Frainyer Chavez — OGILVIE

Frainyer Chavez3B Frisco RoughRiders

Age 27 S/R 5'8" / 170 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION542 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP289

ISO88

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	19	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	196	173	53	7	2	2	19	37	2	23	6	306	381	405	786	98	375	19	10	353	125	+6	+2	—	—	+4	1.2
2019	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	365	93	15	2	1	41	76	2	17	8	255	333	315	648	60	317	18	10	295	86	-7	+0	—	—	+9	0.2
2021	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	315	77	13	1	1	46	79	6	10	6	244	351	302	653	57	319	21	12	304	92	-4	-0	—	—	+8	0.4
2022	23	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	22	22	5	1	1	0	0	5	0	0	1	227	227	364	591	136	294	23	0	255	59	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	61	55	16	3	0	0	5	12	0	2	0	291	350	345	695	55	364	20	8	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	268	231	65	9	2	2	30	50	4	13	3	281	374	364	737	82	346	19	11	335	113	+4	+1	—	—	+6	1.2
2023	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	118	105	24	4	0	3	10	24	1	0	1	229	302	352	654	124	266	20	8	292	84	-2	-0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2023	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	170	139	28	3	0	2	26	44	1	3	5	201	331	266	598	65	271	26	15	281	76	-5	-1	—	—	+4	-0.3
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	137	125	32	7	0	0	9	33	1	5	2	256	311	312	623	56	344	24	7	282	77	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	297	259	64	8	3	4	34	61	1	15	2	247	337	347	684	100	308	21	11	311	96	-1	+2	—	—	+6	0.7
2025	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	44	35	9	1	0	3	8	7	1	1	1	257	409	543	952	286	240	16	18	417	169	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	26	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	395	342	87	12	0	5	46	86	3	6	9	254	348	333	681	79	323	22	12	313	98	-1	-2	—	—	+9	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	196	180	39	5	1	1	12	53	2	23	6	217	273	272	545	56	290	27	6	247	53	-11	+2	—	—	+4	-0.5
2019	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	378	75	10	2	1	28	102	2	17	8	198	257	243	501	45	262	25	7	224	38	-31	+0	—	—	+9	-2.2
2021	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	327	66	10	1	1	34	108	6	10	6	202	289	248	537	46	281	29	9	242	50	-22	-0	—	—	+8	-1.5
2022	23	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	22	22	5	1	1	0	0	6	0	0	1	227	227	364	591	136	265	27	0	205	25	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	61	57	15	3	0	0	3	15	0	2	0	263	300	316	616	53	334	25	5	271	70	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	23	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	268	241	55	8	2	1	20	66	4	13	3	228	298	290	589	62	296	25	7	263	64	-11	+1	—	—	+6	-0.4
2023	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	118	108	21	4	0	2	7	29	1	0	1	194	250	287	537	93	237	25	6	242	50	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2023	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	170	148	23	2	0	2	17	61	1	3	5	155	247	209	456	54	231	36	10	212	30	-14	-1	—	—	+4	-1.2
2024	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	137	128	29	6	0	0	6	40	1	5	2	227	267	273	540	47	313	29	4	236	46	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	297	271	58	7	2	3	22	74	1	15	2	214	276	288	563	74	278	25	7	253	57	-15	+2	—	—	+6	-0.7
2025	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	44	37	8	1	0	3	6	8	1	1	1	216	341	486	827	270	204	18	14	343	118	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	26	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	395	359	83	11	0	4	29	108	3	6	9	231	294	295	589	64	309	27	7	263	64	-17	-2	—	—	+9	-1.1
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	196	180	39	5	1	1	12	53	2	23	6	217	273	272	545	56	297	27	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	—	196	173	53	7	2	2	19	37	2	23	6	306	381	405	786	98	375	19	10	353	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	378	75	10	2	1	28	102	2	17	8	198	257	243	501	45	267	25	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	365	93	15	2	1	41	76	2	17	8	255	333	315	648	60	317	18	10	295	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	327	66	10	1	1	34	108	6	10	6	202	289	248	537	46	294	29	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	315	77	13	1	1	46	79	6	10	6	244	351	302	653	57	319	21	12	304	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	351	320	74	11	3	1	23	87	4	15	4	231	291	294	585	62	309	25	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	351	308	86	13	3	2	35	67	4	15	4	279	360	360	721	81	346	19	10	326	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	288	256	44	6	0	4	24	90	2	3	6	172	248	242	490	70	241	31	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	288	244	52	7	0	5	36	68	2	3	6	213	319	303	622	90	269	24	12	285	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	434	399	87	13	2	3	28	114	2	20	4	218	273	283	556	65	296	26	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	434	384	96	15	3	4	43	94	2	20	4	250	329	336	665	86	319	22	10	302	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	439	396	91	12	0	7	35	117	4	7	10	230	299	313	612	83	305	27	8	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	439	377	96	13	0	8	54	93	4	7	10	255	354	353	707	98	315	21	12	323	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	196	180	39	5	1	1	12	53	2	23	6	217	273	272	545	56	290	27	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	382	75	10	2	1	28	102	2	17	8	196	257	241	498	45	262	25	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	329	66	10	1	1	34	108	6	10	6	201	289	246	535	46	281	29	9	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	351	321	74	11	3	1	23	87	4	15	4	231	291	293	584	62	301	25	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	288	260	44	6	0	4	24	90	2	3	6	169	248	238	487	69	233	31	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	434	401	87	13	2	3	28	114	2	20	4	217	273	282	555	65	289	26	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	439	397	91	12	0	7	35	117	4	7	10	229	299	312	611	83	298	27	8	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	288	260	44	6	0	4	24	90	2	3	6	169	248	238	487	69	233	31	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	434	401	87	13	2	3	28	114	2	20	4	217	273	282	555	65	289	26	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	439	397	91	12	0	7	35	117	4	7	10	229	299	312	611	83	298	27	8	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	TEX	—	542	476	114	22	0	10	50	122	7	27	7	239	321	349	670	109	297	23	9	293	85	-10	+3	+0	+2	+12	0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA RAW	TEX	—	506	421	113	24	0	12	70	93	7	25	7	268	382	411	792	143	315	18	14	355	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA RAW	TEX	—	36	31	7	0	0	0	4	7	0	2	0	226	314	226	540		280	19	11	253	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AA MLE	TEX	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		286	22	11	287	80	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	27	AA MLE	TEX	—	551	484	115	22	0	10	51	124	7	27	7	238	319	345	664	107	295	23	9	293	85	-10	+3	+0	+2	+12	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	TEX	27%	333	298	67	12	0	6	29	78	3	10	3	225	300	326	626	101	285	23	9	287	81	-8	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	TEX	37%	352	314	70	13	0	6	31	83	4	10	3	223	301	322	623	99	284	24	9	288	81	-8	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	TEX	43%	363	324	73	13	0	7	32	86	4	9	3	225	303	330	633	105	284	24	9	287	80	-8	+1	-2	+1	+8	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	TEX	27%	89	80	18	3	0	2	8	21	1	3	1	225	303	338	641	113	287	24	9	284	81	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	TEX	37%	131	117	27	5	0	3	12	31	1	4	1	231	308	350	658	120	287	24	9	285	81	-3	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	TEX	43%	157	140	32	6	0	3	14	37	2	4	1	229	308	336	643	107	286	24	9	284	80	-4	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	377	337	77	14	0	8	34	89	4	11	3	228	307	341	648	113	285	24	9	284	61	-9	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	133	24	0	14	59	153	7	19	5	229	308	343	650	114	285	24	9	284	61	-15	+2	-3	+2	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3552	3200	687	105	9	37	277	920	33	124	53	215	284	288	572	73	286	26	8	258	61	-24	+2	-4	+4	+23	0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	126	19	2	7	51	168	6	23	10	215	285	290	575	75	286	26	8	258	61	-15	+1	-3	+2	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	382	7	11	227	300	331	+1	+1	0.3	0.3
/162	664	12	19	+2.4	+1.7	0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Frainyer Chavez (OGILVIE)	27	45	30	45	50	225/301/323	98	286	4	10	23%	9%	80	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Swihart 2019 · MLB	27	43→51	41→45	51→45	45	209/269/304	95	280	8	11	27%	7%	63	-1.4	194/258/320	126	265	15	7	31%	8%	63	-1.4	152/222/269	118	200	16	2	33%	8%	36	-1.2
✕Rafael Ynoa 2015 · MLB	27	51→55	38→40	45→55	46	242/287/329	87	294	5	11	19%	6%	74	-0.5	226/267/304	78	289	3	9	22%	5%	61	-1.5	214/257/279	65	277	2	8	22%	5%	49	-1.7
✕Tyler Krieger 2021 · AAA	27	46→56	41→40	50	43	225/277/322	97	287	8	16	24%	6%	70	-0.9	191/242/277	86	288	7	9	34%	6%	46	-2.6	143/184/193	49	226	4	3	37%	4%	2	-1.8
✕Anderson Hernandez 2010 · MLB	27	48→58	38→45	46→55	47	230/279/315	85	276	5	11	18%	6%	68	-1.0	237/282/311	74	286	4	12	18%	6%	68	-1.0	260/295/356	96	302	7	11	16%	5%	81	-0.1
✕Pedro Florimón 2014 · MLB	27	46→52	41→45	48→55	43	225/277/325	100	295	9	15	26%	6%	70	-0.8	209/262/308	99	295	7	20	30%	7%	60	-1.6	220/277/327	107	327	9	11	33%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	42→48	38→30	50	47	201/269/274	73	265	6	13	25%	8%	56	-1.9	212/281/290	78	297	6	14	28%	8%	64	-1.3	199/280/207	8	294	0	18	29%	9%	45	-0.6
✕Damian Rolls 2005 · MLB	27	47→52	41→45	47→55	44	230/285/330	100	286	8	13	22%	6%	74	-0.5	214/279/319	105	280	9	12	26%	7%	70	-0.8	224/289/292	68	315	4	20	28%	7%	66	-0.2
✕Riley Unroe 2022 · AAA	26	44→48	42→45	46→55	43	215/272/320	105	280	9	11	26%	6%	68	-1.0	221/297/336	115	292	11	22	26%	9%	80	-0.1	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Josh Johnson 2013 · AAA	27	50→49	40→45	45→50	52	238/304/331	94	283	6	14	18%	8%	82	-0.0	239/306/325	86	284	6	12	17%	9%	81	-0.1	239/310/313	73	284	5	11	16%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Richy Pedroza 2019 · AAA	28	48→55	37→30	46→50	51	225/293/295	70	270	4	15	18%	8%	70	-0.9	242/320/332	90	292	5	19	17%	10%	88	+0.4	250/334/327	77	301	2	23	16%	11%	90	+0.5
✕Carlos Colmenares 2013 · AAA	27	49→54	38→40	50	44	232/285/315	83	302	5	14	24%	6%	70	-0.8	237/281/379	142	279	15	13	20%	6%	84	+0.2	259/295/394	135	304	9	17	18%	5%	89	+0.1
✕Jonathan Herrera 2012 · MLB	27	50→58	37→40	44→55	54	235/300/297	62	267	5	9	14%	8%	72	-0.7	242/298/321	79	280	6	9	15%	7%	76	-0.4	249/301/319	69	293	4	8	15%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2011 · AAA	27	50	41→40	44→45	49	239/305/336	97	293	8	6	20%	8%	84	+0.1	228/301/319	91	290	8	7	23%	8%	78	-0.3	218/301/300	82	286	7	5	24%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Tyler Heineman 2018 · AAA	27	47→46	39→45	46→50	47	224/277/310	87	268	6	6	19%	6%	66	-1.1	235/297/351	116	274	11	8	18%	7%	84	+0.1	240/302/348	108	282	10	5	18%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Mel Rojas Jr. 2017 · AAA	27	47→52	42→45	50	43	228/277/337	109	293	9	12	25%	6%	72	-0.7	226/275/346	120	293	11	10	26%	6%	74	-0.5	222/267/332	110	286	11	4	26%	5%	68	-0.4
✕Jeff Bianchi 2014 · MLB	27	49→57	39→45	46→50	43	237/276/318	81	289	6	13	20%	5%	68	-1.0	225/266/302	77	283	6	9	22%	5%	60	-1.6	214/254/266	53	277	4	6	23%	5%	44	-0.9
✕Jan Vázquez 2018 · AAA	27	47	41→40	45	45	227/297/325	98	295	8	9	25%	7%	78	-0.3	219/294/328	109	299	10	7	28%	7%	78	-0.3	175/269/260	86	250	9	0	31%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Tyler Smith 2018 · MLB	27	45→54	39→40	42→50	44	215/270/295	79	272	6	8	23%	6%	61	-1.5	208/266/313	105	284	10	7	29%	6%	64	-1.3	177/233/280	103	254	9	0	33%	6%	42	-0.9
✕Jaime Pedroza 2014 · AA	27	48→54	41→45	46→50	44	231/282/325	95	294	8	8	24%	6%	72	-0.7	231/279/341	110	291	9	8	23%	5%	74	-0.5	245/311/360	115	323	9	10	25%	7%	93	+0.3
✕Pete Kozma 2015 · MLB	27	45→47	40	44→50	48	216/274/310	94	257	7	9	19%	7%	66	-1.1	197/255/266	69	248	5	11	22%	6%	49	-2.4	194/243/282	88	241	5	6	21%	5%	46	-1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps