Frainyer Chavez — OGILVIE

Frainyer Chavez2B Frisco RoughRiders

Age 27 S/R 5'8" / 170 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION383 act + 255 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .304 / .353

PA255

HR6

SB9

K%25

BB%8

BABIP293

ISO122

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	196	180	39	5	1	1	12	53	2	23	6	217	273	272	545	56	297	27	6	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	196	173	53	7	2	2	19	37	2	23	6	306	381	405	786	98	375	19	10	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	376	72	9	2	1	30	103	2	17	8	191	255	234	489	43	259	25	7	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	365	93	15	2	1	41	76	2	17	8	255	333	315	648	60	317	18	10	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	326	63	9	1	1	35	109	6	10	6	193	283	236	520	43	283	29	9	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	315	77	13	1	1	46	79	6	10	6	244	351	302	653	57	319	21	12	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	351	320	72	11	3	1	23	88	4	15	4	225	285	287	573	62	302	25	7	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	351	308	86	13	3	2	35	67	4	15	4	279	360	360	721	81	346	19	10	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	2 teams	—	288	256	44	7	0	5	24	93	2	3	6	172	248	258	506	86	241	32	8	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	2 teams	—	288	244	52	7	0	5	36	68	2	3	6	213	319	303	622	90	269	24	12	285	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	2 teams	—	434	400	86	13	2	3	27	115	2	20	4	215	268	280	548	65	292	26	6	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	2 teams	—	434	384	96	15	3	4	43	94	2	20	4	250	329	336	665	86	319	22	10	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	439	398	92	12	0	8	33	125	4	7	10	231	297	322	618	90	313	28	8	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	439	377	96	13	0	8	54	93	4	7	10	255	354	353	707	98	315	21	12	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AA	TEX	—	383	337	85	18	0	11	34	92	6	19	5	252	332	404	735	151	311	24	9	322	105	+2	+2	+0	+1	+11	1.6
YTD	27	AA	TEX	—	383	319	91	20	0	12	52	71	6	19	5	285	395	461	856	176	329	19	14	378	147	+20	+2	+0	+1	+11	3.5
ROS	27	AA	TEX	2%	255	229	53	10	0	6	21	64	3	9	3	231	304	353	657	122	292	25	8	295	84	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
ROS	27	MLB	TEX	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		293	20	0	288	78	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	AA	TEX	—	388	342	86	18	0	11	34	93	6	19	5	251	330	401	730	149	310	24	9	322	104	+2	+2	+0	+1	+11	1.6
TOT	27	AA	TEX	—	638	566	138	28	0	17	55	156	9	28	8	244	320	383	704	139	304	24	9	311	96	-3	+2	+0	+2	+18	2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	TEX	27%	333	299	69	13	0	8	28	83	3	10	3	231	303	355	658	124	290	25	8	296	84	-6	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2028	29	MLB	TEX	37%	352	315	71	13	0	8	30	88	4	9	3	225	301	343	644	117	289	25	9	296	85	-6	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.4
2027	28	MLB	TEX	27%	89	81	18	3	0	2	7	22	1	3	1	222	292	333	625	111	292	25	8	289	80	-2	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.1
2028	29	MLB	TEX	37%	131	118	27	5	0	3	11	33	1	3	1	229	300	347	647	119	291	25	8	290	80	-3	+0	-1	+0	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	225	204	46	8	0	5	18	56	2	6	2	225	295	338	633	113	285	25	8	290	80	-5	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	132	23	0	14	52	162	6	17	6	224	294	334	628	110	284	25	8	290	80	-15	+1	-2	+2	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	3435	3099	661	102	9	42	263	921	32	123	53	213	282	293	574	79	286	27	8	258	56	-172	+3	-2	+12	+97	-6.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	125	19	2	8	50	174	6	23	10	213	282	294	575	80	286	27	8	258	56	-32	+1	-0	+2	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	196	173	53	7	2	2	19	37	2	23	6	306	381	405	786	98	375	19	10	353	128	+6	+2	—	—	+6	1.4
2019	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	365	93	15	2	1	41	76	2	17	8	255	333	315	648	60	317	18	10	295	84	-7	+0	—	—	+12	0.5
2021	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	315	77	13	1	1	46	79	6	10	6	244	351	302	653	57	319	21	12	304	91	-4	-0	—	—	+11	0.6
2022	23	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	22	22	5	1	1	0	0	5	0	0	1	227	227	364	591	136	294	23	0	255	53	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	61	55	16	3	0	0	5	12	0	2	0	291	350	345	695	55	364	20	8	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	268	231	65	9	2	2	30	50	4	13	3	281	374	364	737	82	346	19	11	335	115	+4	+1	—	—	+8	1.4
2023	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	118	105	24	4	0	3	10	24	1	0	1	229	302	352	654	124	266	20	8	292	82	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2023	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	170	139	28	3	0	2	26	44	1	3	5	201	331	266	598	65	271	26	15	281	73	-5	-1	—	—	+5	-0.2
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	137	125	32	7	0	0	9	33	1	5	2	256	311	312	623	56	344	24	7	282	74	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.0
2024	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	297	259	64	8	3	4	34	61	1	15	2	247	337	347	684	100	308	21	11	311	96	-1	+2	—	—	+8	0.9
2025	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	44	35	9	1	0	3	8	7	1	1	1	257	409	543	952	286	240	16	18	417	178	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	26	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	395	342	87	12	0	5	46	86	3	6	9	254	348	333	681	79	323	22	12	313	97	-1	-2	—	—	+11	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	225	5	6	230	300	353	+1	+1	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	15	18	230	300	353	+2.4	+3.0	0.9	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Frainyer Chavez (OGILVIE)	27	45	30	45	50	244/320/383	139	304	17	28	24%	9%	96	+2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Swihart 2019 · MLB	27	43→50	41→45	51→45	45	209/269/304	95	280	8	11	28%	7%	57	-1.2	191/255/314	123	263	15	7	32%	8%	55	-1.4	149/220/265	116	198	16	2	34%	8%	26	-1.3
✕Nolan Fontana 2018 · MLB	27	41→43	41→40	48→50	49	197/278/296	99	272	8	12	29%	10%	60	-1.0	196/286/316	120	275	11	11	30%	11%	69	-0.4	153/267/269	116	216	9	6	31%	12%	49	-0.5
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	41→47	38→30	50	46	197/266/273	75	263	6	13	26%	8%	49	-1.8	209/278/289	80	298	7	14	30%	8%	58	-1.2	189/268/197	8	288	0	18	31%	9%	31	-0.6
✕Alejandro Gonzalez 2013 · AAA	27	49	40→45	42→50	44	235/300/323	88	302	9	12	24%	6%	76	+0.1	227/296/330	103	295	10	7	25%	7%	77	+0.1	227/286/327	99	313	7	12	28%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Mel Rojas Jr. 2017 · AAA	27	46→50	43→45	50	43	226/274/340	114	289	10	12	25%	6%	69	-0.4	227/274/354	127	292	13	10	26%	6%	73	-0.1	228/273/356	127	292	14	4	26%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Rafael Ynoa 2015 · MLB	27	49→55	38→40	44→55	44	233/277/318	85	287	5	11	20%	6%	64	-0.8	217/257/291	74	281	3	9	23%	5%	48	-1.9	204/246/264	60	267	2	8	23%	5%	33	-2.0
✕Carlos Colmenares 2013 · AAA	27	48→54	38→40	50	43	228/278/311	83	296	5	14	24%	6%	63	-0.9	245/287/408	163	281	18	13	20%	5%	92	+1.2	271/304/429	158	312	13	17	17%	5%	101	+0.4
✕Anderson Machado 2008 · MLB	27	42→43	40	48→45	48	203/274/294	91	273	7	11	27%	9%	58	-1.2	198/273/290	92	273	6	11	27%	9%	56	-1.3	189/268/275	85	265	4	8	28%	10%	48	-0.8
✕Pedro Florimón 2014 · MLB	27	46→52	42→45	48→55	43	226/277/330	104	295	9	15	26%	6%	67	-0.5	209/260/314	105	293	8	20	30%	6%	56	-1.3	219/275/335	116	325	10	11	34%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Mitchell Tolman 2021 · AAA	27	44→50	41→45	47→50	44	209/279/307	99	301	9	10	32%	8%	63	-0.8	232/302/374	142	298	14	8	25%	7%	90	+1.0	234/308/384	151	295	14	7	24%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Tyler Krieger 2021 · AAA	27	47→57	43→45	50	43	231/283/341	110	296	10	16	25%	6%	73	-0.1	194/245/283	89	293	8	9	35%	6%	42	-2.3	153/192/207	54	239	5	3	37%	4%	-4	-1.7
✕Tyler Smith 2018 · MLB	27	45→54	39→40	42→50	44	216/269/298	82	273	7	8	23%	6%	56	-1.3	207/263/314	107	283	11	7	29%	6%	58	-1.2	175/234/285	110	254	11	0	34%	6%	36	-0.8
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA	27	40	39→30	47→45	44	194/263/277	83	281	6	8	31%	8%	49	-1.8	214/268/321	107	292	9	8	28%	7%	62	-0.9	198/244/319	121	263	11	0	28%	6%	50	-0.3
✕Jan Vázquez 2018 · AAA	27	47	41→40	45	44	224/294/321	98	294	8	9	26%	7%	74	-0.1	216/290/323	107	298	10	7	29%	7%	72	-0.2	169/262/249	80	246	8	0	32%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Daniel Nunez 2009 · AAA	27	46→50	39→30	45→50	41	219/281/302	82	301	7	11	28%	6%	63	-0.9	215/271/312	97	299	9	13	29%	6%	60	-1.0	241/320/318	77	309	5	14	21%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Jorge Flores 2019 · AAA	27	41→51	40→30	45→50	42	201/248/288	87	250	7	8	23%	5%	44	-2.1	252/334/352	100	301	10	13	19%	8%	98	+1.6	266/357/352	86	314	10	14	17%	8%	103	+1.6
✕Cristhian Adames 2018 · MLB	27	44→54	41→45	43→50	45	213/265/314	101	262	9	7	22%	6%	58	-1.2	224/276/342	118	270	11	7	21%	7%	70	-0.3	228/280/344	116	269	11	5	19%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Andrew Aplin 2018 · AAA	27	44→54	40	52→55	50	212/286/306	94	274	7	19	24%	9%	66	-0.6	213/278/324	111	270	10	9	24%	8%	67	-0.5	219/280/335	116	267	9	3	20%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Ronnie Merrill 2006 · AAA	27	44→48	41→45	47→50	47	216/273/320	104	261	8	8	21%	7%	63	-0.8	220/277/330	110	278	9	9	23%	7%	68	-0.5	221/281/329	108	279	9	9	23%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Brent Wyatt 2011 · AA	26	44→50	41→40	50	49	213/296/312	99	266	8	13	22%	8%	72	-0.2	222/304/314	92	288	6	11	23%	9%	76	+0.1	227/320/312	84	302	4	9	23%	10%	79	+0.2