James Free — OGILVIE

James FreeC Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 28 S/R 6'1" / 205 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .296 / .366

PA15

HR0

K%24

BB%8

ISO137

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	216	185	43	13	0	3	27	56	1	1	0	232	333	351	685	119	310	26	12	310	96	-1	+0	—	—	+5	0.4
2022	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	17	17	3	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	176	176	235	412	59	273	35	0	182	9	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	230	211	55	7	0	8	14	53	3	0	1	261	316	408	723	147	309	23	6	321	103	+1	-0	—	—	+5	0.6
2023	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	489	421	113	24	2	17	61	98	4	1	1	268	366	456	822	188	311	20	12	365	133	+19	-0	—	—	+11	3.0
2024	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	45	40	9	1	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	225	295	325	620	100	267	22	7	278	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	216	193	33	10	0	2	19	77	1	1	0	171	249	254	503	83	252	36	9	229	41	-15	+0	—	—	+5	-1.0
2022	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	17	17	3	1	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	176	176	235	412	59	249	47	0	138	-20	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	230	216	50	6	0	6	9	64	3	0	1	231	272	343	615	111	293	28	4	270	69	-9	-0	—	—	+5	-0.4
2023	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	489	444	102	21	2	13	38	125	4	1	1	230	296	374	670	144	283	26	8	292	84	-9	-0	—	—	+11	0.1
2024	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	45	41	9	1	0	1	2	12	1	0	0	220	273	317	590	98	249	27	4	236	46	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	216	193	33	10	0	2	19	77	1	1	0	171	249	254	503	83	265	36	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	216	185	43	13	0	3	27	56	1	1	0	232	333	351	685	119	310	26	12	310	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	247	233	52	6	0	6	9	71	3	0	1	223	261	326	587	103	291	29	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	247	228	58	8	0	8	14	59	3	0	1	254	306	395	701	140	307	24	6	311	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	489	444	102	21	2	13	38	125	4	1	1	230	296	374	670	144	288	26	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	489	421	113	24	2	17	61	98	4	1	1	268	366	456	822	188	311	20	12	365	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	45	41	9	1	0	1	2	12	1	0	0	220	273	317	590	98	276	27	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	45	40	9	1	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	225	295	325	620	100	267	22	7	278	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	216	194	33	10	0	2	19	77	1	1	0	170	249	253	501	82	252	36	9	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	247	233	52	6	0	6	9	71	3	0	1	223	261	326	587	103	290	29	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	489	444	102	21	2	13	38	125	4	1	1	230	296	374	670	144	283	26	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	45	42	9	1	0	1	2	12	1	0	0	214	273	310	582	95	249	27	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	489	444	102	21	2	13	38	125	4	1	1	230	296	374	670	144	283	26	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	45	42	9	1	0	1	2	12	1	0	0	214	273	310	582	95	249	27	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	CIN	2%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	287	27	7	298	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CIN	28%	243	220	51	10	1	6	19	59	2	3	1	232	299	368	667	136	286	24	8	299	89	-3	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.5
2028	30	MLB MLE	CIN	43%	290	262	60	12	1	7	23	70	3	3	1	229	299	363	661	134	286	24	8	298	88	-4	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.5
2029	31	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	278	251	57	11	1	7	22	68	3	3	1	227	297	363	660	135	284	24	8	295	86	-5	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.4
2030	32	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	258	234	52	10	1	6	20	64	2	2	1	222	289	350	639	128	280	25	8	290	83	-5	+0	-4	+5	+6	0.1
2031	33	MLB MLE	CIN	60%	228	206	45	8	1	5	18	58	2	2	0	218	288	340	627	121	276	25	8	283	78	-6	+0	-4	+4	+5	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	CIN	28%	68	62	15	3	0	2	5	16	1	1	0	242	309	387	696	145	290	24	7	298	89	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	CIN	43%	125	113	27	5	1	3	10	30	1	1	0	239	306	381	687	142	289	24	8	297	88	-2	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
2029	31	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	145	132	31	6	1	4	11	35	1	2	0	235	299	386	685	152	287	24	8	294	86	-2	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.2
2030	32	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	147	133	31	6	1	4	12	36	1	1	0	233	301	383	685	150	284	24	8	289	83	-3	+0	-2	+3	+3	0.1
2031	33	MLB CTX	CIN	60%	137	124	28	5	1	3	11	35	1	1	0	226	294	355	649	129	279	26	8	282	78	-4	+0	-3	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	622	564	132	25	4	16	49	152	5	6	0	234	301	378	679	144	290	24	8	291	77	-12	+1	-7	+11	+13	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	138	26	4	17	51	159	5	6	0	234	300	379	679	144	290	24	8	291	77	-12	+1	-8	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2309	2098	464	90	7	53	171	608	21	15	6	221	286	347	633	125	283	26	7	283	77	-24	+1	-14	+23	+28	1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	130	25	2	15	48	171	6	4	2	220	285	345	630	125	281	26	7	283	77	-12	+0	-7	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	626	15	6	227	293	359	+11	+8	1.5	1.5
/162	664	16	7	+11.9	+8.5	1.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
James Free (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	230/296/366	136	287	4	2	24%	8%	88	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→49	48→50	48→45	49	234/302/373	139	276	17	6	22%	8%	91	+0.7	239/300/372	133	305	15	6	25%	8%	90	+0.6	230/288/352	123	295	14	6	26%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Matt Thaiss 2023 · MLB	28	46→50	48→50	52→45	49	232/305/379	147	290	16	8	25%	9%	93	+0.8	220/316/340	120	293	13	8	27%	11%	90	+0.6	205/321/302	97	279	10	5	27%	13%	81	-0.0
✕Jason Hagerty 2016 · AAA	28	47→52	44→50	46→40	46	229/293/346	117	291	11	6	25%	7%	82	-0.0	227/291/352	125	298	12	7	26%	7%	82	+0.0	216/285/345	129	284	10	0	26%	5%	74	-0.1
✕Hector Gimenez 2011 · AAA	28	47→49	50→55	47→40	44	242/286/395	153	289	17	6	23%	6%	91	+0.6	231/281/387	156	280	17	5	24%	6%	86	+0.3	220/269/378	158	262	19	0	24%	6%	78	-0.1
✕Andrew Knapp 2020 · MLB	28	47→55	43→45	49→40	52	221/317/337	116	321	10	5	31%	11%	89	+0.5	212/296/337	125	299	13	4	31%	10%	82	-0.0	204/275/329	125	281	14	2	31%	8%	69	-0.5
✕Héctor Sánchez 2017 · MLB	27	43→49	51→50	44→30	43	225/277/385	160	270	20	3	25%	6%	85	+0.2	227/277/390	163	281	21	5	27%	6%	86	+0.3	214/244/414	200	250	32	0	30%	4%	76	-0.1
✕Carlos Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	47→49	46→60	47→45	45	237/286/363	126	276	14	6	20%	6%	82	+0.0	215/260/371	156	236	20	4	19%	5%	76	-0.4	215/286/399	184	236	23	0	21%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Luis Torrens 2023 · MLB	27	46→48	51→50	46→40	44	234/292/389	155	298	19	3	28%	7%	91	+0.7	232/286/369	137	299	15	4	26%	6%	84	+0.2	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Chase Lambin 2007 · AAA	28	46→50	48→55	43→45	46	232/290/378	147	282	15	6	23%	7%	88	+0.4	237/294/387	150	312	15	5	28%	7%	91	+0.7	224/279/364	140	298	14	5	28%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Anthony Recker 2012 · MLB	28	45→49	50	44→45	46	231/298/388	157	296	18	7	28%	8%	93	+0.8	217/286/373	156	289	19	7	30%	8%	86	+0.3	197/266/351	154	263	21	3	32%	8%	71	-0.3
✕John Hester 2011 · MLB	27	51	49→55	49→50	42	251/300/411	160	318	14	11	25%	6%	99	+1.2	212/270/326	114	291	12	5	30%	7%	68	-1.0	187/247/297	110	270	12	4	34%	7%	52	-1.0
✕Alan Espinoza 2019 · AAA	28	47	47→50	49→45	42	238/281/370	132	278	15	7	20%	5%	82	+0.0	252/296/398	146	291	17	7	19%	5%	95	+0.9	266/304/414	148	301	18	3	18%	4%	100	+0.8
✕Kevin Plawecki 2019 · MLB	28	48→56	47→45	43→30	50	238/315/378	141	279	14	3	20%	8%	98	+1.2	248/318/381	133	292	13	5	19%	8%	99	+1.3	238/304/332	94	278	8	0	17%	7%	80	-0.0
●James McCann 2018 · MLB	28	48→55	50	45	44	245/302/395	150	299	18	3	24%	6%	96	+1.0	249/305/401	152	317	19	4	26%	6%	99	+1.2	258/319/420	162	336	21	4	28%	7%	106	+1.0
✕JD Closser 2008 · MLB	28	42	47→50	45	52	213/290/351	138	253	15	7	22%	10%	82	-0.0	212/276/309	97	268	9	6	23%	8%	66	-1.1	219/277/297	78	271	7	6	21%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Guillermo Rodriguez 2006 · AA	28	45	49→55	51→45	39	226/284/380	154	291	16	9	28%	5%	86	+0.3	229/292/373	144	266	15	6	20%	7%	88	+0.4	227/293/363	136	252	15	2	17%	7%	84	+0.0
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2016 · MLB	28	48→46	42→55	46→30	50	234/306/339	105	288	9	4	21%	8%	84	+0.2	226/292/330	104	287	10	3	23%	8%	78	-0.3	221/289/366	145	274	17	0	25%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	45	232/291/379	147	283	15	12	24%	7%	88	+0.5	226/271/354	128	293	14	12	27%	5%	75	-0.5	206/245/315	108	272	12	12	28%	5%	53	-0.8
✕Chris Herrmann 2017 · MLB	29	46→49	46→50	56→50	46	229/294/368	139	294	13	11	26%	8%	87	+0.4	219/303/375	156	285	18	8	28%	10%	92	+0.7	206/296/357	150	270	19	4	29%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Maxwell Leon 2012 · AAA	28	48→57	48→50	54→50	45	239/294/393	154	286	15	8	22%	6%	93	+0.8	248/313/357	109	304	8	12	20%	6%	91	+0.7	254/318/346	91	314	5	13	19%	6%	88	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps