Juan Cabada

SS Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 19 L/R 5'9" / 165 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1033ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKDSL Cubs Red170.287/.429/.42632065—.190/.324/.275
202618A/ROK/INTL2 orgs176.224/.326/.3364455—.213/.289/.344
2027PROJMLE19MLBCHC246.223/.296/.33145780.0
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBCHC49.229/.303/.34511830.0
2029PROJ48% MLB21MLBCHC119.232/.306/.35322860.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Chase%58
Whiff%56
K%48
ISO46
Z-Con%34
wRC+28
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 6.3, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 86%
CompsMax Clark (age 19) · Termarr Johnson (age 19) · Canaan Smith-Njigba (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA
wRC+†78
AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .293 / .328
PA81
HR1
K%26
BB%7
ISO108
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.40.50.60.60.60.527282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2034Arb-1$3M+0.6$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-2$5M+0.6$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-3$6M+0.5$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $3M $8M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Cubs Red — 170136 391003 203114 203 287429426856 140353 1812 393 65 — — — — — —
202618 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7465 14202 3185 11 215301338640 123261 244 291 50 — — — — — —
202618 ROKACL Cubs — 6253 15012 9100 21 283387434821 151317 1615 370 70 — — — — — —
202618 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 4034 5100 5141 10 147275176451 29250 3512 228 41 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 170142 27602 143914 203 190324275598 85243 238 264 65 — — — — — —
202618 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 7466 13202 2245 11 197274318592 121253 323 242 50 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 6256 13012 6140 21 232306375681 143261 2310 271 70 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 170142 27602 143914 203 190324275598 85248 238 264 65 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Cubs Red — 170136 391003 203114 203 287429426856 140353 1812 393 65 — — — — — —
202618 A MLE3 teams — 176159 32214 10506 42 201274302576 101264 286 255 59 — — — — — —
202618 A RAW3 teams — 176152 34314 17426 42 224326336661 112280 2410 304 59 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 170140 27602 143914 203 193324279602 86243 238 264 65 — — — — — —
202618 A MLE3 teams — 176158 32214 10506 42 203274304578 101257 286 255 59 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Cubs Red — 170140 27602 143914 203 193324279602 86243 238 264 65 — — — — — —
202618 A MLE3 teams — 176158 32214 10506 42 203274304578 101257 286 255 59 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLECHC 0% 246221 49824 18645 51 223296331627 108291 267 284 78 -6 +1 -3 +3 +5 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLECHC 34% 144129 30513 11373 31 227301342643 115292 268 291 83 -3 +0 -2 +2 +3 0.0
202921 MLB MLECHC 48% 245220 50825 18625 51 230305351656 121293 257 296 86 -4 +1 -3 +3 +5 0.2
203022 MLB MLECHC 54% 356318 741228 27888 72 232307358665 126294 258 300 89 -5 +1 -4 +4 +8 0.4
203123 MLB MLECHC 57% 427382 9015310 331059 82 234309363673 129295 258 303 91 -5 +1 -4 +5 +9 0.7
203224 MLB MLECHC 57% 472423 10017311 371159 92 236311368678 132295 248 305 93 -4 +1 -3 +5 +10 0.9
203325 MLB MLECHC 57% 498446 10618312 3912110 92 236311368679 132295 248 305 93 -4 +1 -2 +5 +11 1.1
203426 MLB MLECHC 56% 512457 10818312 4012510 92 236311368679 132295 248 305 93 -5 +1 -2 +5 +11 1.1
203527 MLB MLECHC 55% 515460 10818312 4012610 92 235310365675 131295 248 304 92 -5 +1 -2 +6 +11 1.0
203628 MLB MLECHC 55% 511456 10618311 4012610 82 233308361669 128294 258 301 90 -6 +1 -3 +5 +11 0.8
203729 MLB MLECHC 53% 500447 10317311 3912510 72 231306355660 124293 258 298 88 -7 +1 -4 +5 +11 0.6
203830 MLB MLECHC 57% 488439 10017310 371249 73 228302347650 119291 258 293 85 -9 +0 -4 +5 +11 0.3
203931 MLB MLECHC 60% 473425 951629 361229 64 224298338636 114289 268 288 81 -11 -0 -5 +5 +10 -0.1
204032 MLB MLECHC 61% 452407 891528 341188 56 219292326618 107285 268 280 76 -13 -1 -6 +5 +10 -0.5
202820 MLB CTXCHC 34% 4944 10201 4121 10 229303345647 116296 248 293 83 -1 +0 -1 +1 +1 0.0
202921 MLB CTXCHC 48% 119106 24412 9303 21 232306353660 122297 258 298 86 -2 +0 -1 +1 +3 0.1
203022 MLB CTXCHC 54% 193172 40714 15484 41 234309360669 126297 258 301 89 -3 +0 -2 +2 +4 0.2
203123 MLB CTXCHC 57% 242216 51925 19595 51 236311366677 130298 248 304 91 -3 +1 -2 +3 +5 0.4
203224 MLB CTXCHC 57% 267239 571026 21655 51 237312370682 132299 248 306 93 -2 +1 -2 +3 +6 0.5
203325 MLB CTXCHC 57% 281251 591026 22696 51 238313370683 133299 258 307 93 -2 +1 -1 +3 +6 0.6
203426 MLB CTXCHC 56% 289259 621127 22706 51 237312370682 132298 248 306 93 -3 +1 -1 +3 +6 0.6
203527 MLB CTXCHC 55% 286256 611126 22706 51 236312367679 131298 248 305 92 -3 +1 -1 +3 +6 0.6
203628 MLB CTXCHC 55% 280251 591026 22695 51 235310363673 128297 258 303 90 -3 +1 -2 +3 +6 0.5
203729 MLB CTXCHC 53% 267239 571026 21675 41 232307357664 125296 258 299 88 -4 +0 -2 +3 +6 0.3
203830 MLB CTXCHC 57% 279251 581026 21715 42 230304350653 120295 258 295 85 -5 +0 -3 +3 +6 0.1
203931 MLB CTXCHC 60% 282254 571025 21735 32 226299340639 115292 267 289 81 -6 -0 -3 +3 +6 -0.1
204032 MLB CTXCHC 61% 277249 55925 21735 34 221293328622 108288 268 282 76 -8 -1 -3 +3 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 31112787 6501132265 24077661 5117 233308360667 126299 258 300 86 -45 +3 -24 +33 +67 3.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 13724514 5016213 114 235310366676 131301 258 300 86 -9 +1 -5 +7 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 60205383 123520535129 4611504132 11836 229306352658 123293 258 296 86 -82 +6 -45 +61 +123 6.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 13422414 5016214 134 231307355662 124294 258 296 86 -9 +1 -5 +7 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 74 PAwOBA .287 → .242 (−45)K% 24.3% → 33.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.32%÷1.000×1.360——33.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.05%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0502.94%
HBP% /PA6.76%—×0.780—×1.0505.53%
Singles /BIP21.28%÷1.000×0.920×1.031×1.05021.20%
Doubles /BIP4.26%÷1.000×0.830×1.031×1.0503.82%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.031×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP4.26%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0503.57%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .287 → .242; ISO .123 → .097; BABIP .261 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Cubs · 62 PAwOBA .360 → .271 (−89)K% 16.1% → 23.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.13%÷1.000×1.440——23.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.52%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0229.20%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP27.91%÷1.000×0.820—×1.02223.40%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Triples /BIP2.33%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0221.71%
Home runs /BIP4.65%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0223.71%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .360 → .271; ISO .151 → .115; BABIP .317 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Cubs Red · 170 PAwOBA .384 → .264 (−120)K% 18.2% → 23.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.24%÷0.966×1.220——23.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷1.036×0.700—×1.0228.13%
HBP% /PA8.24%—×0.700—×1.0225.89%
Singles /BIP24.76%÷0.981×0.680×1.024×1.02217.97%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷1.012×0.600×1.024×1.0225.91%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600×1.024×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP2.86%÷0.876×0.470—×1.0221.57%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 96, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .384 → .264; ISO .140 → .083; BABIP .353 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .