Pedro Pagés

C St. Louis Cardinals
Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 245 lbs MLB HR -14%BB -5% Svc 2.965S2 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202425MLBSTL218.238/.284/.37672860.8
202526MLBSTL389.230/.274/.363110772.1
202627MLBSTL211.217/.278/.31242650.2
2027PROJ28MLBSTL192.216/.273/.34251740.4
2028PROJ82% MLB29MLBSTL179.214/.270/.33641710.2
Last 3 seasons WAR 3.2  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service2.965First FA2031Super-2
2027Arb-1$0.6M2028Arb-2$0.6M2029Ext$2M2030Ext$2M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Bat Spd62
Avg EV34
Barrel%32
xwOBA16
Speed10
CompsChadwick Tromp (age 28) · Tres Barrera (age 28) · Luke Montz (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 7674vR 67
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .273 / .342
PA192
HR5
K%26
BB%6
BABIP267
ISO136
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +2.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.50.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT40
xAVG
100.215
POWER45
Barrel%
325.9
Avg EV
3487.9
Bat Spd
6272.6
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED35
Sprint
1025.5
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 649 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
195
454
—
wRC+
77
82
▶R
wOBA
282
290
—
ISO
111
151
▶▶R
BABIP
336
274
◀◀L
K%
28.7%
25.6%
▶R
BB%
4.6%
5.3%
▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut   2024
Service   2.965 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$0.6M+0.5$2M+$1M
2028Arb-2$0.6M+0.2$0.7M+$0.2M
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $1M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202122 A+Peoria Chiefs — 344301 751219 34827 12 249339385725 136311 2410 327 59 — — — — — —
202223 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 170153 34804 14460 00 222287353640 131283 278 284 38 — — — — — —
202223 AASpringfield Cardinals — 167138 32706 24561 10 232350413763 181325 3414 336 71 — — — — — —
202223 INTLSalt River Rafters — 4843 12401 490 00 279340442782 163324 198 340 117 — — — — — —
202324 AASpringfield Cardinals — 497424 11323216 59968 30 267367443810 177305 1912 359 81 — — — — — —
202425 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 218202 48327 13580 20 238284376660 139295 276 290 86 -4 +0 +2 +4 +5 0.8
202425 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 2418 4201 551 00 222417500917 278250 2121 407 103 — — — — — —
202526 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 389361 8315011 191073 00 230274363637 133293 285 281 77 -11 +0 +16 +7 +8 2.1
202627 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 211189 41604 14562 20 217278312590 95282 277 262 65 -9 +0 +2 +4 +5 0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 818752 17224222 462215 40 229278354631 125291 276 278 75 -25 +1 +20 +15 +18 3.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202122 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 344311 641017 241117 12 206278312590 106283 327 256 59 — — — — — —
202223 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 170157 30703 10570 00 191240293533 102252 346 225 38 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 167146 29605 16671 10 199282342625 144291 4010 273 71 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 497443 9919212 401198 30 223299357656 133266 248 288 81 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 218202 49328 13580 20 243288396684 153295 276 296 86 -4 +0 +2 +4 +5 0.8
202425 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 2420 4201 361 00 200333450783 250227 2512 321 103 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 389362 8314012 181073 00 229272367639 138293 285 282 77 -11 +0 +16 +7 +8 2.1
202627 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 211189 41604 14562 20 217278312590 95282 277 265 65 -9 +0 +2 +4 +5 0.2
202122 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 344311 641017 241117 12 206278312590 106292 327 256 59 — — — — — —
202122 A+ RAWPeoria Chiefs — 344301 751219 34827 12 249339385725 136311 2410 327 59 — — — — — —
202223 AAA MLE3 teams — 385346 661508 301411 10 191257303561 113283 378 249 55 — — — — — —
202223 AAA RAW3 teams — 385334 7819011 421111 10 234321389710 156305 2911 314 55 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 497443 9919212 401198 30 223299357656 133274 248 288 81 — — — — — —
202324 AA RAWSpringfield Cardinals — 497424 11323216 59968 30 267367443810 177305 1912 359 81 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 242222 52528 16641 20 234289383672 149289 267 298 88 -3 +0 +2 +4 +5 0.9
202425 MLB RAW2 teams — 242220 52528 18631 20 236297386683 150291 267 302 88 -3 +0 +2 +4 +5 0.9
202526 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 389362 8314012 181073 00 229272367639 138289 285 282 77 -11 +0 +16 +7 +8 2.1
202526 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 389361 8315011 191073 00 230274363637 133293 285 281 77 -11 +0 +16 +7 +8 2.1
202627 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 211189 41604 14562 20 217278312590 95282 277 265 65 -9 +0 +2 +4 +5 0.2
202627 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 211189 41604 14562 20 217278312590 95282 277 262 65 -9 +0 +2 +4 +5 0.2
202122 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 344310 641017 241117 12 206278313591 106283 327 256 59 — — — — — —
202223 AAA MLE3 teams — 385351 661508 301411 10 188257299556 111271 378 249 55 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 497446 9919212 401198 30 222299354654 132266 248 288 81 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 242223 52528 16641 20 233289381670 148288 267 298 88 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 389365 8314012 181073 00 227272364636 137293 285 282 77 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 211193 41604 14562 20 212278306584 93282 277 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 242223 52528 16641 20 233289381670 148288 267 298 88 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 389365 8314012 181073 00 227272364636 137293 285 282 77 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 211193 41604 14562 20 212278306584 93282 277 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLESTL 100% 301276 601018 19763 21 217273347620 130266 256 277 74 -9 +0 +4 +5 +7 0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXSTL 100% 192176 39715 12492 10 216273342615 126267 266 275 74 -6 +0 +2 +3 +4 0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLESTL 82% 218200 44716 14562 10 214270341611 126264 266 273 71 -7 +0 +1 +4 +5 0.3
202829 MLB CTXSTL 82% 179165 34604 11461 10 214270336606 122266 266 271 71 -6 +0 +1 +3 +4 0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 997917 20630226 572676 50 225274347621 122285 276 277 71 -31 +1 +21 +18 +22 3.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650598 13420117 371744 30 224274346620 122284 276 277 71 -20 +1 +14 +12 +14 2.1
Career— MLE — 24782249 48782762 16870326 112 217279342621 125282 287 273 71 -38 +1 +24 +22 +27 3.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 12822216 441847 31 217280342622 125282 287 273 71 -20 +1 +13 +12 +14 1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 24 PAwOBA .398 → .321 (−77)K% 20.8% → 26.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.83%÷0.953×1.200——26.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.83%÷1.014×0.690—×1.01814.43%
HBP% /PA4.17%—×0.940—×1.0183.99%
Singles /BIP7.69%÷0.991×0.930—×1.0187.35%
Doubles /BIP15.38%÷0.920×0.830—×1.01814.13%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970—×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP7.69%÷1.020×0.700—×1.0185.37%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 84, 3B 130, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .398 → .321; ISO .278 → .223; BABIP .250 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AASpringfield Cardinals · 497 PAwOBA .352 → .288 (−64)K% 19.3% → 23.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.32%÷0.987×1.220——23.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.47%÷1.003×0.700—×0.9987.99%
HBP% /PA1.61%—×0.870—×0.9981.40%
Singles /BIP21.95%÷0.997×0.920×0.985×0.99819.91%
Doubles /BIP7.01%÷1.031×0.840×0.985×0.9985.62%
Triples /BIP0.61%÷0.900×0.940×0.985×0.9980.63%
Home runs /BIP4.88%÷1.080×0.800—×0.9983.61%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 99, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .352 → .288; ISO .177 → .138; BABIP .305 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 170 PAwOBA .281 → .225 (−56)K% 27.1% → 33.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.06%÷0.976×1.200——33.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.24%÷1.053×0.690—×1.0485.65%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0480.00%
Singles /BIP20.56%÷1.051×0.930×0.993×1.04818.95%
Doubles /BIP7.48%÷1.019×0.830×0.993×1.0486.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970×0.993×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP3.74%÷1.048×0.700—×1.0482.62%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 110, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .281 → .225; ISO .131 → .096; BABIP .283 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AASpringfield Cardinals · 167 PAwOBA .336 → .273 (−62)K% 33.5% → 40.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.53%÷1.024×1.220——39.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.37%÷1.044×0.700—×1.0129.76%
HBP% /PA0.60%—×0.870—×1.0120.53%
Singles /BIP23.17%÷1.012×0.920×0.994×1.01221.18%
Doubles /BIP8.54%÷0.935×0.840×0.994×1.0127.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.940×0.994×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP7.32%÷1.069×0.800—×1.0125.54%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 102, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 105, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .336 → .273; ISO .181 → .147; BABIP .325 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Peoria Chiefs · 344 PAwOBA .321 → .256 (−65)K% 23.8% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.84%÷1.000×1.350——32.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.88%÷0.984×0.710—×0.9987.11%
HBP% /PA2.03%—×0.810—×0.9981.64%
Singles /BIP24.20%÷0.988×0.910×1.011×0.99822.48%
Doubles /BIP5.48%÷0.945×0.830×1.011×0.9984.86%
Triples /BIP0.46%÷1.150×0.820×1.011×0.9980.33%
Home runs /BIP4.11%÷1.063×0.830—×0.9983.20%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .321 → .256; ISO .136 → .102; BABIP .311 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .