Yasmil Bucce — OGILVIE

Yasmil BucceC Frederick Keys

Age 21 L/R 5'10" / 168 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION224 act + 27 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .296 / .375

PA27

HR0

K%37

BB%11

BABIP288

ISO167

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$48M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
2034	Arb-2	$6M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$7M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$27M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	16	ROK	DSL Orioles 2	—	86	72	17	2	1	0	11	17	3	0	0	236	360	292	652	56	309	20	13	311	97	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Black	—	117	100	23	5	0	2	15	21	1	1	0	230	336	340	676	110	269	18	13	310	96	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	74	63	19	4	1	1	10	20	1	0	0	302	405	444	850	143	429	27	14	383	145	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	94	65	12	2	0	1	23	21	4	1	0	185	424	262	685	77	244	22	24	338	115	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	55	44	7	0	0	0	9	20	1	0	0	159	315	159	474		280	36	16	243	50	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	339	271	69	13	3	8	62	82	5	2	1	255	402	413	816	159	335	24	18	371	137	+15	+0	—	—	+7	2.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 2	—	86	76	14	1	1	0	7	25	3	0	0	184	279	224	503	39	260	29	8	225	38	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	117	106	18	4	0	2	9	31	1	1	0	170	241	264	506	94	205	26	8	218	34	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	74	67	14	3	1	1	6	30	1	0	0	209	284	328	612	119	334	41	8	246	53	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	94	73	11	2	0	1	15	29	4	1	0	151	326	219	545	68	200	31	16	251	56	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	20	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	55	47	6	0	0	0	6	26	1	0	0	128	241	128	368		259	47	11	186	12	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	339	295	64	12	3	8	38	117	5	2	1	217	317	359	676	142	316	35	11	293	84	-6	+0	—	—	+7	0.1
2021	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 2	—	86	76	14	1	1	0	7	25	3	0	0	184	279	224	503	39	275	29	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	16	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles 2	—	86	72	17	2	1	0	11	17	3	0	0	236	360	292	652	56	309	20	13	311	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	117	106	18	4	0	2	9	31	1	1	0	170	241	264	506	94	216	26	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BAL Black	—	117	100	23	5	0	2	15	21	1	1	0	230	336	340	676	110	269	18	13	310	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	74	67	14	3	1	1	6	30	1	0	0	209	284	328	612	119	361	41	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	74	63	19	4	1	1	10	20	1	0	0	302	405	444	850	143	429	27	14	383	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	94	73	11	2	0	1	15	29	4	1	0	151	326	219	545	68	222	31	16	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	94	65	12	2	0	1	23	21	4	1	0	185	424	262	685	77	244	22	24	338	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	394	341	69	12	3	8	45	144	6	2	1	202	306	326	632	123	319	37	11	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	394	315	76	13	3	8	71	102	6	2	1	241	390	378	768	137	329	26	18	353	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	16	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 2	—	86	76	14	1	1	0	7	25	3	0	0	184	279	224	503	39	260	29	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	117	106	18	4	0	2	9	31	1	1	0	170	241	264	506	94	205	26	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	74	67	14	3	1	1	6	30	1	0	0	209	284	328	612	119	334	41	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	94	75	11	2	0	1	15	29	4	1	0	147	326	213	539	67	200	31	16	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	394	340	69	12	3	8	45	144	6	2	1	203	306	326	633	124	308	37	11	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	74	67	14	3	1	1	6	30	1	0	0	209	284	328	612	119	334	41	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	94	75	11	2	0	1	15	29	4	1	0	147	326	213	539	67	200	31	16	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	394	340	69	12	3	8	45	144	6	2	1	203	306	326	633	124	308	37	11	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	BAL	—	224	190	33	6	0	8	30	95	4	2	1	174	299	332	631	158	287	42	13	284	