Manuel Pena — OGILVIE

Manuel PenaSS Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs AA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION506 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%4

BABIP306

ISO115

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$12M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 1	—	222	194	49	5	2	4	26	46	1	17	7	253	344	361	705	108	310	21	12	321	103	+1	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2022	18	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	158	137	34	7	1	0	20	41	0	1	3	248	344	314	658	66	354	26	13	304	92	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	128	116	33	3	3	4	10	30	0	4	1	284	341	466	807	181	345	23	8	350	123	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2023	19	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	237	215	52	10	4	4	17	59	2	5	5	242	303	381	685	140	312	25	7	303	91	-3	-1	—	—	+5	0.2
2023	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	229	206	51	9	4	1	19	58	2	8	5	248	317	345	662	97	336	25	8	298	88	-3	-0	—	—	+5	0.1
2024	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	491	451	124	27	2	4	33	106	3	10	10	275	329	370	699	95	350	22	7	313	98	-1	-2	—	—	+11	0.8
2025	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	470	437	126	27	3	14	24	105	3	2	2	288	330	460	790	172	346	22	5	344	119	+11	-0	—	—	+10	2.1
2025	21	INTL	Toros del Este	—	88	81	17	1	0	2	6	21	0	1	3	210	264	296	561	86	254	24	7	253	58	-4	-1	—	—	+2	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	—	222	205	36	3	1	3	15	67	1	17	7	176	235	244	479	68	250	30	7	226	39	-16	+1	—	—	+5	-1.1
2022	18	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	158	144	29	6	1	0	13	55	0	1	3	201	268	257	524	56	315	35	8	233	44	-11	-1	—	—	+3	-0.8
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	128	120	24	2	2	3	6	43	0	4	1	200	238	325	563	125	272	34	5	240	49	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2023	19	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	237	222	40	7	3	3	10	84	2	5	5	180	222	279	502	99	268	35	4	223	37	-18	-1	—	—	+5	-1.4
2023	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	229	211	41	7	3	1	14	76	2	8	5	194	251	270	521	76	291	33	6	231	42	-16	-0	—	—	+5	-1.1
2024	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	491	465	93	18	1	3	19	154	3	10	10	200	236	262	499	62	287	31	4	222	36	-37	-2	—	—	+11	-2.9
2025	21	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	470	445	103	20	3	8	16	132	3	2	2	231	263	344	607	112	300	28	3	263	64	-20	-0	—	—	+10	-1.0
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	—	222	205	36	3	1	3	15	67	1	17	7	176	235	244	479	68	243	30	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 1	—	222	194	49	5	2	4	26	46	1	17	7	253	344	361	705	108	310	21	12	321	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	286	263	53	8	3	3	20	98	0	5	4	202	258	289	547	87	305	34	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	286	253	67	10	4	4	30	71	0	5	4	265	343	383	726	119	350	25	10	325	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	466	434	83	14	7	4	23	160	4	13	10	191	239	283	522	92	288	34	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	466	421	103	19	8	5	36	117	4	13	10	245	310	363	674	119	323	25	8	300	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	491	465	93	18	1	3	19	154	3	10	10	200	236	262	499	62	290	31	4	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	—	491	451	124	27	2	4	33	106	3	10	10	275	329	370	699	95	350	22	7	313	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	528	121	24	3	9	20	157	3	3	5	229	261	337	598	108	304	28	4	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	558	518	143	28	3	16	30	126	3	3	5	276	319	434	754	158	332	23	5	330	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	—	222	204	36	3	1	3	15	67	1	17	7	176	235	245	480	69	250	30	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	286	264	53	8	3	3	20	98	0	5	4	201	258	288	546	87	296	34	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	466	436	83	14	7	4	23	160	4	13	10	190	239	282	521	92	279	34	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	491	466	93	18	1	3	19	154	3	10	10	200	236	262	498	62	287	31	4	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	530	121	24	3	9	20	157	3	3	5	228	261	336	597	108	300	28	4	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	466	436	83	14	7	4	23	160	4	13	10	190	239	282	521	92	279	34	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	491	466	93	18	1	3	19	154	3	10	10	200	236	262	498	62	287	31	4	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	530	121	24	3	9	20	157	3	3	5	228	261	336	597	108	300	28	4	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	ARI	—	506	474	120	19	0	24	22	149	2	6	0	253	289	445	734	192	311	29	4	311	96	-2	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AA RAW	ARI	—	279	254	79	14	0	26	18	65	1	3	0	311	356	673	1.030	362	317	23	6	432	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AAA RAW	ARI	—	227	209	62	9	0	5	13	54	1	3	0	297	341	411	752	115	370	24	6	331	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	AA MLE	ARI	2%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		301	33	0	291	83	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	AA MLE	ARI	—	515	483	121	19	0	24	22	152	2	6	0	251	286	439	725	188	308	30	4	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	35%	529	498	119	21	1	18	23	149	3	5	2	239	277	394	670	155	301	28	4	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.8
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	47%	565	530	129	22	2	20	27	155	3	6	2	243	284	406	690	162	301	27	5	301	90	-7	+0	+0	+6	+12	1.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	587	549	134	23	2	21	30	158	3	6	2	244	287	408	695	164	301	27	5	305	92	-5	+0	+0	+6	+13	1.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	598	558	137	24	2	22	31	160	4	6	2	246	290	414	704	168	301	27	5	306	93	-5	+0	+0	+6	+13	1.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	600	559	137	24	2	22	32	161	4	6	2	245	291	413	704	168	301	27	5	307	94	-5	+0	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2032	28	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	597	555	135	23	2	21	33	161	4	6	2	243	291	405	696	162	300	27	6	306	93	-5	+0	-1	+6	+13	1.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	588	548	133	23	2	21	32	160	3	6	2	243	288	407	695	164	300	27	5	304	92	-6	+0	-1	+6	+13	1.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	578	538	128	22	1	20	32	159	3	6	2	238	284	394	679	156	299	28	6	301	90	-7	+0	-2	+6	+13	1.0
2035	31	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	564	525	124	21	1	19	31	157	3	6	2	236	283	389	671	152	297	28	5	297	87	-8	+0	-3	+6	+12	0.8
2036	32	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	546	508	118	20	1	18	30	154	3	5	2	232	279	382	661	150	294	28	5	292	84	-11	+0	-4	+6	+12	0.4
2037	33	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	516	480	109	18	1	16	28	148	3	5	1	227	274	369	643	142	290	29	5	285	79	-13	+1	-4	+6	+11	0.0
2038	34	MLB MLE	ARI	50%	468	438	96	15	1	14	25	137	2	4	1	219	265	354	618	135	285	29	5	276	73	-15	+0	-5	+5	+10	-0.4
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	35%	186	175	43	8	1	6	8	52	1	2	1	246	283	406	688	160	306	28	4	292	86	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	47%	263	247	61	11	1	9	13	72	1	3	1	247	287	409	696	162	306	27	5	298	90	-3	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	304	284	70	13	1	10	15	82	2	3	1	246	289	405	694	158	306	27	5	301	92	-3	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	325	303	75	14	1	11	17	87	2	3	1	248	292	409	701	162	306	27	5	303	93	-3	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	326	303	75	14	1	11	18	88	2	3	1	248	294	409	703	162	306	27	6	303	94	-2	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2032	28	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	324	301	74	14	1	11	18	88	2	3	1	246	293	409	701	163	305	27	6	302	93	-3	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.8
2033	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	312	290	70	13	1	10	17	85	2	3	1	241	288	397	685	155	305	27	5	300	92	-3	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.7
2034	30	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	303	281	68	12	1	10	17	83	2	3	1	242	290	399	689	157	304	27	6	298	90	-4	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2035	31	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	293	273	65	12	1	9	16	81	2	3	1	238	285	388	674	150	302	28	5	294	87	-4	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2036	32	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	306	284	67	12	1	9	17	86	2	3	1	236	284	380	664	144	299	28	6	289	84	-6	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.2
2037	33	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	280	262	59	10	1	8	15	80	1	3	1	225	270	363	632	137	295	29	5	282	79	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.0
2038	34	MLB CTX	ARI	50%	232	217	49	8	1	7	12	68	1	2	1	226	270	369	638	143	289	29	5	274	73	-7	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3454	3220	776	141	12	111	183	952	20	34	12	241	286	396	682	155	306	28	5	295	79	-48	+2	-10	+37	+75	5.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	606	146	27	2	21	34	179	4	6	2	241	286	396	682	155	305	28	5	295	79	-9	+0	-2	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	8768	8190	1886	323	33	254	451	2498	49	115	58	230	275	371	645	141	297	28	5	284	79	-95	+5	-20	+72	+146	11.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	607	140	24	2	19	33	185	4	9	4	231	275	371	646	140	297	28	5	284	79	-9	+0	-2	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.2	3,461	119	35	239	281	396	+35	+18	8.4	7.5
/162	664	23	7	+6.8	+3.5	1.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Pena (OGILVIE)	22	55	50	45	25	235/271/387	151	301	11	4	29%	4%	83	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕José Tena 2023 · AAA	22	46→54	44→45	46→55	35	226/260/348	123	317	12	8	32%	4%	69	-0.9	238/287/356	118	342	11	16	31%	6%	81	-0.1	243/301/368	126	332	12	21	29%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Ryan Wheeler 2011 · AA	23	50→55	42→50	46→40	41	243/287/349	106	313	10	4	25%	5%	79	-0.2	250/291/374	124	317	12	4	24%	5%	86	+0.3	253/293/380	127	317	12	4	24%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Brendan Rodgers 2019 · AAA	22	46→54	47→50	47→45	39	233/276/368	135	287	14	8	24%	4%	80	-0.1	241/287/377	136	299	15	6	24%	5%	86	+0.3	256/311/394	138	303	15	0	20%	6%	98	+0.8
✕Nick Williams 2016 · AA	22	50→56	48→55	46→45	35	246/283/392	145	335	14	9	30%	4%	88	+0.4	240/280/386	146	322	15	7	29%	4%	86	+0.3	241/297/403	161	321	19	4	30%	5%	93	+0.6
✕Jorge Alfaro 2015 · AA	22	42→52	47→50	48→50	34	211/263/345	134	304	14	8	34%	4%	70	-0.8	221/264/343	122	321	12	5	34%	4%	70	-0.9	260/316/413	153	381	20	6	35%	5%	101	+0.7
✕Taylor Lindsey 2014 · AA	22	50→52	46→50	45	43	248/285/377	129	287	13	5	19%	4%	85	+0.2	205/257/314	109	242	11	6	20%	6%	60	-1.6	182/239/282	100	215	10	6	21%	6%	44	-1.9
✕Blake DeWitt 2008 · AA	22	48→55	46→50	40	43	238/275/368	130	275	13	4	20%	5%	80	-0.2	243/306/370	127	279	11	4	16%	8%	91	+0.7	245/319/368	123	281	10	3	16%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Andrew Lambo 2011 · AA	22	48→49	44→60	44→45	41	237/278/358	121	303	11	4	26%	5%	78	-0.3	223/274/361	138	291	15	6	28%	6%	78	-0.3	238/287/430	192	299	24	5	28%	6%	98	+0.7
✕Matt Vierling 2019 · A	22	47→55	46→50	43→50	38	235/279/367	132	301	13	9	26%	4%	81	-0.1	208/262/305	97	279	9	14	27%	6%	61	-1.5	254/314/393	138	307	13	10	21%	7%	97	+1.0
✕Anthony Hatch 2006 · A	22	42→50	45→50	46→40	38	212/259/343	131	291	12	4	31%	5%	68	-1.0	230/285/374	144	281	14	5	22%	6%	84	+0.2	228/285/370	142	274	14	3	22%	6%	81	-0.0
●Mat Gamel 2007 · A	22	47→57	46→50	49→45	42	234/277/366	132	285	14	7	23%	5%	80	-0.2	249/301/393	144	327	13	7	26%	6%	95	+0.9	252/308/403	151	341	14	6	29%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Adam Haseley 2018 · A	22	46→56	42→45	47→50	43	225/274/335	110	292	9	7	26%	6%	71	-0.8	252/303/363	111	312	10	7	22%	6%	88	+0.5	245/298/350	105	301	11	9	22%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Lenyn Sosa 2022 · AA	22	43→51	42→50	39→40	34	213/240/315	102	284	10	4	29%	3%	53	-2.1	235/269/364	129	289	16	4	24%	4%	76	-0.4	243/274/380	137	290	18	3	23%	3%	80	-0.1
●Ryan McMahon 2017 · AA	22	45→55	47→55	43→45	39	220/277/361	142	327	13	7	35%	6%	79	-0.2	244/298/394	150	331	15	8	29%	7%	95	+0.9	230/313/394	163	297	19	6	28%	10%	99	+1.3
✕Justin Williams 2018 · AA	22	51→55	45	46→45	40	253/285/379	125	307	13	5	22%	4%	85	+0.2	233/279/356	123	308	14	6	28%	6%	78	-0.3	210/264/328	119	282	16	3	31%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Chris Owings 2013 · AA	21	44→54	44→50	47→55	34	219/245/333	114	292	12	8	29%	3%	60	-1.6	244/275/353	109	314	9	15	24%	4%	76	-0.4	248/290/377	129	304	11	21	22%	5%	82	+0.0
●Josh Kroeger 2005 · MLB	22	45→55	44→50	44→50	39	219/268/337	118	310	11	9	32%	6%	70	-0.9	222/262/347	125	285	13	12	26%	5%	70	-0.9	256/302/400	145	301	16	15	20%	6%	94	+0.8
✕Yairo Muñoz 2017 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	44→55	40	215/250/315	100	262	10	7	22%	4%	57	-1.8	248/288/372	124	305	13	14	22%	5%	85	+0.2	263/305/392	130	320	14	17	22%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Josh Phegley 2011 · AA	23	42→47	46→55	45→40	36	216/254/335	120	287	14	4	30%	4%	64	-1.3	223/261/332	109	266	11	4	20%	4%	66	-1.1	233/282/414	181	263	20	0	20%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Yamaico Navarro 2010 · AA	22	49→55	44→50	48→50	42	238/284/359	120	296	11	8	23%	5%	80	-0.1	225/282/342	117	272	11	13	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/294/367	142	260	18	11	21%	9%	86	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps