Pedro Pagés — OGILVIE

Pedro PagésC St. Louis Cardinals

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 245 lbs MLB HR -7%K -4% Svc 1.965 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 1.2 · 2026

wRC+†vL 6965vR 70

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .265 / .350

PA400

HR12

K%27

BB%6

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

45→45

SPD

35→35

EYE

40↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.965 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$10M	+$9M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$8M	+$7M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$4M	+$2M
2029	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.3M
2030	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$26M	+$19M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	344	311	63	10	0	7	24	111	7	1	2	.203	.275	.302	.577	.100	.287	32	7	.257	55	-18	-1	+0	+6	+10	-0.2
2022	23	AAA	3 teams	385	347	63	14	0	9	29	147	1	1	0	.182	.247	.300	.546	.118	.271	38	8	.244	45	-24	+0	+0	+7	+11	-0.6
2023	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	497	443	98	18	2	13	40	126	8	3	0	.221	.297	.359	.656	.138	.274	25	8	.291	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.3
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	242	222	52	5	2	8	16	64	1	2	0	.234	.289	.383	.672	.149	.289	26	7	.289	79	-6	+0	+2	+4	+7	0.8
2025	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	389	361	84	14	0	12	19	107	3	0	0	.233	.277	.371	.648	.139	.294	28	5	.280	72	-12	+0	+16	+7	+11	2.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	55	49	10	2	0	1	2	12	2	1	0	.204	.264	.306	.570	.102	.243	22	4	.249	49	-3	+0	+2	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	27	MLB	STL	345	319	68	11	1	10	19	90	4	3	1	.213	.266	.348	.614	.135	.262	26	6	.273	67	-13	+0	+7	+6	+10	1.1
TOT	27	MLB	STL	400	368	78	13	1	11	21	102	6	4	1	.212	.266	.342	.608	.130	.260	26	5	.270	65	-16	+0	+9	+7	+11	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB	STL	406	376	79	13	1	11	23	96	4	2	0	.210	.263	.338	.601	.128	.252	24	6	.272	67	-15	+0	+7	+7	+12	1.1
2028	29	MLB	STL	401	371	77	12	1	11	23	96	4	2	0	.208	.261	.334	.596	.127	.251	24	6	.270	65	-16	+0	+7	+7	+11	1.0
2029	30	MLB	STL	397	367	76	12	1	11	23	96	4	1	0	.207	.261	.335	.597	.128	.249	24	6	.267	63	-17	+0	+6	+7	+11	0.8
2030	31	MLB	STL	371	343	70	11	1	10	21	92	4	0	0	.204	.258	.329	.588	.125	.248	25	6	.263	60	-17	+0	+5	+7	+11	0.5
2031	32	MLB	STL	341	316	64	10	1	9	19	86	3	0	0	.203	.254	.326	.580	.123	.246	25	6	.259	56	-17	+0	+3	+6	+10	0.2
2032	33	MLB	STL	303	280	56	9	1	7	17	79	3	0	0	.200	.253	.314	.568	.114	.245	26	6	.253	52	-16	+0	+2	+5	+9	-0.1
2033	34	MLB	STL	254	236	46	7	1	6	14	68	2	0	0	.195	.246	.309	.555	.114	.243	27	6	.247	47	-15	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4675	4292	896	146	12	124	287	1258	48	15	3	.209	.266	.335	.601	.126	.262	27	6	.267	63	-196	+2	+55	+83	+132	7.7
/ 162G	—			650	597	124	20	2	17	40	175	7	2	0	.208	.266	.333	.599	.126	.261	27	6	.267	63	-27	+0	+8	+12	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	344	301	75	12	1	9	34	82	7	1	2	.249	.339	.385	.725	.136	.311	24	10	.327	109	+3	-1	—	—	+10	1.3
2022	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	170	153	34	8	0	4	14	46	0	0	0	.222	.287	.353	.640	.131	.283	27	8	.284	75	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2022	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	167	138	32	7	0	6	24	56	1	1	0	.232	.350	.413	.763	.181	.325	34	14	.336	115	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2022	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	48	43	12	4	0	1	4	9	0	0	0	.279	.340	.442	.782	.163	.324	19	8	.340	119	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	497	424	113	23	2	16	59	96	8	3	0	.267	.367	.443	.810	.177	.305	19	12	.359	133	+18	+1	—	—	+14	3.4
2024	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	218	202	48	3	2	7	13	58	0	2	0	.238	.284	.376	.660	.139	.295	27	6	.290	80	-5	+0	+2	+4	+6	0.8
2024	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	24	18	4	2	0	1	5	5	1	0	0	.222	.417	.500	.917	.278	.250	21	21	.407	170	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	389	361	83	15	0	11	19	107	3	0	0	.230	.274	.363	.637	.133	.293	28	5	.281	73	-12	+0	+16	+7	+11	2.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			607	563	131	18	2	18	32	165	3	2	0	.233	.278	.368	.645	.135	.294	27	5	.284	76	-17	+0	+18	+11	+17	3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pedro Pagés (OGILVIE)	27	40	45	35	35	.212/.264/.344	.133	.252	11	3	23%	6%	67	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alan Trejo 2023 · MLB	27	42→44	51→50	40→45	37	.219/.258/.384	.164	.275	19	5	28%	4%	75	-0.0	.220/.270/.354	.134	.282	14	8	27%	6%	72	-0.2	.211/.267/.334	.124	.270	13	7	26%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Alberto Concepcion 2008 · AAA	27	41	45	39→30	40	.208/.265/.328	.120	.277	13	4	29%	6%	63	-0.9	.225/.288/.352	.127	.285	13	5	25%	6%	79	+0.3	.235/.304/.347	.113	.289	11	2	22%	7%	83	+0.2
●Luke Montz 2010 · MLB	27	39→45	47→55	38→40	46	.204/.269/.338	.134	.255	16	3	27%	8%	67	-0.5	.207/.277/.366	.159	.253	20	5	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.202/.277/.410	.208	.237	29	4	29%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Eli Whiteside 2007 · AAA	27	41	44→50	38→40	37	.210/.245/.328	.119	.259	12	4	25%	3%	54	-1.4	.213/.250/.336	.123	.268	13	5	25%	4%	58	-1.2	.202/.255/.328	.127	.261	13	3	28%	5%	54	-0.5
✕Brad Davis 2010 · AAA	27	40	46→50	42→45	44	.203/.262/.340	.136	.259	13	3	27%	7%	65	-0.7	.216/.268/.339	.123	.281	12	5	26%	6%	66	-0.6	.213/.264/.319	.106	.279	10	4	26%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Jett Bandy 2016 · AAA	26	44	47→50	40→45	41	.223/.281/.355	.133	.264	15	3	22%	4%	78	+0.2	.225/.284/.362	.137	.267	16	5	22%	5%	80	+0.4	.218/.281/.353	.135	.256	17	4	22%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2008 · AAA	26	41	46→50	39→40	40	.211/.259/.336	.125	.271	15	5	28%	5%	63	-0.9	.217/.272/.336	.119	.272	12	4	24%	6%	68	-0.5	.227/.285/.373	.146	.267	19	2	23%	6%	80	+0.1
✕Francisco Peña 2017 · MLB	27	39→43	50→55	42→40	41	.208/.244/.353	.145	.231	19	4	21%	4%	60	-1.0	.224/.259/.360	.136	.264	16	5	22%	4%	68	-0.5	.225/.256/.375	.150	.260	20	3	22%	4%	66	-0.2
✕Chadwick Tromp 2023 · MLB	28	39	50	43→40	38	.211/.243/.356	.145	.255	19	4	27%	4%	60	-1.0	.215/.269/.346	.131	.269	16	3	26%	7%	69	-0.4	.204/.265/.315	.111	.259	13	1	26%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2012 · AAA	28	45→44	44→45	38→40	44	.221/.275/.338	.117	.264	11	4	21%	6%	69	-0.4	.210/.255/.320	.110	.254	10	4	21%	5%	56	-1.3	.220/.265/.328	.108	.255	11	2	18%	5%	59	-0.4
✕Russell Mitchell 2012 · MLB	27	42→45	48→55	42→45	45	.218/.269/.361	.143	.250	16	3	21%	6%	73	-0.1	.204/.276/.318	.114	.265	11	5	26%	9%	66	-0.6	.157/.252/.225	.068	.228	4	0	30%	11%	30	-1.4
✕Lucas May 2012 · MLB	27	42	47→55	43→45	41	.213/.269/.347	.134	.281	15	6	29%	6%	69	-0.4	.195/.233/.302	.107	.269	10	6	30%	4%	42	-2.3	.180/.207/.267	.087	.253	7	3	31%	3%	20	-1.5
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	41	44→45	43→40	44	.207/.270/.318	.111	.255	12	5	24%	6%	63	-0.9	.215/.284/.339	.124	.270	15	6	25%	7%	75	-0.0	.207/.269/.313	.106	.237	12	3	18%	6%	59	-0.4
✕Dustin Garneau 2015 · AAA	27	40→38	45→50	43→45	47	.202/.267/.328	.126	.228	13	6	19%	6%	64	-0.8	.208/.265/.351	.143	.240	17	5	21%	6%	69	-0.4	.184/.263/.355	.171	.225	21	0	29%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Wyatt Toregas 2010 · MLB	27	45→38	46→45	43→40	45	.227/.280/.352	.125	.260	15	4	20%	6%	75	-0.0	.209/.260/.321	.112	.251	12	5	22%	5%	59	-1.1	.175/.219/.272	.098	.192	13	0	18%	4%	29	-0.6
✕Luis Exposito 2014 · MLB	27	44→49	43→50	39→30	42	.218/.260/.330	.112	.272	11	3	24%	5%	60	-1.0	.213/.270/.322	.109	.291	10	6	29%	7%	63	-0.9	.184/.260/.269	.085	.269	6	0	32%	8%	43	-0.7
✕Zach Houchins 2019 · AAA	26	42→43	51→55	41→40	40	.222/.260/.377	.155	.260	19	5	24%	4%	73	-0.1	.208/.244/.345	.137	.275	16	6	30%	4%	58	-1.2	.188/.219/.312	.124	.254	14	2	32%	3%	36	-1.8
✕Grayson Greiner 2020 · MLB	27	41	45	44→30	45	.208/.272/.325	.117	.274	13	3	28%	8%	65	-0.7	.200/.264/.316	.116	.307	13	4	37%	7%	59	-1.1	.177/.244/.263	.086	.329	9	1	46%	8%	34	-0.9
✕Jackson Williams 2013 · AAA	27	38	45	40	40	.196/.248/.311	.115	.253	13	3	28%	5%	51	-1.7	.204/.256/.307	.103	.260	10	4	25%	6%	53	-1.5	.198/.259/.273	.075	.254	6	2	23%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Patrick Brady 2015 · AAA	27	43	46→50	43→45	40	.218/.263/.347	.129	.278	14	8	27%	5%	66	-0.6	.214/.264/.324	.110	.301	9	12	30%	6%	61	-1.0	.209/.266/.301	.092	.301	4	14	30%	7%	52	-0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)