Jackson Loftin — OGILVIE

Jackson LoftinSS Asheville Tourists

Age 26 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 239 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .258 / .278

PA19

HR0

K%29

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	91	78	14	3	1	2	9	26	4	6	1	179	297	321	617	141	240	29	10	287	80	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	22	ROK	FCL Astros Blue	—	18	16	4	0	0	0	1	5	1	1	0	250	333	250	583		364	28	6	281	76	-1	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	23	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	17	13	5	3	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	385	529	615	1.145	231	417	6	24	497	223	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2023	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	450	381	79	14	0	9	49	100	17	60	7	207	324	315	639	108	255	22	11	298	88	-7	+9	—	—	+10	1.3
2024	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	231	202	37	11	1	4	22	65	5	20	2	183	278	307	585	124	246	28	10	269	68	-9	+3	—	—	+5	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	91	81	11	2	1	2	6	38	4	6	1	136	231	259	490	123	217	42	7	208	27	-8	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Blue	—	18	16	3	0	0	0	1	7	1	1	0	188	278	188	465		290	39	6	183	10	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	23	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	17	14	5	3	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	357	471	571	1.042	214	383	6	18	432	178	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2023	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	450	400	67	10	0	8	32	140	17	60	7	168	259	253	511	85	228	31	7	231	42	-31	+9	—	—	+10	-1.2
2024	24	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	231	210	28	7	1	3	15	88	5	20	2	133	209	219	428	86	209	38	6	193	17	-23	+3	—	—	+5	-1.5
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	109	98	14	2	1	2	6	45	5	7	1	143	229	245	474	102	235	41	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	109	94	18	3	1	2	10	31	5	7	1	191	303	309	611	117	262	28	9	286	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	467	414	72	13	0	8	34	141	17	60	7	174	265	263	528	89	240	30	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	467	394	84	17	0	9	53	101	17	60	7	213	331	325	656	112	262	22	11	305	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	231	210	28	7	1	3	15	88	5	20	2	133	209	219	428	86	208	38	6	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	231	202	37	11	1	4	22	65	5	20	2	183	278	307	585	124	246	28	10	269	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	109	97	14	2	1	2	6	45	5	7	1	144	229	247	477	103	229	41	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	467	413	72	13	0	8	34	141	17	60	7	174	265	264	528	90	234	30	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	231	209	28	7	1	3	15	88	5	20	2	134	209	220	429	86	209	38	6	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	467	413	72	13	0	8	34	141	17	60	7	174	265	264	528	90	234	30	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	231	209	28	7	1	3	15	88	5	20	2	134	209	220	429	86	209	38	6	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	167	211	222	433	56	255	26	5	248	54	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	HOU	26%	287	258	50	11	1	4	22	81	5	9	2	194	270	291	561	97	259	28	8	256	59	-14	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	HOU	39%	329	296	57	12	1	5	25	92	5	10	2	193	267	291	557	98	261	28	8	260	62	-15	+1	-1	+4	+7	-0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	HOU	44%	347	312	61	13	1	6	27	97	5	9	2	196	270	301	572	106	262	28	8	262	63	-15	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	HOU	26%	75	68	13	3	0	1	6	21	1	2	0	191	267	279	546	88	261	28	8	245	59	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	HOU	39%	130	117	24	5	1	2	10	36	2	4	1	205	279	316	595	111	263	28	8	249	62	-6	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	HOU	44%	154	139	27	6	1	2	12	43	2	4	1	194	268	295	563	101	264	28	8	251	63	-7	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	359	324	64	14	2	5	28	100	5	10	2	198	272	299	571	102	267	28	8	249	50	-16	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	116	25	4	9	51	181	9	18	4	198	272	300	572	102	267	28	8	249	50	-29	+2	