Alex Mooney — OGILVIE

Alex MooneySS Akron RubberDucks

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.4 · 2029

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .263 / .285

PA320

HR5

SB13

K%32

BB%8

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30→30

PWR

30→30

SPD

55→55

EYE

48↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.9M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$7M		$0.5M	-$6M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	76	69	8	3	0	0	4	19	3	4	0	.116	.197	.159	.357	.043	.160	25	5	.175	-8	-9	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.6
2024	22	A+	Lake County Captains	473	420	78	17	2	8	35	123	14	43	6	.186	.271	.293	.564	.107	.239	26	7	.252	51	-26	+6	+0	+5	+13	-0.2
2025	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	442	388	65	15	1	4	34	172	6	25	4	.168	.245	.242	.488	.075	.277	39	8	.215	23	-39	+3	+0	+5	+13	-1.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	60	54	9	2	1	2	6	21	0	3	1	.167	.250	.352	.602	.185	.226	35	10	.244	45	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	24	MLB	CLE	260	233	43	10	1	4	21	85	4	10	2	.185	.264	.288	.551	.103	.267	33	8	.254	53	-14	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
TOT	24	MLB	CLE	320	287	52	12	2	6	27	106	4	13	3	.181	.261	.300	.561	.118	.261	33	8	.252	51	-18	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 11%	CLE	368	328	64	14	2	7	32	101	5	13	2	.195	.277	.314	.591	.119	.255	27	9	.269	64	-15	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2028	26	MLB 26%	CLE	406	361	72	16	2	8	36	110	6	13	2	.199	.283	.321	.604	.122	.259	27	9	.275	69	-14	+2	+0	+4	+12	0.3
2029	27	MLB 44%	CLE	419	372	75	16	2	9	38	113	6	12	2	.202	.286	.328	.614	.126	.261	27	9	.278	71	-14	+2	+0	+4	+12	0.4
2030	28	MLB 53%	CLE	424	376	76	16	2	9	39	114	6	11	2	.202	.287	.327	.615	.125	.261	27	9	.278	71	-14	+1	-1	+5	+12	0.3
2031	29	MLB 64%	CLE	420	372	74	16	2	8	39	115	6	10	1	.199	.285	.317	.603	.118	.260	27	9	.276	69	-15	+2	-1	+4	+12	0.2
2032	30	MLB 73%	CLE	414	367	72	15	2	8	38	114	6	9	1	.196	.282	.313	.596	.117	.258	28	9	.272	67	-16	+1	-2	+4	+12	-0.0
2033	31	MLB 91%	CLE	401	356	70	15	2	8	37	112	5	7	0	.197	.281	.317	.599	.121	.257	28	9	.269	64	-16	+1	-3	+4	+11	-0.2
2034	32	MLB	CLE	384	341	65	14	2	7	35	110	5	6	0	.191	.276	.305	.581	.114	.255	29	9	.264	60	-17	+1	-4	+4	+11	-0.5
2035	33	MLB	CLE	355	315	59	12	2	6	32	104	5	5	0	.187	.273	.295	.568	.108	.253	29	9	.259	56	-18	+1	-4	+4	+10	-0.7
2036	34	MLB	CLE	311	276	50	11	1	5	28	94	4	4	0	.181	.266	.283	.549	.101	.251	30	9	.253	51	-17	+1	-5	+3	+9	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5153	4574	871	190	23	91	448	1486	81	172	22	.190	.274	.302	.576	.111	.257	29	9	.261	58	-244	+26	-20	+55	+146	-3.7
/ 162G	—			650	577	110	24	3	11	57	187	10	22	3	.191	.275	.300	.575	.109	.258	29	9	.261	58	-31	+3	-2	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	76	66	10	4	0	0	7	13	3	4	0	.152	.263	.212	.475	.061	.189	17	9	.232	36	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	22	A+	Lake County Captains	473	405	95	22	3	12	50	100	14	43	6	.235	.339	.393	.732	.158	.279	21	11	.329	110	+5	+6	—	—	+13	2.6
2025	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	442	375	75	19	1	4	47	129	6	25	4	.200	.299	.288	.587	.088	.284	29	11	.266	62	-19	+3	—	—	+13	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Mooney (OGILVIE)	24	30	30	55	45	.187/.263/.285	.097	.274	5	12	32%	8%	52	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	37	39→40	49→50	44	.183/.260/.264	.081	.271	8	14	33%	9%	45	-2.1	.205/.286/.296	.091	.292	7	13	29%	9%	63	-0.8	.211/.301/.305	.094	.293	5	13	27%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	40	40	54→65	40	.192/.269/.282	.090	.299	8	28	36%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.284/.315	.099	.302	7	27	29%	7%	67	-0.5	.225/.290/.320	.095	.304	4	32	25%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	.176/.234/.238	.062	.249	4	15	30%	6%	26	-3.4	.211/.280/.295	.084	.276	8	14	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.207/.282/.288	.080	.266	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→29	42→45	48→50	42	.191/.254/.286	.095	.257	11	14	30%	7%	47	-1.9	.192/.267/.310	.118	.259	14	15	30%	8%	59	-1.1	.186/.266/.299	.113	.246	14	14	29%	9%	54	-0.9
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→45	42→45	51→60	43	.204/.265/.308	.104	.270	9	19	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.226/.285/.324	.098	.310	8	27	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.227/.288/.355	.128	.309	13	42	29%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	39	41→40	54→55	39	.186/.263/.286	.100	.298	8	21	38%	7%	52	-1.6	.189/.265/.279	.090	.337	8	16	43%	7%	51	-1.7	.129/.221/.176	.047	.295	7	12	53%	7%	4	-1.1
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2019 · AA	24	42→46	38→45	54→60	39	.197/.273/.275	.078	.297	5	21	33%	6%	53	-1.5	.187/.267/.270	.083	.297	6	23	36%	7%	50	-1.8	.195/.280/.308	.112	.279	12	28	32%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	42	35→30	53→50	41	.199/.256/.254	.055	.291	2	14	31%	6%	38	-2.6	.218/.278/.286	.068	.315	3	12	29%	7%	56	-1.3	.227/.292/.289	.061	.331	2	11	29%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	40	42→45	52→50	40	.189/.270/.291	.102	.312	9	16	39%	8%	56	-1.3	.201/.289/.309	.108	.281	11	12	30%	9%	69	-0.4	.196/.292/.292	.096	.264	10	10	27%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	39→33	44→40	54→55	51	.190/.295/.305	.115	.292	12	19	36%	12%	71	-0.3	.186/.265/.277	.091	.307	8	19	38%	9%	50	-1.7	.159/.224/.221	.061	.275	5	22	41%	7%	15	-2.3
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→29	40	54→55	42	.174/.266/.267	.093	.296	7	18	40%	9%	49	-1.8	.176/.259/.258	.082	.367	6	21	48%	9%	43	-2.2	.094/.199/.138	.045	.243	2	38	56%	10%	-13	-1.7
✕Stephen Wrenn 2019 · AA	24	41→43	40→45	56→60	39	.202/.253/.294	.093	.287	8	23	32%	6%	48	-1.9	.200/.260/.309	.109	.299	9	24	34%	6%	56	-1.3	.188/.254/.304	.116	.289	10	27	36%	6%	50	-1.1
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2022 · AAA	24	39→43	41→40	52→50	47	.189/.268/.284	.095	.274	9	15	32%	10%	53	-1.5	.204/.283/.304	.100	.299	9	14	32%	10%	65	-0.7	.195/.282/.288	.093	.289	8	15	32%	10%	56	-0.7
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	40	44→45	53→60	45	.197/.277/.310	.114	.292	11	16	34%	9%	64	-0.8	.198/.281/.314	.116	.292	13	25	34%	9%	67	-0.5	.178/.270/.288	.111	.256	14	39	34%	9%	55	-0.5
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	38→37	42→45	54→55	42	.186/.272/.288	.102	.271	9	21	33%	8%	57	-1.2	.192/.280/.320	.128	.332	14	15	43%	8%	69	-0.4	.147/.256/.292	.145	.254	19	20	46%	10%	50	-0.7
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA	24	42→46	43→45	54→55	44	.207/.282/.319	.112	.290	10	19	31%	8%	68	-0.5	.216/.268/.334	.118	.294	13	15	30%	6%	66	-0.6	.215/.255/.332	.117	.280	16	15	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	44	38→40	57→55	38	.208/.263/.282	.074	.311	6	26	34%	6%	49	-1.8	.232/.275/.320	.088	.308	5	20	25%	5%	63	-0.8	.249/.289/.333	.084	.321	4	20	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2023 · AA	24	38	42→45	55	53	.177/.298/.290	.113	.287	9	22	37%	13%	69	-0.4	.198/.307/.300	.102	.308	8	21	34%	11%	75	-0.0	.196/.302/.282	.086	.311	7	27	35%	11%	64	-0.4
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	41	39→45	53→50	39	.193/.262/.274	.080	.300	7	13	36%	7%	48	-1.9	.208/.307/.328	.120	.294	12	12	31%	10%	82	+0.5	.212/.315/.318	.105	.301	9	14	29%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39→42	43→45	58→60	44	.194/.275/.303	.109	.285	11	30	34%	8%	61	-1.0	.204/.277/.322	.118	.283	12	35	30%	8%	67	-0.5	.200/.273/.320	.120	.271	12	40	29%	8%	62	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)