Jake Fox — OGILVIE

Jake FoxOF Akron RubberDucks

Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION169 act + 23 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .261 / .238

PA23

HR0

K%22

BB%9

BABIP296

ISO48

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	ACL Indians	—	49	42	17	1	0	0	6	9	0	7	0	405	479	429	908	24	500	18	12	407	162	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	470	380	94	25	4	5	74	90	11	21	3	247	385	374	759	126	307	19	16	347	121	+12	+3	—	—	+10	2.5
2023	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	453	402	103	23	5	8	45	103	1	9	5	256	332	398	730	142	322	23	10	325	106	+3	-0	—	—	+10	1.3
2024	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	408	354	77	16	2	7	48	86	3	9	1	218	316	333	649	116	265	21	12	297	87	-6	+1	—	—	+9	0.4
2025	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	330	274	54	10	6	3	52	73	0	12	2	197	325	310	635	113	252	22	16	293	85	-6	+2	—	—	+7	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	49	44	15	1	0	0	4	13	0	7	0	341	396	364	759	23	427	27	8	316	100	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	470	406	80	20	3	4	48	130	11	21	3	197	299	291	590	94	267	28	10	267	67	-19	+3	—	—	+10	-0.5
2023	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	453	415	82	19	3	6	33	135	1	9	5	198	258	301	560	104	272	30	7	249	55	-24	-0	—	—	+10	-1.5
2024	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	408	369	62	12	1	5	33	113	3	9	1	168	242	247	489	79	224	28	8	224	38	-30	+1	—	—	+9	-2.0
2025	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	330	288	47	8	6	2	38	94	0	12	2	163	261	253	514	90	225	28	12	238	47	-21	+2	—	—	+7	-1.2
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	49	44	15	1	0	0	4	13	0	7	0	341	396	364	759	23	469	27	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Indians	—	49	42	17	1	0	0	6	9	0	7	0	405	479	429	908	24	500	18	12	407	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	470	406	80	20	3	4	48	130	11	21	3	197	299	291	590	94	274	28	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	470	380	94	25	4	5	74	90	11	21	3	247	385	374	759	126	307	19	16	347	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	453	415	82	19	3	6	33	135	1	9	5	198	258	301	560	104	273	30	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	453	402	103	23	5	8	45	103	1	9	5	256	332	398	730	142	322	23	10	325	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	408	369	62	12	1	5	33	113	3	9	1	168	242	247	489	79	224	28	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	408	354	77	16	2	7	48	86	3	9	1	218	316	333	649	116	265	21	12	297	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	330	288	47	8	6	2	38	94	0	12	2	163	261	253	514	90	230	28	12	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	—	330	274	54	10	6	3	52	73	0	12	2	197	325	310	635	113	252	22	16	293	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	49	45	15	1	0	0	4	13	0	7	0	333	396	356	751	22	427	27	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	470	408	80	20	3	4	48	130	11	21	3	196	299	289	588	93	267	28	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	453	416	82	19	3	6	33	135	1	9	5	197	258	300	559	103	272	30	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	408	369	62	12	1	5	33	113	3	9	1	168	242	247	489	79	224	28	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	330	289	47	8	6	2	38	94	0	12	2	163	261	253	513	90	225	28	12	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	453	416	82	19	3	6	33	135	1	9	5	197	258	300	559	103	272	30	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	408	369	62	12	1	5	33	113	3	9	1	168	242	247	489	79	224	28	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	330	289	47	8	6	2	38	94	0	12	2	163	261	253	513	90	225	28	12	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	CLE	—	169	142	46	9	3	1	23	29	0	6	4	324	418	451	869	127	391	17	14	376	141	+8	-0	+0	-1	+4	1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	CLE	—	169	131	45	9	3	1	33	24	0	6	4	344	473	481	954	137	404	14	20	417	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	CLE	2%	23	21	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	190	261	238	499	48	299	22	9	294	85	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	CLE	—	192	163	50	10	3	1	25	34	0	7	4	307	399	423	822	117	374	18	13	366	134	+8	-0	+0	-1	+4	1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CLE	31%	397	350	80	16	4	4	43	92	1	9	3	229	315	331	646	103	297	23	11	297	87	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	45%	437	385	91	17	5	7	47	100	2	9	4	236	323	361	684	125	297	23	11	304	92	-4	+0	+0	-3	+9	0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	CLE	51%	461	407	96	18	5	8	49	106	2	10	4	236	321	364	685	128	297	23	11	308	95	-3	+0	+0	-3	+10	0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	469	414	97	18	5	8	50	108	2	10	4	234	320	360	680	126	297	23	11	308	95	-3	+0	+0	-3	+10	0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	469	413	97	18	5	8	51	108	2	10	4	235	322	361	683	126	296	23	11	307	94	-3	+0	-1	-3	+10	0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	463	408	95	18	4	8	50	108	2	9	3	233	320	355	675	123	296	23	11	305	93	-4	+1	-1	-3	+10	0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	454	400	91	17	4	7	49	107	2	8	3	228	315	343	657	115	294	24	11	303	91	-5	+0	-2	-3	+10	0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	CLE	31%	123	109	25	5	1	1	13	29	0	3	1	229	311	321	633	92	295	24	11	293	87	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	45%	195	171	41	8	2	3	21	45	1	4	2	240	326	363	689	123	295	23	11	299	92	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CLE	51%	235	207	48	9	2	4	25	54	1	5	2	232	318	353	670	121	295	23	11	303	95	-2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	246	217	51	10	2	4	26	56	1	5	2	235	320	355	675	120	295	23	11	303	95	-2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	250	220	51	10	2	4	27	58	1	5	2	232	319	350	669	118	295	23	11	302	94	-2	+0	-0	-2	+5	0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	243	214	49	9	2	4	26	57	1	5	2	229	315	346	661	117	294	23	11	300	93	-2	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	237	208	48	9	2	4	26	56	1	4	2	231	319	351	670	120	293	24	11	298	91	-3	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1529	1346	313	60	13	24	164	355	6	31	13	233	319	350	669	117	297	23	11	300	79	-13	+1	-2	-9	+33	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	134	26	6	10	70	151	3	13	6	234	321	353	675	119	300	23	11	300	79	-6	+0	-1	-4	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4883	4320	937	183	45	67	497	1219	28	124	36	217	302	327	628	110	284	25	10	285	79	-28	+3	-4	-19	+69	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	124	24	6	9	66	162	4	17	5	216	301	325	626	110	282	25	10	285	79	-6	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.3	1,535	25	31	235	318	357	-9	+0	2.1	2.1
/162	664	11	14	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Fox (OGILVIE)	23	35	35	50	60	227/313/330	102	299	3	8	23%	11%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Noe Becerra 2010 · AAA	23	44	39→30	43→40	49	213/278/291	78	269	7	7	23%	8%	63	-1.4	236/289/321	85	277	7	7	16%	7%	74	-0.6	282/332/341	59	319	2	0	12%	6%	93	+0.3
✕Richie Fecteau 2017 · A	23	39	36→45	44→40	49	186/257/257	72	243	2	6	23%	8%	48	-2.5	217/265/321	104	293	9	4	28%	5%	64	-1.3	218/262/328	110	297	10	2	29%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2021 · AA	23	43	40	51→50	49	206/287/303	97	281	7	18	28%	9%	70	-0.9	201/263/300	99	311	9	11	36%	7%	60	-1.6	148/212/219	71	239	8	8	39%	6%	19	-1.1
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/276	74	285	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/295/314	104	266	10	15	23%	8%	76	-0.4	205/297/303	98	254	9	15	22%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/268/264	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	210/306/281	71	297	4	26	28%	9%	73	-0.6	226/338/275	49	304	3	35	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Ricardo Gastelum 2008 · AAA	24	44	40	51→40	41	215/261/306	91	283	7	10	26%	5%	59	-1.6	251/295/341	90	311	7	7	21%	5%	80	-0.2	270/312/346	76	329	5	3	19%	4%	86	+0.1
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	40→45	51→55	44	215/280/315	101	289	7	13	27%	7%	69	-0.9	208/260/300	92	298	6	11	30%	6%	58	-1.7	173/207/222	50	261	0	15	32%	4%	18	-0.8
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→45	41→50	51→40	45	197/267/298	101	259	8	11	26%	7%	61	-1.5	220/278/357	137	292	15	6	29%	6%	79	-0.2	222/283/366	144	287	17	3	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Nathan Church 2023 · A	23	42→52	37→45	50→55	45	200/272/272	72	251	5	10	21%	6%	57	-1.8	234/288/317	83	274	6	16	16%	6%	72	-0.7	253/302/366	112	285	12	18	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jake Thomas 2016 · A	23	44	39→30	49→50	47	210/289/293	83	281	7	8	26%	8%	68	-1.0	206/288/273	67	306	2	8	30%	10%	63	-1.3	200/292/257	57	304	1	8	30%	11%	59	-0.8
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→45	49→55	47	200/278/275	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	60	-1.6	192/289/299	107	272	9	9	30%	11%	70	-0.8	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Josh Alley 2007 · A	23	45	37→40	45→50	58	211/301/282	72	255	5	10	18%	11%	71	-0.8	235/317/322	87	290	5	10	19%	11%	84	+0.2	258/342/352	94	313	4	10	17%	11%	98	+0.6
✕Alvaro Ramirez 2009 · A	23	45	38→40	49→55	46	213/277/299	86	263	5	15	20%	6%	65	-1.2	238/293/315	77	287	5	16	18%	5%	74	-0.6	298/358/375	77	330	4	27	10%	5%	110	+0.8
✕Taylor Trammell 2021 · AA	23	42→46	40→55	51→55	46	203/278/290	87	288	8	17	30%	9%	63	-1.3	213/292/373	160	289	19	15	31%	9%	88	+0.4	203/297/373	170	273	21	23	32%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Paul Cruz 2009 · A	23	39	37→40	46→45	49	187/250/260	73	233	4	7	21%	8%	45	-2.7	218/274/301	83	263	6	7	19%	7%	63	-1.3	235/289/314	79	269	7	6	15%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Preston Beck 2014 · A	23	43→44	38→45	49→45	48	207/275/290	82	264	5	10	23%	8%	61	-1.5	213/279/322	109	270	9	8	23%	8%	71	-0.8	213/277/329	116	265	9	7	22%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Missael Rivera 2019 · AAA	23	46	43→50	50→45	43	225/272/336	111	280	10	12	24%	6%	71	-0.8	240/302/390	150	309	16	9	26%	7%	95	+1.0	240/303/395	155	305	16	5	26%	7%	97	+0.6
✕Davis Bradshaw 2021 · A	23	46	36→40	52→50	39	219/261/285	66	286	3	12	24%	4%	55	-2.0	252/305/325	73	319	4	11	21%	5%	80	-0.1	271/324/338	67	344	3	10	21%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A	23	37	40→50	47→45	41	185/249/273	88	279	9	6	35%	8%	49	-2.4	200/248/288	88	265	8	6	26%	6%	51	-2.3	188/228/265	77	236	7	4	24%	5%	36	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps