Samuel Basallo — OGILVIE

Samuel BasalloC Baltimore Orioles

Age 21 L/R 6'4" / 250 lbs MLB HR +8%BB -5% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 3.4 · 2031

wRC+†vL 5774vR 40

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .267 / .387

PA250

HR10

K%27

BB%7

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40↗51

PWR

66↗71

SPD

33→33

FLD

39↗44

EYE

46↘34

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.4peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.4M
2027	Pre-Arb	$2M	+1.8	$15M	+$13M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+2.4	$20M	+$19M
2029	Arb-2	$5M	+2.9	$25M	+$21M
2030	Arb-3	$8M	+3.2	$29M	+$21M
2031	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.4	$32M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+3.4	$32M	+$17M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+3.3	$32M	+$17M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$18M	+3.1	$31M	+$13M
Totals		$78M		$219M	+$141M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	16	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	154	142	23	5	0	4	11	46	1	1	0	.162	.227	.282	.509	.120	.207	30	7	.224	30	-12	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.5
2022	17	ROK	FCL Orioles	180	164	35	4	0	4	9	54	4	1	0	.213	.271	.311	.582	.098	.284	30	5	.258	56	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2023	18	A	3 teams	483	444	111	19	6	18	36	131	2	12	5	.250	.309	.441	.751	.191	.314	27	7	.323	105	+3	+0	+0	+9	+14	2.6
2024	19	AA	2 teams	532	494	118	20	0	13	31	142	2	10	5	.239	.287	.358	.645	.119	.306	27	6	.283	75	-15	+0	+0	+10	+15	0.9
2025	20	AAA	2 teams	439	395	84	20	0	24	34	124	7	0	0	.213	.287	.446	.732	.233	.240	28	8	.316	100	-0	+0	+0	+8	+12	2.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	74	64	11	0	0	3	10	18	0	0	0	.172	.284	.312	.596	.141	.186	24	14	.264	60	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	21	MLB	BAL	176	158	32	6	0	7	14	47	2	1	0	.203	.276	.373	.649	.171	.235	27	8	.290	80	-4	+0	+1	+3	+5	0.5
TOT	21	MLB	BAL	250	222	43	6	0	10	24	65	2	1	0	.194	.278	.356	.634	.162	.223	26	10	.283	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB	BAL	520	472	100	19	1	23	38	132	5	4	1	.212	.278	.403	.680	.191	.242	25	7	.300	88	-7	+0	+2	+9	+15	2.0
2028	23	MLB	BAL	520	470	105	20	1	25	40	129	5	4	1	.223	.291	.430	.721	.206	.248	25	8	.314	99	-1	+0	+2	+9	+15	2.6
2029	24	MLB	BAL	520	469	107	20	1	27	41	127	5	5	1	.228	.297	.448	.745	.220	.249	24	8	.325	107	+4	+1	+2	+9	+15	3.1
2030	25	MLB	BAL	520	467	108	20	1	28	43	126	5	5	1	.231	.303	.458	.761	.227	.250	24	8	.331	112	+7	+1	+2	+9	+15	3.4
2031	26	MLB	BAL	520	467	109	20	1	29	43	126	5	5	1	.233	.305	.467	.772	.233	.251	24	8	.335	114	+8	+1	+2	+9	+15	3.6
2032	27	MLB	BAL	520	466	108	20	1	29	44	126	5	4	1	.232	.305	.466	.771	.234	.251	24	8	.335	114	+8	+0	+2	+9	+15	3.5
2033	28	MLB	BAL	520	465	107	20	1	28	45	128	5	3	0	.230	.305	.458	.763	.228	.251	25	9	.334	114	+8	+1	+1	+9	+15	3.4
2034	29	MLB	BAL	520	465	106	19	1	28	45	129	5	2	0	.228	.303	.454	.757	.226	.250	25	9	.332	112	+7	+0	+0	+9	+15	3.3
2035	30	MLB	BAL	520	465	105	19	1	28	45	131	5	1	0	.226	.301	.452	.753	.226	.248	25	9	.329	110	+6	+0	-0	+9	+15	3.0
2036	31	MLB	BAL	504	451	101	18	1	27	43	129	5	0	0	.224	.299	.448	.746	.224	.246	26	9	.325	107	+4	+0	-1	+9	+14	2.7
2037	32	MLB	BAL	489	440	96	17	1	25	42	128	4	0	0	.218	.292	.432	.724	.214	.245	26	9	.320	103	+2	+0	-2	+9	+14	2.3
2038	33	MLB	BAL	473	426	91	16	1	24	40	127	4	0	0	.214	.287	.425	.712	.211	.243	27	8	.314	98	-1	+0	-3	+8	+13	1.9
2039	34	MLB	BAL	417	376	79	14	1	20	35	115	3	0	0	.210	.283	.412	.695	.202	.240	28	8	.307	93	-3	+0	-3	+7	+12	1.3
2040	35	MLB	BAL	356	320	66	11	1	17	30	102	3	0	0	.206	.280	.406	.687	.200	.238	29	8	.298	86	-6	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.7
2041	36	MLB	BAL	294	266	52	9	0	13	24	87	2	0	0	.195	.267	.376	.643	.180	.234	30	8	.288	79	-7	+0	-5	+5	+8	0.1
2042	37	MLB	BAL	231	208	40	7	0	10	19	71	2	0	0	.192	.266	.370	.637	.178	.230	31	8	.277	70	-8	+0	-6	+4	+7	-0.3
2043	38	MLB	BAL	170	154	29	5	0	7	13	53	1	0	0	.188	.256	.357	.613	.169	.224	31	8	.265	61	-7	+0	-7	+3	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9578	8644	1912	348	20	458	765	2510	87	58	16	.221	.291	.425	.716	.204	.254	26	8	.313	98	-24	+5	-19	+171	+271	41.3
/ 162G	—			650	587	130	24	1	31	52	170	6	4	1	.221	.292	.424	.716	.203	.254	26	8	.313	98	-2	+0	-1	+12	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	16	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	154	134	32	8	0	5	19	32	1	1	0	.239	.338	.410	.748	.172	.278	21	12	.337	116	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2022	17	ROK	FCL Orioles	180	158	44	5	0	6	15	37	4	1	0	.278	.356	.424	.780	.146	.322	21	8	.345	122	+5	+0	—	—	+5	1.0
2023	18	AA	Bowie Baysox	16	15	7	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	.467	.500	.667	1.167	.200	.500	6	6	.508	247	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2023	18	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	115	96	32	6	2	8	19	20	0	5	2	.333	.443	.688	1.131	.354	.353	17	17	.481	226	+16	+0	—	—	+3	2.0
2023	18	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	352	308	92	19	4	12	41	73	2	7	3	.299	.385	.503	.888	.205	.357	21	12	.391	157	+23	+0	—	—	+10	3.4
2024	19	AAA	Norfolk Tides	86	81	18	3	0	3	5	27	0	1	0	.222	.267	.370	.638	.148	.294	31	6	.284	76	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	19	AA	Bowie Baysox	446	398	115	22	0	16	41	85	2	9	5	.289	.358	.465	.823	.176	.329	19	9	.362	135	+18	-0	—	—	+13	3.1
2025	20	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	118	109	18	6	0	4	6	30	3	0	0	.165	.229	.330	.559	.165	.187	25	5	.251	51	-7	+0	+0	+8	+3	0.5
2025	20	AAA	Norfolk Tides	321	270	73	17	0	23	44	76	4	0	0	.270	.381	.589	.969	.319	.287	24	14	.415	176	+27	+0	—	—	+9	3.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			118	109	18	6	0	4	6	30	3	0	0	.165	.229	.330	.559	.165	.187	25	5	.251	51	-7	+0	+0	+8	+3	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Basallo (OGILVIE)	21	40→51	66→71	33	34	.201/.271/.378	.177	.221	10	2	23%	8%	80	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mike Moustakas 2011 · AAA	22	43→53	54→65	44→45	40	.232/.265/.408	.176	.255	23	5	20%	4%	84	+0.6	.240/.286/.396	.156	.272	18	4	19%	5%	89	+1.0	.258/.320/.491	.233	.260	33	2	16%	7%	121	+3.2
●Mark Vientos 2022 · AAA	22	40→50	55→60	37→30	35	.218/.261/.399	.181	.292	25	3	35%	5%	81	+0.4	.243/.298/.442	.199	.327	27	2	33%	7%	107	+2.2	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Andy Marte 2006 · MLB	22	43→50	52→55	38→40	51	.226/.295/.393	.167	.260	19	4	22%	9%	92	+1.2	.222/.271/.377	.155	.261	18	3	22%	6%	78	+0.2	.236/.285/.394	.158	.264	19	2	19%	6%	85	+0.4
●Tyler Soderstrom 2023 · AAA	21	44→52	55→60	45→40	38	.233/.280/.420	.187	.309	24	3	32%	6%	94	+1.3	.224/.282/.408	.184	.286	24	4	30%	7%	92	+1.2	.251/.328/.452	.201	.298	25	5	24%	9%	117	+1.7
●Devin Mesoraco 2011 · AAA	23	43→52	52→60	41→40	43	.227/.282/.394	.167	.278	20	3	26%	6%	87	+0.8	.230/.286/.389	.159	.269	18	3	21%	7%	88	+0.9	.241/.331/.442	.201	.275	26	1	22%	9%	113	+1.4
●Lonnie Chisenhall 2010 · AA	21	42→52	51→55	48→45	41	.222/.268/.385	.163	.267	19	5	25%	5%	79	+0.3	.237/.286/.385	.148	.280	17	4	21%	5%	86	+0.8	.267/.320/.428	.161	.310	17	4	19%	6%	110	+1.7
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	54→60	45	48	.234/.306/.407	.174	.265	23	7	22%	8%	102	+1.8	.237/.300/.419	.182	.286	26	5	26%	7%	102	+1.9	.232/.286/.409	.178	.288	27	2	29%	6%	92	+0.8
●Nomar Mazara 2017 · MLB	22	47→51	49→55	41→40	46	.240/.298/.379	.139	.287	17	2	23%	7%	90	+1.0	.247/.309/.408	.161	.289	20	3	21%	8%	102	+1.9	.249/.312/.421	.172	.290	21	3	22%	8%	99	+1.5
✕Jordan Diaz 2023 · MLB	22	52→56	51→55	42→30	42	.266/.303/.430	.163	.304	20	3	20%	5%	105	+2.1	.252/.296/.409	.157	.297	20	2	22%	5%	97	+1.5	.245/.293/.398	.154	.288	21	0	23%	5%	90	+0.8
●Andy Pages 2023 · AA	22	38→48	57→60	45	44	.208/.292/.405	.196	.269	26	6	32%	8%	95	+1.4	.237/.306/.414	.177	.301	21	9	28%	7%	103	+1.9	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2014 · MLB	23	49→53	54→60	42→45	42	.251/.306/.439	.188	.327	22	4	30%	6%	109	+2.4	.228/.288/.410	.182	.294	24	4	30%	6%	95	+1.4	.213/.292/.399	.186	.286	24	3	33%	8%	91	+0.6
✕MJ Melendez 2022 · AAA	23	36→46	60	41→50	43	.209/.278/.423	.214	.275	30	6	36%	8%	94	+1.3	.220/.301/.405	.185	.270	22	6	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.210/.294/.378	.168	.260	19	5	26%	10%	85	+0.7
●Renato Núñez 2016 · AA	22	41→51	51→60	46→30	38	.217/.257/.371	.153	.265	20	3	27%	4%	71	-0.3	.208/.255/.372	.164	.256	22	3	28%	5%	70	-0.3	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
●Corey Patterson 2001 · MLB	21	45→55	53→55	47→60	46	.235/.305/.404	.169	.290	21	12	26%	8%	100	+1.7	.244/.288/.392	.148	.296	17	16	23%	5%	89	+0.9	.265/.306/.437	.171	.323	18	24	23%	5%	103	+1.8
✕Travis Snider 2010 · MLB	22	50→53	52→55	39→50	44	.247/.311/.420	.173	.338	20	4	32%	8%	106	+2.2	.248/.304/.407	.159	.319	17	12	27%	7%	99	+1.7	.250/.320/.404	.154	.304	18	5	23%	9%	102	+1.2
★Austin Riley 2020 · MLB	23	43→53	58→65	40	38	.232/.282/.430	.198	.306	27	2	33%	6%	98	+1.6	.256/.318/.471	.215	.316	28	2	28%	7%	123	+3.3	.273/.345/.498	.224	.325	30	1	25%	8%	136	+4.9
●Gary Sánchez 2014 · AA	21	42→51	49→65	47→45	40	.219/.269/.362	.143	.281	17	6	28%	5%	73	-0.1	.239/.289/.387	.148	.294	18	6	24%	6%	89	+0.9	.232/.315/.480	.248	.254	37	1	26%	9%	119	+2.3
✕Jaff Decker 2012 · AA	22	42→50	52→55	46→55	49	.217/.305/.388	.170	.285	20	9	30%	10%	96	+1.5	.210/.290/.346	.136	.279	14	9	28%	10%	79	+0.3	.223/.297/.332	.109	.287	9	13	24%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Luis García Jr. 2022 · MLB	22	48→57	47→50	43→50	42	.243/.274/.376	.133	.279	15	6	20%	4%	79	+0.3	.266/.301/.412	.146	.307	15	9	18%	5%	99	+1.7	.270/.306/.407	.137	.308	14	13	17%	5%	97	+1.4
★Evan Longoria 2007 · AA	21	46→56	57→65	46→50	40	.249/.285/.444	.194	.281	27	8	23%	4%	102	+1.9	.260/.328/.468	.208	.306	27	6	24%	8%	126	+3.5	.273/.365/.510	.238	.300	28	8	19%	12%	140	+4.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)