Isiah Gilliam
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 27 | AAA/AASEA | 523 | .276/.394/.501 | 25 | 25 | 104 | — | .236/.321/.424 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAASEA | 139 | .222/.396/.435 | 4 | 6 | 78 | — | .178/.302/.314 |
| 2025 | 29 | INTLAlgodoneros d… | 25 | .100/.280/.100 | 0 | 0 | 30 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | GCL Yankees2 | — | 153 | 135 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 296 | 367 | 415 | 781 | 119 | 342 | 15 | 10 | 345 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | — | 239 | 218 | 52 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 64 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 239 | 303 | 440 | 743 | 202 | 290 | 27 | 7 | 327 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 511 | 444 | 122 | 33 | 4 | 15 | 55 | 111 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 275 | 361 | 468 | 830 | 194 | 329 | 22 | 11 | 363 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Tampa Tarpons | — | 520 | 474 | 123 | 22 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 151 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 259 | 317 | 397 | 714 | 137 | 348 | 29 | 7 | 316 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 177 | 161 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 180 | 250 | 391 | 641 | 211 | 217 | 34 | 7 | 282 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Tampa Tarpons | — | 281 | 249 | 67 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 93 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 269 | 352 | 426 | 778 | 157 | 399 | 33 | 10 | 349 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 383 | 328 | 77 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 47 | 116 | 4 | 26 | 10 | 235 | 338 | 409 | 746 | 174 | 322 | 30 | 12 | 333 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 56 | 43 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 302 | 455 | 442 | 896 | 140 | 414 | 23 | 21 | 401 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 180 | 158 | 40 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 58 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 253 | 341 | 468 | 809 | 215 | 358 | 32 | 11 | 355 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 263 | 229 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 29 | 84 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 288 | 378 | 515 | 893 | 227 | 403 | 32 | 11 | 392 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 116 | 100 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 200 | 304 | 360 | 664 | 160 | 240 | 21 | 13 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 101 | 83 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 253 | 386 | 410 | 796 | 157 | 327 | 25 | 15 | 364 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 422 | 352 | 99 | 17 | 1 | 22 | 62 | 136 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 281 | 396 | 523 | 919 | 241 | 391 | 32 | 15 | 402 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 139 | 108 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 44 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 222 | 396 | 435 | 831 | 213 | 333 | 32 | 22 | 375 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 25 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 280 | 100 | 380 | 154 | 28 | 20 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees2 | — | 153 | 141 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 234 | 280 | 326 | 606 | 92 | 284 | 22 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 239 | 225 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 91 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 164 | 210 | 298 | 508 | 133 | 228 | 38 | 4 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 511 | 464 | 104 | 25 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 155 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 224 | 286 | 379 | 665 | 155 | 293 | 30 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 520 | 485 | 96 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 214 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 198 | 243 | 293 | 536 | 95 | 322 | 41 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 177 | 165 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 145 | 199 | 309 | 508 | 164 | 197 | 44 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 281 | 257 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 133 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 175 | 246 | 288 | 533 | 113 | 337 | 47 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 383 | 344 | 70 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 138 | 4 | 26 | 10 | 203 | 277 | 340 | 617 | 137 | 304 | 36 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 180 | 164 | 33 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 73 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 201 | 268 | 341 | 610 | 140 | 329 | 41 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 263 | 240 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 102 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 225 | 290 | 392 | 682 | 167 | 344 | 39 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 101 | 88 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 227 | 327 | 341 | 668 | 114 | 307 | 29 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 422 | 374 | 89 | 15 | 1 | 20 | 40 | 160 | 5 | 22 | 5 | 238 | 320 | 444 | 764 | 206 | 340 | 38 | 9 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 139 | 118 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 53 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 178 | 302 | 314 | 616 | 136 | 297 | 38 | 15 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees2 | — | 153 | 141 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 234 | 280 | 326 | 606 | 92 | 291 | 22 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Yankees2 | — | 153 | 135 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 296 | 367 | 415 | 781 | 119 | 342 | 15 | 10 | 345 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 239 | 225 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 91 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 164 | 210 | 298 | 508 | 133 | 234 | 38 | 4 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Yankees | — | 239 | 218 | 52 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 64 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 239 | 303 | 440 | 743 | 202 | 290 | 27 | 7 | 327 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 511 | 464 | 104 | 25 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 155 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 224 | 286 | 379 | 665 | 155 | 300 | 30 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 511 | 444 | 122 | 33 | 4 | 15 | 55 | 111 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 275 | 361 | 468 | 830 | 194 | 329 | 22 | 11 | 363 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 520 | 485 | 96 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 214 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 198 | 243 | 293 | 536 | 95 | 327 | 41 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | Tampa Tarpons | — | 520 | 474 | 123 | 22 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 151 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 259 | 317 | 397 | 714 | 137 | 348 | 29 | 7 | 316 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 422 | 68 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 211 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 161 | 225 | 287 | 512 | 126 | 280 | 46 | 7 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 458 | 410 | 96 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 42 | 154 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 234 | 313 | 412 | 725 | 178 | 329 | 34 | 9 | 323 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 439 | 394 | 80 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 158 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 203 | 276 | 338 | 614 | 135 | 307 | 36 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 439 | 371 | 90 | 25 | 1 | 12 | 59 | 129 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 243 | 353 | 412 | 765 | 170 | 333 | 29 | 13 | 341 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 559 | 511 | 111 | 24 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 220 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 217 | 281 | 378 | 658 | 160 | 342 | 39 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 559 | 487 | 126 | 32 | 5 | 20 | 64 | 166 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 259 | 351 | 468 | 819 | 209 | 349 | 30 | 11 | 361 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 523 | 462 | 108 | 18 | 1 | 22 | 50 | 189 | 8 | 25 | 7 | 234 | 319 | 420 | 739 | 186 | 339 | 36 | 10 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 523 | 435 | 120 | 21 | 1 | 25 | 77 | 161 | 8 | 25 | 7 | 276 | 394 | 501 | 895 | 225 | 377 | 31 | 15 | 394 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 139 | 118 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 53 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 178 | 302 | 314 | 616 | 136 | 302 | 38 | 15 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 