Edson Garcia
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31 | INTLSultanes de M… | 110 | .174/.336/.221 | 0 | 2 | 70 | — |
| 2025 | 32 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 196 | .253/.321/.329 | 1 | 5 | 79 | — |
| 2026 | 33 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 20 | .111/.200/.111 | 0 | 1 | -4 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 20 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 109 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 333 | 310 | 644 | 92 | 261 | 17 | 14 | 281 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 405 | 355 | 84 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 49 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 237 | 306 | 307 | 613 | 70 | 269 | 12 | 8 | 273 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 46 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 316 | 409 | 421 | 830 | 105 | 324 | 4 | 11 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 147 | 124 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 210 | 315 | 298 | 613 | 89 | 229 | 10 | 12 | 279 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 223 | 203 | 59 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 39 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 291 | 342 | 389 | 732 | 99 | 352 | 17 | 7 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 127 | 109 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 239 | 320 | 376 | 696 | 138 | 264 | 13 | 8 | 302 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 90 | 83 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 191 | 145 | 336 | 12 | 164 | 18 | 6 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 292 | 255 | 67 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 263 | 333 | 408 | 741 | 145 | 289 | 13 | 6 | 322 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 237 | 199 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 286 | 385 | 382 | 767 | 95 | 312 | 13 | 10 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 260 | 238 | 65 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 36 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 273 | 319 | 340 | 659 | 67 | 318 | 14 | 6 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 474 | 397 | 111 | 24 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 80 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 280 | 376 | 456 | 831 | 176 | 316 | 17 | 11 | 359 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | INTL | Mexico | — | 250 | 216 | 57 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 264 | 343 | 384 | 727 | 120 | 302 | 14 | 10 | 318 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 180 | 156 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 218 | 303 | 301 | 604 | 83 | 260 | 18 | 11 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 190 | 168 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 244 | 314 | 286 | 599 | 42 | 285 | 13 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 106 | 93 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 226 | 321 | 301 | 622 | 75 | 309 | 24 | 11 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 164 | 139 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 230 | 335 | 353 | 688 | 122 | 276 | 19 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 110 | 86 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 174 | 336 | 221 | 557 | 47 | 221 | 17 | 17 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 196 | 170 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 253 | 321 | 329 | 650 | 76 | 290 | 15 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 20 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 200 | 111 | 311 | 133 | 15 | 5 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 20 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 109 | 91 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 304 | 308 | 612 | 88 | 257 | 20 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 405 | 363 | 87 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 61 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 240 | 296 | 303 | 599 | 63 | 270 | 15 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 147 | 128 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 203 | 287 | 289 | 576 | 86 | 218 | 12 | 10 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 127 | 113 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 230 | 287 | 336 | 623 | 106 | 261 | 15 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 292 | 262 | 63 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 240 | 294 | 355 | 649 | 115 | 263 | 16 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 474 | 415 | 94 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 102 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 227 | 299 | 354 | 653 | 128 | 262 | 22 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 109 | 91 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 304 | 308 | 612 | 88 | 275 | 20 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 109 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 333 | 310 | 644 | 92 | 261 | 17 | 14 | 281 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 451 | 403 | 96 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 68 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 238 | 296 | 300 | 596 | 62 | 281 | 15 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 451 | 393 | 96 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 51 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 244 | 317 | 318 | 635 | 74 | 275 | 11 | 9 | 282 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 326 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 45 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 199 | 279 | 276 | 555 | 77 | 223 | 12 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 370 | 327 | 85 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 54 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 260 | 331 | 355 | 686 | 95 | 303 | 15 | 9 | 305 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 217 | 196 | 46 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 235 | 289 | 352 | 641 | 117 | 272 | 15 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 217 | 192 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 193 | 265 | 276 | 541 | 83 | 222 | 15 | 7 | 244 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 529 | 474 | 114 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 86 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 241 | 298 | 357 | 655 | 116 | 275 | 16 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 529 | 454 | 124 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 41 | 68 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 273 | 357 | 396 | 753 | 123 | 299 | 13 | 8 | 332 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL MLE | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 260 | 238 | 65 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 36 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 273 | 319 | 340 | 659 | 67 | 318 | 14 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL RAW | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 260 | 238 | 65 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 36 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 273 | 319 | 340 | 659 | 67 | 318 | 14 | 6 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 724 | 638 | 145 | 32 | 7 | 12 | 51 | 156 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 227 | 296 | 356 | 652 | 129 | 278 | 22 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 724 | 613 | 168 | 35 | 8 | 15 | 76 | 114 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 274 | 364 | 431 | 795 | 157 | 311 | 16 | 10 | 345 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | INTL MLE | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 180 | 156 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 218 | 303 | 301 | 604 | 83 | 260 | 18 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | INTL RAW | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 180 | 156 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 218 | 303 | 301 | 604 | 83 | 260 | 18 | 11 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | INTL MLE | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 190 | 168 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 244 | 314 | 286 | 599 | 42 | 285 | 13 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | INTL RAW | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 190 | 168 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 244 | 314 | 286 | 599 | 42 | 285 | 13 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | INTL MLE | Charros de Jalisco | — | 106 | 93 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 226 | 321 | 301 | 622 | 75 | 309 | 24 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | INTL RAW | Charros de Jalisco | — | 106 | 93 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 226 | 321 | 301 | 622 | 75 | 309 | 24 | 11 | 290 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | INTL MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 164 | 139 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 230 | 335 | 353 | 688 | 122 | 276 | 19 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | INTL RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 164 | 139 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 230 | 335 | 353 | 688 | 122 | 276 | 19 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | INTL MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 110 | 86 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 174 | 336 | 221 | 557 | 47 | 221 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | INTL RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 110 | 86 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 174 | 336 | 221 | 557 | 47 | 221 | 17 | 17 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 196 | 170 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 253 | 321 | 329 | 650 | 76 | 290 | 15 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 196 | 170 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 253 | 321 | 329 | 650 | 76 | 290 | 15 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 20 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 200 | 111 | 311 | 133 | 15 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 33 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 20 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 200 | 111 | 311 | 133 | 15 | 5 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 20 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 109 | 97 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 304 | 289 | 593 | 82 | 257 | 20 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 451 | 415 | 96 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 68 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 231 | 296 | 292 | 587 | 60 | 270 | 15 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 331 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 45 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 196 | 279 | 272 | 551 | 76 | 218 | 12 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 217 | 200 | 46 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 230 | 289 | 345 | 634 | 115 | 261 | 15 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 529 | 485 | 114 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 86 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 235 | 298 | 348 | 647 | 113 | 263 | 16 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 724 | 656 | 145 | 32 | 7 | 12 | 51 | 156 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 221 | 296 | 346 | 642 | 125 | 262 | 22 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3626 | 3196 | 739 | 131 | 31 | 34 | 273 | 609 | 50 | 60 | 58 | 231 | 302 | 324 | 625 | 92 | 273 | 17 | 8 | 179 | 7 | -400 | -11 | +0 | -39 | +79 | -37.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 573 | 132 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 109 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 230 | 301 | 323 | 624 | 92 | 272 | 17 | 8 | 179 | 7 | -72 | -2 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -6.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 474 PAwOBA .355 → .283 (−72)K% 16.9% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.88% | ÷0.936 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.76% | ÷1.051 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.90% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.08% | ÷1.050 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 18.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.57% | ÷0.954 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.58% | ÷1.065 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.79% | ÷1.115 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.38% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 110, 2B 91, 3B 113, K 87, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .355 → .283; ISO .176 → .133; BABIP .316 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 292 PAwOBA .312 → .274 (−37)K% 13.0% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.01% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.82% | ÷1.059 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.08% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.74% | ÷1.026 | ×0.930 | ×1.007 | ×1.033 | 19.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.99% | ÷1.008 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×1.033 | 5.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.033 | 1.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.76% | ÷1.050 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.90% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .312 → .274; ISO .145 → .116; BABIP .289 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAToros de Tijuana · 127 PAwOBA .294 → .278 (−15)K% 13.4% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.39% | ÷1.062 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.09% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.36% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.48% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×1.002 | ×1.048 | 18.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷0.926 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×1.048 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.941 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.048 | 2.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.278 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.25% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 93, 2B 85, 3B 88, K 112, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .294 → .278; ISO .138 → .121; BABIP .264 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALeones de Yucatan · 147 PAwOBA .274 → .252 (−23)K% 10.2% → 12.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.20% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.24% | ÷0.949 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 9.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.51% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×0.997 | ×1.050 | 15.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.50% | ÷0.935 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×1.050 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×1.050 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.849 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.79% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .274 → .252; ISO .089 → .083; BABIP .229 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAALeones de Yucatan · 405 PAwOBA .267 → .258 (−9)K% 12.1% → 15.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.10% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.40% | ÷0.921 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.969 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 22.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 2.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.63% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.050 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.51% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 94, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .267 → .258; ISO .070 → .062; BABIP .269 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAALeones de Yucatan · 109 PAwOBA .277 → .264 (−14)K% 16.5% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.51% | ÷0.964 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.76% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×1.050 | 21.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.45% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×1.050 | 1.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.90% | ÷0.955 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×1.050 | 3.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷0.866 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.23% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .277 → .264; ISO .092 → .096; BABIP .261 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .