Austin Murr — OGILVIE

Austin MurrLF Reading Fightin Phils

Age 27 L/L 6'1" / 218 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION180 act + 120 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .294 / .385

PA120

HR3

K%24

BB%7

BABIP282

ISO156

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	166	141	40	7	0	1	18	42	3	4	1	284	377	355	731	71	394	25	11	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	166	132	42	7	0	1	27	29	3	4	1	318	444	394	838	76	398	17	16	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	467	420	83	25	0	2	39	81	3	10	2	198	271	271	542	74	238	17	8	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	467	402	90	23	0	2	57	55	3	10	2	224	325	296	621	72	253	12	12	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	319	294	60	14	3	5	17	65	7	9	1	204	264	323	587	119	244	20	5	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	319	285	69	17	5	5	24	49	7	9	1	242	314	389	704	147	276	15	8	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	3 teams	—	414	369	77	19	5	12	29	106	11	12	6	209	286	385	671	176	254	26	7	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	3 teams	—	414	351	90	27	5	11	47	79	11	12	6	256	362	456	818	199	297	19	11	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+	2 teams	—	336	299	67	14	4	9	25	101	6	13	3	224	297	388	685	164	299	30	7	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+	2 teams	—	336	281	77	16	4	8	43	72	6	13	3	274	382	445	827	171	335	21	13	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AA	PHI	—	180	166	45	13	1	6	10	37	2	9	1	271	320	470	790	199	315	21	6	334	114	+3	+1	+0	-2	+5	0.8
YTD	27	AA	PHI	—	180	161	50	15	1	7	14	29	2	9	1	311	371	547	917	236	341	16	8	395	160	+12	+1	+0	-2	+5	1.7
ROS	27	AA	PHI	2%	120	109	25	6	1	3	8	29	2	4	1	229	294	385	679	156	283	24	7	308	94	-1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.2
ROS	27	MLB	PHI	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						286	0	0	299	87	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	AA	PHI	—	182	168	45	13	1	6	10	37	2	9	1	268	317	464	781	196	310	20	5	334	113	+3	+1	+0	-2	+5	0.8
TOT	27	AA	PHI	—	300	275	70	19	2	9	18	66	4	13	2	255	310	436	746	182	302	22	6	324	106	+2	+2	+0	-3	+8	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	PHI	27%	333	303	70	17	2	10	22	81	5	9	2	231	294	399	693	168	281	24	7	307	93	-3	+1	-1	-4	+9	0.4
2028	29	MLB	PHI	37%	352	320	73	17	2	10	24	86	5	8	2	228	292	388	680	159	281	24	7	306	92	-3	+1	-1	-4	+10	0.3
2029	30	MLB	PHI	43%	363	329	74	17	2	10	26	89	5	8	2	225	292	380	672	155	280	25	7	304	91	-4	+1	-2	-4	+10	0.1
2027	28	MLB	PHI	27%	89	82	19	4	1	3	6	22	1	2	0	232	292	415	707	183	283	25	7	299	87	-1	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.0
2028	29	MLB	PHI	37%	131	119	27	6	1	4	9	32	2	3	1	227	292	395	687	168	283	24	7	298	86	-2	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.0
2029	30	MLB	PHI	43%	157	143	34	8	1	5	11	39	2	3	1	238	301	413	714	175	282	25	7	296	85	-3	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	379	346	80	18	3	12	26	93	5	8	2	231	294	405	699	173	280	25	7	297	86	-6	+1	-2	-4	+11	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	138	31	5	21	45	159	9	14	3	233	297	408	705	175	281	24	7	297	86	-10	+2	-3	-7	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	2870	2584	569	136	19	62	208	680	47	77	20	220	290	360	650	139	272	24	7	288	79	-69	+7	-4	-31	+81	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	129	31	4	14	47	154	11	17	5	221	291	359	650	138	273	24	7	288	79	-16	+1	-1	-7	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	105	90	31	4	0	1	10	20	1	2	0	344	416	422	838	78	429	19	10	366	138	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2021	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	61	42	11	3	0	0	17	9	2	2	1	262	492	333	825	71	333	15	28	400	165	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2022	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	467	402	90	23	0	2	57	55	3	10	2	224	325	296	621	72	253	12	12	288	79	-11	+1	—	—	+13	0.3
2023	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	319	285	69	17	5	5	24	49	7	9	1	242	314	389	704	147	276	15	8	314	99	-1	+1	—	—	+9	1.0
2024	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	273	234	56	14	3	8	28	55	7	7	3	239	338	427	766	188	274	20	10	338	117	+5	+0	—	—	+8	1.3
2024	25	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	84	67	16	5	1	2	13	15	3	3	2	239	386	433	818	194	275	18	15	366	138	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	25	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	—	57	50	18	8	1	1	6	9	1	2	1	360	439	620	1.059	260	425	16	11	458	209	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	27	24	5	1	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	208	269	375	644	167	286	37	7	277	70	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	26	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	309	257	72	15	4	7	41	62	6	13	3	280	391	451	843	171	339	20	13	372	143	+15	+1	—	—	+9	2.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	382	11	9	231	292	396	-4	-1	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	19	16	231	292	396	-7.1	-1.7	0.5	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Murr (OGILVIE)	27	50	45	50	55	255/310/436	182	302	9	13	22%	6%	106	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Alex Call 2022 · AAA	27	43→49	48→50	48→50	48	222/287/364	142	260	17	14	22%	8%	82	+0.5	229/323/378	149	265	16	15	19%	11%	101	+1.8	221/327/368	147	257	16	17	20%	12%	99	+1.3
✕Carlos Moncrief 2016 · AAA	27	45→49	46→55	49→50	45	225/284/358	133	284	14	11	26%	7%	78	+0.2	225/284/342	117	302	11	11	28%	7%	74	-0.1	227/283/338	111	311	9	11	28%	7%	69	-0.1
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2020 · MLB	27	49→53	48→50	48→50	48	243/304/390	147	284	15	9	20%	7%	95	+1.4	223/285/345	122	285	13	8	25%	7%	76	+0.0	186/249/234	48	274	3	3	31%	8%	27	-0.8
✕Josh Kroeger 2010 · AAA	27	49→56	49→50	50	44	249/291/394	145	289	16	16	20%	5%	91	+1.1	222/275/362	140	249	16	14	18%	6%	76	+0.0	213/272/356	144	233	17	11	17%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Casey Rogowski 2008 · AAA	27	46→53	45	50→55	46	228/290/357	129	285	13	18	24%	7%	81	+0.4	225/284/353	128	302	14	16	28%	7%	77	+0.1	222/282/345	123	305	13	17	30%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Tyler Collins 2017 · MLB	27	44→50	47→50	49→50	43	224/275/350	126	277	15	10	25%	6%	72	-0.2	217/279/344	127	291	14	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	221/288/362	141	300	16	12	30%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Nate Spears 2012 · AAA	27	43→53	45	53→50	50	216/290/340	124	255	12	12	20%	8%	76	+0.1	211/279/319	108	276	10	10	25%	8%	66	-0.6	206/272/302	96	276	8	8	27%	8%	56	-0.6
✕David Dahl 2021 · MLB	27	46→54	48→55	47→55	43	232/285/383	151	296	15	8	27%	6%	85	+0.7	240/289/376	136	302	13	6	24%	6%	85	+0.7	237/289/389	152	296	17	6	25%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	42→45	48→45	53→55	48	215/291/358	143	260	16	16	24%	8%	82	+0.5	217/288/337	120	273	13	24	24%	8%	76	+0.0	211/282/316	105	266	12	28	24%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Luke Allen 2006 · AAA	27	44→43	52→50	53→45	46	230/282/394	164	265	20	13	22%	7%	87	+0.8	239/287/367	128	284	14	7	20%	6%	82	+0.5	247/293/355	109	293	11	2	19%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Christian Marrero 2013 · AAA	27	49→57	47→50	47→50	49	242/304/383	141	286	13	10	20%	8%	93	+1.3	229/299/365	136	278	13	7	21%	9%	86	+0.8	245/324/379	134	297	14	3	21%	10%	100	+0.9
✕Pablo Reyes 2021 · MLB	27	48→53	49→50	47→55	46	240/292/394	154	282	16	12	21%	6%	91	+1.1	234/295/367	133	274	14	15	19%	7%	85	+0.7	243/317/375	132	288	13	24	19%	9%	93	+0.8
✕Connor Marabell 2021 · AAA	27	49→56	47→50	48→45	44	244/279/384	139	270	14	8	16%	4%	82	+0.5	259/299/386	127	319	11	8	22%	4%	92	+1.2	290/325/421	131	359	10	6	21%	3%	106	+1.3
✕Doug DeVore 2005 · MLB	27	46	49→55	49→45	45	235/292/388	153	295	17	9	26%	7%	89	+1.0	234/284/399	165	302	20	8	29%	6%	89	+1.0	232/276/398	167	292	21	5	28%	5%	85	+0.5
✕Anthony Norman 2011 · AA	26	42	48→50	53→55	48	214/295/357	142	268	15	14	25%	8%	83	+0.6	213/274/319	106	303	7	10	30%	7%	63	-0.8	228/274/346	118	344	0	12	32%	6%	66	-0.1
✕Deik Scram 2011 · AAA	27	39→49	48→50	53→50	44	200/271/344	144	279	14	13	33%	8%	70	-0.3	209/288/340	131	307	11	10	33%	9%	76	+0.0	201/293/332	132	297	10	4	33%	11%	74	-0.0
✕Matt Long 2014 · AAA	27	46→53	47→50	54→55	46	229/287/369	140	287	14	19	25%	7%	82	+0.5	204/258/312	108	272	10	17	27%	7%	55	-1.4	187/241/280	93	250	9	18	28%	7%	39	-2.1
●Brad Nelson 2009 · AAA	26	44→48	48→50	44→50	48	226/288/369	143	269	16	11	22%	8%	83	+0.6	209/271/351	142	246	17	6	23%	8%	72	-0.2	217/287/376	159	258	20	2	24%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Luis González 2023 · MLB	27	49→52	46→45	52→50	49	242/315/369	128	306	14	18	25%	9%	95	+1.4	239/311/356	117	315	10	17	25%	8%	89	+1.0	225/307/310	85	284	4	28	20%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Steele Walker 2023 · MLB	27	43→46	47→45	47→50	44	220/270/350	130	259	15	12	22%	6%	71	-0.3	216/272/339	123	271	13	10	25%	6%	69	-0.4	162/227/254	92	204	10	0	26%	7%	26	-0.7