Brennen Davis — OGILVIE

Brennen DavisCF Tacoma Rainiers

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 210 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION205 act + 136 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .302 / .384

PA136

HR5

K%29

BB%8

BABIP264

ISO175

MLB%40%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Arb-2	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$7M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	72	61	13	1	0	0	6	17	4	6	1	213	324	230	553	16	289	24	8	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	72	57	17	2	0	0	10	12	4	6	1	298	437	333	770	35	370	17	14	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	South Bend Cubs	—	204	182	44	6	2	7	13	55	5	4	1	242	310	412	722	170	303	27	6	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	South Bend Cubs	—	204	177	54	9	3	8	18	38	5	4	1	305	385	525	910	220	346	19	9	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA	3 teams	—	416	369	78	20	0	15	31	152	15	8	4	211	299	388	686	176	310	37	7	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA	3 teams	—	416	350	91	25	0	19	50	118	15	8	4	260	376	494	870	234	336	28	12	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA	4 teams	—	235	206	32	6	0	5	17	90	8	1	1	155	247	257	504	102	235	38	7	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA	4 teams	—	235	196	37	7	0	7	27	66	8	1	1	189	312	332	643	143	236	28	11	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	—	281	250	37	7	0	4	15	84	13	9	3	148	234	224	458	76	200	30	5	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	—	281	243	46	10	0	5	22	70	13	9	3	189	291	292	584	103	240	25	8	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	217	180	32	6	0	8	22	63	13	1	1	178	312	344	656	167	216	29	10	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	217	173	38	7	0	11	29	51	13	1	1	220	372	451	823	231	239	24	13	368	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	3 teams	—	198	178	34	5	0	11	12	73	6	3	0	191	265	404	670	213	240	37	6	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	3 teams	—	198	170	46	7	0	17	20	57	6	3	0	271	367	612	979	341	296	29	10	417	178	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	SEA	—	205	177	35	11	0	7	17	59	8	1	0	198	297	379	676	181	246	29	8	300	88	-3	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.4
YTD	26	AAA	SEA	—	205	170	45	15	0	9	24	46	8	1	0	265	381	512	893	247	305	22	12	388	155	+13	+0	+0	+1	+6	2.0
ROS	26	AAA	SEA	40%	136	119	25	6	0	5	11	40	5	1	0	209	302	384	687	175	255	29	8	304	91	-1	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.3
ROS	26	MLB	SEA	40%	55	49	9	2	0	2	4	16	2	1	0	184	273	347	620	163	252	29	7	273	67	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	SEA	—	260	226	44	13	0	9	21	75	10	2	0	195	292	372	664	177	241	29	8	294	83	-5	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.4
TOT	26	AAA	SEA	—	341	296	60	17	0	12	28	99	13	2	0	202	299	381	680	179	253	29	8	302	89	-4	+0	+0	+1	+10	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	SEA	53%	275	242	50	11	0	10	22	80	9	3	1	207	297	376	673	169	260	29	8	305	92	-3	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.7
2028	28	MLB	SEA	60%	322	283	60	13	1	12	26	92	10	3	1	212	301	392	693	180	262	29	8	306	92	-3	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.7
2029	29	MLB	SEA	62%	341	299	64	14	1	12	28	97	11	3	1	214	305	388	693	174	263	28	8	305	92	-3	+0	-1	+1	+10	0.7
2030	30	MLB	SEA	63%	354	311	65	14	1	12	29	101	11	3	1	209	299	376	675	167	263	29	8	303	90	-4	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.6
2031	31	MLB	SEA	63%	345	304	62	13	0	12	28	100	10	2	1	204	292	365	658	161	261	29	8	299	87	-5	+0	-3	+1	+10	0.3
2032	32	MLB	SEA	64%	329	289	58	12	0	11	27	97	10	2	0	201	291	356	648	156	258	29	8	294	83	-6	+0	-4	+1	+9	0.1
2033	33	MLB	SEA	64%	302	266	53	11	0	10	24	90	9	1	0	199	288	353	641	154	253	30	8	287	78	-8	+0	-4	+1	+9	-0.2
2027	27	MLB	SEA	53%	147	129	26	6	0	5	12	43	5	1	0	202	295	364	659	163	257	29	8	277	70	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	SEA	60%	194	170	36	8	0	7	16	56	6	2	0	212	302	382	684	171	259	29	8	279	71	-6	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.0
2029	29	MLB	SEA	62%	211	185	38	8	0	7	17	60	7	2	0	205	297	362	659	157	261	28	8	279	72	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	30	MLB	SEA	63%	223	196	41	9	0	8	18	64	7	2	0	209	299	378	676	168	260	29	8	277	70	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.1
2031	31	MLB	SEA	63%	219	192	38	8	0	7	18	63	7	2	0	198	290	349	639	151	258	29	8	274	68	-8	+0	-2	+1	+6	-0.2
2032	32	MLB	SEA	64%	210	185	37	8	0	7	17	62	6	1	0	200	288	357	645	157	255	30	8	269	64	-9	+0	-2	+1	+6	-0.4
2033	33	MLB	SEA	64%	193	169	33	7	0	6	16	58	6	1	0	195	288	343	631	148	251	30	8	262	59	-9	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1452	1275	258	56	0	49	118	422	46	12	0	202	293	362	655	159	258	29	8	274	68	-53	+2	-9	+5	+41	-1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	115	25	0	22	53	189	21	5	0	201	293	361	654	159	256	29	8	274	68	-24	+1	-4	+2	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	4027	3539	707	145	5	134	311	1231	139	50	16	200	290	357	647	157	260	31	8	288	78	-98	+4	-15	+14	+114	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	114	23	1	22	50	199	22	8	3	200	289	359	648	159	259	31	8	288	78	-16	+0	-2	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	72	57	17	2	0	0	10	12	4	6	1	298	437	333	770	35	370	17	14	362	135	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2019	19	A	South Bend Cubs	—	204	177	54	9	3	8	18	38	5	4	1	305	385	525	910	220	346	19	9	392	158	+13	+0	—	—	+6	2.0
2021	21	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	68	56	15	3	0	4	11	15	1	0	0	268	397	536	933	268	297	22	16	409	171	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	21	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	316	266	67	20	0	13	36	97	13	6	4	252	368	474	842	222	344	31	11	374	144	+16	-0	—	—	+9	2.5
2021	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	32	28	9	2	0	2	3	6	1	2	0	321	406	607	1.013	286	350	19	9	440	195	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	174	141	27	6	0	4	23	52	6	0	1	191	329	319	649	128	258	30	13	298	86	-3	-0	—	—	+5	0.2
2022	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	23	23	3	0	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	130	130	130	261		200	35	0	118	-51	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	22	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	17	14	2	0	0	1	2	5	1	0	0	143	294	357	651	214	125	29	12	301	88	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2022	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	21	18	5	1	0	2	2	1	1	1	0	278	381	667	1.048	389	200	5	10	447	200	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	257	219	41	8	0	4	22	58	13	9	3	187	299	279	578	91	231	23	9	271	66	-10	+1	—	—	+7	-0.2
2023	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	24	24	5	2	0	1	0	12	0	0	0	208	208	417	625	208	364	50	0	269	64	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	181	145	31	4	0	11	23	42	11	1	1	214	363	469	832	255	213	23	13	368	140	+8	-0	—	—	+5	1.3
2024	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	36	28	7	3	0	0	6	9	2	0	0	250	417	357	774	107	368	25	17	365	137	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	142	125	31	5	0	12	11	44	4	1	0	248	329	576	905	328	268	31	8	385	153	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2025	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	35	26	6	0	0	2	8	9	1	1	0	231	429	462	890	231	267	26	23	403	166	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	25	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	21	19	9	2	0	3	1	4	1	1	0	474	524	1.053	1.576	579	500	19	5	660	363	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	11	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
	/162	664	18	10	226	302	380	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	6	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	24	7	230	317	416	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,454	51	11	207	293	374	+2	+12	2.4	2.4
	/162	664	23	5	207	293	374	+1.1	+5.7	1.1	pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brennen Davis (OGILVIE)	26	32	57	44	49	202/299/381	179	253	12	2	29%	8%	89	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2022 · MLB	26	39→37	55	45→40	48	212/303/403	192	269	23	3	30%	10%	99	+1.7	199/289/371	172	258	19	6	29%	10%	85	+0.7	181/276/345	163	230	19	6	29%	11%	71	-0.2
✕Jake Rogers 2021 · MLB	26	38→40	52→60	49→45	43	202/278/367	165	273	21	5	33%	8%	79	+0.3	237/301/444	207	322	27	7	33%	8%	108	+2.3	221/284/435	214	280	29	2	32%	7%	97	+0.7
✕J.P. Arencibia 2012 · MLB	26	38→47	58→60	43→30	42	214/269/415	201	250	26	2	27%	6%	88	+0.9	214/259/404	190	258	27	3	29%	5%	81	+0.4	202/243/385	182	242	27	1	30%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Johan Mieses 2022 · AAA	27	37→33	56→55	48→50	41	210/275/394	185	256	26	7	30%	6%	85	+0.7	229/303/422	193	298	25	11	31%	8%	104	+2.0	218/311/435	216	279	30	11	32%	10%	107	+0.8
✕Jakson Reetz 2023 · AAA	27	35→31	56→60	44→45	38	199/276/388	189	265	25	4	35%	6%	85	+0.7	204/280/379	175	262	21	6	30%	7%	84	+0.6	194/277/333	139	240	17	3	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2022 · MLB	26	46→47	54→55	45→30	46	238/296/415	177	289	22	3	26%	8%	98	+1.6	234/288/383	149	306	17	3	28%	7%	87	+0.8	227/280/355	128	284	13	2	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→38	50	47→45	50	192/289/343	151	253	19	7	31%	10%	79	+0.3	193/288/320	127	267	14	10	30%	11%	72	-0.2	180/282/293	113	252	12	11	31%	12%	61	-0.6
●Tom Murphy 2017 · MLB	26	39→34	52→60	47→45	34	206/248/374	168	289	20	5	36%	5%	68	-0.5	203/251/366	163	308	19	6	39%	5%	67	-0.5	250/322/470	220	318	31	2	30%	9%	122	+1.4
✕Jabari Blash 2015 · AAA	26	37→41	53→60	46→50	42	197/281/370	173	278	22	10	36%	8%	82	+0.5	208/303/397	189	294	24	7	35%	10%	98	+1.6	199/309/387	188	287	24	5	36%	12%	95	+1.0
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	35→32	51→55	50	44	187/277/350	163	274	19	12	37%	9%	75	-0.0	186/266/343	157	299	19	12	42%	8%	69	-0.4	165/248/320	156	268	21	12	44%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Wendell Rijo 2022 · AAA	26	40→41	55	48→50	39	219/270/401	182	272	25	9	30%	6%	85	+0.7	216/276/359	143	290	16	17	30%	6%	76	+0.1	215/276/365	150	278	15	27	28%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Clint Frazier 2021 · MLB	26	46→45	54→55	46→50	47	239/311/420	181	298	21	7	27%	8%	106	+2.2	205/296/337	132	295	14	9	33%	10%	79	+0.3	180/276/289	109	272	11	10	35%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Chris Williams 2023 · AAA	26	36→30	56→60	44→40	42	196/270/381	185	289	25	4	40%	9%	79	+0.3	193/272/369	176	288	24	6	39%	9%	78	+0.2	172/260/348	175	247	25	6	40%	9%	65	-0.4
●Andrew Navigato 2023 · AA	25	40→38	51→60	49→50	42	213/277/371	158	262	20	14	27%	6%	80	+0.4	223/279/416	193	277	24	15	28%	6%	92	+1.2	217/275/424	208	268	26	17	30%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Kevin Padlo 2022 · MLB	26	38→40	55	48→50	41	209/273/391	182	282	24	10	35%	8%	83	+0.6	194/263/337	143	269	16	13	33%	8%	65	-0.7	175/255/305	131	241	15	14	32%	9%	52	-1.0
✕Cam Devanney 2023 · AAA	26	37→41	50→55	45	40	199/260/351	152	262	18	6	31%	6%	67	-0.5	221/282/381	160	291	18	8	29%	6%	84	+0.6	219/280/381	162	289	19	7	30%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Will Craig 2021 · AAA	26	41→46	54→55	42→40	39	220/279/396	177	281	23	5	30%	6%	88	+0.9	231/285/382	151	303	18	7	29%	6%	85	+0.7	228/280/380	152	293	20	0	29%	6%	79	+0.1
●Ryan Schimpf 2014 · AA	26	34→41	54→65	44→45	46	192/274/367	175	254	22	5	33%	9%	78	+0.2	201/277/398	197	252	25	4	30%	8%	88	+0.9	203/283/425	222	241	28	2	29%	8%	94	+1.0
✕Isan Díaz 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	53→55	46→45	47	217/298/391	173	286	22	8	31%	10%	93	+1.3	214/285/396	182	277	26	9	32%	8%	89	+1.0	178/253/347	170	203	29	6	30%	9%	62	-0.3
●Eric Haase 2019 · MLB	26	37→44	53→65	46→40	36	202/251/374	172	283	22	5	37%	6%	69	-0.4	211/264/410	199	296	28	5	38%	6%	85	+0.7	226/282/450	225	294	33	2	35%	7%	100	+1.1