Anderson Hernandez

Pos2B

B/TS/R

Born1982-10-30

Age (2027)44

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2019

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2017	34	AAA/INTL2 orgs	609	.296/.361/.416	5	11	85	—	.267/.299/.381
2018	35	INTLTigres del Li…	28	.120/.148/.200	0	1	-13	—
2019	36	INTLEstrellas Ori…	46	.083/.250/.111	0	0	14	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	22	MLB	New York Mets	—	19	18	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	56	105	56	161		71	21	5	84	-57	-4	-0	+1	+2	+0	-0.1
2005	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	293	261	79	6	4	2	22	46	1	24	9	303	359	379	738	77	355	16	8	324	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA	Binghamton Mets	—	296	273	89	14	1	7	14	58	1	11	9	326	361	462	823	136	392	20	5	356	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	MLB	New York Mets	—	67	66	10	1	1	1	1	12	0	0	0	152	164	242	407	91	170	18	1	179	7	-7	+0	+1	+2	+1	-0.3
2006	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	444	414	103	11	4	0	21	70	0	15	5	249	285	295	580	46	299	16	5	259	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	597	554	167	28	5	5	31	82	3	16	9	301	342	397	739	96	343	14	5	327	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	91	81	27	4	0	0	10	8	0	0	0	333	407	383	789	49	370	9	11	362	131	+3	+0	-1	+2	+2	0.7
2008	25	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	523	479	97	21	7	5	38	95	1	11	8	203	263	307	569	104	241	18	7	256	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB	New York Mets	—	404	366	92	15	4	3	33	63	0	7	5	251	313	339	652	87	295	16	8	293	82	-9	-1	+3	+1	+9	0.4
2010	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	119	109	24	5	0	0	10	19	0	3	0	220	286	266	552	46	267	16	8	257	58	-6	+1	-1	+6	+3	0.2
2010	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	217	200	47	5	0	1	13	29	0	4	4	235	282	275	557	40	266	13	6	252	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	206	184	46	8	3	0	15	28	0	5	2	250	307	326	633	76	287	14	7	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	574	510	153	25	4	6	53	77	2	21	12	300	367	400	767	100	341	13	9	342	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	214	190	58	8	2	2	19	23	0	2	3	305	363	400	763	95	337	11	9	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	399	369	99	9	5	1	18	58	0	3	4	268	301	328	629	60	314	15	5	276	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	215	190	56	13	2	1	19	28	0	4	1	295	357	400	757	105	337	13	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	282	244	72	11	0	11	29	36	1	12	1	295	371	475	846	180	305	13	10	366	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	203	180	42	5	4	4	16	24	3	1	3	233	305	372	677	139	245	12	8	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	71	63	9	0	1	0	4	10	0	1	0	143	191	175	366	32	170	14	6	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	51	45	10	1	0	0	4	11	0	1	2	222	280	244	524	22	286	22	8	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	177	154	40	4	0	0	17	23	2	0	0	260	341	286	627	26	305	13	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA	Vaqueros Union Laguna	—	482	437	135	30	8	5	36	60	0	9	3	309	360	449	809	140	347	12	7	353	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	127	104	25	4	0	0	18	24	2	2	0	240	363	279	642	38	309	19	14	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	35	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	28	25	3	2	0	0	1	8	0	1	0	120	148	200	348	80	176	29	4	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	36	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	46	36	3	1	0	0	8	5	0	0	0	83	250	111	361	28	97	11	17	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	700	640	154	25	5	4	55	106	0	10	6	241	301	314	615	73	282	15	8	279	75	-21	-0	+3	+13	+15	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	22	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	19	18	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	56	105	56	161		71	21	5	84	-57	-4	-0	+1	+2	+0	-0.1
2005	22	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	293	268	83	6	4	2	15	55	1	24	9	310	349	384	733	75	360	19	5	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA MLE	Binghamton Mets	—	296	278	90	13	1	6	9	71	1	11	9	324	347	442	790	119	400	24	3	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	67	66	10	1	1	1	1	12	0	0	0	152	164	242	407	91	170	18	1	179	7	-7	+0	+1	+2	+1	-0.3
2006	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	444	420	103	10	4	0	15	84	0	15	5	245	271	288	559	43	298	19	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	597	562	155	24	4	4	23	106	3	16	9	276	308	354	662	78	324	18	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	91	81	27	4	0	0	10	8	0	0	0	333	407	383	789	49	370	9	11	362	131	+3	+0	-1	+2	+2	0.7
2008	25	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	523	490	86	17	6	4	27	122	1	11	8	176	220	259	479	84	220	23	5	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	404	368	92	15	4	3	31	63	0	7	5	250	308	337	645	87	295	16	8	289	82	-9	-1	+3	+1	+9	0.4
2010	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	119	109	24	5	0	0	10	19	0	3	0	220	286	266	552	46	267	16	8	253	58	-6	+1	-1	+6	+3	0.2
