Jarrod Belbin — OGILVIE

Jarrod Belbin1B ACL Mariners

Age 26 L/R 6'2" / 220 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 102 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .272 / .299

PA102

HR2

K%29

BB%8

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	ROK	2 teams	—	57	50	8	0	1	1	6	12	0	4	2	160	250	260	510	100	184	21	11	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK	2 teams	—	57	49	9	1	1	1	7	8	0	4	2	184	286	306	592	122	195	14	12	268	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK	3 teams	—	328	294	67	8	4	5	26	90	6	10	1	228	304	333	637	105	308	27	8	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK	3 teams	—	328	283	70	10	5	5	37	68	6	10	1	247	347	371	718	124	307	21	11	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	SEA	—	102	92	19	3	1	2	8	30	1	2	0	207	277	326	603	120	278	29	8	263	59	-5	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	SEA	26%	126	114	24	4	1	2	10	36	1	2	1	211	280	316	596	105	280	29	8	269	64	-5	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.4
2027	27	MLB	SEA	26%	32	29	6	1	0	1	3	9	0	1	0	207	281	345	626	138	277	28	9	259	56	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	32	29	6	1	0	1	3	9	0	1	0	207	281	345	626	138	263	28	9	259	56	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	121	20	0	20	61	183	0	20	0	205	280	341	621	136	262	28	9	259	56	-32	+4	+0	-12	+18	-2.2
Career	—			—	613	550	118	15	7	10	50	168	8	18	4	215	289	322	611	107	286	27	8	272	66	-24	+2	+0	-11	+17	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	125	16	7	11	53	178	8	19	4	214	288	322	611	108	286	27	8	272	66	-25	+2	+0	-12	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	35	28	6	0	1	1	6	5	0	4	2	214	353	393	746	179	217	14	17	329	110	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	23	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	22	21	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	143	182	190	372	48	167	14	5	172	-10	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	24	A	Modesto Nuts	—	74	62	11	1	1	0	11	22	1	1	0	177	311	226	537	48	275	30	15	263	59	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	24	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	144	125	43	6	4	3	15	20	3	7	1	344	427	528	955	184	388	14	10	418	178	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2024	24	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	110	96	16	3	0	2	11	26	2	2	0	167	266	260	526	94	203	24	10	246	47	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jarrod Belbin (OGILVIE)	26	39	38	49	50	201/272/299	99	278	2	2	29%	8%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ian Bladergroen 2009 · A	26	44→40	43→45	49→30	41	211/284/327	116	303	10	6	32%	7%	71	-0.3	216/269/349	133	272	13	5	25%	6%	69	-0.4	207/258/350	144	252	14	1	24%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Steele Walker 2021 · A	25	44→46	42→45	47→50	43	217/273/326	110	272	9	10	24%	6%	65	-0.7	215/268/339	124	260	14	10	23%	6%	66	-0.6	206/259/329	123	245	15	10	22%	6%	56	-0.6
✕Nick Banks 2021 · AA	26	46	43→45	49→45	38	224/266/338	113	300	10	8	28%	5%	65	-0.7	217/270/334	117	326	12	5	35%	6%	66	-0.6	211/266/326	115	319	13	2	36%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Tucker Nathans 2015 · A	26	48	41→45	48→45	38	231/268/330	99	308	8	6	28%	5%	63	-0.8	222/262/319	97	288	9	5	25%	5%	58	-1.2	217/260/311	94	267	10	3	22%	4%	53	-0.7
✕Jacob Rhinesmith 2021 · A	25	41→44	42→45	49→50	45	202/264/307	105	253	9	11	24%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/319	108	281	9	9	27%	7%	66	-0.6	214/284/342	128	275	11	8	25%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Chantz Mack 2017 · AA	26	44→45	44→45	45	46	217/284/331	113	292	11	5	29%	8%	72	-0.2	215/290/320	105	298	10	6	29%	9%	71	-0.3	158/270/213	55	222	5	0	28%	13%	34	-0.5
✕Matt Winaker 2021 · A	25	37→38	41→45	46→45	42	183/263/283	100	256	8	7	30%	7%	52	-1.6	195/287/282	87	269	7	6	28%	8%	62	-0.9	175/279/254	79	240	7	3	27%	9%	50	-0.7
✕Yoel Yanqui 2021 · A	25	46→50	40	50	43	218/274/312	94	302	7	13	29%	7%	62	-0.9	214/281/331	117	307	12	9	32%	8%	70	-0.3	198/272/315	117	279	13	6	32%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Isaac Ballou 2015 · A	25	45→48	42→45	53→50	45	217/281/331	114	276	9	14	24%	7%	70	-0.3	218/275/323	105	285	8	13	25%	7%	65	-0.7	213/270/312	99	281	7	12	26%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	43→45	51→50	42	184/258/300	116	276	11	10	36%	8%	53	-1.5	191/255/292	101	310	7	9	38%	7%	49	-1.8	158/216/249	91	298	0	4	44%	7%	17	-0.7
✕Dariel Gomez 2021 · A	25	46→44	43→50	49→30	44	219/289/329	110	320	10	6	33%	8%	73	-0.1	180/249/308	128	345	13	2	48%	8%	51	-1.7	156/229/283	127	294	14	0	49%	8%	34	-1.6
✕Cole Moore 2023 · A	24	43	41→45	49→40	45	208/276/309	101	290	8	6	30%	8%	63	-0.9	207/286/310	103	329	8	5	36%	10%	67	-0.5	186/280/293	106	300	9	3	37%	11%	60	-0.4
✕Preston Beck 2016 · AA	25	41→44	42→45	48→45	48	204/272/313	109	254	9	8	23%	8%	62	-0.9	215/268/319	104	272	9	6	23%	6%	61	-1.0	214/263/314	100	274	9	3	24%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Kevin Rivers 2014 · A	25	41	45	46→45	43	205/272/331	126	294	12	6	33%	8%	66	-0.6	208/265/320	112	291	8	6	29%	7%	60	-1.0	196/247/306	110	265	5	2	27%	6%	46	-1.2
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	44→43	43→50	52→50	42	219/268/334	115	281	10	13	26%	6%	65	-0.7	228/274/378	150	297	18	18	29%	5%	79	+0.3	223/268/384	160	285	20	22	29%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Chase Calabuig 2022 · AA	26	40→50	41→40	44→45	48	200/269/289	89	255	9	6	25%	8%	54	-1.4	250/310/384	134	290	13	5	18%	7%	95	+1.4	279/338/427	148	317	13	3	16%	8%	113	+1.3
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Thomas Spitz 2018 · AA	26	46	40	46→50	46	220/284/308	88	294	7	11	27%	8%	65	-0.7	221/281/328	107	331	9	9	33%	7%	69	-0.4	212/269/352	140	358	9	4	41%	7%	69	-0.1
✕Nathan Panther 2007 · AA	26	43	42→45	44→45	46	212/274/314	102	269	9	7	24%	7%	63	-0.9	225/294/356	131	279	13	7	23%	8%	82	+0.5	226/302/373	147	273	15	6	22%	9%	87	+0.5
✕Gabe Snyder 2021 · A	26	40→35	47→50	46→40	41	204/267/335	131	282	15	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	212/284/358	146	304	15	8	33%	8%	79	+0.3	176/267/354	178	239	19	7	34%	10%	68	-0.1