Pablo Aliendo — OGILVIE

Pablo AliendoC Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION99 act + 221 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .251 / .340

PA221

HR8

K%40

BB%6

BABIP269

ISO160

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	63	57	7	2	1	0	3	27	2	5	0	123	194	193	387	70	226	43	5	165	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	63	55	10	3	1	0	5	19	2	5	0	182	274	273	547	91	270	30	8	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	161	136	20	3	1	1	14	56	6	11	5	147	256	206	462	59	237	35	9	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	161	128	26	4	1	1	22	39	6	11	5	203	346	273	620	70	281	24	14	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	2 teams	—	310	270	46	8	0	4	19	125	15	2	2	170	263	244	508	74	292	40	6	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	2 teams	—	310	264	59	10	0	5	25	86	15	2	2	223	326	318	644	95	307	28	8	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	353	325	70	12	1	6	19	103	7	3	1	215	274	314	587	98	296	29	5	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	353	318	85	16	1	7	26	77	7	3	1	267	336	390	726	123	333	22	7	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	375	337	63	18	1	12	25	145	9	5	0	187	261	353	615	166	280	39	7	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	375	321	74	23	1	16	41	114	9	5	0	231	334	458	792	227	301	30	11	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	231	203	39	6	1	11	18	102	7	2	0	192	281	394	675	202	301	44	8	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	231	197	49	10	1	10	24	75	7	2	0	249	351	462	813	213	339	32	10	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	390	360	61	12	0	13	17	177	9	0	3	169	225	311	536	142	276	45	4	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	390	353	72	14	0	13	24	136	9	0	3	204	272	354	626	150	284	35	6	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	CIN	—	99	86	15	4	0	3	7	39	6	1	0	174	283	326	608	151	273	39	7	267	63	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
YTD	25	AA	CIN	—	99	83	19	5	0	4	10	30	6	1	0	229	354	434	787	205	306	30	10	355	130	+3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.8
ROS	25	AA	CIN	2%	221	200	36	8	0	8	13	89	6	2	1	180	251	340	591	160	272	40	6	265	61	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
ROS	25	MLB	CIN	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0						276	50	0	247	48	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	CIN	—	103	90	15	4	0	3	7	41	6	1	0	167	272	311	583	144	261	40	7	267	62	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
TOT	25	AA	CIN	—	320	286	51	12	0	11	20	128	12	3	1	178	261	336	597	157	270	40	6	266	62	-14	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	CIN	31%	354	320	61	13	1	12	22	137	9	2	1	191	262	350	612	159	274	39	6	271	65	-14	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.3
2028	27	MLB	CIN	42%	381	344	66	14	1	13	25	143	9	2	1	192	265	352	616	160	276	38	7	275	68	-14	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.4
2029	28	MLB	CIN	48%	396	358	70	14	1	14	26	146	9	2	1	196	267	358	625	162	277	37	7	276	70	-14	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.4
2027	26	MLB	CIN	31%	110	99	19	4	0	4	7	43	3	1	0	192	266	354	620	162	278	39	6	256	54	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	CIN	42%	160	145	28	6	0	6	10	60	4	1	0	193	264	359	623	166	279	38	6	261	58	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	28	MLB	CIN	48%	190	171	34	7	0	7	13	70	4	1	1	199	271	363	634	164	280	37	7	263	59	-9	-0	-0	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	464	419	81	17	0	17	30	175	11	3	1	193	265	356	621	162	278	38	6	260	57	-22	+0	-0	+8	+13	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	114	24	0	24	42	245	15	4	1	194	265	358	623	164	280	38	6	260	57	-31	+0	-0	+12	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	3235	2910	539	110	8	94	201	1250	88	36	15	185	259	325	584	140	280	39	6	256	54	-167	+1	-1	+58	+92	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	109	22	2	19	40	251	18	7	3	186	260	328	588	142	282	39	6	256	54	-34	+0	-0	+12	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	63	55	10	3	1	0	5	19	2	5	0	182	274	273	547	91	270	30	8	252	51	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2019	18	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	161	128	26	4	1	1	22	39	6	11	5	203	346	273	620	70	281	24	14	290	80	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2021	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	57	51	6	0	0	0	3	14	0	0	1	118	167	118	284		158	25	5	132	-41	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2021	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	253	213	53	10	0	5	22	72	15	2	1	249	360	366	726	117	348	28	9	332	112	+4	+0	—	—	+7	1.1
2022	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	353	318	85	16	1	7	26	77	7	3	1	267	336	390	726	123	333	22	7	326	108	+3	+0	—	—	+10	1.4
2023	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	375	321	74	23	1	16	41	114	9	5	0	231	334	458	792	227	301	30	11	348	124	+10	+1	—	—	+11	2.2
2024	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	231	197	49	10	1	10	24	75	7	2	0	249	351	462	813	213	339	32	10	357	131	+8	+0	—	—	+7	1.5
2025	24	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	390	353	72	14	0	13	24	136	9	0	3	204	272	354	626	150	284	35	6	280	72	-12	-1	—	—	+11	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	466	16	3	192	261	351	+8	+4	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	23	4	192	261	351	+11.9	+5.7	0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pablo Aliendo (OGILVIE)	25	25	45	40	30	178/261/336	157	270	11	3	40%	6%	62	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Colton Shaver 2021 · AA	25	37→32	50	43→30	41	194/267/343	150	280	18	3	36%	8%	69	-0.4	191/277/344	153	345	20	5	46%	8%	73	-0.1	143/256/309	167	238	26	0	48%	10%	53	-0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2019 · AA	24	32→33	51→55	44→50	33	182/226/333	152	252	20	3	37%	4%	49	-1.8	200/259/358	158	255	22	6	31%	6%	69	-0.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Jake Anchia 2022 · AA	25	33	49→45	47→40	33	182/230/321	139	262	18	3	38%	5%	46	-2.0	191/236/310	119	268	14	4	33%	5%	46	-2.0	179/223/299	120	245	15	3	33%	4%	35	-1.3
✕Brandon Waring 2011 · AA	25	39→40	51→55	42→40	36	200/262/358	158	307	19	3	40%	6%	70	-0.3	197/258/371	174	284	22	2	38%	6%	72	-0.2	184/247/364	180	256	24	1	38%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Hendrik Clementina 2022 · AA	25	38	53→50	47→30	33	206/247/365	159	295	23	5	38%	5%	66	-0.6	206/254/341	135	321	17	4	40%	5%	62	-0.9	190/239/312	122	299	17	1	41%	5%	45	-0.8
✕Will Wilson 2023 · AAA	25	38	51→50	45	39	200/265/352	153	297	20	7	38%	7%	69	-0.4	201/259/316	115	267	14	6	29%	7%	57	-1.2	192/251/291	99	250	12	6	27%	6%	44	-1.6
✕Scott Kapers 2023 · AA	26	39	50	42→40	35	198/274/342	144	304	19	6	39%	6%	72	-0.2	199/268/329	130	270	13	5	30%	6%	65	-0.7	183/258/310	127	236	11	0	26%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	35→27	50	43→40	41	191/254/334	143	251	19	5	32%	7%	60	-1.0	195/273/339	144	246	19	5	28%	8%	70	-0.3	200/276/347	147	231	17	4	22%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Seby Zavala 2019 · AAA	25	40	49→50	39→40	37	208/257/349	141	286	18	2	33%	5%	65	-0.7	183/237/322	139	285	18	4	41%	6%	50	-1.7	188/267/305	117	296	13	1	38%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Jarek Cunningham 2015 · AA	25	36→38	50→55	44→45	36	197/245/348	151	262	19	7	33%	5%	59	-1.1	206/263/344	138	309	14	7	36%	7%	66	-0.6	178/245/312	134	293	12	4	41%	8%	48	-1.0
✕Carter Aldrete 2023 · AA	25	41→40	49→50	42→45	39	212/262/357	145	288	18	7	33%	6%	69	-0.4	205/251/344	139	284	17	5	33%	6%	61	-1.0	185/226/315	130	252	17	1	34%	5%	40	-1.3
✕Matthew Allegra 2006 · AA	25	37→38	47→50	44→40	35	189/245/321	132	298	16	4	41%	6%	53	-1.5	202/257/353	151	291	17	5	35%	6%	66	-0.6	196/251/356	160	271	18	4	34%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Landon Stephens 2023 · AA	25	32→27	50→55	41→40	38	171/254/317	146	284	19	4	44%	8%	57	-1.2	206/289/426	220	321	31	5	43%	9%	100	+1.7	188/284/475	288	255	45	2	45%	10%	106	+1.5
✕Omar Meregildo 2022 · AA	24	38→33	49→50	42→30	36	187/259/328	141	318	18	4	44%	8%	61	-1.0	194/261/331	137	306	17	4	40%	7%	63	-0.9	177/247/313	136	265	18	2	39%	7%	50	-1.4
✕Josh Breaux 2023 · AAA	25	35→29	54→60	49→40	36	199/241/369	170	263	23	4	34%	5%	64	-0.8	199/245/348	149	270	20	4	34%	5%	59	-1.1	184/231/318	134	246	19	1	33%	5%	43	-0.7
✕Jeffrey Eure 2006 · A	25	36→31	47→50	41→45	34	187/242/321	134	283	14	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	202/252/324	122	295	13	6	35%	5%	56	-1.3	198/244/317	120	281	13	5	34%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Lou Santangelo 2008 · AA	25	40→39	49→55	44→40	37	205/254/351	146	302	17	4	37%	6%	64	-0.8	201/247/306	105	285	11	3	32%	6%	49	-1.8	192/239/287	95	267	11	0	31%	6%	37	-1.5
✕Matt Spring 2010 · AA	25	35	48→50	44→45	37	188/240/325	137	265	16	3	35%	6%	52	-1.6	184/237/316	132	289	16	4	40%	6%	48	-1.9	166/218/321	155	252	19	0	41%	5%	40	-0.8
✕Kyle Skipworth 2015 · AAA	25	32→35	48→50	42→30	32	177/230/313	136	271	17	4	41%	5%	44	-2.1	177/234/312	135	315	16	5	47%	5%	46	-2.0	136/196/268	131	250	18	0	51%	5%	18	-1.3
✕Matt Winn 2018 · AAA	25	36→34	46→50	45→30	37	186/245/315	128	292	15	3	40%	7%	51	-1.7	179/240/298	119	346	12	3	48%	7%	44	-2.1	147/210/266	119	303	12	0	52%	7%	21	-1.4