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ RAW	BAL	—	224	175	40	8	0	11	45	71	4	2	1	229	397	463	860	234	312	32	20	386	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	BAL	0%	27	24	5	1	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	208	296	375	671	167	283	37	11	281	77	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	BAL	—	251	214	38	7	0	9	33	105	4	2	1	178	299	336	635	159	290	42	13	284	78	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BAL	43%	446	383	74	14	1	13	54	160	6	4	2	193	302	337	639	144	286	36	12	291	83	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	61%	490	422	84	15	2	15	58	169	7	5	2	199	306	351	657	152	287	34	12	298	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	BAL	66%	520	447	92	17	2	16	61	175	7	6	2	206	311	360	671	154	288	34	12	302	91	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	BAL	69%	520	447	92	17	2	16	61	172	7	6	2	206	311	360	671	154	288	33	12	305	92	-5	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	BAL	70%	520	446	93	17	2	17	62	172	7	6	2	209	315	370	685	161	288	33	12	306	93	-4	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	BAL	69%	520	446	93	17	2	17	62	173	7	6	2	209	315	370	685	161	288	33	12	306	93	-4	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	BAL	68%	520	445	91	17	2	16	63	173	7	6	2	204	313	360	672	155	287	33	12	305	92	-5	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	BAL	67%	520	445	90	16	2	16	63	175	7	6	2	202	311	355	666	153	286	34	12	303	91	-6	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	BAL	66%	520	445	90	16	2	16	63	176	7	6	2	202	311	355	666	153	285	34	12	300	89	-7	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	504	431	85	15	1	15	61	172	7	5	2	197	307	341	648	144	282	34	12	296	86	-8	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.9
2037	32	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	485	417	80	14	1	14	59	167	6	5	2	192	301	331	632	139	278	34	12	291	83	-10	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.6
2038	33	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	442	380	71	12	1	12	53	155	6	4	2	187	296	318	615	132	273	35	12	284	78	-11	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.2
2039	34	MLB MLE	BAL	60%	387	333	60	10	1	10	46	138	5	3	1	180	289	306	595	126	267	36	12	276	73	-13	+0	-5	+7	+8	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	BAL	43%	193	165	33	6	1	6	23	69	3	2	1	200	309	358	666	158	291	36	12	285	83	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	61%	299	257	52	10	1	9	36	103	4	3	1	202	310	354	664	152	292	34	12	293	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2029	24	MLB CTX	BAL	66%	344	295	61	11	1	11	41	116	5	4	1	207	314	363	676	156	293	34	12	297	91	-4	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	BAL	69%	357	307	65	12	1	12	42	118	5	4	2	212	316	375	691	163	293	33	12	300	92	-3	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	BAL	70%	363	312	65	12	1	12	43	120	5	4	2	208	314	369	682	160	293	33	12	301	93	-3	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	BAL	69%	359	308	65	12	1	12	43	119	5	4	2	211	317	373	691	162	293	33	12	301	93	-3	+0	+0	+6	+8	1.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	BAL	68%	356	305	64	12	1	12	43	119	5	4	2	210	317	374	691	164	292	33	12	300	92	-3	+0	-0	+6	+8	1.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	BAL	67%	347	297	61	11	1	11	42	116	5	4	2	205	314	360	674	155	291	33	12	298	91	-4	+0	-1	+6	+8	0.9
2035	30	MLB CTX	BAL	66%	342	292	60	11	1	11	42	116	5	4	1	205	316	363	679	158	290	34	12	295	89	-4	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.8
2036	31	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	328	281	56	10	1	10	40	112	4	4	1	199	308	349	656	149	287	34	12	291	86	-5	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.6
2037	32	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	314	269	52	9	1	9	38	108	4	3	1	193	302	335	637	141	283	34	12	286	83	-6	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.4
2038	33	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	285	245	47	8	1	8	34	100	4	3	1	192	300	331	631	139	278	35	12	279	78	-7	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.1
2039	34	MLB CTX	BAL	60%	232	199	37	6	1	6	28	83	3	2	1	186	296	317	612	131	271	36	12	271	73	-8	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4119	3532	718	130	13	129	495	1399	57	45	18	203	311	357	668	154	291	34	12	293	85	-59	+2	-13	+74	+89	9.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	557	113	21	2	20	78	221	9	7	3	203	310	355	666	153	292	34	12	293	85	-9	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	7186	6174	1226	220	26	206	851	2446	101	72	26	199	306	343	648	144	286	34	12	293	85	-95	+4	-20	+115	+139	14.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	111	20	2	19	77	221	9	7	2	199	306	344	650	145	286	34	12	293	85	-10	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.2	4,122	124	45	200	305	350	+74	+32	12.7	10.8
/162	664	20	7	+11.9	+5.2	2.0	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yasmil Bucce (OGILVIE)	21	40	40	40	60	181/294/311	130	283	8	3	38%	12%	77	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	68	-1.0	180/243/263	83	270	8	5	34%	7%	44	-2.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
✕Omar Martinez 2022 · A	21	40→38	43→45	40	46	193/285/299	105	292	10	4	35%	10%	69	-0.9	201/286/325	124	292	14	5	33%	10%	75	-0.5	181/265/299	118	275	15	3	37%	10%	59	-1.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	39	45	42→45	51	196/292/318	122	278	13	6	32%	12%	76	-0.4	179/261/272	93	255	9	6	31%	9%	53	-2.1	154/237/226	72	219	7	4	31%	9%	32	-1.3
✕Jose Lobatón 2007 · A	22	44	42→45	42→30	47	210/289/319	109	299	10	4	31%	9%	74	-0.5	219/282/343	124	298	13	3	29%	8%	77	-0.3	233/317/359	126	296	11	0	23%	11%	91	+0.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	46→45	48	183/286/282	99	291	8	6	36%	11%	66	-1.1	184/261/262	78	291	6	6	35%	9%	51	-2.3	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Luis Toribio 2021 · A	20	44→39	42→45	44→40	49	207/297/317	109	309	9	6	33%	10%	77	-0.3	181/252/293	112	304	12	2	41%	8%	55	-2.0	155/227/286	131	250	17	0	43%	8%	42	-1.8
✕Joe Mack 2023 · A	20	42→43	43→55	46→45	50	197/299/302	105	318	11	4	38%	12%	75	-0.5	201/265/313	112	282	13	3	32%	7%	64	-1.3	212/275/370	158	272	21	4	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Isan Díaz 2017 · A	21	42→41	47→55	45	43	209/274/349	140	296	13	8	33%	8%	75	-0.5	202/272/339	137	292	15	8	34%	8%	72	-0.7	206/286/370	164	268	21	5	30%	9%	80	-0.1
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	37→47	43→55	45→50	46	184/266/293	108	267	10	7	33%	10%	60	-1.6	197/285/328	131	277	13	9	31%	11%	75	-0.5	225/304/406	181	290	21	8	29%	10%	98	+1.1
✕Darrien Miller 2022 · A	21	44→41	45	50→45	48	215/313/329	114	295	13	8	30%	9%	86	+0.3	192/297/304	112	261	12	6	29%	9%	76	-0.4	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕John Whittleman 2008 · A	21	41→43	44→50	42→45	48	204/276/324	121	273	11	5	29%	9%	70	-0.8	200/281/314	114	274	10	3	28%	10%	70	-0.8	174/260/322	148	233	18	1	32%	10%	63	-1.0
✕Drew Robinson 2013 · A	21	45→42	43→55	46→50	48	212/301/324	112	319	10	8	34%	10%	80	-0.1	195/271/320	125	291	12	9	34%	9%	68	-1.0	208/288/362	155	321	16	12	38%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	36→42	48→50	41→40	47	183/275/321	138	287	16	2	39%	11%	70	-0.8	198/295/339	141	302	15	3	36%	12%	82	-0.0	193/300/335	143	284	15	2	34%	13%	81	-0.0
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	73	-0.6	183/264/287	104	286	10	6	37%	8%	58	-1.7	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43→44	44→50	44→45	48	213/288/328	115	279	11	8	27%	9%	76	-0.4	232/294/362	130	290	12	8	23%	7%	85	+0.2	226/287/350	124	285	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	42	42→40	46→45	48	206/291/311	105	278	9	6	28%	9%	73	-0.6	220/302/308	88	316	7	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	234/327/306	73	330	7	6	28%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Colson Montgomery 2023 · AA	21	47	43→55	44→45	45	227/300/335	109	306	10	3	28%	8%	82	-0.0	209/296/345	136	288	15	5	31%	9%	83	+0.1	191/279/346	155	261	19	4	33%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→50	41→45	46→55	51	216/301/314	97	294	9	7	28%	10%	77	-0.3	232/302/345	113	325	10	11	29%	9%	84	+0.2	233/308/347	114	330	9	15	29%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→39	42→45	44→55	45	197/273/305	109	295	9	6	34%	9%	65	-1.2	191/295/300	109	252	10	15	26%	12%	73	-0.6	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Nick Weglarz 2009 · A	21	45→47	48→50	45	49	225/304/366	140	296	15	6	28%	9%	91	+0.6	220/309/368	148	276	15	5	24%	10%	93	+0.8	207/308/360	153	254	16	2	24%	11%	90	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps