Spencer Henson1B
Somerset Patriots
Age 28
R/R
6'0" / 235 lbs
AA
HR +8%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .280 / .350
PA136
HR4
K%30
BB%7
MLB%2%
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.2peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-11M | $-17M | -$6M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .364 | .533 | .909 | 1.442 | .545 | .400 | 27 | 13 | .522 | 258 | +3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 282 | 254 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 111 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .154 | .229 | .287 | .517 | .134 | .225 | 39 | 7 | .226 | 31 | -22 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +8 | -1.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 339 | 310 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 115 | 10 | 1 | 2 | .187 | .246 | .342 | .587 | .155 | .245 | 34 | 4 | .254 | 53 | -18 | -1 | +0 | -6 | +10 | -1.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .062 | .062 | .062 | .125 | .000 | .125 | 50 | 0 | .043 | -109 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 136 | 123 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .220 | .289 | .374 | .663 | .154 | .281 | 30 | 7 | .285 | 76 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | NYY | 194 | 174 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 57 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .213 | .286 | .351 | .637 | .138 | .282 | 29 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +5 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | NYY | 254 | 229 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 74 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .214 | .286 | .354 | .639 | .140 | .281 | 29 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -7 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +7 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | NYY | 265 | 239 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 78 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .213 | .285 | .351 | .637 | .138 | .281 | 29 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -7 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 40% | NYY | 262 | 237 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 78 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .211 | .281 | .346 | .627 | .135 | .279 | 30 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -8 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 54% | NYY | 242 | 218 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 74 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .206 | .279 | .335 | .614 | .128 | .278 | 31 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -9 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +7 | -1.0 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 71% | NYY | 207 | 187 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 65 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .203 | .273 | .332 | .605 | .128 | .276 | 31 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -8 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +6 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2212 | 1998 | 399 | 75 | 8 | 63 | 157 | 705 | 36 | 14 | 6 | .200 | .270 | .340 | .610 | .140 | .270 | 32 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -89 | +0 | -19 | -40 | +63 | -8.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 587 | 117 | 22 | 2 | 19 | 46 | 207 | 11 | 4 | 2 | .199 | .270 | .341 | .611 | .141 | .268 | 32 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -26 | +0 | -6 | -12 | +18 | -2.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 15 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .400 | .600 | 1.000 | 1.600 | .600 | .400 | 20 | 20 | .636 | 344 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 282 | 242 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 86 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .211 | .315 | .384 | .700 | .174 | .275 | 30 | 11 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 339 | 298 | 75 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 26 | 88 | 10 | 1 | 2 | .252 | .332 | .453 | .785 | .201 | .303 | 26 | 8 | .344 | 121 | +8 | -1 | — | — | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 16 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .062 | .062 | .062 | .125 | .000 | .100 | 38 | 0 | .057 | -98 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Spencer Henson (OGILVIE) | 28 | — | — | — | — | .211/.280/.350 | .139 | .281 | 4 | 2 | 30% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB |
28 | 40→45 | 48→55 | 45→50 | 43 | .207/.279/.350 | .143 | .260 | 16 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .214/.279/.353 | .139 | .271 | 16 | 10 | 26% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .207/.272/.347 | .140 | .262 | 17 | 11 | 27% | 7% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA |
28 | 41→42 | 48→50 | 46→50 | 41 | .210/.264/.348 | .138 | .277 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .214/.263/.345 | .131 | .291 | 16 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.254/.339 | .124 | .283 | 17 | 6 | 30% | 4% | 57 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jamie Romak 2014 · AAA |
28 | 39→49 | 50→55 | 49→45 | 43 | .206/.265/.355 | .150 | .249 | 18 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .208/.263/.368 | .160 | .278 | 19 | 6 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .206/.262/.386 | .180 | .274 | 22 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jim Murphy 2014 · AA |
28 | 42→43 | 49→50 | 42→30 | 41 | .217/.275/.367 | .150 | .286 | 17 | 2 | 30% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .216/.278/.348 | .132 | .283 | 14 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .201/.271/.328 | .127 | .258 | 14 | 1 | 27% | 8% | 63 | -0.6 |
|
✕Alex Burg 2016 · AAA |
28 | 44→42 | 50 | 44→40 | 45 | .225/.298/.374 | .150 | .303 | 18 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .209/.270/.346 | .137 | .275 | 16 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .172/.224/.285 | .113 | .224 | 12 | 2 | 29% | 5% | 32 | -1.5 |
|
✕Zack Zehner 2021 · AAA |
28 | 41→51 | 47→50 | 44→45 | 39 | .208/.260/.341 | .133 | .295 | 14 | 6 | 34% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .219/.283/.336 | .117 | .333 | 11 | 11 | 35% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .213/.287/.319 | .105 | .335 | 8 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Miles Durham 2011 · AA |
28 | 47→49 | 46→50 | 48→50 | 39 | .233/.280/.364 | .132 | .317 | 12 | 10 | 30% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .208/.256/.314 | .106 | .309 | 8 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .189/.232/.282 | .093 | .287 | 5 | 13 | 35% | 5% | 35 | -1.4 |
|
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB |
29 | 42→41 | 45→55 | 49→50 | 40 | .211/.264/.333 | .122 | .283 | 13 | 11 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.271/.370 | .163 | .326 | 22 | 14 | 41% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .151/.220/.316 | .164 | .233 | 26 | 18 | 47% | 7% | 40 | -0.9 |
|
✕Ben Guez 2015 · AAA |
28 | 41→51 | 50 | 45→50 | 42 | .212/.286/.365 | .153 | .285 | 17 | 10 | 31% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .209/.284/.361 | .152 | .301 | 18 | 15 | 35% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .206/.304/.368 | .162 | .266 | 22 | 29 | 30% | 11% | 85 | +0.2 |
|
✕Clint Coulter 2021 · AAA |
28 | 44→43 | 48→50 | 48→40 | 35 | .212/.266/.356 | .143 | .329 | 15 | 7 | 38% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .220/.280/.378 | .158 | .288 | 19 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .205/.273/.359 | .153 | .249 | 19 | 4 | 25% | 5% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA |
28 | 41→43 | 49→55 | 51→55 | 40 | .213/.267/.358 | .145 | .288 | 18 | 17 | 32% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .219/.288/.394 | .175 | .287 | 23 | 23 | 31% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .215/.294/.402 | .188 | .269 | 26 | 25 | 30% | 10% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA |
28 | 45 | 47→50 | 47→45 | 39 | .224/.271/.354 | .130 | .303 | 15 | 10 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .234/.282/.385 | .151 | .334 | 17 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .237/.283/.399 | .163 | .342 | 20 | 6 | 35% | 5% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕D.J. Peterson 2019 · AAA |
27 | 43→44 | 48→55 | 44→40 | 38 | .222/.264/.361 | .139 | .286 | 16 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .211/.256/.346 | .135 | .282 | 16 | 7 | 30% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .165/.239/.320 | .155 | .216 | 21 | 2 | 34% | 7% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Trey Amburgey 2022 · AAA |
27 | 44 | 49→50 | 49→50 | 38 | .225/.269/.378 | .153 | .298 | 16 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 | .205/.255/.337 | .132 | .304 | 15 | 7 | 36% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .151/.205/.263 | .113 | .218 | 16 | 2 | 38% | 6% | 18 | -1.4 |
|
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA |
27 | 43 | 49→55 | 50 | 39 | .215/.277/.364 | .150 | .307 | 16 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .214/.286/.373 | .159 | .324 | 19 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .200/.278/.359 | .159 | .312 | 19 | 17 | 39% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Kent Matthes 2015 · AAA |
28 | 37→47 | 51→60 | 50 | 36 | .200/.243/.359 | .159 | .264 | 19 | 11 | 32% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .206/.253/.330 | .124 | .274 | 12 | 10 | 28% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .190/.238/.286 | .095 | .243 | 5 | 9 | 23% | 5% | 38 | -1.0 |
|
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB |
28 | 43→48 | 45→50 | 52→60 | 39 | .215/.272/.345 | .130 | .293 | 12 | 16 | 30% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .237/.293/.382 | .145 | .308 | 15 | 19 | 27% | 5% | 89 | +1.0 | .204/.278/.335 | .130 | .292 | 14 | 30 | 33% | 7% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Michael Rosamond 2006 · AAA |
28 | 41 | 47→55 | 49→45 | 39 | .212/.263/.343 | .132 | .290 | 15 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.256/.365 | .152 | .322 | 18 | 9 | 38% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .201/.237/.370 | .169 | .311 | 21 | 6 | 42% | 4% | 60 | -0.6 |
|
✕Curt Smith 2014 · AA |
27 | 43→49 | 48→50 | 44→40 | 39 | .221/.270/.365 | .144 | .290 | 16 | 6 | 29% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .227/.274/.342 | .115 | .282 | 12 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .228/.275/.330 | .102 | .273 | 11 | 3 | 20% | 5% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jeff Deardorff 2006 · AAA |
27 | 43 | 50 | 47→50 | 45 | .225/.280/.380 | .154 | .276 | 19 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .213/.266/.352 | .139 | .283 | 16 | 10 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .191/.245/.319 | .128 | .258 | 14 | 12 | 31% | 6% | 48 | -1.1 |