RJ Schreck — OGILVIE

RJ SchreckLF Buffalo Bisons

Age 26 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION229 act + 152 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .310 / .372

PA152

HR5

K%25

BB%10

BABIP245

ISO167

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	102	93	22	5	0	1	7	14	1	1	0	237	297	323	620	86	266	14	7	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	102	90	24	7	0	1	10	11	1	1	0	267	347	378	724	111	291	11	10	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	492	431	79	21	1	11	44	110	14	13	3	183	280	313	593	130	217	22	9	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	492	398	100	29	2	17	77	81	14	13	3	251	391	462	853	211	274	16	16	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	3 teams	—	419	356	76	10	2	21	48	119	13	8	1	213	329	430	758	216	255	28	11	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	3 teams	—	419	336	84	14	2	18	68	91	13	8	1	250	396	464	860	214	291	22	16	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	TOR	—	229	197	37	7	1	6	25	53	6	4	2	188	298	325	623	137	223	23	11	288	79	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
YTD	26	AAA	TOR	—	229	183	42	9	1	7	39	44	6	4	2	230	382	404	786	175	263	19	17	358	132	+8	+0	+0	-2	+6	1.3
ROS	26	AAA	TOR	10%	152	131	27	5	1	5	16	38	4	3	1	205	310	372	682	167	245	25	10	311	96	-1	+0	-0	-2	+4	0.2
ROS	26	MLB	TOR	10%	15	13	3	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	231	333	462	795	231	247	27	13	293	82	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	TOR	—	244	210	40	7	1	7	27	57	6	4	2	190	300	333	634	143	224	23	11	288	79	-6	+0	-0	-3	+7	-0.2
TOT	26	AAA	TOR	—	381	328	64	12	2	11	41	91	10	7	3	195	303	344	647	149	232	24	11	297	86	-6	+0	-0	-4	+11	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	TOR	38%	493	425	90	17	2	17	53	122	12	8	3	212	316	381	698	169	252	25	11	314	98	-1	+0	-1	-5	+14	0.7
2028	28	MLB	TOR	52%	513	442	94	18	2	17	54	127	12	8	3	213	315	378	693	165	255	25	11	313	98	-1	+0	-2	-5	+15	0.6
2027	27	MLB	TOR	38%	185	159	33	6	1	6	20	46	4	3	1	208	311	371	683	164	253	25	11	297	86	-3	+0	-0	-2	+5	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	TOR	52%	267	231	49	9	1	9	28	66	6	4	1	212	313	377	690	165	256	25	10	298	86	-4	+0	-1	-3	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	467	403	85	15	2	16	50	116	10	7	2	211	313	377	690	166	253	25	11	297	86	-8	+1	-2	-5	+13	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	118	21	3	22	70	161	14	10	3	210	314	376	690	166	252	25	11	297	86	-11	+1	-2	-7	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	2171	1878	388	76	8	72	222	530	56	41	11	207	309	370	679	164	246	24	10	303	90	-24	+4	-4	-23	+62	1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	562	116	23	2	22	66	159	17	12	3	206	308	372	680	165	245	24	10	303	90	-7	+1	-1	-7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	102	90	24	7	0	1	10	11	1	1	0	267	347	378	724	111	291	11	10	326	108	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	148	122	28	9	2	5	20	34	5	6	2	230	361	459	820	230	274	23	14	363	136	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2024	24	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	344	276	72	20	0	12	57	47	9	7	1	261	404	464	867	203	274	14	17	387	155	+21	+1	—	—	+10	3.3
2025	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	234	186	45	7	1	9	38	49	8	2	0	242	392	435	828	194	281	21	16	372	143	+11	+0	—	—	+7	1.9
2025	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	169	139	37	6	1	9	26	40	4	5	1	266	396	518	914	252	311	24	15	403	167	+13	+1	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	25	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	16	11	2	1	0	0	4	2	1	1	0	182	438	273	710	91	222	12	25	357	131	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	7	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
	/162	664	28	0	220	342	411	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	477	16	7	214	313	384	-5	-2	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	23	10	214	313	384	-7.1	-2.8	1.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
