Jackson LoftinSS
Asheville Tourists
Age 26
R/R
6'2" / 195 lbs
A+
H +4%HR -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.3 · 2027
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .275 / .317
PA239
HR5
SB7
K%29
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
37→37
SPD
65→65
EYE
42→42
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $2M | $-7M | -$9M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 109 | 98 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 45 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .133 | .220 | .214 | .434 | .082 | .216 | 41 | 6 | .202 | 13 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 467 | 414 | 72 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 141 | 17 | 60 | 7 | .174 | .265 | .263 | .528 | .089 | .240 | 30 | 7 | .238 | 40 | -31 | +9 | +0 | +5 | +13 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 231 | 212 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 86 | 5 | 20 | 2 | .132 | .200 | .217 | .417 | .085 | .202 | 37 | 6 | .189 | 3 | -25 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +7 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 239 | 215 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 70 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .205 | .278 | .326 | .604 | .121 | .274 | 29 | 8 | .271 | 65 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 10% | HOU | 287 | 258 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 83 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .205 | .281 | .326 | .606 | .120 | .276 | 29 | 8 | .276 | 70 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 20% | HOU | 329 | 295 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 94 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .210 | .285 | .332 | .617 | .122 | .277 | 29 | 8 | .279 | 71 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 33% | HOU | 347 | 310 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 99 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .206 | .285 | .323 | .607 | .116 | .277 | 29 | 8 | .279 | 72 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 43% | HOU | 358 | 320 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 103 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .206 | .285 | .322 | .606 | .116 | .276 | 29 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -12 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 57% | HOU | 348 | 312 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 102 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .202 | .278 | .317 | .596 | .115 | .275 | 29 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -13 | +2 | -3 | +4 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 75% | HOU | 333 | 299 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 99 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .197 | .273 | .304 | .577 | .107 | .273 | 30 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -14 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 92% | HOU | 306 | 274 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 93 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .201 | .277 | .314 | .591 | .113 | .271 | 30 | 8 | .263 | 60 | -14 | +1 | -4 | +3 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 264 | 237 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .190 | .267 | .287 | .554 | .097 | .270 | 31 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -14 | +1 | -5 | +3 | +7 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3618 | 3244 | 624 | 127 | 10 | 68 | 275 | 1097 | 72 | 156 | 15 | .192 | .270 | .301 | .571 | .108 | .265 | 30 | 8 | .260 | 57 | -175 | +25 | -20 | +39 | +103 | -2.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 583 | 112 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 197 | 13 | 28 | 3 | .192 | .270 | .300 | .570 | .108 | .265 | 30 | 8 | .260 | 57 | -31 | +4 | -4 | +7 | +18 | -0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 91 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .179 | .297 | .321 | .617 | .141 | .240 | 29 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -2 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Astros Blue | 18 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .250 | .333 | .250 | .583 | .000 | .364 | 28 | 6 | .281 | 73 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 17 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .385 | .529 | .615 | 1.145 | .231 | .417 | 6 | 24 | .497 | 239 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 450 | 381 | 79 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 100 | 17 | 60 | 7 | .207 | .324 | .315 | .639 | .108 | .255 | 22 | 11 | .298 | 86 | -7 | +9 | — | — | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 231 | 202 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 65 | 5 | 20 | 2 | .183 | .278 | .307 | .585 | .124 | .246 | 28 | 10 | .269 | 64 | -9 | +3 | — | — | +7 | 0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jackson Loftin (OGILVIE) | 26 | 20 | 37 | 65 | 42 | .201/.275/.317 | .116 | .274 | 5 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 65 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA |
26 | 38→40 | 45 | 54→50 | 42 | .196/.270/.318 | .122 | .273 | 13 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .193/.258/.302 | .109 | .284 | 11 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .153/.220/.254 | .100 | .233 | 9 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 22 | -1.3 |
|
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA |
26 | 39 | 46→45 | 54→55 | 36 | .202/.252/.327 | .125 | .285 | 14 | 17 | 34% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .190/.247/.303 | .113 | .282 | 13 | 22 | 36% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .172/.233/.265 | .093 | .260 | 10 | 26 | 36% | 6% | 31 | -1.4 |
|
✕Chad Hinshaw 2017 · AA |
