Allan Castro — OGILVIE

Allan CastroCF Worcester Red Sox

Age 23 S/R 6'1" / 170 lbs AAA H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION316 act + 210 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .273 / .313

PA210

HR4

SB8

K%26

BB%8

BABIP269

ISO104

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.5M
2030	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	194	172	27	5	5	1	13	61	6	3	2	157	241	262	502	105	230	31	7	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	194	164	38	8	7	3	21	43	6	3	2	232	340	421	761	189	289	22	11	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	2 teams	—	179	162	28	2	4	3	11	64	3	8	2	173	239	290	529	117	255	36	6	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	2 teams	—	179	154	40	5	6	3	19	43	3	8	2	260	352	429	781	169	333	24	11	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	492	445	91	26	3	6	40	130	4	19	6	204	276	317	593	112	272	26	8	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	492	417	109	31	4	7	68	90	4	19	6	261	370	405	775	144	316	18	14	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	530	465	81	16	4	10	54	173	6	17	5	174	269	290	559	116	247	33	10	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	2 teams	—	530	445	102	23	4	15	74	124	6	17	5	229	347	400	747	171	280	23	14	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	432	397	89	15	2	6	31	119	2	15	3	224	284	317	601	93	303	28	7	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	432	382	102	24	2	8	46	90	2	15	3	267	349	403	752	136	329	21	11	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	BOS	—	316	293	58	6	1	7	21	78	0	17	4	198	252	297	549	99	243	25	7	242	43	-20	+2	+0	+1	+9	-0.8
YTD	23	AAA	BOS	—	316	282	65	7	1	8	32	65	0	17	4	230	309	348	656	117	270	21	10	297	86	-5	+2	+0	+1	+9	0.7
ROS	23	AAA	BOS	10%	210	191	40	6	1	4	16	55	1	8	2	209	273	313	586	104	260	26	8	259	57	-10	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
ROS	23	MLB	BOS	10%	21	19	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	211	286	263	549	53	266	24	10	261	58	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	23	AAA	BOS	—	337	312	62	7	1	7	23	83	0	18	4	199	254	295	549	96	246	25	7	243	44	-21	+2	+0	+1	+10	-0.9
TOT	23	AAA	BOS	—	526	484	98	12	2	11	37	133	1	25	6	202	260	303	564	101	253	25	7	249	49	-31	+3	+0	+2	+15	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	BOS	28%	459	418	89	14	2	10	36	116	2	16	4	213	279	328	606	115	266	25	8	270	65	-18	+2	+0	+2	+13	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	BOS	38%	488	444	95	15	2	11	39	122	2	17	4	214	280	331	611	117	268	25	8	277	70	-16	+2	+0	+2	+14	0.1
2029	26	MLB	BOS	44%	503	455	99	16	2	12	40	125	3	18	4	218	285	341	626	123	269	25	8	280	73	-15	+2	+0	+2	+14	0.3
2030	27	MLB	BOS	46%	508	458	100	16	2	12	42	126	3	18	4	218	288	341	629	122	270	25	8	282	74	-15	+2	+0	+2	+14	0.3
2027	24	MLB	BOS	28%	127	115	26	4	1	3	10	32	1	4	1	226	294	357	650	130	271	25	8	271	66	-5	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	BOS	38%	184	166	37	6	1	4	15	46	1	6	2	223	291	343	635	120	273	25	8	277	71	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.0
2029	26	MLB	BOS	44%	220	199	44	7	1	5	18	55	1	8	2	221	289	342	631	121	275	25	8	281	73	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2030	27	MLB	BOS	46%	233	211	47	8	1	6	19	58	1	8	2	223	290	355	645	133	275	25	8	282	74	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	785	710	158	26	4	18	64	196	4	27	7	223	290	346	637	124	280	25	8	278	71	-26	+3	+0	+3	+22	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	131	22	3	15	53	162	3	22	6	223	290	347	637	124	280	25	8	278	71	-21	+2	+0	+2	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	3995	3607	739	131	27	75	322	1091	32	139	36	205	276	318	594	114	269	27	8	265	61	-176	+13	+0	+14	+113	-3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	119	21	4	12	52	177	5	23	6	203	273	313	586	111	266	27	8	265	61	-29	+2	+0	+2	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL BOS Red	—	194	164	38	8	7	3	21	43	6	3	2	232	340	421	761	189	289	22	11	335	114	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.9
2022	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	38	32	6	1	2	0	6	11	0	0	0	188	316	344	660	156	286	29	16	300	88	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	141	122	34	4	4	3	13	32	3	8	2	279	362	451	813	172	344	23	9	354	129	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
2023	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	186	166	47	11	2	4	17	36	2	4	1	283	357	446	803	163	339	19	9	356	130	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2023	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	306	251	62	20	2	3	51	54	2	15	5	247	378	378	757	131	301	18	17	345	122	+8	+1	—	—	+9	1.8
