Jake Thompson3B
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 28
L/R
6'0" / 207 lbs
AA
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.2 · 2026
wRC+†81
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .298 / .341
PA181
HR4
K%27
BB%9
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
30→30
SPD
45→45
EYE
50↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-3M | $-6M | -$3M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 141 | 125 | 26 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .208 | .298 | .328 | .626 | .120 | .316 | 33 | 11 | .284 | 76 | -4 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | 2 teams | 397 | 349 | 82 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 33 | 91 | 13 | 6 | 0 | .235 | .324 | .424 | .748 | .189 | .267 | 23 | 8 | .323 | 105 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | 2 teams | 195 | 177 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 2 | .232 | .303 | .333 | .636 | .102 | .342 | 31 | 6 | .268 | 64 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 216 | 190 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 65 | 2 | 3 | 2 | .195 | .278 | .279 | .557 | .084 | .281 | 30 | 9 | .252 | 51 | -12 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 181 | 160 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .219 | .302 | .350 | .652 | .131 | .286 | 28 | 9 | .292 | 81 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | MIA | 211 | 187 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 57 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .219 | .301 | .353 | .654 | .134 | .286 | 27 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | MIA | 265 | 235 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 72 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .217 | .300 | .345 | .645 | .128 | .285 | 27 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | MIA | 277 | 246 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 76 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .215 | .298 | .341 | .640 | .126 | .284 | 27 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -6 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 40% | MIA | 275 | 244 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 76 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .213 | .297 | .336 | .633 | .123 | .283 | 28 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -7 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 49% | MIA | 256 | 228 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 73 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .206 | .287 | .320 | .608 | .114 | .281 | 29 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 63% | MIA | 220 | 195 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 65 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .205 | .289 | .318 | .607 | .113 | .280 | 30 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -8 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +6 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2634 | 2336 | 505 | 102 | 12 | 58 | 225 | 733 | 53 | 28 | 12 | .216 | .300 | .345 | .644 | .128 | .287 | 28 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -64 | +1 | -19 | +9 | +75 | 0.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 576 | 124 | 25 | 3 | 14 | 56 | 181 | 13 | 7 | 3 | .215 | .299 | .342 | .641 | .127 | .286 | 28 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -16 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +18 | 0.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 141 | 120 | 35 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .292 | .397 | .475 | .872 | .183 | .376 | 23 | 14 | .389 | 156 | +9 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 1.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 58 | 48 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .271 | .386 | .417 | .803 | .146 | .306 | 19 | 16 | .358 | 132 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 339 | 287 | 80 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 61 | 13 | 6 | 0 | .279 | .388 | .516 | .903 | .237 | .303 | 18 | 11 | .397 | 162 | +24 | +1 | — | — | +10 | 3.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 40 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .324 | .375 | .432 | .807 | .108 | .480 | 30 | 2 | .362 | 135 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 155 | 136 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 5 | 2 | 2 | .265 | .355 | .382 | .737 | .118 | .351 | 24 | 9 | .336 | 115 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 216 | 178 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 2 | .225 | .349 | .320 | .669 | .096 | .298 | 23 | 15 | .308 | 94 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +6 | 0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jake Thompson (OGILVIE) | 28 | 40 | 30 | 45 | 60 | .215/.298/.341 | .126 | .286 | 4 | 2 | 27% | 9% | 81 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB |
28 | 38→42 | 49→50 | 46→40 | 51 | .195/.290/.346 | .151 | .268 | 16 | 6 | 32% | 11% | 79 | +0.3 | .210/.290/.356 | .146 | .319 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .203/.283/.339 | .136 | .319 | 15 | 4 | 38% | 10% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Brian Jeroloman 2013 · AAA |
28 | 44→38 | 39→40 | 42→40 | 49 | .207/.294/.283 | .077 | .298 | 7 | 6 | 31% | 10% | 64 | -0.8 | .199/.270/.265 | .066 | .276 | 6 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .181/.264/.241 | .061 | .241 | 5 | 0 | 25% | 10% | 38 | -0.8 |
|
✕Mitchell Tolman 2022 · AAA |
28 | 44→47 | 44→45 | 46→50 | 42 | .215/.280/.332 | .117 | .290 | 11 | 9 | 29% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .229/.299/.370 | .141 | .292 | 14 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .231/.307/.374 | .144 | .287 | 14 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB |
28 | 40→43 | 42→40 | 51→50 | 49 | .195/.279/.303 | .108 | .267 | 9 | 12 | 29% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .201/.288/.323 | .122 | .291 | 12 | 10 | 32% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .122/.235/.206 | .084 | .191 | 10 | 0 | 38% | 11% | 20 | -0.8 |
|
✕Beau Taylor 2018 · AAA |
28 | 46 | 41→45 | 42→30 | 45 | .220/.286/.315 | .096 | .303 | 9 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .217/.300/.325 | .108 | .315 | 10 | 4 | 31% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 | .204/.296/.307 | .102 | .299 | 9 | 1 | 32% | 10% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Carlos Alvarez 2016 · AAA |
28 | 47 | 42→45 | 46→45 | 52 | .228/.305/.342 | .113 | .273 | 9 | 8 | 19% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .238/.305/.324 | .086 | .294 | 6 | 9 | 20% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .241/.307/.302 | .061 | .302 | 2 | 7 | 19% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Tug Hulett 2011 · MLB |
28 | 43→53 | 45 | 47→50 | 50 | .213/.286/.341 | .128 | .264 | 11 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .228/.288/.336 | .108 | .286 | 9 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .244/.298/.343 | .099 | .304 | 7 | 8 | 21% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Nate Mondou 2023 · AAA |
28 | 45→54 | 43→45 | 42→50 | 47 | .220/.291/.332 | .112 | .273 | 9 | 3 | 22% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .224/.298/.334 | .110 | .287 | 9 | 8 | 23% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .227/.303/.326 | .099 | .291 | 8 | 9 | 23% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2019 · AAA |
28 | 50 | 43→45 | 45→50 | 43 | .243/.293/.354 | .111 | .305 | 11 | 9 | 24% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .251/.315/.371 | .120 | .324 | 13 | 9 | 25% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .261/.330/.370 | .109 | .339 | 12 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 101 | +1.2 |
|
✕James Ramsey 2018 · AAA |
28 | 46→50 | 44→45 | 43→45 | 39 | .222/.273/.339 | .117 | .317 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .221/.279/.335 | .114 | .329 | 13 | 10 | 34% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .196/.264/.273 | .078 | .298 | 12 | 7 | 36% | 8% | 44 | -0.7 |
|
✕Vimael Machín 2022 · MLB |
28 | 46→55 | 43→45 | 49→45 | 49 | .226/.291/.341 | .115 | .272 | 10 | 6 | 20% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .234/.300/.334 | .100 | .282 | 8 | 4 | 19% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .243/.302/.358 | .114 | .288 | 11 | 7 | 19% | 7% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
✕Nate Spears 2013 · AAA |
28 | 43→53 | 45 | 52→50 | 49 | .216/.288/.344 | .128 | .263 | 13 | 10 | 23% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .215/.278/.324 | .109 | .285 | 10 | 11 | 26% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.278/.309 | .094 | .290 | 7 | 12 | 27% | 8% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Casey Benjamin 2009 · AAA |
28 | 45→52 | 44→45 | 50→45 | 49 | .223/.284/.338 | .115 | .267 | 11 | 6 | 21% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .210/.286/.313 | .103 | .271 | 10 | 7 | 24% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 | .188/.279/.270 | .082 | .246 | 7 | 4 | 24% | 10% | 53 | -0.9 |
|
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA |
27 | 44→43 | 45 | 44→45 | 48 | .220/.289/.345 | .125 | .271 | 12 | 8 | 23% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .229/.296/.356 | .127 | .285 | 12 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .232/.299/.352 | .120 | .286 | 11 | 5 | 22% | 9% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Peter Maris 2021 · AAA |
27 | 43→51 | 47→45 | 50 | 44 | .216/.277/.354 | .138 | .276 | 14 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .224/.276/.365 | .141 | .310 | 16 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .218/.267/.377 | .158 | .296 | 21 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Bryan Anderson 2015 · MLB |
28 | 44→54 | 46→45 | 44→30 | 44 | .221/.280/.351 | .130 | .283 | 13 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .202/.256/.312 | .110 | .289 | 10 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .164/.217/.246 | .082 | .250 | 7 | 0 | 36% | 5% | 18 | -1.6 |
|
✕Juan Centeno 2018 · MLB |
28 | 51 | 40→45 | 43→40 | 44 | .245/.285/.333 | .088 | .290 | 7 | 4 | 18% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .228/.277/.315 | .087 | .273 | 8 | 5 | 19% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .236/.285/.353 | .116 | .279 | 12 | 2 | 19% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Chris Snelling 2009 · MLB |
27 | 44→39 | 41→45 | 46→40 | 51 | .213/.311/.309 | .097 | .279 | 9 | 7 | 25% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .234/.313/.349 | .115 | .281 | 10 | 6 | 19% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .240/.319/.362 | .122 | .282 | 9 | 0 | 17% | 9% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
✕Kyle Holder 2022 · AAA |
28 | 45→48 | 40 | 47→45 | 44 | .218/.272/.310 | .092 | .278 | 7 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .201/.260/.284 | .083 | .288 | 7 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .153/.218/.207 | .054 | .226 | 5 | 0 | 33% | 6% | 9 | -1.3 |
|
✕Jack Larsen 2023 · AA |
28 | 48→49 | 48→50 | 48→45 | 48 | .237/.310/.383 | .146 | .313 | 15 | 9 | 28% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .235/.316/.342 | .107 | .327 | 10 | 9 | 28% | 10% | 88 | +0.9 | .244/.361/.268 | .025 | .374 | 0 | 4 | 29% | 14% | 87 | +0.2 |