Jesús Báez — OGILVIE

Jesús BáezSS Peoria Chiefs

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION311 act + 207 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .278 / .408

PA207

HR9

K%23

BB%6

BABIP249

ISO183

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$13M	+$12M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$14M	+$14M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.4	$15M	+$15M
2030	Arb-1	$5M	+2.6	$15M	+$12M
2031	Arb-2	$9M	+2.7	$15M	+$9M
2032	Arb-3	$13M	+2.7	$14M	+$7M
Totals		$30M		$86M	+$68M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	217	195	33	6	0	6	17	65	3	8	6	169	247	292	539	123	214	30	8	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	217	186	45	9	0	7	26	46	3	8	6	242	344	403	747	161	281	21	12	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	160	145	21	7	1	1	12	45	1	5	2	145	215	228	443	83	198	28	8	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	160	138	29	9	1	2	19	28	1	5	2	210	310	333	643	123	245	18	12	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	316	290	70	16	1	13	19	74	5	9	1	241	299	438	737	197	278	23	6	315	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	316	282	74	17	1	11	27	51	5	9	1	262	338	447	784	184	284	16	9	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	442	402	79	9	0	15	32	119	4	9	5	197	263	331	593	134	235	27	7	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	442	388	94	14	0	14	46	80	4	9	5	242	329	387	715	144	268	18	10	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	STL	—	311	287	62	11	0	18	16	68	3	5	3	216	265	443	707	226	214	22	5	298	86	-5	-0	+0	+3	+9	0.7
YTD	21	A+	STL	—	311	281	72	14	0	21	22	51	3	5	3	256	317	530	847	274	238	16	7	362	136	+12	-0	+0	+3	+9	2.5
ROS	21	A+	STL	0%	207	191	43	8	0	9	12	47	2	3	2	225	278	408	685	183	246	23	6	304	91	-2	-0	-1	+2	+6	0.5
ROS	21	MLB	STL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						246	0	0	297	86	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	21	A+	STL	—	312	288	62	11	0	18	16	68	3	5	3	215	264	441	705	226	213	22	5	298	86	-5	-0	-0	+3	+9	0.7
TOT	21	A+	STL	—	518	478	105	19	0	27	28	115	5	8	5	220	270	429	698	209	228	22	5	300	88	-7	-0	-1	+6	+15	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	STL	49%	539	496	114	20	1	24	33	119	5	7	3	230	285	419	704	190	252	22	6	311	96	-2	+0	-2	+6	+15	1.7
2028	23	MLB	STL	68%	561	514	121	22	1	26	37	121	5	7	3	235	293	434	727	198	255	22	7	317	101	+1	+0	-2	+6	+16	2.1
2029	24	MLB	STL	74%	589	539	128	23	1	27	40	126	5	8	3	237	296	434	730	197	258	21	7	321	104	+3	+0	-3	+6	+17	2.4
2030	25	MLB	STL	77%	604	551	132	24	1	28	42	128	6	8	4	240	301	439	740	200	259	21	7	324	106	+4	+0	-3	+6	+17	2.6
2031	26	MLB	STL	78%	612	558	134	24	1	29	43	130	6	8	4	240	301	443	744	203	259	21	7	325	107	+5	+0	-3	+7	+17	2.7
2032	27	MLB	STL	77%	611	557	133	24	1	29	43	130	6	8	4	239	300	442	742	203	259	21	7	325	107	+5	+0	-3	+7	+17	2.7
2033	28	MLB	STL	77%	606	552	131	23	1	28	43	130	6	7	3	237	300	435	734	197	258	21	7	324	106	+4	+0	-3	+6	+17	2.5
2034	29	MLB	STL	75%	596	542	129	23	1	28	43	129	6	7	3	238	301	439	740	201	258	22	7	323	105	+3	+0	-4	+6	+17	2.3
2035	30	MLB	STL	73%	586	534	125	22	1	27	42	128	5	6	3	234	296	431	727	197	257	22	7	320	103	+2	+0	-5	+6	+17	2.1
2036	31	MLB	STL	73%	572	521	121	21	1	26	41	127	5	5	2	232	295	426	721	194	255	22	7	316	100	+0	+0	-5	+6	+16	1.8
2037	32	MLB	STL	72%	553	503	115	20	1	24	40	125	5	4	2	229	292	416	707	187	252	23	7	311	96	-2	+0	-6	+6	+16	1.3
2038	33	MLB	STL	79%	523	477	106	18	1	22	37	121	4	3	1	222	284	403	686	180	248	23	7	304	91	-5	+0	-7	+6	+15	0.9
2039	34	MLB	STL	74%	476	435	93	15	0	20	34	113	4	2	1	214	277	386	663	172	242	24	7	295	84	-9	+0	-7	+5	+13	0.3
2040	35	MLB	STL	70%	420	385	79	12	0	16	29	103	3	1	1	205	266	361	627	156	236	25	7	284	76	-11	-0	-7	+4	+12	-0.3
2041	36	MLB	STL	61%	360	329	65	10	0	13	25	91	3	1	0	198	261	347	607	149	230	25	7	273	67	-13	+0	-8	+4	+10	-0.7
2027	22	MLB	STL	49%	262	242	55	10	0	12	16	58	2	3	2	227	281	417	698	190	252	22	6	304	91	-3	-0	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2028	23	MLB	STL	68%	383	351	83	15	1	18	25	83	4	5	2	236	295	439	733	202	255	22	7	310	95	-2	+0	-2	+4	+11	1.2
2029	24	MLB	STL	74%	437	401	95	17	1	20	29	93	4	6	3	237	295	434	729	197	258	21	7	314	99	-1	+0	-2	+5	+12	1.5
2030	25	MLB	STL	77%	464	425	102	18	1	22	32	98	4	6	3	240	299	442	742	202	259	21	7	317	101	+0	+0	-2	+5	+13	1.7
2031	26	MLB	STL	78%	478	437	105	19	1	23	33	101	5	6	3	240	301	446	747	206	259	21	7	318	101	+1	+0	-2	+5	+14	1.8
2032	27	MLB	STL	77%	471	431	102	18	1	22	33	100	4	6	3	237	297	436	733	200	259	21	7	318	102	+1	+0	-2	+5	+13	1.7
2033	28	MLB	STL	77%	464	424	101	18	1	22	33	99	4	6	3	238	299	441	740	203	258	21	7	317	101	+0	+0	-3	+5	+13	1.6
2034	29	MLB	STL	75%	445	406	96	17	1	21	32	96	4	5	2	236	299	438	737	202	258	22	7	316	100	-0	+0	-3	+5	+13	1.5
2035	30	MLB	STL	73%	430	392	92	16	1	20	31	94	4	4	2	235	297	434	731	199	257	22	7	313	98	-1	+0	-3	+5	+12	1.3
2036	31	MLB	STL	73%	416	379	89	16	1	19	30	92	4	4	2	235	298	433	731	198	255	22	7	309	95	-2	+0	-4	+4	+12	1.0
2037	32	MLB	STL	72%	400	364	83	14	0	18	29	90	4	3	1	228	292	415	707	187	252	22	7	304	91	-4	+0	-4	+4	+11	0.8
2038	33	MLB	STL	79%	411	376	82	14	0	17	29	95	3	2	1	218	279	391	670	173	248	23	7	297	86	-7	+0	-5	+4	+12	0.4
2039	34	MLB	STL	74%	353	322	68	11	0	14	25	84	3	1	1	211	274	376	650	165	242	24	7	288	79	-8	-0	-5	+4	+10	-0.0
2040	35	MLB	STL	70%	292	268	55	9	0	11	20	71	2	1	0	205	266	362	627	157	236	24	7	278	71	-9	+0	-5	+3	+8	-0.3
2041	36	MLB	STL	61%	218	199	40	6	0	8	15	55	2	0	0	201	264	352	616	151	230	25	7	268	63	-9	+0	-5	+2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5925	5418	1248	218	9	267	412	1309	53	58	28	230	291	422	713	191	254	22	7	307	93	-44	+0	-49	+63	+168	14.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	137	24	1	29	45	144	6	6	3	231	291	421	712	190	255	22	7	307	93	-5	+0	-5	+7	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	9550	8716	1972	347	14	411	664	2171	89	116	53	226	288	411	698	184	252	23	7	307	93	-71	+2	-69	+102	+271	24.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	135	24	1	28	45	148	6	8	4	228	289	413	702	185	254	23	7	307	93	-5	+0	-5	+7	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	217	186	45	9	0	7	26	46	3	8	6	242	344	403	747	161	281	21	12	335	115	+4	-1	—	—	+6	0.9
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	160	138	29	9	1	2	19	28	1	5	2	210	310	333	643	123	245	18	12	292	82	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2024	19	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	32	30	8	3	0	1	2	5	0	1	1	267	312	467	779	200	292	16	6	342	120	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	284	252	66	14	1	10	25	46	5	8	0	262	340	444	785	183	283	16	9	347	124	+8	+2	—	—	+8	1.8
2025	20	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	416	365	89	14	0	14	43	77	4	9	4	244	330	397	727	153	270	19	10	325	107	+3	+0	—	—	+12	1.6
2025	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	26	23	5	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	1	217	308	217	525		250	12	12	255	53	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,926	267	59	232	290	424	+57	-22	21.2	17.9
	/162	664	30	7	232	290	424	+6.4	-2.5	2.4	pk7: 15
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesús Báez (OGILVIE)	21	30→46	40→50	40	40	220/270/429	209	228	27	8	22%	5%	88	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	94	+1.3	207/305/377	170	279	21	9	31%	11%	94	+1.3	261/339/417	156	319	16	5	22%	10%	113	+1.9
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	49→56	49→55	41→30	44	247/294/394	147	294	17	5	22%	6%	92	+1.2	262/302/432	170	303	22	2	21%	5%	105	+2.1	263/306/436	173	301	23	0	21%	5%	104	+1.7
✕Óscar Hernández 2014 · A	21	44	50	42→40	46	227/300/377	150	271	18	4	23%	7%	91	+1.1	204/249/316	112	271	10	4	28%	5%	53	-1.5	166/216/270	104	214	12	1	28%	5%	24	-1.2
●Iván Herrera 2022 · AA	22	40→50	49→50	40→50	46	210/286/345	135	271	18	4	29%	8%	77	+0.1	236/321/369	133	306	14	10	26%	10%	98	+1.6	276/369/436	160	338	18	13	22%	11%	130	+2.7
●Josmil Pinto 2010 · A	21	45→55	49→55	47→40	44	228/278/377	149	272	16	3	23%	6%	81	+0.4	214/260/348	134	265	14	2	24%	5%	66	-0.6	251/317/419	167	299	19	0	22%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Rodolfo Durán 2019 · A	21	41	53→55	45→40	36	221/257/389	167	284	22	4	31%	4%	76	+0.0	199/234/327	128	269	16	4	32%	4%	49	-1.8	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
●Andy Pages 2023 · AA	22	39→49	57→60	45→50	44	212/294/409	197	278	26	6	33%	8%	97	+1.5	245/312/431	186	310	22	9	27%	7%	110	+2.4	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Lonnie Chisenhall 2010 · AA	21	42→52	52→55	47→45	41	221/267/386	165	265	20	4	25%	5%	79	+0.3	237/285/387	150	280	17	4	22%	5%	86	+0.8	264/318/425	161	306	17	4	19%	6%	107	+1.6
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2022 · AAA	22	43→48	48→60	46→45	43	221/271/354	133	264	16	7	24%	6%	72	-0.2	237/307/416	179	278	24	6	24%	8%	104	+2.0	240/313/432	192	282	27	4	25%	8%	109	+1.6
●Ryan Lavarnway 2010 · A	22	44→45	53→55	43→30	41	226/285/402	176	308	20	3	32%	7%	91	+1.1	228/295/390	162	293	20	2	28%	8%	92	+1.2	224/293/375	150	280	19	1	26%	8%	86	+0.7
●Gary Sánchez 2014 · AA	21	43→50	48→65	47→45	40	222/272/361	139	282	16	6	27%	5%	74	-0.1	241/291/400	159	294	20	6	25%	6%	92	+1.2	240/315/464	224	265	32	4	23%	9%	117	+2.4
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	46→49	52→60	48→50	46	235/306/406	171	300	20	12	28%	8%	101	+1.8	230/301/408	178	293	21	10	28%	7%	99	+1.7	237/310/439	202	292	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
✕Max Stassi 2014 · AA	23	43	52→55	44→40	39	226/276/388	162	283	20	4	28%	5%	83	+0.6	205/250/323	118	284	13	3	32%	5%	55	-1.4	218/304/386	168	282	22	0	30%	10%	93	+0.6
✕Heriberto Hernández 2021 · A	21	46→49	51→60	46→50	45	228/304/400	172	318	18	6	32%	9%	98	+1.6	207/286/350	143	335	16	6	40%	9%	78	+0.2	221/302/428	208	278	28	9	31%	9%	103	+1.2
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2019 · A	21	46→44	48→55	44→45	43	234/277/371	136	270	16	6	20%	5%	79	+0.3	228/265/372	144	269	17	6	22%	4%	74	-0.1	216/261/385	169	243	24	1	23%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Travis Denker 2007 · A	21	44→51	48→50	37→45	54	224/307/363	140	262	17	3	22%	10%	90	+1.0	226/294/350	124	277	12	5	22%	8%	81	+0.4	227/302/380	153	255	18	0	19%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Anthony García 2013 · A	21	45→47	53→55	42→45	39	233/287/419	186	295	20	4	28%	5%	97	+1.5	205/269/363	158	265	18	5	29%	6%	74	-0.1	221/293/362	141	269	17	4	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	54→55	45→40	38	228/271/405	177	288	23	7	30%	5%	85	+0.7	236/291/384	148	336	17	5	33%	6%	89	+0.9	253/338/392	139	338	17	1	28%	9%	109	+1.1
✕Brandon Laird 2009 · A	21	44→48	52→55	48→30	41	229/271/395	165	266	20	2	23%	5%	83	+0.6	237/277/391	154	280	19	2	22%	5%	84	+0.6	239/276/391	152	278	19	1	22%	4%	81	+0.4
●Juan Apodaca 2006 · A	20	42→52	48→45	46→40	40	218/258/353	135	265	17	4	25%	5%	66	-0.6	222/276/323	101	282	11	5	24%	6%	66	-0.6	284/349/396	112	346	10	3	20%	8%	112	+1.4