Johanfran Garcia

Johanfran GarciaC Portland Sea Dogs

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 196 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION348 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP308

ISO145

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED31

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$6M	+$3M
2033	Arb-2	$6M	+1.0	$5M	+$2M
2034	Arb-3	$8M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$13M		$27M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	161	138	37	7	1	0	21	25	1	0	1	268	369	333	702	65	325	16	13	324	106	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	18	A	Salem Red Sox	—	68	59	12	3	0	1	5	24	2	3	0	203	288	305	593	102	306	35	7	267	67	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	179	149	45	10	2	5	19	37	9	3	1	302	412	497	909	195	367	21	11	400	157	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.7
2024	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	60	52	20	5	0	2	6	15	2	0	0	385	467	596	1.063	212	514	25	10	467	202	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.9
2025	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	196	173	43	4	0	9	18	60	3	1	0	249	330	428	758	179	321	31	9	336	113	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	42	38	12	3	0	3	1	8	1	0	0	316	350	632	982	316	310	19	2	404	159	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	80	67	15	5	0	2	12	17	1	0	0	224	350	388	738	164	271	21	15	337	114	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	161	146	28	5	1	0	13	38	1	0	1	192	263	240	502	48	247	24	8	223	37	-12	-0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2023	18	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	68	61	9	2	0	1	3	35	2	3	0	148	212	230	442	82	273	51	4	193	17	-7	+1	—	—	+1	-0.5
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	179	156	33	6	1	4	12	54	9	3	1	212	305	340	645	128	280	30	7	280	76	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2024	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	60	54	16	3	0	2	4	22	2	0	0	296	367	463	830	167	465	37	7	348	122	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	20	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	196	180	31	2	0	6	11	86	3	1	0	172	232	283	515	111	274	44	6	227	40	-14	+0	—	—	+4	-1.0
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	42	38	10	2	0	3	1	12	1	0	0	263	300	553	853	289	230	29	2	320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	161	146	28	5	1	0	13	38	1	0	1	192	263	240	502	48	257	24	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Red	—	161	138	37	7	1	0	21	25	1	0	1	268	369	333	702	65	325	16	13	324	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	247	217	42	8	1	5	15	88	11	6	1	194	280	309	589	115	289	36	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	247	208	57	13	2	6	24	61	11	6	1	274	379	442	821	168	352	25	10	364	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	60	54	16	3	0	2	4	22	2	0	0	296	367	463	830	167	467	37	7	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	60	52	20	5	0	2	6	15	2	0	0	385	467	596	1.063	212	514	25	10	467	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	318	293	54	6	0	11	16	131	5	1	0	184	239	317	556	133	277	41	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	318	278	70	12	0	14	31	85	5	1	0	252	338	446	784	194	306	27	10	345	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	—	161	146	28	5	1	0	13	38	1	0	1	192	263	240	502	48	247	24	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	247	219	42	8	1	5	15	88	11	6	1	192	280	306	586	114	278	36	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	60	54	16	3	0	2	4	22	2	0	0	296	367	463	830	167	465	37	7	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	318	294	54	6	0	11	16	131	5	1	0	184	239	316	555	133	266	41	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	247	219	42	8	1	5	15	88	11	6	1	192	280	306	586	114	278	36	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	60	54	16	3	0	2	4	22	2	0	0	296	367	463	830	167	465	37	7	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	318	294	54	6	0	11	16	131	5	1	0	184	239	316	555	133	266	41	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA MLE	BOS	—	348	327	75	10	0	13	15	126	5	4	1	229	274	379	653	150	328	36	4	283	78	-9	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	AA RAW	BOS	—	348	320	91	13	0	18	22	103	5	4	1	284	340	494	834	209	365	30	6	366	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	AA MLE	BOS	2%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		302	33	0	280	76	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	AA MLE	BOS	—	357	336	76	10	0	13	15	129	5	4	1	226	270	372	642	146	323	36	4	283	78	-10	+0	-0	+6	+8	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BOS	32%	387	359	81	12	1	14	20	128	5	3	1	226	276	382	658	156	301	33	5	291	83	-8	+0	-0	+7	+8	0.8
