Carlos Colmenares
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 239 | .286/.362/.414 | 2 | 5 | 102 | — | .305/.344/.500 |
| 2016 | 30 | INTLAguilas del Z… | 67 | .237/.318/.305 | 0 | 1 | 78 | — | |
| 2017 | 31 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 152 | .270/.333/.365 | 1 | 5 | 65 | — | .245/.280/.329 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 20 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 180 | 154 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 234 | 318 | 325 | 643 | 91 | 271 | 13 | 10 | 284 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK | AZL Angels | — | 71 | 60 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 300 | 391 | 383 | 775 | 83 | 362 | 18 | 13 | 345 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 108 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 213 | 340 | 315 | 654 | 101 | 262 | 22 | 12 | 303 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 342 | 302 | 90 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 26 | 53 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 298 | 358 | 407 | 765 | 109 | 360 | 15 | 8 | 331 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 64 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 297 | 246 | 542 | 35 | 286 | 23 | 11 | 258 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 92 | 86 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 302 | 341 | 349 | 689 | 47 | 366 | 17 | 5 | 310 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 218 | 189 | 52 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 41 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 275 | 366 | 317 | 683 | 42 | 351 | 19 | 12 | 316 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 29 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 321 | 345 | 464 | 809 | 143 | 409 | 21 | 0 | 357 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 46 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 244 | 238 | 483 | 48 | 267 | 26 | 7 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 145 | 138 | 40 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 290 | 319 | 529 | 848 | 239 | 376 | 28 | 4 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 123 | 115 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 252 | 301 | 426 | 727 | 174 | 261 | 15 | 7 | 322 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 61 | 51 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 298 | 294 | 592 | 78 | 275 | 21 | 10 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 127 | 111 | 36 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 324 | 400 | 541 | 941 | 216 | 391 | 17 | 11 | 403 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 112 | 99 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 242 | 318 | 273 | 591 | 30 | 296 | 17 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 67 | 59 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 318 | 305 | 623 | 68 | 304 | 21 | 10 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 152 | 137 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 270 | 333 | 365 | 698 | 95 | 313 | 14 | 9 | 312 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 180 | 161 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 193 | 249 | 267 | 516 | 75 | 224 | 19 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 71 | 64 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 275 | 281 | 557 | 62 | 294 | 27 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 108 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 194 | 292 | 290 | 583 | 97 | 247 | 31 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 342 | 310 | 84 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 71 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 271 | 315 | 361 | 676 | 90 | 332 | 21 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 64 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 186 | 250 | 220 | 470 | 34 | 269 | 31 | 8 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 92 | 87 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 276 | 308 | 322 | 630 | 46 | 340 | 23 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 218 | 198 | 48 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 48 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 242 | 306 | 283 | 588 | 40 | 317 | 22 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 29 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 286 | 310 | 429 | 739 | 143 | 365 | 28 | 0 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 123 | 117 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 222 | 260 | 359 | 619 | 137 | 236 | 17 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 127 | 118 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 305 | 344 | 500 | 844 | 195 | 373 | 20 | 6 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 152 | 143 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 245 | 280 | 329 | 609 | 84 | 288 | 16 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 180 | 161 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 193 | 249 | 267 | 516 | 75 | 240 | 19 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 180 | 154 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 234 | 318 | 325 | 643 | 91 | 271 | 13 | 10 | 284 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 71 | 64 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 275 | 281 | 557 | 62 | 289 | 27 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK RAW | AZL Angels | — | 71 | 60 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 300 | 391 | 383 | 775 | 83 | 362 | 18 | 13 | 345 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 108 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 194 | 292 | 290 | 583 | 97 | 267 | 31 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 108 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 213 | 340 | 315 | 654 | 101 | 262 | 22 | 12 | 303 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 369 | 95 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 92 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 257 | 305 | 339 | 643 | 81 | 342 | 23 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 406 | 359 | 102 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 33 | 68 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 284 | 348 | 382 | 729 | 97 | 349 | 17 | 8 | 320 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 385 | 356 | 89 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 88 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 250 | 299 | 295 | 594 | 45 | 331 | 23 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 385 | 345 | 95 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 34 | 75 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 275 | 344 | 328 | 671 | 52 | 351 | 19 | 9 | 306 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | INTL MLE | Tigres de Aragua | — | 145 | 138 | 40 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 290 | 319 | 529 | 848 | 239 | 376 | 28 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | INTL RAW | Tigres de Aragua | — | 145 | 138 | 40 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 290 | 319 | 529 | 848 | 239 | 376 | 28 | 4 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 172 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 227 | 261 | 366 | 627 | 140 | 241 | 17 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 184 | 166 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 241 | 300 | 386 | 686 | 145 | 265 | 17 | 8 | 300 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 239 | 222 | 69 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 49 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 311 | 349 | 518 | 867 | 207 | 386 | 21 | 5 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 239 | 210 | 60 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 41 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 286 | 362 | 414 | 776 | 129 | 345 | 17 | 10 | 342 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | INTL MLE | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 67 | 59 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 318 | 305 | 623 | 68 | 304 | 21 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | INTL RAW | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 67 | 59 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 318 | 305 | 623 | 68 | 304 | 21 | 10 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 152 | 143 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 245 | 280 | 329 | 609 | 84 | 291 | 16 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 152 | 137 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 270 | 333 | 365 | 698 | 95 | 313 | 14 | 9 | 312 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 180 | 166 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 187 | 249 | 259 | 508 | 72 | 224 | 19 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 71 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 275 | 273 | 548 | 61 | 294 | 27 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 108 | 94 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 191 | 292 | 287 | 580 | 96 | 247 | 31 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 378 | 95 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 92 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 251 | 305 | 331 | 635 | 79 | 322 | 23 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 385 | 357 | 89 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 88 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 249 | 299 | 294 | 593 | 45 | 327 | 23 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 174 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 224 | 261 | 362 | 623 | 138 | 236 | 17 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 239 | 224 | 69 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 49 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 308 | 349 | 513 | 862 | 205 | 373 | 21 | 5 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 31 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 152 | 144 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 243 | 280 | 326 | 606 | 83 | 288 | 16 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1937 | 1777 | 444 | 71 | 31 | 19 | 111 | 427 | 10 | 53 | 38 | 250 | 298 | 357 | 654 | 107 | 317 | 22 | 6 | 244 | 51 | -113 | -5 | +0 | +7 | +42 | -7.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 148 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 37 | 143 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 248 | 295 | 352 | 647 | 104 | 316 | 22 | 6 | 244 | 51 | -38 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 152 PAwOBA .299 → .265 (−34)K% 13.8% → 16.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.82% | ÷1.020 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.24% | ÷1.045 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 4.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.28% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | ×1.040 | ×0.962 | 22.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×0.962 | 5.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.040 | ×0.962 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.86% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 0.66% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 104, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .299 → .265; ISO .095 → .081; BABIP .313 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 127 PAwOBA .385 → .360 (−26)K% 17.3% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.32% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.66% | ÷1.132 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.84% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.043 | ×0.982 | 24.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.49% | ÷0.981 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×0.982 | 3.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.87% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×0.982 | 8.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.25% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.45% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 105, BB 126 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .385 → .360; ISO .216 → .211; BABIP .391 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 123 PAwOBA .313 → .265 (−48)K% 14.6% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.63% | ÷1.044 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.50% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.59% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 18.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.15% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 4.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.15% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.18% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 109, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .313 → .265; ISO .174 → .141; BABIP .261 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAArkansas Travelers · 218 PAwOBA .309 → .265 (−43)K% 18.8% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.81% | ÷1.043 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.93% | ÷1.084 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.08% | ÷1.085 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×1.012 | 27.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.932 | ×0.840 | ×1.038 | ×1.012 | 2.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.038 | ×1.012 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.864 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 117, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 109, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .309 → .265; ISO .042 → .044; BABIP .351 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAASalt Lake Bees · 92 PAwOBA .305 → .265 (−40)K% 17.4% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.980 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.43% | ÷1.016 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 3.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.86% | ÷1.060 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 30.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.999 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 2.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.035 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 100, 3B 107, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .305 → .265; ISO .047 → .039; BABIP .366 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 29 PAwOBA .347 → .278 (−69)K% 20.7% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.69% | ÷0.996 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 2.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.956 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 25.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.983 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.988 | 7.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.018 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.988 | 3.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.924 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 104, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .347 → .278; ISO .143 → .102; BABIP .409 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 342 PAwOBA .323 → .286 (−37)K% 15.5% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 20.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 24.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 7.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 1.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .323 → .286; ISO .109 → .092; BABIP .360 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 64 PAwOBA .252 → .204 (−48)K% 23.4% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.44% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 22.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .252 → .204; ISO .035 → .028; BABIP .286 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .