Jarrod Belbin1B
ACL Mariners
Age 26
L/R
6'2" / 220 lbs
ROK
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .285 / .334
PA102
HR2
K%29
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
37→37
SPD
49→49
EYE
49→49
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.2peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2037 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $3M | $-17M | -$20M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | 2 teams | 57 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 2 | .180 | .268 | .340 | .608 | .160 | .189 | 21 | 11 | .264 | 60 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK | 3 teams | 328 | 294 | 65 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 89 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .221 | .298 | .316 | .614 | .095 | .300 | 27 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -12 | +2 | +0 | -6 | +9 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 102 | 92 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .207 | .277 | .326 | .603 | .120 | .286 | 28 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 10% | SEA | 126 | 113 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .221 | .296 | .354 | .650 | .133 | .287 | 29 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 20% | SEA | 216 | 194 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 61 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .216 | .290 | .340 | .630 | .124 | .287 | 28 | 8 | .288 | 78 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 34% | SEA | 271 | 243 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 76 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .218 | .294 | .346 | .639 | .128 | .287 | 28 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -7 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 48% | SEA | 308 | 276 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 87 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .217 | .292 | .348 | .640 | .130 | .285 | 28 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -8 | +1 | -2 | -6 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 62% | SEA | 317 | 284 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 91 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .215 | .290 | .342 | .631 | .127 | .284 | 29 | 9 | .281 | 74 | -9 | +1 | -3 | -6 | +9 | -0.8 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 80% | SEA | 313 | 280 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 91 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .207 | .284 | .321 | .605 | .114 | .282 | 29 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -11 | +1 | -4 | -6 | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 293 | 263 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 88 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .205 | .282 | .323 | .605 | .118 | .281 | 30 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -11 | +1 | -4 | -5 | +8 | -1.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 256 | 230 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 79 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .200 | .276 | .309 | .584 | .109 | .279 | 31 | 9 | .265 | 61 | -11 | +1 | -5 | -5 | +7 | -1.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2587 | 2319 | 492 | 80 | 19 | 53 | 219 | 739 | 27 | 48 | 7 | .212 | .288 | .332 | .619 | .119 | .285 | 29 | 8 | .279 | 71 | -84 | +7 | -20 | -46 | +73 | -7.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 583 | 123 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 55 | 186 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .211 | .287 | .329 | .617 | .118 | .284 | 29 | 8 | .279 | 71 | -21 | +2 | -5 | -12 | +18 | -1.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 35 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | .214 | .353 | .393 | .746 | .179 | .217 | 14 | 17 | .329 | 110 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | 22 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .182 | .190 | .372 | .048 | .167 | 14 | 5 | .172 | -10 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Modesto Nuts | 74 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .177 | .311 | .226 | .537 | .048 | .275 | 30 | 15 | .263 | 59 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 144 | 125 | 43 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 1 | .344 | .427 | .528 | .955 | .184 | .388 | 14 | 10 | .418 | 178 | +13 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.8 |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | 110 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .167 | .266 | .260 | .526 | .094 | .203 | 24 | 10 | .246 | 47 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jarrod Belbin (OGILVIE) | 26 | 40 | 37 | 49 | 49 | .212/.285/.334 | .122 | .286 | 2 | 2 | 29% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA |
26 | 45 | 42→45 | 51→50 | 41 | .218/.268/.325 | .106 | .285 | 9 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .227/.274/.372 | .145 | .296 | 16 | 18 | 28% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .222/.267/.379 | .157 | .284 | 19 | 22 | 29% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Chantz Mack 2017 · AA |
26 | 45→47 | 44→45 | 45 | 47 | .222/.290/.336 | .113 | .293 | 11 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .216/.293/.320 | .104 | .299 | 10 | 6 | 28% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .153/.267/.207 | .054 | .212 | 5 | 0 | 27% | 14% | 32 | -0.5 |
|
✕Cal Towey 2016 · AA |
26 | 46→49 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 45 | .214/.297/.319 | .105 | .319 | 8 | 13 | 33% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .201/.284/.304 | .103 | .318 | 9 | 10 | 36% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .189/.280/.295 | .106 | .303 | 9 | 9 | 37% | 10% | 59 | -0.8 |
