Luca Tresh — OGILVIE

Luca TreshC Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 193 lbs AAA HR -5%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.0 · 2028

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .274 / .373

PA250

HR8

K%28

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

60→60

SPD

45→45

EYE

42↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.0peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$8M	+$8M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.8	$4M	+$3M
2031	Arb-3	$1M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.7M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$20M	+$15M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	3 teams	82	77	13	4	0	1	5	29	0	1	0	.169	.220	.260	.479	.091	.255	35	6	.203	14	-8	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
2022	22	A+	2 teams	453	410	88	14	1	15	35	139	4	4	3	.215	.283	.363	.646	.149	.281	31	8	.284	76	-12	-0	+0	+8	+13	0.8
2023	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	380	347	64	8	2	10	30	93	0	1	1	.184	.249	.305	.555	.121	.219	24	8	.243	44	-24	-0	+0	+7	+11	-0.7
2024	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	400	365	71	14	1	14	24	129	4	0	0	.195	.252	.353	.605	.159	.250	32	6	.263	59	-18	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.0
2025	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	271	249	52	13	3	8	15	70	2	3	0	.209	.259	.382	.641	.173	.254	26	6	.276	69	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	63	59	13	3	0	2	3	23	1	0	1	.220	.270	.373	.643	.153	.324	37	5	.268	63	-3	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	26	MLB	KC	187	172	38	8	1	6	12	54	1	1	1	.221	.276	.384	.659	.163	.281	29	6	.289	79	-4	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
TOT	26	MLB	KC	250	231	51	11	1	8	15	77	2	1	2	.221	.274	.381	.655	.160	.293	31	6	.283	75	-7	-1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 25%	KC	304	278	63	13	2	9	21	73	2	2	1	.227	.286	.385	.671	.158	.269	24	7	.297	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.9
2028	28	MLB 37%	KC	340	310	70	14	2	10	24	82	3	2	1	.226	.288	.381	.668	.155	.271	24	7	.298	86	-5	+0	-1	+6	+10	1.0
2029	29	MLB 47%	KC	354	322	73	15	2	11	26	86	3	2	1	.227	.291	.388	.679	.161	.271	24	7	.298	86	-6	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.9
2030	30	MLB 55%	KC	363	330	74	15	2	11	27	89	3	2	1	.224	.289	.382	.671	.158	.270	25	7	.295	84	-7	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.8
2031	31	MLB 66%	KC	343	312	69	14	2	10	25	86	3	1	1	.221	.285	.375	.660	.154	.269	25	7	.291	81	-7	-0	-3	+6	+10	0.6
2032	32	MLB 75%	KC	319	291	63	13	1	9	23	81	2	0	1	.216	.278	.361	.639	.144	.267	25	7	.287	77	-8	-0	-4	+6	+9	0.3
2033	33	MLB 83%	KC	283	259	55	11	1	8	20	74	2	0	1	.212	.274	.355	.629	.143	.265	26	7	.281	73	-9	-0	-4	+5	+8	-0.0
2034	34	MLB	KC	238	217	45	9	1	6	17	64	2	0	0	.207	.271	.341	.612	.134	.263	27	7	.274	68	-9	+0	-5	+4	+7	-0.3
2035	35	MLB	KC	186	170	34	7	1	4	13	52	1	0	0	.200	.261	.324	.584	.124	.261	28	7	.266	62	-8	+0	-6	+3	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4503	4109	872	172	22	132	317	1201	32	19	12	.212	.274	.361	.635	.149	.264	27	7	.280	73	-139	-1	-25	+80	+128	4.3
/ 162G	—			650	593	126	25	3	19	46	173	5	3	2	.212	.275	.361	.636	.148	.264	27	7	.280	73	-20	-0	-4	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	39	35	5	1	0	0	4	11	0	0	0	.143	.231	.171	.402	.029	.208	28	10	.197	9	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	21	ROK	ACL Royals Blue	19	18	7	3	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	.389	.421	.722	1.143	.333	.462	21	5	.492	235	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2021	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	24	24	3	1	0	0	0	8	0	1	0	.125	.125	.167	.292	.042	.188	33	0	.129	-43	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	106	91	23	4	0	5	13	25	2	1	0	.253	.358	.462	.820	.209	.295	24	12	.366	138	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2022	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	347	300	82	15	1	14	41	85	2	3	3	.273	.364	.470	.834	.197	.332	24	12	.366	139	+15	-1	—	—	+10	2.5
2023	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	380	334	76	11	2	10	43	72	0	1	1	.228	.316	.362	.678	.135	.259	19	11	.306	92	-3	-0	—	—	+11	0.7
2024	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	400	352	88	19	1	14	37	98	4	0	0	.250	.328	.429	.757	.179	.301	24	9	.332	112	+6	+0	—	—	+11	1.7
2025	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	271	243	63	16	3	10	21	59	2	3	0	.259	.323	.473	.797	.214	.301	22	8	.344	121	+6	+1	—	—	+8	1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luca Tresh (OGILVIE)	26	50	60	45	40	.217/.274/.373	.156	.275	8	2	28%	7%	79	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2022 · MLB	26	45→49	52→55	44→30	46	.235/.294/.401	.166	.288	20	3	26%	8%	94	+1.3	.232/.287/.380	.148	.304	18	3	28%	7%	85	+0.7	.223/.277/.353	.130	.278	13	2	24%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	42	50	43→40	43	.209/.295/.363	.155	.298	17	4	34%	8%	86	+0.8	.225/.297/.384	.159	.313	17	4	32%	7%	92	+1.2	.221/.291/.378	.157	.312	18	2	33%	7%	84	+0.3
✕J.P. Arencibia 2012 · MLB	26	38→47	57→60	43→30	42	.211/.264/.405	.194	.248	25	2	27%	6%	83	+0.6	.215/.260/.405	.190	.260	26	3	29%	5%	82	+0.5	.202/.243/.386	.184	.242	27	1	30%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Matthew Brown 2009 · MLB	26	45→48	52→55	41→45	42	.233/.285/.404	.170	.291	19	6	27%	6%	91	+1.1	.207/.262/.348	.141	.272	15	6	29%	6%	67	-0.5	.183/.241/.305	.122	.246	13	4	31%	6%	44	-1.1
●Luke Montz 2009 · MLB	26	41→45	49→55	41→40	45	.214/.275/.358	.144	.270	17	3	28%	7%	75	-0.0	.205/.273/.344	.139	.256	17	4	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.202/.277/.410	.208	.237	29	4	29%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Clint Frazier 2021 · MLB	26	47→46	53→55	45→50	46	.239/.309/.416	.177	.301	20	7	27%	8%	105	+2.1	.208/.299/.346	.138	.295	15	9	32%	10%	82	+0.5	.182/.281/.299	.117	.270	12	10	34%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Chance Sisco 2021 · MLB	26	45→55	51→50	43→40	46	.224/.323/.381	.157	.304	19	3	31%	9%	102	+1.9	.205/.291/.348	.143	.274	15	5	29%	8%	80	+0.4	.159/.245/.277	.117	.212	11	0	29%	8%	40	-1.0
✕Devin Mann 2023 · AAA	26	41→45	50→55	43→45	47	.213/.295/.369	.157	.269	18	5	28%	8%	87	+0.8	.217/.296/.366	.149	.290	16	5	29%	9%	87	+0.8	.206/.289/.344	.138	.278	15	4	30%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Christian Arroyo 2021 · MLB	26	47→55	51→50	45	44	.240/.294/.400	.160	.287	19	6	24%	6%	94	+1.3	.242/.293/.386	.144	.292	16	8	22%	5%	90	+1.0	.236/.280/.357	.122	.284	12	7	21%	4%	73	-0.0
✕Andrew Young 2020 · AAA	26	43→46	53→55	45→40	40	.225/.299/.396	.172	.277	22	5	27%	5%	96	+1.5	.214/.296/.392	.178	.300	21	5	35%	7%	94	+1.3	.187/.272/.359	.173	.302	21	4	42%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Wyatt Mathisen 2020 · AAA	26	44→51	49→50	44→40	46	.223/.308/.370	.147	.282	17	5	26%	8%	93	+1.3	.202/.298/.359	.157	.274	19	4	32%	9%	86	+0.8	.147/.249/.271	.124	.208	16	0	36%	9%	42	-0.9
✕Drew Ellis 2022 · MLB	26	39→37	53→55	43→40	47	.207/.296/.381	.174	.274	20	3	31%	9%	91	+1.1	.196/.287/.363	.167	.257	19	6	30%	10%	82	+0.5	.177/.274/.338	.161	.222	20	6	29%	11%	68	-0.3
✕Andrew Knizner 2020 · MLB	25	49	46→50	46→40	45	.246/.296/.373	.127	.277	15	5	18%	5%	87	+0.8	.222/.293/.333	.111	.266	12	5	20%	7%	76	+0.1	.225/.294/.342	.116	.277	13	3	22%	6%	77	+0.1
●Jamie Westbrook 2021 · AAA	26	47→52	50→55	43→45	43	.240/.290/.395	.155	.276	19	4	21%	5%	91	+1.1	.239/.304/.376	.137	.275	16	5	19%	7%	92	+1.2	.245/.316/.386	.141	.288	15	4	20%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Cam Devanney 2023 · AAA	26	38→42	50→55	45	40	.202/.263/.354	.152	.266	18	6	31%	6%	69	-0.4	.219/.281/.377	.158	.285	18	7	29%	7%	83	+0.6	.217/.281/.374	.157	.284	18	7	29%	7%	78	+0.2
✕John Hester 2011 · MLB	27	50	49→55	48→50	41	.249/.294/.410	.161	.317	15	11	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.216/.273/.335	.119	.294	12	5	29%	7%	67	-0.5	.188/.247/.298	.110	.271	12	4	34%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Max Ramirez 2011 · MLB	26	46→52	46→55	45→40	46	.224/.302/.348	.124	.307	14	3	30%	9%	84	+0.6	.229/.289/.349	.120	.297	14	3	26%	7%	78	+0.2	.251/.323/.399	.149	.289	17	2	19%	9%	103	+1.1
✕Pedro Severino 2020 · MLB	27	44→50	47→50	46→45	47	.223/.283/.350	.127	.263	15	5	22%	7%	76	+0.1	.244/.307/.382	.138	.303	16	5	24%	8%	95	+1.4	.251/.313/.380	.128	.321	15	3	25%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Will Craig 2021 · AAA	26	40→48	52→55	43→40	39	.215/.274/.380	.165	.278	21	5	30%	6%	81	+0.4	.232/.286/.385	.153	.303	19	6	29%	6%	87	+0.8	.232/.286/.390	.158	.295	21	0	28%	6%	84	+0.2
●Tyler Nevin 2023 · MLB	26	43→53	47→50	48→45	47	.219/.290/.349	.130	.268	16	5	24%	8%	79	+0.3	.241/.312/.393	.152	.290	18	5	22%	8%	100	+1.7	.245/.319/.406	.161	.290	19	3	22%	8%	104	+1.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)