Javier Herrera — OGILVIE

Javier HerreraSS ACL Dodgers

Age 21 S/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR +15%K -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.3 · 2032

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .303 / .341

PA101

HR2

K%26

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

48↗53

PWR

34↗39

SPD

57↗62

EYE

62↗67

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.3peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.3	$22M	+$21M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.2	$22M	+$21M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.0	$20M	+$19M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.8	$19M	+$15M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.6	$17M	+$12M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.2	$13M	+$7M
Totals		$18M		$113M	+$95M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	147	131	20	3	2	2	13	57	2	7	2	.153	.240	.252	.492	.099	.247	39	9	.212	20	-13	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.7
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	200	167	35	6	3	3	29	44	2	20	4	.210	.333	.335	.669	.126	.262	22	14	.297	85	-3	+2	+0	+2	+6	0.7
2025	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	120	108	25	3	1	0	9	31	2	6	4	.231	.303	.278	.580	.046	.321	26	8	.266	62	-5	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	LAD	101	89	21	4	1	2	10	26	1	2	1	.236	.320	.371	.691	.135	.291	26	10	.294	83	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	LAD	183	161	37	7	1	4	18	46	2	4	1	.230	.315	.360	.675	.130	.292	25	10	.305	92	-2	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.6
2028	23	MLB 28%	LAD	301	265	62	12	2	7	30	73	3	8	2	.234	.319	.374	.692	.140	.293	24	10	.313	97	-1	+1	+0	+3	+9	1.2
2029	24	MLB 45%	LAD	384	338	80	15	2	10	39	92	4	10	2	.237	.323	.382	.704	.145	.293	24	10	.318	101	+1	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.7
2030	25	MLB 60%	LAD	432	379	92	17	3	12	45	102	5	11	3	.243	.331	.398	.729	.156	.294	24	10	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+5	+12	2.0
2031	26	MLB 77%	LAD	463	406	98	18	3	13	49	110	5	12	3	.241	.330	.397	.727	.155	.294	24	11	.323	105	+3	+1	+0	+5	+13	2.2
2032	27	MLB 92%	LAD	476	417	99	18	3	13	51	113	5	12	3	.237	.328	.388	.716	.151	.294	24	11	.323	105	+3	+1	+0	+5	+13	2.3
2033	28	MLB	LAD	480	420	100	18	3	13	52	115	5	12	2	.238	.329	.388	.717	.150	.294	24	11	.322	104	+2	+2	-1	+5	+14	2.2
2034	29	MLB	LAD	476	416	99	18	3	13	52	115	5	11	2	.238	.330	.389	.719	.151	.293	24	11	.320	103	+1	+1	-1	+5	+13	2.0
2035	30	MLB	LAD	468	409	95	17	3	12	51	115	5	11	2	.232	.325	.377	.701	.144	.292	25	11	.317	100	+0	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.8
2036	31	MLB	LAD	457	399	91	17	2	11	50	114	5	10	1	.228	.322	.363	.685	.135	.291	25	11	.313	98	-1	+2	-3	+5	+13	1.6
2037	32	MLB	LAD	440	385	88	16	2	11	48	112	4	9	1	.229	.320	.366	.687	.138	.290	25	11	.308	94	-3	+1	-4	+5	+12	1.2
2038	33	MLB	LAD	411	360	79	14	2	9	44	108	4	8	0	.219	.311	.344	.656	.125	.288	26	11	.303	90	-5	+2	-4	+4	+12	0.9
2039	34	MLB	LAD	367	322	70	12	2	8	39	99	3	8	0	.217	.308	.342	.649	.124	.287	27	11	.297	85	-6	+2	-5	+4	+10	0.5
2040	35	MLB	LAD	313	274	58	10	2	6	33	88	3	7	0	.212	.303	.328	.632	.117	.285	28	11	.289	80	-7	+1	-6	+3	+9	0.1
2041	36	MLB	LAD	256	225	46	8	1	5	27	75	2	6	0	.204	.295	.316	.611	.111	.283	29	11	.281	73	-8	+1	-6	+3	+7	-0.3
2042	37	MLB	LAD	193	169	34	6	1	3	20	58	2	4	0	.201	.293	.302	.595	.101	.279	30	10	.271	66	-7	+1	-7	+2	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6668	5840	1329	239	42	157	709	1693	69	178	33	.228	.318	.364	.682	.136	.291	25	11	.307	93	-52	+22	-38	+71	+189	19.6
/ 162G	—			650	569	129	23	4	15	69	165	7	17	3	.227	.318	.360	.678	.134	.291	25	11	.307	93	-5	+2	-4	+7	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	147	122	29	4	3	4	22	38	2	7	2	.238	.363	.418	.781	.180	.309	26	15	.350	126	+4	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	200	146	42	7	5	4	50	30	2	20	4	.288	.475	.486	.961	.199	.333	15	25	.426	184	+19	+2	—	—	+6	2.8
2025	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	120	102	35	6	1	0	15	21	2	6	4	.343	.437	.422	.859	.078	.427	18	12	.388	155	+7	-0	—	—	+3	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Herrera (OGILVIE)	21	48→53	34→39	57→62	67	.221/.303/.341	.120	.291	2	2	26%	9%	83	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Geraldo Perdomo 2021 · A	21	49→56	38→45	51→55	52	.228/.309/.308	.080	.281	4	17	19%	9%	76	+0.1	.205/.295/.293	.088	.269	6	12	24%	10%	67	-0.5	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
●Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	45→53	41→45	52→50	52	.215/.295/.312	.097	.270	8	10	22%	9%	72	-0.2	.225/.300/.348	.123	.272	11	8	20%	9%	82	+0.5	.212/.320/.332	.121	.306	11	7	31%	13%	85	+0.5
●Leo Rivas 2019 · A	21	44→54	37→40	52→65	51	.204/.293/.279	.075	.289	4	14	28%	10%	62	-0.9	.196/.276/.281	.085	.293	6	9	32%	9%	56	-1.3	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
●Jemile Weeks 2009 · A	22	50→60	41→45	51→55	50	.239/.314/.343	.104	.296	8	14	21%	8%	87	+0.8	.245/.304/.358	.113	.294	9	15	19%	7%	86	+0.8	.261/.317/.372	.111	.309	7	21	17%	7%	91	+0.8
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	52→62	42→50	53→55	48	.250/.318/.360	.110	.306	9	11	21%	7%	93	+1.3	.269/.332/.397	.128	.319	12	17	19%	7%	108	+2.3	.268/.333/.391	.123	.317	12	18	19%	7%	103	+1.6
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	47→48	46→50	47→45	53	.232/.316/.369	.138	.282	13	11	22%	10%	95	+1.4	.228/.308/.369	.141	.274	14	9	21%	9%	92	+1.2	.219/.301/.361	.142	.260	15	9	21%	9%	84	+0.5
●Luis Rengifo 2018 · A	21	45→55	41→50	53→55	43	.219/.269/.323	.104	.273	8	21	23%	6%	62	-0.9	.234/.301/.352	.118	.290	9	19	21%	8%	84	+0.6	.267/.318/.414	.147	.301	17	16	17%	6%	105	+1.6
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	44→54	40→45	57→55	46	.212/.280/.309	.097	.289	6	21	28%	8%	63	-0.8	.250/.309/.355	.105	.324	7	26	23%	7%	87	+0.8	.260/.318/.360	.100	.329	7	29	22%	7%	88	+0.8
●Colt Keith 2023 · A	21	49→53	46→55	53→45	45	.236/.300/.372	.137	.327	13	8	31%	8%	89	+0.9	.251/.308/.410	.159	.313	18	5	25%	7%	102	+1.8	.253/.314/.408	.154	.307	18	4	23%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	44→45	40→45	55→50	50	.208/.290/.307	.098	.287	7	16	28%	10%	68	-0.5	.222/.281/.341	.119	.304	12	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	.227/.267/.356	.130	.303	16	8	30%	5%	67	-0.3
●TJ Friedl 2017 · A	21	48→53	42→50	51→55	42	.228/.286/.337	.109	.309	8	10	28%	6%	73	-0.1	.226/.293/.326	.100	.295	6	15	24%	7%	74	-0.1	.246/.337/.381	.136	.276	15	18	16%	10%	103	+1.8
✕Harold Garcia 2009 · A	22	47→57	42→45	54→55	44	.225/.299/.336	.110	.281	8	13	22%	6%	80	+0.4	.244/.294/.348	.104	.324	8	22	26%	4%	79	+0.3	.255/.303/.356	.102	.345	8	27	27%	4%	83	+0.5
✕Luis Lara 2017 · A	22	48	42→45	52→45	50	.232/.293/.343	.110	.273	9	8	18%	8%	78	+0.2	.210/.273/.306	.096	.274	7	5	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.174/.244/.247	.073	.238	6	1	28%	8%	29	-0.8
✕Richi Sanchez 2015 · A	21	49	38→45	49→50	54	.230/.313/.315	.085	.291	5	8	21%	10%	79	+0.3	.213/.274/.290	.077	.279	3	7	23%	7%	56	-1.3	.202/.252/.280	.079	.255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	48→56	44→50	51→50	47	.232/.297/.363	.132	.298	10	16	25%	8%	85	+0.7	.253/.307/.400	.147	.331	13	14	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.259/.313/.416	.157	.335	15	16	26%	7%	102	+1.2
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	56→55	51	.229/.303/.336	.107	.265	9	17	17%	8%	81	+0.4	.248/.301/.331	.083	.281	5	14	13%	6%	77	+0.1	.256/.317/.334	.078	.294	4	14	13%	8%	82	+0.4
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	50→45	49	.226/.306/.321	.095	.306	6	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	.222/.295/.296	.074	.304	5	6	26%	8%	67	-0.5	.272/.340/.355	.083	.316	4	2	14%	7%	101	+0.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→56	41→45	50	49	.234/.299/.341	.107	.285	6	12	20%	7%	80	+0.4	.247/.308/.361	.114	.302	10	14	20%	7%	89	+0.9	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Ronny Simon 2021 · A	21	45→53	41→50	52→55	46	.215/.277/.324	.109	.271	6	13	22%	7%	66	-0.6	.212/.263/.367	.155	.273	18	19	29%	6%	72	-0.2	.239/.300/.355	.117	.301	11	27	23%	7%	81	+0.4
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	46→56	44→55	53→55	48	.222/.299/.339	.117	.299	11	19	28%	9%	80	+0.4	.233/.315/.415	.182	.322	20	23	32%	9%	107	+2.2	.229/.313/.400	.171	.309	20	23	30%	9%	99	+1.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)