|
✕Albert Baur 2018 · A |
26 | 48 | 43→45 | 47→30 | 42 | .232/.279/.343 | .111 | .301 | 10 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .227/.275/.342 | .115 | .283 | 12 | 3 | 23% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .221/.271/.335 | .114 | .266 | 13 | 1 | 22% | 5% | 65 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ian Bladergroen 2009 · A |
26 | 43→41 | 44→45 | 49→30 | 40 | .207/.281/.324 | .118 | .297 | 11 | 5 | 32% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.269/.349 | .133 | .270 | 13 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .207/.258/.351 | .144 | .251 | 14 | 1 | 24% | 5% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Nathan Panther 2007 · AA |
26 | 44→43 | 42→45 | 45 | 46 | .215/.277/.319 | .103 | .272 | 9 | 8 | 24% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .226/.295/.355 | .129 | .281 | 12 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .229/.305/.375 | .146 | .276 | 15 | 6 | 22% | 9% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
✕Mike Gonzales 2014 · A |
26 | 43→49 | 46→50 | 49→30 | 43 | .213/.283/.340 | .127 | .294 | 14 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .213/.275/.337 | .124 | .290 | 13 | 3 | 30% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .207/.268/.324 | .116 | .280 | 12 | 0 | 29% | 6% | 60 | -0.6 |
|
✕Gabe Snyder 2021 · A |
26 | 41→37 | 47→50 | 45→40 | 42 | .208/.270/.338 | .131 | .276 | 15 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .211/.284/.355 | .144 | .299 | 15 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .173/.267/.342 | .169 | .235 | 18 | 7 | 34% | 10% | 65 | -0.2 |
|
✕Nick Baligod 2013 · A |
25 | 48 | 44→40 | 49→45 | 47 | .235/.294/.352 | .117 | .288 | 11 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .239/.292/.329 | .090 | .272 | 6 | 7 | 14% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .241/.295/.318 | .077 | .269 | 5 | 6 | 12% | 6% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Logan Parker 2009 · A |
25 | 47→48 | 46→45 | 49→45 | 46 | .233/.292/.364 | .131 | .299 | 14 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .209/.269/.319 | .110 | .282 | 10 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .188/.255/.283 | .095 | .256 | 7 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 43 | -1.6 |
|
✕Dillon Paulson 2023 · AA |
26 | 45→36 | 46→50 | 45→30 | 49 | .226/.295/.355 | .129 | .282 | 14 | 6 | 24% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .222/.287/.335 | .113 | .289 | 10 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .219/.282/.320 | .101 | .286 | 8 | 0 | 25% | 8% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA |
25 | 41 | 42→45 | 48→55 | 46 | .197/.276/.303 | .106 | .284 | 9 | 9 | 32% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.297/.325 | .110 | .300 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.305/.326 | .104 | .296 | 11 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Reid Fronk 2011 · A |
25 | 44→48 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 48 | .211/.297/.318 | .107 | .282 | 8 | 9 | 26% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .199/.281/.288 | .089 | .290 | 5 | 7 | 30% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .170/.256/.249 | .079 | .259 | 5 | 4 | 33% | 9% | 37 | -1.6 |
|
✕Matthew Page 2017 · A |
25 | 46→45 | 41→45 | 48→45 | 44 | .221/.275/.326 | .105 | .292 | 8 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .207/.263/.303 | .096 | .312 | 8 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .159/.220/.220 | .062 | .275 | 4 | 4 | 41% | 7% | 12 | -1.3 |
|
✕Sawyer Carroll 2012 · AA |
26 | 46→55 | 46→45 | 47→45 | 46 | .226/.286/.359 | .133 | .293 | 13 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .219/.277/.334 | .115 | .276 | 11 | 10 | 24% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .209/.263/.299 | .090 | .259 | 8 | 12 | 22% | 7% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Michael Gigliotti 2022 · A |
26 | 45 | 41→40 | 54→55 | 44 | .216/.285/.318 | .103 | .296 | 8 | 21 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .208/.306/.322 | .114 | .289 | 11 | 21 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .196/.305/.296 | .100 | .267 | 9 | 24 | 27% | 11% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jacob Rhinesmith 2021 · A |
25 | 42→43 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 45 | .207/.264/.316 | .109 | .250 | 10 | 11 | 22% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .211/.276/.321 | .110 | .275 | 10 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.281/.339 | .126 | .270 | 11 | 8 | 25% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Mike Papi 2019 · AAA |
26 | 44→47 | 46→45 | 45 | 49 | .220/.298/.347 | .127 | .290 | 13 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .217/.284/.324 | .107 | .302 | 9 | 7 | 29% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .167/.226/.209 | .042 | .248 | 0 | 0 | 30% | 6% | 12 | -0.7 |
|
✕Luis González 2021 · AA |
25 | 45→50 | 44→45 | 46→50 | 44 | .224/.275/.340 | .116 | .281 | 11 | 11 | 24% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.297/.343 | .116 | .291 | 12 | 18 | 25% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .230/.308/.344 | .114 | .294 | 12 | 22 | 25% | 9% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Matt Skole 2015 · AA |
26 | 41→39 | 48→50 | 49→40 | 47 | .207/.287/.349 | .142 | .287 | 17 | 6 | 32% | 10% | 78 | +0.2 | .202/.270/.346 | .144 | .260 | 18 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .192/.259/.346 | .154 | .234 | 21 | 2 | 28% | 8% | 63 | -0.6 |