2010	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	217	205	42	4	0	1	8	39	0	4	4	205	235	239	474	34	235	18	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	574	528	140	23	3	5	36	102	2	21	12	265	314	348	663	83	312	18	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	399	378	92	8	4	1	11	69	0	3	4	243	265	294	558	50	286	17	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	282	255	64	9	0	8	19	43	1	12	1	251	305	380	686	129	263	15	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	Vaqueros Union Laguna	—	482	454	121	26	7	4	21	72	0	9	3	267	299	381	680	115	300	15	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	608	564	173	19	5	7	25	130	2	35	19	307	338	395	734	89	384	21	4	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	608	552	169	20	5	9	37	108	2	35	19	306	352	409	761	103	364	18	6	332	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	511	486	113	11	5	1	16	96	0	15	5	233	257	282	539	49	288	19	3	234	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	511	480	113	12	5	1	22	82	0	15	5	235	269	287	556	52	282	16	4	248	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	597	562	155	24	4	4	23	106	3	16	9	276	308	354	662	78	330	18	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA RAW	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	597	554	167	28	5	5	31	82	3	16	9	301	342	397	739	96	343	14	5	327	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	614	571	113	21	6	4	37	130	1	11	8	198	248	277	525	79	248	21	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	614	560	124	25	7	5	48	103	1	11	8	221	284	318	602	96	262	17	8	272	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	404	368	92	15	4	3	31	63	0	7	5	250	308	337	645	87	293	16	8	289	82	-9	-1	+3	+1	+9	0.4
2009	26	MLB RAW	New York Mets	—	404	366	92	15	4	3	33	63	0	7	5	251	313	339	652	87	295	16	8	293	82	-9	-1	+3	+1	+9	0.4
2010	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	542	501	104	14	0	1	30	94	0	12	6	208	252	242	494	34	249	17	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	542	493	117	18	3	1	38	76	0	12	6	237	292	292	584	55	274	14	7	263	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	788	727	193	32	5	7	49	139	2	23	15	265	314	352	666	87	317	18	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	788	700	211	33	6	8	72	100	2	23	15	301	366	400	766	99	340	13	9	341	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	614	582	142	13	7	1	17	106	0	7	5	244	265	296	561	52	294	17	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	614	559	155	22	7	2	37	86	0	7	5	277	321	352	673	75	322	14	6	296	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	485	438	111	16	0	14	33	75	4	13	4	253	312	386	697	132	273	15	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	485	424	114	16	4	15	45	60	4	13	4	269	343	432	775	163	279	12	9	338	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	INTL MLE	Tigres del Licey	—	71	63	9	0	1	0	4	10	0	1	0	143	191	175	366	32	170	14	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	INTL RAW	Tigres del Licey	—	71	63	9	0	1	0	4	10	0	1	0	143	191	175	366	32	170	14	6	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	INTL MLE	Tigres del Licey	—	51	45	10	1	0	0	4	11	0	1	2	222	280	244	524	22	286	22	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	INTL RAW	Tigres del Licey	—	51	45	10	1	0	0	4	11	0	1	2	222	280	244	524	22	286	22	8	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	INTL MLE	Dominican Republic	—	177	154	40	4	0	0	17	23	2	0	0	260	341	286	627	26	305	13	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	INTL RAW	Dominican Republic	—	177	154	40	4	0	0	17	23	2	0	0	260	341	286	627	26	305	13	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	609	571	152	33	8	5	26	91	2	11	3	266	301	378	679	112	307	15	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	609	541	160	34	8	5	54	84	2	11	3	296	361	416	776	120	340	14	9	342	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	35	INTL MLE	Tigres del Licey	—	28	25	3	2	0	0	1	8	0	1	0	120	148	200	348	80	176	29	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	35	INTL RAW	Tigres del Licey	—	28	25	3	2	0	0	1	8	0	1	0	120	148	200	348	80	176	29	4	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	36	INTL MLE	Estrellas Orientales	—	46	36	3	1	0	0	8	5	0	0	0	83	250	111	361	28	97	11	17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	36	INTL RAW	Estrellas Orientales	—	46	36	3	1	0	0	8	5	0	0	0	83	250	111	361	28	97	11	17	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	608	576	173	19	5	7	25	130	2	35	19	300	338	387	726	87	370	21	4	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	511	490	113	11	5	1	16	96	0	15	5	231	257	280	537	49	281	19	3	234	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	597	566	155	24	4	4	23	106	3	16	9	274	308	352	659	78	324	18	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	614	571	113	21	6	4	37	130	1	11	8	198	248	277	525	79	242	21	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	404	370	92	15	4	3	31	63	0	7	5	249	308	335	643	86	295	16	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	542	507	104	14	0	1	30	94	0	12	6	205	252	239	491	34	246	17	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	788	731	193	32	5	7	49	139	2	23	15	264	314	350	664	86	312	18	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	614	592	142	13	7	1	17	106	0	7	5	240	265	291	556	51	286	17	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	485	445	111	16	0	14	33	75	4	13	4	249	312	380	691	130	263	15	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	609	576	152	33	8	5	26	91	2	11	3	264	301	375	676	111	300	15	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	700	640	154	25	5	4	55	106	0	10	6	241	301	314	615	73	282	15	8	279	58	-21	-0	+3	+13	+15	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	143	23	5	4	51	98	0	9	6	241	301	316	617	76	281	15	8	279	58	-19	-0	+3	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6145	5693	1413	206	45	47	321	1087	16	153	81	248	290	325	615	77	297	18	5	255	58	-21	-0	+3	+13	+15	1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	150	22	5	5	34	115	2	16	9	249	292	327	619	78	298	18	5	255	58	-19	-0	+3	+12	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAAVaqueros Union Laguna · 482 PAwOBA .343 → .292 (−51)K% 12.4% → 15.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.45%	÷0.993	×1.200	—	—	15.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.64%	÷0.991	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.35%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.40%	÷1.039	×0.930	×1.050	×0.940	21.56%
Doubles /BIP	7.96%	÷0.972	×0.830	×1.050	×0.940	6.71%
Triples /BIP	2.12%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×0.940	1.68%
Home runs /BIP	1.33%	÷0.879	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.99%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .343 → .292; ISO .140 → .116; BABIP .347 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 282 PAwOBA .359 → .297 (−62)K% 12.8% → 15.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.77%	÷0.996	×1.200	—	—	15.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.93%	÷0.959	×0.690	—	×0.962	6.87%
HBP% /PA	0.35%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.32%
Singles /BIP	24.04%	÷0.990	×0.930	×0.991	×0.962	21.54%
Doubles /BIP	5.29%	÷0.994	×0.830	×0.991	×0.962	4.21%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.991	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.29%	÷0.988	×0.700	—	×0.962	3.61%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .359 → .297; ISO .180 → .135; BABIP .305 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 399 PAwOBA .269 → .242 (−28)K% 14.5% → 17.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.54%	÷1.014	×1.200	—	—	17.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.26%	÷1.043	×0.690	—	×0.972	2.74%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.01%	÷1.038	×0.930	×1.050	×0.972	24.69%
Doubles /BIP	2.89%	÷0.945	×0.830	×1.050	×0.972	2.60%
Triples /BIP	1.61%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.050	×0.972	1.38%
Home runs /BIP	0.32%	÷1.095	×0.840	—	×0.972	0.24%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 108, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 103, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .269 → .242; ISO .060 → .053; BABIP .314 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 574 PAwOBA .335 → .291 (−44)K% 13.4% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.41%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	17.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.06%	÷1.025	×0.710	—	×0.982	6.16%
HBP% /PA	0.35%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.34%
Singles /BIP	27.25%	÷1.002	×0.900	×1.037	×0.982	24.93%
Doubles /BIP	5.77%	÷0.885	×0.810	×1.037	×0.982	5.38%
Triples /BIP	0.92%	÷0.974	×0.810	×1.037	×0.982	0.78%
Home runs /BIP	1.39%	÷0.934	×0.780	—	×0.982	1.14%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 77, 3B 95, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .335 → .291; ISO .100 → .088; BABIP .341 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAARound Rock Express · 217 PAwOBA .249 → .206 (−43)K% 13.4% → 18.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.36%	÷0.954	×1.290	—	—	18.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.99%	÷1.077	×0.710	—	×0.992	3.92%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.98%	÷0.990	×0.900	×0.999	×0.992	21.60%
Doubles /BIP	2.92%	÷1.068	×0.810	×0.999	×0.992	2.20%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.999	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.58%	÷1.058	×0.780	—	×0.992	0.43%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 98, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 91, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .249 → .206; ISO .040 → .029; BABIP .266 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 523 PAwOBA .249 → .210 (−40)K% 18.2% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.16%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	23.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.07%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.018	5.11%
HBP% /PA	0.19%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.19%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.029	×1.018	15.72%
Doubles /BIP	5.47%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.029	×1.018	4.64%
Triples /BIP	1.82%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.029	×1.018	1.55%
Home runs /BIP	1.30%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.018	1.03%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .249 → .210; ISO .104 → .084; BABIP .241 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 597 PAwOBA .321 → .288 (−32)K% 13.7% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.74%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	17.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.19%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.033	3.81%
HBP% /PA	0.50%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.51%
Singles /BIP	27.33%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.040	×1.033	26.42%
Doubles /BIP	5.93%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.040	×1.033	5.16%
Triples /BIP	1.06%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.040	×1.033	0.92%
Home runs /BIP	1.06%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.033	0.85%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .321 → .288; ISO .096 → .080; BABIP .343 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAANorfolk Tides · 444 PAwOBA .252 → .242 (−10)K% 15.8% → 18.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.77%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	18.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.73%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.048	3.42%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.58%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.031	×1.048	25.70%
Doubles /BIP	3.20%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.031	×1.048	2.87%
Triples /BIP	1.16%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.031	×1.048	1.22%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.048	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .252 → .242; ISO .046 → .044; BABIP .299 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .