Brett Auerbach — OGILVIE

Brett AuerbachC Sacramento River Cats

Age 27 R/R 5'8" / 185 lbs AAA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .276 / .309

PA170

HR3

K%30

BB%8

ISO104

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	368	330	75	14	2	13	26	112	8	30	7	227	299	400	699	173	298	30	7	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	368	316	91	19	3	17	40	89	8	30	7	288	382	528	910	241	347	24	11	395	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	425	389	69	11	0	16	31	181	2	12	6	177	242	329	571	152	273	43	7	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	425	372	82	15	0	17	48	136	2	12	6	220	313	398	711	177	294	32	11	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	2 teams	—	368	346	49	9	0	4	17	143	4	21	7	142	191	202	393	61	225	39	5	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	2 teams	—	368	338	65	13	0	6	25	108	4	21	7	192	256	284	540	92	262	29	7	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	297	270	63	12	4	3	20	83	4	9	3	233	296	341	637	107	324	28	7	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	297	261	69	16	5	4	29	73	4	9	3	264	347	410	757	146	351	25	10	336	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	148	129	25	5	0	4	17	48	1	2	1	194	293	326	618	132	269	32	11	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	148	121	27	5	0	4	25	38	1	2	1	223	361	364	724	140	287	26	17	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	SF	—	170	153	32	6	1	3	13	50	2	4	1	209	280	320	600	111	287	29	8	268	63	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	SF	31%	259	233	49	10	1	4	21	75	3	5	2	210	284	313	597	103	288	29	8	273	67	-10	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.2
2028	29	MLB	SF	40%	299	270	57	11	2	5	24	86	3	6	2	211	283	322	605	111	287	29	8	275	68	-11	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.2
2029	30	MLB	SF	45%	325	292	63	12	2	6	27	93	3	5	2	216	289	332	621	116	286	29	8	274	68	-12	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.1
2030	31	MLB	SF	47%	308	277	58	11	2	5	25	89	3	4	2	209	282	318	600	108	284	29	8	271	66	-12	+0	-3	+6	+9	-0.0
2027	28	MLB	SF	31%	80	73	14	3	0	1	6	23	1	2	1	192	263	274	536	82	282	29	8	261	58	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	29	MLB	SF	40%	118	106	22	4	1	2	10	34	1	2	1	208	282	321	603	113	282	29	8	263	59	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	30	MLB	SF	45%	145	131	27	5	1	2	12	42	1	2	1	206	278	305	583	99	281	29	8	263	59	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
2030	31	MLB	SF	47%	146	132	27	5	1	2	12	42	1	2	1	205	276	303	579	98	279	29	8	260	57	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	489	442	90	17	3	7	40	141	4	8	4	204	276	303	579	100	279	29	8	262	58	-23	+0	-3	+9	+14	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	120	23	4	9	53	187	5	11	5	204	276	303	578	99	280	29	8	262	58	-31	+0	-4	+12	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	2967	2689	540	101	14	63	221	960	33	98	33	201	270	319	589	118	284	32	7	262	58	-139	+6	-7	+53	+84	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	118	22	3	14	48	210	7	21	7	200	268	319	587	119	283	32	7	262	58	-30	+1	-2	+12	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	223	199	51	8	1	15	18	60	5	18	2	256	333	533	866	276	290	27	8	376	146	+11	+3	—	—	+6	2.1
2021	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	145	117	40	11	2	2	22	29	3	12	5	342	458	521	979	179	427	20	15	425	184	+14	+0	—	—	+4	1.9
2022	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	425	372	82	15	0	17	48	136	2	12	6	220	313	398	711	177	294	32	11	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+12	1.3
2023	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	175	163	25	3	0	1	11	52	1	6	4	153	211	190	402	37	218	30	6	191	4	-19	-0	—	—	+5	-1.5
2023	24	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	193	175	40	10	0	5	14	56	3	15	3	229	297	371	668	143	304	29	7	300	88	-3	+2	—	—	+5	0.5
2024	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	223	196	55	12	4	4	21	55	3	5	2	281	359	444	803	163	370	25	9	353	128	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2024	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	74	65	14	4	1	0	8	18	1	4	1	215	311	308	619	92	298	24	11	287	78	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	148	121	27	5	0	4	25	38	1	2	1	223	361	364	724	140	287	26	17	333	113	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	507	9	9	211	281	321	+9	+8	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	11	11	211	281	321	+11.9	+10.5	0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brett Auerbach (OGILVIE)	27	35	38	50	50	206/276/309	103	287	3	4	30%	8%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA	27	43→47	43→45	51→50	44	212/275/327	115	284	10	8	28%	7%	66	-0.6	204/281/300	96	277	8	10	27%	9%	63	-0.9	195/278/275	80	264	6	10	26%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	40	43→45	43→40	42	200/265/312	112	284	10	5	32%	7%	59	-1.1	218/285/362	144	262	15	6	22%	8%	81	+0.4	201/267/376	175	208	21	2	16%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA	27	42→40	43→45	51→55	41	203/277/317	114	314	11	19	36%	8%	66	-0.6	202/278/308	106	289	11	21	32%	8%	63	-0.8	186/269/277	91	263	10	25	31%	9%	51	-1.0
✕Justin Knoedler 2007 · AAA	27	44	41→45	47→45	40	213/265/315	102	291	7	9	28%	6%	59	-1.1	201/248/329	128	273	12	9	30%	5%	56	-1.3	183/233/321	137	245	13	8	30%	5%	46	-1.0
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	39	41→40	49→55	43	192/252/288	96	264	8	14	30%	7%	46	-2.0	189/256/275	86	286	8	11	34%	7%	45	-2.1	154/227/217	62	241	6	8	36%	7%	15	-1.2
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2006 · AAA	27	41	41→45	49→30	40	197/260/290	93	300	9	8	35%	7%	51	-1.7	205/258/318	113	265	13	5	27%	6%	57	-1.2	200/252/315	114	251	13	1	25%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Stevie Berman 2022 · AA	27	41	42→50	49→40	49	203/284/306	102	254	10	6	23%	8%	66	-0.6	210/295/336	126	275	13	5	27%	9%	79	+0.3	195/291/323	129	254	15	1	28%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Nolan Fontana 2018 · MLB	27	41→43	41→40	48→50	49	197/278/296	99	272	8	12	29%	10%	60	-1.0	196/286/316	120	275	11	11	30%	11%	69	-0.4	153/267/269	116	216	9	6	31%	12%	49	-0.5
✕Sean Jamieson 2016 · AA	27	49→43	42→45	46→50	42	233/291/339	106	314	9	10	28%	6%	76	+0.1	213/272/302	89	322	7	8	33%	7%	59	-1.1	172/228/221	49	288	2	0	38%	6%	15	-1.3
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	39→43	43→45	49→55	40	193/262/301	108	283	11	17	34%	7%	55	-1.4	210/295/327	117	333	12	25	37%	9%	76	+0.0	198/294/307	109	322	11	32	38%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA	27	38→43	41→45	51→50	43	191/245/290	98	255	9	12	28%	7%	43	-2.2	201/251/308	107	284	12	12	32%	6%	51	-1.7	178/220/273	94	244	15	13	33%	5%	26	-1.0
✕Alfredo González 2019 · AAA	27	43	39→40	44→45	42	207/264/286	79	281	7	7	28%	6%	51	-1.7	209/275/296	87	291	7	6	28%	8%	59	-1.1	186/266/247	61	259	4	0	27%	10%	40	-1.0
✕Ryan Ortiz 2014 · AAA	26	40	43→45	45→40	47	198/279/307	110	268	11	4	29%	9%	64	-0.8	208/301/298	90	295	7	5	29%	11%	71	-0.3	189/310/248	58	279	3	0	28%	13%	59	-0.5
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA	28	41	43→50	47→30	43	202/267/321	119	264	10	6	27%	7%	63	-0.9	218/278/353	135	306	15	6	32%	7%	75	-0.0	206/269/340	134	293	18	0	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Ryan Klosterman 2009 · AA	27	42→45	42→45	51→55	45	205/270/306	101	266	9	17	26%	7%	59	-1.1	209/272/322	113	277	11	14	27%	7%	64	-0.8	209/274/321	113	280	10	15	28%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Grayson Greiner 2020 · MLB	27	42	45	45→30	45	212/276/331	119	282	13	3	29%	8%	68	-0.5	203/266/324	121	314	14	4	37%	7%	63	-0.9	179/245/267	88	331	10	1	45%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	41	45→50	44→40	44	208/276/324	116	260	13	6	25%	7%	67	-0.5	222/290/349	127	278	15	6	25%	7%	79	+0.3	211/275/318	107	244	12	3	18%	6%	62	-0.3