Kaden Polcovich — OGILVIE

Kaden Polcovich2B Arkansas Travelers

Age 27 S/R 5'8" / 185 lbs AA K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 228 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .286 / .298

PA18

HR0

K%27

BB%9

ISO99

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	149	128	17	4	0	2	16	41	3	4	1	133	245	211	456	78	172	28	11	219	34	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2021	22	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	272	214	58	12	4	10	47	64	8	16	3	271	420	505	925	234	336	24	17	406	161	+20	+2	—	—	+6	2.8
2022	23	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	524	451	109	21	4	12	59	118	13	18	2	242	346	386	732	144	301	23	11	333	111	+7	+3	—	—	+11	2.2
2023	24	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	159	131	23	5	2	3	26	42	1	6	2	176	316	313	629	137	230	26	16	293	84	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	287	241	55	12	3	3	33	74	9	17	7	228	343	340	683	112	311	26	11	312	97	-1	+1	—	—	+6	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	149	134	16	4	0	2	10	49	3	4	1	119	197	194	391	75	158	33	7	173	3	-17	+0	—	—	+3	-1.4
2021	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	272	231	48	9	3	8	30	88	8	16	3	208	320	377	696	169	284	32	11	304	92	-3	+2	—	—	+6	0.5
2022	23	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	524	470	96	18	3	10	40	142	13	18	2	204	285	319	604	115	268	27	8	270	69	-19	+3	—	—	+11	-0.5
2023	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	159	140	21	4	2	3	17	49	1	6	2	150	247	271	518	121	201	31	11	233	44	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	287	250	48	10	2	3	24	86	9	17	7	192	286	284	570	92	269	30	8	259	61	-13	+1	—	—	+6	-0.6
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	421	366	63	12	3	9	39	137	11	20	4	172	272	295	567	123	240	33	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	421	342	75	16	4	12	63	105	11	20	4	219	358	395	753	175	274	25	15	339	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	524	470	96	18	3	10	40	142	13	18	2	204	285	319	604	115	270	27	8	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	524	451	109	21	4	12	59	118	13	18	2	242	346	386	732	144	301	23	11	333	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	159	140	21	4	2	3	17	49	1	6	2	150	247	271	518	121	202	31	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	159	131	23	5	2	3	26	42	1	6	2	176	316	313	629	137	230	26	16	293	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	287	250	48	10	2	3	24	86	9	17	7	192	286	284	570	92	274	30	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	287	241	55	12	3	3	33	74	9	17	7	228	343	340	683	112	311	26	11	312	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	421	368	63	12	3	9	39	137	11	20	4	171	272	293	565	122	239	33	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	524	466	96	18	3	10	40	142	13	18	2	206	285	322	607	116	268	27	8	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	159	140	21	4	2	3	17	49	1	6	2	150	247	271	518	121	201	31	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	287	252	48	10	2	3	24	86	9	17	7	190	286	282	568	91	269	30	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	159	140	21	4	2	3	17	49	1	6	2	150	247	271	518	121	201	31	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	287	252	48	10	2	3	24	86	9	17	7	190	286	282	568	91	269	30	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	SEA	2%	18	16	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	188	278	250	528	62	271	28	11	270	69	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SEA	27%	247	219	45	9	1	4	22	65	4	6	2	205	290	311	600	105	273	26	9	275	72	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
2028	29	MLB MLE	SEA	37%	291	258	54	11	2	4	26	76	5	7	2	209	294	314	608	105	273	26	9	277	73	-9	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.3
2029	30	MLB MLE	SEA	43%	322	285	59	12	2	5	29	85	5	7	2	207	292	316	607	109	273	26	9	276	73	-10	+1	-2	+1	+7	-0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	SEA	27%	66	59	11	2	0	1	6	17	1	2	1	186	273	271	544	85	270	26	9	261	72	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	SEA	37%	108	95	20	4	1	2	10	28	2	3	1	211	299	337	636	126	271	26	9	263	73	-3	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	SEA	43%	139	123	25	5	1	2	13	37	2	3	1	203	290	309	599	106	271	27	9	263	73	-4	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	313	277	56	11	2	5	29	82	5	8	3	202	289	310	600	108	266	26	9	262	66	-10	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	116	23	4	10	60	170	10	17	6	202	288	308	596	106	266	26	9	262	66	-21	+1	-3	+2	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2269	2004	389	77	15	38	199	645	48	81	21	194	283	304	587	110	263	28	9	266	66	-28	+2	-4	+3	+19	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	111	22	4	11	57	185	14	23	6	193	282	303	585	110	262	28	9	266	66	-21	+1	-3	+2	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	318	5	7	208	289	313	+1	+1	-0.0	-0.0
/162	664	10	15	+2.4	+2.1	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kaden Polcovich (OGILVIE)	27	34	35	60	51	200/286/298	98	271	3	6	27%	9%	69	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2011 · AA	27	43	39→40	54→50	43	209/265/294	85	265	6	13	23%	6%	59	-1.7	220/284/298	78	281	5	12	22%	7%	67	-1.1	221/291/291	70	279	4	12	21%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Riley Unroe 2023 · AAA	27	46→48	43→45	54→55	49	224/295/336	111	285	10	20	24%	9%	80	-0.2	224/302/340	116	301	11	23	27%	10%	84	+0.1	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕David Espinosa 2009 · AAA	27	41→48	42→45	54→50	44	203/257/311	108	265	8	15	26%	7%	59	-1.6	211/271/312	101	270	8	15	24%	8%	65	-1.2	191/255/263	73	242	4	18	22%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Kaleb Cowart 2019 · MLB	27	44→51	44→45	53→50	43	220/272/346	126	283	11	16	26%	6%	73	-0.6	217/266/339	122	276	11	10	25%	6%	70	-0.9	210/252/321	112	262	10	6	24%	5%	58	-1.1
✕Blake Swihart 2019 · MLB	27	43→51	41→45	51→45	45	209/269/304	95	280	8	11	27%	7%	63	-1.4	194/258/320	126	265	15	7	31%	8%	63	-1.4	152/222/269	118	200	16	2	33%	8%	36	-1.2
✕Elih Marrero 2023 · AA	26	44	37→40	53→55	46	207/279/279	73	294	4	23	29%	9%	61	-1.5	215/280/312	97	306	8	21	30%	8%	69	-0.9	210/267/320	110	294	8	22	29%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA	27	44→38	39→40	52→55	47	208/289/293	85	288	7	17	28%	9%	68	-1.0	199/255/330	131	304	14	14	37%	6%	64	-1.3	163/220/293	131	245	14	17	39%	6%	42	-1.5
✕Pedro Florimón 2015 · MLB	28	43→52	41→45	54→55	43	211/265/308	97	284	8	19	28%	7%	61	-1.5	213/266/315	102	307	7	18	31%	6%	63	-1.3	220/277/327	107	327	9	11	33%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA	26	44	43→40	55→50	41	214/277/331	117	308	10	19	32%	7%	72	-0.7	216/296/310	94	327	7	15	33%	9%	74	-0.5	206/297/286	80	321	5	17	33%	9%	69	-0.5
✕Myles Schroder 2015 · AA	27	46	42→45	55→50	38	224/267/333	109	295	8	13	26%	4%	68	-1.0	219/263/311	92	281	8	11	24%	4%	61	-1.5	208/257/309	101	272	8	7	26%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Jake Palomaki 2022 · AA	27	43	35→30	50	50	202/278/261	59	262	2	18	22%	8%	57	-1.8	235/301/306	71	302	4	14	22%	8%	75	-0.5	259/323/310	52	327	3	14	20%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Adam Engel 2019 · MLB	27	43→48	43→50	53→60	39	209/264/325	115	288	9	19	30%	5%	65	-1.2	231/288/371	140	304	14	17	28%	5%	86	+0.3	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	42→48	38→30	50	47	201/269/274	73	265	6	13	25%	8%	56	-1.9	212/281/290	78	297	6	14	28%	8%	64	-1.3	199/280/207	8	294	0	18	29%	9%	45	-0.6
✕Felix Martinez 2001 · MLB	27	46	40	52→50	52	216/301/312	96	264	6	14	20%	9%	78	-0.3	233/297/337	104	284	8	14	20%	7%	80	-0.1	233/274/308	75	285	3	8	19%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	45→40	57→55	49	202/300/325	123	283	13	26	31%	10%	81	-0.1	215/309/320	105	287	9	16	26%	10%	82	+0.0	206/316/294	88	270	5	13	23%	12%	78	-0.1
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2023 · AAA	25	42→45	41→40	53→50	47	202/277/299	97	284	9	12	30%	9%	65	-1.2	210/291/309	99	308	8	15	31%	10%	73	-0.6	202/291/293	92	298	8	17	32%	11%	67	-0.7
✕J.T. Arruda 2023 · A	25	43→42	40	56→55	46	203/276/301	98	296	7	17	32%	9%	64	-1.3	204/275/292	88	289	6	20	29%	8%	62	-1.4	211/276/297	86	290	7	22	28%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Tyler Krieger 2021 · AAA	27	46→56	41→40	50	43	225/277/322	97	287	8	16	24%	6%	70	-0.9	191/242/277	86	288	7	9	34%	6%	46	-2.6	143/184/193	49	226	4	3	37%	4%	2	-1.8
✕Adam Heisler 2014 · AAA	26	45→46	39→40	55	46	215/278/303	88	284	5	20	25%	8%	65	-1.2	225/283/328	103	294	7	15	24%	7%	73	-0.6	243/286/366	122	298	6	17	20%	5%	78	-0.1
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2022 · AA	27	43→49	40→45	52→60	43	206/279/306	100	290	6	20	29%	7%	68	-1.0	197/282/306	109	279	11	26	31%	8%	70	-0.9	174/272/277	103	247	12	31	33%	8%	58	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps