Brett AuerbachC
Sacramento River Cats
Age 27
R/R
5'8" / 185 lbs
AAA
BB -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .265 / .297
PA170
HR3
K%33
BB%8
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
33→33
PWR
37→37
SPD
50→50
EYE
50→50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-2M | $-10M | -$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 368 | 330 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 116 | 8 | 30 | 7 | .227 | .299 | .409 | .709 | .182 | .300 | 32 | 7 | .305 | 92 | -3 | +3 | +0 | +7 | +10 | 1.7 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 425 | 388 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 32 | 176 | 2 | 12 | 6 | .183 | .249 | .330 | .579 | .147 | .281 | 41 | 8 | .251 | 50 | -24 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +12 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | 2 teams | 368 | 346 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 144 | 4 | 21 | 7 | .147 | .196 | .208 | .404 | .061 | .236 | 39 | 5 | .182 | -3 | -43 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +10 | -2.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | 2 teams | 297 | 270 | 62 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 89 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .230 | .293 | .341 | .633 | .111 | .330 | 30 | 7 | .278 | 71 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 148 | 129 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .178 | .279 | .279 | .558 | .101 | .256 | 33 | 11 | .263 | 59 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | SF | 170 | 153 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .203 | .274 | .314 | .588 | .111 | .284 | 32 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 20% | SF | 259 | 234 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 82 | 3 | 5 | 2 | .197 | .268 | .295 | .563 | .098 | .285 | 32 | 8 | .263 | 59 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 33% | SF | 299 | 270 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 94 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .204 | .276 | .315 | .591 | .111 | .285 | 31 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 43% | SF | 325 | 293 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 102 | 3 | 5 | 2 | .205 | .276 | .317 | .594 | .113 | .284 | 31 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -14 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 52% | SF | 308 | 278 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 97 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .198 | .269 | .299 | .567 | .101 | .283 | 31 | 8 | .263 | 59 | -14 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 70% | SF | 287 | 259 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 92 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .197 | .270 | .301 | .571 | .104 | .281 | 32 | 8 | .258 | 56 | -14 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 87% | SF | 253 | 229 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 83 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .192 | .263 | .288 | .551 | .096 | .279 | 33 | 8 | .253 | 52 | -14 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +7 | -0.6 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | SF | 209 | 189 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 70 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .190 | .261 | .286 | .547 | .095 | .278 | 33 | 8 | .247 | 47 | -12 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +6 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3716 | 3368 | 660 | 125 | 16 | 74 | 278 | 1249 | 40 | 104 | 34 | .196 | .265 | .308 | .574 | .113 | .284 | 34 | 7 | .257 | 55 | -189 | +7 | -20 | +66 | +105 | -3.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 589 | 116 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 218 | 7 | 18 | 6 | .197 | .267 | .311 | .577 | .114 | .285 | 34 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -33 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | -0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 223 | 199 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 60 | 5 | 18 | 2 | .256 | .333 | .533 | .866 | .276 | .290 | 27 | 8 | .376 | 146 | +11 | +3 | — | — | +6 | 2.1 |
| 2021 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | 145 | 117 | 40 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 29 | 3 | 12 | 5 | .342 | .458 | .521 | .979 | .179 | .427 | 20 | 15 | .425 | 184 | +14 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 1.9 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 425 | 372 | 82 | 15 | 0 | 17 | 48 | 136 | 2 | 12 | 6 | .220 | .313 | .398 | .711 | .177 | .294 | 32 | 11 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 175 | 163 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 52 | 1 | 6 | 4 | .153 | .211 | .190 | .402 | .037 | .218 | 30 | 6 | .191 | 4 | -19 | -0 | — | — | +5 | -1.5 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 193 | 175 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 56 | 3 | 15 | 3 | .229 | .297 | .371 | .668 | .143 | .304 | 29 | 7 | .300 | 88 | -3 | +2 | — | — | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 223 | 196 | 55 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 55 | 3 | 5 | 2 | .281 | .359 | .444 | .803 | .163 | .370 | 25 | 9 | .353 | 128 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 74 | 65 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .215 | .311 | .308 | .619 | .092 | .298 | 24 | 11 | .287 | 78 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 148 | 121 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .223 | .361 | .364 | .724 | .140 | .287 | 26 | 17 | .333 | 113 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Brett Auerbach (OGILVIE) | 27 | 33 | 37 | 50 | 50 | .195/.265/.297 | .101 | .284 | 3 | 4 | 33% | 8% | 55 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA |
28 | 39 | 41→40 | 50→55 | 43 | .192/.252/.291 | .099 | .264 | 9 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .193/.261/.280 | .087 | .291 | 8 | 11 | 34% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .161/.236/.224 | .063 | .253 | 6 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 21 | -1.1 |
|
✕Carlos Garzon 2019 · AAA |
