Richard Ramirez
C Bradenton Marauders| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROKPIT | 174 | .288/.374/.464 | 5 | 2 | 54 | — | .189/.259/.308 |
| 2025 | 20 | A/ROKPIT | 288 | .276/.365/.428 | 6 | 2 | 56 | — | .199/.266/.302 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+/APIT | 362 | .262/.324/.506 | 18 | 2 | 72 | — | .208/.257/.387 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBPIT | 472 | .207/.261/.359 | 14 | 3 | 72 | 0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ43% MLB | 23 | MLBPIT | 128 | .210/.265/.360 | 4 | 1 | 76 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ58% MLB | 24 | MLBPIT | 214 | .213/.270/.366 | 6 | 2 | 79 | 0.4 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL PIT Black | — | 140 | 121 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 174 | 275 | 248 | 523 | 74 | 247 | 29 | 12 | 245 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 122 | 103 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 364 | 476 | 839 | 223 | 288 | 21 | 15 | 368 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Pirates | — | 174 | 153 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 56 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 288 | 374 | 464 | 838 | 176 | 424 | 32 | 10 | 373 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 173 | 152 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 276 | 364 | 428 | 792 | 151 | 366 | 27 | 11 | 356 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates | — | 115 | 98 | 27 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 366 | 429 | 795 | 153 | 406 | 31 | 11 | 348 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 34 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 235 | 333 | 569 | 121 | 240 | 21 | 3 | 253 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 328 | 295 | 79 | 23 | 1 | 17 | 25 | 93 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 333 | 525 | 859 | 258 | 328 | 28 | 8 | 370 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Black | — | 140 | 126 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 111 | 188 | 167 | 355 | 56 | 163 | 36 | 9 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 122 | 108 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 231 | 241 | 472 | 102 | 175 | 27 | 11 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 174 | 159 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 78 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 189 | 259 | 308 | 567 | 119 | 340 | 45 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 173 | 158 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 63 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 228 | 295 | 342 | 637 | 114 | 341 | 36 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 115 | 103 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 155 | 223 | 243 | 466 | 87 | 277 | 45 | 7 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 34 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 206 | 303 | 509 | 121 | 210 | 26 | 3 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 328 | 303 | 64 | 18 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 127 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 262 | 396 | 658 | 185 | 298 | 39 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Black | — | 140 | 126 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 111 | 188 | 167 | 355 | 56 | 169 | 36 | 9 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL PIT Black | — | 140 | 121 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 174 | 275 | 248 | 523 | 74 | 247 | 29 | 12 | 245 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 122 | 108 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 231 | 241 | 472 | 102 | 176 | 27 | 11 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 122 | 103 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 364 | 476 | 839 | 223 | 288 | 21 | 15 | 368 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 174 | 159 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 78 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 189 | 259 | 308 | 567 | 119 | 338 | 45 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Pirates | — | 174 | 153 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 56 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 288 | 374 | 464 | 838 | 176 | 424 | 32 | 10 | 373 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 288 | 261 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 114 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 199 | 267 | 303 | 569 | 103 | 324 | 40 | 7 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 288 | 250 | 69 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 82 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 276 | 365 | 428 | 793 | 152 | 382 | 28 | 11 | 353 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 336 | 70 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 136 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 257 | 387 | 644 | 179 | 298 | 38 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 362 | 328 | 86 | 24 | 1 | 18 | 26 | 100 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 324 | 506 | 830 | 244 | 318 | 28 | 7 | 359 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Black | — | 140 | 127 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 110 | 188 | 165 | 354 | 55 | 163 | 36 | 9 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 122 | 108 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 231 | 241 | 472 | 102 | 175 | 27 | 11 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 174 | 157 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 78 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 191 | 259 | 312 | 571 | 121 | 340 | 45 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 288 | 262 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 114 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 198 | 267 | 302 | 568 | 103 | 315 | 40 | 7 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 337 | 70 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 136 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 257 | 386 | 643 | 178 | 290 | 38 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 174 | 157 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 78 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 191 | 259 | 312 | 571 | 121 | 340 | 45 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 288 | 262 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 114 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 198 | 267 | 302 | 568 | 103 | 315 | 40 | 7 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 337 | 70 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 136 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 257 | 386 | 643 | 178 | 290 | 38 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | PIT | 0% | 472 | 438 | 90 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 158 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 207 | 261 | 359 | 620 | 152 | 285 | 33 | 6 | 275 | 72 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | PIT | 43% | 296 | 273 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 97 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 266 | 367 | 633 | 156 | 286 | 33 | 6 | 281 | 76 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | PIT | 58% | 369 | 340 | 73 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 118 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 271 | 373 | 644 | 158 | 287 | 32 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | PIT | 65% | 407 | 374 | 81 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 128 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 216 | 274 | 376 | 650 | 160 | 287 | 31 | 6 | 288 | 81 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | PIT | 68% | 430 | 395 | 86 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 133 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 276 | 377 | 654 | 160 | 287 | 31 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | PIT | 68% | 437 | 401 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 134 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 277 | 376 | 654 | 158 | 287 | 31 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | PIT | 73% | 437 | 401 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 135 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 275 | 372 | 647 | 156 | 286 | 31 | 7 | 287 | 80 | -10 | -0 | -1 | +8 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | PIT | 76% | 428 | 393 | 83 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 133 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 272 | 366 | 638 | 152 | 284 | 31 | 7 | 283 | 78 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | PIT | 78% | 417 | 384 | 81 | 18 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 131 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 269 | 358 | 626 | 147 | 282 | 31 | 6 | 279 | 75 | -13 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | PIT | 79% | 382 | 352 | 73 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 122 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 264 | 348 | 612 | 142 | 278 | 32 | 6 | 273 | 71 | -13 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | PIT | 43% | 128 | 118 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 265 | 360 | 626 | 150 | 287 | 33 | 6 | 278 | 76 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | PIT | 58% | 214 | 197 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 68 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 270 | 366 | 636 | 153 | 288 | 32 | 6 | 282 | 79 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | PIT | 65% | 264 | 243 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 83 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 273 | 369 | 642 | 154 | 288 | 31 | 6 | 285 | 81 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | PIT | 68% | 292 | 268 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 275 | 371 | 646 | 154 | 288 | 31 | 7 | 286 | 82 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | PIT | 68% | 297 | 272 | 60 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 91 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 217 | 276 | 370 | 646 | 153 | 288 | 31 | 7 | 287 | 82 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | PIT | 73% | 321 | 294 | 64 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 99 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 274 | 365 | 639 | 150 | 287 | 31 | 7 | 284 | 80 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | PIT | 76% | 326 | 299 | 64 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 102 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 271 | 359 | 630 | 146 | 285 | 31 | 6 | 281 | 78 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | PIT | 78% | 325 | 298 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 102 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 268 | 352 | 619 | 142 | 283 | 31 | 6 | 276 | 75 | -10 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | PIT | 79% | 303 | 279 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 97 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 263 | 342 | 605 | 137 | 280 | 32 | 6 | 270 | 71 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +7 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2470 | 2268 | 486 | 112 | 8 | 71 | 159 | 774 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 214 | 272 | 365 | 637 | 150 | 289 | 31 | 6 | 281 | 72 | -64 | +1 | -5 | +44 | +54 | 3.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 597 | 128 | 29 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 204 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 273 | 365 | 638 | 151 | 289 | 31 | 6 | 281 | 72 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4899 | 4497 | 930 | 208 | 13 | 143 | 320 | 1612 | 44 | 25 | 8 | 207 | 266 | 354 | 620 | 147 | 284 | 33 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -99 | +1 | -7 | +68 | +83 | 4.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 597 | 124 | 28 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 214 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 208 | 267 | 357 | 623 | 149 | 285 | 33 | 6 | 275 | 72 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ABradenton Marauders · 328 PAwOBA .364 → .282 (−81)K% 28.4% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.35% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | ×1.015 | 18.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×1.015 | 9.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.029 | ×1.015 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 6.83% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .364 → .282; ISO .258 → .192; BABIP .328 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 34 PAwOBA .245 → .197 (−48)K% 20.6% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.59% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 26.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 1.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 17.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 3.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 3.48% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .245 → .197; ISO .121 → .099; BABIP .240 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ABradenton Marauders · 173 PAwOBA .347 → .276 (−71)K% 26.6% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.59% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.98% | ÷1.052 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 7.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.36% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×1.030 | 26.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.55% | ÷1.084 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.030 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.910 | ×1.020 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.72% | ÷0.932 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 4.17% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .347 → .276; ISO .151 → .117; BABIP .366 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Pirates · 115 PAwOBA .348 → .212 (−136)K% 31.3% → 44.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.30% | ÷1.006 | ×1.440 | — | — | 44.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.30% | ÷0.998 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.022 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 19.35% | ÷1.119 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 11.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.25% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 124, 3B 90, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .348 → .212; ISO .153 → .087; BABIP .406 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Pirates · 174 PAwOBA .363 → .248 (−116)K% 32.2% → 44.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.18% | ÷1.032 | ×1.440 | — | — | 44.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷0.964 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.90% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | ×0.994 | ×1.008 | 24.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.25% | ÷0.917 | ×0.720 | ×0.994 | ×1.008 | 6.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.06% | ÷0.978 | ×0.720 | ×0.994 | ×1.008 | 1.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.15% | ÷0.921 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 4.40% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 96, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .363 → .248; ISO .176 → .122; BABIP .424 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Pirates Gold · 122 PAwOBA .362 → .221 (−141)K% 21.3% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.31% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.75% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 10.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.980 | ×0.680 | ×0.956 | ×1.008 | 12.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.79% | ÷1.040 | ×0.600 | ×0.956 | ×1.008 | 4.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.956 | ×1.008 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.49% | ÷0.969 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 3.17% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 96, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .362 → .221; ISO .223 → .113; BABIP .288 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL PIT Black · 140 PAwOBA .243 → .161 (−81)K% 29.3% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.29% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.14% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.50% | ÷0.994 | ×0.680 | ×0.972 | ×1.022 | 11.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.50% | ÷0.951 | ×0.600 | ×0.972 | ×1.022 | 4.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.600 | ×0.972 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.25% | ÷0.902 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.67% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 95, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .243 → .161; ISO .074 → .043; BABIP .247 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).