Frainyer Chavez2B
Frisco RoughRiders
Age 27
S/R
5'8" / 170 lbs
AA
K +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.7 · 2026
wRC+†94
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .274 / .296
PA250
HR4
SB8
K%28
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
30→30
SPD
45→45
EYE
46↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-0.7M | $-8M | -$7M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 196 | 180 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 53 | 2 | 23 | 6 | .217 | .273 | .272 | .545 | .056 | .297 | 27 | 6 | .247 | 47 | -12 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 415 | 380 | 72 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 100 | 2 | 17 | 8 | .189 | .245 | .234 | .479 | .045 | .253 | 24 | 6 | .213 | 21 | -37 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +12 | -2.4 |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 372 | 327 | 64 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 108 | 6 | 10 | 6 | .196 | .283 | .239 | .522 | .043 | .285 | 29 | 9 | .242 | 43 | -24 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +11 | -1.3 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | 3 teams | 351 | 322 | 72 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 87 | 4 | 15 | 4 | .224 | .280 | .295 | .575 | .071 | .295 | 25 | 6 | .251 | 50 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | 2 teams | 288 | 257 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 90 | 2 | 3 | 6 | .171 | .245 | .253 | .498 | .082 | .235 | 31 | 8 | .220 | 27 | -24 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -1.7 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 434 | 399 | 83 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 118 | 2 | 20 | 4 | .208 | .263 | .271 | .534 | .063 | .286 | 27 | 6 | .244 | 45 | -27 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | 2 teams | 439 | 397 | 87 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 125 | 4 | 7 | 10 | .219 | .287 | .300 | .587 | .081 | .299 | 28 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -19 | -3 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 86 | 75 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 0 | .280 | .357 | .520 | .877 | .240 | .302 | 22 | 9 | .363 | 136 | +3 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.7 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | TEX | 164 | 149 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 2 | .215 | .282 | .309 | .591 | .094 | .287 | 27 | 8 | .279 | 72 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | TEX | 250 | 224 | 53 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 63 | 2 | 8 | 2 | .237 | .308 | .379 | .687 | .143 | .288 | 25 | 8 | .308 | 94 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 9% | TEX | 333 | 298 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 77 | 3 | 8 | 3 | .225 | .300 | .336 | .636 | .111 | .275 | 23 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 19% | TEX | 352 | 315 | 71 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 82 | 3 | 8 | 3 | .225 | .301 | .343 | .644 | .117 | .276 | 23 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 29% | TEX | 363 | 325 | 73 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 86 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .225 | .300 | .342 | .642 | .117 | .275 | 24 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -9 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 40% | TEX | 358 | 321 | 71 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 86 | 3 | 5 | 2 | .221 | .296 | .336 | .632 | .115 | .274 | 24 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -10 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 49% | TEX | 345 | 309 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 84 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .295 | .330 | .625 | .110 | .273 | 24 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 63% | TEX | 318 | 286 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 80 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .217 | .289 | .322 | .611 | .105 | .271 | 25 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 81% | TEX | 277 | 249 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 72 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .209 | .284 | .309 | .593 | .100 | .270 | 26 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -11 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5005 | 4514 | 957 | 142 | 16 | 72 | 395 | 1292 | 42 | 134 | 58 | .212 | .282 | .298 | .580 | .086 | .278 | 26 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -237 | +4 | -20 | +18 | +142 | -9.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 586 | 123 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 168 | 5 | 17 | 8 | .210 | .278 | .294 | .572 | .084 | .276 | 26 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -31 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +18 | -1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 196 | 173 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 37 | 2 | 23 | 6 | .306 | .381 | .405 | .786 | .098 | .375 | 19 | 10 | .353 | 128 | +6 | +2 | — | — | +6 | 1.4 |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 415 | 365 | 93 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 41 | 76 | 2 | 17 | 8 | .255 | .333 | .315 | .648 | .060 | .317 | 18 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 372 | 315 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 79 | 6 | 10 | 6 | .244 | .351 | .302 | .653 | .057 | .319 | 21 | 12 | .304 | 91 | -4 | -0 | — | — | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 22 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .227 | .227 | .364 | .591 | .136 | .294 | 23 | 0 | .255 | 53 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 61 | 55 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .291 | .350 | .345 | .695 | .055 | .364 | 20 | 8 | .313 | 98 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 268 | 231 | 65 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 50 | 4 | 13 | 3 | .281 | .374 | .364 | .737 | .082 | .346 | 19 | 11 | .335 | 115 | +4 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 1.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 118 | 105 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .229 | .302 | .352 | .654 | .124 | .266 | 20 | 8 | .292 | 82 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 170 | 139 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 44 | 1 | 3 | 5 | .201 | .331 | .266 | .598 | .065 | .271 | 26 | 15 | .281 | 73 | -5 | -1 | — | — | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 137 | 125 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 5 | 2 | .256 | .311 | .312 | .623 | .056 | .344 | 24 | 7 | .282 | 74 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 297 | 259 | 64 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 61 | 1 | 15 | 2 | .247 | .337 | .347 | .684 | .100 | .308 | 21 | 11 | .311 | 96 | -1 | +2 | — | — | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 44 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .257 | .409 | .543 | .952 | .286 | .240 | 16 | 18 | .417 | 178 | +4 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 395 | 342 | 87 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 46 | 86 | 3 | 6 | 9 | .254 | .348 | .333 | .681 | .079 | .323 | 22 | 12 | .313 | 97 | -1 | -2 | — | — | +11 | 0.8 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Frainyer Chavez (OGILVIE) | 27 | 45 | 30 | 45 | 50 | .210/.274/.296 | .086 | .284 | 4 | 5 | 28% | 7% | 59 | -0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA |
27 | 42→48 | 38→30 | 50 | 47 | .202/.269/.276 | .074 | .268 | 6 | 13 | 26% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .211/.281/.287 | .076 | .301 | 6 | 14 | 29% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .199/.280/.207 | .008 | .301 | 0 | 18 | 30% | 9% | 38 | -0.5 |
|
✕Blake Swihart 2019 · MLB |
27 | 43→52 | 41→45 | 50→45 | 45 | .209/.270/.303 | .094 | .278 | 8 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .194/.256/.319 | .125 | .264 | 15 | 8 | 31% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .154/.224/.275 | .121 | .201 | 17 | 2 | 33% | 8% | 30 | -1.2 |
|
✕Tyler Smith 2018 · MLB |
27 | 46→53 | 39→40 | 43→50 | 44 | .219/.272/.299 | .080 | .277 | 6 | 8 | 23% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .207/.262/.312 | .105 | .279 | 10 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .182/.238/.295 | .113 | .256 | 11 | 0 | 32% | 6% | 40 | -0.7 |
|
✕Nolan Fontana 2018 · MLB |
27 | 40→43 | 40 | 47→50 | 48 | .195/.276/.291 | .096 | .272 | 7 | 11 | 29% | 10% | 59 | -1.1 | .196/.286/.314 | .118 | .276 | 10 | 11 | 30% | 11% | 69 | -0.4 | .155/.271/.269 | .114 | .221 | 9 | 6 | 31% | 13% | 51 | -0.4 |
|
✕Walter Ibarra 2015 · AAA |
27 | 47→57 | 39→40 | 44→50 | 35 | .228/.255/.308 | .080 | .308 | 6 | 8 | 28% | 3% | 51 | -1.7 | .259/.285/.342 | .083 | .323 | 6 | 12 | 21% | 3% | 72 | -0.2 | .274/.298/.354 | .080 | .336 | 5 | 11 | 19% | 3% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Tyler Krieger 2021 · AAA |
27 | 48→57 | 41→40 | 50 | 43 | .233/.284/.332 | .099 | .299 | 8 | 16 | 24% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .190/.241/.278 | .088 | .286 | 8 | 10 | 34% | 6% | 39 | -2.5 | .144/.184/.198 | .054 | .225 | 5 | 3 | 37% | 4% | -9 | -1.8 |
|
✕Jaime Pedroza 2014 · AA |
27 | 46→52 | 42→45 | 46→50 | 43 | .224/.279/.329 | .104 | .292 | 10 | 8 | 26% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .232/.279/.347 | .115 | .294 | 10 | 8 | 24% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .248/.314/.372 | .124 | .323 | 12 | 10 | 25% | 7% | 97 | +0.6 |
|
✕Rafael Ynoa 2015 · MLB |
27 | 51→54 | 38→40 | 45→55 | 46 | .241/.287/.328 | .087 | .294 | 5 | 12 | 20% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .228/.269/.307 | .079 | .290 | 4 | 9 | 21% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .214/.258/.278 | .064 | .276 | 2 | 8 | 22% | 5% | 42 | -1.6 |
|
✕Riley Unroe 2022 · AAA |
26 | 44→47 | 43→45 | 47→55 | 43 | .217/.274/.330 | .113 | .285 | 11 | 11 | 27% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .218/.293/.338 | .120 | .290 | 12 | 21 | 27% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .221/.306/.342 | .121 | .297 | 13 | 26 | 28% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA |
27 | 39 | 39→30 | 47→45 | 44 | .188/.264/.271 | .083 | .282 | 6 | 8 | 33% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .210/.266/.313 | .103 | .290 | 8 | 8 | 29% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .195/.246/.310 | .115 | .264 | 10 | 0 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -0.3 |
|
✕Anderson Machado 2008 · MLB |
27 | 41→43 | 40 | 47→45 | 47 | .199/.271/.291 | .092 | .271 | 7 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .198/.273/.290 | .092 | .273 | 6 | 11 | 27% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .188/.267/.271 | .084 | .264 | 4 | 8 | 28% | 10% | 47 | -0.9 |
|
✕Carlos Colmenares 2013 · AAA |
27 | 49→54 | 37→40 | 50 | 44 | .231/.283/.306 | .075 | .305 | 4 | 14 | 25% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .242/.285/.398 | .156 | .281 | 17 | 13 | 20% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .270/.305/.429 | .160 | .315 | 11 | 17 | 18% | 5% | 102 | +0.4 |
|
✕Daniel Nunez 2009 · AAA |
27 | 46→51 | 40→30 | 46→50 | 42 | .219/.280/.304 | .086 | .300 | 7 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .215/.272/.308 | .093 | .299 | 8 | 13 | 29% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .247/.326/.322 | .075 | .314 | 4 | 14 | 21% | 7% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Sandy León 2016 · MLB |
27 | 39→49 | 39→45 | 41→30 | 47 | .192/.256/.271 | .079 | .240 | 7 | 3 | 23% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | .230/.289/.345 | .115 | .292 | 12 | 3 | 24% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .224/.285/.344 | .121 | .281 | 13 | 1 | 24% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Stevie Wilkerson 2019 · MLB |
27 | 48→57 | 41→45 | 45→50 | 40 | .230/.282/.326 | .096 | .314 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .230/.285/.355 | .125 | .311 | 13 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .222/.281/.340 | .118 | .308 | 12 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Pedro Florimón 2014 · MLB |
27 | 47→52 | 42→45 | 47→55 | 43 | .227/.277/.328 | .101 | .299 | 9 | 15 | 27% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .211/.263/.314 | .103 | .295 | 8 | 20 | 29% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .224/.280/.339 | .115 | .329 | 10 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2012 · AA |
28 | 46 | 39→40 | 47→50 | 44 | .221/.278/.303 | .082 | .281 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .220/.292/.298 | .078 | .281 | 5 | 13 | 22% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.296/.271 | .058 | .265 | 1 | 11 | 18% | 8% | 59 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jorge Flores 2019 · AAA |
27 | 42→52 | 39→30 | 44→50 | 43 | .203/.251/.287 | .084 | .249 | 7 | 8 | 22% | 5% | 45 | -2.1 | .245/.327/.333 | .088 | .295 | 8 | 13 | 19% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .256/.348/.325 | .069 | .306 | 7 | 14 | 17% | 8% | 92 | +1.0 |
|
✕Gustavo Nunez 2015 · AAA |
27 | 49→58 | 36→40 | 46→55 | 41 | .232/.269/.298 | .066 | .301 | 4 | 13 | 24% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .246/.285/.310 | .064 | .302 | 4 | 18 | 19% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .254/.292/.307 | .053 | .305 | 2 | 19 | 17% | 5% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jan Vázquez 2017 · AA |
26 | 45 | 38→40 | 46→45 | 44 | .212/.283/.295 | .084 | .288 | 5 | 10 | 27% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .223/.297/.327 | .104 | .299 | 10 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .219/.300/.323 | .104 | .295 | 11 | 3 | 28% | 8% | 73 | -0.0 |