-2	+7	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	1789	1606	285	59	5	28	130	549	42	116	16	177	257	273	530	95	248	31	7	242	50	-45	+3	-2	+11	+21	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	103	21	2	10	47	199	15	42	6	176	255	271	526	94	246	31	7	242	50	-30	+2	-1	+7	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	360	6	10	196	268	300	+4	+3	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	11	19	+7.1	+5.5	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jackson Loftin (OGILVIE)	26	20	36	65	44	185/258/278	93	255	3	7	29%	7%	54	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Martinson 2015 · AA	26	40→41	44→45	57→50	39	198/258/309	111	294	12	17	35%	7%	60	-1.6	183/240/288	105	297	11	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	164/223/265	101	276	11	8	42%	6%	34	-2.5
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	194/257/310	116	274	9	24	32%	6%	60	-1.6	221/275/344	123	302	11	17	29%	5%	74	-0.5	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	43	42→45	58→60	40	207/267/318	111	295	8	25	32%	6%	65	-1.2	213/274/327	114	323	11	22	35%	6%	70	-0.8	198/261/302	104	308	10	29	37%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Chris Rabago 2019 · AA	26	42	38→40	54→55	44	203/258/288	85	268	4	18	25%	6%	55	-2.0	194/257/283	89	268	7	14	28%	7%	53	-2.1	167/238/233	66	244	6	11	32%	7%	33	-1.2
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	45	54→55	37	199/248/318	119	278	13	18	33%	5%	59	-1.7	188/245/293	105	275	11	22	34%	6%	52	-2.2	171/232/261	89	254	9	26	35%	5%	37	-1.5
✕Ryan Klosterman 2008 · AA	26	41→46	42→45	55	44	204/268/312	109	262	9	20	26%	6%	65	-1.2	210/273/311	101	275	9	15	25%	7%	66	-1.1	207/273/306	99	272	9	14	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA	26	39→33	44→45	54→55	37	193/254/311	117	297	12	18	37%	6%	59	-1.6	188/257/291	103	357	11	16	46%	7%	56	-1.9	114/195/190	76	244	11	21	54%	8%	8	-1.6
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→42	44→45	54→50	42	193/265/307	114	268	12	15	32%	7%	63	-1.4	194/259/303	109	286	10	12	34%	7%	59	-1.6	153/220/251	99	233	9	9	37%	7%	30	-1.4
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	40→39	39→40	55	39	197/248/283	86	274	7	17	30%	6%	49	-2.4	226/280/355	129	277	16	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	232/279/364	132	253	21	6	18%	6%	80	-0.0
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2012 · AAA	26	40	44→40	51→50	43	205/266/313	108	265	13	14	27%	7%	63	-1.3	218/256/309	91	276	10	11	24%	4%	59	-1.7	199/234/276	76	254	10	9	26%	3%	39	-0.8
✕Mike Jarvis 2023 · AAA	25	37	45	58→60	39	190/251/311	121	255	12	23	30%	5%	59	-1.7	177/233/278	101	241	10	27	30%	5%	43	-2.8	141/199/199	58	219	6	35	36%	6%	11	-1.6
✕Granden Goetzman 2019 · AAA	26	44	42→45	56→55	38	214/247/326	112	281	8	18	27%	4%	59	-1.7	205/255/340	135	280	15	7	31%	6%	66	-1.1	175/231/313	138	231	18	1	33%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Logan Warmoth 2022 · AAA	26	42→40	40	52→55	41	191/275/282	91	321	8	18	39%	8%	61	-1.5	200/278/299	99	299	9	21	33%	8%	66	-1.1	189/270/277	88	273	8	24	31%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Ryan Strausborger 2014 · AA	26	44→47	41→45	58→55	39	213/255/314	102	273	7	22	25%	4%	59	-1.6	219/261/321	102	276	9	26	23%	5%	63	-1.4	204/257/296	92	271	9	28	27%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	40	40	50	38	196/250/283	87	289	8	15	33%	6%	51	-2.3	205/260/298	93	305	8	12	33%	6%	57	-1.8	147/203/184	38	244	3	8	39%	6%	9	-1.0
✕Jacob Hannemann 2017 · AA	26	43	42→45	58→60	41	212/262/323	112	277	9	24	26%	5%	64	-1.3	201/253/306	105	265	9	26	27%	5%	57	-1.8	190/242/287	97	250	9	29	27%	5%	46	-1.5
✕Todd Hankins 2017 · AAA	26	42→47	41→40	53→55	38	206/251/302	96	287	8	18	30%	5%	55	-2.0	211/257/292	81	306	6	21	31%	5%	55	-2.0	209/254/270	61	309	4	26	32%	5%	46	-1.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	35→31	44→45	49→50	44	183/254/292	109	241	13	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	205/280/316	111	277	12	12	28%	9%	70	-0.8	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	39→44	36→30	58→55	43	181/262/245	64	295	4	26	37%	9%	47	-2.5	197/266/275	78	286	6	19	30%	8%	55	-2.0	187/253/253	65	254	4	20	26%	8%	42	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps