6%	70	-0.9	192/231/311	119	253	16	3	31%	3%	48	-0.8
✕David Sheaffer 2021 · AAA	26	42	47→50	49→40	38	215/261/348	134	294	15	6	32%	5%	70	-0.8	201/249/297	96	290	8	5	32%	5%	53	-2.1	175/221/257	82	253	6	1	32%	5%	33	-1.0
✕Will Craig 2021 · AAA	26	40→48	49→50	42→40	39	211/271/359	148	276	18	5	30%	6%	77	-0.3	230/287/375	145	303	17	7	28%	6%	86	+0.3	228/282/373	146	292	18	0	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Alan Trejo 2022 · MLB	26	40→44	48→55	42→45	39	206/245/357	150	259	15	5	27%	5%	65	-1.2	223/270/364	141	285	15	8	27%	5%	77	-0.3	219/270/343	124	280	14	8	26%	5%	70	-0.5
✕Cam Devanney 2023 · AAA	26	38→41	48→50	45	41	201/263/342	141	261	16	6	29%	6%	70	-0.8	216/279/360	144	284	15	8	28%	7%	80	-0.2	212/276/353	142	282	15	7	29%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Martin Cervenka 2019 · AA	26	45→48	45	46→40	42	223/269/345	122	286	13	3	26%	6%	72	-0.7	204/256/311	107	284	12	5	31%	6%	59	-1.6	165/223/247	82	241	10	3	35%	6%	32	-1.3
✕René Pinto 2023 · MLB	26	41	50→55	46→40	34	215/254/370	155	300	18	5	35%	4%	73	-0.6	205/248/365	160	293	21	4	36%	5%	70	-0.9	189/232/351	162	268	22	2	38%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Gabe Johnson 2006 · AA	26	45	46→50	47→40	41	222/284/345	123	301	15	5	30%	6%	78	-0.3	197/256/321	124	281	14	5	33%	7%	62	-1.4	161/222/276	114	229	13	1	35%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Ryan Dorow 2022 · AAA	26	43→44	47→45	47→45	42	213/276/349	136	295	14	7	32%	7%	76	-0.4	210/273/324	114	291	10	6	29%	7%	69	-0.9	192/259/281	90	268	7	2	29%	7%	51	-1.6
✕Pat Valaika 2020 · MLB	27	40→47	50→55	47→50	39	211/254/364	153	272	19	6	30%	6%	71	-0.8	216/261/342	126	279	16	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	205/249/304	99	260	12	2	26%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Lucas May 2010 · AA	25	43	47→55	46→45	41	220/273/357	138	284	15	6	28%	6%	77	-0.3	209/260/337	128	281	13	6	29%	6%	67	-1.1	191/238/315	124	257	13	4	30%	5%	51	-1.3
✕Brendon Davis 2023 · AAA	26	40→43	50	47→50	44	207/277/363	156	267	18	10	29%	8%	80	-0.1	193/271/317	124	263	13	14	30%	8%	68	-1.0	168/255/275	107	235	10	17	31%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Eric Wood 2019 · AAA	26	42→50	48→50	51→45	42	213/269/361	148	276	15	8	28%	6%	76	-0.4	218/274/355	137	297	15	8	30%	6%	76	-0.4	196/252/318	122	267	15	2	32%	6%	57	-0.8
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2008 · AAA	26	46→45	44→55	42→40	41	224/283/336	111	315	13	5	32%	7%	76	-0.4	233/296/325	92	332	9	6	30%	7%	78	-0.3	218/281/379	161	310	22	2	36%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Wendell Rijo 2022 · AAA	26	40→43	50	48→50	41	213/268/365	152	268	19	9	28%	6%	77	-0.3	217/278/346	129	289	13	17	28%	7%	76	-0.4	219/282/358	139	281	14	27	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Steven Hill 2011 · AAA	26	43→47	52→55	44→30	40	227/270/391	164	283	20	3	28%	5%	84	+0.1	226/272/403	177	280	24	4	28%	5%	87	+0.4	218/262/406	188	260	29	1	29%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Tyler Marlette 2018 · AA	25	43	46→50	43→45	40	218/263/348	130	282	14	4	28%	5%	71	-0.8	220/273/338	118	292	13	6	28%	6%	72	-0.7	215/270/323	108	281	13	5	27%	7%	63	-1.1
✕Travis Demeritte 2021 · MLB	26	43→44	50→55	48→50	42	215/284/372	157	306	17	7	34%	8%	84	+0.2	210/270/364	154	320	18	11	38%	7%	78	-0.3	192/251/344	153	290	20	12	39%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Ryan Casteel 2016 · AAA	25	47→49	48→55	44→40	39	237/277/379	142	308	17	5	29%	5%	83	+0.1	223/261/331	108	306	10	5	29%	5%	65	-1.2	212/260/355	143	277	18	0	30%	6%	68	-0.6
✕Tomás Nido 2021 · MLB	27	45→43	47→45	47→30	41	228/267/362	134	282	15	5	25%	5%	76	-0.4	230/271/336	106	298	11	5	26%	5%	71	-0.8	224/261/305	81	292	8	1	25%	4%	56	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps