Jack Pineda

SS Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 27 L/R 5'8" / 170 lbs AA HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1888ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424AA/A+2 orgs502.250/.353/.37381967—.219/.298/.319
202525AANorthwest Ark…248.235/.307/.3122545—.207/.262/.264
202626AAA/AA2 orgs331.351/.415/.530918127—.323/.372/.471
2027PROJMLE27MLBKC3.240/.294/.34500820.0
2028PROJ33% MLB28MLBKC74.238/.293/.34312820.1
2029PROJ46% MLB29MLBKC111.236/.292/.34122810.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Whiff%85
K%79
Z-Con%78
Speed71
Max EV23
Chase%16
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsMason Williams (age 27) · Tzu-Wei Lin (age 26) · Juan Centeno (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†82
AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .294 / .345
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%5
BABIP293
ISO105
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202323 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 288242 551502 41742 163 227344314658 87319 2614 305 53 — — — — — —
202323 INTLBrisbane Bandits — 130118 30701 9272 51 254318339657 85322 217 298 88 — — — — — —
202424 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 155128 30703 13373 41 234319359679 125300 248 288 57 — — — — — —
202424 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 347288 741625 43727 155 257367378745 122319 2112 333 72 — — — — — —
202525 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 248221 521102 16527 51 235307312620 77298 216 282 45 — — — — — —
202626 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers — 9286 261002 3152 20 302341488829 186343 163 361 96 — — — — — —
202626 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 239210 781037 20317 164 371443548991 176413 138 434 139 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202323 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 288252 471201 31942 163 187281246527 60292 3311 247 53 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 155132 28603 9463 41 212278326604 114266 306 252 57 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 347301 671224 30897 155 223308316623 93280 269 274 72 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 248227 471001 10627 51 207262264527 57269 254 235 45 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 9287 24901 2182 20 276308414721 138318 202 310 96 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 239217 74936 13387 164 341397493890 152381 165 373 139 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLE2 teams — 418365 701802 451364 214 192287258545 66300 3311 247 53 — — — — — —
202323 A+ RAW2 teams — 418360 852203 501014 214 236336322658 86320 2412 303 53 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLE2 teams — 502433 951827 3913510 196 219299319617 99295 278 267 67 — — — — — —
202424 A+ RAW2 teams — 502416 1042328 5610910 196 250353373725 123314 2211 319 67 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 248227 471001 10627 51 207262264527 57279 254 235 45 — — — — — —
202525 AA RAWNorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 248221 521102 16527 51 235307312620 77298 216 282 45 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE2 teams — 331304 961737 15569 184 316366461826 145368 175 355 127 — — — — — —
202626 AA RAW2 teams — 331296 1042039 23469 184 351415530945 179393 147 414 127 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLE2 teams — 418366 701802 451364 214 191287257544 66292 3311 247 53 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLE2 teams — 502448 951827 3913510 196 212299308607 96276 278 267 67 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 248229 471001 10627 51 205262262524 57269 254 235 45 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE2 teams — 331304 961737 15569 184 316366461826 145363 175 355 127 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 A+ MLE2 teams — 502448 951827 3913510 196 212299308607 96276 278 267 67 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 248229 471001 10627 51 205262262524 57269 254 235 45 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE2 teams — 331304 961737 15569 184 316366461826 145363 175 355 127 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLEKC 2% 380350 851626 19808 102 242296351647 109295 215 290 82 -8 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXKC 2% 33 0000 010 00 240294345639 105293 330 287 82 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLEKC 33% 222204 49914 11475 51 241295349644 109294 215 289 82 -5 +1 -1 +2 +5 0.2
202929 MLB MLEKC 46% 240220 531014 13525 41 239294346640 108293 225 288 81 -5 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.1
202828 MLB CTXKC 33% 7468 16301 4162 20 238293343636 105292 225 286 82 -2 +0 -0 +1 +2 0.1
202929 MLB CTXKC 46% 111102 25512 6242 21 236292341632 104291 225 284 81 -3 +0 -1 +1 +2 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 185170 41813 10404 41 241299353652 112297 225 285 75 -4 +0 -1 +2 +4 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650597 14528411 3514114 144 243300358659 116298 225 285 75 -15 +1 -3 +7 +14 0.5
Career— MLE — 21161896 44589827 14152143 7618 235302333635 98307 257 280 75 -14 +1 -2 +7 +13 0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 1362728 4316013 236 234300328629 95306 257 280 75 -14 +1 -2 +7 +14 0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 239 PAwOBA .422 → .373 (−48)K% 13.0% → 15.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.97%÷1.000×1.220——15.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.95%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9785.44%
HBP% /PA2.93%—×0.870—×0.9782.49%
Singles /BIP32.40%÷1.000×0.920×1.047×0.97830.51%
Doubles /BIP5.59%÷1.000×0.840×1.047×0.9784.80%
Triples /BIP1.68%÷1.000×0.940×1.047×0.9781.61%
Home runs /BIP3.91%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9783.06%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.

Result: wOBA .422 → .373; ISO .176 → .149; BABIP .413 → .381. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 92 PAwOBA .355 → .310 (−45)K% 16.3% → 19.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.30%÷1.000×1.200——19.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.26%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0032.26%
HBP% /PA2.17%—×0.940—×1.0032.05%
Singles /BIP19.72%÷1.000×0.930×1.050×1.00319.31%
Doubles /BIP14.08%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.00312.31%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP2.82%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0031.98%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .355 → .310; ISO .186 → .149; BABIP .343 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 248 PAwOBA .276 → .235 (−41)K% 21.0% → 25.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.97%÷1.022×1.220——25.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.45%÷1.059×0.700—×0.9884.21%
HBP% /PA2.82%—×0.870—×0.9882.43%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷1.034×0.920×1.040×0.98821.10%
Doubles /BIP6.51%÷0.984×0.840×1.040×0.9885.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.940×1.040×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP1.18%÷1.077×0.800—×0.9880.87%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 104, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .276 → .235; ISO .077 → .064; BABIP .298 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 347 PAwOBA .328 → .274 (−54)K% 20.7% → 25.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.75%÷1.024×1.270——25.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.10%÷0.967×0.710—×0.9788.69%
HBP% /PA2.02%—×0.790—×0.9781.56%
Singles /BIP23.61%÷0.988×0.920×1.023×0.97822.00%
Doubles /BIP7.41%÷1.113×0.810×1.023×0.9785.39%
Triples /BIP0.93%÷1.150×0.850×1.023×0.9780.69%
Home runs /BIP2.31%÷0.959×0.800—×0.9781.89%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 98, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .328 → .274; ISO .122 → .096; BABIP .319 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 155 PAwOBA .284 → .252 (−32)K% 23.9% → 29.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.87%÷0.991×1.220——29.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.39%÷1.056×0.700—×0.9985.55%
HBP% /PA1.94%—×0.870—×0.9981.68%
Singles /BIP21.98%÷1.073×0.920×1.050×0.99819.74%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.025×0.840×1.050×0.9986.61%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.940×1.050×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP3.30%÷0.920×0.800—×0.9982.86%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 115, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .284 → .252; ISO .125 → .117; BABIP .300 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 288 PAwOBA .298 → .247 (−51)K% 25.7% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.69%÷1.005×1.270——32.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.24%÷0.929×0.710—×0.98810.75%
HBP% /PA0.69%—×0.790—×0.9880.54%
Singles /BIP22.62%÷0.997×0.920×1.029×0.98821.22%
Doubles /BIP8.93%÷0.957×0.810×1.029×0.9887.68%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.908×0.850×1.029×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP1.19%÷1.033×0.800—×0.9880.91%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 82, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .298 → .247; ISO .087 → .070; BABIP .319 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .