Jake Thompson — OGILVIE

Jake Thompson3B Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 28 L/R 6'0" / 207 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 148 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .306 / .359

PA148

HR3

K%28

BB%8

BABIP299

ISO137

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	141	124	24	8	0	2	16	49	1	0	1	194	291	306	597	113	301	35	11	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	141	120	35	13	0	3	20	32	1	0	1	292	397	475	872	183	376	23	14	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+	2 teams	—	397	349	84	10	2	22	33	96	13	6	0	241	329	470	799	229	266	24	8	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+	2 teams	—	397	335	93	15	3	18	47	72	13	6	0	278	387	501	889	224	304	18	12	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A+	2 teams	—	195	177	40	8	2	2	11	63	7	2	2	226	297	328	625	102	339	32	6	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A+	2 teams	—	195	173	48	10	2	2	15	49	7	2	2	277	359	393	752	116	377	25	8	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	216	190	38	12	1	1	20	65	2	3	2	200	283	289	572	89	289	30	9	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	216	178	40	12	1	1	32	50	2	3	2	225	349	320	669	96	298	23	15	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AA	LAA	—	33	27	7	3	0	1	3	6	3	0	0	259	394	481	875	222	300	18	9	346	123	+1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
YTD	28	AA	LAA	—	33	26	7	3	0	1	4	5	3	0	0	269	424	500	924	231	300	15	12	413	175	+3	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.4
ROS	28	AA	LAA	2%	148	131	29	7	1	3	12	42	4	2	1	221	306	359	665	137	282	28	8	287	78	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
ROS	28	MLB	LAA	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						281	33	0	268	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	AA	LAA	—	36	30	7	3	0	1	3	7	3	0	0	233	361	433	794	200	273	19	8	339	118	+1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
TOT	28	AA	LAA	—	181	158	36	10	1	4	15	48	7	2	1	228	322	380	702	152	299	27	8	298	86	-3	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	LAA	23%	211	187	39	9	1	4	17	59	5	3	1	209	292	332	623	123	280	28	8	285	77	-6	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
2028	30	MLB	LAA	35%	265	236	49	11	1	5	22	74	5	3	1	208	289	326	615	119	279	28	8	285	77	-7	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.0
2029	31	MLB	LAA	42%	277	247	51	11	1	6	23	77	5	3	1	206	287	332	619	126	277	28	8	283	75	-8	+0	-3	+1	+8	-0.2
2027	29	MLB	LAA	23%	48	43	9	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	209	292	326	617	116	278	27	8	268	63	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	30	MLB	LAA	35%	92	82	17	4	0	2	8	26	2	1	0	207	293	329	623	122	278	28	9	269	64	-4	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	31	MLB	LAA	42%	116	104	22	5	1	2	9	32	2	1	1	212	287	337	623	125	276	28	8	267	63	-5	-0	-1	+0	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	259	232	48	11	1	5	21	72	5	3	1	207	287	328	614	121	276	28	8	268	63	-11	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	122	28	3	13	53	181	13	8	3	210	291	335	626	125	279	28	8	268	63	-27	+0	-6	+2	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	1850	1641	354	76	9	45	154	525	42	22	9	216	299	355	655	140	286	28	8	290	80	-41	+1	-6	+7	+52	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	125	27	3	16	54	184	15	8	3	217	301	357	658	140	286	28	8	290	80	-14	+0	-2	+2	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	141	120	35	13	0	3	20	32	1	0	1	292	397	475	872	183	376	23	14	389	156	+9	-0	—	—	+4	1.3
2023	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	58	48	13	1	0	2	9	11	0	0	0	271	386	417	803	146	306	19	16	358	132	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	25	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	339	287	80	14	3	16	38	61	13	6	0	279	388	516	903	237	303	18	11	397	162	+24	+1	—	—	+10	3.5
2024	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	40	37	12	2	1	0	1	12	2	0	0	324	375	432	807	108	480	30	2	362	135	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	26	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	155	136	36	8	1	2	14	37	5	2	2	265	355	382	737	118	351	24	9	336	115	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	27	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	216	178	40	12	1	1	32	50	2	3	2	225	349	320	669	96	298	23	15	308	94	-2	-0	—	—	+6	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	259	5	3	211	289	338	+1	+0	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	14	8	211	289	338	+2.4	+1.3	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Thompson (OGILVIE)	28	40	30	45	60	228/322/380	152	299	4	2	27%	8%	86	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	43→40	51→50	51	198/284/313	115	267	10	12	28%	10%	68	-0.5	202/287/326	124	291	12	10	32%	10%	72	-0.2	124/238/209	86	192	10	0	38%	12%	22	-0.8
✕Kyle Holder 2022 · AAA	28	45	39→40	46→45	43	217/273/304	87	286	6	7	26%	6%	59	-1.1	202/262/288	86	290	7	7	31%	7%	51	-1.7	144/214/194	50	214	4	0	33%	7%	4	-1.4
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2019 · AAA	28	48	43→45	47→50	43	236/289/345	109	300	11	10	25%	6%	76	+0.1	236/300/346	110	323	12	9	28%	8%	82	+0.5	237/305/328	92	327	11	5	29%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Beau Taylor 2018 · AAA	28	47→45	42→45	42→30	44	224/287/324	101	310	10	3	30%	8%	70	-0.3	218/304/331	113	317	10	4	31%	10%	80	+0.4	206/299/309	103	303	9	1	32%	11%	71	-0.1
✕Brian Jeroloman 2013 · AAA	28	43→37	37→45	42→40	48	204/286/272	68	290	6	7	30%	9%	58	-1.2	197/267/264	67	274	6	5	28%	8%	47	-1.9	176/255/236	60	237	6	0	26%	9%	33	-0.9
✕Mitchell Tolman 2022 · AAA	28	45→50	47→45	47→50	42	223/287/360	138	292	14	8	28%	6%	81	+0.4	238/310/381	143	299	14	9	24%	8%	95	+1.4	242/323/385	143	300	14	7	22%	9%	98	+1.1
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	219/289/348	129	269	13	7	23%	8%	78	+0.2	228/294/355	127	284	12	8	23%	8%	82	+0.5	228/294/350	122	280	11	5	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Irving Lopez 2023 · AAA	28	43→50	40→45	50→40	43	209/271/299	90	268	7	8	24%	6%	58	-1.2	225/297/346	121	288	12	6	25%	8%	81	+0.4	222/304/350	127	284	13	0	25%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Nate Mondou 2023 · AAA	28	45→53	43→45	42→50	46	218/289/331	113	269	9	3	22%	7%	74	-0.1	223/293/326	103	289	8	8	24%	8%	74	-0.1	224/297/318	94	291	7	9	24%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Anthony Bemboom 2018 · AAA	28	42	40→45	46→45	45	205/265/295	90	267	7	7	25%	7%	53	-1.5	198/262/303	105	261	10	4	27%	7%	55	-1.4	209/279/326	117	268	12	2	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Preston Beck 2019 · AAA	28	43→44	42→45	41→45	41	213/262/315	101	277	9	4	26%	5%	57	-1.2	217/273/329	112	289	10	5	27%	7%	66	-0.6	213/272/324	111	281	9	3	26%	7%	61	-0.8
✕Alejandro Gonzalez 2014 · AAA	28	47→49	42→45	42→50	45	228/298/331	103	294	10	8	25%	7%	78	+0.2	222/288/318	96	297	9	6	27%	6%	70	-0.3	227/286/327	99	313	7	12	28%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	44→47	42→45	51→50	49	214/289/322	109	281	8	8	26%	9%	71	-0.3	199/276/283	84	272	7	10	27%	9%	56	-1.3	177/262/235	58	247	4	10	27%	9%	36	-1.2
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	41	43→45	45→55	45	199/286/310	111	301	11	8	35%	9%	68	-0.5	224/301/327	103	295	10	18	26%	8%	78	+0.2	228/306/322	93	290	9	25	23%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Dan Gamache 2019 · AAA	28	49→50	40	36→45	43	231/287/324	93	317	7	3	28%	7%	70	-0.3	211/280/296	85	298	6	6	29%	8%	60	-1.0	144/239/169	24	215	0	0	29%	10%	9	-1.3
✕James Ramsey 2018 · AAA	28	47→51	45	43→45	38	230/277/354	124	325	12	7	32%	6%	74	-0.1	218/275/334	116	326	13	10	35%	7%	69	-0.4	184/250/261	76	285	12	7	37%	7%	35	-0.9
✕Daniel Nunez 2009 · AAA	27	46→50	39→30	45→50	41	219/281/302	82	301	7	11	28%	6%	63	-0.9	215/271/312	97	299	9	13	29%	6%	60	-1.0	241/320/318	77	309	5	14	21%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Carlos Alvarez 2016 · AAA	28	47	42→45	46→45	53	227/309/340	113	273	9	8	19%	9%	85	+0.7	234/301/318	84	292	5	9	20%	7%	75	-0.0	236/302/296	60	298	2	7	20%	7%	66	-0.2
✕Bryce Windham 2023 · AA	26	44	40	46→50	54	211/293/304	93	256	8	6	20%	10%	69	-0.4	227/293/319	92	297	5	12	23%	8%	71	-0.3	239/299/327	88	317	3	15	24%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Casey Benjamin 2009 · AAA	28	45→52	44→45	50→45	49	224/286/340	116	269	12	6	21%	8%	74	-0.1	211/287/315	104	273	10	7	25%	9%	69	-0.4	188/279/270	82	246	7	4	24%	10%	53	-0.9