Sebastian Dos SantosSS FCL Cardinals
Age 18 S/R 6'0" / 140 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION205 act + 136 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†78
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .295 / .320
PA136
HR3
SB6
K%30
BB%10
BABIP264
ISO126
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +3.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: -1.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: +3.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +9.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.01.22.50.50.91.31.61.81.92.02.02.01.9+$104M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE66
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
DEFENSE45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.8$10M+$9M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.9$10M+$9M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+2.0$9M+$9M
2034Arb-1$4M+2.0$9M+$7M
2035Arb-2$7M+2.0$8M+$5M
2036Arb-3$9M+1.9$7M+$4M
Totals $23M $53M +$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Cardinals 166140 29923 18455 134 207319364683 157274 2711 298 86
202517 ROKDSL Cardinals 166128 401344 30295 134 3124605701.030 258367 1718 441 196
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKSTL 205172 28515 25727 194 163294291585 128240 3512 272 67 -8 +2 +0 +2 +6 0.3
YTD18 ROKSTL 205160 37727 37507 194 231397431828 200288 2418 374 145 +10 +2 +0 +2 +6 2.1
ROS18 ROKSTL 0% 136118 23413 14413 61 194295320615 126271 3010 287 78 -3 +1 -2 +1 +4 0.1
ROS18 MLBSTL 0% 01 0000 000 00 271 271 66 -0 +0
FULL18 ROKSTL 205173 28515 25727 194 162294289583 127237 3512 272 67 -8 +2 +0 +2 +6 0.3
TOT18 ROKSTL 341290 51928 3911310 255 175294303597 127250 3311 278 71 -11 +3 -2 +4 +10 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBSTL 34% 342297 631229 35987 92 212310357667 145278 2910 299 87 -5 +1 -5 +4 +10 0.5
202820 MLBSTL 48% 446388 8416312 461259 102 216314366680 149281 2810 306 92 -4 +1 -6 +5 +13 0.9
202921 MLBSTL 54% 520451 10018415 5314211 112 222318379698 157283 2710 311 96 -2 +1 -7 +6 +15 1.3
203022 MLBSTL 57% 570494 11020417 5915412 122 223320383703 160284 2710 314 99 -1 +2 -8 +6 +16 1.6
203123 MLBSTL 58% 603524 11722418 6216212 122 223319384703 160284 2710 316 100 +0 +2 -8 +6 +17 1.8
203224 MLBSTL 57% 624541 12122419 6516713 123 224321384706 161285 2710 318 102 +1 +1 -8 +7 +18 1.9
203325 MLBSTL 57% 635551 12323419 6617013 123 223321383704 160285 2710 319 102 +2 +1 -8 +7 +18 2.0
203426 MLBSTL 57% 639554 12523420 6717113 123 226323390713 164285 2710 319 102 +2 +1 -8 +7 +18 2.0
203527 MLBSTL 55% 637552 12423420 6717113 123 225323389712 165285 2711 319 103 +2 +1 -8 +7 +18 2.0
203628 MLBSTL 55% 631546 12122419 6717013 122 222321381702 159285 2711 318 102 +1 +2 -9 +7 +18 1.9
203729 MLBSTL 53% 620536 12022419 6616813 112 224324386710 162284 2711 317 101 +0 +1 -10 +7 +18 1.7
203830 MLBSTL 53% 609527 11621418 6516712 112 220320378697 157283 2711 314 99 -1 +1 -10 +7 +17 1.4
203931 MLBSTL 57% 594514 11220417 6316412 102 218317372689 154281 2811 310 96 -3 +1 -11 +6 +17 1.1
204032 MLBSTL 59% 575497 10619316 6116112 92 213314360674 147278 2811 305 92 -5 +1 -11 +6 +16 0.7
204133 MLBSTL 61% 546472 9817314 5815611 82 208309345654 138274 2911 299 87 -8 +1 -11 +6 +15 0.3
204234 MLBSTL 57% 498433 8715312 5214610 71 201301333634 132268 2910 290 80 -11 +1 -11 +5 +14 -0.2
202719 MLBSTL 34% 118103 22413 12342 31 214308359667 146278 2910 284 75 -3 +0 -2 +1 +3 -0.0
202820 MLBSTL 48% 216188 40716 22604 51 213308356665 144281 2810 291 81 -5 +1 -3 +2 +6 0.1
202921 MLBSTL 54% 282245 541028 29776 61 220318376693 155282 2710 296 84 -5 +1 -4 +3 +8 0.3
203022 MLBSTL 57% 323280 621229 33877 71 221319375694 154284 2710 299 87 -5 +1 -4 +3 +9 0.5
203123 MLBSTL 58% 347301 6612210 36937 71 219317372689 153284 2710 301 89 -4 +1 -5 +4 +10 0.6
203224 MLBSTL 57% 356309 6913211 37957 71 223320385705 162285 2710 303 90 -4 +1 -5 +4 +10 0.6
203325 MLBSTL 57% 360313 7013211 37967 71 224319383703 160285 2710 303 90 -4 +1 -5 +4 +10 0.7
203426 MLBSTL 57% 362313 7013211 38978 71 224323383707 160285 2710 304 91 -4 +1 -5 +4 +10 0.7
203527 MLBSTL 55% 353306 6913211 37957 71 225323389712 163285 2710 304 91 -4 +1 -5 +4 +10 0.7
203628 MLBSTL 55% 347300 6712211 37937 61 223323387709 163284 2711 303 90 -4 +1 -5 +4 +10 0.6
203729 MLBSTL 53% 332287 6412210 35907 61 223322383705 160284 2711 301 89 -4 +1 -5 +4 +9 0.5
203830 MLBSTL 53% 321277 611129 34887 61 220321372693 152283 2711 299 87 -5 +1 -5 +3 +9 0.3
203931 MLBSTL 57% 336290 6311210 36937 61 217318372691 155281 2811 295 84 -6 +1 -6 +4 +10 0.2
204032 MLBSTL 59% 340294 621129 36957 51 211312354665 143277 2811 290 80 -8 +1 -7 +4 +10 -0.0
204133 MLBSTL 61% 333288 601029 35957 51 208309351660 142273 2911 284 75 -9 +1 -7 +4 +9 -0.3
204234 MLBSTL 57% 282245 49827 30825 41 200300335635 135268 2911 276 69 -10 +0 -7 +3 +8 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 50084340 94817230145 5241370102 9416 218317372689 154281 2710 297 85 -83 +12 -77 +54 +142 4.8
/ 162G 650563 12322419 6817813 122 218317373690 155281 2710 297 85 -11 +2 -10 +7 +18 0.6
Career 93918135 177932861270 9842578194 18940 219317374691 155283 2710 311 96 -38 +22 -142 +101 +266 21.3
/ 162G 650563 12423419 6817813 133 220318377694 156285 2710 311 96 -3 +1 -10 +7 +18 1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Cardinals 166128 401344 30295 134 3124605701.030 258367 1718 441 196 +18 +1 +5 2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Chris Iannettalast yr '19
career totals — 14 seasons, 4,253 PA
144,25314111230345406+76-3023.721.5
/162664222+11.9-4.63.7pk7: 19
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA
104,23813437256308421+45-1017.017.2
/162664216+7.1-1.52.7pk7: 18
#3Bill Halllast yr '11
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA
93,62112362249308437+22+715.916.6
/1626642311+4.1+1.32.9pk7: 17
#4John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA
93,1271105235308414+56-1014.114.8
/162664231+11.9-2.13.0pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons
105,21614997220315375+54-2018.914.8
/1626641912+6.9-2.52.4pk7: 11
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA
72,8359025245302422+30+1413.013.0
/162664216+7.1+3.23.0pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Sebastian Dos Santos (OGILVIE) 18 25→45 30→50 50 66 175/294/303 127250 825 33% 11% 71 +0.3
Moisés Ballesteros
2022 · A
18 45→55 41→50 50→40 52 218/297/315 97275 88 23% 10% 73 -0.1 225/288/361 136282 164 25% 8% 81 +0.4 266/326/40513931116319%8%106+1.6
Evan Carter
2022 · A
19 45→53 42→50 52→55 54 215/320/330 115290 918 26% 12% 88 +0.9 235/321/384 149306 1320 25% 10% 101 +1.8 236/324/395159305152126%10%102+1.2
Juan Brito
2021 · A
19 47→49 41→50 53→45 48 227/287/331 103273 813 20% 7% 72 -0.2 229/306/358 129287 1210 23% 9% 89 +0.9 227/311/37414727215921%10%92+1.1
Eddys Leonard
2019 · A
18 41→47 41→55 48→50 48 200/282/301 101267 914 27% 9% 64 -0.8 211/283/328 117302 118 32% 8% 71 -0.3 225/292/37815329318428%6%84+0.6
Adael Amador
2022 · A
19 45→54 41→50 45→55 47 217/279/316 98271 811 23% 7% 65 -0.7 239/313/375 136278 1617 19% 9% 95 +1.4 230/306/371141263182320%9%88+0.7
Angel Genao
2022 · A
18 45→55 37→50 58→50 55 210/300/285 75268 416 22% 11% 66 -0.6 232/290/328 96308 711 25% 7% 72 -0.2 264/318/398134323111321%7%100+1.2
Edgar Quero
2022 · A
19 44→54 43→50 48→40 45 197/300/311 114330 96 39% 10% 75 -0.0 233/323/384 151296 175 26% 10% 102 +1.9 235/323/38715228918424%9%101+1.4
Francisco Mejía
2015 · A
19 45→55 44→55 49→40 40 221/266/338 118283 118 26% 5% 66 -0.6 238/283/344 106294 104 22% 5% 73 -0.1 256/302/42817230217121%5%103+1.0
Ronarsy Ledesma
2011 · A
18 44 44→45 53→50 41 217/277/335 118288 119 28% 6% 69 -0.4 219/286/320 101286 611 24% 6% 69 -0.4 226/280/33711129161123%4%69-0.2
Ravel Santana
2011 · A
19 43 46→50 51→55 47 216/296/344 128273 1516 26% 8% 81 +0.4 220/281/361 141294 1513 29% 7% 78 +0.2 205/253/387182264221531%6%72-0.1
Héctor Sánchez
2008 · A
18 46→50 44→50 44→30 50 226/297/346 120261 116 18% 8% 81 +0.4 242/307/346 104291 84 18% 7% 85 +0.7 252/291/37312131013022%4%83+0.3
Juan Matheus
2023 · A
19 41→43 41→45 51→55 54 194/303/299 105291 716 32% 13% 72 -0.2 205/300/298 93293 620 29% 11% 70 -0.3 210/285/315105268102124%9%66-0.4
Josue De Paula
2023 · A
18 51→42 43→45 51→55 52 244/320/360 116300 914 21% 9% 94 +1.3 228/320/325 97311 817 26% 11% 85 +0.7 226/320/360134289142625%12%91+0.8
Randy Florentino
2019 · A
19 46 45→50 45 51 220/308/355 135308 108 30% 11% 88 +0.9 191/266/284 93290 75 34% 9% 52 -1.6 183/233/258752428427%6%29-0.9
Domingo Leyba
2014 · A
18 51→50 44→50 53→45 52 244/312/377 133284 914 17% 8% 95 +1.4 231/274/320 89284 68 20% 5% 63 -0.8 230/290/37214225718618%7%83+0.3
Leo Rivas
2016 · A
18 44→54 37→40 52→65 44 204/291/284 80291 316 28% 8% 63 -0.8 208/298/281 73293 317 27% 10% 65 -0.7 239/352/3359531894424%14%101+1.2
Bryan Rincon
2023 · A
19 42 45 53→60 45 210/279/333 123274 1211 27% 8% 70 -0.3 194/289/295 101275 922 30% 11% 66 -0.6 172/263/292120248133534%10%51-0.7
Michael Arroyo
2023 · A
18 48→42 42→50 44→50 45 227/318/334 107303 87 26% 7% 88 +0.9 214/310/343 129287 128 28% 8% 88 +0.9 219/307/369150281181327%8%90+0.9
Jeral Perez
2023 · A
18 42→41 47→50 49→45 47 214/282/352 138263 147 24% 8% 76 +0.1 208/286/358 150281 187 31% 9% 80 +0.4 201/277/35815726920632%8%73-0.1
Abraham Almonte
2007 · A
18 41→51 45→55 54→55 54 205/293/332 127260 1226 25% 11% 76 +0.1 208/266/308 100276 819 26% 7% 57 -1.2 227/326/416190273221124%13%108+1.4