Alex MooneySS Akron RubberDucks
Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION302 act + 201 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†35
AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .241 / .263
PA201
HR3
SB10
K%33
BB%7
BABIP245
ISO93
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -39.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-39BATRUN: +4.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +14.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: -1.70-1.7WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$2M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 ALynchburg Hillcats 7669 8300 4193 40 116197159357 43160 255 177 -6
202321 ALynchburg Hillcats 7666 10400 7133 40 152263212475 61189 179 232 36
202422 A+Lake County Captains 473420 771827 3512914 436 183269286554 102243 277 247 47
202422 A+Lake County Captains 473405 9522312 5010014 436 235339393732 158279 2111 329 110
202523 AAAkron RubberDucks 442387 591414 351866 254 152234225458 72268 428 208 17
202523 AAAkron RubberDucks 442375 751914 471296 254 200299288587 88284 2911 266 62
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 AACLE 302274 45825 20973 194 164229263492 99229 327 222 28 -25 +2 +0 +3 +9 -1.1
YTD24 AACLE 302264 521026 29753 194 197283318601 121247 2510 271 65 -12 +2 +0 +3 +9 0.2
ROS24 AACLE 2% 201182 31613 14663 102 170241263504 93245 337 232 35 -15 +1 +0 +2 +6 -0.6
ROS24 MLBCLE 2% 44 0000 010 00 246 250 222 28 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL24 AACLE 306278 45825 20983 194 162226259485 97225 327 222 28 -25 +2 +0 +3 +9 -1.1
TOT24 AACLE 503456 761438 341636 296 167234263497 96235 327 226 31 -39 +3 +0 +5 +14 -1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBCLE 31% 370335 611326 271165 153 182253287540 104252 317 246 46 -22 +2 +0 +4 +10 -0.6
202826 MLBCLE 45% 407368 691428 311255 153 188260302562 114256 318 253 52 -22 +2 +0 +4 +12 -0.4
202927 MLBCLE 49% 420380 721528 321285 143 189261303564 113258 308 257 55 -21 +2 +0 +4 +12 -0.3
203028 MLBCLE 52% 425384 731528 331295 132 190263302565 112258 308 258 56 -21 +2 -1 +5 +12 -0.4
202725 MLBCLE 31% 115105 20412 8361 51 190254305559 114253 317 237 40 -8 +1 +0 +1 +3 -0.3
202826 MLBCLE 45% 181163 30613 14562 71 184257288545 104256 318 245 45 -11 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.3
202927 MLBCLE 49% 207186 35714 16633 71 188263301564 113258 308 248 48 -12 +1 +0 +2 +6 -0.3
203028 MLBCLE 52% 219197 38814 17663 71 193267305572 112259 308 249 49 -13 +1 -0 +2 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 726655 12325413 552229 264 188260298558 110259 318 246 46 -44 +4 -0 +8 +21 -1.3
/ 162G 650586 11122412 491998 234 189261302563 113261 318 246 46 -39 +3 -0 +7 +18 -1.2
Career 28142525 450981244 21189846 13923 178254279533 101253 327 242 43 -180 +19 -1 +30 +80 -5.4
/ 162G 650583 10423310 4920711 325 178255280535 101253 328 242 43 -42 +4 -0 +7 +18 -1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 ALynchburg Hillcats 7666 10400 7133 40 152263212475 61189 179 232 36 -5 +1 +2 -0.3
202422 A+Lake County Captains 473405 9522312 5010014 436 235339393732 158279 2111 329 110 +5 +6 +13 2.6
202523 AAAkron RubberDucks 442375 751914 471296 254 200299288587 88284 2911 266 62 -19 +3 +13 -0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
27281425188258301+8+6-0.7-0.4
/1626641323+7.1+5.5-0.7pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Alex Mooney (OGILVIE) 24 30 30 55 45 167/234/263 96235 829 32% 7% 31 -1.7
Nick Meyer
2021 · A
24 35 36→40 52→50 40 172/231/233 61252 415 32% 6% 24 -3.6 212/280/299 87278 914 25% 8% 62 -0.9 207/281/29083267101625%8%57-0.6
Grae Kessinger
2022 · AA
24 37→28 42→45 48→50 40 187/248/281 94262 1115 32% 6% 43 -2.2 194/265/312 118265 1414 31% 8% 59 -1.1 189/267/30011124911727%9%56-0.5
Ashton Creal
2023 · A
24 38 41→40 54→55 39 182/261/280 98290 822 38% 7% 50 -1.8 189/265/279 90345 815 44% 7% 51 -1.7 121/213/1654430071256%7%-2-1.2
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 36 40 49→50 44 178/256/260 82272 814 35% 9% 42 -2.3 211/287/303 92304 712 30% 9% 66 -0.6 219/303/3139430951328%10%75-0.0
Stephen Wrenn
2019 · AA
24 41→43 40→45 56→60 38 200/251/291 91288 824 32% 6% 46 -2.0 202/260/314 112305 924 35% 6% 56 -1.3 193/255/314121298112737%6%53-1.0
Gift Ngoepe
2014 · AA
24 39→40 38→45 51→50 37 180/245/262 82309 517 41% 7% 37 -2.6 203/256/312 109315 1011 36% 6% 55 -1.4 171/250/28311229611543%9%43-0.9
Jordyn Adams
2023 · AA
23 40 38→45 58→60 36 190/243/268 78298 524 36% 6% 37 -2.6 197/256/307 110301 1129 36% 7% 53 -1.5 186/248/297110286132638%7%45-1.1
Jawuan Harris
2021 · A
24 36→24 39→40 54→55 40 166/257/253 87306 718 44% 9% 42 -2.3 177/257/259 82368 620 48% 9% 43 -2.2 92/195/1354323623855%10%-16-1.7
Dwayne Bailey
2011 · AAA
24 42 35→30 53→50 40 195/250/250 55290 214 32% 6% 35 -2.8 219/281/290 71320 312 30% 7% 59 -1.1 227/294/2866033421130%8%59-0.7
Maverick Handley
2022 · A
24 39 41→40 53→50 40 184/267/283 99306 916 39% 8% 53 -1.5 197/288/298 101277 1012 30% 9% 66 -0.6 191/290/2819026191028%9%60-0.5
Thomas Jones
2022 · A
24 36→37 40 52→50 37 175/253/268 93281 817 38% 6% 43 -2.2 176/256/285 109322 1113 45% 7% 49 -1.8 110/204/224114226141054%8%11-1.7
Rob Henry
2019 · A
24 41 37→30 54→55 49 193/289/269 76284 418 30% 10% 59 -1.1 181/267/257 76330 612 43% 9% 46 -2.0 143/238/2005629161248%8%17-2.6
Chris Roller
2022 · AA
25 38 39→50 53→55 39 187/246/274 87273 616 32% 6% 40 -2.4 190/267/311 121291 1216 36% 8% 60 -1.0 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
Casio Grider
2012 · A
24 41→40 38→40 57→55 37 195/253/281 86296 420 34% 5% 45 -2.1 200/257/285 85302 522 33% 5% 48 -1.9 189/247/2698029052734%5%36-1.2
Ethan Murray
2023 · AA
23 35→45 41→40 51→50 42 177/250/275 97266 913 35% 8% 43 -2.2 197/270/288 91301 712 34% 8% 55 -1.4 193/271/2788529361333%8%49-1.1
Oliver Marmol
2010 · A
24 37 37→40 51→55 38 177/252/249 72262 415 32% 5% 38 -2.6 200/280/300 100309 712 35% 6% 63 -0.8 168/266/28711828281239%7%54-0.3
Alfredo Reyes
2018 · A
24 38 36→30 56→55 33 185/220/247 62292 422 37% 4% 20 -3.8 202/269/273 71343 524 39% 8% 50 -1.8 198/281/2565834753140%9%48-0.8
Kevin Vicuña
2022 · AAA
24 42→39 36→40 50 38 200/253/266 66278 415 29% 4% 41 -2.3 217/269/305 88288 512 25% 5% 58 -1.2 219/269/3088928841024%4%55-0.5
Agustin Septimo
2008 · A
24 41→34 40 56→55 42 202/255/293 91269 819 28% 6% 49 -1.8 204/254/291 87284 714 29% 6% 47 -1.9 197/227/2596227931130%4%24-0.8
Max George
2019 · A
23 33→36 41→45 53→55 43 170/253/270 99234 920 30% 7% 44 -2.1 183/267/288 105279 1020 36% 8% 55 -1.4 148/255/300152246202045%10%51-0.7