Sebastian Dos Santos

SS Palm Beach Cardinals
Age 19 S/R 6'0" / 140 lbs A HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP40OGV rank#172ETA2028MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKSTL166.312/.460/.57041379—.182/.313/.314
202618A/ROKSTL367.252/.412/.483162892—.196/.324/.366
2027PROJMLE19MLBSTL477.228/.327/.38214101020.6
2028PROJ43% MLB20MLBSTL145.232/.332/.388431070.4
2029PROJ61% MLB21MLBSTL248.235/.335/.397751100.8
Next 3 projected WAR 1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$7M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
BB%79
Chase%78
Max EV74
Speed68
Z-Con%61
K%52
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 53, comp-based) · star 16% · didn't stick 62%
CompsAdael Amador (age 20) · Moisés Ballesteros (age 19) · Alfredo Duno (age 18)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†102
AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .325 / .379
PA210
HR6
SB5
K%25
BB%11
ISO155
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +0.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -3.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-4FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.01.22.50.40.81.11.41.82.02.01.91.727282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$70M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.4$8M+$8M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.8$10M+$9M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.0$10M+$10M
2034Arb-1$7M+2.0$9M+$6M
2035Arb-2$11M+1.9$8M+$4M
2036Arb-3$15M+1.7$7M+$1M
Totals $35M $53M +$38M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Cardinals — 166128 401344 30295 134 3124605701.030 258367 1718 441 79 — — — — — —
202618 APalm Beach Cardinals — 255199 498010 44609 184 246405437842 191295 2417 378 91 — — — — — —
202618 ROKFCL Cardinals — 11287 23626 22273 103 2644295861.015 322315 2420 439 93 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals — 166137 25822 21375 134 182313314627 131226 2213 285 79 — — — — — —
202618 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 255211 43708 32829 184 204333351684 147268 3213 303 91 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Cardinals — 11295 17415 14393 103 179304400704 221245 3512 305 93 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals — 166137 25822 21375 134 182313314627 131228 2213 285 79 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Cardinals — 166128 401344 30295 134 3124605701.030 258367 1718 441 79 — — — — — —
202618 A MLE2 teams — 367306 6011113 4612012 287 196324366690 170267 3313 304 92 — — — — — —
202618 A RAW2 teams — 367286 7214216 668712 287 252412483895 231301 2418 397 92 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals — 166139 25822 21375 134 180313309622 129226 2213 285 79 — — — — — —
202618 A MLE2 teams — 367306 6011113 4612012 287 196324366690 170261 3313 304 92 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals — 166139 25822 21375 134 180313309622 129226 2213 285 79 — — — — — —
202618 A MLE2 teams — 367306 6011113 4612012 287 196324366690 170261 3313 304 92 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLESTL 0% 477413 9417314 531188 103 228327382710 155282 2511 319 102 +1 +1 -8 +5 +10 0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLESTL 43% 336290 6712210 37826 72 232332394727 162284 2411 326 107 +3 +1 -6 +4 +7 0.9
202921 MLB MLESTL 61% 408353 8315213 45977 92 236335403739 167285 2411 331 110 +5 +1 -7 +4 +9 1.2
203022 MLB MLESTL 68% 455394 9317215 501078 103 238337409746 171286 2411 334 112 +6 +1 -7 +5 +10 1.5
203123 MLB MLESTL 71% 505436 10519317 551189 103 240338413751 173287 2311 335 113 +8 +1 -6 +5 +11 2.0
203224 MLB MLESTL 71% 562486 11822319 6113010 113 242338416754 174289 2311 336 114 +9 +1 -4 +6 +12 2.5
203325 MLB MLESTL 71% 587508 12222320 6413610 113 242339417755 175289 2311 337 114 +10 +1 -2 +6 +13 2.8
203426 MLB MLESTL 71% 597517 12523320 6513810 113 242338416755 174288 2311 337 114 +10 +1 -2 +6 +13 2.8
203527 MLB MLESTL 69% 594514 12423320 6513810 113 241338414751 173288 2311 335 113 +9 +1 -2 +6 +13 2.8
203628 MLB MLESTL 69% 585506 12122319 6413710 103 239336409745 170287 2311 333 111 +8 +1 -3 +6 +13 2.5
203729 MLB MLESTL 67% 566490 11621318 621349 93 237333403736 166286 2411 329 109 +6 +1 -4 +6 +12 2.2
203830 MLB MLESTL 66% 552478 11220317 601339 83 234330395725 161284 2411 325 106 +4 +0 -4 +6 +12 1.8
203931 MLB MLESTL 65% 534464 10619216 571318 64 230325386710 156281 2511 319 102 +1 -0 -5 +6 +12 1.4
204032 MLB MLESTL 65% 511444 10018215 541278 57 224319373692 148278 2511 312 97 -2 -2 -6 +5 +11 0.8
204133 MLB MLESTL 65% 476416 9116213 501217 419 218312358669 140273 2511 303 91 -5 -7 -6 +5 +10 -0.3
202820 MLB CTXSTL 43% 145125 30614 16353 31 232332388720 156286 2411 324 107 +1 +0 -2 +2 +3 0.4
202921 MLB CTXSTL 61% 248214 501017 27595 51 235335397731 162287 2411 328 110 +3 +1 -4 +3 +5 0.8
203022 MLB CTXSTL 68% 310267 6412210 34736 72 238336402739 165288 2411 331 112 +4 +1 -5 +3 +7 1.1
203123 MLB CTXSTL 71% 359311 7414211 39846 72 240337406743 167289 2311 333 113 +6 +1 -4 +4 +8 1.4
203224 MLB CTXSTL 71% 399346 8416213 43927 82 241338409746 168290 2311 334 114 +7 +1 -3 +4 +9 1.8
203325 MLB CTXSTL 71% 416361 8717213 45967 82 241338410748 168290 2311 334 114 +7 +1 -2 +4 +9 2.0
203426 MLB CTXSTL 71% 423367 8817213 46987 82 241338409747 168290 2311 334 114 +7 +1 -2 +5 +9 2.0
203527 MLB CTXSTL 69% 413358 8516213 45967 82 240337407744 167289 2311 333 113 +6 +1 -2 +4 +9 1.9
203628 MLB CTXSTL 69% 402348 8316212 44947 72 238335402737 164289 2311 330 111 +5 +1 -2 +4 +9 1.7
203729 MLB CTXSTL 67% 379329 7815211 41906 62 236332396729 160287 2411 327 109 +4 +0 -2 +4 +8 1.5
203830 MLB CTXSTL 66% 363315 7414211 39876 52 233329389718 156286 2411 322 106 +3 +0 -3 +4 +8 1.2
203931 MLB CTXSTL 65% 348303 7013210 37855 43 229324380704 150283 2411 317 102 +1 -0 -3 +4 +8 0.9
204032 MLB CTXSTL 65% 331288 641219 35825 35 224319367686 143279 2511 310 97 -1 -1 -4 +4 +7 0.5
204133 MLB CTXSTL 65% 307268 591118 32784 312 218311352664 135274 2510 301 91 -3 -4 -4 +3 +7 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 48434200 99018924145 523114981 8240 236332396728 160288 2411 326 107 +49 +0 -41 +52 +105 16.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650564 13225319 7015411 115 234330390720 156287 2411 326 107 +7 +0 -6 +7 +14 2.3
Career— MLE — 80116920 160929640253 8791938142 16873 233331397728 164284 2411 326 107 +73 +1 -67 +80 +162 25.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650561 13124321 7115712 146 234332399732 166284 2411 326 107 +6 +0 -6 +7 +14 2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 APalm Beach Cardinals · 255 PAwOBA .374 → .303 (−70)K% 23.5% → 32.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.53%÷1.000×1.360——32.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.25%÷1.000×0.690—×1.05012.50%
HBP% /PA3.53%—×0.780—×1.0502.89%
Singles /BIP22.30%÷1.000×0.920×0.971×1.05020.92%
Doubles /BIP5.76%÷1.000×0.830×0.971×1.0504.87%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.971×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP7.19%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0506.04%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .374 → .303; ISO .191 → .155; BABIP .295 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Cardinals · 112 PAwOBA .428 → .305 (−123)K% 24.1% → 34.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.11%÷1.000×1.440——34.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.64%÷1.000×0.620—×1.02212.45%
HBP% /PA2.68%—×0.720—×1.0221.97%
Singles /BIP15.00%÷1.000×0.820×1.008×1.02212.68%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.720×1.008×1.0227.42%
Triples /BIP3.33%÷1.000×0.720×1.008×1.0222.47%
Home runs /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0227.98%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .428 → .305; ISO .322 → .238; BABIP .315 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Cardinals · 166 PAwOBA .439 → .285 (−153)K% 17.5% → 22.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.47%÷0.961×1.220——22.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.07%÷1.022×0.700—×1.02212.66%
HBP% /PA3.01%—×0.700—×1.0222.16%
Singles /BIP19.19%÷1.019×0.680×0.976×1.02212.79%
Doubles /BIP13.13%÷0.990×0.600×0.976×1.0227.94%
Triples /BIP4.04%÷1.150×0.600×0.976×1.0222.10%
Home runs /BIP4.04%÷1.047×0.470—×1.0221.86%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .439 → .285; ISO .258 → .145; BABIP .367 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).