Kaden Polcovich2B
Arkansas Travelers
Age 27
S/R
5'8" / 185 lbs
AA
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†68
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .283 / .314
PA216
HR4
SB6
K%30
BB%9
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
31→31
PWR
36→36
SPD
60→60
EYE
52→52
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-4M | $-12M | -$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 421 | 366 | 63 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 140 | 11 | 20 | 4 | .172 | .272 | .303 | .575 | .131 | .240 | 33 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -20 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 524 | 469 | 93 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 151 | 13 | 18 | 2 | .198 | .281 | .322 | .603 | .124 | .264 | 29 | 8 | .267 | 63 | -22 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +15 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 159 | 140 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 52 | 1 | 6 | 2 | .143 | .241 | .264 | .505 | .121 | .198 | 33 | 11 | .232 | 36 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 287 | 249 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 91 | 9 | 17 | 7 | .185 | .283 | .277 | .560 | .092 | .272 | 32 | 9 | .252 | 51 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 216 | 191 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 65 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .204 | .290 | .319 | .609 | .115 | .279 | 30 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 9% | SEA | 240 | 213 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 71 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .207 | .290 | .329 | .619 | .122 | .281 | 30 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 19% | SEA | 286 | 255 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 84 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .208 | .289 | .333 | .622 | .125 | .281 | 29 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 29% | SEA | 317 | 281 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 93 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .210 | .293 | .331 | .624 | .121 | .280 | 29 | 9 | .279 | 71 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 40% | SEA | 321 | 285 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 95 | 5 | 6 | 2 | .207 | .289 | .326 | .616 | .119 | .279 | 30 | 9 | .276 | 69 | -11 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 49% | SEA | 314 | 279 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 94 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .204 | .286 | .323 | .609 | .118 | .277 | 30 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 63% | SEA | 292 | 261 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 90 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .195 | .276 | .299 | .575 | .103 | .276 | 31 | 9 | .266 | 62 | -13 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 81% | SEA | 254 | 226 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 80 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .190 | .274 | .288 | .561 | .097 | .274 | 31 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -12 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +7 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3631 | 3215 | 627 | 122 | 22 | 70 | 317 | 1106 | 69 | 105 | 28 | .195 | .281 | .312 | .593 | .117 | .270 | 30 | 9 | .267 | 63 | -153 | +10 | -20 | +13 | +103 | -4.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 576 | 113 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 57 | 198 | 12 | 19 | 5 | .196 | .283 | .316 | .599 | .120 | .271 | 30 | 9 | .267 | 63 | -27 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +18 | -0.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 149 | 128 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .133 | .245 | .211 | .456 | .078 | .172 | 28 | 11 | .219 | 26 | -13 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 272 | 214 | 58 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 47 | 64 | 8 | 16 | 3 | .271 | .420 | .505 | .925 | .234 | .336 | 24 | 17 | .406 | 168 | +21 | +2 | — | — | +8 | 3.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 524 | 451 | 109 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 59 | 118 | 13 | 18 | 2 | .242 | .346 | .386 | .732 | .144 | .301 | 23 | 11 | .333 | 113 | +8 | +3 | — | — | +15 | 2.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 159 | 131 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 42 | 1 | 6 | 2 | .176 | .316 | .313 | .629 | .137 | .230 | 26 | 16 | .293 | 82 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 287 | 241 | 55 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 74 | 9 | 17 | 7 | .228 | .343 | .340 | .683 | .112 | .311 | 26 | 11 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 0.8 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Kaden Polcovich (OGILVIE) | 27 | 31 | 36 | 60 | 52 | .200/.283/.314 | .114 | .279 | 4 | 6 | 30% | 9% | 68 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA |
26 | 44→43 | 44→40 | 55→50 | 41 | .215/.277/.335 | .120 | .309 | 11 | 19 | 33% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.295/.313 | .097 | .331 | 7 | 15 | 34% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.298/.290 | .083 | .327 | 6 | 17 | 34% | 10% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2011 · AA |
27 | 43 | 39→40 | 54→50 | 43 | .208/.264/.294 | .086 | .264 | 7 | 13 | 23% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .221/.285/.303 | .082 | .284 | 6 | 12 | 23% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.295/.297 | .072 | .285 | 4 | 12 | 21% | 7% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Riley Unroe 2023 · AAA |
27 | 45→47 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 48 | .220/.290/.337 | .117 | .282 | 11 | 19 | 26% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .221/.300/.344 | .123 | .297 | 13 | 23 | 28% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .221/.306/.342 | .121 | .297 | 13 | 26 | 28% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA |
27 | 42 | 46→40 | 57→55 | 48 | .206/.304/.336 | .130 | .293 | 14 | 25 | 32% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .214/.310/.321 | .107 | .288 | 9 | 17 | 26% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .206/.316/.294 | .088 | .270 | 5 | 13 | 23% | 12% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA |
27 | 42→36 | 39→40 | 52→55 | 47 | .200/.282/.280 | .080 | .283 | 7 | 19 | 30% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .197/.253/.328 | .131 | .305 | 14 | 15 | 38% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .160/.218/.290 | .130 | .244 | 15 | 17 | 40% | 6% | 33 | -1.5 |
|
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA |
28 | 39 | 43→40 | 53→60 | 39 | .192/.276/.299 | .108 | .280 | 11 | 20 | 33% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .204/.287/.299 | .095 | .295 | 9 | 27 | 32% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.283/.264 | .072 | .280 | 6 | 39 | 31% | 7% | 53 | -0.9 |
|
✕David Espinosa 2009 · AAA |
27 | 42→49 | 43→45 | 54→50 | 44 | .208/.262/.327 | .119 | .267 | 10 | 15 | 26% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .207/.263/.308 | .101 | .268 | 8 | 15 | 25% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .186/.250/.263 | .077 | .240 | 5 | 18 | 23% | 8% | 36 | -1.0 |
|
✕Luis Ugueto 2007 · AAA |
28 | 40 | 44→45 | 55 | 42 | .199/.261/.321 | .121 | .273 | 12 | 16 | 30% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.255/.295 | .090 | .283 | 7 | 14 | 28% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .191/.240/.254 | .064 | .266 | 3 | 15 | 28% | 6% | 29 | -1.7 |
|
✕Skye Bolt 2021 · AAA |
27 | 42→39 | 47→50 | 50 | 42 | .209/.273/.350 | .141 | .295 | 15 | 13 | 33% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .232/.296/.375 | .143 | .310 | 16 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .234/.302/.369 | .135 | .310 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
✕Myles Schroder 2015 · AA |
27 | 46 | 43→45 | 55→50 | 38 | .225/.268/.338 | .114 | .300 | 9 | 13 | 28% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .222/.266/.319 | .097 | .288 | 8 | 12 | 25% | 4% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.266/.309 | .093 | .279 | 8 | 10 | 25% | 4% | 55 | -0.9 |
|
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2023 · AAA |
25 | 42→43 | 42→40 | 53→50 | 47 | .203/.276/.304 | .102 | .285 | 9 | 12 | 31% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .206/.288/.308 | .102 | .305 | 9 | 15 | 32% | 10% | 68 | -0.5 | .196/.288/.293 | .097 | .294 | 9 | 17 | 33% | 11% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA |
27 | 42→39 | 43→45 | 51→55 | 41 | .202/.279/.316 | .113 | .314 | 11 | 19 | 37% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .197/.275/.297 | .100 | .290 | 10 | 22 | 33% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .177/.264/.256 | .079 | .258 | 8 | 25 | 32% | 9% | 44 | -1.3 |
|
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA |
27 | 39 | 39→30 | 47→45 | 44 | .188/.264/.271 | .083 | .282 | 6 | 8 | 33% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .210/.266/.313 | .103 | .290 | 8 | 8 | 29% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .195/.246/.310 | .115 | .264 | 10 | 0 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -0.3 |
|
✕Elih Marrero 2023 · AA |
26 | 45 | 37→40 | 53→55 | 46 | .209/.281/.284 | .076 | .299 | 5 | 23 | 30% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .216/.283/.313 | .097 | .314 | 8 | 21 | 31% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.289/.338 | .119 | .307 | 12 | 26 | 31% | 8% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA |
26 | 38→40 | 45 | 54→50 | 42 | .196/.270/.318 | .122 | .273 | 13 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .193/.258/.302 | .109 | .284 | 11 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .153/.220/.254 | .100 | .233 | 9 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 22 | -1.3 |
|
✕J.T. Arruda 2023 · A |
25 | 42 | 40 | 55 | 45 | .202/.273/.300 | .097 | .294 | 7 | 17 | 32% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .204/.277/.294 | .090 | .295 | 7 | 20 | 30% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .199/.271/.284 | .086 | .280 | 7 | 23 | 29% | 8% | 51 | -1.1 |
|
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB |
28 | 40→43 | 42→40 | 51→50 | 49 | .195/.279/.303 | .108 | .267 | 9 | 12 | 29% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .201/.288/.323 | .122 | .291 | 12 | 10 | 32% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .122/.235/.206 | .084 | .191 | 10 | 0 | 38% | 11% | 20 | -0.8 |
|
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA |
27 | 38→42 | 41→45 | 52→50 | 43 | .193/.246/.292 | .100 | .253 | 9 | 12 | 27% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | .198/.248/.305 | .107 | .279 | 12 | 12 | 32% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .178/.219/.275 | .097 | .243 | 15 | 13 | 33% | 5% | 27 | -1.0 |
|
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA |
27 | 34→30 | 47→50 | 50 | 44 | .181/.258/.318 | .137 | .259 | 15 | 13 | 35% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .189/.267/.321 | .132 | .273 | 16 | 12 | 35% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .160/.249/.296 | .136 | .218 | 19 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2022 · AA |
27 | 41→46 | 40→45 | 52→60 | 42 | .197/.273/.296 | .099 | .291 | 7 | 21 | 32% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .197/.280/.311 | .114 | .282 | 12 | 26 | 33% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .170/.270/.280 | .110 | .246 | 14 | 31 | 34% | 8% | 52 | -1.1 |