2024	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	117	100	18	2	0	1	13	30	1	6	3	180	281	230	511	50	236	26	11	240	42	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	413	345	84	21	4	14	61	94	5	11	2	243	365	449	814	206	293	23	15	362	135	+16	+1	—	—	+12	3.0
2025	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	388	340	91	20	2	7	44	79	2	15	3	268	355	400	755	132	328	20	11	340	118	+8	+2	—	—	+11	2.1
2025	22	INTL	Toros del Este	—	44	42	11	4	0	1	2	11	0	0	0	262	295	429	724	167	333	25	5	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	795	18	28	216	280	336	+3	+0	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	15	23	216	280	336	+2.4	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Allan Castro (OGILVIE)	23	50→45	40	50	50	202/260/303	101	253	11	25	25%	7%	49	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kaleb Cowart 2015 · AA	23	45→52	41→45	51→50	42	219/266/317	98	284	9	16	26%	6%	59	-1.1	219/270/331	112	299	9	16	28%	6%	65	-0.7	221/276/341	119	299	10	17	28%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Jeisson Rosario 2023 · AA	23	44→49	43→45	47→50	48	214/291/327	114	289	10	12	28%	9%	74	-0.1	204/290/309	105	312	10	12	34%	10%	69	-0.4	186/281/277	91	297	9	12	37%	11%	54	-0.9
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	38→41	45	54→55	44	193/273/319	127	275	13	17	33%	8%	65	-0.7	202/283/330	128	276	13	17	30%	8%	72	-0.2	194/281/320	126	262	13	19	29%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Jorge Barrosa 2023 · AA	22	46→48	43→45	50→55	45	224/283/340	115	274	11	20	22%	6%	73	-0.1	214/281/329	115	271	11	16	24%	8%	69	-0.4	206/272/315	109	270	9	12	26%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Noah Campbell 2022 · A	23	46→45	39→45	53→50	46	215/296/301	86	315	7	14	31%	9%	69	-0.4	215/295/318	103	336	8	11	35%	9%	73	-0.1	209/298/318	109	342	7	8	37%	10%	70	-0.2
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2021 · AA	23	42	40	50	48	204/285/300	96	281	8	18	28%	9%	64	-0.8	200/261/296	96	312	9	11	36%	7%	53	-1.5	146/208/210	64	238	7	8	40%	6%	4	-1.2
✕Jhoan Urena 2018 · AAA	23	44→47	44→45	50→45	43	214/275/330	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	67	-0.5	207/261/323	116	309	11	5	34%	7%	59	-1.1	194/246/309	114	288	11	2	35%	6%	45	-1.7
✕Travis Jones 2010 · AA	24	44→47	44→45	49→50	47	216/291/336	119	284	12	16	27%	8%	76	+0.1	213/280/326	113	296	11	13	30%	7%	69	-0.4	186/255/296	110	258	13	10	32%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Darwin Perez 2013 · AAA	24	45→52	40	51→50	43	216/272/303	87	288	8	16	27%	6%	59	-1.1	201/263/291	90	289	7	16	31%	7%	52	-1.6	179/249/252	74	268	5	18	33%	8%	34	-2.2
✕Raynel Delgado 2023 · AA	23	40→50	39→40	49→60	43	195/265/283	88	276	7	15	30%	7%	51	-1.7	229/292/326	97	319	8	23	29%	7%	73	-0.1	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2015 · A	23	45	42→40	44→55	49	217/291/322	105	276	9	10	24%	8%	72	-0.2	217/271/300	83	294	6	8	27%	6%	57	-1.2	213/265/281	67	285	5	7	26%	5%	45	-0.8
✕Nick Allen 2022 · AAA	23	45→55	43→40	48→50	41	224/269/338	114	284	11	14	25%	5%	66	-0.6	230/285/323	93	276	8	15	19%	7%	69	-0.4	242/303/316	74	289	6	16	17%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Zeke DeVoss 2013 · A	23	45→44	39→40	51→55	46	211/294/303	92	290	6	18	27%	8%	69	-0.4	192/294/271	79	266	5	20	27%	10%	63	-0.9	172/288/237	66	240	4	24	27%	11%	50	-1.3
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→46	42→45	52→60	43	202/263/305	103	271	9	20	28%	7%	56	-1.3	228/286/325	97	313	8	28	28%	7%	70	-0.3	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Troy Montgomery 2018 · AA	23	48→55	42→40	51→50	47	230/294/339	109	298	9	13	25%	8%	77	+0.1	227/294/313	86	322	5	12	28%	8%	70	-0.3	245/317/316	71	358	2	15	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Marco Jaime 2019 · AAA	23	45→50	43→30	53→50	43	218/278/331	113	287	10	12	27%	7%	69	-0.4	225/277/299	74	278	3	12	19%	6%	59	-1.1	227/279/282	56	280	0	11	18%	6%	53	-1.2
✕Charcer Burks 2018 · AA	23	42→45	42→40	48→50	45	205/277/309	104	278	9	15	28%	8%	63	-0.9	197/267/284	87	288	7	14	31%	8%	53	-1.5	182/254/254	72	273	4	14	32%	8%	37	-2.1
✕Tyler Goeddel 2016 · AA	23	48→50	43→45	55	43	231/286/351	120	306	10	19	27%	6%	77	+0.1	215/277/316	101	279	8	14	25%	7%	64	-0.8	198/263/284	86	258	6	12	24%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Noel Cuevas 2015 · AA	23	44→49	42→45	53→55	40	216/258/322	106	277	9	16	25%	5%	57	-1.2	227/261/318	91	299	6	18	25%	3%	57	-1.2	241/274/340	99	304	7	12	22%	3%	65	-0.5
✕Michael Guldberg 2023 · AA	24	45	39→45	50→55	45	217/283/304	87	281	7	13	24%	7%	64	-0.8	210/263/305	95	287	8	11	28%	6%	56	-1.3	176/213/260	83	241	8	10	30%	4%	17	-0.9