2028	23	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	450	416	96	15	1	17	25	143	6	4	1	231	284	394	678	163	301	32	6	298	88	-6	+0	-0	+8	+10	1.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	489	450	104	16	1	19	29	152	7	4	1	231	288	398	686	167	301	31	6	304	92	-5	+0	-0	+9	+11	1.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	BOS	59%	507	465	109	17	1	20	30	155	7	4	1	234	291	404	695	170	301	31	6	307	94	-4	+0	-0	+9	+11	1.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	BOS	61%	516	473	111	17	1	21	31	158	7	4	1	235	292	408	700	173	301	31	6	308	94	-3	+0	-0	+9	+11	1.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	BOS	61%	516	472	111	17	1	21	32	158	7	4	1	235	294	409	702	174	301	31	6	308	94	-3	+0	-0	+9	+11	1.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	BOS	61%	511	467	109	17	1	20	32	157	7	4	1	233	292	403	695	169	300	31	6	307	94	-4	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	BOS	60%	501	457	106	16	1	20	32	155	7	4	1	232	292	403	695	171	299	31	6	305	92	-5	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	BOS	59%	491	451	104	16	1	19	31	153	6	4	1	231	289	397	686	166	298	31	6	302	90	-6	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	BOS	59%	462	424	95	14	0	18	29	146	6	3	1	224	283	384	668	160	295	32	6	298	88	-7	+0	-3	+8	+10	0.9
2037	32	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	431	395	87	13	0	16	27	138	6	3	1	220	280	375	655	154	292	32	6	292	84	-8	+0	-4	+8	+9	0.5
2038	33	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	389	357	77	11	0	14	24	126	5	2	1	216	275	364	639	148	288	32	6	285	79	-10	+0	-4	+7	+8	0.1
2039	34	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	337	309	64	9	0	11	21	112	4	2	0	207	266	343	610	136	282	33	6	277	73	-11	+0	-5	+6	+7	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	BOS	32%	125	116	27	4	0	5	6	41	2	1	0	233	282	397	679	164	307	33	5	283	83	-3	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	218	201	46	7	0	8	12	69	3	2	0	229	282	383	665	154	307	32	6	291	88	-3	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.6
2029	24	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	270	248	57	9	0	10	16	84	4	2	1	230	287	387	674	157	307	31	6	296	92	-3	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.8
2030	25	MLB CTX	BOS	59%	300	275	66	11	0	12	18	92	4	3	1	240	296	411	707	171	307	31	6	299	94	-2	+0	-0	+5	+6	1.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	BOS	61%	317	291	69	11	1	12	19	97	4	3	1	237	293	405	698	168	307	31	6	300	94	-2	+0	-0	+6	+7	1.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	BOS	61%	317	290	68	11	0	12	20	97	4	3	1	234	293	397	690	162	307	31	6	300	94	-2	+0	-0	+6	+7	1.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	BOS	61%	314	287	67	11	0	12	20	97	4	3	1	233	293	397	690	164	306	31	6	299	94	-2	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	BOS	60%	301	275	64	10	0	12	19	93	4	2	1	233	292	400	692	167	305	31	6	297	92	-3	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.8
2035	30	MLB CTX	BOS	59%	290	266	61	10	0	11	18	91	4	2	0	229	288	391	679	162	304	31	6	294	90	-3	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2036	31	MLB CTX	BOS	59%	270	247	56	9	0	10	17	85	4	2	0	227	287	385	672	158	302	31	6	290	88	-4	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.5
2037	32	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	251	230	51	8	0	9	16	80	3	2	0	222	281	374	655	152	298	32	6	285	84	-5	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.3
2038	33	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	225	206	46	7	0	8	14	73	3	1	0	223	283	374	656	150	294	32	6	278	79	-6	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.1
2039	34	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	180	165	35	5	0	6	11	60	2	1	0	212	270	352	621	139	288	33	6	269	73	-6	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3378	3097	713	113	1	127	206	1059	45	27	6	230	288	390	678	160	304	31	6	292	85	-43	+3	-13	+60	+73	8.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	137	22	0	24	40	204	9	5	1	230	288	388	676	158	305	31	6	292	85	-8	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6782	6214	1395	212	11	248	411	2163	99	52	14	224	283	382	665	157	298	32	6	294	85	-80	+4	-22	+107	+130	14.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	134	20	1	24	39	207	9	5	1	225	283	383	665	158	298	32	6	294	85	-9	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
/162	664	24	1	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,384	130	26	229	284	393	+60	-14	11.0	9.5
/162	664	26	5	+11.9	-2.7	2.2	pk7: 8
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johanfran Garcia (OGILVIE)	21	35→39	50→54	40→31	40	216/264/362	146	302	10	3	35%	5%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Haase 2015 · A	22	38→42	48→60	42→40	37	197/247/340	144	288	16	3	37%	6%	63	-1.3	192/249/351	159	292	17	4	39%	6%	67	-1.1	217/276/424	207	286	30	2	35%	7%	91	+0.5
●Mark Vientos 2022 · AAA	22	41→50	55→60	38→30	37	222/269/403	181	298	24	3	34%	5%	86	+0.3	239/296/423	184	323	24	2	32%	7%	101	+1.4	243/303/441	198	304	26	1	28%	7%	106	+1.5
✕Tom Murphy 2014 · AA	23	41→38	50→65	42→45	39	211/275/365	155	299	17	5	34%	6%	80	-0.2	209/263/374	165	291	20	5	34%	6%	78	-0.3	247/319/462	215	314	30	2	30%	9%	117	+1.1
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2010 · A	22	44→46	53→55	43→30	41	226/285/402	176	308	20	3	32%	7%	92	+0.7	231/296/389	158	293	19	2	27%	7%	93	+0.8	227/294/372	145	279	18	1	25%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Travis Denker 2007 · A	21	44→52	48→50	37→45	54	224/307/363	140	262	17	3	22%	10%	91	+0.7	226/294/349	123	276	12	5	21%	8%	82	+0.0	229/306/370	141	260	15	0	18%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Max Stassi 2013 · A	22	42→43	48→55	44→40	40	214/273/349	135	292	16	5	32%	6%	75	-0.5	216/262/352	136	287	16	3	30%	5%	72	-0.7	215/301/376	160	280	21	0	29%	10%	91	+0.3
✕Alex Jackson 2018 · AA	22	39→37	49→55	42→30	34	201/256/343	141	295	17	3	37%	5%	68	-1.0	185/247/336	151	278	19	3	40%	5%	63	-1.3	191/262/354	163	266	20	2	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Rodolfo Durán 2019 · A	21	40	53→50	45	37	219/254/384	165	278	22	4	30%	4%	76	-0.4	201/236/329	128	267	15	4	30%	4%	56	-1.9	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Anthony García 2013 · A	21	44→47	51→55	42→45	39	225/283/397	171	291	18	4	29%	5%	90	+0.6	203/267/348	145	264	16	5	29%	6%	73	-0.6	219/290/359	140	265	17	4	24%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Óscar Hernández 2014 · A	21	44	50	42→40	46	227/300/377	150	271	18	4	23%	7%	92	+0.7	203/249/312	109	269	10	4	27%	5%	57	-1.8	162/212/257	95	207	10	1	27%	5%	28	-1.3
✕Allan Cerda 2022 · A	22	40→23	53→50	39→45	40	204/284/384	180	304	20	5	38%	8%	88	+0.4	173/275/329	156	276	19	7	41%	10%	73	-0.6	142/256/290	148	220	20	7	42%	11%	54	-1.0
✕Brendan Rodgers 2018 · AA	21	47→54	46→50	42→45	38	235/275/365	130	298	14	4	26%	4%	79	-0.2	233/278/363	130	293	14	7	25%	5%	80	-0.2	256/311/394	138	303	15	0	20%	6%	98	+0.8
●Nolan Gorman 2019 · A	19	43	54→60	38→45	41	219/282/393	174	319	23	4	37%	8%	88	+0.5	203/256/343	140	302	16	4	36%	6%	68	-1.0	216/289/434	218	283	32	7	35%	9%	100	+1.1
●Josmil Pinto 2011 · A	22	41→51	47→50	41→40	42	213/260/352	138	256	15	3	24%	5%	70	-0.8	232/281/369	137	286	14	2	23%	6%	82	+0.0	252/318/406	154	302	16	0	21%	8%	102	+1.2
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→37	47→55	37→40	45	205/268/342	138	254	15	4	26%	7%	72	-0.7	205/283/350	145	268	16	3	28%	9%	80	-0.2	183/280/352	170	235	19	4	30%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	48→57	48→55	41→30	43	244/288/390	146	290	16	5	22%	6%	90	+0.6	259/299/413	154	303	18	2	21%	5%	99	+1.3	261/303/419	158	303	20	0	21%	5%	99	+1.0
●Ryan McMahon 2016 · A	21	46→56	50→55	39→45	38	226/281/386	160	329	16	5	35%	6%	86	+0.3	237/289/380	143	335	13	8	31%	6%	87	+0.4	230/313/394	163	297	19	6	28%	10%	99	+1.3
✕Cristian Santana 2018 · A	21	48→50	47→50	40→30	35	240/266/368	127	320	15	3	30%	3%	76	-0.4	228/251/350	122	312	16	2	32%	3%	66	-1.1	247/274/340	92	327	9	0	27%	3%	69	-0.7
✕Deivy Grullón 2018 · AA	22	43→42	43→50	38→30	37	216/252/326	110	292	11	2	30%	4%	61	-1.5	227/270/375	148	305	19	3	31%	5%	80	-0.2	211/258/366	155	285	22	1	34%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Welington Castillo 2008 · A	21	45→55	44→55	41→30	37	223/271/336	113	301	13	4	30%	5%	71	-0.8	226/265/343	117	296	12	3	27%	4%	70	-0.8	253/309/434	181	307	25	1	26%	7%	105	+1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps