Jose Escobar — OGILVIE

Jose EscobarSS Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 21 L/R 5'8" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION317 act + 211 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .306 / .348

PA211

HR3

K%22

BB%7

BABIP307

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$13M	+$13M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$12M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.3	$11M	+$10M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+2.1	$9M	+$7M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+1.9	$8M	+$5M
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+1.5	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$59M	+$50M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	175	162	36	4	5	3	6	43	5	14	3	222	272	364	636	142	280	25	3	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	175	156	46	5	7	4	12	30	5	14	3	295	364	494	858	199	339	17	7	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	92	83	22	1	0	1	4	19	5	6	1	265	337	313	650	48	333	21	4	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	92	81	27	2	0	1	6	13	5	6	1	333	413	395	808	62	388	14	7	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	262	222	45	5	4	7	28	63	9	10	6	203	317	356	672	153	247	24	11	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	262	209	57	6	7	7	41	43	9	10	6	273	413	469	882	196	311	16	16	390	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	461	424	95	16	0	5	24	149	9	11	9	224	280	297	577	73	328	32	5	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	461	401	106	19	0	5	47	96	9	11	9	264	354	349	704	85	332	21	10	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	CHC	—	317	290	82	18	3	5	21	57	3	6	3	283	338	417	755	134	333	18	7	328	109	+3	+0	+0	+3	+9	1.6
YTD	21	A	CHC	—	317	279	89	21	3	6	32	41	3	6	3	319	395	480	875	161	353	13	10	386	153	+19	+0	+0	+3	+9	3.2
ROS	21	A	CHC	0%	211	192	47	9	1	3	14	47	3	4	2	244	306	348	654	104	306	22	7	298	86	-3	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.5
ROS	21	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		307	—	—	289	79	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	CHC	—	317	291	82	18	3	5	21	57	3	6	3	282	338	416	753	134	332	18	7	328	109	+3	+0	+0	+3	+9	1.6
TOT	21	A	CHC	—	528	482	129	27	4	8	35	104	6	10	5	267	325	390	715	122	323	20	7	316	100	+0	+0	+0	+6	+15	2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CHC	34%	570	518	126	24	3	9	39	125	8	8	4	243	306	353	659	110	302	22	7	299	87	-8	+0	+0	+6	+16	1.4
2028	23	MLB	CHC	48%	585	531	132	25	3	12	41	126	8	8	5	249	312	375	687	126	302	22	7	307	93	-5	-0	+0	+6	+17	1.8
2029	24	MLB	CHC	53%	597	541	136	26	3	13	43	127	8	9	5	251	316	383	699	131	303	21	7	312	97	-2	-0	+0	+6	+17	2.1
2030	25	MLB	CHC	55%	613	555	139	26	3	14	45	130	8	9	5	250	316	384	700	133	303	21	7	314	99	-1	-0	+0	+7	+17	2.3
2031	26	MLB	CHC	56%	620	561	141	27	3	14	46	131	8	9	5	251	317	385	702	134	303	21	7	315	99	-0	-0	+0	+7	+18	2.4
2032	27	MLB	CHC	55%	620	560	141	27	3	14	47	131	8	10	5	252	319	386	704	134	303	21	8	315	100	-0	+0	+0	+7	+18	2.4
2033	28	MLB	CHC	55%	615	555	139	26	3	14	47	131	8	9	5	250	318	384	702	133	302	21	8	315	99	-1	-0	-1	+7	+17	2.3
2034	29	MLB	CHC	53%	605	545	136	26	3	13	47	130	8	9	5	250	318	380	698	130	302	21	8	313	98	-2	-0	-1	+6	+17	2.1
2035	30	MLB	CHC	53%	595	536	133	25	3	13	46	130	8	8	4	248	317	379	696	131	301	22	8	310	96	-3	+0	-2	+6	+17	1.9
2036	31	MLB	CHC	52%	581	523	128	24	3	12	45	128	8	7	4	245	314	371	685	126	299	22	8	306	93	-5	-0	-3	+6	+16	1.5
2037	32	MLB	CHC	52%	562	507	122	22	3	11	43	126	7	6	3	241	309	361	670	120	296	22	8	301	88	-7	+0	-4	+6	+16	1.1
2038	33	MLB	CHC	56%	532	479	112	20	2	10	41	122	7	5	3	234	304	347	650	113	292	23	8	294	83	-10	-0	-4	+6	+15	0.6
2039	34	MLB	CHC	51%	485	439	99	17	2	8	37	115	6	4	2	226	295	328	623	103	287	24	8	285	77	-13	+0	-5	+5	+14	0.1
2040	35	MLB	CHC	47%	429	389	86	14	2	7	32	105	5	3	2	221	289	321	610	100	281	24	7	276	69	-15	-0	-6	+5	+12	-0.4
2027	22	MLB	CHC	34%	196	178	43	8	1	3	13	43	3	3	2	242	304	348	652	107	304	22	7	290	80	-4	-0	+0	+2	+6	0.3
2028	23	MLB	CHC	48%	283	257	65	12	2	6	20	61	4	4	2	253	317	385	702	132	304	22	7	298	86	-4	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.7
2029	24	MLB	CHC	53%	315	285	73	14	2	7	23	67	4	5	3	256	321	393	713	137	304	21	7	303	90	-3	-0	+0	+3	+9	0.9
2030	25	MLB	CHC	55%	335	302	78	15	2	8	25	71	5	5	3	258	325	401	726	142	304	21	7	306	92	-3	-0	+0	+4	+9	1.0
2031	26	MLB	CHC	56%	345	311	79	15	2	8	26	73	5	5	3	254	322	392	714	138	304	21	8	307	93	-3	-0	+0	+4	+10	1.1
2032	27	MLB	CHC	55%	341	307	78	15	2	8	26	72	5	5	3	254	322	394	717	140	304	21	8	307	93	-3	-0	+0	+4	+10	1.1
2033	28	MLB	CHC	55%	336	302	76	14	2	8	26	72	5	5	3	252	321	391	712	139	304	21	8	306	92	-3	-0	-0	+4	+10	1.0
2034	29	MLB	CHC	53%	323	291	73	14	2	7	25	70	4	5	3	251	319	385	704	134	303	22	8	304	91	-3	-0	-1	+3	+9	0.9
2035	30	MLB	CHC	53%	313	282	71	13	2	7	24	68	4	4	2	252	319	387	706	135	302	22	8	302	89	-4	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.7
2036	31	MLB	CHC	52%	303	273	67	13	1	6	23	67	4	4	2	245	313	366	680	121	300	22	8	298	86	-5	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.6
2037	32	MLB	CHC	52%	291	263	63	12	1	6	22	65	4	3	2	240	308	361	669	122	297	22	8	293	82	-6	-0	-2	+3	+8	0.4
2038	33	MLB	CHC	56%	298	269	63	11	1	6	23	69	4	3	2	234	304	349	653	115	293	23	8	286	77	-8	-0	-2	+3	+8	0.1
2039	34	MLB	CHC	51%	250	226	51	9	1	4	19	59	3	2	1	226	294	327	622	102	288	24	8	278	71	-8	+0	-3	+3	+7	-0.1
2040	35	MLB	CHC	47%	202	183	41	7	1	3	15	49	2	2	1	224	290	322	612	98	282	24	7	268	63	-8	+0	-3	+2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4131	3730	921	172	22	87	310	906	56	55	32	247	314	375	689	128	302	22	8	298	86	-65	-2	-13	+44	+117	8.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	145	27	3	14	49	143	9	9	5	247	315	375	690	128	303	22	8	298	86	-10	-0	-2	+7	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	9210	8322	2015	364	49	183	675	2078	136	149	78	242	309	364	673	121	300	23	7	302	89	-113	-1	-25	+99	+261	22.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	142	26	3	13	48	147	10	11	6	242	310	363	673	121	300	23	7	302	89	-8	-0	-2	+7	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	175	156	46	5	7	4	12	30	5	14	3	295	364	494	858	199	339	17	7	373	143	+9	+2	—	—	+5	1.5
2023	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	92	81	27	2	0	1	6	13	5	6	1	333	413	395	808	62	388	14	7	372	143	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	84	67	14	2	2	4	11	20	5	0	0	209	361	478	839	269	227	24	13	368	140	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	178	142	43	4	5	3	30	23	4	10	6	303	438	465	902	162	342	13	17	401	165	+13	-0	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	461	401	106	19	0	5	47	96	9	11	9	264	354	349	704	85	332	21	10	322	105	+2	-1	—	—	+13	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,450	90	60	244	308	368	+44	+24	11.7	10.1
	/162	664	13	9	244	308	368	+6.6	+3.6	1.7	pk7: 8
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Escobar (OGILVIE)	21	45	25	45	40	267/325/390	122	323	8	10	20%	7%	100	+2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→54	40	44→50	43	222/277/317	96	274	7	8	22%	5%	65	-0.7	237/310/328	91	301	5	9	21%	8%	82	+0.5	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/285/301	89	298	5	7	29%	6%	65	-0.7	218/299/286	68	273	4	4	20%	8%	67	-0.5	236/329/295	58	282	5	1	16%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Noah Mendlinger 2022 · A	21	49→59	39→40	44→45	51	229/306/320	91	288	5	6	21%	9%	78	+0.2	243/331/320	77	296	4	8	18%	9%	89	+0.9	272/355/343	71	323	2	8	15%	8%	101	+1.3
✕Anthony Dimino 2016 · A	22	48	35→40	47→50	48	223/281/286	63	285	2	6	22%	7%	57	-1.2	245/310/310	65	315	3	12	21%	8%	76	+0.1	255/321/317	62	324	3	16	20%	8%	78	+0.1
●Nick Dunn 2019 · A	22	42→52	39→45	46→40	40	203/259/285	82	266	7	8	26%	5%	49	-1.8	204/250/287	83	252	6	5	21%	5%	45	-2.1	267/331/377	111	295	9	3	12%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
●Niuman Romero 2006 · A	21	46→56	37→40	43→50	46	218/283/297	79	293	4	7	26%	7%	62	-0.9	218/281/281	63	285	3	7	23%	8%	56	-1.3	281/335/372	92	333	5	9	16%	7%	99	+1.6
✕Shawn Zarraga 2010 · A	21	44	36→40	48→45	47	207/285/272	64	289	4	5	28%	8%	57	-1.2	237/301/331	94	305	7	8	23%	6%	79	+0.3	277/347/362	84	322	4	2	14%	8%	106	+0.8
✕Sherman Lacrus 2016 · A	22	46	40→30	45→50	49	222/293/313	91	261	7	7	18%	7%	71	-0.3	207/262/291	84	277	5	8	26%	6%	51	-1.7	188/240/263	74	248	4	9	25%	5%	33	-0.9
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→45	40	46→40	43	215/264/301	87	273	8	6	24%	6%	54	-1.4	227/296/326	99	305	8	4	26%	8%	75	-0.0	220/294/315	95	295	8	2	26%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Andy Paz 2014 · A	21	45	38→40	42→45	47	212/273/289	77	273	5	5	23%	7%	56	-1.3	200/258/270	70	282	5	5	29%	7%	44	-2.1	202/252/250	48	271	3	6	25%	6%	33	-0.9
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	50	38→40	52→50	45	231/304/321	90	315	3	12	26%	7%	77	+0.1	213/282/287	74	343	3	10	36%	7%	59	-1.1	171/249/199	28	339	0	12	45%	7%	20	-0.7
✕Wilfredo Flores 2022 · A	22	45	41→30	50	41	218/265/316	98	275	9	10	24%	5%	59	-1.1	225/257/293	68	295	4	8	24%	4%	48	-1.9	234/259/287	53	303	3	8	23%	3%	44	-0.9
✕Noe Becerra 2008 · AAA	21	48	40→30	46→40	49	228/291/326	98	274	7	8	19%	7%	72	-0.2	210/269/291	81	267	7	8	23%	7%	54	-1.4	222/274/260	38	273	2	1	18%	6%	46	-0.6
✕Richard Paz 2022 · A	21	46	41→30	48→30	44	223/285/324	102	281	9	4	23%	6%	70	-0.3	205/284/279	74	293	5	3	29%	8%	59	-1.1	190/276/248	58	273	3	0	28%	8%	46	-1.0
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	46	37→40	47→40	49	214/282/293	80	268	3	4	20%	8%	60	-1.0	228/287/328	100	272	8	4	18%	7%	72	-0.2	266/310/330	64	299	2	0	12%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	50	-1.8	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	69	-0.4	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	87	+0.3
●Eric Sogard 2008 · A	22	45→55	42→45	46→55	43	221/269/323	102	269	11	9	22%	6%	63	-0.9	253/312/360	107	286	8	10	14%	8%	90	+1.0	260/322/363	103	292	7	10	13%	8%	92	+1.1
●Josh Thole 2007 · A	20	43→53	37→40	45	44	204/267/272	68	268	5	5	25%	6%	49	-1.8	252/314/324	72	302	3	4	16%	8%	81	+0.4	281/343/378	97	316	5	4	12%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3