Tanner Schobel — OGILVIE

Tanner SchobelSS St. Paul Saints

Age 25 R/R 5'8" / 170 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION365 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP267

ISO112

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	120	99	24	3	0	1	18	23	2	6	1	242	370	303	673	61	303	19	15	317	101	+0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2022	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	200	250	267	517	67	250	19	6	237	47	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2023	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	207	177	40	6	1	2	25	40	3	3	1	226	332	305	637	79	277	19	12	296	86	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2023	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	347	302	87	10	5	14	36	64	4	9	1	288	371	493	865	205	319	18	10	376	141	+17	+1	—	—	+8	2.6
2024	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	520	455	96	20	4	10	59	124	1	13	6	211	303	338	641	127	265	24	11	290	83	-11	+0	—	—	+11	0.1
2025	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	103	91	20	5	0	2	10	33	2	0	1	220	311	341	651	121	321	32	10	299	88	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	234	202	59	12	1	7	25	33	3	7	1	292	378	465	844	173	313	14	11	370	136	+10	+1	—	—	+5	1.7
2025	24	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	15	9	1	1	0	0	6	4	0	0	0	111	467	222	689	111	200	27	40	365	133	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	120	104	21	3	0	1	13	33	2	6	1	202	303	260	562	58	271	28	11	255	59	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	200	250	267	517	67	202	25	6	167	-1	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	22	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	207	184	35	5	1	1	18	48	3	3	1	190	273	245	518	54	244	23	9	241	49	-13	+0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2023	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	347	312	71	7	4	10	26	88	4	9	1	228	295	372	667	144	273	25	7	291	83	-7	+1	—	—	+8	0.2
2024	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	520	472	77	16	3	9	42	157	1	13	6	163	233	267	500	104	218	30	8	225	38	-38	+0	—	—	+11	-2.7
2025	24	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	103	94	17	4	0	1	7	40	2	0	1	181	252	255	508	74	299	39	7	230	42	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	234	210	51	10	1	6	17	43	3	7	1	243	309	386	694	143	265	18	7	299	88	-3	+1	—	—	+5	0.3
2025	24	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	15	11	1	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	91	333	182	515	91	186	40	27	274	72	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	136	119	23	4	0	1	14	37	2	7	1	193	289	252	541	59	268	27	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	136	114	27	4	0	1	19	26	2	7	1	237	356	298	654	61	295	19	14	308	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	554	496	107	13	5	11	44	137	7	12	2	216	289	329	617	113	270	25	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	554	479	127	16	6	16	61	104	7	12	2	265	356	424	780	159	303	19	11	346	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	520	472	77	16	3	9	42	157	1	13	6	163	233	267	500	104	219	30	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	520	455	96	20	4	10	59	124	1	13	6	211	303	338	641	127	265	24	11	290	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	352	315	69	15	1	7	28	89	5	7	2	219	293	340	633	121	278	25	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	352	302	80	18	1	9	41	70	5	7	2	265	362	421	783	156	313	20	12	349	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	136	119	23	4	0	1	14	37	2	7	1	193	289	252	541	59	263	27	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	554	498	107	13	5	11	44	137	7	12	2	215	289	327	616	112	262	25	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	