Pedro Pagés — OGILVIE

Pedro PagésC St. Louis Cardinals

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 245 lbs MLB HR -14%BB -5% Svc 1.965 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION198 act + 27 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 7371vR 64

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .296 / .400

PA27

HR1

K%26

BB%7

BABIP267

ISO160

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

659.4%

xAVG

100.214

POWER45

Barrel%

335.9

Avg EV

3588.0

Bat Spd

6272.6

EYE35

Chase%

6329.2%

SPEED35

Sprint

1025.4

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%27%▼29% over 38 PA (60d) · proj 26%

BB%8%▲▲13% over 38 PA (60d) · proj 6%

ISO.115▼.000 over 33 AB (60d) · proj .139xISO .113 vs .132 prior — approach backs the move

BABIP.271·.318 over 22 BIP (60d) · proj .269xBABIP .224 vs .250 prior

SLASH.211/.278/.327▼proj .220/.272/.359

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 649 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

195

454

—

wRC+

▶R

wOBA

282

290

—

ISO

111

151

▶▶R

BABIP

336

274

◀◀L

28.7%

25.6%

▶R

BB%

4.6%

5.3%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.965 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.7M
2029	Arb-2	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	344	301	75	12	1	9	34	82	7	1	2	249	339	385	725	136	311	24	10	327	108	+3	-1	—	—	+7	1.0
2022	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	170	153	34	8	0	4	14	46	0	0	0	222	287	353	640	131	283	27	8	284	78	-4	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2022	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	167	138	32	7	0	6	24	56	1	1	0	232	350	413	763	181	325	34	14	336	114	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2022	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	48	43	12	4	0	1	4	9	0	0	0	279	340	442	782	163	324	19	8	340	117	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	497	424	113	23	2	16	59	96	8	3	0	267	367	443	810	177	305	19	12	359	129	+17	+1	—	—	+11	2.9
2024	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	218	202	48	3	2	7	13	58	0	2	0	238	284	376	660	139	295	27	6	290	83	-5	+0	+2	+4	+5	0.7
2024	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	24	18	4	2	0	1	5	5	1	0	0	222	417	500	917	278	250	21	21	407	162	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	389	361	83	15	0	11	19	107	3	0	0	230	274	363	637	133	293	28	5	281	76	-11	+0	+16	+7	+8	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	607	563	131	18	2	18	32	165	3	2	0	233	278	368	645	135	294	27	5	284	78	-16	+0	+18	+11	+13	2.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	344	311	64	10	1	7	24	111	7	1	2	206	278	312	590	106	284	32	7	256	59	-17	-1	—	—	+7	-1.0
2022	23	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	170	158	28	6	0	3	9	57	0	0	0	177	222	272	494	95	240	34	5	215	32	-14	+0	—	—	+4	-1.0
2022	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	167	146	29	7	0	4	16	67	1	1	0	199	282	329	611	130	294	40	10	273	71	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2023	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	497	444	101	19	2	12	39	119	8	3	0	227	301	360	662	133	273	24	8	291	83	-10	+1	—	—	+11	0.1
2024	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	218	202	49	3	2	8	13	58	0	2	0	243	288	396	684	153	295	27	6	293	85	-4	+0	+2	+4	+5	0.8
2024	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	24	20	4	2	0	1	3	6	1	0	0	200	333	450	783	250	223	25	12	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	389	361	84	15	0	12	19	107	3	0	0	233	277	374	651	141	293	28	5	281	76	-11	+0	+16	+7	+8	2.1
2021	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	344	311	64	10	1	7	24	111	7	1	2	206	278	312	590	106	292	32	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	344	301	75	12	1	9	34	82	7	1	2	249	339	385	725	136	311	24	10	327	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	385	347	65	15	0	8	29	141	1	1	0	187	252	300	552	112	277	37	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	385	334	78	19	0	11	42	111	1	1	0	234	321	389	710	156	305	29	11	314	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	497	444	101	19	2	12	39	119	8	3	0	227	301	360	662	133	279	24	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	497	424	113	23	2	16	59	96	8	3	0	267	367	443	810	177	305	19	12	359	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	242	222	52	5	2	8	16	64	1	2	0	234	289	383	672	149	289	26	7	296	86	-4	+0	+2	+4	+5	0.8
2024	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	242	220	52	5	2	8	18	63	1	2	0	236	297	386	683	150	291	26	7	302	86	-4	+0	+2	+4	+5	0.8
2025	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	389	361	84	15	0	12	19	107	3	0	0	233	277	374	651	141	294	28	5	281	76	-11	+0	+16	+7	+8	2.1
2025	26	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	389	361	83	15	0	11	19	107	3	0	0	230	274	363	637	133	293	28	5	281	76	-11	+0	+16	+7	+8	2.1
2021	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	344	310	64	10	1	7	24	111	7	1	2	206	278	313	591	106	284	32	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	385	352	65	15	0	8	29	141	1	1	0	185	252	295	547	111	267	37	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	497	447	101	19	2	12	39	119	8	3	0	226	301	358	659	132	273	24	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	242	223	52	5	2	8	16	64	1	2	0	233	289	381	670	148	288	26	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	389	364	84	15	0	12	19	107	3	0	0	231	277	371	648	140	293	28	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	497	447	101	19	2	12	39	119	8	3	0	226	301	358	659	132	273	24	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	242	223	52	5	2	8	16	64	1	2	0	233	289	381	670	148	288	26	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	389	364	84	15	0	12	19	107	3	0	0	231	277	371	648	140	293	28	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	STL	—	198	179	38	6	0	4	11	52	2	2	0	212	266	313	578	101	272	26	6	257	60	-9	+0	+2	+4	+4	0.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	STL	—	198	179	38	6	0	4	11	52	2	2	0	212	266	313	578	101	272	26	6	255	60	-9	+0	+2	+4	+4	0.1
YTD	27	MLB RAW	STL	—	198	179	38	6	0	4	11	52	2	2	0	212	266	313	578	101	272	26	6	255	59	-10	+0	+2	+4	+4	0.1
ROS	27	MLB MLE	STL	100%	27	25	6	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	240	296	400	696	160	268	26	7	274	71	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	STL	100%	27	25	6	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	240	296	400	696	160	267	26	7	263	71	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	STL	—	225	204	44	7	0	5	13	59	2	2	0	216	269	324	593	108	275	26	6	256	61	-10	+0	+3	+4	+5	0.2
TOT	27	MLB MLE	STL	—	225	204	44	7	0	5	13	59	2	2	0	216	269	324	593	108	275	26	6	259	61	-10	+0	+3	+4	+5	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	STL	92%	398	368	80	13	1	11	24	104	3	3	1	217	271	348	619	130	268	26	6	274	72	-13	+0	+4	+7	+9	0.7
2028	29	MLB MLE	STL	92%	394	364	78	13	1	10	24	103	3	3	0	214	269	338	606	124	267	26	6	272	70	-14	+1	+3	+7	+9	0.6
2029	30	MLB MLE	STL	92%	391	361	76	12	1	10	24	103	3	2	0	211	265	332	598	122	266	26	6	269	68	-15	+0	+3	+7	+8	0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	STL	92%	366	338	72	12	1	9	22	95	3	3	0	213	267	334	602	121	267	26	6	264	72	-12	+1	+4	+7	+8	0.7
2028	29	MLB CTX	STL	92%	362	334	72	12	1	9	22	95	3	2	0	216	270	338	609	123	266	26	6	262	70	-13	+0	+3	+6	+8	0.5
2029	30	MLB CTX	STL	92%	360	332	70	11	1	9	22	95	3	2	0	211	266	331	597	120	265	26	6	259	68	-14	+0	+2	+6	+8	0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1722	1592	351	54	5	46	100	457	12	9	0	220	272	347	619	127	277	27	6	270	71	-55	+2	+28	+31	+37	4.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	132	20	2	17	38	173	5	3	0	220	272	344	617	125	277	27	6	270	71	-21	+1	+10	+12	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3067	2803	606	103	8	79	201	859	29	15	3	216	276	343	619	127	279	28	7	273	71	-59	+2	+29	+33	+39	4.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	129	22	2	17	43	182	6	3	1	217	277	347	624	130	279	28	7	273	71	-21	+1	+10	+12	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1René Riveralast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	42	1	221	273	354	+29	+90	11.7	11.8
/162	664	17	0	+11.9	+37.2	4.9	pk7: 12
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.4	2,281	62	13	220	268	348	+41	+47	3.0	3.0
/162	664	18	4	+11.9	+13.8	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pedro Pagés (OGILVIE)	27	40	45	35	35	214/267/340	126	268	10	3	26%	6%	71	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Pérez 2020 · MLB	27	44	46→50	36→40	46	222/283/348	126	282	14	3	26%	8%	78	-0.3	194/263/328	134	249	16	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	170/248/285	115	218	16	1	30%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Jeff Mathis 2010 · MLB	27	41→46	45→50	40→45	47	207/277/322	116	262	13	5	26%	8%	71	-0.8	199/248/309	110	261	12	6	27%	6%	56	-1.9	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Alberto Concepcion 2008 · AAA	27	41	44→45	39→30	41	206/264/322	116	269	12	3	28%	6%	65	-1.2	226/290/345	119	284	12	6	24%	6%	80	-0.1	235/305/338	103	289	10	2	21%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Jett Bandy 2016 · AAA	26	44	46→50	40→45	41	225/283/354	129	267	15	3	22%	4%	80	-0.1	224/283/359	135	266	16	5	22%	5%	82	-0.0	215/279/349	134	253	17	4	22%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2008 · AAA	26	41	44→45	39→40	41	207/259/324	117	268	13	5	28%	6%	64	-1.3	215/272/325	110	272	11	4	24%	6%	69	-0.9	221/280/350	129	265	16	2	23%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Yu Chang 2023 · MLB	27	45→44	49→50	42→45	43	226/291/379	153	297	17	5	29%	7%	88	+0.5	223/283/376	153	288	20	12	29%	7%	85	+0.2	189/224/339	150	218	25	18	28%	3%	53	-0.7
✕Alan Trejo 2023 · MLB	27	43→44	51→55	40→45	37	223/262/389	166	277	18	5	27%	4%	80	-0.2	220/271/350	130	283	14	9	26%	6%	74	-0.5	210/265/331	121	269	13	7	26%	6%	65	-0.7
✕Chadwick Tromp 2023 · MLB	28	39	48→45	42→40	38	208/242/342	134	254	17	4	26%	4%	61	-1.5	212/269/330	118	271	13	3	26%	7%	69	-0.9	200/262/302	101	259	11	1	26%	8%	57	-0.8
✕Lucas May 2012 · MLB	27	41→43	47→55	43→45	42	211/269/345	134	276	15	6	29%	7%	72	-0.7	195/233/297	102	269	9	6	30%	4%	47	-2.5	178/206/260	81	252	6	3	31%	3%	26	-1.6
✕Aramis Garcia 2019 · MLB	26	42→41	49→50	43→45	37	220/260/363	143	290	18	2	31%	4%	73	-0.6	209/259/347	138	304	17	3	35%	6%	70	-0.9	192/231/311	119	253	16	3	31%	3%	48	-0.8
✕Adam Abraham 2014 · AAA	27	44→46	44→50	40	44	220/280/339	120	289	11	4	28%	7%	75	-0.5	223/280/327	104	278	9	7	22%	7%	72	-0.7	216/273/304	88	249	8	2	16%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Luke Montz 2010 · MLB	27	38→45	46→55	37→40	47	198/263/323	125	244	14	3	25%	8%	65	-1.2	205/275/356	151	250	19	5	26%	8%	78	-0.3	201/276/399	198	236	27	4	28%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Dan Butler 2014 · AAA	27	42→39	46→45	44→40	47	212/278/340	128	252	14	4	22%	7%	75	-0.5	212/274/308	96	276	7	3	24%	7%	66	-1.1	212/282/298	86	268	7	0	22%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Francisco Peña 2017 · MLB	27	40→46	48→50	42→40	42	209/247/343	134	234	16	4	20%	4%	63	-1.3	224/260/354	130	267	15	6	22%	4%	71	-0.8	224/255/368	144	261	19	3	23%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Russell Mitchell 2012 · MLB	27	42→46	48→55	41→45	46	217/272/359	141	249	16	3	20%	6%	77	-0.3	204/279/317	113	265	11	5	26%	9%	70	-0.8	158/251/226	68	224	3	0	28%	10%	38	-1.4
✕Kevin Richardson 2008 · AA	27	41	49→50	42→40	39	212/273/348	136	283	18	4	31%	6%	75	-0.5	197/249/330	133	294	17	4	37%	5%	61	-1.5	179/227/316	137	294	18	1	44%	4%	47	-1.1
✕Chad Wallach 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	44→50	42→40	42	200/266/312	112	273	12	4	31%	7%	64	-1.3	214/284/340	126	298	14	5	31%	8%	77	-0.3	191/260/331	140	266	19	2	35%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Brad Davis 2010 · AAA	27	40	45→50	42→45	44	201/260/328	127	252	11	3	25%	7%	65	-1.2	218/270/336	118	284	11	5	26%	6%	70	-0.8	214/266/322	108	281	10	4	26%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Jesus Flores 2013 · MLB	28	42→38	44→50	41→30	40	211/247/328	118	259	12	4	24%	4%	59	-1.6	192/231/286	94	249	9	4	26%	4%	44	-2.8	158/189/223	65	209	7	0	28%	3%	10	-1.8
✕Martín Maldonado 2014 · MLB	27	43→51	46→50	41→40	43	217/279/341	124	272	14	4	26%	6%	76	-0.4	217/296/341	124	274	14	4	25%	9%	82	+0.0	216/293/363	148	265	18	1	25%	8%	84	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps