Victor Roache
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 24 | AAMIL | 169 | .243/.337/.412 | 4 | 2 | 69 | — | .217/.272/.357 |
| 2017 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 216 | .186/.250/.347 | 6 | 2 | 3 | — | .123/.171/.216 |
| 2018 | 26 | AASTL | 475 | .218/.296/.380 | 18 | 4 | 36 | — | .170/.224/.274 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 21 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 519 | 459 | 114 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 46 | 137 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 248 | 323 | 440 | 763 | 192 | 302 | 26 | 9 | 335 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 481 | 433 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 37 | 138 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 226 | 299 | 400 | 699 | 173 | 287 | 29 | 8 | 311 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 249 | 223 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 323 | 430 | 753 | 184 | 309 | 26 | 9 | 333 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 264 | 239 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 259 | 327 | 448 | 775 | 188 | 382 | 36 | 8 | 342 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 169 | 148 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 243 | 337 | 412 | 749 | 169 | 311 | 24 | 12 | 336 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 80 | 74 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 176 | 237 | 230 | 467 | 54 | 271 | 32 | 5 | 219 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 136 | 125 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 192 | 257 | 416 | 673 | 224 | 300 | 43 | 7 | 296 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 475 | 426 | 93 | 11 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 142 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 296 | 380 | 676 | 162 | 280 | 30 | 9 | 303 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 519 | 478 | 89 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 192 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 186 | 243 | 320 | 563 | 134 | 258 | 37 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 481 | 445 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 207 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 164 | 222 | 294 | 516 | 130 | 258 | 43 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 249 | 231 | 48 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 80 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 262 | 355 | 617 | 147 | 288 | 32 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 264 | 244 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 135 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 176 | 236 | 307 | 543 | 131 | 351 | 51 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 169 | 157 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 217 | 272 | 357 | 629 | 140 | 299 | 30 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 80 | 75 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 147 | 200 | 187 | 387 | 40 | 257 | 41 | 4 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 136 | 129 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 80 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 109 | 154 | 233 | 387 | 124 | 229 | 59 | 4 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 475 | 442 | 75 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 173 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 170 | 224 | 274 | 498 | 104 | 243 | 36 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 519 | 478 | 89 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 192 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 186 | 243 | 320 | 563 | 134 | 265 | 37 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 519 | 459 | 114 | 14 | 4 | 22 | 46 | 137 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 248 | 323 | 440 | 763 | 192 | 302 | 26 | 9 | 335 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 481 | 445 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 207 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 164 | 222 | 294 | 516 | 130 | 261 | 43 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | Brevard County Manatees | — | 481 | 433 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 37 | 138 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 226 | 299 | 400 | 699 | 173 | 287 | 29 | 8 | 311 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 475 | 91 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 216 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 192 | 249 | 331 | 579 | 139 | 315 | 42 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 513 | 462 | 117 | 22 | 5 | 18 | 44 | 158 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 253 | 325 | 439 | 764 | 186 | 344 | 31 | 9 | 338 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 169 | 157 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 217 | 272 | 357 | 629 | 140 | 298 | 30 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 169 | 148 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 243 | 337 | 412 | 749 | 169 | 311 | 24 | 12 | 336 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 216 | 204 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 113 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 123 | 171 | 221 | 392 | 98 | 241 | 52 | 4 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 216 | 199 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 186 | 250 | 347 | 597 | 161 | 287 | 39 | 6 | 267 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 475 | 442 | 75 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 173 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 170 | 224 | 274 | 498 | 104 | 246 | 36 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA RAW | Springfield Cardinals | — | 475 | 426 | 93 | 11 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 142 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 296 | 380 | 676 | 162 | 280 | 30 | 9 | 303 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 519 | 478 | 89 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 192 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 186 | 243 | 320 | 563 | 134 | 258 | 37 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 481 | 445 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 207 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 164 | 222 | 294 | 516 | 130 | 258 | 43 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 472 | 91 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 216 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 193 | 249 | 333 | 581 | 140 | 320 | 42 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 169 | 155 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 219 | 272 | 361 | 633 | 142 | 299 | 30 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 216 | 202 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 113 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 124 | 171 | 223 | 394 | 99 | 239 | 52 | 4 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 475 | 441 | 75 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 173 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 170 | 224 | 274 | 498 | 104 | 243 | 36 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2373 | 2201 | 387 | 71 | 11 | 61 | 135 | 951 | 25 | 30 | 12 | 176 | 232 | 301 | 533 | 125 | 272 | 40 | 6 | 234 | 44 | -157 | +1 | +0 | -25 | +51 | -13.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 106 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 260 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 176 | 232 | 302 | 534 | 126 | 271 | 40 | 6 | 234 | 44 | -43 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AASpringfield Cardinals · 475 PAwOBA .293 → .221 (−72)K% 29.9% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.89% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.63% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.83% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.978 | 19.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.87% | ÷0.973 | ×0.840 | ×1.007 | ×0.978 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.007 | ×0.978 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.34% | ÷1.215 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 4.08% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 101, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .293 → .221; ISO .162 → .109; BABIP .280 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 136 PAwOBA .287 → .171 (−116)K% 43.4% → 58.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.38% | ÷0.990 | ×1.340 | — | — | 58.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.35% | ÷1.099 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 4.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | ×0.967 | ×0.968 | 11.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.12% | ÷1.064 | ×0.820 | ×0.967 | ×0.968 | 8.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.967 | ×0.968 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.085 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 7.46% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 101, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 98, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .287 → .171; ISO .224 → .130; BABIP .300 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABiloxi Shuckers · 80 PAwOBA .214 → .174 (−40)K% 32.5% → 41.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.50% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 3.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.988 | 17.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.946 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×0.988 | 8.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.915 | ×0.880 | ×1.021 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.393 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 179, 1B 97, 2B 89, 3B 83, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .214 → .174; ISO .054 → .047; BABIP .271 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AABiloxi Shuckers · 169 PAwOBA .328 → .270 (−58)K% 24.3% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.26% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.43% | ÷1.152 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.69% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 18.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.28% | ÷0.955 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 10.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.922 | ×0.880 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.74% | ÷1.243 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.40% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 95, 2B 91, 3B 84, K 100, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .328 → .270; ISO .169 → .138; BABIP .311 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Brevard County Manatees · 264 PAwOBA .334 → .243 (−91)K% 35.6% → 51.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.61% | ÷0.986 | ×1.420 | — | — | 51.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.95% | ÷0.987 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 5.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.90% | ÷1.057 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×0.988 | 23.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.59% | ÷0.911 | ×0.960 | ×1.025 | ×0.988 | 8.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.025 | ×0.988 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.887 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 6.76% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 111, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .334 → .243; ISO .188 → .142; BABIP .382 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABiloxi Shuckers · 249 PAwOBA .326 → .268 (−58)K% 25.7% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.70% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.24% | ÷1.018 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.75% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 19.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.92% | ÷0.943 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 6.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.89% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.03% | ÷1.084 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.76% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .326 → .268; ISO .184 → .149; BABIP .309 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Brevard County Manatees · 481 PAwOBA .302 → .227 (−75)K% 28.7% → 43.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.69% | ÷0.947 | ×1.420 | — | — | 43.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.28% | ÷1.029 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.66% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.68% | ÷1.024 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×0.998 | 18.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.76% | ÷0.937 | ×0.960 | ×0.981 | ×0.998 | 5.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×0.998 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.10% | ÷0.954 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 5.62% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 89, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .302 → .227; ISO .173 → .133; BABIP .287 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 519 PAwOBA .328 → .244 (−84)K% 26.4% → 36.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.40% | ÷0.973 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.67% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.98% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×0.958 | — | 20.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | — | 3.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.24% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×0.958 | — | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.83% | ÷1.011 | ×0.800 | — | — | 5.41% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 108, 3B 106, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .328 → .244; ISO .192 → .138; BABIP .302 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).