Pablo Aliendo

C Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423AATennessee Smo…231.249/.351/.46210281—.202/.289/.384
202524AACHC390.204/.272/.35413038—.169/.225/.297
202625AA/ROKCIN176.200/.314/.3735145—.158/.251/.296
2027PROJMLE26MLBCIN2.182/.248/.3220057-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB27MLBCIN36.185/.251/.3241059-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO60
Chase%20
wOBA15
wRC+12
Z-Con%12
BB%10
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsArden Pabst (age 27) · Jordan Betts (age 26) · McCarthy Tatum (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .248 / .322
PA2
HR0
K%50
BB%5
BABIP269
ISO149
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201817 ROKDSL Cubs 2 — 6355 10310 5192 50 182274273547 91270 308 252 -2 — — — — — —
201918 ROKDSL Cubs 2 — 161128 26411 22396 115 203346273620 70281 2414 290 16 — — — — — —
202120 A+South Bend Cubs — 5751 6000 3140 01 118167118284 158 255 132 -35 — — — — — —
202120 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 253213 531005 227215 21 249360366726 117348 289 332 59 — — — — — —
202221 A+South Bend Cubs — 353318 851617 26777 31 267336390726 123333 227 326 66 — — — — — —
202322 AATennessee Smokies — 375321 7423116 411149 50 231334458792 227301 3011 348 76 — — — — — —
202423 AATennessee Smokies — 231197 4910110 24757 20 249351462813 213339 3210 357 81 — — — — — —
202524 AAKnoxville Smokies — 390353 7214013 241369 03 204272354626 150284 356 280 38 — — — — — —
202625 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 151133 231004 9538 00 173267338605 165247 356 275 28 — — — — — —
202625 ROKACL Reds — 2517 7101 553 10 4126006471.247 235545 2020 543 147 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201817 ROK MLEDSL Cubs 2 — 6356 7210 4232 50 125210196406 71179 376 165 -2 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEDSL Cubs 2 — 161135 17210 15486 115 126244156399 30178 309 192 16 — — — — — —
202120 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 5752 6000 2190 01 115148115264 151 334 116 -35 — — — — — —
202120 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 253219 43804 1610215 21 196296288584 91320 406 256 59 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 353325 751316 19977 31 231288332620 102302 275 266 66 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 375335 6621112 271389 50 197275373648 176281 377 280 76 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 231203 41819 18947 20 202289384674 182294 418 288 81 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 390360 6113011 171679 03 169225297523 128260 434 225 38 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 151136 18803 6658 00 132213257471 125215 434 209 28 — — — — — —
202625 ROK MLEACL Reds — 2519 6101 373 10 3164805261.006 211404 2812 385 147 — — — — — —
201817 ROK MLEDSL Cubs 2 — 6356 7210 4232 50 125210196406 71206 376 165 -2 — — — — — —
201817 ROK RAWDSL Cubs 2 — 6355 10310 5192 50 182274273547 91270 308 252 -2 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEDSL Cubs 2 — 161135 17210 15486 115 126244156399 30193 309 192 16 — — — — — —
201918 ROK RAWDSL Cubs 2 — 161128 26411 22396 115 203346273620 70281 2414 290 16 — — — — — —
202120 A MLE2 teams — 310271 48804 1812115 22 177266251517 74295 396 230 42 — — — — — —
202120 A RAW2 teams — 310264 591005 258615 22 223326318644 95307 288 295 42 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 353325 751316 19977 31 231288332620 102311 275 266 66 — — — — — —
202221 A+ RAWSouth Bend Cubs — 353318 851617 26777 31 267336390726 123333 227 326 66 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 375335 6621112 271389 50 197275373648 176289 377 280 76 — — — — — —
202322 AA RAWTennessee Smokies — 375321 7423116 411149 50 231334458792 227301 3011 348 76 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 231203 41819 18947 20 202289384674 182311 418 288 81 — — — — — —
202423 AA RAWTennessee Smokies — 231197 4910110 24757 20 249351462813 213339 3210 357 81 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 390360 6113011 171679 03 169225297523 128269 434 225 38 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAWKnoxville Smokies — 390353 7214013 241369 03 204272354626 150284 356 280 38 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 176155 24904 97211 10 155251290542 135250 415 234 45 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAW2 teams — 176150 301105 145811 10 200314373688 173284 338 313 45 — — — — — —
201817 ROK MLEDSL Cubs 2 — 6357 7210 4232 50 123210193403 70179 376 165 -2 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEDSL Cubs 2 — 161139 17210 15486 115 122244151395 29178 309 192 16 — — — — — —
202120 A MLE2 teams — 310274 48804 1812115 22 175266248515 73289 396 230 42 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 353324 751316 19977 31 231288333621 102302 275 266 66 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 375336 6621112 271389 50 196275372647 176281 377 280 76 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 231204 41819 18947 20 201289382672 181294 418 288 81 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 390361 6113011 171679 03 169225296522 127260 434 225 38 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 176154 24904 97211 10 156251292544 136242 415 234 45 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 231204 41819 18947 20 201289382672 181294 418 288 81 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEKnoxville Smokies — 390361 6113011 171679 03 169225296522 127260 434 225 38 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 176154 24904 97211 10 156251292544 136242 415 234 45 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLECIN 2% 226206 37906 12866 00 180246314560 133268 385 253 57 -12 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXCIN 2% 22 0000 010 00 182248322570 140269 500 257 57 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLECIN 27% 133121 22504 7504 00 182249316565 133269 385 255 59 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
202827 MLB CTXCIN 27% 3633 6101 2131 00 185251324575 139270 366 259 59 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3633 6101 2131 00 182250303553 121263 366 259 53 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 10818018 3623518 00 181249302551 121262 366 259 53 -32 +0 +0 +12 +14 -0.7
Career— MLE — 22872048 37785553 13984673 2911 184261308569 124278 376 247 53 -11 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 10724115 4024021 83 184262306568 122277 376 247 53 -33 +0 +0 +12 +14 -0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 151 PAwOBA .269 → .209 (−60)K% 35.1% → 42.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.10%÷1.000×1.220——42.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.96%÷1.000×0.680—×0.9984.04%
HBP% /PA5.30%—×0.840—×0.9984.44%
Singles /BIP11.25%÷1.000×0.920×0.964×0.9989.96%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.910×0.964×0.99810.94%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880×0.964×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP5.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9983.99%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .269 → .209; ISO .165 → .127; BABIP .247 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Reds · 25 PAwOBA .531 → .385 (−146)K% 20.0% → 28.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.000×1.440——28.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷1.000×0.620—×0.94511.72%
HBP% /PA12.00%—×0.720—×0.9458.16%
Singles /BIP41.67%÷1.000×0.820—×0.94532.29%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9455.67%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9456.14%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .531 → .385; ISO .235 → .182; BABIP .545 → .404. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAKnoxville Smokies · 390 PAwOBA .275 → .225 (−50)K% 34.9% → 42.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.87%÷0.994×1.220——42.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.15%÷0.988×0.680—×1.0124.29%
HBP% /PA2.31%—×0.840—×1.0121.96%
Singles /BIP20.74%÷0.996×0.920×0.971×1.01218.82%
Doubles /BIP6.45%÷0.910×0.910×0.971×1.0126.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.880×0.971×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP5.99%÷0.911×0.800—×1.0125.32%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .275 → .225; ISO .150 → .126; BABIP .284 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AATennessee Smokies · 231 PAwOBA .352 → .288 (−64)K% 32.5% → 40.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.47%÷0.975×1.220——40.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.39%÷0.959×0.680—×1.0277.57%
HBP% /PA3.03%—×0.840—×1.0272.61%
Singles /BIP22.95%÷1.015×0.920×0.950×1.02720.31%
Doubles /BIP8.20%÷1.059×0.910×0.950×1.0276.87%
Triples /BIP0.82%÷0.985×0.880×0.950×1.0270.71%
Home runs /BIP8.20%÷0.854×0.800—×1.0277.89%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 97, K 95, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .352 → .288; ISO .213 → .184; BABIP .339 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AATennessee Smokies · 375 PAwOBA .340 → .280 (−61)K% 30.4% → 36.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.40%÷1.008×1.220——36.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.93%÷1.059×0.680—×1.0427.31%
HBP% /PA2.40%—×0.840—×1.0422.10%
Singles /BIP16.43%÷0.975×0.920×0.994×1.04216.04%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷1.023×0.910×0.994×1.04210.23%
Triples /BIP0.48%÷0.966×0.880×0.994×1.0420.46%
Home runs /BIP7.73%÷1.082×0.800—×1.0425.95%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 95, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 102, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .340 → .280; ISO .227 → .182; BABIP .301 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+South Bend Cubs · 353 PAwOBA .318 → .266 (−52)K% 21.8% → 27.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.81%÷1.003×1.270——27.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.37%÷0.986×0.710—×1.0275.45%
HBP% /PA1.98%—×0.790—×1.0271.61%
Singles /BIP25.31%÷1.010×0.920×1.001×1.02723.71%
Doubles /BIP6.64%÷1.020×0.810×1.001×1.0275.42%
Triples /BIP0.41%÷1.097×0.850×1.001×1.0270.33%
Home runs /BIP2.90%÷0.938×0.800—×1.0272.55%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 119, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .318 → .266; ISO .123 → .099; BABIP .333 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 253 PAwOBA .326 → .256 (−70)K% 28.5% → 40.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.46%÷0.961×1.360——40.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.70%÷0.963×0.690—×1.0306.42%
HBP% /PA5.93%—×0.780—×1.0304.76%
Singles /BIP26.95%÷1.002×0.920×0.985×1.03025.11%
Doubles /BIP7.09%÷0.923×0.830×0.985×1.0306.47%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.977×0.910×0.985×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP3.55%÷0.977×0.800—×1.0302.99%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 95, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .326 → .256; ISO .117 → .089; BABIP .348 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+South Bend Cubs · 57 PAwOBA .131 → .116 (−15)K% 24.6% → 32.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.56%÷1.012×1.350——32.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.26%÷0.968×0.710—×1.0424.02%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP16.22%÷0.990×0.910×0.999×1.04215.51%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.080×0.830×0.999×1.0420.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.820×0.999×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.928×0.830—×1.0420.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .131 → .116; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .158 → .151. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).