Spencer Henson — OGILVIE

Spencer Henson1B Somerset Patriots

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 235 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .288 / .356

PA12

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO139

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	15	10	4	0	0	2	3	3	2	0	0	400	600	1.000	1.600	600	400	20	20	636	316	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2022	24	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	282	242	51	10	1	10	32	86	5	2	1	211	315	384	700	174	275	30	11	314	98	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.6
2023	25	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	339	298	75	18	0	14	26	88	10	1	2	252	332	453	785	201	303	26	8	344	119	+8	-1	—	—	+7	1.5
2024	26	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	16	16	1	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	62	62	62	125		100	38	0	57	-76	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	15	11	4	0	0	2	2	4	2	0	0	364	533	909	1.442	545	341	27	13	505	228	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2022	24	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	282	252	38	8	1	7	22	113	5	2	1	151	233	274	507	123	225	40	8	228	40	-20	+0	—	—	+6	-1.4
2023	25	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	339	309	60	13	0	11	15	117	10	1	2	194	254	343	598	149	251	35	4	255	59	-17	-1	—	—	+7	-1.0
2024	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	16	16	1	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	62	62	62	125		89	44	0	43	-85	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2021	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	15	11	4	0	0	2	2	4	2	0	0	364	533	909	1.442	545	400	27	13	505	228	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	15	10	4	0	0	2	3	3	2	0	0	400	600	1.000	1.600	600	400	20	20	636	228	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	282	252	38	8	1	7	22	113	5	2	1	151	233	274	507	123	230	40	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	282	242	51	10	1	10	32	86	5	2	1	211	315	384	700	174	275	30	11	314	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	339	309	60	13	0	11	15	117	10	1	2	194	254	343	598	149	263	35	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	339	298	75	18	0	14	26	88	10	1	2	252	332	453	785	201	303	26	8	344	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	16	16	1	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	62	62	62	125		111	44	0	43	-85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	—	16	16	1	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	62	62	62	125		100	38	0	57	-85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	15	11	4	0	0	2	2	4	2	0	0	364	533	909	1.442	545	341	27	13	505	228	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	282	253	38	8	1	7	22	113	5	2	1	150	233	273	506	123	225	40	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	339	311	60	13	0	11	15	117	10	1	2	193	254	341	595	148	251	35	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	16	16	1	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	62	62	62	125		89	44	0	43	-85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	339	311	60	13	0	11	15	117	10	1	2	193	254	341	595	148	251	35	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	16	16	1	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	62	62	62	125		89	44	0	43	-85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	NYY	2%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		281	25	8	291	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	NYY	23%	194	175	38	7	1	5	15	52	2	3	1	217	286	354	641	137	281	27	8	292	84	-4	+0	-1	-3	+4	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	NYY	23%	44	40	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	225	295	350	645	125	283	27	7	288	84	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	44	40	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	225	295	350	645	125	296	27	7	288	59	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	134	30	0	15	44	177	15	15	0	227	297	354	651	127	298	27	7	288	59	-12	+3	-5	-12	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	858	774	143	28	2	25	55	296	19	6	4	185	256	323	579	138	255	34	6	255	59	-4	+0	-1	-4	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	109	21	2	19	42	224	14	5	3	186	257	326	583	140	257	34	6	255	59	-12	+1	-4	-12	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Spencer Henson (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	218/288/356	138	281	4	2	27%	8%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→45	48→55	45→50	44	207/283/349	141	260	15	8	26%	7%	80	-0.2	210/276/339	129	270	14	11	27%	7%	74	-0.5	201/267/326	125	260	14	11	27%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Nick Gorneault 2008 · AAA	29	45→48	49→55	48→50	44	227/284/377	150	291	17	12	28%	7%	85	+0.2	209/265/345	136	276	15	11	29%	7%	71	-0.8	196/251/329	132	258	15	9	29%	6%	59	-1.1
✕Jerad Head 2011 · AAA	28	47→44	50	47→50	40	239/289/397	158	290	17	7	24%	5%	93	+0.8	224/274/363	139	277	15	7	25%	4%	79	-0.2	215/266/344	130	263	15	6	24%	4%	68	-0.7
✕Ben Guez 2015 · AAA	28	40→50	47→50	44→50	41	203/278/343	139	279	15	10	32%	7%	76	-0.4	208/285/351	143	308	16	16	36%	8%	80	-0.1	207/305/368	161	268	22	29	30%	11%	88	+0.1
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2013 · AAA	27	40→46	49→55	50	42	209/268/364	155	265	16	10	28%	6%	76	-0.4	216/264/389	173	256	19	8	24%	6%	81	-0.1	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Jamie Romak 2014 · AAA	28	39→49	49→55	49→45	44	205/264/349	144	251	17	7	26%	6%	72	-0.7	209/266/372	163	281	19	6	32%	7%	78	-0.3	207/263/389	182	276	22	5	33%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Ryan Rua 2018 · MLB	28	44→54	48→50	50	41	221/281/355	134	310	16	11	33%	7%	80	-0.2	218/272/368	150	305	18	13	33%	6%	79	-0.2	189/235/349	160	255	21	17	35%	4%	59	-0.6
✕Jamie Hoffmann 2013 · AAA	28	44→53	45	50→55	45	219/274/337	118	267	12	13	23%	6%	72	-0.7	218/269/339	121	264	12	12	22%	6%	71	-0.8	208/252/318	110	249	9	10	20%	4%	56	-1.2
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43	46→50	49→50	42	215/271/341	126	287	13	11	30%	6%	72	-0.7	204/270/355	151	326	19	14	41%	7%	76	-0.4	143/213/283	140	229	22	18	47%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Alex Burg 2016 · AAA	28	45→42	50	44→40	46	227/302/379	152	300	18	3	30%	9%	93	+0.8	209/268/339	130	274	14	5	28%	6%	71	-0.8	175/227/281	106	226	10	2	27%	5%	40	-1.5
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	43→45	47→45	53→55	49	218/294/356	138	264	15	16	23%	8%	84	+0.2	221/293/346	125	274	14	24	24%	8%	82	-0.0	215/286/326	111	267	12	28	23%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB	28	44→48	45→50	52→60	39	218/274/342	124	296	11	16	30%	5%	74	-0.6	235/293/378	143	305	15	19	27%	6%	89	+0.5	203/276/332	129	289	14	30	33%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Kent Matthes 2015 · AAA	28	38→48	49→60	50	37	203/246/354	151	269	17	11	31%	5%	66	-1.1	208/257/328	120	274	11	10	27%	5%	63	-1.3	190/238/285	95	243	5	9	23%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	41→43	47→55	51→55	40	207/263/336	128	288	15	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	213/285/371	158	283	20	23	31%	9%	84	+0.2	207/286/372	166	264	22	25	30%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA	28	39→43	46→50	45→50	42	204/258/334	130	266	14	7	29%	6%	65	-1.2	216/265/341	125	294	14	8	30%	6%	70	-0.9	218/256/337	119	286	16	6	29%	4%	62	-1.0
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA	28	44→43	48→50	49→45	45	227/276/368	141	273	16	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	246/296/363	117	287	12	7	18%	7%	86	+0.3	272/321/371	98	305	8	3	13%	6%	95	+0.5
✕Eli White 2022 · MLB	28	42→52	46→50	48→60	44	211/285/337	126	290	14	13	31%	8%	77	-0.3	222/298/350	128	312	15	28	31%	9%	84	+0.2	242/297/385	142	309	16	27	26%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Xavier Scruggs 2016 · MLB	28	42→46	47→50	42→45	44	211/285/345	133	287	15	6	31%	8%	79	-0.2	230/309/398	168	305	19	7	29%	9%	100	+1.3	227/313/418	191	295	24	4	30%	9%	104	+0.9
✕Christian Bethancourt 2021 · AAA	29	45→51	49→55	50	40	232/271/375	143	286	17	11	26%	5%	80	-0.2	239/277/385	146	298	17	8	25%	5%	84	+0.2	236/270/387	151	290	19	5	25%	4%	80	-0.1
✕Clint Coulter 2021 · AAA	28	45→43	46→50	48→40	37	216/271/350	134	325	14	8	36%	6%	74	-0.5	215/276/360	145	283	17	6	29%	6%	79	-0.2	201/269/342	141	247	16	4	25%	5%	69	-0.3