Pablo Aliendo — OGILVIE

Pablo AliendoC Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION171 act + 25 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .240 / .348

PA25

HR0

K%40

BB%4

BABIP270

ISO174

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	63	55	10	3	1	0	5	19	2	5	0	182	274	273	547	91	270	30	8	252	56	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	18	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	161	128	26	4	1	1	22	39	6	11	5	203	346	273	620	70	281	24	14	290	82	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2021	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	57	51	6	0	0	0	3	14	0	0	1	118	167	118	284		158	25	5	132	-25	-8	-0	—	—	+1	-0.8
2021	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	253	213	53	10	0	5	22	72	15	2	1	249	360	366	726	117	348	28	9	332	111	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2022	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	353	318	85	16	1	7	26	77	7	3	1	267	336	390	726	123	333	22	7	326	107	+3	+0	—	—	+8	1.1
2023	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	375	321	74	23	1	16	41	114	9	5	0	231	334	458	792	227	301	30	11	348	122	+10	+1	—	—	+8	1.9
2024	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	231	197	49	10	1	10	24	75	7	2	0	249	351	462	813	213	339	32	10	357	128	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2025	24	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	390	353	72	14	0	13	24	136	9	0	3	204	272	354	626	150	284	35	6	280	75	-11	-1	—	—	+8	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	63	57	7	2	1	0	3	27	2	5	0	123	194	193	387	70	210	43	5	165	-2	-8	+1	—	—	+1	-0.5
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	161	136	20	3	1	1	14	56	6	11	5	147	256	206	462	59	213	35	9	199	21	-15	+0	—	—	+3	-1.2
2021	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	57	52	5	0	0	0	2	19	0	0	1	96	130	96	226		145	33	4	112	-38	-9	-0	—	—	+1	-0.9
2021	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	253	219	42	8	0	4	16	102	15	2	1	192	292	283	575	91	311	40	6	250	55	-13	+0	—	—	+5	-0.8
2022	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	353	325	70	12	1	6	19	104	7	3	1	215	274	314	587	98	293	29	5	255	59	-17	+0	—	—	+8	-1.0
2023	22	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	375	335	63	19	1	11	27	138	9	5	0	188	267	349	616	161	268	37	7	267	67	-15	+1	—	—	+8	-0.6
2024	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	231	204	40	7	1	9	17	94	7	2	0	196	281	373	653	176	287	41	7	280	76	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2025	24	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	390	360	60	12	0	10	17	167	9	0	3	167	223	283	506	117	258	43	4	222	36	-30	-1	—	—	+8	-2.3
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	63	57	7	2	1	0	3	27	2	5	0	123	194	193	387	70	226	43	5	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 2	—	63	55	10	3	1	0	5	19	2	5	0	182	274	273	547	91	270	30	8	252	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	161	136	20	3	1	1	14	56	6	11	5	147	256	206	462	59	237	35	9	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 2	—	161	128	26	4	1	1	22	39	6	11	5	203	346	273	620	70	281	24	14	290	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	310	271	48	8	0	4	18	121	15	2	2	177	266	251	517	74	295	39	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	310	264	59	10	0	5	25	86	15	2	2	223	326	318	644	95	307	28	8	295	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	353	325	70	12	1	6	19	104	7	3	1	215	274	314	587	98	298	29	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	353	318	85	16	1	7	26	77	7	3	1	267	336	390	726	123	333	22	7	326	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	375	335	63	19	1	11	27	138	9	5	0	188	267	349	616	161	277	37	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	375	321	74	23	1	16	41	114	9	5	0	231	334	458	792	227	301	30	11	348	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	231	204	40	7	1	9	17	94	7	2	0	196	281	373	653	176	298	41	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	231	197	49	10	1	10	24	75	7	2	0	249	351	462	813	213	339	32	10	357	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	390	360	60	12	0	10	17	167	9	0	3	167	223	283	506	117	267	43	4	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	—	390	353	72	14	0	13	24	136	9	0	3	204	272	354	626	150	284	35	6	280	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	63	58	7	2	1	0	3	27	2	5	0	121	194	190	383	69	210	43	5	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	161	140	20	3	1	1	14	56	6	11	5	143	256	200	456	57	213	35	9	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	310	274	48	8	0	4	18	121	15	2	2	175	266	248	515	73	280	39	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	353	324	70	12	1	6	19	104	7	3	1	216	274	315	588	99	293	29	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	375	336	63	19	1	11	27	138	9	5	0	188	267	348	615	161	268	37	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	231	205	40	7	1	9	17	94	7	2	0	195	281	371	651	176	287	41	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	390	361	60	12	0	10	17	167	9	0	3	166	223	283	505	116	258	43	4	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	375	336	63	19	1	11	27	138	9	5	0	188	267	348	615	161	268	37	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	231	205	40	7	1	9	17	94	7	2	0	195	281	371	651	176	287	41	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	390	361	60	12	0	10	17	167	9	0	3	166	223	283	505	116	258	43	4	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	CIN	—	171	150	24	8	0	4	9	69	11	1	0	160	259	293	552	133	256	40	5	241	49	-10	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	ROK RAW	CIN	—	25	17	7	1	0	1	5	5	3	1	0	412	600	647	1.247	235	545	20	20	543	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA RAW	CIN	—	146	128	23	10	0	4	9	51	8	0	0	180	276	352	627	172	257	35	6	284	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	CIN	2%	25	23	4	1	0	1	1	10	1	0	0	174	240	348	588	174	267	40	4	255	59	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	CIN	—	196	173	28	9	0	5	10	79	12	1	0	162	256	301	557	139	256	40	5	242	50	-12	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CIN	31%	354	320	59	14	1	10	21	132	10	0	0	184	256	328	585	144	268	37	6	260	62	-16	+0	+0	+6	+8	-0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	CIN	42%	381	343	65	15	1	11	24	138	11	0	0	190	265	335	600	146	270	36	6	265	65	-16	+0	+0	+7	+8	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	396	357	68	16	1	11	25	141	11	0	0	190	265	333	598	143	270	36	6	267	67	-16	+0	-1	+7	+9	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	CIN	49%	397	358	68	16	1	11	26	141	10	0	0	190	264	332	596	142	270	36	7	266	66	-16	+0	-1	+7	+9	-0.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	CIN	50%	396	357	67	15	1	11	26	142	10	0	0	188	262	328	590	140	269	36	7	264	65	-17	+0	-2	+7	+9	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	CIN	31%	110	100	18	4	0	3	6	41	3	0	0	180	248	310	558	130	271	37	5	245	62	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	CIN	42%	160	145	27	6	0	5	10	58	4	0	0	186	258	331	589	145	273	36	6	251	65	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	190	171	33	8	0	6	12	68	5	0	0	193	266	345	611	152	274	36	6	253	67	-8	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	CIN	49%	196	176	34	8	0	6	13	70	5	0	0	193	268	341	609	148	274	36	7	253	66	-8	+0	-1	+4	+4	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	CIN	50%	199	179	34	8	0	6	13	71	5	0	0	190	264	335	599	145	272	36	7	250	65	-8	+0	-1	+4	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	855	771	146	34	0	26	54	308	22	0	0	189	262	335	597	145	271	36	6	251	57	-35	+0	-2	+15	+19	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	111	26	0	20	41	234	17	0	0	189	262	336	599	147	271	36	6	251	57	-27	+0	-2	+12	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3832	3446	639	140	10	96	238	1411	108	28	11	185	260	315	575	130	277	37	6	253	57	-81	+0	-4	+35	+42	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	109	24	2	16	40	239	18	5	2	186	260	316	576	130	278	37	6	253	57	-27	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	861	24	0	187	259	327	+15	+8	0.3	0.3
/162	664	18	0	+11.9	+6.2	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pablo Aliendo (OGILVIE)	25	25	45	40	30	175/248/310	136	267	9	1	39%	5%	59	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeffrey Eure 2006 · A	25	36→31	47→50	41→45	34	187/242/321	134	283	14	4	38%	5%	57	-1.8	203/253/320	117	292	12	6	33%	5%	61	-1.5	200/246/312	112	279	12	5	32%	4%	53	-1.0
✕Colton Shaver 2021 · AA	25	37→32	50	43→30	42	197/270/347	150	277	18	3	34%	8%	74	-0.5	187/272/322	135	339	16	5	46%	8%	70	-0.9	134/247/270	135	231	20	0	48%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Johan Mieses 2019 · AA	24	32→33	50→55	44→50	34	183/230/332	148	250	19	3	35%	4%	55	-1.9	198/257/347	149	251	20	6	30%	6%	69	-0.9	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Hendrik Clementina 2022 · AA	25	38	50	47→30	34	202/244/342	141	288	19	5	37%	5%	63	-1.4	205/252/323	118	317	14	4	38%	5%	61	-1.5	191/238/297	106	298	14	1	39%	5%	47	-1.0
✕Jake Anchia 2022 · AA	25	33	49→45	47→40	34	182/233/321	138	262	18	3	37%	5%	54	-2.0	187/233/293	106	264	11	4	33%	5%	47	-2.6	173/217/269	96	242	10	3	32%	4%	33	-1.7
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	36→38	46→45	43→45	37	187/254/312	125	281	14	3	37%	6%	60	-1.6	199/273/309	110	266	11	6	28%	7%	67	-1.1	192/273/294	102	248	10	6	25%	7%	61	-1.0
✕Seby Zavala 2019 · AAA	25	41→40	47→50	39→40	38	211/259/341	131	290	16	2	33%	6%	68	-1.0	186/241/322	136	287	17	4	40%	6%	57	-1.8	191/270/315	124	298	14	1	38%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Matthew Allegra 2006 · AA	25	37→39	47→50	44→40	35	190/246/319	129	295	15	4	40%	6%	58	-1.7	203/257/345	142	288	15	5	34%	6%	68	-1.0	197/252/347	150	269	16	4	32%	6%	65	-0.9
✕Cole Leonida 2014 · A	25	36	46→45	42→40	36	184/249/306	123	292	15	4	41%	7%	57	-1.8	207/280/332	125	296	12	7	32%	8%	74	-0.6	191/280/320	128	259	10	4	28%	10%	67	-0.4
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	34→28	49→50	43→40	42	187/252/323	136	248	18	5	32%	7%	62	-1.4	195/274/335	140	245	18	5	28%	8%	73	-0.6	196/273/324	129	231	14	4	22%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Carter Aldrete 2023 · AA	25	40→39	49→50	42→45	39	210/259/354	144	288	18	7	33%	6%	71	-0.8	204/249/333	129	280	15	5	32%	6%	62	-1.4	185/226/301	116	250	14	1	32%	5%	44	-1.4
✕Matt Winn 2018 · AAA	25	36→34	45	45→30	37	183/242/300	117	291	13	3	40%	7%	52	-2.2	180/240/295	115	335	11	3	46%	7%	50	-2.3	152/214/269	117	296	11	0	50%	7%	32	-1.4
✕Taylor Gushue 2019 · AA	25	35	45	42→30	40	185/241/301	117	246	14	2	31%	6%	52	-2.2	212/260/339	127	292	14	3	31%	6%	68	-1.0	199/260/327	128	276	15	0	32%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Lou Santangelo 2008 · AA	25	40	48→55	44→40	37	206/255/349	143	300	16	4	36%	6%	68	-1.0	202/248/303	101	283	11	3	31%	6%	54	-2.0	193/241/284	90	266	10	0	30%	6%	44	-1.5
✕Matt Spring 2010 · AA	25	36	46→45	44→45	38	188/240/318	129	261	14	3	33%	6%	55	-1.9	188/241/323	135	282	16	4	38%	6%	57	-1.8	162/219/303	141	241	18	0	40%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Omar Meregildo 2022 · AA	24	37→33	48→45	42→30	37	187/258/322	135	309	17	4	43%	7%	64	-1.3	195/260/331	136	302	17	4	39%	7%	66	-1.1	178/246/315	137	262	19	2	38%	7%	55	-1.5
✕Ben Rortvedt 2023 · MLB	25	38	46→45	46→40	39	196/258/318	122	283	14	4	35%	7%	63	-1.4	207/287/317	110	285	12	5	29%	9%	74	-0.6	195/283/285	90	265	9	2	28%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Josh Breaux 2023 · AAA	25	35→29	52→55	49→40	37	197/240/357	160	260	21	4	34%	5%	65	-1.2	197/244/335	138	267	18	4	33%	5%	61	-1.5	180/229/303	123	242	17	1	32%	5%	46	-0.8
✕Alex Jackson 2019 · AAA	23	36→37	47→55	44→30	34	189/245/322	133	285	14	2	38%	5%	59	-1.7	186/256/354	168	280	22	4	41%	5%	72	-0.7	191/262/354	163	266	20	2	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	39	43→45	41→50	39	194/254/302	108	288	10	6	35%	6%	57	-1.8	221/278/332	111	314	9	14	31%	6%	72	-0.7	228/287/337	109	320	8	17	29%	6%	75	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps