Jesús Báez — OGILVIE

Jesús BáezSS Peoria Chiefs

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A+ HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 2.3 · 2031

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .285 / .363

PA320

HR9

SB8

K%24

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30↗46

PWR

40↗50

SPD

40→40

FLD

40↗45

EYE

45↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.6peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$20M	+$19M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$21M	+$20M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$22M	+$21M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+2.2	$22M	+$17M
2034	Arb-2	$7M	+1.9	$19M	+$13M
2035	Arb-3	$9M	+1.7	$18M	+$9M
Totals		$23M		$122M	+$99M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	217	195	33	6	0	5	17	66	3	8	6	.169	.247	.277	.523	.108	.222	30	8	.235	38	-15	-1	+0	+2	+6	-0.8
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	160	145	21	7	1	1	12	44	1	5	2	.145	.215	.228	.443	.083	.196	28	8	.198	10	-16	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.0
2024	19	A	2 teams	316	289	64	15	1	10	20	73	5	9	1	.221	.283	.384	.668	.163	.260	23	6	.288	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.6
2025	20	A+	2 teams	442	402	81	10	0	13	32	108	4	9	5	.201	.267	.323	.591	.122	.239	24	7	.260	57	-22	-0	+0	+5	+13	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A+	Peoria Chiefs	64	59	14	2	0	2	3	11	0	3	1	.237	.274	.373	.647	.136	.250	17	5	.261	58	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	21	MLB	STL	256	235	53	9	0	8	17	59	2	5	2	.226	.283	.366	.649	.140	.268	23	7	.290	80	-6	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.3
TOT	21	MLB	STL	320	294	67	11	0	10	20	70	2	8	3	.228	.282	.367	.649	.139	.263	22	6	.284	76	-9	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	STL	511	463	108	19	1	16	38	110	5	10	3	.233	.298	.382	.681	.149	.267	22	7	.300	88	-7	+1	-2	+5	+14	1.2
2028	23	MLB 28%	STL	557	504	118	21	1	18	43	117	5	10	3	.234	.301	.387	.688	.153	.269	21	8	.307	93	-4	+1	-2	+6	+16	1.6
2029	24	MLB 45%	STL	586	529	124	22	1	19	47	122	5	10	3	.234	.303	.388	.690	.153	.271	21	8	.312	97	-2	+1	-3	+6	+17	2.0
2030	25	MLB 60%	STL	603	542	130	23	2	20	50	125	6	10	3	.240	.311	.400	.711	.161	.272	21	8	.316	100	-0	+1	-3	+6	+17	2.2
2031	26	MLB 78%	STL	611	548	132	23	2	21	52	127	6	10	3	.241	.314	.405	.719	.164	.272	21	9	.317	101	+1	+1	-3	+7	+17	2.3
2032	27	MLB 92%	STL	611	547	131	23	2	21	53	127	6	9	3	.239	.314	.404	.718	.165	.272	21	9	.317	101	+1	+1	-3	+7	+17	2.3
2033	28	MLB	STL	606	542	129	23	1	21	53	127	6	8	2	.238	.313	.400	.713	.162	.272	21	9	.316	100	+0	+1	-3	+6	+17	2.2
2034	29	MLB	STL	596	534	126	22	1	20	52	127	5	7	2	.236	.310	.393	.703	.157	.271	21	9	.314	99	-1	+1	-4	+6	+17	1.9
2035	30	MLB	STL	586	525	122	21	1	19	51	127	5	6	1	.232	.306	.385	.691	.152	.269	22	9	.311	96	-2	+1	-5	+6	+17	1.7
2036	31	MLB	STL	571	511	118	21	1	18	50	126	5	4	0	.231	.306	.382	.687	.151	.268	22	9	.307	93	-4	+1	-5	+6	+16	1.4
2037	32	MLB	STL	553	495	113	20	1	17	48	125	5	3	0	.228	.303	.376	.679	.147	.266	23	9	.303	90	-6	+1	-6	+6	+16	1.0
2038	33	MLB	STL	523	469	105	18	1	16	45	122	4	2	0	.224	.297	.369	.666	.145	.265	23	9	.297	85	-9	+0	-7	+6	+15	0.6
2039	34	MLB	STL	476	428	94	16	1	14	41	115	4	2	0	.220	.294	.360	.654	.140	.263	24	9	.290	80	-11	+0	-7	+5	+13	0.1
2040	35	MLB	STL	420	378	80	13	1	11	36	105	3	2	0	.212	.285	.339	.624	.127	.261	25	9	.282	74	-12	+0	-7	+4	+12	-0.3
2041	36	MLB	STL	360	324	67	11	1	9	30	94	3	2	0	.207	.280	.330	.610	.123	.258	26	8	.273	67	-13	+0	-8	+4	+10	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9561	8605	1949	343	20	297	787	2146	88	131	39	.226	.298	.375	.672	.148	.266	22	8	.299	87	-137	+11	-69	+102	+271	18.2
/ 162G	—			650	585	132	23	1	20	54	146	6	9	3	.226	.298	.371	.669	.145	.265	22	8	.299	87	-9	+1	-5	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	217	186	45	9	0	7	26	46	3	8	6	.242	.344	.403	.747	.161	.281	21	12	.335	115	+4	-1	—	—	+6	0.9
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	160	138	29	9	1	2	19	28	1	5	2	.210	.310	.333	.643	.123	.245	18	12	.292	82	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2024	19	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	32	30	8	3	0	1	2	5	0	1	1	.267	.312	.467	.779	.200	.292	16	6	.342	120	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	284	252	66	14	1	10	25	46	5	8	0	.262	.340	.444	.785	.183	.283	16	9	.347	124	+8	+2	—	—	+8	1.8
2025	20	A+	Peoria Chiefs	416	365	89	14	0	14	43	77	4	9	4	.244	.330	.397	.727	.153	.270	19	10	.325	107	+3	+0	—	—	+12	1.6
2025	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	26	23	5	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	1	.217	.308	.217	.525	.000	.250	12	12	.255	53	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesús Báez (OGILVIE)	21	30→46	40→50	40	40	.223/.285/.363	.139	.271	9	5	24%	7%	81	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	48→56	49→55	42→30	44	.244/.289/.392	.148	.290	17	5	22%	6%	89	+1.0	.259/.299/.417	.158	.302	19	2	21%	5%	100	+1.7	.260/.302/.420	.160	.301	21	0	21%	5%	99	+1.3
✕Max Stassi 2013 · A	22	41→43	47→55	43→40	40	.210/.270/.343	.133	.290	15	4	32%	6%	69	-0.4	.216/.264/.358	.142	.286	17	3	30%	5%	70	-0.3	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
●Christian Vázquez 2012 · A	21	42→52	46→50	46→45	41	.215/.263/.344	.130	.271	14	3	27%	5%	66	-0.6	.230/.286/.337	.107	.289	10	4	23%	7%	74	-0.1	.263/.314/.411	.148	.301	18	8	19%	7%	101	+1.2
✕Travis Denker 2007 · A	21	43→52	50	37→45	52	.222/.300/.368	.146	.257	18	3	22%	10%	89	+0.9	.226/.294/.353	.127	.274	13	5	21%	8%	82	+0.5	.233/.308/.392	.159	.261	18	0	18%	8%	97	+0.8
●Josmil Pinto 2011 · A	22	42→52	48→55	42→40	43	.217/.264/.358	.141	.259	15	3	23%	5%	70	-0.3	.231/.281/.371	.140	.283	15	2	23%	6%	80	+0.4	.254/.321/.415	.161	.304	18	0	22%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Nick Yorke 2023 · A	21	45→55	48→50	46→55	43	.230/.283/.366	.136	.290	16	9	26%	6%	80	+0.4	.237/.292/.360	.123	.316	13	15	28%	7%	82	+0.5	.246/.301/.362	.116	.327	12	18	27%	7%	82	+0.5
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	42→52	52→55	45→50	47	.217/.293/.381	.164	.280	20	5	29%	9%	89	+0.9	.205/.301/.370	.165	.275	20	8	31%	11%	90	+1.0	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Brendan Rodgers 2018 · AA	21	46→54	47→50	42→45	38	.230/.270/.361	.131	.292	15	5	26%	4%	73	-0.1	.235/.280/.371	.136	.296	15	7	25%	4%	80	+0.4	.253/.308/.383	.131	.298	13	0	19%	6%	93	+0.8
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2019 · A	21	47→44	48→55	44→45	44	.240/.283/.377	.137	.272	16	6	19%	5%	83	+0.6	.228/.265/.366	.138	.271	16	6	22%	4%	72	-0.2	.219/.264/.387	.168	.253	22	1	23%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Carter Kieboom 2019 · AA	21	46→54	48→50	46→45	43	.232/.287/.371	.139	.299	15	6	27%	6%	83	+0.6	.229/.309/.355	.126	.300	14	5	27%	9%	89	+1.0	.217/.316/.333	.116	.283	14	3	26%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	45→46	49→50	45	42	.226/.293/.375	.150	.293	16	5	28%	6%	88	+0.9	.220/.279/.369	.149	.281	17	7	27%	6%	79	+0.3	.212/.267/.368	.155	.262	19	9	27%	5%	72	-0.2
●Logan O'Hoppe 2022 · AAA	22	43→48	49→60	46→45	43	.224/.274/.364	.140	.267	17	7	24%	6%	76	+0.1	.237/.307/.418	.181	.277	25	6	24%	8%	105	+2.1	.241/.314/.433	.192	.284	28	4	25%	8%	109	+1.6
●Chris Gimenez 2006 · A	23	39→49	47→55	44→45	43	.202/.280/.334	.133	.253	14	5	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.219/.296/.373	.154	.270	18	5	25%	7%	89	+0.9	.233/.314/.394	.161	.287	19	4	25%	8%	99	+1.2
✕Jake Smolinski 2010 · A	21	46→49	43→55	40→45	46	.226/.283/.343	.117	.273	10	5	21%	7%	74	-0.1	.226/.286/.339	.113	.270	9	6	19%	7%	74	-0.1	.238/.300/.395	.157	.270	17	6	19%	7%	93	+0.9
●Juan Apodaca 2006 · A	20	41→51	48→45	46→40	40	.217/.257/.353	.136	.263	17	5	25%	5%	66	-0.6	.219/.272/.323	.104	.274	12	5	24%	6%	64	-0.8	.281/.346/.393	.113	.343	10	3	20%	8%	110	+1.3
✕Matt Vierling 2019 · A	22	46→55	47→50	44→50	39	.231/.274/.365	.134	.292	14	9	26%	4%	76	+0.1	.206/.259/.305	.099	.275	9	14	27%	5%	54	-1.4	.252/.313/.388	.135	.304	13	10	21%	7%	95	+1.2
●Iván Herrera 2022 · AA	22	41→51	48→50	41→50	47	.213/.289/.342	.129	.274	17	4	28%	8%	77	+0.1	.236/.321/.368	.132	.306	14	9	26%	10%	97	+1.5	.278/.371/.439	.161	.339	19	13	22%	11%	132	+2.8
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Bryan Ramos 2023 · AA	21	41→40	49→50	47→50	42	.214/.271/.360	.146	.261	18	5	26%	6%	74	-0.1	.207/.268/.345	.138	.261	18	7	27%	6%	69	-0.4	.189/.256/.317	.128	.239	16	10	28%	6%	54	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)