Wanderly De La Cruz

OF DSL Reds

Age 19 L/L 5'10" / 153 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2012ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Rojos	140	.245/.424/.377	0	12	64	—	.175/.324/.263
2026	18	ROKCIN	204	.248/.425/.386	3	14	61	—	.171/.320/.256
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBCIN	314	.210/.299/.301	3	7	73	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCIN	54	.216/.305/.319	1	1	78	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCIN	128	.220/.309/.332	2	3	82	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed89

Z-Con%81

BB%75

wOBA69

Chase%66

wRC+61

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJaison Chourio (age 19) · Hector Osorio (age 19) · Forrest Wall (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 107 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .297 / .298

PA107

HR1

K%26

BB%10

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE74

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	140	106	26	6	4	0	29	25	4	12	1	245	424	377	802	132	317	18	21	370	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	204	153	38	6	3	3	39	43	8	14	4	248	425	386	811	137	318	21	19	370	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	140	114	20	4	3	0	21	31	4	12	1	175	324	263	587	88	222	22	15	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	204	164	28	4	2	2	28	52	8	14	4	171	320	256	576	85	216	25	14	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	140	114	20	4	3	0	21	31	4	12	1	175	324	263	587	88	238	22	15	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	140	106	26	6	4	0	29	25	4	12	1	245	424	377	802	132	317	18	21	370	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	204	164	28	4	2	2	28	52	8	14	4	171	320	256	576	85	230	25	14	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	204	153	38	6	3	3	39	43	8	14	4	248	425	386	811	137	318	21	19	370	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	140	114	20	4	3	0	21	31	4	12	1	175	324	263	587	88	222	22	15	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	204	166	28	4	2	2	28	52	8	14	4	169	320	253	573	84	216	25	14	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	140	114	20	4	3	0	21	31	4	12	1	175	324	263	587	88	222	22	15	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	204	166	28	4	2	2	28	52	8	14	4	169	320	253	573	84	216	25	14	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	314	276	59	10	4	3	30	82	5	7	1	210	299	301	600	91	286	26	10	276	73	-10	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	157	139	30	5	2	2	15	40	2	4	1	215	304	315	619	100	288	25	10	284	78	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	265	233	52	9	3	4	26	67	4	7	2	219	308	327	635	108	289	25	10	289	82	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	371	326	73	12	4	6	36	93	6	9	2	222	310	336	647	114	290	25	10	294	85	-7	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	441	389	87	15	5	7	42	110	7	11	3	225	312	344	656	119	291	25	10	298	88	-7	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	485	428	98	17	5	9	47	120	7	12	3	227	314	350	664	123	292	25	10	300	89	-6	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	510	448	102	18	5	9	49	126	8	13	3	227	314	351	665	124	292	25	10	301	90	-6	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.3
2034	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	523	460	105	18	5	10	50	129	8	13	3	227	314	352	665	124	292	25	10	301	90	-6	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	527	463	105	18	5	10	51	131	8	13	3	226	313	349	662	123	291	25	10	300	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	523	460	103	18	5	9	50	131	8	12	3	224	311	344	655	120	290	25	10	297	87	-8	+1	-1	-3	+11	0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	512	451	101	17	5	9	49	130	7	11	3	221	308	338	645	116	288	25	10	293	84	-9	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	500	441	97	16	5	8	48	129	7	10	3	218	304	329	634	111	286	26	10	288	81	-11	+1	-2	-3	+11	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	54	48	11	2	1	1	5	14	1	1	0	216	305	319	625	103	288	26	9	286	78	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	128	113	24	4	1	2	12	33	2	3	1	220	309	332	641	111	290	26	9	292	82	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	201	177	39	7	2	3	19	51	3	5	1	224	312	342	654	118	291	25	9	297	85	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	250	220	50	8	3	5	24	62	4	6	2	226	314	350	664	123	292	25	10	300	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+5	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	274	242	55	9	3	5	26	68	4	7	2	229	315	356	672	128	293	25	9	303	89	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	288	254	59	10	3	6	28	71	4	7	2	229	316	358	673	129	293	25	10	304	90	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	295	261	60	10	3	6	28	73	4	7	2	229	316	358	674	129	293	25	9	304	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	292	258	59	10	3	6	28	73	4	7	2	228	315	355	670	127	292	25	10	303	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	287	253	57	10	3	5	28	72	4	7	2	226	312	350	663	124	291	25	10	300	87	-4	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	274	242	54	9	3	5	26	70	4	6	2	223	309	343	653	120	289	26	9	296	84	-5	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	263	232	50	8	2	4	25	68	4	5	2	220	306	335	641	115	287	26	10	291	81	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2606	2300	518	87	27	48	249	655	38	61	18	225	311	349	660	124	292	25	10	299	85	-41	+5	-2	-16	+56	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	130	22	7	12	62	163	9	15	4	226	311	352	663	125	294	25	10	299	85	-10	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5265	4610	1020	174	55	86	522	1317	86	143	34	221	312	339	651	118	289	25	10	293	85	-81	+12	-4	-30	+107	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	126	21	7	11	64	163	11	18	4	221	312	341	653	120	288	25	10	293	85	-11	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Reds · 204 PAwOBA .367 → .258 (−109)K% 21.1% → 25.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.08%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	25.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.12%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	13.48%
HBP% /PA	3.92%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.77%
Singles /BIP	23.64%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.037	×1.008	16.79%
Doubles /BIP	5.45%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.037	×1.008	3.42%
Triples /BIP	2.73%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.037	×1.008	1.71%
Home runs /BIP	2.73%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.29%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .367 → .258; ISO .137 → .083; BABIP .318 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rojos · 140 PAwOBA .365 → .263 (−102)K% 17.9% → 21.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.86%	÷0.993	×1.220	—	—	21.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.71%	÷1.011	×0.700	—	×1.022	14.66%
HBP% /PA	2.86%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.04%
Singles /BIP	19.75%	÷0.976	×0.680	×1.037	×1.022	14.61%
Doubles /BIP	7.41%	÷1.013	×0.600	×1.037	×1.022	4.65%
Triples /BIP	4.94%	÷0.978	×0.600	×1.037	×1.022	3.21%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.987	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 95, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .365 → .263; ISO .132 → .090; BABIP .317 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Darren Bragg'94-'04 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	46	56	243*	324*	368*	-18	+2	2.5	3.8
/162	664	11	13	-4.1	+0.4	0.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.1	2,714	45	65	224	308	343	-16	+0	2.1	2.1
/162	664	11	16	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 2
#4Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Wanderly De La Cruz (OGILVIE)	19	46→51	31→36	56→61	74	209/297/298	90	286	1	2	26%	10%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Hector Osorio 2024 · A	19	44	35→45	51→50	62	200/321/262	62	245	2	15	17%	13%	76	-0.4	216/319/308	92	262	8	12	19%	11%	84	+0.1	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Carlos Sanchez 2024 · A	19	49→54	37→40	50	56	218/326/301	83	327	4	13	30%	13%	84	+0.2	217/305/303	86	356	6	12	36%	11%	76	-0.4	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Marco Vargas 2024 · A	19	45→46	37→40	50→60	57	208/302/289	81	267	4	13	22%	12%	72	-0.7	214/295/280	66	304	3	25	27%	10%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	50	39→45	60→65	52	228/315/331	103	312	4	16	26%	10%	86	+0.3	205/273/295	90	330	6	26	36%	7%	62	-1.4	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2024 · A	19	47→46	36→45	51→55	59	218/319/284	66	282	2	16	21%	12%	78	-0.3	220/304/299	79	303	4	13	26%	10%	75	-0.5	214/298/296	82	295	5	16	27%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Max Clark 2024 · A	19	44→53	42→45	51→55	48	207/292/314	106	308	9	11	33%	10%	74	-0.5	238/314/357	119	306	11	17	24%	9%	92	+0.7	245/323/369	124	304	11	19	22%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	46→44	39→40	55→50	52	216/312/311	95	298	6	15	27%	11%	81	-0.1	202/278/301	99	278	7	11	27%	9%	65	-1.2	203/291/297	94	273	5	13	25%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Kendall George 2024 · A	19	55→60	36→30	52→65	48	253/320/322	69	342	3	22	25%	8%	85	+0.2	249/328/307	58	343	2	42	25%	10%	85	+0.2	262/344/315	53	355	2	56	24%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	46→56	37→40	57→60	51	211/279/293	82	248	2	14	16%	8%	63	-1.3	227/286/295	68	281	2	19	19%	6%	67	-1.1	260/318/350	90	329	5	34	21%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	220/298/335	114	290	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.1	201/274/317	116	305	8	13	34%	9%	68	-1.0	238/319/386	148	309	15	24	26%	11%	100	+0.9
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3

Wanderly De La Cruz

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps