Juan Cabada — OGILVIE

Juan CabadaSS ACL Cubs

Age 18 L/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 80 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .288 / .315

PA80

HR1

K%26

BB%8

BABIP294

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

DEFENSE43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.8	$8M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$7M	+$5M
2036	Arb-3	$8M	+1.6	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$46M	+$38M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	144	32	7	0	3	12	48	14	20	3	222	341	333	675	111	312	28	7	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	136	39	10	0	3	20	31	14	20	3	287	429	426	856	140	353	18	12	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	CHC	—	62	56	13	0	1	2	6	14	0	2	1	232	306	375	681	143	275	23	10	266	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
YTD	18	ROK	CHC	—	62	53	15	0	1	2	9	10	0	2	1	283	387	434	821	151	317	16	15	370	141	+3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.5
ROS	18	ROK	CHC	0%	80	73	16	2	1	1	6	21	1	2	0	219	287	315	603	96	290	26	8	288	79	-2	+0	-1	+1	+2	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	276	70	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	CHC	—	62	57	13	0	1	2	6	14	0	2	1	228	306	368	675	140	268	23	10	266	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK	CHC	—	142	129	29	2	2	3	12	35	1	4	1	225	296	341	637	116	286	25	8	279	71	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	CHC	34%	229	205	47	7	2	5	18	58	4	4	1	229	304	356	660	127	291	25	8	294	83	-4	+0	-2	+2	+6	0.3
2028	20	MLB	CHC	48%	360	321	75	12	2	8	29	89	7	7	1	234	311	358	669	125	293	25	8	300	88	-5	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.7
2029	21	MLB	CHC	54%	458	408	95	15	3	10	38	112	9	9	2	233	312	358	670	125	294	24	8	304	91	-5	+1	-4	+5	+13	1.0
2030	22	MLB	CHC	57%	527	469	109	17	3	12	43	128	10	10	2	232	310	358	669	126	295	24	8	307	93	-4	+1	-5	+6	+15	1.3
2031	23	MLB	CHC	58%	575	511	121	19	4	14	48	139	11	11	2	237	316	372	688	135	295	24	8	308	94	-4	+1	-5	+6	+16	1.5
2032	24	MLB	CHC	57%	605	538	128	20	4	15	50	146	12	11	2	238	317	374	690	136	296	24	8	310	95	-3	+1	-6	+6	+17	1.7
2033	25	MLB	CHC	57%	623	553	132	21	4	15	52	150	13	11	2	239	319	373	691	134	296	24	8	310	96	-3	+1	-6	+7	+18	1.7
2034	26	MLB	CHC	57%	631	560	133	21	4	15	53	151	13	12	2	237	318	370	688	132	296	24	8	311	96	-3	+2	-6	+7	+18	1.8
2035	27	MLB	CHC	55%	632	560	133	21	4	15	54	152	13	12	2	237	319	370	689	132	296	24	9	311	96	-3	+2	-6	+7	+18	1.8
2036	28	MLB	CHC	59%	628	556	132	21	4	15	54	152	13	11	2	237	319	371	690	133	296	24	9	310	95	-3	+1	-6	+7	+18	1.6
2037	29	MLB	CHC	61%	618	548	129	20	4	15	53	151	12	11	2	235	316	369	685	133	295	24	9	308	94	-4	+1	-7	+7	+18	1.5
2038	30	MLB	CHC	62%	607	538	125	19	4	14	52	150	12	10	2	232	314	361	675	128	294	25	9	306	92	-5	+1	-8	+7	+17	1.2
2039	31	MLB	CHC	63%	593	525	121	19	3	13	51	148	12	10	2	230	313	352	665	122	292	25	9	302	89	-7	+1	-8	+6	+17	0.9
2040	32	MLB	CHC	64%	575	510	114	17	3	12	49	146	11	9	2	224	305	339	644	116	290	25	9	297	85	-10	+1	-9	+6	+16	0.5
2041	33	MLB	CHC	65%	545	483	107	16	3	11	47	141	10	8	2	222	304	335	639	114	286	26	9	290	80	-12	+1	-9	+6	+15	0.1
2042	34	MLB	CHC	60%	498	444	95	13	3	9	42	132	9	7	1	214	295	318	613	104	281	27	8	282	74	-15	+1	-9	+5	+14	-0.4
2043	35	MLB	CHC	56%	442	394	82	11	2	8	37	121	8	6	1	208	289	307	596	99	276	27	8	273	67	-16	+1	-10	+5	+13	-0.8
2027	19	MLB	CHC	34%	79	71	17	2	1	2	6	20	2	2	0	239	316	380	697	141	293	25	8	281	73	-2	+0	-1	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB	CHC	48%	174	155	36	6	1	4	14	43	3	3	1	232	308	361	669	129	294	25	8	287	78	-4	+0	-2	+2	+5	0.1
2029	21	MLB	CHC	54%	248	221	52	8	2	6	20	61	5	5	1	235	313	371	684	136	295	25	8	291	81	-5	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.3
2030	22	MLB	CHC	57%	298	265	63	10	2	7	25	72	6	6	1	238	318	370	687	132	296	24	8	293	83	-6	+1	-3	+3	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB	CHC	58%	331	294	70	11	2	8	27	80	7	6	1	238	317	371	688	133	297	24	8	295	84	-6	+1	-3	+4	+9	0.5
2032	24	MLB	CHC	57%	345	306	73	12	2	8	29	83	7	6	1	239	319	369	688	131	297	24	8	296	85	-6	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.5
2033	25	MLB	CHC	57%	353	314	75	12	2	9	29	85	7	7	1	239	317	376	693	137	297	24	8	297	85	-6	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.6
2034	26	MLB	CHC	57%	357	317	76	12	2	9	30	86	7	7	1	240	319	375	695	136	297	24	8	297	86	-6	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.6
2035	27	MLB	CHC	55%	351	311	75	12	2	9	30	84	7	6	1	241	322	379	701	138	297	24	9	297	86	-6	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.6
2036	28	MLB	CHC	59%	371	329	77	12	2	9	32	90	7	7	1	234	315	365	680	131	297	24	9	296	85	-6	+1	-4	+4	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB	CHC	61%	377	334	78	12	2	9	32	92	8	7	1	234	316	362	678	129	296	24	8	295	84	-7	+1	-4	+4	+11	0.5
2038	30	MLB	CHC	62%	378	335	78	12	2	9	33	93	7	6	1	233	315	361	676	128	296	25	9	292	82	-8	+1	-5	+4	+11	0.3
2039	31	MLB	CHC	63%	374	332	76	12	2	8	32	93	7	6	1	229	310	349	659	120	294	25	9	289	79	-9	+1	-5	+4	+11	0.1
2040	32	MLB	CHC	64%	366	325	74	11	2	8	31	93	7	6	1	228	309	348	656	120	291	25	8	284	75	-10	+1	-6	+4	+10	-0.1
2041	33	MLB	CHC	65%	354	314	69	10	2	7	30	92	7	5	1	220	302	331	633	111	287	26	8	277	70	-12	+1	-6	+4	+10	-0.3
2042	34	MLB	CHC	60%	301	266	58	8	2	6	26	80	6	4	1	218	302	331	633	113	282	27	9	270	65	-12	+0	-6	+3	+9	-0.6
2043	35	MLB	CHC	56%	248	220	45	6	1	4	21	68	5	3	1	205	289	295	584	91	277	27	8	261	58	-12	+0	-5	+3	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5305	4710	1092	168	31	122	447	1315	105	92	16	232	312	358	671	127	294	25	8	289	79	-123	+12	-64	+57	+150	3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	134	21	4	15	55	161	13	11	2	232	313	360	674	128	295	25	8	289	79	-15	+1	-8	+7	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	9396	8340	1926	298	57	210	788	2335	194	181	33	231	312	356	668	125	294	25	8	302	89	-113	+23	-110	+101	+266	17.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	134	21	4	15	55	162	13	13	2	232	313	360	674	128	295	25	8	302	89	-8	+2	-8	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	136	39	10	0	3	20	31	14	20	3	287	429	426	856	140	353	18	12	393	159	+11	+3	—	—	+5	1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,448	123	95	232	309	359	+54	-31	14.8	11.9
	/162	664	15	12	232	309	359	+6.6	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 9
#4Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	12	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
	/162	664	14	3	250	308	370	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#5Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
	/162	664	21	1	241	303	410	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Cabada (OGILVIE)	18	25→55	30→45	45→49	70	225/296/341	116	286	3	4	25%	8%	71	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51→42	43→45	51→55	52	244/320/360	116	300	9	14	21%	9%	94	+1.3	228/320/325	97	311	8	17	26%	11%	85	+0.7	226/320/360	134	289	14	26	25%	12%	91	+0.8
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→53	39→45	51→45	51	232/297/329	97	272	5	7	16%	8%	76	+0.0	218/285/291	73	279	5	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	257/332/370	113	311	11	7	20%	9%	99	+1.0
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→59	41→50	49→50	58	241/333/346	105	301	8	10	21%	12%	96	+1.5	249/334/387	138	332	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	244/330/384	140	317	13	15	25%	11%	101	+1.8
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	88	+0.9	191/266/284	93	290	7	5	34%	9%	52	-1.6	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Ronny Hernandez 2023 · A	18	41→51	45→40	48→40	46	206/276/327	122	267	12	5	27%	8%	67	-0.5	221/292/298	77	303	5	3	26%	9%	66	-0.6	221/297/311	90	280	10	1	23%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
●Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→54	42→55	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	77	+0.1	195/265/303	108	302	7	13	35%	8%	56	-1.3	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	67	-0.5	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	40	-2.4	268/309/352	83	293	9	4	12%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→56	40	50→40	47	222/289/316	94	291	7	7	25%	8%	69	-0.4	242/309/331	89	308	7	5	22%	8%	82	+0.5	244/317/320	76	314	4	2	22%	9%	78	+0.1