139 | 108 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 44 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 222 | 396 | 435 | 831 | 213 | 333 | 32 | 22 | 375 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL MLE | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 25 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 280 | 100 | 380 | 154 | 28 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL RAW | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 25 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 280 | 100 | 380 | 154 | 28 | 20 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees2 | — | 153 | 143 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 231 | 280 | 322 | 602 | 91 | 284 | 22 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 239 | 224 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 91 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 165 | 210 | 299 | 509 | 134 | 228 | 38 | 4 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 511 | 466 | 104 | 25 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 155 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 223 | 286 | 378 | 663 | 155 | 293 | 30 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 520 | 486 | 96 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 214 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 198 | 243 | 292 | 535 | 95 | 322 | 41 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 420 | 68 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 211 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 162 | 225 | 288 | 513 | 126 | 283 | 46 | 7 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 439 | 396 | 80 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 158 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 202 | 276 | 336 | 612 | 134 | 304 | 36 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 559 | 509 | 111 | 24 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 220 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 218 | 281 | 379 | 660 | 161 | 338 | 39 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 523 | 460 | 108 | 18 | 1 | 22 | 50 | 189 | 8 | 25 | 7 | 235 | 319 | 422 | 741 | 187 | 334 | 36 | 10 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 139 | 117 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 53 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 179 | 302 | 316 | 618 | 137 | 297 | 38 | 15 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 139 | 117 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 53 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 179 | 302 | 316 | 618 | 137 | 297 | 38 | 15 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3566 | 3242 | 660 | 151 | 15 | 90 | 261 | 1331 | 34 | 107 | 47 | 204 | 270 | 343 | 613 | 139 | 308 | 37 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -137 | +3 | +0 | -21 | +77 | -8.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 121 | 28 | 3 | 16 | 48 | 243 | 6 | 20 | 9 | 205 | 271 | 343 | 615 | 139 | 312 | 37 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -25 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAATacoma Rainiers · 139 PAwOBA .367 → .284 (−82)K% 31.7% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.65% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.30% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 15.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.62% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 14.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.06% | ÷1.014 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 11.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.043 | ×0.992 | 1.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.142 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.80% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .367 → .284; ISO .213 → .162; BABIP .333 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAArkansas Travelers · 422 PAwOBA .393 → .329 (−64)K% 32.2% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.23% | ÷1.041 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.45% | ÷1.046 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 9.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.31% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 24.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷0.983 | ×0.840 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 6.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.103 | ×0.940 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.19% | ÷0.853 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 9.34% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 121, K 108, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .393 → .329; ISO .241 → .220; BABIP .391 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAATacoma Rainiers · 101 PAwOBA .355 → .292 (−63)K% 24.8% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.75% | ÷1.024 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.85% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 10.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.97% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×1.029 | ×1.003 | 23.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×1.003 | 6.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.029 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.17% | ÷1.157 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.14% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .355 → .292; ISO .157 → .111; BABIP .327 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 263 PAwOBA .382 → .299 (−82)K% 31.9% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.94% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.65% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 7.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.90% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×0.988 | 23.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.66% | ÷1.084 | ×0.910 | ×0.980 | ×0.988 | 7.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | ×0.980 | ×0.988 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.28% | ÷0.990 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 6.60% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 117, 3B 82, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .382 → .299; ISO .227 → .177; BABIP .403 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAALouisville Bats · 180 PAwOBA .347 → .267 (−81)K% 32.2% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.22% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×1.003 | ×1.018 | 20.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×1.018 | 8.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | ×1.018 | 3.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.282 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.34% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .347 → .267; ISO .215 → .149; BABIP .358 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AASomerset Patriots · 383 PAwOBA .328 → .274 (−54)K% 30.3% → 36.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.29% | ÷1.024 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.27% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 8.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.28% | ÷1.008 | ×0.940 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 19.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.38% | ÷0.905 | ×0.870 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 10.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.19% | ÷1.053 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.83% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 105, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .328 → .274; ISO .174 → .145; BABIP .322 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Tampa Tarpons · 281 PAwOBA .340 → .239 (−101)K% 33.1% → 47.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.10% | ÷0.989 | ×1.420 | — | — | 47.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.32% | ÷1.055 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.21% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 22.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.62% | ÷0.954 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 9.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.960 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 4.69% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 114, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .340 → .239; ISO .157 → .116; BABIP .399 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AATrenton Thunder · 177 PAwOBA .276 → .211 (−65)K% 34.5% → 44.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.46% | ÷0.956 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.34% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 13.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 4.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷0.937 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 7.51% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 87, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .276 → .211; ISO .211 → .156; BABIP .217 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .