Juan Cabada — OGILVIE

Juan CabadaSS Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 18 L/R 5'9" / 165 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION136 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .231 / .167

PA13

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP288

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$23M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

DEFENSE43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$8M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$10M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	136	39	10	0	3	20	31	14	20	3	287	429	426	856	140	353	18	12	393	152	+11	+3	—	—	+4	1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	144	32	7	0	3	12	46	14	20	3	222	341	333	675	111	289	27	7	285	79	-4	+3	—	—	+4	0.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	144	32	7	0	3	12	46	14	20	3	222	341	333	675	111	305	27	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	136	39	10	0	3	20	31	14	20	3	287	429	426	856	140	353	18	12	393	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	142	32	7	0	3	12	46	14	20	3	225	341	338	679	113	289	27	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	142	32	7	0	3	12	46	14	20	3	225	341	338	679	113	289	27	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	A MLE	CHC	—	136	122	24	2	1	3	8	40	5	3	2	197	274	303	577	107	263	29	6	250	55	-7	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	CHC	—	62	53	15	0	1	2	9	10	0	2	1	283	387	434	821	151	317	16	15	370	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	A RAW	CHC	—	74	65	14	2	0	2	3	18	5	1	1	215	301	338	640	123	261	24	4	291	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	A MLE	CHC	0%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	167	231	167	397		285	23	8	285	79	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	A MLE	CHC	—	149	134	26	2	1	3	9	43	5	3	2	194	270	291	561	97	258	29	6	253	57	-8	-0	-0	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	257	230	53	8	2	6	19	66	6	5	1	230	306	361	667	130	288	26	7	293	84	-5	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.2
2028	20	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	381	340	77	12	2	9	29	96	9	7	2	226	304	353	657	126	290	25	8	300	89	-5	+1	-3	+4	+8	0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	474	424	99	16	3	12	36	118	11	9	2	233	310	370	680	137	291	25	8	304	92	-5	+1	-4	+5	+10	0.8
2030	22	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	538	478	112	18	3	14	42	132	13	10	3	234	313	372	686	138	291	25	8	307	94	-4	+1	-5	+6	+12	1.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	CHC	58%	582	518	121	19	3	15	45	142	14	11	3	234	312	369	681	135	292	24	8	309	95	-3	+1	-5	+6	+13	1.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	610	542	128	20	4	16	48	148	15	11	3	236	316	376	692	140	293	24	8	311	96	-3	+1	-6	+7	+13	1.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	626	557	132	21	4	17	49	152	15	12	3	237	316	381	696	144	293	24	8	312	97	-2	+1	-6	+7	+14	1.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	633	563	133	21	4	17	50	154	15	12	3	236	315	378	694	142	293	24	8	312	97	-2	+1	-6	+7	+14	1.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	633	562	133	21	4	17	51	154	15	12	3	237	317	379	696	142	293	24	8	312	97	-2	+1	-6	+7	+14	1.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	628	557	131	21	3	17	51	154	15	11	3	235	316	375	691	140	292	25	8	311	97	-2	+1	-6	+7	+14	1.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	CHC	58%	618	548	127	20	3	16	50	153	15	11	3	232	313	367	680	135	292	25	8	309	96	-3	+1	-7	+7	+13	1.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	CHC	60%	608	538	126	20	3	16	50	152	15	10	3	234	317	372	688	138	291	25	8	307	94	-4	+1	-8	+7	+13	0.9
2039	31	MLB MLE	CHC	62%	594	527	121	19	3	15	48	150	14	10	3	230	311	362	673	133	289	25	8	303	91	-6	+1	-8	+6	+13	0.6
2040	32	MLB MLE	CHC	63%	575	509	116	18	3	14	47	147	14	9	3	228	311	358	668	130	286	26	8	298	88	-8	+1	-9	+6	+12	0.2
2041	33	MLB MLE	CHC	63%	545	483	107	16	3	12	44	143	13	8	2	222	304	342	645	120	283	26	8	291	83	-11	+1	-9	+6	+12	-0.2
2042	34	MLB MLE	CHC	59%	498	444	94	13	2	11	40	133	11	7	2	212	293	324	617	113	278	27	8	283	78	-13	+1	-9	+5	+11	-0.6
2027	19	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	88	80	19	3	1	2	6	23	2	2	0	237	307	375	682	138	290	26	7	276	84	-2	+0	-1	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	185	165	37	6	1	4	14	47	4	3	1	224	301	345	646	121	292	25	8	282	89	-2	+0	-2	+2	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	257	229	54	9	2	6	20	64	6	5	1	236	314	371	685	135	293	25	8	287	92	-2	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	305	271	64	10	2	8	24	75	7	6	2	236	315	376	691	140	293	25	8	290	94	-2	+0	-3	+3	+7	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	CHC	58%	335	298	69	11	2	8	26	82	8	6	2	232	310	362	673	131	294	24	8	292	95	-2	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	348	310	73	12	2	9	27	85	8	6	2	235	313	374	687	139	295	24	8	293	96	-1	+0	-3	+4	+8	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	355	315	74	12	2	9	28	86	9	7	2	235	315	371	687	137	295	24	8	294	97	-1	+1	-3	+4	+8	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	358	318	75	12	2	9	28	87	9	7	2	236	315	371	687	135	295	24	8	294	97	-1	+1	-3	+4	+8	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	351	311	74	12	2	9	28	85	9	6	2	238	319	376	695	138	295	24	8	294	97	-1	+0	-3	+4	+8	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	345	306	73	12	2	9	28	84	8	6	2	239	319	379	698	141	294	24	8	293	97	-1	+0	-4	+4	+7	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	CHC	58%	359	318	75	12	2	9	29	89	9	6	2	236	317	371	688	135	294	25	8	292	96	-2	+0	-4	+4	+8	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	CHC	60%	366	324	75	12	2	9	30	91	9	6	2	231	314	364	678	133	293	25	8	289	94	-3	+0	-5	+4	+8	0.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	CHC	62%	367	325	75	12	2	9	30	93	9	6	2	231	313	363	676	132	291	25	8	286	91	-4	+0	-5	+4	+8	0.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	CHC	63%	361	320	72	11	2	8	29	93	9	6	2	225	307	347	654	122	288	26	8	281	88	-5	+0	-6	+4	+8	0.1
2041	33	MLB CTX	CHC	63%	346	307	68	10	2	8	28	90	8	5	1	221	303	345	648	124	285	26	8	274	83	-7	+1	-6	+4	+7	-0.1
2042	34	MLB CTX	CHC	59%	294	262	56	8	2	6	23	79	7	4	1	214	295	328	623	115	280	27	8	267	78	-8	+0	-6	+3	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5020	4459	1033	164	30	122	398	1253	121	87	26	232	312	364	676	132	293	25	8	287	92	-45	+7	-58	+54	+109	6.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	134	21	4	16	52	162	16	11	3	232	313	366	679	133	294	25	8	287	92	-6	+1	-7	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	8983	7976	1844	290	49	227	712	2243	224	175	45	231	312	365	677	134	291	25	8	304	92	-79	+14	-100	+94	+191	12.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	133	21	4	16	52	162	16	13	3	231	312	364	676	133	291	25	8	304	92	-6	+1	-7	+7	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.8	5,179	130	90	232	309	366	+53	-28	15.7	12.4
/162	664	17	12	+6.8	-3.6	2.0	pk7: 9
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Cabada (OGILVIE)	18	25→55	30→45	45→49	70	217/292/330	113	285	3	3	27%	7%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51	43→50	50→55	51	244/315/357	114	300	9	14	21%	9%	92	+0.7	228/318/325	97	308	8	17	26%	11%	86	+0.3	228/320/369	141	283	16	24	24%	11%	94	+0.8
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	89	+0.5	191/267/284	93	292	7	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	55	216/324/330	114	293	8	18	27%	12%	91	+0.6	237/321/380	143	308	13	20	25%	10%	100	+1.3	237/324/389	152	306	14	21	25%	10%	100	+0.9
✕Ronny Hernandez 2023 · A	18	41→51	46→40	48→30	46	210/280/342	132	269	14	5	27%	8%	76	-0.4	221/290/299	78	301	5	3	26%	8%	70	-0.9	227/300/318	90	289	10	1	23%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/247/308	118	273	11	8	33%	7%	55	-1.9	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→56	39→45	51→45	51	232/296/328	96	272	5	7	16%	8%	78	-0.3	222/288/298	76	282	5	5	21%	8%	68	-1.0	258/330/364	106	310	10	6	19%	9%	97	+0.8
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	52→60	40→50	48→55	57	247/331/355	109	280	6	11	14%	10%	98	+1.2	235/295/332	97	297	6	18	22%	5%	79	-0.2	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	72	-0.7	233/285/324	91	297	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	243/287/342	99	309	8	2	23%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	71	-0.8	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	47	-2.5	278/317/371	94	319	8	6	15%	4%	95	+0.7
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	46→45	48	183/286/282	99	291	8	6	36%	11%	66	-1.1	184/261/262	78	291	6	6	35%	9%	51	-2.3	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Orlando Arcia 2013 · A	18	46→56	43→50	49→55	50	222/282/333	110	247	10	11	15%	7%	74	-0.5	240/282/329	89	279	5	16	15%	5%	72	-0.7	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	8%	96	+0.7
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	48	220/284/320	100	275	8	11	23%	8%	72	-0.7	239/315/371	132	277	15	17	19%	9%	96	+1.0	231/310/363	132	264	16	23	19%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→46	42→50	44→50	46	226/320/334	108	300	8	7	26%	8%	90	+0.6	212/310/340	128	285	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.4	217/303/361	144	274	17	12	26%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→55	43→45	57→45	40	220/270/339	119	285	9	15	26%	5%	71	-0.8	223/290/326	103	293	9	12	26%	7%	76	-0.4	233/299/331	99	302	8	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→56	40	50→40	47	222/289/316	94	291	7	7	25%	8%	73	-0.6	241/308/328	87	308	7	5	22%	8%	82	+0.0	248/318/312	64	318	4	2	21%	9%	80	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps