Kendall George
CF Tulsa Drillers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ALAA | 404 | .279/.387/.328 | 1 | 36 | 63 | — | .220/.309/.265 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+LAD | 514 | .295/.413/.370 | 3 | 100 | 99 | — | .279/.365/.346 |
| 2026 | 21 | AA/ALAD | 278 | .329/.419/.396 | 0 | 36 | 111 | — | .313/.383/.373 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBLAD | 4 | .235/.319/.288 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBLAD | 100 | .241/.325/.315 | 1 | 7 | 88 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ47% MLB | 24 | MLBLAD | 210 | .245/.329/.333 | 3 | 14 | 94 | 0.6 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 50 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 381 | 469 | 429 | 898 | 48 | 485 | 18 | 12 | 403 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 71 | 58 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 362 | 464 | 414 | 878 | 52 | 429 | 15 | 15 | 392 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 404 | 341 | 95 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 57 | 83 | 3 | 36 | 12 | 279 | 387 | 328 | 715 | 50 | 362 | 21 | 14 | 332 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 514 | 424 | 125 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 84 | 78 | 1 | 100 | 24 | 295 | 413 | 370 | 783 | 75 | 352 | 15 | 16 | 359 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 257 | 223 | 74 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 49 | 2 | 33 | 5 | 332 | 418 | 399 | 817 | 67 | 425 | 19 | 12 | 372 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A | Ontario Tower Buzzers | — | 21 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 294 | 429 | 353 | 782 | 59 | 417 | 24 | 19 | 366 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 50 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 364 | 429 | 409 | 838 | 45 | 480 | 26 | 8 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 71 | 62 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 290 | 362 | 323 | 685 | 32 | 358 | 23 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 404 | 355 | 78 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 117 | 3 | 36 | 12 | 220 | 309 | 265 | 574 | 45 | 315 | 29 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 514 | 448 | 125 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 60 | 101 | 1 | 100 | 24 | 279 | 365 | 346 | 711 | 67 | 342 | 20 | 12 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 257 | 231 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 60 | 2 | 33 | 5 | 316 | 383 | 377 | 759 | 61 | 423 | 23 | 9 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Ontario Tower Buzzers | — | 21 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 278 | 381 | 333 | 714 | 56 | 376 | 33 | 14 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 121 | 106 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 321 | 390 | 358 | 748 | 38 | 425 | 23 | 9 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 121 | 100 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 370 | 466 | 420 | 886 | 50 | 451 | 17 | 14 | 396 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 404 | 355 | 78 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 117 | 3 | 36 | 12 | 220 | 309 | 265 | 574 | 45 | 321 | 29 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 404 | 341 | 95 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 57 | 83 | 3 | 36 | 12 | 279 | 387 | 328 | 715 | 50 | 362 | 21 | 14 | 332 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 514 | 448 | 125 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 60 | 101 | 1 | 100 | 24 | 279 | 365 | 346 | 711 | 67 | 351 | 20 | 12 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 514 | 424 | 125 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 84 | 78 | 1 | 100 | 24 | 295 | 413 | 370 | 783 | 75 | 352 | 15 | 16 | 359 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 278 | 250 | 77 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 67 | 2 | 36 | 6 | 308 | 375 | 368 | 743 | 60 | 421 | 24 | 9 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 278 | 240 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 54 | 2 | 36 | 6 | 329 | 419 | 396 | 815 | 67 | 425 | 19 | 13 | 372 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 121 | 108 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 315 | 390 | 352 | 742 | 37 | 408 | 23 | 9 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 404 | 355 | 78 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 117 | 3 | 36 | 12 | 220 | 309 | 265 | 574 | 45 | 315 | 29 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 514 | 448 | 125 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 60 | 101 | 1 | 100 | 24 | 279 | 365 | 346 | 711 | 67 | 342 | 20 | 12 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 278 | 249 | 77 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 67 | 2 | 36 | 6 | 309 | 375 | 369 | 745 | 60 | 419 | 24 | 9 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 404 | 355 | 78 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 117 | 3 | 36 | 12 | 220 | 309 | 265 | 574 | 45 | 315 | 29 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 514 | 448 | 125 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 60 | 101 | 1 | 100 | 24 | 279 | 365 | 346 | 711 | 67 | 342 | 20 | 12 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 278 | 249 | 77 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 67 | 2 | 36 | 6 | 309 | 375 | 369 | 745 | 60 | 419 | 24 | 9 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | LAD | 2% | 436 | 385 | 92 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 46 | 95 | 2 | 35 | 8 | 240 | 324 | 297 | 621 | 57 | 311 | 22 | 11 | 287 | 80 | -10 | +4 | -1 | +2 | +9 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | LAD | 2% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 319 | 288 | 608 | 53 | 305 | 25 | 0 | 282 | 80 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | LAD | 35% | 285 | 252 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 61 | 1 | 21 | 4 | 246 | 329 | 323 | 652 | 77 | 312 | 21 | 11 | 299 | 88 | -4 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAD | 47% | 451 | 399 | 100 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 95 | 2 | 30 | 6 | 250 | 333 | 340 | 673 | 90 | 312 | 21 | 10 | 307 | 94 | -3 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAD | 52% | 469 | 414 | 103 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 49 | 99 | 3 | 28 | 6 | 251 | 334 | 351 | 685 | 100 | 311 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +3 | +1 | +2 | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAD | 54% | 476 | 421 | 106 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 101 | 3 | 26 | 6 | 252 | 334 | 357 | 691 | 105 | 310 | 21 | 10 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +3 | +1 | +2 | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAD | 54% | 476 | 421 | 105 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 102 | 3 | 24 | 5 | 250 | 332 | 357 | 689 | 106 | 309 | 21 | 10 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +3 | +1 | +2 | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAD | 54% | 472 | 417 | 104 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 102 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 248 | 330 | 352 | 682 | 103 | 308 | 22 | 10 | 309 | 95 | -3 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAD | 53% | 463 | 411 | 100 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 101 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 246 | 327 | 345 | 673 | 100 | 306 | 22 | 10 | 306 | 93 | -4 | +2 | -0 | +2 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAD | 52% | 454 | 403 | 98 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 101 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 242 | 324 | 337 | 661 | 95 | 304 | 22 | 10 | 301 | 90 | -6 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | LAD | 52% | 380 | 337 | 80 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 86 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 238 | 319 | 327 | 646 | 89 | 301 | 23 | 10 | 295 | 86 | -7 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | LAD | 35% | 100 | 89 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 241 | 325 | 315 | 640 | 74 | 305 | 21 | 10 | 294 | 88 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAD | 47% | 210 | 185 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 245 | 329 | 333 | 662 | 88 | 305 | 21 | 10 | 302 | 94 | -2 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAD | 52% | 243 | 215 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 51 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 247 | 330 | 344 | 675 | 97 | 305 | 21 | 10 | 307 | 97 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +5 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAD | 54% | 258 | 228 | 55 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 55 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 247 | 330 | 351 | 681 | 103 | 304 | 21 | 10 | 309 | 98 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAD | 54% | 258 | 228 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 55 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 246 | 329 | 351 | 679 | 105 | 302 | 21 | 10 | 308 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAD | 54% | 256 | 227 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 55 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 244 | 327 | 346 | 672 | 102 | 301 | 21 | 10 | 305 | 95 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAD | 53% | 246 | 218 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 54 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 242 | 324 | 339 | 663 | 98 | 300 | 22 | 10 | 302 | 93 | -2 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAD | 52% | 238 | 211 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 53 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 238 | 320 | 331 | 651 | 93 | 298 | 22 | 10 | 297 | 90 | -3 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | LAD | 52% | 198 | 175 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 234 | 315 | 321 | 636 | 87 | 295 | 23 | 10 | 291 | 86 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2007 | 1776 | 430 | 55 | 9 | 32 | 206 | 433 | 9 | 95 | 22 | 242 | 324 | 337 | 661 | 95 | 302 | 22 | 10 | 303 | 92 | -15 | +10 | +2 | +7 | +43 | 4.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 139 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 67 | 140 | 3 | 31 | 7 | 242 | 325 | 336 | 660 | 94 | 301 | 22 | 10 | 303 | 92 | -5 | +3 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5453 | 4819 | 1218 | 146 | 39 | 64 | 565 | 1207 | 29 | 396 | 94 | 253 | 335 | 339 | 674 | 86 | 323 | 22 | 10 | 305 | 92 | -35 | +23 | +4 | +15 | +90 | 9.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 146 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 67 | 144 | 3 | 47 | 11 | 254 | 335 | 343 | 678 | 89 | 325 | 22 | 10 | 305 | 92 | -6 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AATulsa Drillers · 257 PAwOBA .363 → .336 (−28)K% 19.1% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.07% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 8.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 35.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .363 → .336; ISO .067 → .063; BABIP .425 → .423. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AOntario Tower Buzzers · 21 PAwOBA .358 → .285 (−74)K% 23.8% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 13.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | — | 30.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | — | 6.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .358 → .285; ISO .059 → .047; BABIP .417 → .376. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Great Lakes Loons · 514 PAwOBA .353 → .315 (−39)K% 15.2% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.18% | ÷0.980 | ×1.270 | — | — | 19.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.34% | ÷1.023 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 11.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.045 | ×1.027 | 30.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.60% | ÷0.927 | ×0.810 | ×1.045 | ×1.027 | 2.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.045 | ×1.027 | 1.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.992 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.72% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .353 → .315; ISO .075 → .065; BABIP .352 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 404 PAwOBA .327 → .261 (−66)K% 20.5% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.54% | ÷0.964 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.11% | ÷0.943 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 10.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.56% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×1.030 | 28.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×1.030 | 2.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | ×0.985 | ×1.030 | 1.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.39% | ÷1.072 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.30% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 114, 2B 95, 3B 95, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .327 → .261; ISO .050 → .041; BABIP .362 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Dodgers · 71 PAwOBA .394 → .310 (−83)K% 15.5% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.49% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.49% | ÷0.992 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 9.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.30% | ÷0.965 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 32.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.032 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 4.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .394 → .310; ISO .052 → .037; BABIP .429 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 50 PAwOBA .393 → .357 (−36)K% 18.0% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.00% | ÷0.973 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 8.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 42.42% | ÷0.955 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 42.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.990 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .393 → .357; ISO .048 → .041; BABIP .485 → .480. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).