Juan Cabada
SS Myrtle Beach Pelicans| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROKDSL Cubs Red | 170 | .287/.429/.426 | 3 | 20 | 65 | — | .190/.324/.275 |
| 2026 | 18 | A/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 176 | .224/.326/.336 | 4 | 4 | 55 | — | .213/.289/.344 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 19 | MLBCHC | 246 | .223/.296/.331 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 20 | MLBCHC | 49 | .229/.303/.345 | 1 | 1 | 83 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 21 | MLBCHC | 119 | .232/.306/.353 | 2 | 2 | 86 | 0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | — | 170 | 136 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 31 | 14 | 20 | 3 | 287 | 429 | 426 | 856 | 140 | 353 | 18 | 12 | 393 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 74 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 215 | 301 | 338 | 640 | 123 | 261 | 24 | 4 | 291 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | ACL Cubs | — | 62 | 53 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 283 | 387 | 434 | 821 | 151 | 317 | 16 | 15 | 370 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 40 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 147 | 275 | 176 | 451 | 29 | 250 | 35 | 12 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs Red | — | 170 | 142 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 14 | 20 | 3 | 190 | 324 | 275 | 598 | 85 | 243 | 23 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 74 | 66 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 274 | 318 | 592 | 121 | 253 | 32 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Cubs | — | 62 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 306 | 375 | 681 | 143 | 261 | 23 | 10 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs Red | — | 170 | 142 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 14 | 20 | 3 | 190 | 324 | 275 | 598 | 85 | 248 | 23 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cubs Red | — | 170 | 136 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 31 | 14 | 20 | 3 | 287 | 429 | 426 | 856 | 140 | 353 | 18 | 12 | 393 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 176 | 159 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 50 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 201 | 274 | 302 | 576 | 101 | 264 | 28 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 176 | 152 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 42 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 224 | 326 | 336 | 661 | 112 | 280 | 24 | 10 | 304 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs Red | — | 170 | 140 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 14 | 20 | 3 | 193 | 324 | 279 | 602 | 86 | 243 | 23 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 176 | 158 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 50 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 203 | 274 | 304 | 578 | 101 | 257 | 28 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs Red | — | 170 | 140 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 14 | 20 | 3 | 193 | 324 | 279 | 602 | 86 | 243 | 23 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 176 | 158 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 50 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 203 | 274 | 304 | 578 | 101 | 257 | 28 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB MLE | CHC | 0% | 246 | 221 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 64 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 223 | 296 | 331 | 627 | 108 | 291 | 26 | 7 | 284 | 78 | -6 | +1 | -3 | +3 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 20 | MLB MLE | CHC | 34% | 144 | 129 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 301 | 342 | 643 | 115 | 292 | 26 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB MLE | CHC | 48% | 245 | 220 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 230 | 305 | 351 | 656 | 121 | 293 | 25 | 7 | 296 | 86 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +3 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB MLE | CHC | 54% | 356 | 318 | 74 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 88 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 232 | 307 | 358 | 665 | 126 | 294 | 25 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB MLE | CHC | 57% | 427 | 382 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 105 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 234 | 309 | 363 | 673 | 129 | 295 | 25 | 8 | 303 | 91 | -5 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB MLE | CHC | 57% | 472 | 423 | 100 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 115 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 236 | 311 | 368 | 678 | 132 | 295 | 24 | 8 | 305 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB MLE | CHC | 57% | 498 | 446 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 121 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 236 | 311 | 368 | 679 | 132 | 295 | 24 | 8 | 305 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB MLE | CHC | 56% | 512 | 457 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 40 | 125 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 236 | 311 | 368 | 679 | 132 | 295 | 24 | 8 | 305 | 93 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB MLE | CHC | 55% | 515 | 460 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 40 | 126 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 235 | 310 | 365 | 675 | 131 | 295 | 24 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +6 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB MLE | CHC | 55% | 511 | 456 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 126 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 233 | 308 | 361 | 669 | 128 | 294 | 25 | 8 | 301 | 90 | -6 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB MLE | CHC | 53% | 500 | 447 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 125 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 231 | 306 | 355 | 660 | 124 | 293 | 25 | 8 | 298 | 88 | -7 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB MLE | CHC | 57% | 488 | 439 | 100 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 37 | 124 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 228 | 302 | 347 | 650 | 119 | 291 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 85 | -9 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB MLE | CHC | 60% | 473 | 425 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 122 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 224 | 298 | 338 | 636 | 114 | 289 | 26 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -11 | -0 | -5 | +5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB MLE | CHC | 61% | 452 | 407 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 118 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 219 | 292 | 326 | 618 | 107 | 285 | 26 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -13 | -1 | -6 | +5 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB CTX | CHC | 34% | 49 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 303 | 345 | 647 | 116 | 296 | 24 | 8 | 293 | 83 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB CTX | CHC | 48% | 119 | 106 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 306 | 353 | 660 | 122 | 297 | 25 | 8 | 298 | 86 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB CTX | CHC | 54% | 193 | 172 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 48 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 234 | 309 | 360 | 669 | 126 | 297 | 25 | 8 | 301 | 89 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB CTX | CHC | 57% | 242 | 216 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 59 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 236 | 311 | 366 | 677 | 130 | 298 | 24 | 8 | 304 | 91 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB CTX | CHC | 57% | 267 | 239 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 65 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 237 | 312 | 370 | 682 | 132 | 299 | 24 | 8 | 306 | 93 | -2 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB CTX | CHC | 57% | 281 | 251 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 69 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 238 | 313 | 370 | 683 | 133 | 299 | 25 | 8 | 307 | 93 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB CTX | CHC | 56% | 289 | 259 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 70 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 237 | 312 | 370 | 682 | 132 | 298 | 24 | 8 | 306 | 93 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB CTX | CHC | 55% | 286 | 256 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 70 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 236 | 312 | 367 | 679 | 131 | 298 | 24 | 8 | 305 | 92 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB CTX | CHC | 55% | 280 | 251 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 69 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 235 | 310 | 363 | 673 | 128 | 297 | 25 | 8 | 303 | 90 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB CTX | CHC | 53% | 267 | 239 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 67 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 232 | 307 | 357 | 664 | 125 | 296 | 25 | 8 | 299 | 88 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB CTX | CHC | 57% | 279 | 251 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 71 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 304 | 350 | 653 | 120 | 295 | 25 | 8 | 295 | 85 | -5 | +0 | -3 | +3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB CTX | CHC | 60% | 282 | 254 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 73 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 226 | 299 | 340 | 639 | 115 | 292 | 26 | 7 | 289 | 81 | -6 | -0 | -3 | +3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB CTX | CHC | 61% | 277 | 249 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 73 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 221 | 293 | 328 | 622 | 108 | 288 | 26 | 8 | 282 | 76 | -8 | -1 | -3 | +3 | +6 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3111 | 2787 | 650 | 113 | 22 | 65 | 240 | 776 | 61 | 51 | 17 | 233 | 308 | 360 | 667 | 126 | 299 | 25 | 8 | 300 | 86 | -45 | +3 | -24 | +33 | +67 | 3.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 582 | 137 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 50 | 162 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 235 | 310 | 366 | 676 | 131 | 301 | 25 | 8 | 300 | 86 | -9 | +1 | -5 | +7 | +14 | 0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6020 | 5383 | 1235 | 205 | 35 | 129 | 461 | 1504 | 132 | 118 | 36 | 229 | 306 | 352 | 658 | 123 | 293 | 25 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -82 | +6 | -45 | +61 | +123 | 6.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 134 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 50 | 162 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 231 | 307 | 355 | 662 | 124 | 294 | 25 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -9 | +1 | -5 | +7 | +14 | 0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 74 PAwOBA .287 → .242 (−45)K% 24.3% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.32% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 2.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.76% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 5.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×1.050 | 21.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×1.050 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.031 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 3.57% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .287 → .242; ISO .123 → .097; BABIP .261 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Cubs · 62 PAwOBA .360 → .271 (−89)K% 16.1% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.13% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 9.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 23.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 3.71% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .360 → .271; ISO .151 → .115; BABIP .317 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Cubs Red · 170 PAwOBA .384 → .264 (−120)K% 18.2% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.24% | ÷0.966 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.036 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.24% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 5.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.76% | ÷0.981 | ×0.680 | ×1.024 | ×1.022 | 17.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.012 | ×0.600 | ×1.024 | ×1.022 | 5.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.024 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.876 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 1.57% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 96, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .384 → .264; ISO .140 → .083; BABIP .353 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .