Kevin Parada — OGILVIE

Kevin ParadaC Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 197 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION240 act + 160 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .264 / .315

PA160

HR3

K%33

BB%8

BABIP286

ISO116

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	41	33	6	1	0	1	6	19	1	0	1	182	325	303	628	121	357	46	15	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	41	29	8	1	0	1	10	12	1	0	1	276	475	414	889	138	412	29	24	403	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	4 teams	—	532	488	93	18	3	12	29	192	12	1	2	191	253	314	567	123	282	36	5	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	4 teams	—	532	477	114	27	4	17	40	155	12	1	2	239	314	419	733	180	315	29	8	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	454	413	81	15	1	17	30	181	8	0	1	196	264	361	625	165	294	40	7	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	454	398	85	17	1	13	45	153	8	0	1	214	306	359	665	146	306	34	10	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	424	383	83	23	1	10	28	141	4	6	1	217	277	360	637	144	304	33	7	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	424	371	91	25	1	11	40	113	4	6	1	245	325	407	732	162	314	27	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	NYM	—	240	215	40	8	1	1	21	76	1	7	0	186	262	247	508	60	279	32	9	230	34	-18	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.6
YTD	24	AA	NYM	—	240	206	46	10	1	1	30	60	1	7	0	223	325	296	621	73	306	25	12	287	78	-6	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
ROS	24	AA	NYM	2%	160	146	29	6	1	3	12	53	1	3	0	199	264	315	579	116	283	33	8	262	58	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
ROS	24	MLB	NYM	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						282	33	0	255	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	NYM	—	243	218	40	8	1	1	21	77	1	7	0	183	258	243	501	60	275	32	9	230	34	-18	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.6
TOT	24	AA	NYM	—	400	361	69	14	2	4	33	129	2	10	0	191	263	274	537	83	281	32	8	242	44	-25	+2	+0	+7	+11	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	NYM	39%	369	335	70	15	1	9	28	117	3	5	1	209	276	340	616	131	285	32	8	273	67	-14	+1	+0	+7	+10	0.4
2028	26	MLB	NYM	56%	406	367	77	16	1	10	32	126	4	6	1	210	280	341	621	131	285	31	8	280	73	-13	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.7
2029	27	MLB	NYM	62%	419	379	80	17	1	11	33	128	4	6	1	211	281	348	630	137	286	31	8	282	74	-12	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.8
2030	28	MLB	NYM	65%	424	383	81	17	1	11	34	130	4	6	1	211	283	347	630	136	285	31	8	282	74	-12	+1	-1	+8	+12	0.8
2027	25	MLB	NYM	39%	143	130	26	6	0	3	11	45	1	2	0	200	268	315	583	115	284	31	8	267	62	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2028	26	MLB	NYM	56%	227	205	44	9	1	6	18	70	2	3	0	215	284	356	641	141	285	31	8	273	67	-8	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2029	27	MLB	NYM	62%	258	234	50	10	1	7	20	79	2	4	0	214	281	355	636	141	285	31	8	276	69	-9	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2030	28	MLB	NYM	65%	274	248	53	11	1	7	22	84	2	4	0	214	283	351	634	137	285	31	8	276	69	-10	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	905	820	173	36	3	23	71	279	7	13	0	211	280	346	626	135	287	31	8	273	67	-33	+3	-0	+16	+26	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	125	26	2	17	51	200	5	9	0	212	281	350	630	138	288	31	8	273	67	-24	+2	-0	+12	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	3229	2927	600	128	10	84	232	1087	41	33	9	205	273	342	614	137	290	34	7	272	66	-123	+3	-1	+58	+91	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	121	26	2	17	47	219	8	7	2	205	273	343	616	138	291	34	7	272	66	-25	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	41	29	8	1	0	1	10	12	1	0	1	276	475	414	889	138	412	29	24	403	166	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	21	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	60	54	10	2	0	3	4	23	1	0	0	185	254	389	643	204	241	38	7	281	73	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	21	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	382	340	90	21	4	11	30	96	10	1	2	265	342	447	789	182	336	25	8	349	126	+11	-1	—	—	+11	2.2
2023	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	15	13	1	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	77	200	77	277		167	47	13	153	-24	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	75	70	13	4	0	3	4	29	1	0	0	186	240	371	611	186	263	39	5	271	66	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	22	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	454	398	85	17	1	13	45	153	8	0	1	214	306	359	665	146	306	34	10	301	89	-6	-0	—	—	+13	0.7
2025	23	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	64	56	11	2	0	1	7	13	0	2	1	196	286	286	571	89	233	20	11	262	59	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	360	315	80	23	1	10	33	100	4	4	0	254	332	429	761	175	330	28	9	332	112	+5	+1	—	—	+10	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	908	23	12	211	278	346	+16	+8	1.6	1.6
	/162	664	17	9	211	278	346	+11.9	+5.9	1.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Parada (OGILVIE)	24	40	50	45	40	191/263/274	83	281	4	10	32%	8%	44	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Marlette 2017 · AA	24	43→42	48→50	46→45	40	223/265/364	141	287	17	6	28%	5%	72	-0.2	218/266/348	130	292	15	5	30%	6%	69	-0.4	212/262/337	126	282	15	3	30%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Andrew Susac 2014 · AA	24	41→40	49→50	46→30	45	210/282/354	145	281	17	3	31%	8%	77	+0.1	219/288/363	144	292	16	3	29%	8%	82	+0.5	209/278/347	138	275	16	0	29%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Pedro Pagés 2023 · AAA	24	40→44	44→50	44→40	40	201/262/314	114	296	12	4	35%	7%	58	-1.2	222/281/354	132	292	15	4	28%	7%	76	+0.1	225/284/360	135	285	17	2	26%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Yu Chang 2019 · AAA	23	41→46	48→50	47→45	39	207/266/350	143	291	15	7	34%	6%	69	-0.4	221/275/366	145	298	15	7	30%	6%	76	+0.1	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Ricardo Genovés 2023 · AAA	24	40→43	46→45	43→30	40	203/265/330	127	289	15	2	34%	7%	63	-0.8	196/265/319	123	289	13	4	35%	7%	61	-1.0	182/262/305	123	264	13	1	34%	8%	54	-0.6
✕Brennen Davis 2023 · AAA	23	40→41	48→50	43→45	40	200/279/340	140	299	17	7	37%	7%	73	-0.1	188/274/320	132	256	16	9	32%	7%	66	-0.6	185/285/365	180	232	25	4	31%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Jesús Bastidas 2023 · AA	24	41	50	45→50	40	211/280/359	148	289	19	12	33%	7%	78	+0.2	207/275/357	150	271	18	12	30%	6%	76	+0.0	200/269/348	148	259	18	13	30%	5%	68	-0.5
✕Lucas May 2009 · AA	24	38→43	50→55	46→45	38	203/249/356	153	263	18	6	30%	5%	64	-0.8	216/270/352	136	290	15	6	30%	6%	71	-0.3	210/268/341	131	282	14	4	30%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Luca Tresh 2023 · AA	23	42→40	50→55	44→40	42	216/276/362	146	293	18	5	32%	7%	76	+0.1	203/261/354	151	257	19	4	28%	7%	68	-0.5	202/253/357	154	268	19	2	32%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Aramis Garcia 2018 · AA	25	42	48→55	46→45	39	216/262/354	138	282	16	3	29%	5%	69	-0.4	214/262/364	150	310	19	2	36%	5%	71	-0.3	176/253/325	149	241	21	5	36%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Corey Smith 2006 · AA	24	42→46	48→55	44→50	38	215/262/354	139	295	16	5	32%	6%	69	-0.4	216/271/357	141	282	17	7	29%	6%	73	-0.1	222/263/383	161	264	20	9	25%	4%	73	-0.1
●Tom Murphy 2015 · AA	24	38→34	50→60	43→45	39	200/266/350	149	284	18	5	35%	7%	69	-0.4	197/244/350	153	293	18	5	38%	5%	59	-1.1	250/322/470	220	318	31	2	30%	9%	122	+1.4
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2007 · AAA	25	43→42	45→55	41→40	40	214/272/329	115	303	14	6	33%	7%	66	-0.6	232/290/339	107	329	12	5	31%	7%	76	+0.0	217/279/402	185	301	27	2	36%	7%	85	+0.3
✕Carter Aldrete 2023 · AA	25	41→40	49→50	42→45	39	212/262/357	145	288	18	7	33%	6%	69	-0.4	205/251/344	139	284	17	5	33%	6%	61	-1.0	185/226/315	130	252	17	1	34%	5%	40	-1.3
✕Rodolfo Durán 2023 · AAA	25	37	49→55	47→40	36	201/238/345	145	258	17	4	30%	4%	56	-1.3	222/264/378	156	280	18	5	27%	5%	76	+0.0	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2023 · AAA	24	41→46	47→45	49→45	47	210/280/339	129	268	15	6	27%	8%	72	-0.2	210/275/323	113	274	12	8	26%	8%	66	-0.6	199/265/299	100	261	11	8	27%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Rodolfo Castro 2023 · MLB	24	40	53→55	47→50	41	215/272/390	175	275	22	10	30%	6%	82	+0.5	211/275/356	145	278	18	9	30%	7%	75	-0.0	201/269/340	139	259	18	12	29%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Chad Hermansen 2002 · MLB	24	41→43	48→55	44→50	39	212/257/349	137	277	16	6	30%	6%	65	-0.7	219/283/372	153	294	17	12	30%	8%	82	+0.5	208/268/334	127	292	14	14	32%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Joe Dunand 2019 · AA	23	41→48	48→50	45	38	213/264/353	140	284	16	4	31%	5%	69	-0.4	206/260/317	111	288	11	4	31%	5%	58	-1.2	199/270/344	145	289	17	5	35%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Wade Wass 2017 · AA	25	43	46→50	45	41	206/285/339	133	320	14	5	37%	8%	75	-0.0	210/288/366	156	329	19	11	39%	7%	83	+0.6	205/293/412	207	295	31	18	40%	7%	94	+0.5