Jack Payton

C Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 209 lbs AA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1324ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+/A/ROKSF273.253/.391/.3803270—.205/.314/.312
202523A+SF282.252/.357/.4379473—.202/.285/.343
202624AA/A+SF328.269/.346/.3865875—.244/.302/.341
2027PROJMLE25MLBSF4.211/.279/.31600720.0
2028PROJ39% MLB26MLBSF89.215/.283/.32821760.1
2029PROJ53% MLB27MLBSF138.215/.284/.32932770.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Whiff%75
K%67
Z-Con%63
wRC+45
wOBA40
BB%33
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.6, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsBraxton Fulford (age 25) · Dan Butler (age 25) · Abrahan Gutierrez (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .279 / .316
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%7
BABIP281
ISO104
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.20.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.8M $0.9M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 ASan Jose Giants — 4138 7001 281 10 184244263507 79207 205 235 7 — — — — — —
202321 ROKACL Giants Orange — 2925 10200 272 10 400483480963 80556 247 437 84 — — — — — —
202422 A+Eugene Emeralds — 7263 13301 5153 00 206296302597 95250 217 275 36 — — — — — —
202422 ASan Jose Giants — 157122 30912 27307 00 246410385796 139308 1917 367 80 — — — — — —
202422 ROKACL Giants — 4436 13500 6102 20 361477500977 139500 2314 439 87 — — — — — —
202523 A+Eugene Emeralds — 282238 601329 34725 41 252357437794 185315 2612 350 73 — — — — — —
202624 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 297263 711513 26644 82 270345369714 99340 229 321 74 — — — — — —
202624 A+Eugene Emeralds — 3127 7202 371 01 259355556910 296278 2310 396 85 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLESan Jose Giants — 4139 6001 1121 10 154195231426 77181 292 179 7 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL Giants Orange — 2926 7100 1102 10 269345308653 38425 343 293 84 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 7265 12301 3213 00 185254277530 92229 294 222 36 — — — — — —
202422 A MLESan Jose Giants — 157130 26712 19437 00 200333315649 115272 2712 287 80 — — — — — —
202422 ROK MLEACL Giants — 4439 10400 3142 20 256341359700 103387 327 297 87 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 282248 501027 24915 41 202285343628 141263 329 276 73 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLERichmond Flying Squirrels — 297271 671312 18784 82 247304325628 77322 266 278 74 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 3128 6202 291 01 214290500790 286234 296 294 85 — — — — — —
202321 A MLE2 teams — 7064 13101 3213 20 203271266537 62286 304 226 39 — — — — — —
202321 A RAW2 teams — 7063 17201 4153 20 270343349692 79340 216 319 39 — — — — — —
202422 A MLE3 teams — 273233 461312 267812 20 197310288598 90284 2910 271 70 — — — — — —
202422 A RAW3 teams — 273221 561713 385512 20 253391380771 127321 2014 354 70 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 282248 501027 24915 41 202285343628 141277 329 276 73 — — — — — —
202523 A+ RAWEugene Emeralds — 282238 601329 34725 41 252357437794 185315 2612 350 73 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLE2 teams — 328299 721414 20885 83 241299334634 94322 276 280 75 — — — — — —
202624 AA RAW2 teams — 328290 781715 29715 83 269346386732 117335 229 328 75 — — — — — —
202321 A MLE2 teams — 7064 13101 3213 20 203271266537 62282 304 226 39 — — — — — —
202422 A MLE3 teams — 273233 461312 267812 20 197310288598 90279 2910 271 70 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 282251 501027 24915 41 199285339624 139263 329 276 73 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLE2 teams — 328300 721414 20885 83 240299333633 93314 276 280 75 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLE3 teams — 273233 461312 267812 20 197310288598 90279 2910 271 70 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 282251 501027 24915 41 199285339624 139263 329 276 73 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLE2 teams — 328300 721414 20885 83 240299333633 93314 276 280 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLESF 2% 378343 741526 271035 62 215283323606 108285 277 274 72 -13 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXSF 2% 44 1000 010 00 211279316595 104281 250 270 72 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLESF 39% 230208 46915 17623 31 218286336622 118285 277 281 76 -7 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.3
202927 MLB MLESF 53% 262237 511015 19714 41 219287337624 119285 277 281 77 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.4
203028 MLB MLESF 60% 284257 561116 21764 41 218287336623 118284 277 281 76 -8 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.3
203129 MLB MLESF 62% 287260 561116 21774 31 217285333619 116283 277 279 75 -8 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.2
203230 MLB MLESF 63% 289262 571116 21784 32 215283329613 114282 277 277 73 -9 -0 -2 +5 +6 -0.0
202826 MLB CTXSF 39% 8982 18402 6241 10 215283328611 113282 277 276 76 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
202927 MLB CTXSF 53% 138125 27513 10372 21 215284329612 114281 277 277 77 -4 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.2
203028 MLB CTXSF 60% 170154 33713 12462 21 214283327611 113281 277 276 76 -5 +0 -0 +3 +4 0.2
203129 MLB CTXSF 62% 177160 34713 13482 21 213282325607 112280 277 275 75 -5 +0 -1 +3 +4 0.1
203230 MLB CTXSF 63% 181164 35713 13492 21 212280321601 109278 277 272 73 -6 +0 -1 +3 +4 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 755685 14730414 542049 94 215281331612 117282 277 275 73 -22 +0 -3 +13 +16 0.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 12626312 461768 83 214280329608 115281 277 275 73 -19 +0 -2 +12 +14 0.5
Career— MLE — 25072251 486981045 18669747 3611 216289328618 112289 287 276 73 -46 +1 -4 +28 +34 1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 12625312 4818112 93 216289330619 115289 287 276 73 -19 +1 -2 +12 +14 0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 297 PAwOBA .316 → .278 (−38)K% 21.5% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.55%÷1.000×1.220——26.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.42%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9985.88%
HBP% /PA1.35%—×0.850—×0.9981.14%
Singles /BIP26.13%÷1.000×0.970×1.008×0.99825.51%
Doubles /BIP7.54%÷1.000×0.860×1.008×0.9986.52%
Triples /BIP0.50%÷1.000×0.950×1.008×0.9980.48%
Home runs /BIP1.51%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9981.17%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .316 → .278; ISO .099 → .083; BABIP .340 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Eugene Emeralds · 31 PAwOBA .385 → .294 (−90)K% 22.6% → 30.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.58%÷1.000×1.350——30.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.68%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9786.72%
HBP% /PA3.23%—×0.810—×0.9782.56%
Singles /BIP15.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.97813.35%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9788.12%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.820—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9788.12%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .385 → .294; ISO .296 → .225; BABIP .278 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Eugene Emeralds · 282 PAwOBA .346 → .276 (−69)K% 25.5% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.53%÷1.070×1.350——32.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.70%÷0.950×0.710—×0.9888.64%
HBP% /PA1.77%—×0.810—×0.9881.42%
Singles /BIP21.69%÷1.011×0.910×0.977×0.98818.84%
Doubles /BIP7.83%÷1.048×0.830×0.977×0.9885.98%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷0.909×0.820×0.977×0.9881.05%
Home runs /BIP5.42%÷0.980×0.830—×0.9884.53%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 82, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .346 → .276; ISO .185 → .148; BABIP .315 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ASan Jose Giants · 157 PAwOBA .361 → .287 (−74)K% 19.1% → 27.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.11%÷0.957×1.360——27.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.20%÷0.966×0.690—×0.99012.16%
HBP% /PA4.46%—×0.780—×0.9903.44%
Singles /BIP19.57%÷0.961×0.920×0.982×0.99018.21%
Doubles /BIP9.78%÷1.012×0.830×0.982×0.9907.80%
Triples /BIP1.09%÷1.000×0.910×0.982×0.9900.96%
Home runs /BIP2.17%÷0.959×0.800—×0.9901.80%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .361 → .287; ISO .139 → .111; BABIP .308 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Eugene Emeralds · 72 PAwOBA .271 → .222 (−49)K% 20.8% → 29.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.83%÷0.968×1.350——29.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.94%÷1.024×0.710—×0.9984.80%
HBP% /PA4.17%—×0.810—×0.9983.37%
Singles /BIP18.75%÷1.016×0.910×1.035×0.99817.36%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷0.950×0.830×1.035×0.9985.64%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.820×1.035×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP2.08%÷1.010×0.830—×0.9981.71%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .271 → .222; ISO .095 → .077; BABIP .250 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Giants · 44 PAwOBA .428 → .297 (−131)K% 22.7% → 32.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.73%÷0.997×1.440——32.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.64%÷1.062×0.620—×0.9657.68%
HBP% /PA4.55%—×0.720—×0.9653.16%
Singles /BIP30.77%÷1.003×0.820—×0.96524.27%
Doubles /BIP19.23%÷0.927×0.720—×0.96514.42%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.178×0.780—×0.9650.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 101, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .428 → .297; ISO .139 → .099; BABIP .500 → .387. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ASan Jose Giants · 41 PAwOBA .229 → .179 (−50)K% 19.5% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.51%÷0.935×1.360——28.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.88%÷1.011×0.690——3.33%
HBP% /PA2.44%—×0.780——1.90%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.049×0.920——17.54%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.005×0.830——0.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP3.33%÷0.890×0.800——3.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 87, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .229 → .179; ISO .079 → .064; BABIP .207 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Giants Orange · 29 PAwOBA .426 → .293 (−133)K% 24.1% → 33.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.14%÷1.036×1.440——33.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.90%÷1.022×0.620—×0.9754.08%
HBP% /PA6.90%—×0.720—×0.9754.84%
Singles /BIP44.44%÷1.004×0.820—×0.97535.41%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷1.107×0.720—×0.9757.05%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.377×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 175, 1B 101, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .426 → .293; ISO .080 → .047; BABIP .556 → .425. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).