James FreeC
Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 28
S/R
6'1" / 205 lbs
AA
HR +9%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.7 · 2028
wRC+†85
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .291 / .369
PA170
HR5
K%26
BB%8
MLB%2%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $2M | $3M | +$0.6M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 216 | 193 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 76 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .176 | .254 | .275 | .528 | .098 | .265 | 35 | 9 | .230 | 34 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 247 | 233 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 76 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .223 | .261 | .343 | .605 | .120 | .296 | 31 | 4 | .264 | 60 | -11 | -0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 489 | 445 | 100 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 133 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .225 | .290 | .378 | .668 | .153 | .283 | 27 | 8 | .295 | 84 | -9 | -0 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 45 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .220 | .273 | .317 | .590 | .098 | .286 | 29 | 4 | .235 | 38 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 170 | 153 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .235 | .304 | .392 | .696 | .157 | .287 | 26 | 8 | .297 | 85 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | CIN | 243 | 220 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 64 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .232 | .299 | .382 | .681 | .150 | .287 | 26 | 8 | .298 | 86 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | CIN | 290 | 262 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 76 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .229 | .299 | .374 | .673 | .145 | .286 | 26 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | CIN | 278 | 251 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 74 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .223 | .293 | .359 | .652 | .135 | .285 | 27 | 8 | .294 | 83 | -5 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 40% | CIN | 258 | 234 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 70 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .289 | .363 | .652 | .141 | .284 | 27 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 49% | CIN | 228 | 206 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .223 | .292 | .364 | .656 | .141 | .283 | 28 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 57% | CIN | 186 | 168 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .283 | .339 | .622 | .125 | .281 | 28 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2650 | 2406 | 532 | 105 | 8 | 70 | 196 | 743 | 25 | 11 | 5 | .221 | .287 | .359 | .645 | .138 | .287 | 28 | 7 | .284 | 75 | -74 | +0 | -19 | +47 | +75 | 3.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 590 | 131 | 26 | 2 | 17 | 48 | 182 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .222 | .287 | .359 | .647 | .137 | .289 | 28 | 7 | .284 | 75 | -18 | +0 | -5 | +12 | +18 | 0.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 216 | 185 | 43 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .232 | .333 | .351 | .685 | .119 | .310 | 26 | 12 | .310 | 95 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 17 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .176 | .176 | .235 | .412 | .059 | .273 | 35 | 0 | .182 | -2 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 230 | 211 | 55 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .261 | .316 | .408 | .723 | .147 | .309 | 23 | 6 | .321 | 104 | +1 | -0 | — | — | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 489 | 421 | 113 | 24 | 2 | 17 | 61 | 98 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .268 | .366 | .456 | .822 | .188 | .311 | 20 | 12 | .365 | 137 | +21 | -0 | — | — | +14 | 3.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 45 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .225 | .295 | .325 | .620 | .100 | .267 | 22 | 7 | .278 | 71 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| James Free (OGILVIE) | 28 | — | — | — | — | .226/.291/.369 | .143 | .287 | 5 | 2 | 26% | 8% | 85 | +0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB |
28 | 46→50 | 49→50 | 48→45 | 49 | .235/.302/.377 | .142 | .276 | 17 | 5 | 22% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .243/.304/.377 | .134 | .309 | 15 | 6 | 25% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .231/.290/.354 | .123 | .297 | 14 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Luis Torrens 2023 · MLB |
27 | 46→49 | 51→55 | 46→30 | 44 | .235/.294/.394 | .158 | .299 | 20 | 3 | 28% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .230/.285/.371 | .141 | .296 | 16 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .223/.277/.353 | .130 | .278 | 13 | 2 | 24% | 6% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB |
28 | 38→42 | 49→50 | 46→40 | 51 | .195/.290/.346 | .151 | .268 | 16 | 6 | 32% | 11% | 79 | +0.3 | .210/.290/.356 | .146 | .319 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .203/.283/.339 | .136 | .319 | 15 | 4 | 38% | 10% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jason Hagerty 2016 · AAA |
28 | 46→53 | 45→50 | 46→40 | 45 | .226/.291/.347 | .121 | .289 | 12 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .227/.290/.353 | .126 | .298 | 12 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .219/.288/.352 | .133 | .285 | 11 | 0 | 26% | 5% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB |
27 | 42 | 50 | 43→40 | 43 | .209/.295/.363 | .155 | .298 | 17 | 4 | 34% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .225/.297/.384 | .159 | .313 | 17 | 4 | 32% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .221/.291/.378 | .157 | .312 | 18 | 2 | 33% | 7% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Chase Lambin 2007 · AAA |
28 | 46→50 | 50→55 | 44→45 | 45 | .237/.294/.398 | .161 | .286 | 18 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | .237/.293/.395 | .158 | .311 | 16 | 5 | 28% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .225/.280/.375 | .150 | .299 | 16 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕John Hester 2012 · MLB |
28 | 48 | 45→55 | 43→50 | 43 | .234/.286/.359 | .125 | .303 | 12 | 8 | 26% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .205/.263/.320 | .115 | .288 | 12 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .188/.247/.298 | .110 | .271 | 12 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 46 | -0.9 |
|
✕Michael McKenry 2013 · MLB |
28 | 44→46 | 49→55 | 43→40 | 47 | .224/.290/.370 | .146 | .281 | 16 | 3 | 26% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .242/.314/.405 | .163 | .294 | 19 | 6 | 23% | 9% | 104 | +2.0 | .231/.329/.388 | .157 | .295 | 17 | 5 | 26% | 12% | 101 | +0.7 |
|
✕Hector Gimenez 2011 · AAA |
28 | 47→49 | 50→60 | 47→40 | 43 | .239/.283/.394 | .155 | .290 | 18 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .237/.286/.409 | .172 | .285 | 20 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 93 | +1.3 | .226/.274/.404 | .178 | .265 | 23 | 0 | 24% | 6% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Juan Gonzalez 2010 · AAA |
28 | 47→53 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 48 | .230/.301/.346 | .115 | .293 | 11 | 6 | 24% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .211/.285/.298 | .087 | .290 | 6 | 7 | 27% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .165/.250/.198 | .033 | .241 | 0 | 0 | 28% | 7% | 23 | -0.7 |
|
✕Niko Goodrum 2020 · MLB |
28 | 47→52 | 50→55 | 51→55 | 45 | .234/.296/.396 | .162 | .305 | 17 | 14 | 28% | 8% | 93 | +1.3 | .219/.296/.368 | .149 | .312 | 16 | 18 | 32% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .234/.334/.361 | .127 | .331 | 13 | 14 | 30% | 13% | 97 | +0.6 |
|
✕Matt Thaiss 2023 · MLB |
28 | 45→50 | 48→50 | 51→45 | 49 | .226/.300/.369 | .144 | .284 | 16 | 8 | 26% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .221/.314/.341 | .120 | .294 | 13 | 8 | 27% | 11% | 88 | +0.9 | .209/.324/.305 | .096 | .285 | 10 | 5 | 27% | 13% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Cord Phelps 2014 · MLB |
27 | 47→57 | 46→50 | 45 | 48 | .234/.292/.368 | .133 | .283 | 13 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .224/.286/.324 | .100 | .272 | 9 | 6 | 20% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.282/.290 | .075 | .262 | 6 | 4 | 19% | 8% | 57 | -0.9 |
|
✕Guillermo Rodriguez 2006 · AA |
28 | 45 | 49→55 | 51→45 | 39 | .227/.285/.378 | .151 | .293 | 16 | 9 | 28% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .229/.292/.378 | .149 | .267 | 16 | 6 | 21% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .227/.293/.363 | .136 | .252 | 15 | 2 | 17% | 7% | 82 | +0.1 |
|
✕Andrew Knapp 2019 · MLB |
27 | 48→56 | 43→45 | 48→40 | 48 | .228/.305/.339 | .111 | .321 | 10 | 5 | 30% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .220/.312/.333 | .113 | .320 | 10 | 5 | 31% | 11% | 85 | +0.7 | .202/.273/.325 | .124 | .279 | 14 | 2 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Héctor Sánchez 2017 · MLB |
27 | 42→49 | 51→50 | 43→30 | 42 | .223/.272/.377 | .154 | .268 | 19 | 3 | 25% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .227/.275/.397 | .170 | .278 | 23 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .213/.243/.426 | .213 | .244 | 35 | 0 | 30% | 4% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Anthony Recker 2012 · MLB |
28 | 45→48 | 50 | 44→45 | 45 | .229/.293/.385 | .156 | .298 | 18 | 6 | 29% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .218/.286/.372 | .154 | .290 | 19 | 7 | 30% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .200/.280/.351 | .151 | .266 | 19 | 3 | 31% | 9% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Steve Holm 2008 · AA |
28 | 44 | 50 | 46→40 | 47 | .226/.295/.375 | .149 | .266 | 19 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 88 | +0.9 | .228/.297/.352 | .124 | .275 | 12 | 4 | 21% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .218/.286/.325 | .107 | .267 | 8 | 1 | 20% | 7% | 70 | -0.1 |
|
✕Deibinson Romero 2015 · AAA |
28 | 45→46 | 47→50 | 47→40 | 47 | .228/.295/.366 | .138 | .276 | 15 | 4 | 23% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .228/.295/.362 | .134 | .269 | 14 | 4 | 20% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .228/.297/.358 | .130 | .254 | 15 | 1 | 17% | 8% | 84 | +0.2 |
|
✕Ben Johnson 2010 · AAA |
28 | 41→44 | 50→55 | 45 | 40 | .215/.265/.368 | .153 | .245 | 18 | 8 | 22% | 4% | 74 | -0.1 | .195/.239/.304 | .109 | .263 | 11 | 7 | 29% | 4% | 45 | -2.1 | .136/.158/.189 | .053 | .211 | 6 | 0 | 38% | 2% | -22 | -1.7 |