Willie MacIver — OGILVIE

Willie MacIverC Buffalo Bisons

Age 29 R/R 6'2" / 205 lbs AAA Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION315 act + 210 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 9778vR 30

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .288 / .337

PA210

HR4

K%29

BB%8

BABIP282

ISO128

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT60

Whiff%

4411.6%

xwOBA

100.256

POWER55

Barrel%

174.0

Avg EV

4688.8

Bat Spd

4370.6

EYE45

Chase%

3834.0%

SPEED55

Sprint

5027.5

Platoon Splits2025 · 111 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

314

227

◀◀L

ISO

250

076

◀◀L

BABIP

192

239

▶▶R

20.0%

26.8%

◀◀L

BB%

7.5%

5.6%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.2M
2029	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$1M		$-0.6M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A	Asheville Tourists	—	480	442	71	15	2	7	17	150	11	12	4	161	211	251	462	90	220	31	4	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Asheville Tourists	—	480	425	107	27	3	13	34	105	11	12	4	252	323	421	745	169	300	22	7	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	3 teams	—	452	410	71	13	1	11	29	164	10	21	7	173	245	290	535	117	253	36	6	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	3 teams	—	452	393	88	16	1	15	46	121	10	21	7	224	321	384	705	160	282	27	10	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	419	379	69	14	0	13	27	146	7	10	3	182	249	322	571	140	250	35	6	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	419	367	83	18	0	15	39	114	7	10	3	226	312	398	710	172	281	27	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	255	215	42	10	2	2	31	97	7	16	4	195	316	288	605	93	339	38	12	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	255	202	55	14	3	3	44	67	7	16	4	272	419	416	835	144	388	26	17	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	369	329	74	15	3	9	25	121	9	9	3	225	298	371	668	146	320	33	7	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	369	317	94	19	5	15	37	90	9	9	3	297	386	530	916	233	366	24	10	395	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	346	314	80	15	2	7	23	81	6	11	2	255	318	382	700	127	319	23	7	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	346	309	94	17	2	10	28	71	6	11	2	304	373	469	842	165	364	21	8	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	TOR	—	315	277	57	14	3	4	24	98	8	4	0	206	288	321	609	116	293	31	8	270	65	-12	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.3
YTD	29	AAA	TOR	—	315	266	65	17	3	5	35	81	8	4	0	244	350	387	737	143	323	26	11	329	110	+3	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.9
ROS	29	AAA	TOR	55%	210	187	39	8	2	4	16	60	5	4	1	209	288	337	625	128	281	29	8	281	73	-6	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.2
ROS	29	MLB	TOR	55%	116	103	22	5	1	2	9	33	3	2	0	214	296	340	635	126	283	28	8	265	61	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
FULL	29	AAA	TOR	—	431	380	79	19	4	6	33	131	11	6	0	208	290	326	616	118	292	30	8	269	64	-18	+1	-1	+8	+12	0.3
TOT	29	AAA	TOR	—	525	464	96	22	5	8	40	158	13	8	1	207	288	328	616	121	289	30	8	274	68	-19	+1	-2	+9	+15	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	TOR	59%	520	465	97	21	3	10	39	148	11	9	2	209	285	331	617	123	280	28	8	281	73	-16	+1	-7	+9	+15	0.3
2028	31	MLB	TOR	61%	504	451	95	20	3	10	38	143	10	7	1	211	287	335	621	124	279	28	8	280	72	-16	+1	-7	+9	+14	0.1
2029	32	MLB	TOR	62%	489	440	92	19	3	10	37	139	9	6	1	209	284	334	618	125	276	28	8	277	70	-17	+1	-8	+9	+14	-0.1
2030	33	MLB	TOR	63%	419	376	76	15	2	8	32	121	8	4	1	202	279	316	595	114	272	29	8	271	66	-16	+0	-8	+7	+12	-0.4
2027	30	MLB	TOR	59%	306	274	57	12	2	6	23	87	6	5	1	208	284	332	616	124	281	28	8	267	62	-13	+1	-4	+5	+9	-0.2
2028	31	MLB	TOR	61%	308	276	58	12	2	6	23	87	6	4	1	210	285	333	619	123	280	28	7	267	62	-13	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.3
2029	32	MLB	TOR	62%	305	273	57	12	2	6	23	87	6	4	1	209	285	333	618	125	278	29	8	264	60	-14	+0	-5	+5	+9	-0.4
2030	33	MLB	TOR	63%	265	238	49	10	2	5	20	76	5	2	0	206	281	328	609	122	274	29	8	259	56	-13	+0	-5	+5	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1411	1266	262	56	9	28	105	397	28	20	3	207	282	332	614	125	276	28	7	264	60	-63	+3	-19	+29	+40	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	121	26	4	13	48	183	13	9	1	208	283	333	615	125	276	28	7	264	60	-29	+1	-9	+14	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	4463	4008	806	165	23	91	314	1370	93	109	29	201	275	322	597	121	277	31	7	266	62	-192	+10	-31	+80	+126	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	117	24	3	13	46	200	14	16	4	200	275	318	594	118	277	31	7	266	62	-28	+2	-5	+12	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A	Asheville Tourists	—	480	425	107	27	3	13	34	105	11	12	4	252	323	421	745	169	300	22	7	326	107	+4	+1	—	—	+14	1.9
2021	24	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	212	192	32	4	0	5	16	64	3	10	2	167	242	266	507	99	218	30	8	235	38	-15	+1	—	—	+6	-0.8
2021	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	201	168	48	11	1	10	25	49	6	10	3	286	397	542	939	256	345	24	12	408	170	+16	+1	—	—	+6	2.3
2021	24	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	39	33	8	1	0	0	5	8	1	1	2	242	359	273	632	30	320	21	13	304	91	-0	-1	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	25	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	23	21	3	0	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	143	217	143	360		231	35	9	179	-5	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	25	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	396	346	80	18	0	15	37	106	7	10	3	231	318	413	731	182	284	27	9	323	105	+2	+1	—	—	+11	1.5
2023	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	201	163	41	10	2	3	32	56	4	10	4	252	387	393	780	141	358	28	16	354	129	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2023	26	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	54	39	14	4	1	0	12	11	3	6	0	359	537	513	1.050	154	500	20	22	472	219	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2024	27	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	369	317	94	19	5	15	37	90	9	9	3	297	386	530	916	233	366	24	10	395	161	+25	+1	—	—	+10	3.7
2025	28	MLB	Athletics	—	111	102	19	5	0	3	7	27	2	3	0	186	252	324	576	137	222	24	6	261	58	-5	+1	+0	+6	+3	0.5
2025	28	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	235	207	75	12	2	7	21	44	4	8	2	362	431	541	972	179	428	19	9	424	183	+22	+1	—	—	+7	3.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	111	102	19	5	0	3	7	27	2	3	0	186	252	324	576	137	222	24	6	261	58	-5	+1	+0	+6	+3	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,433	29	22	207	279	332	+26	+0	1.5	1.5
	/162	664	14	10	207	279	332	+11.9	+0.2	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Willie MacIver (OGILVIE)	29	60	55	55	45	207/288/328	121	289	8	8	30%	8%	68	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Herrmann 2017 · MLB	29	47→48	47→50	57→50	46	230/294/372	142	295	13	11	26%	8%	86	+0.8	221/302/378	157	287	19	8	28%	10%	92	+1.2	209/296/361	152	272	19	4	29%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Chris Owings 2021 · MLB	29	43→53	47→50	48→55	41	218/274/352	134	295	15	15	31%	7%	73	-0.1	206/272/349	143	291	16	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	184/261/307	123	264	15	11	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Pedro Severino 2022 · MLB	29	48	48→50	47→45	48	241/306/377	137	298	16	4	24%	8%	93	+1.3	234/292/369	135	299	15	9	26%	7%	85	+0.7	224/277/350	126	286	14	11	26%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Tim Lopes 2022 · MLB	28	44→54	47→45	52→55	44	223/282/361	138	282	14	17	26%	7%	79	+0.3	219/286/337	118	300	12	24	29%	8%	74	-0.1	218/291/320	101	306	10	31	30%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	48→53	50	56→55	43	238/303/396	159	315	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.5	224/272/345	121	325	12	14	33%	5%	70	-0.3	219/262/322	103	328	9	10	35%	4%	57	-0.9
✕Scott Kingery 2022 · MLB	28	41→51	48→55	53→55	42	207/270/353	146	286	14	12	32%	7%	72	-0.2	199/262/324	125	297	13	22	35%	8%	60	-1.0	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Chris Nelson 2014 · MLB	28	50→52	45→50	49→50	42	245/289/372	127	308	12	8	24%	6%	83	+0.6	221/273/316	95	277	9	5	22%	6%	63	-0.9	205/258/278	72	255	6	2	21%	6%	43	-1.1
✕Tommy Field 2016 · MLB	29	43→53	46→45	50→45	47	215/284/346	131	266	13	8	24%	8%	76	+0.0	200/259/317	117	247	12	6	24%	6%	58	-1.2	187/243/291	105	229	12	4	24%	5%	41	-1.6
✕Jake Noll 2023 · MLB	29	47→50	47→50	52→45	41	237/277/379	142	276	14	7	20%	4%	81	+0.4	221/268/351	130	272	13	7	23%	5%	69	-0.4	191/241/303	113	236	12	0	25%	5%	43	-0.8
✕Francisco Peña 2019 · MLB	29	44→46	47→55	48→40	40	226/263/353	127	273	15	6	24%	5%	68	-0.5	221/263/389	168	255	23	5	24%	5%	78	+0.2	198/243/382	184	213	28	1	23%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Tim Federowicz 2017 · MLB	29	45→50	48→50	49→40	39	228/271/367	140	290	16	6	27%	5%	76	+0.0	227/278/366	139	297	16	5	28%	6%	78	+0.2	213/268/346	133	280	15	3	29%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Hernán Pérez 2021 · MLB	30	46→55	50→55	52→55	43	238/282/393	155	288	19	16	25%	6%	86	+0.8	240/286/377	137	303	16	20	26%	6%	84	+0.6	239/283/364	126	302	16	24	26%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Brad Davis 2012 · MLB	29	46	45→50	46→45	43	229/281/353	124	295	12	4	26%	6%	76	+0.0	203/248/308	105	271	9	8	28%	5%	50	-1.8	162/203/250	88	217	7	7	28%	5%	13	-1.3
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB	28	46	50	51→50	42	228/293/393	165	308	16	14	30%	7%	92	+1.2	219/280/368	149	328	16	9	36%	6%	79	+0.3	192/246/312	120	316	14	5	42%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Orlando Calixte 2021 · AAA	29	48→51	44→45	51→55	40	237/276/346	109	307	12	15	27%	5%	71	-0.3	217/266/317	100	291	8	21	27%	6%	59	-1.1	202/252/275	73	273	4	30	26%	6%	40	-0.9
✕Nick Dini 2022 · MLB	29	45	52→50	49→50	43	233/286/396	162	271	20	11	23%	5%	90	+1.0	210/287/357	147	259	19	9	26%	8%	81	+0.4	177/272/313	136	213	19	8	27%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Christian Arroyo 2023 · MLB	28	50→54	47→45	50→45	43	251/300/388	137	292	15	9	20%	5%	93	+1.3	226/273/341	115	282	11	7	23%	5%	69	-0.4	237/285/353	116	300	12	7	25%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Ronny Cedeno 2011 · MLB	28	49→57	45	51→50	44	241/284/366	125	287	12	12	21%	5%	79	+0.3	244/293/355	111	305	8	7	22%	6%	81	+0.4	243/295/341	98	309	6	4	22%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Jason Donald 2013 · MLB	28	51→55	41→50	49→50	43	243/303/347	104	316	8	13	25%	6%	83	+0.6	213/257/310	97	303	7	9	31%	5%	54	-1.4	193/229/276	83	287	5	6	33%	4%	30	-1.3
✕Charlie Culberson 2019 · MLB	30	48→49	46→45	47→50	42	240/285/369	129	301	13	9	25%	5%	81	+0.4	246/295/401	155	315	17	9	26%	6%	94	+1.3	242/286/378	136	311	13	10	26%	5%	81	+0.1