River Town — OGILVIE

River TownOF Tucson Baseball Team

Age 27 L/R 5'10" / 181 lbs INTL HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 203 proj PA

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .314 / .310

PA203

HR2

K%21

BB%10

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 31

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER31

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	ROK	ACL Royals Gold	—	72	62	10	3	0	0	5	19	5	6	0	161	278	210	487	48	233	26	7	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK	ACL Royals Gold	—	72	59	13	4	0	0	8	13	5	6	0	220	361	288	649	68	283	18	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	2 teams	—	470	409	78	16	4	10	34	126	16	22	3	191	279	323	602	132	243	27	7	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	2 teams	—	470	382	95	20	4	14	61	81	16	22	3	249	375	432	807	183	276	17	13	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	357	308	72	8	1	5	34	74	12	20	4	234	333	315	648	81	289	21	10	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	357	301	81	9	1	6	41	55	12	20	4	269	379	365	744	96	309	15	11	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	249	212	40	6	2	1	25	43	9	3	5	189	301	250	551	61	228	17	10	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	249	196	46	7	2	1	41	33	9	3	5	235	390	306	696	71	273	13	16	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL	Tucson Baseball Team	—	281	247	80	19	3	1	25	24	4	9	3	324	395	437	832	113	356	9	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL	Tucson Baseball Team	—	281	247	80	19	3	1	25	24	4	9	3	324	395	437	832	113	356	9	9	368	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	KC	—	203	177	40	8	1	2	20	43	4	4	1	226	318	316	635	90	281	21	10	290	80	-5	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	KC	26%	233	203	46	9	1	3	23	50	5	4	2	227	320	325	645	99	282	21	10	292	82	-5	+0	-1	-1	+7	-0.0
2027	28	MLB	KC	26%	60	53	11	2	0	1	6	13	1	1	0	208	300	302	602	94	279	22	10	274	68	-2	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	60	53	11	2	0	1	6	13	1	1	0	208	300	302	602	94	256	22	10	274	68	-2	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	120	22	0	11	65	141	11	11	0	209	302	305	606	96	258	22	10	274	68	-23	+2	-2	-4	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	1865	1618	366	69	12	22	166	379	55	68	18	226	319	324	644	98	279	20	9	232	36	-135	+6	-1	-11	+53	-9.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	128	24	4	8	58	132	19	24	6	227	320	326	646	99	280	20	9	232	36	-47	+2	-0	-4	+18	-3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	ROK	ACL Royals Gold	—	72	59	13	4	0	0	8	13	5	6	0	220	361	288	649	68	283	18	11	313	98	-0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	114	100	25	2	1	2	9	17	2	4	0	250	324	350	674	100	274	15	8	300	88	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	23	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	356	282	70	18	3	12	52	64	14	18	3	248	391	461	852	213	276	18	15	374	144	+18	+2	—	—	+10	3.1
2023	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	357	301	81	9	1	6	41	55	12	20	4	269	379	365	744	96	309	15	11	341	119	+8	+2	—	—	+10	2.1
2024	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	249	196	46	7	2	1	41	33	9	3	5	235	390	306	696	71	273	13	16	330	110	+3	-1	—	—	+7	0.9
2025	26	INTL	Tucson Baseball Team	—	281	247	80	19	3	1	25	24	4	9	3	324	395	437	832	113	356	9	9	368	139	+13	+1	—	—	+8	2.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Abraham O. Nunezlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,389 PA	8	2,389	17	24	246	315	322	+2	+9	2.5	2.7
	/162	664	5	7	246	315	322	+0.5	+2.5	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	263	3	5	224	314	316	-2	+0	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	7	12	224	314	316	-4.0	+0.0	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
River Town (OGILVIE)	27	60	31	46	56	221/314/310	89	281	2	4	21%	10%	80	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Kaczmarski 2019 · AAA	27	54→56	37→40	46→50	47	250/313/327	78	326	3	11	23%	7%	82	+0.5	230/297/323	93	314	7	11	27%	8%	75	-0.0	205/283/283	78	279	7	11	27%	9%	57	-0.3
✕Alec Keller 2019 · AA	27	56	39→40	48→50	42	266/303/355	89	328	5	8	20%	5%	84	+0.6	257/300/343	86	317	6	11	20%	5%	80	+0.4	261/299/325	63	330	4	12	21%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Jamie Johnson 2013 · AAA	26	51→55	36→40	46→50	53	238/306/308	69	287	3	11	17%	9%	74	-0.1	238/313/317	79	282	4	15	16%	10%	79	+0.3	237/322/316	78	280	4	16	15%	10%	81	+0.4
✕Forrestt Allday 2018 · AAA	27	51→45	35→30	43→50	53	237/315/291	53	289	3	13	18%	9%	74	-0.1	222/297/292	70	281	5	12	21%	8%	67	-0.5	208/288/267	59	269	3	11	22%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Tim Fedroff 2014 · AAA	27	53→62	39→40	49→50	49	249/310/335	86	310	6	15	21%	8%	82	+0.5	220/288/302	82	300	6	11	26%	8%	65	-0.7	198/277/260	62	282	3	6	28%	9%	48	-1.3
✕Jesus Valenzuela 2016 · AAA	27	50	41→40	45→40	49	241/299/337	96	295	8	8	21%	8%	79	+0.3	229/275/339	110	280	11	8	22%	6%	69	-0.4	226/268/315	90	272	9	2	20%	5%	59	-0.2
✕Josh Fellhauer 2015 · AAA	27	54→53	38→40	45	48	250/313/335	86	336	4	6	25%	8%	83	+0.6	223/289/312	89	303	6	11	26%	8%	68	-0.5	198/273/256	58	265	4	15	25%	8%	46	-0.8
✕Jordan Smith 2016 · AA	26	49→58	39→40	48→50	46	232/284/323	90	291	6	12	22%	6%	68	-0.5	216/267/311	95	285	8	14	26%	6%	59	-1.1	206/256/297	91	273	8	15	26%	6%	47	-1.3
✕James Rapoport 2011 · AAA	26	52→54	37→40	49→55	50	244/302/319	75	291	4	11	17%	7%	75	-0.0	230/301/300	70	269	5	9	15%	8%	70	-0.3	219/303/259	40	251	4	7	13%	9%	58	-0.9
✕Carlos Penuelas 2015 · AAA	27	48	38→30	43→50	45	230/282/310	80	284	6	10	21%	6%	64	-0.8	249/289/313	64	300	5	11	18%	5%	67	-0.5	260/296/306	45	309	3	9	16%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Roberto Valencia 2015 · AAA	27	52→62	37→30	47→45	43	244/274/313	69	272	4	8	13%	3%	61	-1.0	250/278/329	79	283	6	11	14%	3%	66	-0.6	268/292/333	65	303	4	10	12%	3%	70	-0.1
✕Eric Filia 2019 · AA	27	56→60	39→40	45	52	264/318/353	89	291	6	5	12%	7%	91	+1.1	252/321/354	102	290	7	7	15%	8%	93	+1.3	265/352/374	110	307	8	6	15%	10%	109	+0.7
✕Scott Tousa 2006 · AA	26	51→53	39→40	44→45	47	243/317/322	80	302	6	8	21%	7%	83	+0.6	219/288/295	76	286	6	8	24%	7%	64	-0.8	161/229/176	14	222	0	3	25%	6%	7	-1.0
✕Jonny Tucker 2009 · AA	26	52→54	39→40	46→55	50	247/305/340	93	288	6	11	16%	7%	82	+0.5	235/290/319	84	277	4	22	16%	7%	69	-0.4	230/285/306	76	270	2	28	15%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Leonardo Reginatto 2017 · AAA	27	51→61	35→30	45	43	239/282/301	61	294	3	7	19%	5%	61	-1.0	225/267/300	75	290	6	6	23%	5%	55	-1.4	220/262/287	67	284	6	3	24%	5%	47	-0.9
✕Jordan Cowan 2021 · AA	26	51→53	37→30	50	46	242/297/309	67	305	5	13	22%	7%	70	-0.3	223/286/311	88	294	7	16	25%	7%	67	-0.5	216/283/296	81	286	6	18	25%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Kevin Taylor 2018 · AA	27	56→60	39→40	45→40	52	263/327/347	84	309	6	3	16%	8%	93	+1.3	239/285/315	76	283	4	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	236/271/299	63	276	2	3	15%	4%	53	-1.2
✕Sam Fuld 2009 · AAA	27	53→57	40→45	48→60	52	250/311/347	98	285	6	12	15%	8%	86	+0.8	243/310/348	105	271	6	21	12%	9%	85	+0.7	242/313/351	109	268	5	27	11%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Nick Shaw 2016 · AA	27	47→57	34→40	45	52	219/297/274	55	282	2	8	22%	10%	62	-0.9	221/281/298	77	302	5	10	26%	7%	61	-1.0	239/277/288	50	335	0	7	27%	4%	53	-0.3
✕Rodrigo Aguirre 2012 · AAA	28	53	37→30	42→45	49	247/293/321	74	279	4	6	13%	6%	71	-0.3	254/288/320	66	295	4	7	15%	4%	68	-0.5	275/303/331	55	315	3	5	13%	3%	76	+0.0