Zak Kent
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 208 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 26 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.25
FIP4.33
K%21.3%
BB%13.1%
K-BB%8.2%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2592.7
Whiff%
p1920.9%
K%
p1015.9%
xwOBA vs
p170.351
SI (2%)
CU (18%)
FB-1.1 (43%)
SL-2.5 (38%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -1.12 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.90 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 15 | 89 | 367 | 117 | 23 | 14 | 75% | 4.5 | 25.0% | 7.1% | 17.9% | 4.6% | 3.64 | 4.43 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 15 | 89 | 367 | 117 | 23 | 14 | 75% | 4.5 | 31.9% | 6.3% | 25.6% | 3.8% | 3.64 | 3.29 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 110 | 462 | 110 | 43 | 13 | 100% | 4.6 | 19.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 3.94 | 4.90 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 110 | 462 | 110 | 43 | 13 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.8% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 3.94 | 3.81 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 41 | 171 | 43 | 13 | 7 | 100% | 3.1 | 21.4% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 3.86 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 13 | 41 | 171 | 43 | 13 | 7 | 100% | 3.1 | 25.1% | 7.6% | 17.5% | 4.1% | 4.87 | 4.18 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 4 | 26 | 122 | 31 | 18 | 2 | 27% | 1.7 | 22.0% | 16.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 6.66 | 4.23 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 4 | 26 | 122 | 31 | 18 | 2 | 27% | 1.7 | 25.4% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 1.6% | 6.66 | 3.80 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 66 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 1.2% | 3.40 | 3.23 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 66 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.1% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 1.3% | 3.40 | 2.99 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 43 | 0 | 56 | 251 | 47 | 30 | 10 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.4% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.66 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIN | 25 | 0 | 26 | 112 | 24 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 4.25 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIN | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 23 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 4.25 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 82 | 363 | 71 | 45 | 13 | — | — | 19.5% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 4.53 | 4.73 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 44 | 188 | 71 | 45 | 13 | — | — | 37.7% | 23.8% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 8.39 | 6.66 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 60 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 56 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 57 | 0 | 59 | 251 | 51 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 5.10 | 5.22 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 53 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 5.07 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 48 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 5.10 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 160 | 0 | 179 | 769 | 154 | 101 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 4.97 | 4.78 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 179 | 0 | 200 | 861 | 172 | 113 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 4.97 | 4.78 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 162 | 56 | 378 | 1612 | 349 | 162 | 54 | 35% | 2.3 | 21.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.17 | 4.38 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 86 | 30 | 200 | 854 | 185 | 86 | 29 | 35% | 2.3 | 21.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.17 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zak Kent (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 23.2% | 13.7% | 2.3% | — | 5.14 | 20.6% | 7.2% | 123 | +0.60 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 75 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.60 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.16 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.44 | 2.16 | 186 | 74 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 73 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 73 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 72 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.2% | 11.8% | 2.9% | .274 | 4.63 | 21.1% | 11.2% | 310 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 556 | 71 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 71 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 71 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 71 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 70 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 70 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 69 |
| Derek Law R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.30 | 23.5% | 13.0% | 2.8% | .306 | 3.27 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 110 | -1.03 | 2.50 | 520 | 69 |
| Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 69 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 69 |
| Sean Harney R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.28 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.3% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 123 | 69 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.96 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 1.2% | .363 | 3.59 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 181 | -0.37 | 3.07 | 227 | 69 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 69 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 69 |
| Yennier Cano R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.45 | 23.2% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .325 | 3.13 | 23.4% | 16.2% | 191 | -1.32 | 2.37 | 363 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 56 | 21.3% | 13.5% | 1.12 | 4.88 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |