Diego Natera — OGILVIE

Diego NateraC DSL White Sox

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs ROK BB +6%HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.5 · 2033

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .266 / .288

PA64

HR1

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.5peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.3	$32M	+$31M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.5	$34M	+$33M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.5	$35M	+$34M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.5	$37M	+$30M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.4	$37M	+$25M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+3.3	$37M	+$21M
Totals		$37M		$211M	+$174M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	65	52	5	1	0	1	11	26	2	5	3	.096	.277	.173	.450	.077	.160	40	17	.222	28	-5	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	CWS	64	58	12	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	.207	.281	.293	.574	.086	.291	31	8	.254	53	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	CWS	157	141	31	5	1	3	13	46	2	3	1	.220	.295	.333	.628	.113	.306	29	8	.289	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2028	20	MLB 28%	CWS	303	269	62	10	2	7	27	86	4	7	2	.230	.310	.361	.671	.130	.311	28	9	.304	91	-3	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.2
2029	21	MLB 48%	CWS	416	368	87	14	3	11	39	115	6	11	3	.236	.320	.380	.700	.144	.312	28	9	.313	98	-1	+1	+0	+7	+12	2.0
2030	22	MLB 65%	CWS	496	438	105	17	3	14	48	135	7	14	3	.240	.325	.388	.713	.148	.312	27	10	.321	103	+2	+2	+0	+9	+14	2.7
2031	23	MLB 86%	CWS	520	456	111	18	4	15	52	139	7	15	3	.243	.330	.399	.729	.156	.312	27	10	.327	108	+5	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.1
2032	24	MLB	CWS	520	455	112	18	4	16	53	137	7	15	3	.246	.334	.409	.743	.163	.313	26	10	.331	111	+7	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.3
2033	25	MLB	CWS	520	454	112	18	4	16	54	136	7	15	3	.247	.336	.410	.746	.163	.314	26	10	.334	114	+8	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.5
2034	26	MLB	CWS	520	453	113	18	4	17	55	136	7	15	3	.249	.340	.419	.759	.170	.314	26	11	.336	115	+9	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.5
2035	27	MLB	CWS	520	452	113	18	4	17	56	137	7	15	3	.250	.342	.420	.762	.170	.314	26	11	.336	115	+9	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.5
2036	28	MLB	CWS	520	452	110	18	3	16	56	138	7	14	3	.243	.336	.403	.739	.159	.314	27	11	.335	114	+8	+2	-1	+9	+15	3.4
2037	29	MLB	CWS	520	451	110	18	3	16	57	139	7	13	2	.244	.338	.404	.741	.160	.313	27	11	.333	113	+7	+2	-1	+9	+15	3.3
2038	30	MLB	CWS	520	451	109	18	3	16	57	141	7	12	2	.242	.336	.401	.737	.160	.312	27	11	.329	110	+6	+2	-2	+9	+15	3.0
2039	31	MLB	CWS	504	437	105	17	3	15	55	139	7	9	1	.240	.335	.396	.731	.156	.310	28	11	.326	107	+4	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.7
2040	32	MLB	CWS	489	426	100	16	3	14	53	137	7	7	0	.235	.329	.385	.714	.150	.309	28	11	.321	104	+2	+1	-4	+9	+14	2.3
2041	33	MLB	CWS	473	413	95	15	3	13	51	136	6	5	0	.230	.323	.375	.699	.145	.307	29	11	.315	100	-0	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.9
2042	34	MLB	CWS	430	375	85	13	3	11	46	127	6	3	0	.227	.321	.365	.686	.139	.306	30	11	.309	95	-3	+1	-5	+8	+12	1.3
2043	35	MLB	CWS	368	321	71	11	2	9	39	112	5	2	0	.221	.315	.352	.667	.131	.304	30	11	.301	89	-5	+0	-6	+7	+10	0.7
2044	36	MLB	CWS	305	266	58	9	2	7	32	96	4	1	0	.218	.311	.346	.657	.128	.301	31	10	.292	82	-6	+0	-6	+5	+9	0.2
2045	37	MLB	CWS	243	213	43	6	1	5	25	79	3	1	0	.202	.295	.310	.604	.108	.297	33	10	.283	74	-7	+0	-7	+4	+7	-0.3
2046	38	MLB	CWS	181	159	32	5	1	3	18	60	2	0	0	.201	.291	.302	.592	.101	.292	33	10	.272	67	-7	+0	-8	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8654	7560	1781	285	56	243	902	2417	118	183	35	.236	.326	.385	.711	.149	.311	28	10	.319	102	+24	+23	-46	+155	+245	40.8
/ 162G	—			650	568	133	21	4	18	68	182	9	14	3	.234	.326	.380	.706	.146	.310	28	10	.319	102	+2	+2	-3	+12	+18	3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	65	45	7	2	0	1	18	18	2	5	3	.156	.415	.267	.682	.111	.231	28	28	.343	121	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Diego Natera (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	.200/.266/.288	.088	.291	1	1	31%	7%	53	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Maikel Franco 2011 · A	18	39→49	38→55	49→40	39	.190/.242/.270	.080	.272	5	4	31%	5%	37	-2.6	.217/.256/.335	.118	.271	12	3	24%	4%	60	-1.0	.263/.299/.434	.171	.290	19	2	17%	4%	100	+1.6
●Brandon Drury 2011 · A	18	36→46	38→60	45→40	33	.178/.219/.255	.076	.265	6	5	34%	4%	24	-3.6	.214/.245/.320	.106	.267	10	3	23%	3%	51	-1.7	.254/.305/.458	.204	.301	25	1	24%	6%	112	+2.0
●Alex Liddi 2007 · A	18	43→53	39→60	52→50	35	.205/.243/.299	.094	.302	6	10	33%	4%	44	-2.1	.213/.261/.326	.113	.308	9	8	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.241/.296/.424	.182	.336	20	5	33%	6%	99	+1.7
●Wilin Rosario 2008 · A	19	39→49	37→60	45	35	.189/.235/.257	.068	.297	6	6	37%	5%	31	-3.0	.219/.259/.344	.125	.302	14	5	31%	5%	64	-0.8	.265/.302/.457	.192	.301	26	4	21%	5%	107	+1.6
●Franmil Reyes 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→65	50→45	42	.204/.266/.299	.095	.285	6	10	29%	7%	55	-1.4	.208/.259/.302	.094	.287	7	6	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.256/.325/.480	.224	.314	34	0	29%	9%	126	+2.6
●Jose Alvarez 2008 · A	19	41→51	38→60	49→50	38	.197/.247/.279	.082	.270	5	8	28%	5%	42	-2.3	.198/.241/.288	.090	.275	6	8	29%	3%	41	-2.3	.293/.324/.482	.189	.318	26	9	17%	2%	126	+2.8
●Renato Núñez 2012 · A	18	41→51	41→60	43→30	35	.205/.239/.302	.097	.278	9	4	30%	3%	44	-2.1	.212/.255/.338	.126	.283	13	4	29%	4%	61	-1.0	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
●Yonathan Perlaza 2017 · A	18	42→52	39→60	48→50	39	.202/.246/.290	.088	.283	6	14	30%	5%	43	-2.2	.205/.246/.278	.073	.299	4	11	31%	5%	40	-2.4	.235/.307/.417	.182	.303	19	12	28%	9%	100	+1.6
✕Yairo Muñoz 2013 · A	18	42→52	37→50	48→55	41	.197/.249/.277	.080	.278	3	8	29%	6%	42	-2.3	.201/.252/.287	.086	.261	6	7	24%	6%	46	-2.0	.270/.315/.386	.116	.325	11	18	20%	5%	92	+0.6
●Eloy Jiménez 2016 · A	19	40→50	40→65	49→40	39	.197/.240/.291	.094	.269	7	7	29%	5%	41	-2.3	.251/.286/.404	.153	.321	16	4	26%	4%	91	+1.1	.273/.314/.492	.219	.314	30	0	23%	5%	125	+2.3
●Amed Rosario 2015 · A	19	39→49	40→50	43→55	36	.196/.231/.287	.092	.270	7	5	30%	4%	37	-2.7	.236/.274/.327	.091	.314	4	12	25%	4%	64	-0.8	.286/.323/.422	.136	.344	12	14	20%	5%	107	+1.7
✕Andres Regnault 2017 · A	18	38	35→55	50→45	38	.172/.243/.231	.059	.306	3	6	42%	8%	28	-3.2	.209/.273/.314	.105	.290	10	7	30%	6%	63	-0.9	.228/.289/.363	.135	.284	15	6	25%	6%	80	+0.1
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	38→48	42→50	52→30	40	.190/.250/.299	.109	.265	10	10	31%	6%	49	-1.8	.194/.244/.301	.107	.299	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	.227/.278/.348	.120	.320	13	2	32%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Bryan De La Cruz 2015 · A	18	45→55	36→55	47→45	44	.205/.281/.265	.061	.310	3	7	32%	8%	53	-1.5	.198/.260/.266	.068	.298	4	5	32%	7%	43	-2.2	.256/.303/.416	.160	.314	19	4	24%	6%	99	+1.4
●Marwin Gonzalez 2007 · A	18	39→49	41→55	42→50	37	.195/.232/.290	.096	.264	9	5	30%	4%	38	-2.6	.205/.245/.289	.084	.267	5	6	24%	5%	43	-2.2	.272/.342/.450	.178	.320	21	4	21%	9%	121	+2.7
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	.193/.237/.259	.066	.276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	.202/.246/.272	.070	.280	4	10	28%	5%	39	-2.5	.230/.295/.366	.136	.298	17	8	27%	6%	82	+0.3
●Steven Souza Jr. 2008 · A	19	37→47	41→60	49→55	38	.182/.248/.279	.096	.291	8	7	38%	7%	43	-2.2	.191/.250/.282	.091	.285	8	14	34%	6%	44	-2.1	.258/.336/.452	.194	.336	23	25	29%	10%	124	+2.2
●Jahmai Jones 2016 · A	18	42→50	38→55	50	42	.204/.261/.284	.080	.276	5	15	27%	6%	49	-1.8	.225/.280/.326	.101	.289	8	16	24%	6%	68	-0.5	.250/.346/.432	.182	.322	17	18	26%	11%	119	+1.6
✕Robert Perez Jr. 2018 · A	18	37→47	38→55	47→45	35	.183/.230/.263	.079	.277	6	7	35%	5%	30	-3.1	.193/.253/.298	.105	.304	10	5	38%	6%	50	-1.7	.219/.296/.384	.166	.306	22	2	34%	7%	89	+0.6
●Johnathan Rodríguez 2018 · A	18	45→52	36→60	47→45	48	.208/.282/.281	.073	.298	3	5	29%	9%	57	-1.2	.212/.270/.288	.076	.310	3	8	30%	7%	53	-1.5	.250/.316/.429	.179	.345	24	4	33%	8%	107	+1.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)