Jake Fox — OGILVIE

Jake FoxOF Akron RubberDucks

Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION130 act + 190 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .303 / .317

PA190

HR2

SB5

K%25

BB%11

BABIP288

ISO102

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Indians	—	49	45	15	1	0	0	3	14	0	7	0	333	375	356	731	22	469	29	6	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL Indians	—	49	42	17	1	0	0	6	9	0	7	0	405	479	429	908	24	500	18	12	407	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	470	405	80	21	2	4	49	133	11	21	3	198	301	289	590	91	278	28	10	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	470	380	94	25	4	5	74	90	11	21	3	247	385	374	759	126	307	19	16	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	453	414	85	22	3	6	34	132	1	9	5	205	267	316	584	111	282	29	8	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	453	402	103	23	5	8	45	103	1	9	5	256	332	398	730	142	322	23	10	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	408	369	62	13	1	4	33	111	3	9	1	168	242	241	483	73	226	27	8	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	408	354	77	16	2	7	48	86	3	9	1	218	316	333	649	116	265	21	12	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	330	286	46	8	6	3	40	105	0	12	2	161	264	262	526	101	236	32	12	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	330	274	54	10	6	3	52	73	0	12	2	197	325	310	635	113	252	22	16	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	CLE	—	130	108	32	6	1	0	19	26	0	6	4	296	402	370	772	74	381	20	15	345	122	+3	-0	+0	-1	+4	0.6
YTD	23	AA	CLE	—	130	98	30	6	1	0	28	20	0	6	4	306	457	388	844	82	375	15	22	382	151	+7	-0	+0	-1	+4	1.0
ROS	23	AA	CLE	2%	190	167	36	7	2	2	21	48	0	5	2	216	303	317	621	102	288	25	11	279	71	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
ROS	23	MLB	CLE	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		289	25	0	277	70	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	CLE	—	134	112	33	6	1	0	19	27	0	6	4	295	397	366	763	71	379	20	14	343	121	+3	-0	+0	-1	+4	0.6
TOT	23	AA	CLE	—	320	275	68	13	3	2	40	74	0	11	6	247	343	338	681	91	327	23	12	306	92	-3	-0	+0	-2	+9	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CLE	31%	397	349	75	15	3	4	44	100	1	9	4	215	305	309	614	95	289	25	11	286	77	-10	+0	+0	-2	+11	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	CLE	45%	437	384	87	17	4	7	48	108	2	10	4	227	316	346	662	120	289	25	11	294	83	-8	+0	+0	-3	+12	0.2
2029	26	MLB	CLE	51%	461	406	92	18	4	8	50	113	2	11	4	227	314	350	664	123	290	25	11	298	86	-7	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.4
2030	27	MLB	CLE	53%	469	413	93	18	4	8	51	115	2	11	4	225	313	346	660	121	289	25	11	299	87	-7	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.4
2027	24	MLB	CLE	31%	123	108	24	5	1	1	14	31	0	3	1	222	311	315	626	93	289	25	11	284	76	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	CLE	45%	195	171	38	7	2	3	21	48	1	5	2	222	311	339	650	117	290	25	11	291	81	-4	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.0
2029	26	MLB	CLE	51%	235	206	47	9	2	4	26	58	1	5	2	228	318	350	667	121	290	25	11	295	84	-4	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.1
2030	27	MLB	CLE	53%	246	216	48	9	2	4	27	61	1	6	2	222	311	338	649	116	290	25	11	296	84	-4	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	803	705	158	30	7	12	88	199	3	19	7	224	313	338	650	113	293	25	11	293	82	-16	+1	+0	-5	+23	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	128	24	6	10	71	161	2	15	6	224	312	340	651	116	293	25	11	293	82	-13	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	3664	3238	671	140	29	46	373	979	22	104	29	207	293	311	604	104	279	27	10	273	67	-137	+9	+0	-22	+104	-4.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	119	25	5	8	66	174	4	18	5	207	293	310	604	103	280	27	10	273	67	-24	+2	+0	-4	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Indians	—	49	42	17	1	0	0	6	9	0	7	0	405	479	429	908	24	500	18	12	407	170	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2022	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	470	380	94	25	4	5	74	90	11	21	3	247	385	374	759	126	307	19	16	347	124	+12	+3	—	—	+13	2.9
2023	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	453	402	103	23	5	8	45	103	1	9	5	256	332	398	730	142	322	23	10	325	107	+3	-0	—	—	+13	1.6
2024	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	408	354	77	16	2	7	48	86	3	9	1	218	316	333	649	116	265	21	12	297	85	-7	+1	—	—	+12	0.6
2025	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	330	274	54	10	6	3	52	73	0	12	2	197	325	310	635	113	252	22	16	293	82	-7	+2	—	—	+9	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	805	13	19	224	310	339	-5	+0	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	10	15	224	310	339	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Fox (OGILVIE)	23	35	35	50	60	247/343/338	91	327	2	11	23%	12%	92	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2021 · AA	23	42	40	50	48	204/285/300	96	281	8	18	28%	9%	64	-0.8	200/261/296	96	312	9	11	36%	7%	53	-1.5	146/208/210	64	238	7	8	40%	6%	4	-1.2
✕Richie Fecteau 2017 · A	23	39	36→45	44→40	49	186/257/257	72	243	2	6	23%	8%	41	-2.3	219/269/321	102	294	9	4	27%	6%	62	-0.9	223/268/330	107	301	10	2	28%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Raynel Delgado 2023 · AA	23	40→50	39→40	49→60	43	195/265/283	88	276	7	15	30%	7%	51	-1.7	229/292/326	97	319	8	23	29%	7%	73	-0.1	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Noe Becerra 2010 · AAA	23	44	39→30	43→40	48	213/275/293	80	267	7	7	23%	8%	57	-1.2	232/280/318	86	272	7	7	17%	6%	66	-0.6	274/319/333	59	310	3	0	12%	5%	84	+0.2
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	198/268/265	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	47	-1.9	206/304/278	72	297	4	26	29%	9%	68	-0.5	217/333/268	51	299	3	35	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	41→45	51→55	44	215/279/319	105	286	7	13	26%	7%	66	-0.6	207/259/301	94	296	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	165/200/219	54	252	0	15	33%	4%	4	-0.8
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	44→36	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/277	74	287	3	12	28%	7%	57	-1.2	205/290/306	101	264	9	15	24%	8%	69	-0.4	199/291/294	95	251	9	15	23%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Jake Thomas 2016 · A	23	44	39→30	49→50	47	210/289/293	83	281	7	8	26%	8%	64	-0.8	203/284/269	66	306	2	8	31%	10%	56	-1.3	195/285/252	57	302	1	8	32%	11%	49	-0.9
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A	23	42→43	39→40	52→50	58	198/312/287	89	285	6	14	30%	14%	73	-0.1	204/300/291	87	305	4	9	30%	12%	69	-0.4	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
✕Thomas Milone 2018 · A	23	40→44	36→45	44→55	41	188/246/253	65	270	3	11	30%	6%	34	-2.8	227/278/332	105	314	6	14	28%	6%	68	-0.5	243/298/369	125	340	8	17	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	41	181/235/274	93	246	8	11	29%	6%	36	-2.7	225/291/315	90	302	7	9	26%	8%	70	-0.3	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Alvaro Ramirez 2009 · A	23	45	38→40	49→55	46	213/277/299	86	263	5	15	20%	6%	60	-1.0	238/293/315	77	287	5	16	18%	5%	70	-0.3	298/358/375	77	330	4	27	10%	5%	111	+1.0
✕Josh Alley 2007 · A	23	45	37→40	45→50	58	211/301/282	72	255	5	10	18%	11%	67	-0.5	235/317/324	89	291	5	10	19%	11%	83	+0.6	258/341/355	97	313	5	10	18%	11%	98	+0.8
✕Preston Beck 2014 · A	23	42→44	39→45	49→45	48	203/270/289	86	254	6	10	22%	8%	55	-1.4	210/278/321	111	267	9	8	24%	8%	66	-0.6	211/276/328	117	263	10	7	23%	8%	65	-0.6
●Nathan Church 2023 · A	23	42→52	37→45	50→55	45	200/271/273	73	253	5	10	22%	6%	52	-1.6	232/285/317	85	275	6	16	17%	6%	68	-0.5	254/302/376	123	289	13	18	17%	6%	87	+0.6
✕Paul Cruz 2009 · A	23	39	37→40	46→45	49	187/250/260	73	233	4	7	21%	8%	38	-2.6	218/274/301	83	263	6	7	19%	7%	59	-1.1	235/289/314	79	269	7	6	15%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→44	42→55	51→45	45	198/266/301	103	259	9	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	220/277/364	144	296	17	6	30%	6%	78	+0.2	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Davis Bradshaw 2021 · A	23	46	36→40	52→50	39	218/261/285	67	284	3	12	24%	4%	49	-1.8	252/304/325	73	318	4	11	21%	5%	77	+0.1	270/323/338	69	342	4	10	21%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	42	38→40	52→55	48	201/266/278	77	257	5	16	23%	8%	50	-1.8	211/289/288	77	274	5	10	23%	9%	63	-0.9	204/298/261	57	263	3	4	21%	11%	58	-0.5
✕Nick Maton 2021 · AA	24	42	41→50	45	44	206/270/300	94	283	8	9	29%	8%	57	-1.2	211/291/339	128	285	12	7	28%	9%	77	+0.1	215/306/369	154	265	18	4	25%	10%	89	+0.6