Carlos Luis
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ASD | 161 | .243/.304/.338 | 1 | 0 | 40 | — | .204/.248/.283 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+/ASD | 446 | .305/.381/.440 | 6 | 3 | 84 | — | .253/.309/.353 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA/A+SD | 382 | .243/.297/.351 | 7 | 0 | 55 | — | .218/.260/.305 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres | — | 30 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 214 | 304 | 13 | 7 | 365 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres 1 | — | 176 | 160 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 307 | 275 | 582 | 38 | 314 | 22 | 9 | 271 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 161 | 148 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 243 | 304 | 338 | 642 | 95 | 307 | 20 | 8 | 292 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 92 | 83 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 326 | 349 | 675 | 96 | 328 | 21 | 10 | 307 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 354 | 310 | 99 | 25 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 64 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 319 | 395 | 465 | 860 | 145 | 380 | 18 | 10 | 379 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 24 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 333 | 391 | 725 | 87 | 389 | 21 | 4 | 325 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 358 | 327 | 78 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 295 | 349 | 643 | 110 | 284 | 21 | 6 | 287 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 30 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 200 | 241 | 441 | 69 | 194 | 17 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 1 | — | 176 | 166 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 181 | 227 | 211 | 438 | 30 | 268 | 32 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 161 | 152 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 204 | 248 | 283 | 531 | 79 | 285 | 30 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 92 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 250 | 256 | 506 | 58 | 291 | 26 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 354 | 322 | 86 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 90 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 267 | 324 | 379 | 703 | 112 | 338 | 25 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 24 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 333 | 391 | 725 | 87 | 382 | 25 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 358 | 334 | 71 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 94 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 255 | 299 | 554 | 87 | 268 | 26 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 30 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 200 | 241 | 441 | 69 | 208 | 17 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres | — | 30 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 214 | 304 | 13 | 7 | 365 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 1 | — | 176 | 166 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 181 | 227 | 211 | 438 | 30 | 273 | 32 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Padres 1 | — | 176 | 160 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 307 | 275 | 582 | 38 | 314 | 22 | 9 | 271 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 161 | 152 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 204 | 248 | 283 | 531 | 79 | 291 | 30 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 161 | 148 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 243 | 304 | 338 | 642 | 95 | 307 | 20 | 8 | 292 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 408 | 103 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 114 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 252 | 308 | 353 | 661 | 100 | 333 | 26 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 446 | 393 | 120 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 83 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 305 | 381 | 440 | 821 | 135 | 369 | 19 | 10 | 364 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 357 | 78 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 100 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 260 | 305 | 565 | 87 | 281 | 26 | 4 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 382 | 350 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 80 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 297 | 351 | 649 | 109 | 291 | 21 | 6 | 289 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 30 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 200 | 241 | 441 | 69 | 194 | 17 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 1 | — | 176 | 164 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 183 | 227 | 213 | 441 | 30 | 268 | 32 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 161 | 151 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 248 | 285 | 533 | 79 | 285 | 30 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 410 | 103 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 114 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 251 | 308 | 351 | 660 | 100 | 328 | 26 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 359 | 78 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 100 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 260 | 304 | 564 | 86 | 275 | 26 | 4 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1195 | 1112 | 247 | 47 | 4 | 12 | 67 | 323 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 222 | 270 | 304 | 574 | 82 | 299 | 27 | 6 | 254 | 58 | -60 | -0 | +0 | +13 | +26 | -2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 135 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 176 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 270 | 307 | 577 | 84 | 300 | 27 | 6 | 254 | 58 | -33 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 358 PAwOBA .283 → .247 (−36)K% 20.9% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.95% | ÷1.014 | ×1.270 | — | — | 26.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.42% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 4.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.956 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 22.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷1.118 | ×0.810 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.848 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.59% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 91, 2B 124, 3B 130, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .283 → .247; ISO .110 → .092; BABIP .284 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 24 PAwOBA .316 → .288 (−28)K% 20.8% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷0.963 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷0.958 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 28.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 9.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .316 → .288; ISO .087 → .074; BABIP .389 → .382. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ALake Elsinore Storm · 354 PAwOBA .374 → .305 (−68)K% 18.1% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.08% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.89% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.24% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 25.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.16% | ÷1.115 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 7.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.938 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.06% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 123, 3B 100, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .374 → .305; ISO .145 → .114; BABIP .380 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 92 PAwOBA .299 → .242 (−58)K% 20.7% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.65% | ÷0.992 | ×1.270 | — | — | 26.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.78% | ÷1.011 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.44% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 21.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.935 | ×0.810 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 2.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 96, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .299 → .242; ISO .096 → .073; BABIP .328 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ALake Elsinore Storm · 161 PAwOBA .284 → .228 (−56)K% 20.5% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.50% | ÷0.932 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.07% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | — | 20.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.83% | ÷1.053 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | — | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.028 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | — | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.815 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.85% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 100, 2B 111, 3B 106, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .284 → .228; ISO .095 → .075; BABIP .307 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKAZL Padres 1 · 176 PAwOBA .265 → .195 (−70)K% 22.2% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.16% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 23.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 2.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .265 → .195; ISO .037 → .026; BABIP .314 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 DSLDSL Padres · 30 PAwOBA .355 → .217 (−137)K% 13.3% → 16.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 4.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.008 | 11.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 7.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.97% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .355 → .217; ISO .214 → .114; BABIP .304 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).