Geraldo Quintero
SS Columbus Clingstones| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A+Rome Braves | 472 | .251/.343/.325 | 3 | 29 | 49 | — | .210/.270/.270 |
| 2024 | 22 | AAMississippi B… | 338 | .240/.335/.319 | 3 | 32 | 68 | — | .226/.302/.306 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAATL | 399 | .212/.329/.358 | 10 | 29 | 59 | — | .184/.271/.309 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBATL | 3 | .206/.284/.319 | 0 | 0 | 72 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBATL | 54 | .209/.286/.326 | 1 | 2 | 74 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ42% MLB | 27 | MLBATL | 93 | .209/.287/.328 | 2 | 3 | 75 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | — | 237 | 197 | 52 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 8 | 264 | 380 | 376 | 756 | 112 | 298 | 12 | 13 | 343 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Braves | — | 142 | 121 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 207 | 312 | 273 | 585 | 66 | 260 | 18 | 12 | 274 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 96 | 80 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 237 | 347 | 362 | 710 | 125 | 298 | 23 | 10 | 323 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 419 | 362 | 95 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 69 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 262 | 360 | 423 | 782 | 160 | 308 | 16 | 11 | 349 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 472 | 406 | 102 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 55 | 88 | 4 | 29 | 13 | 251 | 343 | 325 | 668 | 74 | 313 | 19 | 12 | 307 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 338 | 288 | 69 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 66 | 10 | 32 | 16 | 240 | 335 | 319 | 655 | 80 | 296 | 20 | 10 | 300 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | — | 399 | 335 | 71 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 52 | 87 | 7 | 29 | 11 | 212 | 329 | 358 | 687 | 146 | 252 | 22 | 13 | 312 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 237 | 207 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 34 | 7 | 21 | 8 | 164 | 261 | 227 | 488 | 63 | 187 | 14 | 8 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 142 | 129 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 140 | 213 | 178 | 391 | 39 | 196 | 26 | 7 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 96 | 85 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 200 | 284 | 306 | 590 | 106 | 273 | 31 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 419 | 376 | 87 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 89 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 231 | 307 | 356 | 663 | 125 | 289 | 21 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 472 | 434 | 91 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 117 | 4 | 29 | 13 | 210 | 270 | 270 | 540 | 60 | 277 | 25 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 338 | 301 | 68 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 78 | 10 | 32 | 16 | 226 | 302 | 306 | 608 | 80 | 282 | 23 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 399 | 353 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 105 | 7 | 29 | 11 | 184 | 271 | 309 | 580 | 125 | 224 | 26 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 237 | 207 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 34 | 7 | 21 | 8 | 164 | 261 | 227 | 488 | 63 | 191 | 14 | 8 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Braves | — | 237 | 197 | 52 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 8 | 264 | 380 | 376 | 756 | 112 | 298 | 12 | 13 | 343 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 142 | 129 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 140 | 213 | 178 | 391 | 39 | 194 | 26 | 7 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Braves | — | 142 | 121 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 207 | 312 | 273 | 585 | 66 | 260 | 18 | 12 | 274 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 462 | 105 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 119 | 11 | 34 | 11 | 227 | 303 | 351 | 653 | 123 | 291 | 23 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 515 | 442 | 114 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 91 | 11 | 34 | 11 | 258 | 357 | 412 | 769 | 154 | 306 | 18 | 11 | 344 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 472 | 434 | 91 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 117 | 4 | 29 | 13 | 210 | 270 | 270 | 540 | 60 | 279 | 25 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ RAW | Rome Braves | — | 472 | 406 | 102 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 55 | 88 | 4 | 29 | 13 | 251 | 343 | 325 | 668 | 74 | 313 | 19 | 12 | 307 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 338 | 301 | 68 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 78 | 10 | 32 | 16 | 226 | 302 | 306 | 608 | 80 | 290 | 23 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 338 | 288 | 69 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 66 | 10 | 32 | 16 | 240 | 335 | 319 | 655 | 80 | 296 | 20 | 10 | 300 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 399 | 353 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 105 | 7 | 29 | 11 | 184 | 271 | 309 | 580 | 125 | 230 | 26 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA RAW | Columbus Clingstones | — | 399 | 335 | 71 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 52 | 87 | 7 | 29 | 11 | 212 | 329 | 358 | 687 | 146 | 252 | 22 | 13 | 312 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 237 | 208 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 34 | 7 | 21 | 8 | 163 | 261 | 226 | 487 | 62 | 187 | 14 | 8 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 142 | 129 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 140 | 213 | 178 | 391 | 39 | 196 | 26 | 7 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 460 | 105 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 119 | 11 | 34 | 11 | 228 | 303 | 352 | 655 | 124 | 286 | 23 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 472 | 433 | 91 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 117 | 4 | 29 | 13 | 210 | 270 | 270 | 540 | 60 | 277 | 25 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 338 | 302 | 68 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 78 | 10 | 32 | 16 | 225 | 302 | 305 | 607 | 79 | 282 | 23 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 399 | 354 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 105 | 7 | 29 | 11 | 184 | 271 | 308 | 579 | 124 | 224 | 26 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 338 | 302 | 68 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 78 | 10 | 32 | 16 | 225 | 302 | 305 | 607 | 79 | 282 | 23 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 399 | 354 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 105 | 7 | 29 | 11 | 184 | 271 | 308 | 579 | 124 | 224 | 26 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | ATL | 2% | 380 | 340 | 70 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 97 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 206 | 284 | 319 | 603 | 113 | 264 | 26 | 8 | 274 | 72 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | ATL | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 284 | 319 | 603 | 113 | 264 | 33 | 0 | 274 | 72 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | ATL | 31% | 175 | 156 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 209 | 286 | 326 | 613 | 118 | 265 | 26 | 8 | 278 | 74 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | ATL | 42% | 222 | 198 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 56 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 209 | 287 | 328 | 615 | 118 | 266 | 25 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | ATL | 48% | 254 | 227 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 65 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 210 | 287 | 328 | 614 | 118 | 267 | 26 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | ATL | 49% | 269 | 241 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 69 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 209 | 286 | 326 | 612 | 117 | 267 | 26 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | ATL | 31% | 54 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 286 | 326 | 613 | 118 | 265 | 26 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | ATL | 42% | 93 | 83 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 209 | 287 | 328 | 615 | 118 | 266 | 26 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | ATL | 48% | 122 | 109 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 210 | 287 | 328 | 614 | 118 | 267 | 25 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | ATL | 49% | 133 | 119 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 209 | 286 | 326 | 612 | 117 | 267 | 26 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -4 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 402 | 360 | 76 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 103 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 211 | 290 | 331 | 621 | 119 | 271 | 26 | 8 | 278 | 63 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +9 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 582 | 123 | 21 | 5 | 13 | 53 | 167 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 211 | 289 | 332 | 621 | 120 | 272 | 26 | 8 | 278 | 63 | -20 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3183 | 2851 | 581 | 94 | 29 | 42 | 247 | 766 | 59 | 188 | 77 | 204 | 281 | 301 | 582 | 98 | 261 | 24 | 8 | 262 | 63 | -33 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +23 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 119 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 156 | 12 | 38 | 16 | 204 | 281 | 304 | 585 | 100 | 261 | 24 | 8 | 262 | 63 | -20 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAColumbus Clingstones · 399 PAwOBA .307 → .256 (−51)K% 21.8% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.80% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.03% | ÷1.036 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 8.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.55% | ÷1.038 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 16.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.44% | ÷0.951 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 4.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.108 | ×0.880 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.03% | ÷0.934 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.50% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 108, 2B 90, 3B 122, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .307 → .256; ISO .146 → .131; BABIP .252 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAMississippi Braves · 338 PAwOBA .297 → .268 (−29)K% 19.5% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.53% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.76% | ÷1.025 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 6.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.96% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.77% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 23.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.60% | ÷0.899 | ×0.910 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 3.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.997 | ×0.880 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.906 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.23% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 101, 2B 80, 3B 99, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .297 → .268; ISO .080 → .078; BABIP .296 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Rome Braves · 472 PAwOBA .300 → .240 (−60)K% 18.6% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.64% | ÷0.985 | ×1.310 | — | — | 24.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.65% | ÷1.045 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 6.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.10% | ÷0.977 | ×0.870 | ×1.003 | ×1.012 | 23.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.46% | ÷0.995 | ×0.780 | ×1.003 | ×1.012 | 2.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.57% | ÷1.087 | ×0.850 | ×1.003 | ×1.012 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.022 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.82% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 117, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .300 → .240; ISO .074 → .061; BABIP .313 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAugusta GreenJackets · 419 PAwOBA .342 → .292 (−50)K% 16.5% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.47% | ÷1.050 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.46% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.80% | ÷0.951 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×1.015 | 19.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.51% | ÷0.931 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×1.015 | 6.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.07% | ÷0.976 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×1.015 | 2.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷1.127 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.48% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 90, 2B 86, 3B 95, K 110, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .342 → .292; ISO .160 → .135; BABIP .308 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Rome Braves · 96 PAwOBA .318 → .262 (−56)K% 22.9% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.92% | ÷0.970 | ×1.310 | — | — | 30.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.42% | ÷1.052 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 6.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 3.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.41% | ÷0.956 | ×0.870 | ×1.010 | ×1.027 | 21.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.984 | ×0.780 | ×1.010 | ×1.027 | 5.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.010 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.928 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .318 → .262; ISO .125 → .113; BABIP .298 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Braves · 142 PAwOBA .269 → .187 (−82)K% 18.3% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.31% | ÷1.018 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.97% | ÷1.019 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.035 | ×0.820 | ×0.969 | ×0.995 | 16.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.024 | ×0.720 | ×0.969 | ×0.995 | 1.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.16% | ÷0.943 | ×0.720 | ×0.969 | ×0.995 | 2.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.053 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 107, 2B 105, 3B 89, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .269 → .187; ISO .066 → .047; BABIP .260 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 DSLDSL Braves · 237 PAwOBA .335 → .222 (−113)K% 11.8% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 8.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.95% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 14.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 3.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.56% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .335 → .222; ISO .112 → .064; BABIP .298 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).