Samuel Basallo — OGILVIE

Samuel BasalloC Baltimore Orioles

Age 21 L/R 6'4" / 250 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 0.250 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION301 act + 219 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 7158vR 53

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .300 / .437

PA219

HR10

K%26

BB%8

BABIP276

ISO201

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 51 / POW 69

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT51

Whiff%

903.9%

xwOBA

640.325

POWER69

Barrel%

7511.9

Avg EV

7590.8

Bat Spd

8775.2

EYE35

Chase%

9011.8%

SPEED32

Sprint

1024.9

DEFENSE44

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 180 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

155

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

267

284

▶R

ISO

143

197

▶▶R

BABIP

133

217

▶▶R

20.0%

25.2%

◀◀L

BB%

12.0%

5.8%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.250 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$3M	+1.1	$9M	+$5M
2027	Ext	$8M	+2.4	$18M	+$10M
2028	Ext	$8M	+2.9	$20M	+$13M
2029	Ext	$8M	+3.1	$20M	+$14M
2030	Ext	$8M	+3.3	$19M	+$14M
2031	Ext	$8M	+3.3	$18M	+$13M
2032	Ext	$8M	+3.3	$17M	+$12M
2033	Ext	$8M	+3.2	$15M	+$11M
Totals		$62M		$136M	+$93M

Options · projected decision
2034	CLUB OPT	$8.4M / $0.0M buyout	EXERCISE
2035	CLUB OPT	$18.0M / $7.0M buyout	EXERCISE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	16	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	—	154	142	23	5	0	4	11	46	1	1	0	162	227	282	509	120	207	30	7	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	16	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	—	154	134	32	8	0	5	19	32	1	1	0	239	338	410	748	172	278	21	12	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	180	164	36	4	0	4	9	55	4	1	0	220	277	317	594	98	296	31	5	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	180	158	44	5	0	6	15	37	4	1	0	278	356	424	780	146	322	21	8	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	3 teams	—	483	445	110	18	7	18	35	131	2	12	5	247	305	440	745	193	310	27	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	3 teams	—	483	419	131	26	7	20	61	94	2	12	5	313	402	551	954	239	363	19	13	416	176	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	AA	2 teams	—	532	495	113	19	0	12	30	145	2	10	5	228	275	339	615	111	295	27	6	268	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	AA	2 teams	—	532	479	133	25	0	19	46	112	2	10	5	278	343	449	792	171	324	21	9	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AAA	2 teams	—	439	397	86	20	0	25	32	128	7	0	0	217	287	456	743	239	247	29	7	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AAA	2 teams	—	439	379	91	23	0	27	50	106	7	0	0	240	339	515	854	274	257	24	11	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	MLB	BAL	—	301	274	68	9	1	16	25	77	0	0	0	248	311	464	775	215	284	26	8	330	111	+4	+0	-0	+5	+9	1.8
YTD	21	MLB	BAL	—	301	274	68	9	1	16	25	77	0	0	0	248	311	464	775	215	284	26	8	339	117	+6	+0	-0	+5	+9	2.0
ROS	21	MLB	BAL	100%	219	199	47	8	1	10	17	56	1	1	0	236	300	437	737	201	269	26	8	319	102	+1	+0	-1	+4	+6	1.0
ROS	21	MLB	BAL	100%	219	199	47	8	1	10	17	56	1	1	0	236	300	437	737	201	273	26	8	321	104	+1	+0	-1	+4	+6	1.0
FULL	21	MLB	BAL	—	520	473	115	17	2	26	42	133	1	1	0	243	306	452	759	209	281	26	8	326	108	+5	+0	-2	+9	+15	2.8
TOT	21	MLB	BAL	—	520	473	115	17	2	26	42	133	1	1	0	243	306	452	759	209	281	26	8	325	107	+4	+0	-2	+9	+15	2.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	BAL	98%	520	471	112	19	2	25	41	131	3	2	1	238	303	446	749	208	270	25	8	326	108	+5	+0	-3	+9	+15	2.6
2028	23	MLB	BAL	98%	520	470	114	19	2	27	42	129	3	2	1	243	309	464	773	221	271	25	8	335	115	+9	+0	-3	+9	+15	3.0
2029	24	MLB	BAL	98%	520	470	116	19	2	28	42	127	3	2	1	247	313	474	787	228	272	24	8	341	119	+11	+0	-3	+9	+15	3.3
2030	25	MLB	BAL	98%	520	469	116	19	2	29	43	126	3	2	1	247	315	482	796	235	272	24	8	344	122	+13	+0	-3	+9	+15	3.4
2031	26	MLB	BAL	98%	520	469	116	19	2	29	43	126	3	2	1	247	315	482	796	235	272	24	8	346	123	+13	+0	-3	+9	+15	3.5
2032	27	MLB	BAL	98%	520	468	116	19	2	29	44	126	3	2	1	248	317	483	799	235	272	24	8	346	123	+13	+0	-3	+9	+15	3.5
2033	28	MLB	BAL	98%	520	468	115	19	1	29	44	127	3	2	1	246	315	476	791	231	272	24	8	345	122	+13	+0	-4	+9	+15	3.4
2034	29	MLB	BAL	98%	520	468	115	19	1	29	44	128	3	1	1	246	315	476	791	231	271	25	8	343	120	+12	-0	-4	+9	+15	3.2
2035	30	MLB	BAL	98%	520	468	112	18	1	28	44	129	3	1	1	239	309	462	770	222	269	25	8	340	118	+11	-0	-5	+9	+15	3.0
2036	31	MLB	BAL	98%	504	453	108	17	1	27	43	127	3	1	0	238	309	459	768	221	267	25	9	336	115	+9	+0	-6	+9	+14	2.7
2037	32	MLB	BAL	98%	489	441	103	16	1	26	42	125	3	1	0	234	305	451	756	218	264	26	9	330	111	+6	+0	-6	+9	+14	2.3
2038	33	MLB	BAL	98%	473	428	98	15	1	24	40	123	2	1	0	229	298	437	735	208	259	26	8	323	105	+3	+0	-7	+8	+13	1.8
2039	34	MLB	BAL	94%	417	377	84	12	1	21	35	111	2	0	0	223	292	427	719	204	253	27	8	313	98	-1	+0	-7	+7	+12	1.1
2040	35	MLB	BAL	89%	356	321	70	10	1	17	30	98	2	0	0	218	289	414	703	196	247	28	8	303	90	-4	+0	-8	+6	+10	0.5
2041	36	MLB	BAL	80%	294	267	54	7	0	13	24	83	1	0	0	202	271	375	645	172	240	28	8	292	81	-6	+0	-8	+5	+8	-0.1
2042	37	MLB	BAL	71%	231	210	41	5	0	10	18	67	1	0	0	195	262	362	624	167	233	29	8	279	72	-7	+0	-8	+4	+7	-0.5
2043	38	MLB	BAL	57%	170	154	29	3	0	7	13	50	1	0	0	188	256	344	600	156	226	29	8	266	62	-7	+0	-9	+3	+5	-0.8
2027	22	MLB	BAL	98%	510	462	113	19	2	26	40	129	3	2	1	245	309	463	772	219	275	25	8	328	109	+5	+0	-3	+9	+14	2.7
2028	23	MLB	BAL	98%	510	461	114	19	2	27	41	126	3	2	1	247	313	473	786	226	276	25	8	338	116	+9	+0	-3	+9	+14	3.1
2029	24	MLB	BAL	98%	510	461	116	19	2	29	41	124	3	2	1	252	317	490	807	239	277	24	8	343	121	+12	+0	-3	+9	+14	3.3
2030	25	MLB	BAL	98%	510	460	116	19	2	29	42	124	3	2	1	252	319	491	810	239	277	24	8	347	123	+14	+0	-3	+9	+14	3.5
2031	26	MLB	BAL	98%	510	460	117	19	2	30	42	123	3	2	1	254	321	500	821	246	277	24	8	348	124	+14	+0	-3	+9	+14	3.5
2032	27	MLB	BAL	98%	510	459	116	19	1	30	43	124	3	2	1	253	321	495	815	242	277	24	8	348	125	+14	+0	-3	+9	+14	3.6
2033	28	MLB	BAL	98%	510	459	114	19	1	29	43	125	3	2	1	248	317	484	800	235	276	25	8	347	124	+14	+0	-4	+9	+14	3.4
2034	29	MLB	BAL	98%	510	458	114	19	1	29	44	126	3	1	1	249	319	485	804	236	276	25	9	345	122	+13	-0	-4	+9	+14	3.3
2035	30	MLB	BAL	98%	510	458	114	19	1	29	44	127	3	1	0	249	319	485	804	236	274	25	9	342	120	+12	+0	-5	+9	+14	3.1
2036	31	MLB	BAL	98%	494	446	109	18	1	28	42	124	3	1	0	244	314	478	791	233	272	25	9	338	117	+10	+0	-6	+9	+14	2.8
2037	32	MLB	BAL	98%	479	432	103	16	1	26	41	122	3	1	0	238	309	461	769	222	268	25	9	333	113	+7	+0	-6	+9	+14	2.4
2038	33	MLB	BAL	98%	464	420	98	15	1	25	39	121	2	1	0	233	302	452	754	219	264	26	8	325	107	+4	+0	-7	+8	+13	1.9
2039	34	MLB	BAL	94%	390	352	80	12	1	20	33	104	2	0	0	227	297	438	735	210	257	27	8	316	100	+0	+0	-7	+7	+11	1.1
2040	35	MLB	BAL	89%	317	287	63	9	1	16	26	87	1	0	0	220	287	425	712	206	251	27	8	305	92	-3	+0	-7	+6	+9	0.5
2041	36	MLB	BAL	80%	235	213	44	6	0	11	19	66	1	0	0	207	275	390	664	183	244	28	8	294	83	-4	+0	-6	+4	+7	-0.0
2042	37	MLB	BAL	71%	164	149	30	4	0	7	13	48	1	0	0	201	270	369	639	168	237	29	8	281	73	-5	+0	-6	+3	+5	-0.3
2043	38	MLB	BAL	57%	97	89	17	2	0	4	8	29	0	0	0	191	258	348	606	157	229	30	8	269	64	-4	+0	-5	+2	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7567	6834	1643	267	20	409	624	1915	44	20	8	240	308	465	773	224	271	25	8	332	112	+105	+1	-80	+141	+214	38.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	141	23	2	35	54	164	4	2	1	240	309	465	774	225	271	25	8	332	112	+9	+0	-7	+12	+18	3.3
Career	—			—	9621	8714	2034	329	28	471	766	2494	59	44	19	233	300	440	739	206	269	26	8	322	105	+52	+1	-90	+172	+273	41.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	137	22	2	32	52	168	4	3	1	233	300	440	739	207	267	26	8	322	105	+4	+0	-6	+12	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	16	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	—	154	134	32	8	0	5	19	32	1	1	0	239	338	410	748	172	278	21	12	337	116	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2022	17	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	180	158	44	5	0	6	15	37	4	1	0	278	356	424	780	146	322	21	8	345	122	+5	+0	—	—	+5	1.0
2023	18	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	16	15	7	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	467	500	667	1.167	200	500	6	6	508	247	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2023	18	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	115	96	32	6	2	8	19	20	0	5	2	333	443	688	1.131	354	353	17	17	481	226	+16	+0	—	—	+3	2.0
2023	18	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	352	308	92	19	4	12	41	73	2	7	3	299	385	503	888	205	357	21	12	391	157	+23	+0	—	—	+10	3.4
2024	19	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	86	81	18	3	0	3	5	27	0	1	0	222	267	370	638	148	294	31	6	284	76	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	19	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	446	398	115	22	0	16	41	85	2	9	5	289	358	465	823	176	329	19	9	362	135	+18	-0	—	—	+13	3.1
2025	20	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	118	109	18	6	0	4	6	30	3	0	0	165	229	330	559	165	187	25	5	251	51	-7	+0	+0	+8	+3	0.5
2025	20	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	321	270	73	17	0	23	44	76	4	0	0	270	381	589	969	319	287	24	14	415	176	+27	+0	—	—	+9	3.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	118	109	18	6	0	4	6	30	3	0	0	165	229	330	559	165	187	25	5	251	51	-7	+0	+0	+8	+3	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 19 projected seasons	19	8,165	420	20	236	300	451	+116	+1	45.7	35.5
	/162	664	34	2	236	300	451	+9.4	+0.1	3.7	pk7: 25
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#2Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
#3Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#4Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	13	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
	/162	664	26	3	247	307	431	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#5Eduardo Escobarlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,114 PA	12	5,114	164	23	253	305	430	+29	+16	21.1	21.1
	/162	664	21	3	253	305	430	+3.7	+2.0	2.7	pk7: 21
#6John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#6John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Basallo (OGILVIE)	21	42→51	65→69	33→32	35	243/306/452	209	281	26	1	26%	8%	107	+2.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Tyler Soderstrom 2023 · AAA	21	44→54	58→60	44→40	37	236/282/437	201	313	27	3	33%	5%	99	+1.7	228/287/417	189	288	25	4	30%	7%	96	+1.5	257/339/469	212	298	26	4	22%	10%	126	+2.6
●Mark Vientos 2022 · AAA	22	40→49	58→60	38→30	36	221/267/417	196	296	28	3	35%	5%	88	+0.9	242/298/439	197	329	27	2	33%	7%	106	+2.2	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
●Eloy Jiménez 2020 · MLB	23	49→56	58→65	42→40	42	259/302/461	202	301	28	2	25%	6%	114	+2.7	264/312/464	200	315	28	2	25%	6%	118	+3.0	268/322/458	191	318	27	0	24%	7%	119	+1.5
●Mike Moustakas 2011 · AAA	22	44→54	54→65	44→45	40	233/264/411	179	257	23	5	21%	4%	85	+0.7	247/293/401	154	283	17	4	19%	5%	94	+1.3	264/326/513	248	264	35	2	16%	7%	131	+3.9
✕Jordan Diaz 2023 · MLB	22	53→56	55	42→30	43	274/310/456	182	307	23	3	20%	5%	115	+2.8	254/298/416	162	298	21	2	22%	5%	100	+1.7	246/294/401	155	288	21	0	23%	5%	91	+0.8
●Andy Pages 2023 · AA	22	39→49	57→60	45→50	44	212/294/409	197	278	26	6	33%	8%	97	+1.5	245/312/431	186	310	22	9	27%	7%	110	+2.4	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
★Austin Riley 2020 · MLB	23	43→53	60→65	40	37	232/283/447	214	305	30	2	34%	6%	102	+1.9	264/326/486	222	325	30	2	27%	7%	131	+3.9	282/354/518	236	335	31	1	25%	8%	146	+5.6
●MJ Melendez 2022 · AAA	23	39→49	65→60	40→50	46	226/295/469	243	272	35	5	32%	9%	113	+2.6	227/308/420	193	280	23	6	26%	10%	105	+2.1	220/304/400	180	274	20	5	26%	10%	95	+1.3
●Gleyber Torres 2020 · MLB	23	50→53	60	45→50	49	266/329/479	212	302	29	7	23%	8%	129	+3.7	256/326/420	164	300	20	10	21%	9%	112	+2.6	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	113	+2.9
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2014 · MLB	23	49→51	56→60	42→45	42	250/306/446	196	324	24	4	30%	7%	111	+2.5	228/287/413	185	293	24	3	30%	6%	95	+1.4	215/292/414	198	292	26	3	34%	8%	95	+0.7
●Jay Bruce 2009 · MLB	22	51→54	56→65	46→50	41	263/308/461	199	329	23	9	28%	6%	115	+2.8	256/323/463	207	300	27	8	23%	9%	122	+3.3	254/334/472	219	297	28	7	24%	10%	119	+3.1
★Evan Longoria 2007 · AA	21	46→56	58→65	45→50	40	250/284/446	196	281	27	8	23%	4%	102	+1.9	261/331/469	208	307	26	6	23%	8%	128	+3.6	271/363/512	242	295	29	8	19%	12%	141	+4.9
★Mark Reynolds 2007 · AA	23	44→54	58→65	43→50	41	234/291/435	201	299	27	3	31%	7%	102	+1.9	253/326/472	219	340	28	8	32%	9%	126	+3.5	255/337/492	237	341	31	12	32%	10%	131	+4.0
★Nolan Arenado 2012 · A	21	47→56	55→65	42→40	44	248/280/431	183	256	23	3	15%	4%	96	+1.5	244/281/392	148	265	16	2	15%	5%	85	+0.7	268/329/491	223	273	29	3	14%	8%	126	+3.7
✕Travis Snider 2010 · MLB	22	49→53	53→60	39→50	44	245/312/423	177	336	21	4	32%	8%	107	+2.2	249/304/411	162	317	18	12	26%	7%	101	+1.8	251/304/402	151	313	16	15	24%	7%	95	+1.1
●Chris Carter 2006 · AA	23	48→57	57→55	37→40	48	253/308/446	193	266	26	2	17%	6%	112	+2.6	261/314/420	159	289	18	5	16%	7%	107	+2.2	266/317/421	154	295	18	4	16%	6%	106	+2.1
●Miguel Montero 2006 · AA	23	51→59	56→55	44→40	43	265/313/454	189	297	25	4	20%	5%	116	+2.8	244/307/403	159	273	20	3	18%	7%	101	+1.8	273/358/433	160	327	16	0	20%	10%	120	+2.6
●Spencer Torkelson 2022 · AAA	22	42→46	60	45→40	50	229/316/447	219	275	27	6	28%	10%	116	+2.8	224/304/409	185	278	23	3	27%	10%	101	+1.8	236/320/456	220	284	29	2	27%	10%	116	+3.1
✕Kellen Kulbacki 2009 · A	23	47→46	56→60	38→30	50	248/319/434	185	284	25	4	22%	8%	114	+2.7	222/277/341	119	269	13	6	22%	7%	71	-0.3	197/240/273	76	241	5	5	20%	5%	33	-0.7
★Chris Davis 2008 · AA	22	43→53	61→70	43→40	34	234/274/455	221	317	31	4	36%	5%	101	+1.8	253/299/460	207	334	27	5	31%	6%	112	+2.6	238/337/508	269	291	38	3	31%	12%	131	+4.0