Tanner Schobel — OGILVIE

Tanner SchobelSS St. Paul Saints

Age 25 R/R 5'8" / 170 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION229 act + 152 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .277 / .312

PA152

HR3

K%29

BB%8

BABIP273

ISO109

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2033	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$8M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	136	120	24	4	0	1	13	37	2	7	1	200	289	258	547	58	277	27	10	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	136	114	27	4	0	1	19	26	2	7	1	237	356	298	654	61	295	19	14	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	554	494	105	13	5	10	46	140	7	12	2	213	289	320	609	107	271	25	8	268	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	554	479	127	16	6	16	61	104	7	12	2	265	356	424	780	159	303	19	11	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	520	470	74	16	3	12	44	173	1	13	6	157	231	281	512	123	215	33	8	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	520	455	96	20	4	10	59	124	1	13	6	211	303	338	641	127	265	24	11	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	3 teams	—	352	315	68	14	1	8	28	94	5	7	2	216	290	343	633	127	276	27	8	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	3 teams	—	352	302	80	18	1	9	41	70	5	7	2	265	362	421	783	156	313	20	12	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	MIN	—	229	207	40	10	0	2	17	66	4	7	2	193	268	271	538	77	271	29	7	250	50	-13	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
YTD	25	AAA	MIN	—	229	199	48	13	0	3	25	55	4	7	2	241	338	352	689	111	317	24	11	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+2	+6	1.0
ROS	25	AAA	MIN	10%	152	137	28	6	0	3	12	44	2	3	1	203	277	312	589	109	279	29	8	270	65	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
ROS	25	MLB	MIN	10%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	279	27	7	261	58	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AAA	MIN	—	244	221	43	11	0	2	18	70	4	7	2	195	267	271	539	77	273	29	7	251	50	-14	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
TOT	25	AAA	MIN	—	381	344	68	16	0	5	29	110	6	10	3	197	271	287	559	90	272	29	8	258	56	-19	+1	+0	+4	+11	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIN	35%	518	465	100	21	2	11	42	144	6	11	3	215	288	340	628	125	281	28	8	282	74	-15	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.6
2028	27	MLB	MIN	44%	532	477	104	22	2	12	44	147	6	11	3	218	292	348	640	130	282	28	8	285	76	-14	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.8
2029	28	MLB	MIN	49%	538	482	105	22	2	12	45	148	6	11	3	218	293	346	639	129	283	28	8	286	77	-14	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.8
2030	29	MLB	MIN	50%	537	481	105	22	2	12	45	148	6	10	3	218	293	347	640	129	282	28	8	285	77	-14	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.6
2031	30	MLB	MIN	51%	533	477	103	22	2	11	45	148	6	9	3	216	292	340	631	124	282	28	8	283	75	-15	+1	-2	+6	+15	0.4
2032	31	MLB	MIN	51%	527	472	100	21	1	11	44	148	6	8	2	212	287	331	618	119	280	28	8	279	72	-17	+1	-3	+6	+15	0.2
2033	32	MLB	MIN	51%	519	464	96	20	1	10	44	148	6	6	2	207	284	319	603	112	277	29	8	274	68	-19	+0	-4	+6	+15	-0.2
2027	26	MLB	MIN	35%	180	161	35	7	1	4	15	50	2	4	1	217	292	348	640	130	282	28	8	274	68	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2028	27	MLB	MIN	44%	234	210	46	10	1	5	19	64	3	5	2	219	293	348	641	129	282	27	8	277	70	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2029	28	MLB	MIN	49%	263	236	52	11	1	6	22	72	3	5	2	220	295	352	647	131	283	27	8	278	71	-9	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	29	MLB	MIN	50%	268	240	52	11	1	6	23	74	3	5	2	217	293	346	639	129	283	28	9	278	71	-9	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.1
2031	30	MLB	MIN	51%	270	242	52	11	1	6	23	75	3	4	1	215	291	343	634	128	282	28	9	275	69	-10	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.0
2032	31	MLB	MIN	51%	269	241	52	11	1	6	23	76	3	4	1	216	292	344	637	129	280	28	9	272	66	-10	+0	-1	+3	+8	-0.1
2033	32	MLB	MIN	51%	266	239	49	10	1	5	22	76	3	3	1	205	280	318	598	113	277	29	8	266	62	-11	+0	-2	+3	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1765	1583	341	72	7	38	148	491	20	30	10	215	291	342	632	126	286	28	8	274	68	-64	+2	-5	+19	+50	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	126	27	3	14	55	181	7	11	4	216	292	345	637	129	286	28	8	274	68	-24	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	5418	4854	1012	203	21	113	452	1519	59	108	31	208	284	329	613	120	276	28	8	274	68	-197	+9	-10	+58	+154	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	122	24	3	14	54	182	7	13	4	210	285	333	618	124	276	28	8	274	68	-24	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	120	99	24	3	0	1	18	23	2	6	1	242	370	303	673	61	303	19	15	317	101	+0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2022	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	200	250	267	517	67	250	19	6	237	40	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2023	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	207	177	40	6	1	2	25	40	3	3	1	226	332	305	637	79	277	19	12	296	84	-4	+0	—	—	+6	0.2
2023	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	347	302	87	10	5	14	36	64	4	9	1	288	371	493	865	205	319	18	10	376	146	+18	+1	—	—	+10	3.0
2024	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	520	455	96	20	4	10	59	124	1	13	6	211	303	338	641	127	265	24	11	290	80	-12	+0	—	—	+15	0.3
2025	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	103	91	20	5	0	2	10	33	2	0	1	220	311	341	651	121	321	32	10	299	87	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	234	202	59	12	1	7	25	33	3	7	1	292	378	465	844	173	313	14	11	370	141	+11	+1	—	—	+7	1.9
2025	24	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	15	9	1	1	0	0	6	4	0	0	0	111	467	222	689	111	200	27	40	365	137	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,782	38	31	214	286	337	+19	+9	1.6	1.7
	/162	664	14	11	214	286	337	+7.1	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tanner Schobel (OGILVIE)	25	60	50	50	50	197/271/287	90	272	5	10	29%	8%	56	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Joshua Rodriguez 2010 · AA	25	47→56	42→50	48→50	48	226/293/333	107	297	9	10	26%	9%	75	-0.0	237/296/359	122	304	12	8	25%	8%	83	+0.6	244/304/360	116	311	11	6	24%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Colton Welker 2023 · MLB	25	43→53	46→40	48→45	45	217/284/343	126	280	14	6	27%	8%	75	-0.0	224/314/317	93	296	8	9	24%	10%	81	+0.4	209/330/239	30	289	0	6	23%	13%	67	-0.2
✕Christopher Bostick 2018 · MLB	25	50→58	42→45	45→55	42	239/289/347	108	307	9	11	24%	6%	77	+0.1	232/279/354	122	303	11	8	26%	5%	75	-0.0	221/267/348	127	290	11	7	27%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Chris Nelson 2011 · MLB	25	46→52	46→50	49→50	44	230/280/355	125	276	14	12	22%	6%	76	+0.0	241/284/368	127	299	12	8	23%	5%	80	+0.4	244/287/369	125	306	12	6	24%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Jason Donald 2010 · AAA	25	49→55	44→50	53→50	43	237/296/360	123	315	11	10	27%	6%	84	+0.6	243/303/350	107	318	7	14	24%	6%	84	+0.6	247/310/350	103	323	7	15	24%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Javier Castillo 2009 · AAA	25	51→54	43→45	48→45	42	244/288/364	120	316	9	6	25%	6%	81	+0.4	226/268/328	102	286	8	5	23%	5%	63	-0.9	216/252/313	96	269	7	1	22%	4%	48	-1.5
✕Joey Ortiz 2023 · AAA	25	48→55	46→50	52→50	44	236/287/374	138	286	13	8	22%	6%	84	+0.6	244/303/381	137	295	12	12	21%	7%	92	+1.2	243/306/373	130	288	11	14	19%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Andruw Monasterio 2023 · AAA	26	47→55	44→45	48→55	44	228/294/350	122	313	12	13	30%	8%	81	+0.4	241/315/351	110	315	10	19	25%	9%	90	+1.0	246/325/351	106	317	10	23	24%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Owen Miller 2022 · MLB	25	48→55	45	46→50	42	234/283/354	120	303	12	5	26%	6%	76	+0.1	248/301/367	119	308	11	9	22%	6%	88	+0.9	253/307/364	111	311	9	11	21%	6%	86	+0.5
✕Yu Chang 2021 · MLB	25	44→46	46→50	48→45	42	219/276/347	128	296	13	7	30%	7%	72	-0.2	223/278/382	159	290	19	7	29%	6%	82	+0.5	212/267/370	158	269	20	6	29%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Tommy Field 2012 · MLB	25	50→53	46→45	48→45	44	243/308/371	128	315	14	9	26%	7%	92	+1.2	223/287/344	121	288	11	7	25%	7%	76	+0.1	219/289/348	130	274	13	7	24%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Andy Burns 2016 · AAA	25	51→59	42→50	45→55	43	248/289/360	111	298	9	12	20%	5%	80	+0.4	220/261/318	98	278	8	12	23%	5%	57	-1.2	204/283/338	134	261	15	10	27%	10%	70	-0.2
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2016 · AA	25	49→52	41→45	48→45	48	233/298/333	100	303	8	7	25%	8%	77	+0.1	231/283/320	89	302	8	6	25%	6%	68	-0.5	229/278/345	116	287	13	6	24%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Andre Lipcius 2023 · AAA	25	46→49	46→50	49→45	52	227/304/365	137	276	13	9	22%	10%	89	+0.9	230/295/372	142	285	17	7	24%	8%	87	+0.8	221/284/361	141	271	18	5	25%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Cody Cipriano 2010 · AA	25	45→48	43→45	48→45	47	217/292/333	117	298	9	9	29%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/326	106	323	8	9	32%	7%	70	-0.3	225/294/321	96	333	6	7	32%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Patrick Frick 2022 · AA	25	50→51	42→45	49→45	44	239/310/346	107	324	10	7	28%	7%	87	+0.8	222/285/297	75	306	5	7	27%	7%	63	-0.9	212/274/258	46	296	1	4	27%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Ryan McKenna 2022 · MLB	25	42→52	48→50	50→55	46	209/289/350	141	298	16	15	34%	10%	79	+0.3	223/290/362	139	316	16	15	32%	8%	82	+0.5	213/277/345	132	291	15	20	31%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Jake Lemmerman 2014 · AA	25	43→50	41→45	52→45	47	208/287/310	101	285	9	10	28%	8%	68	-0.5	196/265/303	107	280	10	9	32%	8%	56	-1.3	146/216/244	98	209	10	4	34%	8%	19	-1.6
✕Asael Sanchez 2019 · AAA	25	53	46→45	49→45	44	258/306/389	132	317	12	9	22%	6%	95	+1.4	247/289/371	124	309	13	9	23%	5%	83	+0.6	258/297/375	117	320	12	6	22%	5%	82	+0.3
✕Austin Romine 2014 · MLB	25	46→53	43→45	46→45	44	229/279/335	106	284	11	5	24%	6%	69	-0.4	230/269/344	114	277	11	4	21%	5%	68	-0.5	252/290/392	140	316	18	2	26%	5%	88	+0.3