26 | 44 | 43→45 | 55 | 41 | .213/.289/.329 | .116 | .307 | 11 | 26 | 32% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .199/.262/.295 | .096 | .300 | 8 | 15 | 34% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .177/.235/.263 | .086 | .267 | 7 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 30 | -1.5 |
|
✕Ryan Klosterman 2008 · AA |
26 | 41→45 | 43→45 | 55 | 44 | .206/.272/.320 | .114 | .265 | 10 | 20 | 26% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.274/.315 | .104 | .280 | 9 | 16 | 26% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .206/.272/.311 | .105 | .275 | 10 | 14 | 27% | 8% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Andrés Alvarez 2023 · AA |
26 | 40→31 | 50→45 | 55→50 | 44 | .204/.281/.351 | .147 | .293 | 18 | 19 | 35% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .200/.265/.318 | .118 | .287 | 13 | 12 | 33% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .192/.253/.293 | .101 | .273 | 11 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 46 | -1.1 |
|
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA |
26 | 39→33 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 37 | .193/.254/.311 | .118 | .297 | 12 | 18 | 37% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .184/.251/.289 | .105 | .364 | 11 | 16 | 48% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .105/.185/.185 | .080 | .240 | 12 | 21 | 58% | 8% | -9 | -1.7 |
|
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA |
26 | 41→43 | 42→45 | 59→60 | 39 | .200/.260/.310 | .111 | .293 | 9 | 26 | 34% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .207/.268/.324 | .117 | .323 | 12 | 22 | 37% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .189/.251/.296 | .108 | .301 | 12 | 29 | 39% | 5% | 47 | -1.1 |
|
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA |
26 | 44→43 | 44→40 | 55→50 | 41 | .215/.277/.335 | .120 | .309 | 11 | 19 | 33% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.295/.313 | .097 | .331 | 7 | 15 | 34% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.298/.290 | .083 | .327 | 6 | 17 | 34% | 10% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jason Martinson 2015 · AA |
26 | 39→41 | 45→50 | 56→50 | 38 | .196/.256/.311 | .115 | .296 | 13 | 16 | 37% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .187/.244/.302 | .115 | .301 | 12 | 11 | 40% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .168/.226/.281 | .113 | .280 | 13 | 8 | 43% | 6% | 31 | -2.1 |
|
✕Mike Jarvis 2023 · AAA |
25 | 38 | 45 | 58→60 | 39 | .194/.254/.317 | .123 | .257 | 12 | 22 | 29% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .180/.234/.287 | .107 | .241 | 11 | 27 | 30% | 5% | 39 | -2.5 | .158/.210/.248 | .091 | .214 | 10 | 34 | 31% | 5% | 17 | -1.9 |
|
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB |
26 | 39→48 | 43→50 | 58→60 | 40 | .195/.257/.310 | .114 | .277 | 9 | 26 | 32% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .220/.274/.346 | .126 | .300 | 11 | 17 | 29% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .227/.287/.366 | .138 | .305 | 13 | 23 | 28% | 5% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jorge Mateo 2020 · AAA |
25 | 40→46 | 43→50 | 59→65 | 35 | .200/.239/.322 | .123 | .289 | 9 | 25 | 34% | 4% | 49 | -1.8 | .215/.256/.344 | .129 | .298 | 11 | 24 | 31% | 4% | 63 | -0.9 | .217/.264/.366 | .149 | .272 | 14 | 44 | 25% | 5% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2012 · AAA |
26 | 41 | 45→40 | 51→50 | 42 | .208/.266/.324 | .116 | .265 | 14 | 13 | 27% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .220/.258/.320 | .100 | .276 | 11 | 12 | 24% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .203/.238/.291 | .088 | .255 | 12 | 9 | 25% | 3% | 36 | -0.6 |
|
✕Corey Toups 2018 · AAA |
25 | 44→47 | 43→45 | 55→50 | 40 | .212/.271/.329 | .117 | .297 | 10 | 17 | 31% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .203/.266/.307 | .104 | .321 | 10 | 15 | 37% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .177/.247/.258 | .081 | .300 | 9 | 19 | 41% | 7% | 34 | -1.3 |
|
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA |
25 | 39→38 | 46→50 | 54→55 | 43 | .195/.275/.328 | .133 | .280 | 14 | 16 | 34% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .196/.270/.305 | .109 | .263 | 10 | 17 | 28% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .156/.241/.247 | .091 | .208 | 8 | 20 | 27% | 8% | 30 | -1.4 |
|
✕Tony Thomas 2013 · AAA |
27 | 40→46 | 47→50 | 57→55 | 38 | .206/.252/.343 | .138 | .276 | 14 | 19 | 30% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .203/.248/.337 | .134 | .292 | 12 | 15 | 33% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .198/.241/.334 | .136 | .291 | 11 | 12 | 35% | 4% | 51 | -1.3 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA |
26 | 38→35 | 48→45 | 50→55 | 39 | .196/.260/.330 | .134 | .279 | 17 | 14 | 35% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .216/.292/.346 | .130 | .312 | 13 | 16 | 33% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA |
25 | 40 | 45 | 51→50 | 44 | .199/.282/.323 | .124 | .278 | 13 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .204/.293/.301 | .097 | .284 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.289/.271 | .075 | .275 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Kristopher Negrón 2012 · AAA |
26 | 44→50 | 42→45 | 55 | 41 | .216/.271/.320 | .104 | .278 | 10 | 19 | 26% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .206/.257/.312 | .106 | .278 | 10 | 18 | 28% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .225/.289/.349 | .123 | .323 | 14 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA |
25 | 40 | 45→50 | 54→60 | 37 | .202/.257/.328 | .126 | .297 | 13 | 21 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.281/.332 | .127 | .308 | 11 | 27 | 35% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .190/.283/.327 | .137 | .290 | 12 | 39 | 35% | 8% | 66 | -0.3 |