Ivan Johnson — OGILVIE

Ivan Johnson2B Louisville Bats

Age 27 S/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AAA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION292 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP300

ISO137

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT35

xAVG

100.134

POWER50

Avg EV

1084.5

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-1	$0.7M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	114	98	26	5	0	4	14	39	2	3	2	265	368	439	807	173	400	34	12	363	132	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2021	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	216	186	49	14	2	6	27	61	3	8	5	263	366	457	823	194	361	28	12	367	134	+9	-0	—	—	+5	1.3
2021	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	70	60	15	4	0	6	8	30	1	1	1	250	348	617	964	367	360	43	11	407	161	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	197	180	47	12	3	4	13	66	4	4	1	261	325	428	753	167	391	34	7	335	113	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	386	334	75	19	1	14	35	103	11	20	2	225	318	413	732	189	275	27	9	323	105	+2	+3	—	—	+8	1.4
2024	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	167	149	43	11	4	6	15	47	2	3	2	289	361	537	898	248	381	28	9	389	149	+10	-0	—	—	+4	1.3
2024	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	273	230	54	17	2	7	36	85	6	12	3	235	353	417	770	183	338	31	13	346	120	+7	+1	—	—	+6	1.4
2025	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	202	172	38	6	0	7	30	59	0	10	2	221	337	378	715	157	292	29	15	326	107	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	114	102	18	3	0	3	10	53	2	3	2	176	263	294	557	118	325	46	9	247	53	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2021	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	216	195	41	11	2	5	18	80	3	8	5	210	287	364	651	154	320	37	8	277	74	-7	-0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2022	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	197	184	39	9	3	3	9	80	4	4	1	212	264	342	606	130	348	41	5	258	61	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2023	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	386	346	65	16	1	10	23	131	11	20	2	188	261	327	587	139	250	34	6	256	59	-19	+3	—	—	+8	-0.7
2024	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	167	154	36	9	3	4	10	56	2	3	2	234	289	409	698	175	337	34	6	299	88	-2	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	273	240	44	11	2	5	26	103	6	12	3	183	279	308	588	125	289	38	10	260	62	-12	+1	—	—	+6	-0.5
2025	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	202	181	32	5	0	5	21	73	0	10	2	177	262	287	550	110	265	36	10	251	56	-11	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2021	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	400	359	70	17	2	9	34	162	6	12	8	195	276	329	604	134	323	40	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	400	344	90	23	2	16	49	130	6	12	8	262	363	480	843	218	372	32	12	372	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	197	184	39	9	3	3	9	80	4	4	1	212	264	342	606	130	356	41	5	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	197	180	47	12	3	4	13	66	4	4	1	261	325	428	753	167	391	34	7	335	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	386	346	65	16	1	10	23	131	11	20	2	188	261	327	587	139	262	34	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	386	334	75	19	1	14	35	103	11	20	2	225	318	413	732	189	275	27	9	323	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	440	394	80	21	5	8	36	160	8	15	5	203	283	343	626	140	316	36	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	440	379	97	28	6	13	51	132	8	15	5	256	356	464	821	208	356	30	12	362	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	202	181	32	5	0	5	21	73	0	10	2	177	262	287	550	110	262	36	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	—	202	172	38	6	0	7	30	59	0	10	2	221	337	378	715	157	292	29	15	326	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	400	357	70	17	2	9	34	162	6	12	8	196	276	331	606	134	322	40	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	197	182	39	9	3	3	9	80	4	4	1	214	264	346	610	132	348	41	5	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	386	349	65	16	1	10	23	131	11	20	2	186	261	324	584	138	250	34	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	440	393	80	21	5	8	36	160	8	15	5	204	283	344	627	140	307	36	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	202	179	32	5	0	5	21	73	0	10	2	179	262	291	553	112	265	36	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	386	349	65	16	1	10	23	131	11	20	2	186	261	324	584	138	250	34	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	440	393	80	21	5	8	36	160	8	15	5	204	283	344	627	140	307	36	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	202	179	32	5	0	5	21	73	0	10	2	179	262	291	553	112	265	36	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	CIN	—	292	258	52	7	0	8	26	93	5	17	3	202	287	322	609	120	278	32	9	269	68	-11	+2	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	CIN	—	19	16	1	0	0	0	3	7	0	2	0	62	211	62	273		111	37	16	158	68	-1	+0	+0	+1	+0	0.1
YTD	27	AAA RAW	CIN	—	273	231	57	8	0	11	34	72	5	15	3	247	356	424	780	177	309	26	12	348	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB RAW	CIN	—	19	16	1	0	0	0	3	7	0	2	0	62	211	62	273		111	37	16	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AAA MLE	CIN	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		296	30	10	285	79	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	CIN	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						300	0	0	280	79	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	CIN	—	20	17	1	0	0	0	3	7	0	2	0	59	200	59	259		100	35	15	164	69	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	27	AAA MLE	CIN	—	302	267	53	7	0	8	27	96	5	17	3	199	284	315	599	116	274	32	9	269	69	-11	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	38%	322	287	61	11	1	8	28	102	4	12	2	213	292	341	633	129	297	32	9	289	81	-7	+2	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2028	29	MLB MLE	CIN	49%	341	303	66	12	1	9	30	106	5	12	2	218	299	353	652	135	295	31	9	289	82	-7	+2	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2029	30	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	353	314	67	12	1	9	31	109	5	11	2	213	294	344	638	131	294	31	9	288	81	-8	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	38%	121	107	22	4	0	3	11	38	2	5	1	206	292	327	619	121	300	31	9	284	81	-3	+1	-0	+0	+3	0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	CIN	49%	166	148	33	6	1	5	15	52	2	6	1	223	303	378	681	155	299	31	9	285	82	-4	+1	-1	+1	+4	0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	195	173	38	7	1	5	17	60	3	6	1	220	301	358	659	139	297	31	9	284	81	-4	+1	-1	+1	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	483	429	93	17	2	13	43	150	7	17	3	217	299	357	655	140	297	31	9	284	71	-11	+2	-2	+2	+10	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	125	23	3	17	58	202	9	23	4	217	298	355	653	139	298	31	9	284	71	-14	+3	-3	+2	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2651	2377	481	103	14	61	213	926	43	96	24	202	280	334	614	132	299	35	8	273	71	-23	+5	-4	+4	+22	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	117	25	3	15	52	227	11	24	6	201	279	331	610	130	297	35	8	273	71	-14	+3	-3	+2	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.8	505	13	18	215	292	347	+2	+2	0.6	0.6
/162	664	17	23	+2.4	+2.6	0.8	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ivan Johnson (OGILVIE)	27	35	50	55	60	209/288/337	128	296	6	10	33%	9%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	42	49→50	56→55	44	214/290/357	143	288	17	23	31%	8%	84	+0.1	208/287/335	127	289	15	21	31%	9%	78	-0.3	192/278/307	115	267	14	21	31%	9%	66	-0.5
