Javier Herrera — OGILVIE

Javier HerreraSS Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 21 S/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION168 act + 112 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .297 / .333

PA112

HR2

K%27

BB%10

BABIP279

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE67

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.1M
Totals		$14M		$37M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	147	132	20	3	2	2	12	57	2	7	2	152	233	250	483	98	243	39	8	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	147	122	29	4	3	4	22	38	2	7	2	238	363	418	781	180	309	26	15	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	200	168	35	6	3	3	28	44	2	20	4	208	328	333	662	125	260	22	14	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	200	146	42	7	5	4	50	30	2	20	4	288	475	486	961	199	333	15	25	426	184	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	120	108	25	3	1	0	9	31	2	6	4	231	303	278	580	46	321	26	8	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	120	102	35	6	1	0	15	21	2	6	4	343	437	422	859	78	427	18	12	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	LAD	—	168	144	30	6	4	2	18	55	2	5	1	208	305	347	652	139	315	33	11	280	73	-5	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
YTD	21	A	LAD	—	168	136	36	8	5	2	26	40	2	5	1	265	390	441	831	176	354	24	15	364	137	+7	+1	+0	+2	+5	1.4
ROS	21	A	LAD	0%	112	99	21	4	1	2	11	30	1	3	1	212	297	333	631	121	292	27	10	289	79	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
ROS	21	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	278	71	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	LAD	—	168	145	30	6	4	2	18	55	2	5	1	207	305	345	650	138	311	33	11	280	73	-5	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
TOT	21	A	LAD	—	280	243	51	10	5	4	29	85	3	8	2	210	302	342	643	132	299	30	10	284	75	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	LAD	43%	288	254	56	11	3	5	29	76	3	6	2	220	308	346	654	126	292	26	10	295	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.7
2028	23	MLB	LAD	61%	378	333	75	15	4	7	38	98	4	9	2	225	312	357	669	132	293	26	10	301	88	-5	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.1
2029	24	MLB	LAD	66%	437	386	87	17	4	9	44	112	4	10	3	225	311	360	671	135	294	26	10	304	91	-4	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.4
2030	25	MLB	LAD	69%	468	413	94	18	4	10	47	119	5	11	3	228	314	363	677	136	294	25	10	306	92	-4	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.5
2031	26	MLB	LAD	70%	486	429	98	19	5	10	49	124	5	12	3	228	315	366	681	138	294	26	10	306	92	-4	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.6
2032	27	MLB	LAD	69%	491	433	98	19	5	10	50	125	5	12	3	226	314	363	676	136	293	25	10	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.7
2033	28	MLB	LAD	68%	489	431	97	19	4	10	50	125	5	12	3	225	313	357	670	132	293	26	10	305	92	-4	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.5
2034	29	MLB	LAD	67%	482	424	96	19	4	10	50	125	5	11	3	226	315	361	676	134	292	26	10	304	91	-5	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.4
2035	30	MLB	LAD	66%	472	415	92	18	4	9	49	123	5	10	3	222	311	349	661	128	292	26	10	301	89	-6	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.1
2036	31	MLB	LAD	65%	459	405	89	17	4	9	47	121	4	10	2	220	307	348	655	128	289	26	10	297	86	-7	+1	-3	+5	+13	0.9
2037	32	MLB	LAD	70%	441	389	84	16	4	8	45	118	4	9	2	216	304	339	643	123	286	27	10	292	82	-9	+1	-4	+5	+12	0.6
2027	22	MLB	LAD	43%	124	109	24	5	1	2	13	33	1	3	1	220	309	339	648	119	288	27	10	285	76	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2028	23	MLB	LAD	61%	230	203	45	9	2	4	23	60	2	5	1	222	307	345	652	123	289	26	10	290	80	-5	+1	+0	+2	+7	0.4
2029	24	MLB	LAD	66%	289	255	58	11	3	6	29	74	3	7	2	227	314	365	678	137	290	26	10	293	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.6
2030	25	MLB	LAD	69%	321	283	64	12	3	7	32	82	3	8	2	226	311	364	675	138	290	26	10	295	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.8
2031	26	MLB	LAD	70%	339	299	67	13	3	7	34	86	3	8	2	224	310	358	667	134	290	25	10	295	84	-6	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2032	27	MLB	LAD	69%	338	298	67	13	3	7	34	86	3	8	2	225	310	359	670	134	290	25	10	295	84	-6	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2033	28	MLB	LAD	68%	335	295	66	13	3	7	34	86	3	8	2	224	310	359	670	136	289	26	10	294	83	-6	+1	-0	+4	+9	0.7
2034	29	MLB	LAD	67%	322	283	62	12	3	6	33	83	3	7	2	219	307	346	653	127	289	26	10	293	82	-6	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.6
2035	30	MLB	LAD	66%	310	272	61	12	3	6	32	81	3	7	2	224	313	357	669	132	288	26	10	290	80	-7	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.5
2036	31	MLB	LAD	65%	299	263	57	11	3	5	31	79	3	6	2	217	306	338	645	122	286	26	10	287	78	-8	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.3
2037	32	MLB	LAD	70%	311	273	58	11	3	5	32	83	3	6	2	212	302	330	632	117	283	27	10	282	74	-9	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3218	2834	629	122	30	62	327	833	30	73	20	222	309	352	661	130	290	26	10	291	81	-69	+7	-7	+34	+91	5.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	128	25	6	13	66	168	6	15	4	224	311	357	667	133	291	26	10	291	81	-14	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	5470	4819	1067	204	52	104	558	1428	56	148	40	221	309	350	659	129	291	26	10	298	86	-84	+14	-10	+59	+155	13.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	126	24	6	12	66	170	7	18	5	220	308	346	654	126	289	26	10	298	86	-10	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	147	122	29	4	3	4	22	38	2	7	2	238	363	418	781	180	309	26	15	350	126	+4	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	200	146	42	7	5	4	50	30	2	20	4	288	475	486	961	199	333	15	25	426	184	+19	+2	—	—	+6	2.8
2025	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	120	102	35	6	1	0	15	21	2	6	4	343	437	422	859	78	427	18	12	388	155	+7	-0	—	—	+3	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,378	66	77	226	310	358	+36	+24	9.5	8.3
	/162	664	13	15	226	310	358	+7.1	+4.7	1.9	pk7: 7
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Herrera (OGILVIE)	21	43→48	34→39	55→60	67	210/302/342	132	299	4	8	30%	10%	75	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	45→54	40→45	53→50	52	214/297/310	95	272	8	10	23%	10%	72	-0.2	225/295/354	129	272	12	8	21%	8%	82	+0.5	238/307/358	119	303	12	6	24%	8%	85	+0.5
✕Ronny Simon 2021 · A	21	46→54	41→50	52→55	46	218/278/329	112	273	6	13	22%	7%	68	-0.5	210/261/359	149	274	18	19	29%	6%	69	-0.4	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
●Jemile Weeks 2009 · A	22	50→60	41→45	52→55	50	239/316/342	103	298	8	14	22%	8%	88	+0.9	246/304/363	117	295	10	16	19%	7%	88	+0.9	257/326/351	94	310	3	20	17%	8%	89	+1.0
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Geraldo Quintero 2023 · A	21	46→50	41→40	56→60	46	222/287/330	108	287	6	20	24%	7%	72	-0.2	217/282/308	91	288	7	26	25%	7%	65	-0.7	206/276/294	89	271	8	32	26%	7%	55	-0.9
✕Josh Johnson 2007 · A	21	46→49	37→45	49→50	57	215/306/291	76	273	4	11	21%	11%	71	-0.3	220/302/287	67	289	3	10	22%	10%	68	-0.5	249/317/359	110	296	9	16	18%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	42	41→45	55→50	50	202/289/303	101	287	8	16	30%	10%	67	-0.5	220/278/339	119	309	13	11	31%	7%	71	-0.3	222/264/350	128	302	16	8	31%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Luis Lara 2017 · A	22	48	42→45	52→45	50	233/294/345	112	273	9	8	18%	8%	79	+0.3	206/271/299	93	276	7	5	26%	8%	57	-1.2	170/241/242	72	237	6	1	29%	8%	27	-0.8
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Harold Garcia 2009 · A	22	47→57	42→45	55	44	226/298/339	113	281	8	14	22%	6%	80	+0.4	248/299/350	102	335	7	22	27%	4%	82	+0.5	259/308/357	98	356	7	27	28%	4%	85	+0.6
✕Blake Perkins 2018 · A	21	44→51	40→50	51→55	43	214/270/306	92	286	8	15	27%	7%	59	-1.1	203/268/295	92	290	8	17	31%	8%	56	-1.3	230/313/367	137	305	14	25	27%	10%	91	+0.7
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	226/308/322	96	306	7	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	223/295/301	78	305	5	6	26%	7%	69	-0.4	277/347/362	84	322	4	2	14%	8%	106	+0.8
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	44→54	40→45	57→55	44	209/274/306	96	292	6	21	29%	8%	60	-1.0	250/307/354	104	326	7	26	24%	7%	86	+0.8	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	50→55	41→45	50	49	236/301/346	110	285	6	12	19%	7%	82	+0.5	249/307/362	113	307	9	14	21%	7%	89	+0.9	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	48→49	47→50	48→45	53	234/319/377	143	286	13	11	22%	10%	98	+1.6	227/305/369	142	277	14	9	22%	9%	91	+1.1	218/298/359	141	264	15	9	22%	9%	83	+0.4
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2013 · A	21	47	39→40	52→55	53	221/300/312	92	270	6	17	20%	9%	73	-0.1	215/283/307	92	280	7	10	24%	8%	65	-0.7	213/265/281	67	285	5	7	26%	5%	45	-0.8
★Geraldo Perdomo 2021 · A	21	48→56	38→45	50→55	51	226/304/308	82	280	5	17	20%	8%	74	-0.1	202/292/288	86	269	6	12	25%	10%	64	-0.8	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
●Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	82	+0.5	248/300/333	85	280	5	13	13%	6%	77	+0.1	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Henry Henry 2008 · A	21	52	41→40	50→60	53	246/331/344	98	291	8	14	18%	9%	95	+1.4	238/298/316	78	271	5	21	13%	6%	72	-0.2	250/305/317	67	277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Jose Acosta 2021 · A	21	49	39→45	58→55	46	230/295/326	96	310	5	19	26%	8%	74	-0.1	195/251/312	117	306	12	15	38%	6%	53	-1.5	159/216/275	116	235	13	19	37%	6%	25	-1.2