RJ Schreck — OGILVIE

RJ SchreckLF Buffalo Bisons

Age 26 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION261 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP240

ISO159

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	102	90	24	7	0	1	10	11	1	1	0	267	347	378	724	111	291	11	10	326	107	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	148	122	28	9	2	5	20	34	5	6	2	230	361	459	820	230	274	23	14	363	132	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	24	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	344	276	72	20	0	12	57	47	9	7	1	261	404	464	867	203	274	14	17	387	148	+20	+1	—	—	+7	2.9
2025	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	234	186	45	7	1	9	38	49	8	2	0	242	392	435	828	194	281	21	16	372	138	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.6
2025	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	169	139	37	6	1	9	26	40	4	5	1	266	396	518	914	252	311	24	15	403	159	+12	+1	—	—	+4	1.6
2025	25	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	16	11	2	1	0	0	4	2	1	1	0	182	438	273	710	91	222	12	25	357	128	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	102	93	22	6	0	1	7	14	1	1	0	237	297	333	630	97	263	14	7	277	74	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	148	129	23	7	2	3	13	42	5	6	2	178	279	333	612	155	224	28	9	272	70	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	344	300	59	15	0	9	33	66	9	7	1	197	295	337	632	140	213	19	10	275	72	-11	+1	—	—	+7	-0.3
2025	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	234	198	40	5	1	8	26	59	8	2	0	202	319	359	678	157	239	25	11	298	88	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.2
2025	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	169	147	32	5	1	8	18	51	4	5	1	218	320	429	748	211	263	30	11	316	100	+0	+1	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	25	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	16	12	2	1	0	0	3	3	1	1	0	167	375	250	625	83	203	19	19	293	84	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	102	93	22	6	0	1	7	14	1	1	0	237	297	333	630	97	266	14	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	102	90	24	7	0	1	10	11	1	1	0	267	347	378	724	111	291	11	10	326	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	492	429	82	22	2	12	46	107	14	13	3	191	290	336	626	145	224	22	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	492	398	100	29	2	17	77	81	14	13	3	251	391	462	853	211	274	16	16	380	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	419	357	72	11	2	15	47	113	13	8	1	202	317	370	686	168	249	27	11	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	419	336	84	14	2	18	68	91	13	8	1	250	396	464	860	214	291	22	16	384	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	102	93	22	6	0	1	7	14	1	1	0	237	297	333	630	97	263	14	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	492	429	82	22	2	12	46	107	14	13	3	191	290	336	626	145	216	22	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	419	356	72	11	2	15	47	113	13	8	1	202	317	371	687	169	247	27	11	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	102	93	22	6	0	1	7	14	1	1	0	237	297	333	630	97	263	14	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	492	429	82	22	2	12	46	107	14	13	3	191	290	336	626	145	216	22	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	419	356	72	11	2	15	47	113	13	8	1	202	317	371	687	169	247	27	11	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	TOR	—	261	225	41	7	1	7	29	58	6	4	2	182	292	316	608	133	211	22	11	276	73	-8	+0	+0	-3	+6	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	A RAW	TOR	—	19	17	4	0	0	2	2	3	0	0	0	235	316	588	904	353	167	16	11	388	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA RAW	TOR	—	242	193	43	9	1	7	42	45	6	4	2	223	378	389	766	166	254	19	17	351	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AAA MLE	TOR	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		239	22	11	300	89	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	26	MLB CTX	TOR	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						240	0	0	283	89	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	TOR	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	283	73	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	AAA MLE	TOR	—	270	233	42	7	1	7	30	60	6	4	2	180	290	309	599	129	210	22	11	277	73	-9	+0	-0	-3	+6	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TOR	38%	493	426	87	17	2	14	53	117	11	8	2	204	308	352	660	148	245	24	11	302	90	-6	+1	-1	-5	+11	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	513	442	92	18	2	15	55	122	11	7	2	208	311	360	671	152	248	24	11	302	91	-6	+1	-2	-5	+11	-0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	521	450	94	18	2	15	55	124	11	7	2	209	310	358	668	149	249	24	11	301	90	-6	+1	-3	-6	+11	-0.3
2030	30	MLB MLE	TOR	60%	378	327	68	13	1	11	40	91	8	5	1	208	309	355	664	147	249	24	11	299	88	-5	+1	-3	-4	+8	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	TOR	38%	185	159	32	6	1	5	20	44	4	3	1	201	306	346	652	145	246	24	11	286	90	-2	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	267	231	48	9	1	8	28	63	6	4	1	208	309	359	669	152	249	24	10	288	91	-3	+0	-1	-3	+6	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	298	258	54	10	1	9	32	71	6	4	1	209	311	360	671	151	250	24	11	287	90	-3	+0	-2	-3	+6	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	TOR	60%	227	196	41	8	1	6	24	55	5	3	1	209	311	352	663	143	250	24	11	285	88	-3	+0	-2	-2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	978	845	175	33	4	28	104	233	21	14	4	207	309	355	664	148	250	24	11	287	87	-12	+1	-5	-10	+21	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	562	117	22	3	19	69	155	14	9	3	208	311	359	670	151	251	24	11	287	87	-8	+1	-3	-7	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2927	2532	518	105	11	83	304	690	69	49	11	205	307	353	660	148	245	24	10	296	87	-23	+3	-9	-21	+41	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	114	23	2	18	68	153	15	11	2	203	305	347	652	144	244	24	10	296	87	-8	+1	-3	-7	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	2.9	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
/162	664	28	0	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	3.6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
/162	664	23	2	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.5	1,002	29	14	208	306	358	-11	-4	0.6	0.6
/162	664	19	9	-7.1	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
RJ Schreck (OGILVIE)	26	40→49	45→50	50→48	57	199/305/348	149	239	7	4	24%	11%	89	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stephen Scott 2023 · AA	26	41→45	48→50	49→50	51	211/292/354	143	260	15	8	25%	10%	84	+0.1	210/281/354	144	265	16	10	26%	8%	80	-0.2	208/279/363	155	257	18	10	26%	8%	78	-0.2
✕DJ Stewart 2020 · MLB	26	44→48	50→55	46→50	49	224/298/380	156	266	17	11	23%	8%	92	+0.7	219/319/388	169	275	21	6	27%	11%	102	+1.5	208/314/396	188	250	26	2	28%	11%	99	+0.6
✕Jason Martin 2022 · MLB	26	42→49	51→60	46→50	47	219/281/377	158	262	19	11	25%	8%	84	+0.2	230/294/419	189	296	24	9	30%	8%	99	+1.3	224/289/418	194	288	25	8	31%	8%	94	+0.6
●Trent Grisham 2023 · MLB	26	42→49	51→60	51→55	52	216/307/380	164	267	19	12	26%	11%	95	+1.0	209/313/381	172	260	20	10	27%	12%	98	+1.2	212/319/405	193	232	27	6	22%	13%	104	+1.1
✕Josh VanMeter 2021 · MLB	26	44→48	51→55	50	49	227/298/393	166	272	18	15	24%	8%	95	+0.9	216/307/370	154	276	17	9	26%	11%	93	+0.8	201/305/346	145	257	16	7	27%	13%	85	+0.1
✕Nicky Delmonico 2018 · MLB	26	47	48→50	48→45	48	235/299/382	148	285	16	6	23%	8%	92	+0.7	227/297/367	140	285	14	6	24%	8%	88	+0.4	219/293/362	143	281	13	2	26%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Brandon Allen 2012 · MLB	26	43→47	54→55	50	50	225/310/411	186	290	22	10	29%	10%	103	+1.6	220/288/382	162	283	18	7	28%	8%	88	+0.4	215/279/360	145	265	16	5	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Jake Goebbert 2015 · MLB	27	46→53	50	48→45	51	232/308/389	158	274	17	6	22%	9%	97	+1.1	217/288/342	125	276	13	5	25%	8%	79	-0.2	205/275/311	107	263	11	3	25%	8%	66	-0.7
✕Billy McKinney 2022 · MLB	27	41→51	51→55	49→45	50	214/290/384	170	264	18	5	26%	9%	89	+0.5	216/297/368	152	290	17	6	30%	9%	88	+0.5	211/297/352	141	286	17	4	31%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Marc Krauss 2014 · MLB	26	43→51	49→50	44→45	50	218/298/368	150	278	16	7	27%	10%	88	+0.5	210/285/342	132	283	14	5	29%	9%	78	-0.3	194/271/316	123	265	14	2	31%	9%	66	-0.7
✕Christin Stewart 2020 · MLB	26	45→49	50→55	45	48	231/305/389	158	287	18	2	26%	9%	97	+1.1	213/285/375	162	283	20	5	31%	8%	86	+0.3	184/264/349	164	258	22	7	36%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Matt Thaiss 2021 · MLB	26	42→50	50	47→45	50	219/291/374	155	265	18	5	25%	9%	87	+0.4	230/307/380	150	291	17	6	25%	9%	95	+1.0	225/309/368	143	285	17	5	26%	10%	90	+0.4
●Zach McKinstry 2021 · AAA	26	47→53	49→55	45→55	44	238/296/390	151	299	16	8	26%	7%	93	+0.8	234/296/385	151	288	15	11	24%	7%	92	+0.7	239/311/383	145	294	12	23	22%	8%	95	+0.7
✕Gavin Sheets 2022 · MLB	26	46→52	52→55	44→40	47	238/298/398	160	284	20	4	24%	8%	95	+1.0	230/290/382	152	268	19	3	21%	7%	89	+0.5	233/312/389	156	270	18	3	20%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Greg Bird 2019 · MLB	26	39→48	54→55	46→30	53	210/299/392	182	243	22	3	24%	10%	95	+1.0	213/295/377	164	268	20	4	27%	10%	91	+0.6	185/259/322	138	237	17	1	29%	8%	62	-0.8
✕Cooper Hummel 2022 · AAA	27	48→49	49→50	49→55	55	239/332/399	160	294	16	7	23%	11%	108	+1.9	221/319/362	141	304	12	16	28%	11%	95	+1.0	215/328/356	141	293	12	19	28%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Shed Long Jr. 2022 · MLB	26	44→49	49→50	49→50	45	223/284/374	151	290	17	9	29%	8%	84	+0.2	222/292/347	125	315	12	10	31%	8%	81	-0.1	183/266/244	61	307	0	9	36%	9%	45	-0.5
✕Dustin Majewski 2007 · AA	25	44→51	50	43→40	51	223/300/381	158	274	17	6	25%	10%	93	+0.8	227/303/355	128	279	11	5	21%	10%	87	+0.4	229/305/344	115	278	9	4	20%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Taylor Trammell 2023 · MLB	25	43→46	52→55	49→55	47	223/298/395	172	291	20	15	30%	9%	95	+1.0	212/301/381	169	289	20	19	32%	11%	94	+0.9	197/296/364	168	266	20	20	32%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB	26	45→42	49→50	52→55	46	225/296/377	152	281	16	12	25%	8%	90	+0.6	223/302/373	150	297	16	17	29%	8%	92	+0.7	218/314/364	146	281	15	27	26%	9%	91	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps