Jackson Loftin — OGILVIE

Jackson LoftinSS Asheville Tourists

Age 26 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 239 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .257 / .275

PA239

HR3

SB7

K%29

BB%7

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	A	2 teams	—	109	98	14	2	1	2	6	46	5	7	1	143	229	245	474	102	240	42	6	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	2 teams	—	109	94	18	3	1	2	10	31	5	7	1	191	303	309	611	117	262	28	9	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	2 teams	—	467	413	74	14	0	8	35	139	17	60	7	179	271	271	542	92	246	30	7	243	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	2 teams	—	467	394	84	17	0	9	53	101	17	60	7	213	331	325	656	112	262	22	11	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	231	210	28	7	1	3	15	89	5	20	2	133	209	219	428	86	210	39	6	190	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	231	202	37	11	1	4	22	65	5	20	2	183	278	307	585	124	246	28	10	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	HOU	—	239	215	40	9	1	3	18	70	4	7	1	186	262	279	541	93	256	29	8	247	47	-14	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	HOU	26%	287	258	49	11	1	4	22	83	5	9	2	190	267	287	553	97	260	29	8	254	53	-15	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.3
2028	28	MLB	HOU	39%	329	295	57	12	1	5	26	94	5	10	2	193	270	292	561	98	262	29	8	259	56	-16	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.3
2027	27	MLB	HOU	26%	75	68	13	3	0	1	6	22	1	2	0	191	267	279	546	88	262	29	8	245	46	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	HOU	39%	130	117	22	5	0	2	10	37	2	4	1	188	264	282	546	94	264	28	8	250	50	-7	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	205	185	35	8	0	3	16	59	3	6	1	189	265	281	546	92	258	29	8	248	48	-12	+1	-0	+2	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	111	25	0	10	51	187	10	19	3	189	266	283	549	94	257	29	8	248	48	-38	+3	-1	+7	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	1662	1489	262	55	5	25	122	521	41	113	15	176	257	270	527	94	249	31	7	239	41	-111	+17	-1	+18	+47	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	103	22	2	10	48	204	16	44	6	177	259	273	532	96	251	31	7	239	41	-43	+6	-0	+7	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	91	78	14	3	1	2	9	26	4	6	1	179	297	321	617	141	240	29	10	287	78	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	22	ROK	FCL Astros Blue	—	18	16	4	0	0	0	1	5	1	1	0	250	333	250	583		364	28	6	281	73	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	23	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	17	13	5	3	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	385	529	615	1.145	231	417	6	24	497	239	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2023	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	450	381	79	14	0	9	49	100	17	60	7	207	324	315	639	108	255	22	11	298	86	-7	+9	—	—	+13	1.5
2024	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	231	202	37	11	1	4	22	65	5	20	2	183	278	307	585	124	246	28	10	269	64	-9	+3	—	—	+7	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	206	3	6	194	266	295	+2	+3	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	10	20	194	266	295	+7.1	+9.7	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jackson Loftin (OGILVIE)	26	20	35	65	45	184/257/275	91	256	3	7	29%	7%	47	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Rabago 2019 · AA	26	42	38→40	54→55	43	199/256/282	83	271	4	18	27%	6%	46	-2.0	189/251/275	86	266	7	14	30%	7%	43	-2.2	157/227/221	64	233	6	11	33%	7%	17	-1.3
✕Jason Martinson 2015 · AA	26	38→39	44→45	56→50	38	190/250/299	109	293	12	17	38%	7%	49	-1.8	180/238/289	109	294	12	11	41%	6%	41	-2.3	162/221/268	105	271	12	8	43%	6%	26	-2.4
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	41→43	42→45	58→60	38	201/260/313	112	299	9	25	34%	6%	56	-1.3	214/271/338	124	329	13	22	37%	6%	68	-0.5	199/257/318	119	311	13	29	38%	5%	54	-0.8
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	39→35	40	54→55	39	192/243/281	89	271	8	17	31%	6%	40	-2.4	229/282/370	141	281	18	11	25%	6%	81	+0.4	236/283/396	160	253	27	6	20%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Mike Jarvis 2023 · AAA	25	37	43→40	58→60	39	188/248/302	114	254	11	23	30%	5%	50	-1.8	174/228/273	99	241	10	27	31%	5%	33	-2.9	150/204/236	86	210	9	34	32%	5%	11	-2.0
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	46→45	54→55	36	201/251/328	127	286	14	18	34%	5%	57	-1.2	188/246/300	112	281	12	22	36%	6%	48	-1.9	163/230/248	84	244	7	29	34%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	39	193/255/310	117	277	9	24	33%	6%	54	-1.4	219/273/343	124	300	11	17	30%	5%	70	-0.3	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Jacob Hannemann 2017 · AA	26	42→41	43→45	58→60	40	209/260/324	115	279	9	24	28%	5%	59	-1.1	200/253/308	108	263	10	26	27%	5%	52	-1.6	188/241/287	99	246	9	29	27%	5%	39	-1.4
✕Ryan Klosterman 2008 · AA	26	41→45	43→45	55	43	203/267/314	111	263	10	20	26%	6%	60	-1.0	210/273/315	105	278	9	15	26%	7%	63	-0.9	206/273/310	105	273	10	14	27%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	44→45	54→50	40	191/262/305	114	272	13	15	33%	7%	56	-1.3	193/257/300	107	289	10	12	35%	7%	53	-1.5	149/216/240	91	232	8	9	38%	7%	17	-1.5
✕Granden Goetzman 2019 · AAA	26	43→46	42→45	57→55	37	212/245/327	114	283	8	18	28%	4%	53	-1.5	202/251/341	139	286	16	7	34%	6%	60	-1.0	170/224/312	142	233	19	1	36%	6%	40	-1.4
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	39→44	36→30	58→55	42	181/261/245	65	297	4	26	37%	9%	40	-2.4	198/267/279	81	291	6	19	31%	8%	50	-1.7	189/255/261	72	261	6	20	28%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	39	40	50	38	192/244/277	85	285	8	15	34%	6%	40	-2.4	202/255/293	91	305	9	12	34%	6%	49	-1.8	138/193/172	34	236	3	8	41%	6%	-10	-1.1
✕Tanner English 2019 · AAA	26	34→42	41→40	57→55	32	165/223/271	105	294	8	22	44%	6%	30	-3.1	185/238/285	100	311	9	17	41%	5%	40	-2.4	134/188/202	68	231	9	22	44%	4%	-5	-1.5
✕Ryan Strausborger 2014 · AA	26	44→47	41→45	58→55	38	213/252/313	100	280	7	22	26%	4%	53	-1.5	221/261/322	101	279	9	26	23%	5%	59	-1.1	220/262/318	99	274	9	30	23%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	42	40	55	38	205/255/298	93	300	8	24	33%	6%	50	-1.8	219/277/326	107	312	11	15	31%	6%	67	-0.5	205/263/288	83	291	11	13	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕T.J. Steele 2012 · AA	25	39→33	43→45	54→50	32	200/225/315	116	275	10	17	32%	3%	41	-2.3	201/239/311	110	284	10	15	32%	4%	46	-2.0	178/212/265	87	257	7	13	33%	3%	20	-1.1
✕Logan Warmoth 2022 · AAA	26	40	40→45	52→55	40	184/266/276	92	316	8	18	41%	8%	51	-1.7	203/278/314	111	301	11	21	34%	8%	65	-0.7	195/273/297	102	277	11	24	31%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Jordan Brewer 2023 · AA	25	41	42→45	55	39	192/272/292	100	316	10	19	39%	8%	58	-1.2	204/271/316	112	283	10	15	30%	7%	63	-0.9	199/265/312	114	264	10	16	27%	7%	56	-0.7