520	472	77	16	3	9	42	157	1	13	6	163	233	267	500	104	218	30	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	352	316	69	15	1	7	28	89	5	7	2	218	293	339	632	120	272	25	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	554	498	107	13	5	11	44	137	7	12	2	215	289	327	616	112	262	25	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	520	472	77	16	3	9	42	157	1	13	6	163	233	267	500	104	218	30	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	352	316	69	15	1	7	28	89	5	7	2	218	293	339	632	120	272	25	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	MIN	—	365	328	62	14	0	4	30	95	5	9	2	189	267	268	536	79	251	26	8	243	51	-21	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	MIN	—	22	19	3	0	0	0	3	8	0	1	0	158	273	158	431		273	36	14	219	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA RAW	MIN	—	343	295	68	17	0	6	41	71	5	8	2	231	334	349	683	119	282	21	12	313	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AAA MLE	MIN	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		267	30	10	265	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	25	MLB CTX	MIN	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						267	0	0	257	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	MIN	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	257	51	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AAA MLE	MIN	—	375	337	63	14	0	4	31	98	5	9	2	187	265	264	530	77	249	26	8	244	51	-22	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIN	35%	364	327	68	14	1	7	30	93	4	7	2	208	283	321	604	113	269	26	8	277	73	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIN	44%	387	347	74	15	1	8	33	99	4	7	2	213	289	331	620	118	271	26	9	280	76	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIN	49%	400	359	76	16	1	8	34	102	4	7	2	212	287	329	616	117	272	26	8	282	77	-11	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIN	50%	400	359	76	16	1	8	34	102	4	7	2	212	287	329	616	117	272	26	8	281	76	-11	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	MIN	51%	398	357	76	16	1	8	34	103	4	6	2	213	289	331	619	118	271	26	9	279	75	-12	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIN	35%	126	114	23	5	0	2	10	32	1	2	1	202	272	298	570	96	269	25	8	269	73	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIN	44%	170	152	32	7	0	3	14	43	2	3	1	211	286	316	602	105	271	25	8	273	76	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIN	49%	196	175	38	8	1	4	17	50	2	4	1	217	294	343	637	126	272	26	9	274	77	-5	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIN	50%	200	179	39	8	1	4	17	51	2	3	1	218	293	341	634	123	272	26	8	273	76	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	MIN	51%	201	180	38	8	0	4	17	52	2	3	1	211	286	322	609	111	271	26	8	271	75	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	894	801	170	36	2	17	75	228	9	15	5	212	287	326	613	114	273	26	8	272	68	-26	+1	-2	+10	+19	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	123	26	1	12	55	166	7	11	4	211	288	321	609	110	272	26	8	272	68	-19	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3521	3160	647	125	14	67	294	922	35	73	21	205	280	317	597	112	264	26	8	269	68	-57	+3	-4	+21	+42	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	119	23	3	12	54	170	6	13	4	204	278	316	594	111	264	26	8	269	68	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.4	926	18	16	213	286	330	+10	+6	1.0	1.0
/162	664	13	12	+7.1	+4.3	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tanner Schobel (OGILVIE)	25	60	50	50	50	202/276/298	97	267	5	7	26%	8%	65	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2010 · AA	25	47→54	41→45	49→50	49	228/295/333	105	296	8	10	25%	9%	78	-0.3	236/295/348	112	303	10	8	24%	7%	82	-0.0	232/297/347	115	299	10	7	25%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Andre Lipcius 2023 · AAA	25	47→49	45	49→45	52	229/303/355	126	278	11	9	22%	9%	87	+0.4	225/291/354	129	281	15	7	24%	8%	82	+0.0	213/278/342	129	264	16	5	25%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Justin Sellers 2011 · AAA	25	48→54	41→45	45→50	49	229/293/331	101	274	8	9	19%	7%	78	-0.3	218/284/341	123	266	11	7	22%	7%	77	-0.3	209/267/308	99	250	8	4	19%	6%	62	-1.0
✕Andy Burns 2016 · AAA	25	51→57	42→50	45→55	44	246/289/351	106	292	8	12	19%	5%	80	-0.1	219/262/313	94	273	7	12	22%	5%	61	-1.5	199/279/320	121	257	13	10	27%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2016 · AA	25	49→53	41→45	48→45	49	235/302/335	101	300	8	7	23%	8%	82	-0.0	227/281/310	83	295	7	6	24%	6%	68	-1.0	228/280/335	107	286	12	6	24%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Javier Castillo 2009 · AAA	25	51→54	43→45	48→45	43	245/289/363	117	315	9	6	25%	6%	83	+0.1	225/267/323	98	285	7	5	23%	5%	65	-1.2	214/249/304	90	268	6	1	22%	4%	51	-1.8
✕Francisco Urbaez 2023 · AAA	25	50→57	40→45	47→45	48	239/303/339	100	294	7	6	20%	7%	83	+0.1	240/302/343	103	292	8	8	20%	7%	84	+0.1	247/308/352	106	292	7	7	17%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Joey Ortiz 2023 · AAA	25	48→55	46→50	52→50	45	237/288/373	136	284	12	8	21%	6%	86	+0.3	243/301/374	131	294	11	12	20%	7%	91	+0.6	241/303/363	122	287	10	14	19%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Owen Miller 2022 · MLB	25	47→54	44→45	46→50	42	233/282/350	117	298	12	5	26%	6%	78	-0.3	244/297/357	113	304	10	9	22%	6%	85	+0.2	247/302/352	104	305	8	11	21%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Jason Donald 2010 · AAA	25	49→55	43→45	53→50	43	237/296/355	118	314	10	10	27%	6%	84	+0.2	245/306/352	107	320	7	14	24%	6%	87	+0.4	250/313/355	105	326	6	15	23%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Tommy Field 2012 · MLB	25	49→51	45	48→45	44	238/305/361	122	307	13	9	26%	7%	89	+0.5	226/288/344	118	286	11	7	24%	7%	79	-0.2	221/290/346	125	277	12	7	24%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Jake Lemmerman 2014 · AA	25	44→50	42→45	52→45	47	212/290/316	104	285	9	10	27%	8%	74	-0.5	197/267/304	107	276	10	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	149/219/243	95	207	9	4	32%	8%	29	-1.6
✕Paul Janish 2008 · AAA	25	48→54	41→45	49→45	49	229/291/327	98	265	8	8	17%	7%	76	-0.4	220/286/317	97	263	7	6	18%	7%	72	-0.7	217/288/315	98	258	7	3	18%	7%	69	-0.5
✕Braden Bishop 2019 · AA	25	53→57	40→50	49→50	46	253/309/345	92	315	7	10	21%	6%	86	+0.3	231/289/352	121	298	11	9	25%	6%	81	-0.1	221/278/346	125	286	12	13	26%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Asael Sanchez 2019 · AAA	25	53	45	49→45	45	258/310/388	130	319	12	9	23%	6%	97	+1.1	240/286/361	121	306	12	9	25%	6%	82	-0.0	242/283/353	111	306	11	6	24%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2023 · MLB	24	48→52	40→45	48→55	49	230/299/324	94	295	8	8	24%	8%	78	-0.3	235/307/325	90	305	7	12	23%	9%	82	-0.0	237/309/314	77	312	6	14	24%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Trey Harris 2021 · AA	25	51→53	45	47→45	43	249/304/381	132	305	12	7	22%	5%	93	+0.8	225/279/319	94	288	9	7	24%	5%	70	-0.8	219/274/299	81	284	7	7	24%	5%	60	-0.9
✕Ryan Khoury 2009 · AAA	25	50→49	43→45	45	48	242/310/355	113	308	9	6	24%	8%	90	+0.6	211/283/301	90	282	5	6	25%	8%	68	-1.0	196/272/281	84	263	4	6	25%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Colton Welker 2023 · MLB	25	45→55	47→45	48→45	46	224/293/355	131	287	15	6	27%	8%	84	+0.1	224/315/317	93	301	8	9	26%	10%	84	+0.1	202/322/231	29	286	0	6	25%	13%	66	-0.3
✕Christopher Bostick 2018 · MLB	25	49→55	41→45	45→55	42	235/285/336	101	302	7	11	24%	6%	76	-0.4	228/277/336	108	302	9	8	26%	5%	73	-0.6	218/265/327	109	291	9	7	27%	5%	64	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps