Andrés Nolaya

C Delmarva Shorebirds
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#685ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419ROKBAL114.220/.355/.2860939—.175/.273/.216
202520ABAL196.204/.307/.26911638—.180/.266/.238
202621A+/ABAL307.275/.381/.41571683—.237/.318/.352
2027PROJMLE22MLBBAL417.209/.280/.302510660.2
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBBAL79.217/.288/.32412720.1
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBBAL144.221/.293/.33634760.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Z-Con%99
Whiff%93
BB%88
Chase%80
wRC+58
wOBA57
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 2.9, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%
CompsJuan Mora (age 22) · Alex Mooney (age 22) · Corey Joyce (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 192 proj PA
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .278 / .299
PA192
HR2
SB5
K%23
BB%7
ISO93
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.40.40.30.20.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2035Arb-1$0.6M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL BAL Orange — 11792 17300 21263 65 185353217571 33254 2218 285 24 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Orioles Orange — 142123 36821 16330 94 293374415789 122380 2311 348 28 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Orioles — 11491 20220 17242 93 220355286640 66282 2115 295 39 — — — — — —
202520 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 196167 34611 17508 162 204307269577 66284 269 269 38 — — — — — —
202621 A+Frederick Keys — 5745 10002 10132 32 222386356742 133267 2318 348 69 — — — — — —
202621 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 250213 611125 26406 132 286380427807 141329 1610 357 86 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL BAL Orange — 11798 12200 15323 65 122259143401 20179 2713 204 24 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 142129 22511 10430 94 171230248478 78230 307 210 28 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 11497 17210 11332 93 175273216489 41231 2910 226 39 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 196172 31511 12688 162 180266238504 58279 356 224 38 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEFrederick Keys — 5749 9002 6172 32 184298306604 122237 3011 270 69 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 250221 55924 18546 132 249322362684 113298 227 296 86 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL BAL Orange — 11798 12200 15323 65 122259143401 20179 2713 204 24 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL BAL Orange — 11792 17300 21263 65 185353217571 33254 2218 285 24 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 142129 22511 10430 94 171230248478 78239 307 210 28 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Orioles Orange — 142123 36821 16330 94 293374415789 122380 2311 348 28 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 11497 17210 11332 93 175273216489 41250 2910 226 39 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWFCL Orioles — 11491 20220 17242 93 220355286640 66282 2115 295 39 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 196172 31511 12688 162 180266238504 58291 356 224 38 — — — — — —
202520 A RAWDelmarva Shorebirds — 196167 34611 17508 162 204307269577 66284 269 269 38 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 307270 64926 24728 164 237318352670 115299 238 291 83 — — — — — —
202621 A RAW2 teams — 307258 711127 36538 164 275381415796 140320 1712 355 83 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL BAL Orange — 11798 12200 15323 65 122259143401 20179 2713 204 24 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 142131 22511 10430 94 168230244474 76230 307 210 28 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 114100 17210 11332 93 170273210483 40231 2910 226 39 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 196174 31511 12688 162 178266236501 57279 356 224 38 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 307272 64926 24728 164 235318349667 114287 238 291 83 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 114100 17210 11332 93 170273210483 40231 2910 226 39 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 196174 31511 12688 162 178266236501 57279 356 224 38 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 307272 64926 24728 164 235318349667 114287 238 291 83 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEBAL 0% 417376 781525 30958 102 209280302582 93262 237 266 66 -17 +1 +0 +7 +9 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEBAL 34% 231208 44814 17524 61 214285318603 104265 237 274 72 -8 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.2
202924 MLB MLEBAL 46% 312281 611126 23705 82 217289328618 111267 227 280 76 -9 +1 +0 +6 +7 0.4
203025 MLB MLEBAL 52% 362326 711327 27816 92 219292335627 116268 227 283 78 -9 +1 +0 +6 +8 0.6
203126 MLB MLEBAL 54% 390351 781528 30876 92 221293339632 118269 228 285 79 -10 +1 +0 +7 +8 0.7
203227 MLB MLEBAL 54% 401361 801528 31906 92 221294340633 119270 228 286 80 -10 +1 +0 +7 +9 0.7
203328 MLB MLEBAL 54% 402362 801528 31916 92 219291335626 116269 238 283 78 -11 +1 -1 +7 +9 0.6
203429 MLB MLEBAL 53% 394355 761427 30916 82 216289328617 112267 238 279 75 -12 +1 -1 +7 +9 0.3
203530 MLB MLEBAL 57% 383345 751427 29896 72 213285321605 107265 238 275 72 -13 +1 -2 +7 +8 0.1
202823 MLB CTXBAL 34% 7972 15301 6181 20 217288324613 107269 238 278 72 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202924 MLB CTXBAL 46% 144130 29513 11322 41 221293336628 115271 228 284 76 -4 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.2
203025 MLB CTXBAL 52% 187168 38714 14423 51 223295343638 120272 227 288 78 -5 +1 +0 +3 +4 0.3
203126 MLB CTXBAL 54% 211190 42814 16473 51 224296346643 122273 228 290 79 -5 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.4
203227 MLB CTXBAL 54% 218195 44815 17494 51 224297347644 123274 228 290 80 -5 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.4
203328 MLB CTXBAL 54% 218196 43814 17503 51 222295342637 120273 238 288 78 -6 +1 -0 +4 +5 0.3
203429 MLB CTXBAL 53% 209188 42814 16483 41 220292336628 116271 238 284 75 -6 +0 -1 +4 +5 0.2
203530 MLB CTXBAL 57% 218197 43814 16513 41 217288328616 111269 237 279 72 -7 +0 -1 +4 +5 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14841336 29655729 11333722 347 222293338631 117273 238 286 70 -41 +4 -2 +26 +32 1.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 13024313 4914810 153 222293340634 118274 238 286 70 -18 +2 -1 +12 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 39433528 7471352165 30494369 12634 212287317604 105268 248 272 70 -88 +8 -4 +55 +66 3.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 12322311 5015511 216 211286316602 105267 248 272 70 -19 +2 -1 +12 +14 0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 250 PAwOBA .351 → .296 (−54)K% 16.0% → 21.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.00%÷1.000×1.360——21.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.40%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0157.28%
HBP% /PA2.40%—×0.780—×1.0151.90%
Singles /BIP24.86%÷1.000×0.920×0.994×1.01523.08%
Doubles /BIP6.36%÷1.000×0.830×0.994×1.0155.33%
Triples /BIP1.16%÷1.000×0.910×0.994×1.0151.06%
Home runs /BIP2.89%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0152.35%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .351 → .296; ISO .141 → .117; BABIP .329 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Frederick Keys · 57 PAwOBA .340 → .270 (−70)K% 22.8% → 29.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.81%÷1.000×1.310——29.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.54%÷1.000×0.600—×1.02710.81%
HBP% /PA3.51%—×0.770—×1.0272.77%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.870—×1.02722.34%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0270.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0275.65%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .340 → .270; ISO .133 → .121; BABIP .267 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 196 PAwOBA .262 → .224 (−38)K% 25.5% → 34.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.51%÷0.993×1.360——34.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.67%÷1.007×0.690—×1.0306.12%
HBP% /PA4.08%—×0.780—×1.0303.28%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷0.998×0.920×1.030×1.03021.75%
Doubles /BIP5.13%÷0.898×0.830×1.030×1.0305.03%
Triples /BIP0.85%÷0.904×0.910×1.030×1.0300.91%
Home runs /BIP0.85%÷0.899×0.800—×1.0300.78%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 80, 3B 81, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .262 → .224; ISO .066 → .060; BABIP .284 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Orioles · 114 PAwOBA .299 → .226 (−73)K% 21.1% → 29.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷1.036×1.440——29.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.91%÷0.972×0.620—×1.0089.59%
HBP% /PA1.75%—×0.720—×1.0081.27%
Singles /BIP23.88%÷0.996×0.820×1.003×1.00819.86%
Doubles /BIP2.99%÷0.901×0.720×1.003×1.0082.41%
Triples /BIP2.99%÷1.016×0.720×1.003×1.0082.14%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.995×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 80, 3B 103, K 107, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .299 → .226; ISO .066 → .050; BABIP .282 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 142 PAwOBA .344 → .210 (−133)K% 23.2% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.24%÷0.941×1.220——30.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.56%÷1.049×0.700—×1.0087.10%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP27.78%÷1.051×0.680×0.950×1.00817.21%
Doubles /BIP8.89%÷0.991×0.600×0.950×1.0085.15%
Triples /BIP2.22%÷1.018×0.600×0.950×1.0081.25%
Home runs /BIP1.11%÷0.847×0.470—×1.0080.62%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 104, K 88, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .344 → .210; ISO .122 → .069; BABIP .380 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL BAL Orange · 117 PAwOBA .282 → .204 (−78)K% 22.2% → 27.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷0.997×1.220——27.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.95%÷0.988×0.700—×1.02213.01%
HBP% /PA2.56%—×0.700—×1.0221.84%
Singles /BIP21.21%÷0.997×0.680×1.034×1.02215.30%
Doubles /BIP4.55%÷1.004×0.600×1.034×1.0222.87%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.093×0.600×1.034×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.018×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 99, 2B 101, 3B 119, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .282 → .204; ISO .033 → .021; BABIP .254 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).