Player 827498 prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Player 827498 P Augusta GreenJackets

Age — —HP A peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 4 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINST107

ERA4.32

FIP4.32

K%23.4%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%14.1%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	6	23	7	2	0	100%	2.8	22.5%	10.3%	12.3%	0.0%	4.76	2.50	—
YTD	—	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	6	23	7	2	0	100%	2.8	22.5%	10.3%	12.3%	0.0%	4.76	2.50	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	—	A RAW	ATL	2	2	6	23	7	2	0	100%	2.9	30.4%	8.7%	21.7%	0.0%	4.76	1.63	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ATL	3	3	20	84	20	8	3	100%	6.7	23.8%	9.0%	14.8%	3.0%	4.28	4.25	+0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.8%	9.0%	14.8%	3.0%	4.28	4.25	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	MLE		2	2	6	23	5	2	0	100%	2.8	22.5%	10.3%	12.3%	0.0%	4.76	2.50	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	71	200	812	183	83	0	100%	2.8	22.5%	10.3%	12.3%	0.0%	4.76	2.50	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Player 827498 (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.32	23.4%	9.3%	3.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Brendan Beck R 2023 · 3.19 FIP	24	SP	3.19	22.5%	6.7%	2.1%	.289	3.67	22.0%	14.9%	279	+0.48	3.19	310	81
Ryan Jennings R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP-	3.43	23.4%	11.9%	1.5%	.316	4.31	22.9%	10.2%	109	+0.88	3.43	142	73
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.05	17.5%	10.6%	280	-0.88	3.90	299	71
Landon Knack R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	25	SP	4.38	23.0%	10.5%	3.4%	.335	4.41	21.2%	12.3%	382	+0.03	3.64	556	70
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	68
Brandon Young R 2023 · 4.49 FIP	24	SP	4.49	17.9%	6.3%	3.8%	.338	3.88	21.4%	13.4%	369	-0.61	3.03	492	66
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	66
Tristan Beck R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	25	SP	5.00	18.2%	10.9%	3.7%	.375	4.22	20.2%	13.2%	252	-0.78	3.48	501	66
Trent Palmer R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	22.0%	10.4%	4.1%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	+0.04	3.51	140	66
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	66
Zak Kent R 2023 · 3.82 FIP	25	SP	3.82	20.9%	6.4%	3.0%	.239	3.99	21.4%	11.0%	152	+0.17	3.13	385	65
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.15	22.0%	9.5%	123	+0.85	4.30	181	64
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	64
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	64
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.42	20.6%	11.4%	217	-0.41	3.07	280	64
Darren Bowen R 2023 · 3.82 FIP	22	SP-	3.82	19.0%	12.8%	1.3%	.236	5.41	15.1%	4.2%	223	+1.59	3.82	278	63
Engert Garcia R 2023 · 3.13 FIP	23	SP-	3.13	16.9%	5.5%	1.4%	.270	4.81	14.9%	-5.3%	79	+1.68	3.13	125	63
Shane McCarthy R 2021 · 5.47 FIP	25	SP	5.47	18.9%	11.9%	4.5%	.240	8.32	14.3%	3.9%	18	+2.85	2.07	117	63
Spencer Howard R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	25	SP	3.76	24.5%	11.3%	2.4%	.311	4.82	24.1%	15.1%	208	+1.06	2.33	484	63
CJ Van Eyk R 2023 · 5.26 FIP	24	SP	5.26	16.5%	10.3%	4.1%	.264	4.69	14.9%	6.6%	345	-0.57	4.18	457	63