RJ Schreck (OGILVIE)	26	40→49	45→50	50→48	57	195/303/344	149	232	11	7	24%	11%	86	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕DJ Stewart 2020 · MLB	26	43→47	53→60	46→50	48	228/300/402	174	266	21	11	23%	8%	97	+1.5	223/320/403	180	277	23	6	27%	11%	106	+2.2	212/319/414	202	253	29	2	28%	11%	105	+1.0
✕Eric Munson 2004 · MLB	26	43	56→60	49→40	54	234/307/418	184	244	26	6	18%	9%	105	+2.1	230/297/432	202	254	28	4	22%	8%	104	+2.0	221/285/421	201	242	28	1	23%	7%	92	+0.7
●Domonic Brown 2014 · MLB	26	50→54	53→55	47→55	50	257/314/432	175	285	20	9	18%	8%	110	+2.4	231/281/354	123	273	13	10	20%	6%	76	+0.0	229/272/369	139	273	18	2	23%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Josh VanMeter 2021 · MLB	26	44→47	53→55	50	48	228/296/403	176	270	20	15	24%	8%	96	+1.5	218/309/381	163	277	18	9	26%	11%	95	+1.4	205/310/363	157	260	18	7	27%	13%	89	+0.4
✕Christin Stewart 2020 · MLB	26	46→50	53→60	45	48	237/309/412	175	290	21	2	26%	8%	104	+2.0	219/290/399	180	285	23	5	31%	8%	92	+1.2	192/271/381	190	259	27	7	36%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Jason Martin 2022 · MLB	26	43→49	54→60	46→50	47	227/288/404	177	264	23	11	24%	8%	92	+1.2	230/292/428	198	292	26	9	30%	8%	101	+1.8	222/285/422	200	282	26	8	31%	8%	93	+0.9
✕Chance Sisco 2021 · MLB	26	44→54	52→50	43→40	47	223/324/388	165	300	20	3	31%	9%	105	+2.1	204/288/345	141	275	15	5	30%	8%	78	+0.2	160/245/277	117	216	10	0	30%	7%	40	-1.0
●Brandon Allen 2011 · MLB	25	42→47	53→55	50	47	221/297/391	170	279	21	11	28%	9%	93	+1.3	221/294/399	178	291	21	8	30%	9%	94	+1.3	216/286/400	184	279	21	6	30%	8%	88	+0.6
✕Billy McKinney 2021 · MLB	26	41→51	54→55	44→45	47	220/286/404	185	263	21	5	25%	8%	92	+1.2	213/291/377	164	278	18	6	29%	9%	87	+0.8	214/296/366	152	268	19	6	27%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Ian Stewart 2011 · MLB	26	43→52	55→60	47→45	51	229/315/417	188	280	23	8	27%	10%	108	+2.3	193/275/335	142	264	17	6	32%	10%	70	-0.3	146/232/263	117	224	13	2	39%	9%	28	-1.2
✕Clint Frazier 2021 · MLB	26	46→45	54→55	46→50	47	239/311/420	181	298	21	7	27%	8%	106	+2.2	205/296/337	132	295	14	9	33%	10%	79	+0.3	180/276/289	109	272	11	10	35%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Brad Miller 2017 · MLB	27	47→56	56→60	48→50	49	246/311/447	202	285	24	9	23%	8%	113	+2.6	232/314/419	187	295	22	7	27%	11%	108	+2.3	231/323/465	234	278	32	5	28%	11%	120	+1.5
●Gavin Sheets 2022 · MLB	26	46→52	52→55	44→40	47	238/297/399	161	283	21	4	24%	8%	95	+1.4	229/289/378	149	267	18	3	21%	7%	86	+0.8	239/316/405	166	277	19	4	21%	9%	102	+1.4
●Colby Rasmus 2013 · MLB	26	44→54	53→60	46→50	50	231/302/408	178	273	21	7	24%	9%	99	+1.7	241/306/445	204	308	26	4	29%	8%	111	+2.5	241/308/459	219	314	28	3	32%	8%	113	+2.0
✕Nicky Delmonico 2018 · MLB	26	47	50→55	48→45	47	237/300/395	158	288	17	6	24%	8%	95	+1.4	226/295/367	141	284	14	6	25%	8%	85	+0.7	217/292/360	143	280	13	2	26%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Michael Massey 2023 · MLB	25	46→51	53→55	52→50	42	239/292/412	173	291	21	12	26%	6%	97	+1.5	244/287/405	161	282	19	8	21%	5%	92	+1.2	250/287/398	149	277	17	3	17%	4%	87	+0.5
✕Jake Goebbert 2015 · MLB	27	44→53	52→55	48→45	51	230/307/399	169	270	20	6	23%	9%	99	+1.7	216/287/345	129	274	14	5	25%	8%	76	+0.1	203/273/313	110	260	12	3	26%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Luis Urías 2023 · MLB	26	47→57	53→55	43→45	54	244/335/417	174	281	21	4	21%	10%	116	+2.8	221/317/358	137	264	16	6	22%	10%	94	+1.3	226/309/345	119	258	14	6	18%	9%	85	+0.4
●Brennan Boesch 2011 · MLB	26	49→58	52→60	51→50	43	250/300/422	171	303	19	8	24%	6%	102	+1.8	264/317/430	166	308	19	8	20%	7%	111	+2.5	258/305/426	168	306	19	9	22%	6%	102	+1.5
✕Taylor Trammell 2023 · MLB	25	45→46	54→55	49→55	46	230/302/412	181	299	21	15	30%	8%	101	+1.8	215/303/387	172	292	20	19	32%	10%	95	+1.4	200/298/370	170	270	21	20	32%	11%	87	+0.5