Jackson Loftin
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A/ROK2 orgs | 109 | .191/.303/.309 | 2 | 7 | 25 | — | .134/.229/.206 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA/AHOU | 467 | .213/.331/.325 | 9 | 60 | 46 | — | .173/.269/.259 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+HOU | 231 | .183/.278/.307 | 4 | 20 | 12 | — | .132/.200/.217 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 91 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 179 | 297 | 321 | 617 | 141 | 240 | 29 | 10 | 287 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Astros Blue | — | 18 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 250 | 583 | 364 | 28 | 6 | 281 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 17 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 385 | 529 | 615 | 1.145 | 231 | 417 | 6 | 24 | 497 | 198 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 450 | 381 | 79 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 100 | 17 | 60 | 7 | 207 | 324 | 315 | 639 | 108 | 255 | 22 | 11 | 298 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 231 | 202 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 65 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 183 | 278 | 307 | 585 | 124 | 246 | 28 | 10 | 269 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 91 | 81 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 123 | 220 | 210 | 430 | 86 | 215 | 40 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros Blue | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 278 | 188 | 465 | 283 | 39 | 6 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 17 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 471 | 571 | 1.042 | 214 | 413 | 6 | 18 | 461 | 198 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 450 | 397 | 66 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 134 | 17 | 60 | 7 | 166 | 261 | 247 | 508 | 81 | 221 | 30 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 231 | 212 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 86 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 132 | 200 | 217 | 417 | 85 | 196 | 37 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 109 | 97 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 134 | 229 | 206 | 436 | 72 | 231 | 40 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 109 | 94 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 191 | 303 | 309 | 611 | 117 | 262 | 28 | 9 | 286 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 467 | 411 | 71 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 135 | 17 | 60 | 7 | 173 | 269 | 258 | 527 | 85 | 236 | 29 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 467 | 394 | 84 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 101 | 17 | 60 | 7 | 213 | 331 | 325 | 656 | 112 | 262 | 22 | 11 | 305 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 231 | 212 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 86 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 132 | 200 | 217 | 417 | 85 | 202 | 37 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 231 | 202 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 65 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 183 | 278 | 307 | 585 | 124 | 246 | 28 | 10 | 269 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 109 | 96 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 135 | 229 | 208 | 438 | 73 | 226 | 40 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 467 | 410 | 71 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 135 | 17 | 60 | 7 | 173 | 269 | 259 | 527 | 85 | 228 | 29 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 231 | 211 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 86 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 133 | 200 | 218 | 418 | 85 | 196 | 37 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 231 | 211 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 86 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 133 | 200 | 218 | 418 | 85 | 196 | 37 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 807 | 720 | 112 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 265 | 27 | 87 | 10 | 156 | 244 | 239 | 483 | 83 | 226 | 33 | 7 | 218 | 34 | -64 | +13 | +0 | +9 | +17 | -2.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 91 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 46 | 213 | 22 | 70 | 8 | 157 | 245 | 243 | 488 | 86 | 228 | 33 | 7 | 218 | 34 | -51 | +11 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+Asheville Tourists · 231 PAwOBA .263 → .186 (−77)K% 28.1% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.14% | ÷0.991 | ×1.310 | — | — | 37.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.977 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 5.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.16% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.33% | ÷0.988 | ×0.870 | ×0.979 | ×0.988 | 13.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.03% | ÷1.079 | ×0.780 | ×0.979 | ×0.988 | 5.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.979 | ×0.988 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.92% | ÷1.073 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 2.37% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 100, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .263 → .186; ISO .124 → .088; BABIP .246 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 450 PAwOBA .292 → .228 (−65)K% 22.2% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.016 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.89% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.78% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.93% | ÷0.972 | ×0.920 | ×0.954 | ×0.990 | 17.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.954 | ×0.990 | 3.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.954 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.20% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.55% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .292 → .228; ISO .108 → .082; BABIP .255 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 17 PAwOBA .486 → .461 (−25)K% 5.9% → 7.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 7.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.53% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 16.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 16.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.882 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 24.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.896 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 96, 2B 76, 3B 111, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .486 → .461; ISO .231 → .247; BABIP .417 → .413. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 91 PAwOBA .280 → .210 (−70)K% 28.6% → 39.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.976 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.89% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.40% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 3.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | — | 14.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | — | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | — | 1.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.949 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.24% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .280 → .210; ISO .141 → .104; BABIP .240 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Astros Blue · 18 PAwOBA .274 → .179 (−95)K% 27.8% → 41.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷0.968 | ×1.440 | — | — | 41.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.039 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 3.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.36% | ÷1.028 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 28.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.112 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.058 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 122, K 94, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .274 → .179; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .364 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).