Juan Zabala — OGILVIE

Juan ZabalaC San Antonio Missions

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 176 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .252 / .291

PA15

HR0

K%27

BB%6

ISO93

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT29

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE41

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers 1	—	104	87	17	3	1	0	8	20	6	5	2	195	307	253	560	57	250	19	8	262	63	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2017	18	ROK	DSL Dodgers 2	—	204	161	39	7	2	0	36	21	7	6	4	242	402	311	713	68	279	10	18	341	117	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2018	19	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	84	72	10	2	0	0	9	18	1	0	2	139	244	167	411	28	179	21	11	200	22	-8	-1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2019	20	ROK	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	93	82	17	3	2	2	7	27	4	1	0	207	301	366	667	159	283	29	8	302	91	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	22	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	34	30	8	1	0	1	4	9	0	0	1	267	353	400	753	133	350	26	12	341	117	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	35	31	3	1	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	97	176	226	402	129	95	29	9	182	9	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	28	24	9	1	0	0	4	5	0	4	2	375	464	417	881	42	474	18	14	404	160	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	247	211	62	8	2	3	28	41	6	19	3	294	392	393	785	100	351	17	11	356	127	+8	+3	—	—	+5	1.6
2023	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	77	68	13	6	0	0	4	20	0	0	2	191	236	279	516	88	265	26	5	219	34	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2023	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	157	136	30	6	0	5	16	40	2	7	1	221	312	375	687	154	272	25	10	305	93	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	25	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	209	191	43	8	0	3	16	55	1	2	4	225	288	314	603	89	299	26	8	275	72	-7	-1	—	—	+5	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 1	—	104	90	14	2	1	0	5	29	6	5	2	156	248	200	448	44	205	28	5	193	17	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 2	—	204	175	33	5	2	0	22	30	7	6	4	189	304	240	544	51	222	15	11	248	54	-11	-0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	84	75	7	1	0	0	6	26	1	0	2	93	171	107	277	13	147	31	7	144	-16	-12	-1	—	—	+2	-1.1
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	93	85	11	2	1	1	4	39	4	1	0	129	204	212	416	82	221	42	4	195	18	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2021	22	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	34	32	7	1	0	1	2	11	0	0	1	219	265	344	608	125	313	32	6	266	66	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	35	32	3	1	0	1	2	13	0	0	0	94	147	219	366	125	85	37	6	143	-17	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2022	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	28	25	9	1	0	0	3	6	0	4	2	360	429	400	829	40	448	21	11	350	123	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	247	219	54	6	2	3	20	57	6	19	3	247	327	333	660	87	309	23	8	287	80	-6	+3	—	—	+5	0.2
2023	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	77	69	12	5	0	0	3	25	0	0	2	174	208	246	455	72	230	32	4	184	11	-8	-1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	157	140	26	4	0	5	12	53	2	7	1	186	260	321	581	136	240	34	8	245	52	-9	+1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	209	196	37	7	0	2	11	68	1	2	4	189	236	255	491	66	276	33	5	224	38	-15	-1	—	—	+5	-1.2
2016	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 1	—	104	90	14	2	1	0	5	29	6	5	2	156	248	200	448	44	226	28	5	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers 1	—	104	87	17	3	1	0	8	20	6	5	2	195	307	253	560	57	250	19	8	262	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 2	—	204	175	33	5	2	0	22	30	7	6	4	189	304	240	544	51	228	15	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers 2	—	204	161	39	7	2	0	36	21	7	6	4	242	402	311	713	68	279	10	18	341	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	84	75	7	1	0	0	6	26	1	0	2	93	171	107	277	13	137	31	7	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers	—	84	72	10	2	0	0	9	18	1	0	2	139	244	167	411	28	179	21	11	200	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	93	85	11	2	1	1	4	39	4	1	0	129	204	212	416	82	222	42	4	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	93	82	17	3	2	2	7	27	4	1	0	207	301	366	667	159	283	29	8	302	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	69	64	10	2	0	2	4	25	0	0	1	156	206	281	487	125	211	36	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	69	61	11	2	0	2	7	19	0	0	1	180	265	311	576	131	220	28	10	260	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	275	244	63	7	2	3	23	63	6	23	5	258	337	340	677	82	335	23	8	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	275	235	71	9	2	3	32	46	6	23	5	302	399	396	795	94	364	17	12	361	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	234	209	38	9	0	5	15	78	2	7	3	182	243	297	540	115	258	33	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	234	204	43	12	0	5	20	60	2	7	3	211	288	343	631	132	270	26	9	277	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	209	196	37	7	0	2	11	68	1	2	4	189	236	255	491	66	276	33	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	—	209	191	43	8	0	3	16	55	1	2	4	225	288	314	603	89	299	26	8	275	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 1	—	104	92	14	2	1	0	5	29	6	5	2	152	248	196	443	43	205	28	5	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 2	—	204	173	33	5	2	0	22	30	7	6	4	191	304	243	547	52	222	15	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	84	77	7	1	0	0	6	26	1	0	2	91	171	104	275	13	147	31	7	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	93	85	11	2	1	1	4	39	4	1	0	129	204	212	416	82	221	42	4	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	69	65	10	2	0	2	4	25	0	0	1	154	206	277	483	123	197	36	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	275	244	63	7	2	3	23	63	6	23	5	258	337	340	677	82	323	23	8	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	234	215	38	9	0	5	15	78	2	7	3	177	243	288	532	112	237	33	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	209	195	37	7	0	2	11	68	1	2	4	190	236	256	492	67	276	33	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	234	215	38	9	0	5	15	78	2	7	3	177	243	288	532	112	237	33	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	209	195	37	7	0	2	11	68	1	2	4	190	236	256	492	67	276	33	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	SD	2%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	265	27	7	248	54	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SD	27%	221	203	41	8	1	3	14	60	2	3	2	202	260	296	556	94	267	27	6	254	58	-11	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.3
2028	29	MLB MLE	SD	37%	272	250	51	10	1	4	18	73	2	4	2	204	263	300	563	96	268	27	7	258	60	-13	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	SD	27%	59	55	11	2	0	1	4	16	0	1	0	200	254	291	545	91	264	27	7	247	58	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	SD	37%	101	92	19	4	0	2	7	27	1	2	1	207	270	315	585	109	265	27	7	250	60	-5	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	160	147	30	6	0	3	11	43	1	3	1	204	264	306	570	102	265	27	7	249	48	-8	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	121	24	0	12	45	175	4	12	4	203	263	303	566	101	263	27	7	249	48	-31	+1	-3	+12	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	1780	1605	308	54	8	20	123	495	31	51	25	192	263	273	536	81	262	28	7	239	48	-25	-0	-2	+9	+11	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	113	20	3	7	45	181	11	19	9	193	263	273	536	80	264	28	7	239	48	-31	-0	-3	+12	+14	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Zabala (OGILVIE)	27	29	35	45	41	198/252/291	93	265	2	3	27%	6%	54	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	42→40	48→30	40	191/248/295	104	256	10	5	29%	6%	53	-2.1	228/293/328	100	322	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	245/316/306	61	355	3	0	29%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	40→38	40	42→50	41	200/256/286	87	277	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	188/252/288	100	262	11	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	153/225/238	85	211	12	11	32%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37→38	37→40	43→45	44	179/255/251	73	251	5	8	29%	7%	47	-2.6	194/257/270	76	290	5	7	32%	7%	51	-2.3	168/234/218	51	258	3	3	33%	7%	28	-2.1
✕Joe Hudson 2018 · AA	27	36	38→45	46→40	45	178/242/259	81	242	5	3	28%	8%	42	-2.9	201/257/311	110	284	11	4	32%	7%	60	-1.6	175/280/306	130	256	18	8	36%	11%	67	-0.3
✕Ali Solis 2015 · AAA	27	40	39→45	45→30	33	198/228/280	82	275	6	5	30%	3%	40	-3.0	180/213/255	75	251	6	4	30%	3%	29	-3.8	194/230/312	118	254	15	2	30%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2010 · AAA	27	41	39→40	43→40	39	202/254/282	80	282	8	4	30%	6%	52	-2.2	216/276/301	85	300	7	3	28%	7%	65	-1.2	210/276/290	80	290	6	0	28%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA	27	40	42→45	44→45	39	197/254/295	99	296	10	6	35%	7%	55	-1.9	198/255/294	96	327	9	8	39%	7%	55	-1.9	157/217/238	81	251	10	4	40%	6%	26	-0.8
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	42	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	223/280/308	85	291	5	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	217/273/283	67	280	2	2	22%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	39→44	42→45	49→50	41	198/251/294	96	258	11	12	28%	6%	53	-2.1	207/272/315	108	259	12	13	24%	7%	67	-1.1	201/270/309	108	245	12	14	23%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	40	43→45	44→40	44	202/271/309	107	256	12	6	25%	7%	65	-1.2	215/285/332	117	272	13	6	25%	7%	76	-0.4	204/266/298	94	236	10	3	18%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Jake Wald 2008 · AA	27	41→42	41→45	48→50	39	201/258/303	103	272	9	10	29%	5%	59	-1.7	195/259/286	91	288	6	9	32%	7%	55	-2.0	179/246/257	79	277	5	7	35%	7%	41	-1.6
✕Chandler Seagle 2023 · AA	27	41	39→40	44→45	38	199/254/282	84	287	6	5	32%	5%	52	-2.2	181/227/257	76	296	6	7	39%	5%	36	-3.4	148/189/203	55	257	3	4	42%	3%	7	-1.6
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	40	41→40	49→55	44	196/256/294	98	264	8	14	28%	7%	55	-1.9	194/262/280	86	289	7	11	33%	7%	55	-2.0	164/237/224	60	253	5	8	35%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	42→45	45→50	39	185/255/296	111	276	9	10	35%	7%	57	-1.8	191/270/296	105	294	8	13	35%	8%	62	-1.4	163/254/261	99	255	6	16	35%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Dan Conway 2007 · AAA	27	41	41→45	45→30	42	200/263/300	100	270	9	5	28%	6%	60	-1.6	203/262/304	101	281	10	7	30%	6%	60	-1.6	152/213/208	56	216	7	0	32%	5%	18	-1.0
✕Alvin Colina 2009 · AAA	27	39	44→45	46→40	37	201/247/314	113	270	12	5	30%	5%	57	-1.8	212/264/329	117	284	13	6	29%	5%	67	-1.1	200/254/309	109	264	13	2	28%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Mike Nickeas 2010 · AAA	27	41	37→40	42→40	46	195/255/268	73	249	5	5	23%	7%	49	-2.4	222/288/307	85	269	7	4	19%	8%	70	-0.8	222/288/298	77	266	6	1	18%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA	27	40	39→30	47→45	44	193/264/277	83	278	6	8	31%	8%	55	-2.0	214/270/320	106	290	9	8	28%	7%	66	-1.1	200/250/316	115	268	9	0	28%	6%	58	-0.3