Zak Kent
P
St. Paul Saints
+0.4
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 208 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.36
FIP4.22
xFIP8.40
SIERA8.04
K%23.9%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%12.4%
IP44
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
K†5555
FB Velo
p2392.6
Whiff%
p3322.9%
K%
p4321.1%
xwOBA vs
p750.288
CU (14%)
FB-1.1 (45%)
SL-2.5 (42%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 20 | 15 | 89 | 367 | 117 | 23 | 14 | 25.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.64 | 4.39 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 24 | 24 | 110 | 462 | 110 | 43 | 13 | 19.6% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 3.94 | 4.73 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 13 | 13 | 41 | 171 | 43 | 13 | 7 | 21.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 4.87 | 3.91 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 15 | 4 | 26 | 122 | 31 | 18 | 2 | 22.0% | 16.3% | 1.8% | 6.66 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 46 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 66 | 29 | 3 | 25.5% | 12.8% | 1.3% | 3.40 | 3.27 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 6 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 6 | 8 | 3 | — | — | — | 5.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIN | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 40 | 19 | 4 | 23.9% | 11.5% | 2.4% | 4.36 | 4.22 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 49 | 210 | 46 | 27 | 7 | 22.0% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 4.48 | 3.44 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 40 | 22 | 5 | 22.3% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 4.65 | 4.62 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 21.8% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 21.3% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.73 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 38 | — | 38 | 161 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 20.7% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 4.93 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 28 | 18 | 5 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 5.06 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 33 | — | 33 | 138 | 26 | 17 | 5 | 18.6% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 5.20 | 5.30 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 31 | — | 31 | 129 | 23 | 17 | 4 | 17.8% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 5.36 | 5.46 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 125 | 56 | 331 | 1403 | 314 | 143 | 47 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 4.11 | 4.35 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 34 | 200 | 849 | 190 | 86 | 28 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 4.11 | 4.35 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zak Kent (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.22 | 23.9% | 11.5% | 2.4% | — | 4.69 | 21.8% | 9.9% | 124 | +0.47 | — | — | — |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.61 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | +0.09 | 3.17 | 272 | 81 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.63 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .310 | 3.09 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.54 | 2.28 | 186 | 79 |
| Hunter Strickland R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.45 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 1.8% | .304 | 4.62 | 17.9% | 9.1% | 70 | +1.17 | 2.30 | 511 | 76 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.76 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.34 | 2.42 | 125 | 76 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.39 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.7% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 166 | 76 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 76 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 76 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.54 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .277 | 3.88 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 203 | +0.34 | 2.86 | 596 | 75 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 74 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 283 | 74 |
| Chaz Roe R 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.14 | 20.7% | 8.4% | 1.3% | .300 | 2.80 | 28.4% | 20.7% | 140 | -0.34 | 1.71 | 257 | 73 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 73 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.88 | 25.1% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .242 | 4.52 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 59 | +0.64 | 2.21 | 152 | 73 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 73 |
| Paul Sewald R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.01 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 3.3% | .325 | 3.30 | 30.7% | 24.2% | 135 | -0.71 | 2.72 | 558 | 73 |
| Shawn Dubin R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 1.4% | .326 | 4.52 | 19.3% | 11.7% | 34 | +1.05 | 3.02 | 341 | 73 |
| Stephen Fife R 2027 · 3.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.10 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 1.0% | .329 | 3.65 | 14.1% | 8.3% | 152 | +0.55 | 3.10 | 179 | 73 |
| Peyton Gray R 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 72 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 72 |
| Ariel Peña R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.96 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .304 | 6.07 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.11 | 3.79 | 223 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.