Jake Thompson
3B Rocket City Trash Pandas| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AA/A+MIA | 195 | .277/.359/.393 | 2 | 2 | 65 | — | .231/.303/.333 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAMIA | 216 | .225/.349/.320 | 1 | 3 | 56 | — | .200/.283/.289 |
| 2026 | 28 | AALAA | 146 | .315/.414/.516 | 5 | 2 | 114 | — | .269/.345/.431 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 29 | MLBLAA | 2 | .219/.295/.326 | 0 | 0 | 78 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 30 | MLBLAA | 27 | .217/.293/.322 | 0 | 0 | 76 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 141 | 120 | 35 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 292 | 397 | 475 | 872 | 183 | 376 | 23 | 14 | 389 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 58 | 48 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 386 | 417 | 803 | 146 | 306 | 19 | 16 | 358 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 339 | 287 | 80 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 61 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 279 | 388 | 516 | 903 | 237 | 303 | 18 | 11 | 397 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 40 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 324 | 375 | 432 | 807 | 108 | 480 | 30 | 2 | 362 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 155 | 136 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 265 | 355 | 382 | 737 | 118 | 351 | 24 | 9 | 336 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 216 | 178 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 225 | 349 | 320 | 669 | 96 | 298 | 23 | 15 | 308 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 146 | 124 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 315 | 414 | 516 | 930 | 202 | 337 | 13 | 12 | 409 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 141 | 126 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 284 | 310 | 593 | 111 | 291 | 32 | 10 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 58 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 316 | 373 | 688 | 137 | 265 | 24 | 10 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 339 | 299 | 69 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 77 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 231 | 320 | 428 | 748 | 197 | 256 | 23 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 40 | 37 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 297 | 350 | 405 | 755 | 108 | 439 | 35 | 2 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 155 | 140 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 214 | 290 | 314 | 605 | 100 | 294 | 30 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 216 | 190 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 200 | 283 | 289 | 572 | 89 | 265 | 28 | 9 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 146 | 130 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 345 | 431 | 776 | 162 | 297 | 16 | 8 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 141 | 126 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 284 | 310 | 593 | 111 | 291 | 32 | 10 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 141 | 120 | 35 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 292 | 397 | 475 | 872 | 183 | 376 | 23 | 14 | 389 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 397 | 350 | 81 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 32 | 91 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 231 | 319 | 420 | 739 | 189 | 262 | 23 | 8 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 397 | 335 | 93 | 15 | 3 | 18 | 47 | 72 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 278 | 387 | 501 | 889 | 224 | 304 | 18 | 12 | 392 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 195 | 178 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 225 | 292 | 326 | 618 | 101 | 328 | 31 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 195 | 173 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 277 | 359 | 393 | 752 | 116 | 377 | 25 | 8 | 342 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 216 | 190 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 200 | 283 | 289 | 572 | 89 | 280 | 28 | 9 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA RAW | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 216 | 178 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 225 | 349 | 320 | 669 | 96 | 298 | 23 | 15 | 308 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 146 | 130 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 345 | 431 | 776 | 162 | 298 | 16 | 8 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA RAW | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 146 | 124 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 315 | 414 | 516 | 930 | 202 | 337 | 13 | 12 | 409 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 141 | 125 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 284 | 312 | 596 | 112 | 291 | 32 | 10 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 397 | 349 | 81 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 32 | 91 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 232 | 319 | 421 | 740 | 189 | 257 | 23 | 8 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 195 | 176 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 227 | 292 | 330 | 622 | 102 | 324 | 31 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 216 | 192 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 198 | 283 | 286 | 569 | 89 | 265 | 28 | 9 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 146 | 130 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 345 | 431 | 776 | 162 | 297 | 16 | 8 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 195 | 176 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 227 | 292 | 330 | 622 | 102 | 324 | 31 | 5 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 216 | 192 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 198 | 283 | 286 | 569 | 89 | 265 | 28 | 9 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 146 | 130 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 345 | 431 | 776 | 162 | 297 | 16 | 8 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAA | 2% | 200 | 178 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 297 | 329 | 625 | 108 | 280 | 24 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAA | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 295 | 326 | 621 | 107 | 277 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 78 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAA | 23% | 120 | 107 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 294 | 324 | 619 | 106 | 279 | 23 | 8 | 281 | 76 | -3 | -0 | -2 | +0 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAA | 23% | 27 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 293 | 322 | 614 | 105 | 276 | 22 | 7 | 279 | 76 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 27 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 259 | 240 | 499 | 40 | 263 | 22 | 7 | 279 | 82 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 602 | 120 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 144 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 258 | 239 | 498 | 40 | 262 | 22 | 7 | 279 | 82 | -18 | +0 | -11 | +2 | +14 | -1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1299 | 1157 | 258 | 57 | 5 | 29 | 105 | 328 | 29 | 15 | 7 | 223 | 304 | 356 | 660 | 133 | 283 | 25 | 8 | 290 | 82 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +4 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 131 | 29 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 164 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 226 | 308 | 364 | 672 | 138 | 287 | 25 | 8 | 290 | 82 | -18 | +0 | -7 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 146 PAwOBA .401 → .337 (−64)K% 13.0% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.01% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 8.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.968 | 20.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×0.968 | 8.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.005 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 3.69% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .401 → .337; ISO .202 → .171; BABIP .337 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 216 PAwOBA .304 → .251 (−53)K% 23.1% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.15% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.35% | ÷1.045 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 9.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.31% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×0.978 | 17.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷0.955 | ×0.910 | ×0.992 | ×0.978 | 8.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.941 | ×0.880 | ×0.992 | ×0.978 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.103 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.55% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 88, K 99, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .304 → .251; ISO .096 → .088; BABIP .298 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 155 PAwOBA .328 → .255 (−72)K% 23.9% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.87% | ÷1.014 | ×1.270 | — | — | 29.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.03% | ÷0.998 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 6.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 2.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.25% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×0.968 | 21.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.08% | ÷0.962 | ×0.810 | ×0.995 | ×0.968 | 6.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.995 | ×0.968 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷0.935 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 1.67% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .328 → .255; ISO .118 → .091; BABIP .351 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 40 PAwOBA .353 → .300 (−53)K% 30.0% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷1.039 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.50% | ÷1.016 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 1.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 4.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 33.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 6.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.909 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.064 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 82, K 108, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .353 → .300; ISO .108 → .093; BABIP .480 → .439. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 339 PAwOBA .388 → .322 (−66)K% 18.0% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.99% | ÷1.005 | ×1.270 | — | — | 22.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.21% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 7.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.83% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 2.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.80% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 18.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.19% | ÷1.113 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 4.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.016 | ×0.850 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.08% | ÷0.817 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 6.78% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 99, 2B 123, 3B 103, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .388 → .322; ISO .237 → .211; BABIP .303 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 58 PAwOBA .355 → .287 (−69)K% 19.0% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.97% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.52% | ÷1.056 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 9.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 23.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.947 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 2.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.097 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.091 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.96% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 89, 3B 119, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .355 → .287; ISO .146 → .116; BABIP .306 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AJupiter Hammerheads · 141 PAwOBA .379 → .268 (−111)K% 22.7% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.70% | ÷0.967 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.18% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 9.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.59% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 18.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.77% | ÷1.156 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 9.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.41% | ÷0.959 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 2.79% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 101, 2B 131, 3B 130, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .379 → .268; ISO .183 → .124; BABIP .376 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).