27 | 41 | 41→30 | 48→45 | 39 | .205/.253/.300 | .096 | .284 | 9 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .215/.273/.288 | .073 | .297 | 5 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .203/.265/.239 | .037 | .286 | 1 | 0 | 27% | 6% | 36 | -1.4 |
|
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA |
27 | 37→36 | 43→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .177/.276/.289 | .112 | .295 | 10 | 15 | 40% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.277/.284 | .098 | .306 | 8 | 15 | 38% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .151/.251/.216 | .064 | .271 | 3 | 16 | 40% | 8% | 27 | -1.6 |
|
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA |
27 | 38→42 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 40 | .196/.249/.299 | .103 | .256 | 12 | 13 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .207/.271/.322 | .115 | .258 | 13 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .204/.274/.324 | .120 | .246 | 14 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2006 · AAA |
27 | 42 | 41→45 | 49→30 | 40 | .201/.263/.297 | .096 | .303 | 9 | 9 | 35% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .204/.258/.316 | .112 | .265 | 12 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .200/.252/.315 | .114 | .251 | 13 | 1 | 25% | 6% | 52 | -0.7 |
|
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA |
27 | 42→39 | 43→45 | 51→55 | 41 | .202/.279/.316 | .113 | .314 | 11 | 19 | 37% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .197/.275/.297 | .100 | .290 | 10 | 22 | 33% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .177/.264/.256 | .079 | .258 | 8 | 25 | 32% | 9% | 44 | -1.3 |
|
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA |
26 | 40 | 40 | 50 | 38 | .193/.248/.281 | .088 | .293 | 8 | 15 | 36% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .204/.258/.297 | .093 | .310 | 9 | 12 | 35% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .145/.202/.182 | .037 | .248 | 4 | 8 | 41% | 6% | -4 | -1.0 |
|
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA |
27 | 42→46 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 43 | .206/.269/.317 | .110 | .278 | 10 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .201/.276/.293 | .092 | .275 | 7 | 9 | 27% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.273/.268 | .077 | .259 | 6 | 10 | 26% | 9% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA |
27 | 38→42 | 41→45 | 52→50 | 43 | .193/.246/.292 | .100 | .253 | 9 | 12 | 27% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | .198/.248/.305 | .107 | .279 | 12 | 12 | 32% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .178/.219/.275 | .097 | .243 | 15 | 13 | 33% | 5% | 27 | -1.0 |
|
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA |
27 | 39 | 39→30 | 47→45 | 44 | .188/.264/.271 | .083 | .282 | 6 | 8 | 33% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .210/.266/.313 | .103 | .290 | 8 | 8 | 29% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .195/.246/.310 | .115 | .264 | 10 | 0 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -0.3 |
|
✕Errol Robinson 2022 · AAA |
27 | 42→48 | 38→40 | 46→55 | 43 | .199/.264/.276 | .077 | .291 | 6 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .206/.279/.277 | .071 | .327 | 5 | 20 | 35% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .201/.275/.251 | .051 | .314 | 3 | 26 | 34% | 9% | 44 | -0.7 |
|
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA |
27 | 40→46 | 43→45 | 50 | 41 | .201/.260/.314 | .113 | .263 | 11 | 13 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .209/.280/.368 | .159 | .282 | 19 | 16 | 32% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .176/.260/.359 | .182 | .229 | 23 | 20 | 34% | 6% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA |
26 | 37 | 39→45 | 50→55 | 40 | .183/.248/.270 | .087 | .268 | 6 | 14 | 32% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .194/.274/.324 | .130 | .304 | 14 | 16 | 38% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .179/.266/.318 | .140 | .290 | 17 | 19 | 41% | 9% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA |
27 | 36 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .181/.257/.295 | .114 | .275 | 12 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .181/.267/.319 | .138 | .277 | 18 | 6 | 38% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA |
27 | 40→36 | 41→40 | 42→50 | 41 | .197/.255/.287 | .090 | .280 | 10 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .187/.250/.285 | .098 | .263 | 11 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .153/.225/.238 | .085 | .211 | 12 | 11 | 32% | 7% | 22 | -1.3 |
|
✕Donny Lucy 2010 · MLB |
27 | 42→45 | 40 | 48→50 | 38 | .207/.248/.294 | .088 | .281 | 8 | 10 | 29% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .199/.244/.294 | .095 | .265 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 44 | -2.1 | .178/.227/.267 | .089 | .231 | 8 | 5 | 26% | 4% | 27 | -1.1 |
|
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA |
27 | 42→36 | 39→40 | 52→55 | 47 | .200/.282/.280 | .080 | .283 | 7 | 19 | 30% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .197/.253/.328 | .131 | .305 | 14 | 15 | 38% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .160/.218/.290 | .130 | .244 | 15 | 17 | 40% | 6% | 33 | -1.5 |
|
✕Alfredo González 2019 · AAA |
27 | 43 | 38→40 | 44→45 | 42 | .208/.264/.283 | .075 | .281 | 6 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .209/.273/.296 | .087 | .290 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .188/.263/.253 | .065 | .261 | 4 | 0 | 27% | 9% | 40 | -1.0 |
|
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2013 · AAA |
27 | 44 | 43→40 | 51→50 | 41 | .220/.263/.322 | .102 | .273 | 11 | 14 | 24% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .218/.255/.320 | .102 | .274 | 12 | 11 | 25% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .203/.238/.291 | .088 | .255 | 12 | 9 | 25% | 3% | 36 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jake Wald 2008 · AA |
27 | 41→43 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 39 | .203/.260/.311 | .108 | .280 | 10 | 10 | 30% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .196/.259/.288 | .092 | .291 | 7 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .177/.244/.255 | .079 | .279 | 5 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 32 | -1.6 |