Jack Pineda — OGILVIE

Jack PinedaSS Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 26 L/R 5'8" / 170 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION230 act + 153 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†99

AVG/OBP/SLG.266 / .328 / .388

PA153

HR3

SB6

K%22

BB%7

BABIP329

ISO122

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$11M	+$11M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$10M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.3M
2034	Arb-3	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$37M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	A+	2 teams	—	418	361	68	19	0	2	49	143	4	21	4	188	292	258	550	69	306	34	12	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	2 teams	—	418	360	85	22	0	3	50	101	4	21	4	236	336	322	658	86	320	24	12	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	502	432	94	18	1	8	40	141	10	19	6	218	299	319	618	102	297	28	8	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	502	416	104	23	2	8	56	109	10	19	6	250	353	373	725	123	314	22	11	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	248	227	47	10	0	2	10	64	7	5	1	207	262	278	540	70	278	26	4	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	248	221	52	11	0	2	16	52	7	5	1	235	307	312	620	77	298	21	6	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	KC	—	230	210	74	9	3	6	12	37	6	16	4	352	404	510	913	157	407	16	5	394	160	+16	+2	+0	+2	+7	2.7
YTD	26	AA	KC	—	230	203	76	10	3	7	19	29	6	16	4	374	443	557	1.000	182	413	13	8	437	193	+24	+2	+0	+2	+7	3.5
ROS	26	AA	KC	2%	153	139	37	6	1	3	10	34	3	6	2	266	328	388	716	122	330	22	7	315	99	-0	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.6
ROS	26	MLB	KC	2%	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	333	333	333	667		326	33	0	297	85	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	AA	KC	—	233	213	75	9	3	6	12	38	6	16	4	352	403	507	910	155	408	16	5	393	159	+15	+2	+0	+2	+7	2.7
TOT	26	AA	KC	—	383	349	111	15	4	9	22	71	9	22	6	318	373	461	834	143	377	19	6	363	136	+15	+2	+0	+4	+11	3.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	KC	27%	402	365	96	16	2	8	27	91	7	12	3	263	326	384	709	121	325	23	7	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.7
2028	28	MLB	KC	40%	459	416	108	18	3	9	32	104	8	12	3	260	325	382	707	123	323	23	7	316	100	-0	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.9
2029	29	MLB	KC	45%	491	445	115	19	3	10	35	112	8	11	3	258	324	382	706	124	321	23	7	314	99	-1	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.8
2030	30	MLB	KC	48%	507	457	118	20	3	10	36	117	9	10	3	258	325	381	705	123	319	23	7	312	97	-2	+1	-2	+5	+14	1.7
2031	31	MLB	KC	49%	514	464	118	20	3	10	36	121	9	9	2	254	320	375	695	121	317	24	7	308	94	-4	+1	-3	+6	+15	1.5
2032	32	MLB	KC	50%	514	465	116	19	3	9	36	123	8	8	2	249	314	361	676	112	314	24	7	303	90	-6	+1	-4	+6	+15	1.2
2033	33	MLB	KC	51%	450	408	98	16	2	7	32	110	7	6	1	240	306	341	647	100	311	24	7	296	85	-8	+1	-4	+5	+13	0.6
2034	34	MLB	KC	46%	383	347	83	13	2	6	27	96	6	4	1	239	305	340	645	101	306	25	7	288	78	-9	+0	-5	+4	+11	0.1
2035	35	MLB	KC	42%	325	295	68	10	2	5	22	84	5	3	1	231	295	329	624	98	300	26	7	278	71	-11	+0	-6	+3	+9	-0.3
2027	27	MLB	KC	27%	108	98	26	4	1	2	7	24	2	3	1	265	327	388	715	122	321	22	6	299	87	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.3
2028	28	MLB	KC	40%	183	165	42	7	1	3	13	42	3	5	1	255	320	364	684	109	319	23	7	299	87	-3	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.5
2029	29	MLB	KC	45%	220	199	50	8	1	4	15	50	4	5	1	251	317	362	678	111	317	23	7	298	86	-3	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.5
2030	30	MLB	KC	48%	241	218	55	9	1	5	17	56	4	5	1	252	318	372	690	119	316	23	7	296	84	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2031	31	MLB	KC	49%	253	229	57	9	1	5	18	59	4	4	1	249	315	362	677	114	314	23	7	292	82	-5	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.4
2032	32	MLB	KC	50%	258	234	56	9	1	4	18	62	4	4	1	239	305	338	642	98	311	24	7	287	78	-6	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.2
2033	33	MLB	KC	51%	228	206	50	8	1	4	16	56	4	3	1	243	310	350	659	107	307	25	7	281	73	-7	+0	-2	+2	+6	0.0
2034	34	MLB	KC	46%	177	160	38	6	1	3	12	44	3	2	0	237	303	344	647	106	302	25	7	273	67	-7	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.2
2035	35	MLB	KC	42%	136	124	28	4	1	2	9	35	2	1	0	226	289	323	611	97	297	26	7	264	60	-6	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1807	1636	403	64	9	32	125	429	30	32	7	246	312	355	667	109	313	24	7	288	79	-44	+4	-12	+19	+51	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	145	23	3	12	45	154	11	12	3	247	312	357	669	111	313	24	7	288	79	-16	+1	-4	+7	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	5366	4821	1166	204	25	89	392	1340	91	126	32	242	311	350	661	108	315	25	7	294	83	-102	+12	-25	+57	+152	9.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	142	25	3	11	47	162	11	15	4	243	312	353	664	110	316	25	7	294	83	-12	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	288	242	55	15	0	2	41	74	2	16	3	227	344	314	658	87	319	26	14	305	92	-3	+2	—	—	+8	0.8
2023	23	INTL	Brisbane Bandits	—	130	118	30	7	0	1	9	27	2	5	1	254	318	339	657	85	322	21	7	298	86	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	155	128	30	7	0	3	13	37	3	4	1	234	319	359	679	125	300	24	8	288	78	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	347	288	74	16	2	5	43	72	7	15	5	257	367	378	745	122	319	21	12	333	113	+5	+1	—	—	+10	1.6
2025	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	248	221	52	11	0	2	16	52	7	5	1	235	307	312	620	77	298	21	6	282	74	-7	+1	—	—	+7	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#4José Perazalast yr '21 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,134 PA	6	2,134	35	76	266	307	373	+14	+31	8.6	8.6
	/162	664	11	24	266	307	373	+4.5	+9.7	2.7	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,807	32	32	250	312	362	+17	+12	4.9	4.8
	/162	664	12	12	250	312	362	+6.3	+4.4	1.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Pineda (OGILVIE)	26	45	30	45	30	318/373/461	143	377	9	22	19%	6%	136	+3.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Melker 2014 · AA	26	47	41→40	43→50	42	227/274/318	91	294	9	9	25%	5%	63	-0.8	241/286/339	98	296	10	13	21%	5%	74	-0.1	264/304/342	77	312	10	18	18%	4%	77	+0.1
✕Tyson Gillies 2015 · AAA	26	45→55	42→45	51→55	38	222/267/326	105	295	9	14	28%	4%	63	-0.9	223/264/324	101	319	10	11	32%	4%	60	-1.0	228/253/296	68	349	7	8	36%	1%	43	-0.6
●Jack Hannahan 2006 · AAA	26	48→56	41→45	46→45	42	231/285/330	99	309	9	11	27%	6%	71	-0.3	243/319/363	120	327	11	8	27%	9%	95	+1.4	241/326/366	125	321	12	6	26%	11%	96	+1.3
✕Forrestt Allday 2017 · AAA	26	49→45	36→30	43→50	48	227/299/291	65	294	3	11	23%	8%	68	-0.5	228/305/287	59	285	4	12	19%	8%	69	-0.4	224/307/271	47	280	3	12	19%	8%	64	-0.6
✕Beau Amaral 2017 · AAA	26	47→51	40	46→55	41	229/276/319	90	293	7	11	24%	5%	64	-0.8	218/265/300	82	284	6	10	24%	5%	54	-1.4	210/257/285	75	273	5	10	24%	5%	46	-0.9
✕Jordan Cowan 2021 · AA	26	51→53	37→30	50	46	242/297/309	67	305	5	13	22%	7%	70	-0.3	223/286/311	88	294	7	16	25%	7%	67	-0.5	216/283/296	81	286	6	18	25%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA	25	46→44	42→45	49→50	47	223/294/335	113	295	9	12	26%	8%	77	+0.1	253/326/358	105	332	7	10	24%	9%	95	+1.4	261/335/360	99	340	7	8	23%	9%	95	+0.5
✕Roy Morales 2021 · A	26	47	38→30	51→45	46	224/287/306	82	283	5	10	22%	7%	66	-0.6	262/325/339	77	314	6	8	17%	8%	90	+1.0	282/346/349	67	333	5	7	16%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Humberto Castro 2017 · AAA	26	48	38→40	47→45	43	227/283/309	82	284	5	7	21%	5%	65	-0.7	241/296/325	84	274	7	8	14%	4%	75	-0.0	246/299/307	61	279	3	6	12%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Greg Garcia 2016 · MLB	26	50→54	39→40	51→50	48	236/307/324	88	302	5	14	22%	8%	79	+0.3	246/335/333	87	312	6	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Ethan Chapman 2017 · AA	27	45→47	38→30	47→55	43	216/269/292	76	293	6	12	28%	7%	54	-1.4	228/282/329	101	313	11	21	29%	6%	69	-0.4	228/281/310	82	314	10	29	29%	6%	66	-0.4
●Nick Dunn 2022 · AA	25	44→54	40→45	45→40	45	215/270/303	87	264	8	6	22%	6%	58	-1.2	252/316/359	107	285	9	5	14%	8%	92	+1.2	267/331/377	111	295	9	3	12%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Garin Cecchini 2017 · MLB	26	43→53	39→45	51→55	42	209/255/289	80	265	7	12	24%	5%	47	-1.9	218/252/321	103	272	8	10	22%	4%	54	-1.4	224/244/331	107	278	7	5	22%	2%	51	-0.9
✕Daniel Nunez 2009 · AAA	27	46→50	39→30	45→50	41	219/281/302	82	301	7	11	28%	6%	63	-0.9	215/271/312	97	299	9	13	29%	6%	60	-1.0	241/320/318	77	309	5	14	21%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Cole Sturgeon 2018 · AA	26	46→47	39→45	46→50	40	222/258/308	86	279	6	10	23%	4%	53	-1.5	234/278/336	102	306	10	12	26%	5%	69	-0.4	227/274/326	99	287	10	12	24%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Casey Stevenson 2014 · AAA	26	46	42→45	47→45	44	226/284/329	102	278	11	7	22%	6%	71	-0.3	211/271/305	94	260	8	8	21%	6%	59	-1.1	177/240/239	62	214	4	5	18%	6%	30	-1.0
✕Jake Peter 2019 · AAA	26	45→55	41→40	45→50	39	220/270/316	96	311	9	8	31%	6%	61	-1.0	192/271/299	107	289	10	7	34%	9%	58	-1.2	137/251/236	99	207	9	2	35%	13%	33	-1.5
✕Brian Buscher 2007 · AA	26	47→57	40→45	42→45	44	228/278/321	93	276	8	6	20%	6%	66	-0.6	253/313/372	119	289	13	4	17%	7%	94	+1.3	259/327/379	120	291	14	2	16%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Jacob Stallings 2016 · AA	26	44→52	39→45	45→40	41	213/267/302	88	295	7	6	29%	6%	56	-1.3	236/276/343	107	299	9	5	23%	4%	70	-0.3	252/332/387	135	306	14	0	21%	10%	102	+0.9
✕Levi Hyams 2016 · AA	26	47→48	40	48→45	46	223/285/324	101	297	7	7	26%	8%	69	-0.4	206/250/297	91	285	8	5	29%	5%	47	-1.9	190/215/280	90	260	9	0	30%	3%	25	-1.5