✕Skye Bolt 2021 · AAA	27	43→41	47→50	49→50	42	212/276/350	138	300	14	12	33%	8%	76	-0.4	237/301/379	142	314	15	13	28%	7%	92	+0.7	238/305/370	133	314	14	12	28%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Brooks Conrad 2007 · AAA	27	40→44	52→55	54→50	43	210/269/384	174	265	18	14	28%	7%	82	-0.0	193/251/352	159	251	18	10	30%	7%	68	-1.0	223/297/433	210	290	27	7	32%	9%	101	+0.5
✕Blake Perkins 2023 · AAA	26	40→50	48→50	56→55	47	206/285/345	139	276	15	19	30%	9%	79	-0.2	230/308/351	121	311	11	21	27%	10%	88	+0.5	234/316/344	110	316	10	25	27%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Michael Hollimon 2009 · MLB	27	41→48	48→50	52→50	44	208/274/361	152	282	14	11	30%	8%	78	-0.3	202/269/345	143	277	15	9	31%	8%	72	-0.7	184/254/319	135	240	15	7	29%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Isiah Gilliam 2023 · AAA	27	45→48	48→55	54→55	40	217/283/364	146	336	15	18	38%	8%	82	-0.0	227/309/394	167	350	20	19	37%	10%	99	+1.2	222/315/400	179	337	23	22	37%	11%	100	+0.7
✕Riley Unroe 2023 · AAA	27	46→48	43→45	54→55	49	224/295/336	111	285	10	20	24%	9%	80	-0.2	224/302/340	116	301	11	23	27%	10%	84	+0.1	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Hoy Park 2023 · MLB	27	42→49	45	53→55	49	212/291/333	122	280	14	16	28%	10%	78	-0.3	220/305/328	108	302	10	17	28%	10%	82	-0.0	220/312/315	96	303	8	19	28%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	45→40	57→55	49	202/300/325	123	283	13	26	31%	10%	81	-0.1	215/309/320	105	287	9	16	26%	10%	82	+0.0	206/316/294	88	270	5	13	23%	12%	78	-0.1
✕Thomas Milone 2022 · AAA	27	50→45	44→45	52→55	44	238/302/364	125	332	11	18	30%	8%	88	+0.5	220/288/335	115	338	10	15	35%	8%	77	-0.3	203/277/309	106	322	9	15	37%	8%	63	-1.0
✕Andrés Alvarez 2023 · AA	26	39→31	49→45	56→50	45	201/278/345	144	282	17	20	34%	9%	76	-0.4	201/264/313	112	285	11	12	32%	7%	63	-1.3	191/251/288	96	270	9	8	31%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	37→35	47→50	50→55	40	194/258/322	128	272	15	14	34%	7%	63	-1.3	219/295/348	129	314	13	16	32%	8%	83	+0.1	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Jason Smith 2004 · MLB	27	46→35	48→55	56→50	42	230/284/372	142	307	15	15	30%	7%	84	+0.1	224/267/375	151	285	15	12	26%	5%	78	-0.3	218/259/368	150	284	15	13	28%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Jake Slaughter 2023 · AA	26	46→47	47→50	54→55	40	225/294/356	130	314	15	24	32%	6%	85	+0.2	218/287/358	140	305	16	20	32%	7%	82	+0.0	207/277/344	136	292	16	20	33%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	47→55	52→50	45	206/276/349	144	272	14	12	29%	8%	76	-0.4	214/274/384	170	291	20	15	32%	7%	84	+0.1	200/265/376	176	270	21	17	33%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Nick Franklin 2018 · MLB	27	43→49	46→50	53→50	46	218/278/350	131	267	14	14	24%	7%	77	-0.3	214/285/333	119	269	11	12	23%	8%	76	-0.4	173/252/275	102	230	8	8	27%	9%	49	-1.3
✕Drew Robinson 2018 · MLB	26	40→42	51→55	49→50	46	209/284/376	168	285	19	12	32%	9%	86	+0.3	217/292/366	149	349	16	13	39%	9%	86	+0.3	188/269/321	134	345	14	13	45%	10%	66	-0.5
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	41	49→50	57→55	46	214/274/360	146	257	18	26	25%	7%	78	-0.3	219/277/367	148	268	17	22	24%	6%	80	-0.1	209/267/365	156	250	18	20	24%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Sam Haggerty 2022 · MLB	28	46→43	44→50	58→65	45	224/291/342	117	307	11	25	29%	8%	80	-0.2	246/321/388	142	313	13	35	24%	9%	101	+1.4	252/331/392	139	317	11	42	22%	9%	102	+0.8
✕Ryan Boldt 2022 · AAA	27	47→50	46→45	55	40	229/284/363	134	329	13	16	33%	7%	82	-0.0	216/269/335	119	314	12	15	33%	6%	70	-0.8	189/238/284	95	278	10	15	34%	4%	43	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps