Pablo AliendoC
Knoxville Smokies
Age 25
R/R
6'0" / 170 lbs
AA
BB +5%HR -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.4 · 2028
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .245 / .333
PA320
HR11
K%42
BB%6
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
25→25
PWR
45→45
SPD
40→40
EYE
41↘30
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $3M | $-3M | -$6M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 63 | 57 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .123 | .194 | .193 | .387 | .070 | .226 | 43 | 5 | .165 | -15 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 161 | 136 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 56 | 6 | 11 | 5 | .147 | .256 | .206 | .462 | .059 | .237 | 35 | 9 | .199 | 11 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2021 | 20 | A | 2 teams | 310 | 272 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 118 | 15 | 2 | 2 | .176 | .263 | .250 | .513 | .074 | .288 | 38 | 5 | .227 | 32 | -24 | -0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 353 | 325 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 97 | 7 | 3 | 1 | .222 | .279 | .320 | .599 | .098 | .297 | 27 | 5 | .260 | 57 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 375 | 336 | 63 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 147 | 9 | 5 | 0 | .188 | .264 | .366 | .630 | .179 | .281 | 39 | 7 | .271 | 66 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 231 | 204 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 100 | 7 | 2 | 0 | .191 | .276 | .382 | .659 | .191 | .299 | 43 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 390 | 361 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 178 | 9 | 0 | 3 | .163 | .218 | .296 | .514 | .133 | .269 | 46 | 4 | .223 | 29 | -31 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 320 | 292 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 135 | 6 | 2 | 1 | .182 | .246 | .339 | .585 | .158 | .285 | 42 | 6 | .261 | 58 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | CHC | 354 | 321 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 143 | 7 | 3 | 1 | .190 | .259 | .349 | .608 | .159 | .287 | 40 | 6 | .269 | 64 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | CHC | 381 | 346 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 149 | 7 | 3 | 1 | .194 | .262 | .353 | .615 | .159 | .287 | 39 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | CHC | 396 | 359 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 27 | 152 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .195 | .265 | .351 | .616 | .156 | .287 | 38 | 7 | .274 | 68 | -14 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | CHC | 397 | 359 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 152 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .195 | .266 | .351 | .617 | .156 | .287 | 38 | 7 | .274 | 68 | -15 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | CHC | 396 | 358 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 153 | 7 | 1 | 0 | .193 | .265 | .346 | .611 | .154 | .285 | 39 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -16 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | CHC | 373 | 338 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 146 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .189 | .259 | .340 | .600 | .151 | .283 | 39 | 7 | .267 | 62 | -16 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 76% | CHC | 347 | 314 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 137 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .185 | .256 | .325 | .581 | .140 | .281 | 39 | 7 | .262 | 59 | -16 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB 83% | CHC | 310 | 281 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 125 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .181 | .251 | .320 | .571 | .139 | .279 | 40 | 7 | .256 | 54 | -16 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 262 | 238 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 108 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .176 | .246 | .303 | .549 | .126 | .277 | 41 | 7 | .250 | 49 | -15 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +7 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5419 | 4897 | 913 | 189 | 14 | 159 | 351 | 2123 | 117 | 41 | 16 | .186 | .257 | .328 | .586 | .142 | .285 | 39 | 6 | .259 | 56 | -269 | +2 | -20 | +97 | +154 | -3.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 587 | 110 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 255 | 14 | 5 | 2 | .187 | .258 | .330 | .589 | .143 | .287 | 39 | 6 | .259 | 56 | -32 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +18 | -0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 63 | 55 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .182 | .274 | .273 | .547 | .091 | .270 | 30 | 8 | .252 | 51 | -4 | +1 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 161 | 128 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 39 | 6 | 11 | 5 | .203 | .346 | .273 | .620 | .070 | .281 | 24 | 14 | .290 | 80 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 57 | 51 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .118 | .167 | .118 | .284 | .000 | .158 | 25 | 5 | .132 | -41 | -9 | -0 | — | — | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 253 | 213 | 53 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 1 | .249 | .360 | .366 | .726 | .117 | .348 | 28 | 9 | .332 | 112 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 353 | 318 | 85 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 77 | 7 | 3 | 1 | .267 | .336 | .390 | .726 | .123 | .333 | 22 | 7 | .326 | 108 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +10 | 1.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 375 | 321 | 74 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 41 | 114 | 9 | 5 | 0 | .231 | .334 | .458 | .792 | .227 | .301 | 30 | 11 | .348 | 124 | +10 | +1 | — | — | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 231 | 197 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 75 | 7 | 2 | 0 | .249 | .351 | .462 | .813 | .213 | .339 | 32 | 10 | .357 | 131 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 390 | 353 | 72 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 136 | 9 | 0 | 3 | .204 | .272 | .354 | .626 | .150 | .284 | 35 | 6 | .280 | 72 | -12 | -1 | — | — | +11 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Pablo Aliendo (OGILVIE) | 25 | 25 | 45 | 40 | 30 | .180/.245/.333 | .153 | .285 | 11 | 2 | 42% | 6% | 58 | -0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Johan Mieses 2019 · AA |
24 | 32 | 52→55 | 42→50 | 34 | .182/.230/.339 | .157 | .254 | 21 | 3 | 37% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .196/.255/.350 | .154 | .253 | 21 | 6 | 31% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .194/.269/.375 | .181 | .237 | 26 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Hendrik Clementina 2022 · AA |
25 | 38 | 51→50 | 47→30 | 33 | .203/.245/.350 | .147 | .291 | 21 | 4 | 38% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .203/.249/.336 | .133 | .321 | 17 | 4 | 40% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .188/.235/.305 | .117 | .300 | 16 | 1 | 41% | 5% | 41 | -0.9 |
|
✕Colton Shaver 2021 · AA |
25 | 37→32 | 50 | 43→30 | 42 | .195/.269/.348 | .153 | .270 | 18 | 3 | 34% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .182/.271/.322 | .140 | .342 | 17 | 4 | 48% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .123/.241/.259 | .136 | .226 | 21 | 0 | 51% | 10% | 36 | -1.2 |
|
✕Omar Meregildo 2022 · AA |
24 | 37→32 | 48→50 | 42→30 | 37 | .188/.258/.325 | .137 | .309 | 17 | 4 | 43% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .194/.258/.338 | .144 | .299 | 19 | 4 | 39% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .178/.242/.323 | .145 | .256 | 20 | 2 | 38% | 7% | 50 | -1.4 |
|
✕Lou Santangelo 2008 · AA |
25 | 39→38 | 50→55 | 44→40 | 37 | .204/.252/.355 | .151 | .301 | 18 | 4 | 38% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .199/.245/.305 | .106 | .283 | 12 | 3 | 32% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .188/.237/.282 | .094 | .262 | 11 | 0 | 31% | 6% | 34 | -1.6 |
|
✕Carter Aldrete 2023 · AA |
25 | 41→39 | 49→50 | 43→45 | 38 | .211/.260/.356 | .145 | .293 | 18 | 7 | 34% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .205/.251/.342 | .137 | .286 | 16 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .185/.227/.309 | .124 | .254 | 15 | 1 | 33% | 5% | 39 | -1.3 |
|
✕Kyle Skipworth 2015 · AAA |
25 | 32→34 | 49→50 | 42→30 | 32 | .177/.229/.321 | .144 | .267 | 18 | 4 | 41% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .175/.233/.311 | .136 | .311 | 17 | 4 | 47% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .135/.197/.270 | .135 | .245 | 18 | 0 | 51% | 6% | 19 | -1.3 |
|
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA |
26 | 35→28 | 49→50 | 43→40 | 41 | .191/.255/.331 | .140 | .253 | 18 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .195/.273/.341 | .146 | .245 | 19 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .191/.275/.335 | .144 | .229 | 19 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jake Anchia 2022 · AA |
25 | 32 | 49→45 | 47→40 | 33 | .180/.230/.320 | .139 | .263 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .185/.232/.296 | .111 | .266 | 13 | 4 | 34% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .167/.213/.269 | .102 | .238 | 12 | 3 | 34% | 4% | 22 | -1.8 |
|
✕Seby Zavala 2019 · AAA |
25 | 40→39 | 48→50 | 40 | 37 | .209/.256/.343 | .134 | .287 | 17 | 2 | 33% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .192/.246/.342 | .150 | .288 | 20 | 3 | 39% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .193/.272/.319 | .126 | .301 | 14 | 1 | 38% | 8% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Will Wilson 2023 · AAA |
25 | 39 | 50 | 45 | 39 | .199/.264/.346 | .147 | .300 | 19 | 7 | 39% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .201/.259/.319 | .118 | .271 | 14 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .194/.253/.297 | .103 | .254 | 12 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 46 | -1.5 |
|
✕Jeffrey Eure 2007 · AA |
26 | 39→31 | 48→50 | 41→45 | 34 | .201/.249/.340 | .139 | .286 | 16 | 5 | 35% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.256/.317 | .115 | .302 | 11 | 7 | 35% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .159/.222/.237 | .078 | .262 | 5 | 5 | 39% | 5% | 17 | -1.2 |
|
✕Matt Spring 2010 · AA |
25 | 35 | 48→50 | 44→45 | 37 | .188/.238/.329 | .141 | .263 | 17 | 3 | 35% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .189/.242/.331 | .142 | .285 | 17 | 4 | 38% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .167/.219/.320 | .153 | .245 | 20 | 0 | 40% | 5% | 40 | -0.8 |
|
✕Matthew Allegra 2006 · AA |
25 | 37 | 47→50 | 45→40 | 35 | .190/.247/.322 | .131 | .301 | 16 | 4 | 41% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .200/.255/.347 | .147 | .291 | 17 | 5 | 36% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .194/.251/.351 | .156 | .269 | 18 | 4 | 34% | 6% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕Brandon Waring 2011 · AA |
25 | 40→41 | 51→55 | 43→40 | 37 | .205/.268/.365 | .160 | .306 | 19 | 3 | 38% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .198/.261/.368 | .170 | .287 | 21 | 2 | 37% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .183/.250/.359 | .176 | .256 | 24 | 1 | 38% | 6% | 62 | -0.7 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2019 · AA |
25 | 39→38 | 50 | 44→30 | 42 | .204/.280/.354 | .150 | .279 | 18 | 3 | 32% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .190/.259/.291 | .101 | .289 | 10 | 4 | 36% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .149/.219/.197 | .048 | .245 | 6 | 0 | 39% | 7% | 8 | -1.5 |
|
✕K.J. Harrison 2022 · AA |
25 | 40 | 48→45 | 45→30 | 39 | .206/.264/.347 | .142 | .299 | 16 | 3 | 36% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .203/.260/.332 | .129 | .305 | 14 | 6 | 36% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .165/.227/.272 | .107 | .244 | 12 | 3 | 36% | 5% | 33 | -0.8 |
|
✕Chris Williams 2023 · AAA |
26 | 36→31 | 54→55 | 44→40 | 42 | .196/.270/.371 | .175 | .288 | 23 | 4 | 39% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .194/.273/.371 | .177 | .287 | 24 | 6 | 39% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .174/.262/.354 | .179 | .248 | 26 | 6 | 40% | 9% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A |
24 | 37→39 | 46→45 | 43→45 | 37 | .192/.258/.321 | .130 | .283 | 14 | 3 | 36% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.276/.318 | .116 | .274 | 12 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .195/.276/.303 | .107 | .255 | 12 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jeremy Eierman 2023 · AA |
26 | 34→26 | 54→55 | 45 | 31 | .188/.239/.359 | .171 | .296 | 24 | 10 | 44% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .184/.240/.329 | .145 | .287 | 20 | 9 | 41% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .152/.215/.274 | .121 | .229 | 19 | 7 | 42% | 5% | 26 | -1.2 |